Its a fair line of thinking but last year had 2 alabama players, 1 from OSU, and 0 from texas, which makes it less likely he's trying to get clicks from massive fanbases
Can michigan really plan to make it one or the other? If its a shootout, that means M's offense is driving down the field, most likely because the run game is working, which means higher time of possession and fewer OSU possessions.
If its a rock fight, that means Michigan isnt running well enough, and I'd 100% bet on OSU to get enough explosive plays to win.
If this team goes 0-2 against MSU and Penn State, all this season would prove is what we already knew: Harbaugh is incredible at turning around bad teams, but can't make good teams great.
Thankfully, those games haven't happened yet, so all we as fans can do is prepare for disaster, or enjoy the small wins - which you choose is your right.
Wild the difference between the eye test and the stats on Arkansas. I wonder if anyone that puts out these stats ever goes back and checks their predictive capability after the fact
I'm one of the "they didnt throw the ball because they cant" people, but one difference I think this year vs previous years with monster running games, is they have a legit home run threat at RB for defenses to consider in the backend.
In previous years, a good OL performance would consistently get their RBs to the second level, but they could usually be chased down. This year, safeties cheating up are at high risk to get juked out of the play and then there's a good chance it will cost them 6.
I thought about this but I guess that's the exact point.
Watching the game the last few years, its clear OSU still prepares for Michigan like they're a worthy adversary.
Clearly OSU fans still think they are as well, or else Michigan Monday would have disappeared sometime in the last 10 years along with Michigan's perceived chances of winning...
This is what I was thinking reading through. The problem is there is a big confounding variable with the coaching changes and general lack of success of the program.
I wonder if this was done for a more stable program over the last 5 years like Stanford or Ohio State, how the results would look.
"I coach a pee wee team. Our O-line consistently gets blown up by teams with older, more experienced kids -- what kind of plays could I call to prevent other teams from tee'ing off on our major weakness?"
I think its a sensible strategy for Notre Dame. If they're going to be playing Clemson, FSU, Miami, they should be recruiting kids away from those schools, thereby weakening their opponents (to at least some degree). If Michigan focused only nationally, the MSUs / Wisconsins would get better players from the only footprint they can recruit and would become stronger opponents, while we're sapping away the best recruits from schools we dont even play
I think the assumption is that an outlier is unlikely to be repeated and so should be removed to get a better projection of future performance.
In this case, I would actually agree that the 5.3yds/carry is the right stat line. Given his reported talent, I think its more likely that opposing defenses may be able to contain him for at most 90% of his carries, but sooner or later he's going to rip off a long run, and be closer to that 5.3 number
Apparently Lars Anderson is an adjunct professor at Bama, and has a book about Bama and the tornado coming out soon... Doubt it's anything bad, or at most, some fluff piece on over signing
I've always thought this so I'm glad to see some reasonable answers. On one hand, there is a lot of very illuminating content here. On the other, those guys are professionals and may feel no need to wade through the garbage that gets posted to get info they could probably surmise themselves.
I don't know, yes Oregon is fun to watch but does anyone give them a shot against lsu or Alabama who have fast AND big athletes and focus on defense?
Systems are fun and can lead to consistency but if you want to win it all, you need the latter which Michigan is historically wont to land. It'll happen with another year of consistency
This is a very good post, it's a fair assessment of where we are in terms of our tier of teams. Our best year in that time frame also came in osu's best year unfortunately, so luck has a lot to do with that list.
hokes ability to recruit and teach tough football, and yes, Dave Brandons willingness to upgrade facilities and play the money game are putting us in a good spot to capitalize on luck when it inevitably comes our way
Eh, I'm not concerned. Hoke is definitely the right guy for the job. Just because Borges cant fit his system to his players doesn't mean he's a bad coach - he could be really good at doing one thing well
Ultimately, I think it comes down to the talent level. Attrition and poor seasons are going to make it hard to catch up but if this coaching staff can bring in two top 5 classes after what happened in 08-11, imagine what they'll do after a couple of years of fairly strong performances.
We weren't able to beat more talented or more stable programs but the teams we should beat, we did soundly. Good things ahead
8-4 was what people were expecting before we saw how bad the big ten was this year...
That said, besides Denard, we lack a game-changing type player on offense that you need to break a couple of these games our way. We'll get those recruits as we continue to improve so I still think the future is bright
Yeah we seem to lose them but we suffered through 3 really bad seasons, it's pretty amazing we're even sniffing top 5 classes back to back. Once this program starts rolling again, we can complain about missing out on the studs
I hate the SEC as much as anyone but I think 6 years of decisive national championship wins (to one loss), should get the winner of that conference into the NC game. I'd also bet that happens if either Georgia or Bama wins the SECCG by a big margin.
I definitely agree that the optimism should be tempered but I dont see Balas's line of reasoning at all. If anything, I cant see Green doing anything but taking his time and visits before deciding. He gets to be a guest of honor at big games across the country and weigh his options. Plus you have to figure with the Dawson decommit, he would be slightly concerned about committing before he's taken all his officials...
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Its a fair line of thinking but last year had 2 alabama players, 1 from OSU, and 0 from texas, which makes it less likely he's trying to get clicks from massive fanbases
Best: we'll finally get a UFR of an ohio state game!
Can michigan really plan to make it one or the other? If its a shootout, that means M's offense is driving down the field, most likely because the run game is working, which means higher time of possession and fewer OSU possessions.
If its a rock fight, that means Michigan isnt running well enough, and I'd 100% bet on OSU to get enough explosive plays to win.
If this team goes 0-2 against MSU and Penn State, all this season would prove is what we already knew: Harbaugh is incredible at turning around bad teams, but can't make good teams great.
Thankfully, those games haven't happened yet, so all we as fans can do is prepare for disaster, or enjoy the small wins - which you choose is your right.
nevermind, fixed
Every single post in here is questioning the cade-as-a-trouble-spot label, so now im worried we're reverse jinxing FFFF's reverse jinx
Wild the difference between the eye test and the stats on Arkansas. I wonder if anyone that puts out these stats ever goes back and checks their predictive capability after the fact
But that sounds like Michigan's draft results too
I'm one of the "they didnt throw the ball because they cant" people, but one difference I think this year vs previous years with monster running games, is they have a legit home run threat at RB for defenses to consider in the backend.
In previous years, a good OL performance would consistently get their RBs to the second level, but they could usually be chased down. This year, safeties cheating up are at high risk to get juked out of the play and then there's a good chance it will cost them 6.
I thought about this but I guess that's the exact point.
Watching the game the last few years, its clear OSU still prepares for Michigan like they're a worthy adversary.
Clearly OSU fans still think they are as well, or else Michigan Monday would have disappeared sometime in the last 10 years along with Michigan's perceived chances of winning...
I dont think its this. Rutgers football has an average attendance of 38,000...
UC is a chronic disease so it’s never a permanent recovery.
I’d guess that his week-to-week eligibility will be a question throughout the season.
This is what I was thinking reading through. The problem is there is a big confounding variable with the coaching changes and general lack of success of the program.
I wonder if this was done for a more stable program over the last 5 years like Stanford or Ohio State, how the results would look.
One key difference is that they dont have an elite coaching staff. Thats what a meaningful portion of our preseason hype is built on
The same as the number of pixels in that video
"Just a lowly Harvard grad with a JD/MBA from Michigan, thats it, eric"
"Michigan huh? Good football team. What do they do at Harvard?"
Dude?
Yup, better log in and upvote this
"I coach a pee wee team. Our O-line consistently gets blown up by teams with older, more experienced kids -- what kind of plays could I call to prevent other teams from tee'ing off on our major weakness?"
I think its a sensible strategy for Notre Dame. If they're going to be playing Clemson, FSU, Miami, they should be recruiting kids away from those schools, thereby weakening their opponents (to at least some degree). If Michigan focused only nationally, the MSUs / Wisconsins would get better players from the only footprint they can recruit and would become stronger opponents, while we're sapping away the best recruits from schools we dont even play
Best part about this is how easy it was to vote
Upvote
I think the assumption is that an outlier is unlikely to be repeated and so should be removed to get a better projection of future performance.
In this case, I would actually agree that the 5.3yds/carry is the right stat line. Given his reported talent, I think its more likely that opposing defenses may be able to contain him for at most 90% of his carries, but sooner or later he's going to rip off a long run, and be closer to that 5.3 number
I've always thought this so I'm glad to see some reasonable answers. On one hand, there is a lot of very illuminating content here. On the other, those guys are professionals and may feel no need to wade through the garbage that gets posted to get info they could probably surmise themselves.
I thought the big news was from an Ohio prospect, ruling out Mcdowell.
"nuked that fridge" -- great phrase
I think one of her band mates (and fellow UofM alum) was Theo Katzman, who is also extremely talented and deserves a lot of support.
Dont think this has been updated in a while but still an interesting read
http://oversigning.com/testing/
and a lannister pays his debts
I actually doubt it. If they make a splashy hire like Charlie Strong, that may be more attractive for recruits than having Chizik return...
8-4 was what people were expecting before we saw how bad the big ten was this year...
That said, besides Denard, we lack a game-changing type player on offense that you need to break a couple of these games our way. We'll get those recruits as we continue to improve so I still think the future is bright
I hate the SEC as much as anyone but I think 6 years of decisive national championship wins (to one loss), should get the winner of that conference into the NC game. I'd also bet that happens if either Georgia or Bama wins the SECCG by a big margin.
So you'd prefer the gloating that at least they made it to the national championship game
Wow -- no one proof read that article before publishing, huh?
Like a carpenter.. that makes stairs
I have interest in watching ND, but am afraid i may contribute to ratings
Ha, that website is so amateur
I hope thats not the case, this is a pretty good argument for not going to auburn
Georgia up 21-0, Green has to be less than wow'd
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFlcqWQVVuU
Yeah, but how many stars does he have?
Given your username, i'm inclined to not take your reassurance seriously.
I definitely agree that the optimism should be tempered but I dont see Balas's line of reasoning at all. If anything, I cant see Green doing anything but taking his time and visits before deciding. He gets to be a guest of honor at big games across the country and weigh his options. Plus you have to figure with the Dawson decommit, he would be slightly concerned about committing before he's taken all his officials...