fair point that
- Member for
- 7 years 21 weeks
- View recent blog entries
|1 week 19 hours ago||sad face||
I fear we may be ripe for an upset, gonna go with 19-24.
|1 week 22 hours ago||Y'all motherfuckers are crazy||
Y'all motherfuckers are crazy
|1 week 1 day ago||Eh, if Iowa is 12-1 with a||
Eh, if Iowa is 12-1 with a win over 12-1 OSU, I think they're still in unless ND is 11-1 and OkState is 12-0. I suppose a theoretical 11-1 Oklahoma coming off 3 straight wins over Baylor, TCU, and OkState could also jump a 12-1 B1G champ Iowa team, but it's not as slam-dunk.
|1 week 1 day ago||Let's examine your scenario||
Let's examine your scenario (Stanford over Utah). So, Stanford and M win out, OSU beats MSU, UCLA beats USC, and Utah wins out to the P12 title game, the resumes could shake out as:
Michigan's 5 best wins would be: 12-1 Iowa, 11-1 OSU, 10-2 NW, 9-3 BYU, 7-5 PSU. Losses to 10-2 MSU, 10-3 Utah.
Stanford's 5 best wins would be: 10-2 ND, 10-3 Utah, 9-3 WSU, 9-3 UCLA, 8-4 USC. Losses to 10-2 NW, 9-3 Oregon.
The losses are fairly similar, as both teams would have beaten a team the other lost to, so head-to-head washes out. We're left with:
Iowa > ND, OSU > Utah, NW > WSU, BYU < UCLA (head-to-head), and PSU < USC.
I can't see any way that Stanford's resume could be argued stronger than Michigan's in this situation.
|1 week 1 day ago||There are basically two||
There are basically two scenarios where the B1G champ is not getting in:
1. PSU wins the conference. At 3 losses already, there's absolutely no way they can make it unless you actually think both Alabama and Florida could lose this weekend.
2. ND and OkState win out and the B1G champ has 1+ losses. Although, it's possible that OSU could jump ND if they beat MSU, M loses to PSU, M beats OSU, and OSU beats undefeated Iowa.
|1 week 2 days ago||I, for one, would love to see||
I, for one, would love to see PSU go up-tempo. If they try to install that in one week, I imagine there would be a slew of mistakes - false starts, missed blocking assignments, wrong routes. All they would do is expose their own lack of defensive depth by giving the ball back to Michigan quickly.
OSU, on the other hand, is fully capable of going up-tempo, though maybe not to the degree that Indiana does it. I fully believe they'll use a similar gameplan, and they're better than Indiana pretty much everywhere on offense. That game could be bad news if Harbaugh and company don't figure out something to paper over the depth issue, and fast.
|1 week 6 days ago||Pretty sure INTs usually fall||
Pretty sure INTs usually fall into the IN/BR regime (primarily INX/BRX at that) unless they're otherwise good passes that get deflected or ridiculous plays by a defender.
|2 weeks 5 hours ago||The big one should be||
The big one should be Woodson, and the smaller one should be Jabrill (or Peppers, but Jabrill rhymes with grill, but then again Peppers is actually a food item... tough choice), since he's on track to be Woodson Jr.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||As long as both OSU and UM||
As long as both OSU and UM end up 7-1 in conference, yes.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Dollars to donuts if the||
Dollars to donuts if the PAC-12 shakes out like you have it, Florida coming off a win over Alabama gets the nod over Michigan. They'll justify it by saying "Michigan already lost to Utah, let Florida have a shot."
The best outcome would probably be Mississippi State beating Alabama but losing to Ole Miss, and Ole Miss beating LSU. Florida losing to FSU but beating Alabama (who still wins the tiebreaker over LSU as both would be 6-2 in conference, with the Mississippi teams at 5-3) is now less impressive as Alabama would be 10-3, as opposed to Michigan's wins over a now 11-1 OSU and 12-1 Iowa to close out the season.
If you want a team out of the PAC-12, I think it's Stanford to avoid the "Utah already beat this team" arguments.
My (somewhat possible) dream scenario is:
B1G: Goes as necessary to get Michigan wins over previously-undefeated OSU and Iowa teams.
SEC: The LSU-Alabama-MSU-OM group cannibalizes itself as above. Florida at 11-2 with fewer impressive wins and similar quality losses to Michigan shouldn't make it, but never count out the SEC Spin Machine.
Big 12: Baylor wins out and gets a spot.
ACC: Clemson wins out and gets a spot. FSU losing to a respectable NCSt team this weekend would also help weaken a potential FSU win over Florida, but that's probably overkill.
PAC 12: Stanford wins out, Utah wins out the rest of the regular season to keep that loss as strong as possible.
Independents: If ND loses to Stanford, and both Stanford and Clemson make the playoff, I don't see how you could put ND in the playoff over Michigan. Michigan would finish the season so incredibly strong. ND's losses would unequivocally be stronger, but their best wins would be over Temple and Navy.
Alternate is the Big 12 ending up with Baylor losing to TCU and OkState, Oklahoma losing to Baylor, OkState losing to Oklahoma, and TCU losing to Oklahoma. Does OkState at 11-1 have a stronger resume than 11-2 Michigan? They'll have two wins over 10-2 teams and a loss to a 10-2 team, while Michigan would have wins over 12-1 and 11-1 teams, and losses to 11-2 and 10-2 teams.
|5 weeks 1 hour ago||I mean, you do know that||
I mean, you do know that MSU/OSU could feasibly hire a coach to replace Dantonio/Meyer who could still provide a solid challenge, right? Or that Penn State could come to the realization that Franklin is nothing more than a successful used car salesman and replace him with an actual solid coach?
|5 weeks 7 hours ago||Holy shit some of you are||
Holy shit some of you are self-righteous. A 17-year old high school kid being fawned over by schools from coast-to-coast wants to capitalize on his 'fame' by going to parties and getting laid by college girls? You're absolutely insane if you think this doesn't still happen at EVERY FREAKIN' SCHOOL in the country. It's a thousand-mile difference between going to college parties with a player-host and what Louisville did.
All this makes me wish I had been a D1-caliber athlete in high school instead of a dorky solid-but-unspectacular hockey dman forced to play for a different high school.
|7 weeks 4 days ago||Northwestern's best win of||
Northwestern's best win of the year is inarguably the win over Stanford. Minnesota is not anywhere near as good as people thought they might be.
|8 weeks 4 hours ago||The only thing that's holding||
The only thing that's holding me back from anointing this a 2006-level defense is the lack of turnovers forced. I know they're generally high-variance, but the best defenses seem to get a lot of them. See OSU scoring a defensive TD in every game so far this year. The 2006 team had 30 takeaways, more than 2 per game.
If we start forcing turnovers, though... hoo boy the sky is the limit for this group.
|8 weeks 8 hours ago||Depends how heavy the rain||
Depends how heavy the rain is. I remember watching a Southern Miss-Louisville game 3 years ago where the rain was so heavy the field was essentially flooded. Good thing it looks like we won't have to deal with this!
|8 weeks 18 hours ago||Michigan 41-Maryland||
Michigan 41-Maryland 10
Michigan 27-Northwestern 3
|8 weeks 3 days ago||+1, very informative.||
+1, very informative.
|8 weeks 4 days ago||I hedged my bets and guessed||
I hedged my bets and guessed a BYU win because by the time I posted all the reasonable (at the time) scores had been selected. Oh well!
Also, internet high five for a fellow NERS graduate! (I'm guessing, based on the screenname...)
|9 weeks 2 hours ago||I laughed. +1||
I laughed. +1
|9 weeks 8 hours ago||23-27 BYU.||
|10 weeks 1 hour ago||Pittsburgh's beer scene is||
Pittsburgh's beer scene is mostly just getting off the mat right now, as there has been a rash of micros opening over the past 5 years. The best, in my opinion, are probably Grist House, Brew Gentlemen, and Spoonwood. East End has a great stout but is pretty average elsewhere. Church Brew Works is okay, but the brewery is in an abandoned church so it's a real neat place to go. If you drive a little more than an hour north of the city, Voodoo is really good.
|10 weeks 1 day ago||According to Harbaugh||
According to Harbaugh himself, it looks like you want to be as close to Section 25, Row 12, Seat 9 as possible.
|10 weeks 3 days ago||Considering that UNLV lost||
Considering that UNLV lost their already not very good starting QB, I don't think that offense is moving the ball too much against our defense. The score won't be a total massacre because the second half is going to be a lot of power running and clock chewing, but it'll be something on the order of 45-3 I'd guess.
|10 weeks 3 days ago||The Peppers gif, the dude||
The Peppers gif, the dude with the clipboard in the top right is making the "oooooooohhhhhhhh" face as Peppers crushes the WR. It's hilarious and I can't stop watching it.
|11 weeks 23 hours ago||Yeah, I'm with you on the||
Yeah, I'm with you on the Wilson TD. The WR is the one moving horizontally while Booker stays outside as a blocker, so Bolden should have the outside responsibility. RJS's task should be to force the play to the RB and allow the 4 tacklers (against 3 blockers) to clean up. He ended up forcing Wilson to keep the ball, and with no help behind him due to Morgan falling, it was as easy as TDs get.
|11 weeks 1 day ago||Michigan wins 31-17. Gary||
Michigan wins 31-17. Gary Andersen scares me a bit when he has a mobile QB, like what he did at Utah State with Chuckie Keeton. Good thing is we'll be getting Collins in only his second game, his first road game, three times zones away, and the rest of the Beavers aren't all that threatening.
|11 weeks 6 days ago||Yeah, this is one contest I'm||
Yeah, this is one contest I'm not happy to finish well in. I hate when my pessimism gets rewarded.
That's not to say that I would turn down a free copy of BLL (which I didn't order because I don't read many books)... plus the entry does say both "correct guesses" and "five closest," so it depends on which one you want to believe.
|11 weeks 6 days ago||Our offense is a long way||
Our offense is a long way from being a true threat. Rudock did not impress me; made some bad reads, and the first overthrow of Chesson was inexcusable for a 5th year senior. Smith runs hard, which is nice to see, but he runs hard to the wrong place half the time. The receivers were somewhat of a surprise, but Perry's routes aren't quite good enough to see as many targets as Rudock gave him. Jake Butt is amazing, and he'll have to play like this all season if we want to have any success going forward.
Defense was a bit hit-and-miss for me. The DL seemed to get really good penetration, which was nice to see; however, I fully expect RJS to get some serious minuses on Wilson's TD run - he boned that play as bad as you possibly could. The LBs were good against the run for the most part, but got really exposed through the air. They're lucky there aren't a whole lot of dangerous passing attacks in the conference. Lewis is the real deal, and by the end of the game Peppers was fantastic.
All in all, it played out somewhat like I expected (though I did not imagine Rudock would have 3 INTs, even if one wasn't his fault), as I guessed 23-17. I did see enough that makes me think this team will improve as the season goes along. But, if it was possible, I'm even more skeptical that they'll provide much of a challenge to MSU or OSU in the division.
|12 weeks 2 hours ago||White Braylon||
|12 weeks 8 hours ago||I'm just gonna throw an||
I'm just gonna throw an upvote here and move on. Drinking on the job would get me fired, and that's not ideal.