this week in unintentionally grim-sounding recruiting headlines
|33 weeks 4 days ago||It occurred to me||
The coaching tenure of these guys is so short, almost nobody gets long enough to see it. I mean, this was Hoke's first year with All His Players. The trend should still be there, if you can truly "coach-up" your players, the performance improvement should be there from the start. That's the idea - you have a known quantity, in this case the recruiting rankings of the players, and can compare them between coaches.
I also figured that with a top-5 recruiting class, the odds would be in your favor of getting some talented freshmen on the field (like Peppers, except for his knee).
|33 weeks 4 days ago||Synopsis||
It's a combination of two other advanced metrics, FEI and S&P+.
FEI: A scoring rate analysis of the remaining possessions then determines the baseline possession efficiency expectations against which each team is measured. A team is rewarded for playing well against good teams, win or lose, and is punished more severely for playing poorly against bad teams than it is rewarded for playing well against bad teams.
S&P+ takes into account success rate, equivalent points per play, drive efficiency, and adjusts for opponent quality.
I chose it as a way to measure relative success/failure of a team, without using simpler stats like yardage, record, or points. All these advanced stats take those factors and create a ranking from them. I specifically chose F+ since it's a combination of two other advanced stats (like I used 247's aggregate recruiting rankings).
|33 weeks 5 days ago||Add one more relevant data point - wins||
Seth, can you add a line for wins on the graph, so we can see how experience tends to equate with wins? I see 2011 sticking out there, and hopefully that will correlate to exceeding expectations next year.
|37 weeks 4 days ago||Never mind Brian,||
where's the Mathlete been? Did he look at our numbers and jump out a (hopefully 1st story) window?
|1 year 5 weeks ago||Prince Ali, wonderful he, Ali-ababa...||
Yes, the Pep Band needs to play the theme from Alladin if he ever makes it to Ann Arbor.
The KU student government has a good point. If the Michigan student section is around 20,000 seats, at $300 each, that's $6 million in revenue to the AD. The AD has an annual budget of $137.5 million, so giving student tickets away for free would only impact them by less than 5%. Heck, cutting season student ticket prices to $100 for the season would still raise $2 million, impacting budget by less than 2%.
|1 year 25 weeks ago||Beilein Teams Don't Foul||
Hypothesis: winning percentage correlates with low foul rates. I'd expect that giving fewer intentional fouls at the end of the game would lead to lower foul rates for good teams.
For example, Saturday's game had 16 fouls for Michigan, 22 for State. Eight of those 22 came in the last two minutes.
How to verify this, I have no idea.
|1 year 45 weeks ago||A thought for future analysis (maybe)||
Have you ever looked at using other statistical categories for qualification?
I mean, would using median instead of mean (average) influence ranking at all? That would throw out the outlier plays, possibly at the expense of penalizing quick-strike teams.
In a similar vein, would standard deviation serve a similar function to categorize offensive/defensive efficiency? I realize that would reward "grind-it-out" offenses and "bend-but-don't-break" defenses, but categorizing Getting Torched/Homerun play frequency might be interesting.
|1 year 50 weeks ago||You're secretly using hex, aren't you?||
B1G would be the Big 17, if G was a valid hex code.
WHO WILL BE THE 17th TEAM IN THE BIG TEN???
|2 years 5 days ago||And that's why Braylon's #1 scholarship is dumb||
Why does Braylon get to say who gets AC's #1?
|2 years 2 weeks ago||As someone who was at that Rose Bowl,||
I don't remember needing a jacket.
Wunderground says a high of 71 for January 1, 1998.
|2 years 13 weeks ago||Thanks!||
I guess I didn't expect such a random distrubution of TDs for given yardage. If kicking 40 yards gives a 10% chance of TD, and 50+ is only 25%, then kicking deep doesn't seem like a negative.
|2 years 14 weeks ago||If you're looking for something to do,||
it's not very exciting, but I'm curious about the concept of "outkicking the coverage." Specifically, do longer punts give more variance and more chance of a long return? Is there an optimal length of punt to maximize distance and minimize return?
It seems to me that kicking, say, 35 yards and forcing a fair catch is a safer play than punting 50+ and having a potential return for TD. But I'd be curious if the data shows that longer punts are more likely to give up a longer return.
|2 years 24 weeks ago||Nothing about Kiffin and USC?||
Nothing about Kiffin and USC? Oh, I see...
|2 years 26 weeks ago||Or, make it connect-the-dots||
Travel around, randomly tweeting locations. Make those locations spell the name/logo of your school of choice.
|2 years 35 weeks ago||I say screw it||
This makes the B1G Championship game a formality, and opens the door for promotion/relegation.
|2 years 41 weeks ago||Wow, I have a fan||
There's a number of reasons I quit doing the UGotW.
1. I started to feel bad about picking on EMU every week.
2. I have a whole lot less time to preview/review the games, between a new job and a little future Wolverine
3. The amount of content really picked up, so I felt like there wasn't a big need for one more diary.
4. I wanted to do the Pick Six review, but never heard back from the guy who took all the votes.
5. I can't think of #5.
If there's really a subculture of people who read it (besides me, you and Seth), I will think about bringing it back.
|2 years 43 weeks ago||Also, your author page is messed up||
is only showing stuff from May/June.
does work, though.
It just feels like the whole of sbnation is yelling at me.
|2 years 45 weeks ago||How ridiculous is Denard's EV last week?||
Have you ever had a +20 EV, let alone almost +0.5 per play?
|2 years 49 weeks ago||Once this is done||
somebody needs to build these rosters in NCAA '13, build playbooks and let them fight it out.
|2 years 51 weeks ago||Drupal Module?||
Their demo site
seems like it would do the trick. No idea how well it would scale, but it's an option.
|3 years 4 weeks ago||Conference Champs||
I think the deck is getting stacked to avoid LSU v. Alabama III. Having said that, I do think that the committee will prefer a 4th conference champ over the runner-up from another one, simply for the money going to that conference. And I think that makes it harder for the independants/mid-majors to make it in. I just expect it to be Big-10, SEC, Pac-12, Big-12 more or less every year.
In 2011, the Big 10 would have been shut out of a large pile of money. But I think we'll see a lot of situations like 2010, where I predict that Wisconsin gets in over Stanford, simply because the Pac-10 already has a team in the playoff. Or 2008, where it could very well be Oklahoma, Florida, USC, Penn State just to spread the teams around.
Once the mid-majors combine into a big enough conference to raise enough of a stink is when we'll see the next change (to 6 or 8 teams, or a play-in game or something).
|3 years 10 weeks ago||300m hurdles||
Only because I'm a former hurdler. Anything above high school runs 400m hurdles outdoors. That's why that record has stood for 20+ years - no one runs it in professional competition.
But that's still a pretty good time.
|3 years 12 weeks ago||Context||
"Raping their fanbase" is probably not appropriate when discussing Penn State.
|3 years 15 weeks ago||Trafalmadore||
I would have thought it sounds much more like the Marketing Division of the Sirius Cybernetics Corporation.
|3 years 20 weeks ago||Average?||
Personally, Seth's looks the best to me, but if you average them together you get:
|3 years 21 weeks ago||As someone married to a Kansas grad,||
I can confirm this statement is true.
But I don't think Michigan v. ND UTL should count as Random Michigan game, but point taken.
|3 years 23 weeks ago||Offensive Goals||
I agree that the "staying ahead of the chains" adage is like "establish the ground game", "win between the tackles", or any number of meaningless announcer-isms. Staying ahead of the chains is only meaningful based on your offensive strategy. If you're playing Three Yards and a Cloud of Dust, then you're expecting 3 plays of 3 or so yards to move the ball. If you're playing Mike Leach's Air Raid, you're expecting 1 play of 10 yards. West Coast/Spread/Run and Shoot fall in between, say, 2 plays of 5 yards to keep moving. I guess it's a way to try and quantify offensive efficiency, but not much else.
Imagine an offense where all you do is throw Hail Mary's. Your success rate would be terrible, but your effectiveness would probably be reasonable (complete 2 or 3 a game, and you've got a shot).
Looking forward to some numbers.
|3 years 26 weeks ago||He may have good backpedal,||
but how are his hips?
|3 years 27 weeks ago||Sheed's Jingle Bells||
I always wondered what a Biz Markee and Wesley Willis duet would sound like. Now I know.
|3 years 34 weeks ago||I think #2 is the best solution||
I don't know what happens with baseball/hockey players once they are drafted, aside from the pro team keeping the rights to the player. Do they get a stipend from their team?
But I do think that it does make the college game a noticeable step down from pro games, since the best players are in the pros as soon as they're capable. Compare that to college basketball/football and the skill-level doesn't seem to drop off as much.
I think a position that give some power to the players is best for them. You get a guarenteed 4 or 5 years unless you are ruled ineligible, and are free to leave after any season. I don't know what to do directly about the problem of agents, but maybe this would decrease their demand.
|3 years 35 weeks ago||Caught that at the end of their game on Saturday||
Oklahoma drove down the field to set up the scoring TD. The brought in the aforementioned huge QB (dude looked like a TE), a FB and a TE/H-back. They just plowed into the endzoe to be down one. It looked like Stoops was going to run it again to win, but the offense got a false start called and they kicked to send it into overtime.
I don't know if we have enough huge guys to pull it off, though. Maybe Devin/Hopkins/Koger.
|3 years 36 weeks ago||You can keep saying it, but it doesn't make it true||
1. You ignore special teams totally. Last year we had 4 FGs all season. This year, we have 8 already. That's 12 more points that need to be controlled for. Removing 4 of those to put us on pace with last year gives PPP of 0.508. Otherwise you're attributing the scoring to the offense, which isn't the case.
2. I concede that deleting OT is valid, in that playing with the short field skews the scoring numbers. However, deleting the entire game should not be valid. The first 4 quarters of the game should stand on there own.
3. The season ain't over. If you're want to compare apples to apples, compare 2010 through Purdue to 2011 through Illinois. Also, last year's SOS was higher, so that level of opposition should be controlled for as well.
Here's the turnover rank for the top 20 teams scoring defence from the NCAA:
No correlation. Ditto for offense (I'll save you the chart). Look at the numbers. Out of 600 to 700 plays, 30 TOs is about 4%. Even if it was 10 TO, it's still 1.5%. It's just too small a factor to matter.
|3 years 36 weeks ago||4th and 1||
What's your thoughts on the 4th and 1 from the 1 to go for it? I plugged the numbers into the calculator Brian posted yesterday and came up with this:
That says to me that you have a 68% chance of scoring a TD and a 100% chance of scoring a FG if you kick. The EP total is about double for going for it, but do you really need the points? The total WP is higher for making the FG than for scoring the TD, so it seems like a good idea to kick when already up 14.
|3 years 36 weeks ago||Kick, dammit, kick!||
I'm sure I'm in the minority, but I would have had no problem with kicking on 4th and 1 the first time. You put yourself up three scores, and take the momentum of the goal line stand out of the crowd. Now it turned out to not matter, but I kept looking at the scoreboard into the 3rd quarter and thinking "17-0 would be much more comfortable."
Anybody know offhand the odds of getting a safety when the opponent has 1st and 10 from their own 1? I'd imagine that it's pretty low, even factoring in chances of scoring from the short field after a punt. If you ask me, I'd put 3 on the board every time. If you need 7, go for 7. If you can get points, get points.
|3 years 37 weeks ago||I vote||
that if we lose, Brian does a video podcast, dressed like the guy from Masterpiece Theater.
Also, I think both sides run the Kitchen Sink offenses, and it turns into a trackmeet again. 48-40.
|3 years 37 weeks ago||You might say||
*puts on glasses*
he's going to be merciless...
|3 years 37 weeks ago||Correct||
The owl isn't technically an optical illusion, but it's still interesting.
|3 years 38 weeks ago||Brandon||
If I had to sum up Michigan in one word, it's tradition. So hopefully all the RichRod "Michigan Man" stuff can refocus the fanbase on where we came from and what "The Michigan Difference" is. It's not monetizing every aspect of the gameday experience to be financially competitive. It's celebrating Yost, Bo, Crisler and all the players that made our tradition of excellence.
How Dave Brandon can see that well enough to hire a guy like Hoke to unite the fans and not see it well enough to bust out new uniforms for the State game is beyond me. And I'm firmly in the camp that tradition supercedes what the recruits/players want. You are the team, the team is not you.
|3 years 38 weeks ago||Since we're channelling Douglas Adams||
All Michigan has to do is miss the ground. Mess up less than the rest of the division and we win by default. I'm still not worried about anyone else on our schedule (and I still believe we would be State 3 out of 5 times).
Having said that, I'd rather get into a mediocre bowl over a BCS bowl. The rest of the NCAA is such a trainwreck that I'd rather draw into the Weedeater Bowl against Cincinnati or Virginia or UCLA and get the bowl jinx off our back. I'm not looking forward to drawing Alabama or Oregon or Oklahoma. Give me a bowl win and build Hoke a statue.
|3 years 39 weeks ago||Wiki, my one and only reference for anything||
According to the wiki page (which is as much research as I do for this thing), TCU bought the land in 1869, but by 1872 the Chisholm Trail (hey, neat auto-linking, wiki) had turned the neighborhood into "Hell's Half-Acre", so TCU moved to Thorp Spring, then to Waco, then back to Ft. Worth in 1910.
So I think the school bought the land, saw what the neighborhood looked like, and got out of town. Not that I blame them.
|3 years 40 weeks ago||The same ESPN||
that's been pushing Vonzante Burfect all season as a player who "plays hard, except for that whole personal foul thing." They were talking about him on Gameday and said they basically thought he should play more like last year.
|3 years 41 weeks ago||Stats?||
As much as I love this column (and I do), I wonder if the aggregate +/- numbers don't tell the whole story. As Brian usually points out, those numbers go up/down based on the number of plays.
Would a distribution chart be more useful? Show median, high, low +/-, then the % of plays that total -2. -1. 0, +1, +2, etc. That would show plays where everything goes wrong, plays where somethings go wrong and some go right, and plays where everything comes up unicorns. It would also remove some of the variance from a large +/- on a given play. Would you rather have three +1s or one +3?
|3 years 41 weeks ago||As an out-of-state-er||
<blockquote>Outside of the state they're the reason non-sports fans often wonder why Michigan shirts are sometimes green.</blockquote>
It's much more likely that an average fan wouldn't know the significance of either school. I constantly get asked "Did you go to Michigan or Michigan State? Which is which?"
I then proceed to mix up Colorado/Colorado State or Lincoln/Omaha or Austin/College Station just to piss them off.
|3 years 43 weeks ago||39||
6 TDs, 3 missed XPs
5 TDs, 2 mised XPs, 2 FGs
5TDs, 1 missed XP, 1 FG, 1 safety... and a partrige in a pear tree.
|3 years 43 weeks ago||Similar data?||
Would just using the first 4 games from last year to compare to the first 4 games of this year make any difference? That would throw out Illinois, Ohio, and MSU (and the other MSU). That would be a little more of an apples-to-apples comparison.
Looking at the NCAA stats, through week 4 last year we were the #64 scoring defense, and #93 total defense. This year we are #71 total defense and #13(!) scoring defense.
|3 years 43 weeks ago||Wiki,||
saw it, read it, still put it down as American Revolution. That makes a little more sense that Virginia would be a bastion of loyalty to the crown during the English revolution, as a safe-harbor. But it's still a really lame mascot. For that matter, "Wahoo" has a better story as a mascot.
|3 years 44 weeks ago||I like it||
We've got enough versions of Picture Pages floating around, we don't need one more. Stick with the "Key Plays (/jangles keys)" idea: pick one or two plays that Michigan does/doesn't do well and what the opponent does against them.
So, -here's Michigan running a tunnel screen, -here's SDSU defending a tunnel screen, -here's QB Oh Noes, -here's SDSU defending QB Oh Noes, -here's SDSU getting the edge, -here's Michigan losing contain.
|3 years 44 weeks ago||my 2 cents||
1. What was/is Lloyd Carr's role in the Athletic Department, and how much of a role did he play?
2. What was Harbaugh's real position during all of this? As far as I'm aware, he never indicated interest in the HC position, but that didn't stop countless articles being written that he was. Did that effect any of the decisions that got made leading up to RichRod's hiring or firing?
3. Who were the most influential boosters during all this, and how much influence did they have? If someone like Stephen Ross can donate an entire building, I would imagine that kind of influence on the Athletic Department would be enought to force some changes.
|3 years 44 weeks ago||Prog-ress?||
Going from a burning tire fire to a smoldering tire fire is progress, I guess.
Good to see QB Oh Noes return, everso briefly.
|3 years 45 weeks ago||Ah yes, noted||
I think I was hoping for Maryland to lose to depleted Miami anyway, and somehow thought that's what happened. Well, no matter.
|3 years 45 weeks ago||ND's last kickoff||
One thing I haven't seem talked about much was ND's last kickoff that set up the winning drive. They kicked straight out of the endzone, and the clock never moved. Would a shorter, or squibbed, kick have run enough time off the clock that the 0:08 endzone miracle wouldn't have been called? Assuming everything else went the same way, we end up with 1st and 10 at the 16 with just a couple seconds left. Kick and send it into overtime?
Or would Hoke have gone for the win at home anyway?
Also, I think some of Denard's effectiveness comes from making the secondary make a fast decision. That was what make QB Oh Noes so effective, it looks like a run, but it's then thrown right to where the defender was. Same thing with the QB Dive Fake to Fake Bubble Slant. Get them thinking, then burn them when they guess wrong. The play-action to long, downfield stuff works to get the LBs to bite, but the corners and safeties should still be in position to cover.
|3 years 45 weeks ago||Bigger concern||
Is alignment on that trips formation. It's a good thing ND didn't have an auto-bubble checkdown like Western did. We've got one guy lined up covering three, a corner in the parking lot 10 yards off the ball, and a LB on the opposite hash? Plus a safety covering deep half 15 yards away from the play?
That alignment seems to be asking for a checkdown quick hit, and the pressure (real or not) is only going to make it worse. I see the reason for the press coverage on a blitz, but dropping coverage 10 yards off and blitzing doesn't make much sense to me.
|3 years 46 weeks ago||I know||
i don't care.
Reality shall not get in the way of a good (or beaten-to-death) joke.
|3 years 47 weeks ago||Aw crap!||
I just realized I'm going to Nebraska this weekend, and Nebraska and Michigan play at the same time. I don't know if the local affiliate will pick up the Nebraska game, but I'll bet they do.
I've waited since January to see this team, and now I've got to watch Nebraska versus Chattanooga? Looks like I'll be hitting MGoVideo when I get home.
|3 years 47 weeks ago||It just shows how much attention I pay to the ACC||
This much: .
|3 years 48 weeks ago||15 yards, failure to use morrissey tag||
I mean, if there was ever a reason to use the "i know it's over and oh it never really began but in my heart it was so real" tag, this is it.
And personally I wish nothing but the best for RichRod at where ever he winds up next.
|3 years 48 weeks ago||On behalf of my Kansas-grad wife,||
I will now roll my eyes as the statement "I've lived in Texas, so I have an inkling of what I speak." about barbecue.
Having said that, I would just about kill for a Founder's Breakfast Stout, and will have to satisfy myself with a Lefthand Brewery Milk Stout.
|3 years 48 weeks ago||Sounds like fun||
C: South Carolina
E: W f'n VA
F: Texas (heart says Michigan)
|3 years 48 weeks ago||11:46 last night?||
No way I felt that after putting a 2 month old to bed.
|3 years 49 weeks ago||Seriously||
"The people who vote gave Eddie George the Heisman, but Tim is a better running back."
|3 years 49 weeks ago||Variance||
First off, that's an amazing piece of work. Well done. I can imagine the effort that went into it, so take these suggestions as a grain of salt.
What is the effect of changing the source data? Does using Rivals/Scout/ESPN's rankings change the outcome much? How about using a different metric other than FEI? FSH uses F+ or S&P+ rankings, and I'm sure there are other advanced metrics out there to pick from. Added bonus: some of those go back past 2007 to give a better range of rankings.
Funny enough, today's FootballStudyHall article is on underperforming recruits, and 2008 Michigan leads the list. Now I imagine that has something to do with the difference between recruited stars and stars that actually took the field, but it's still an interesting counterpoint to this article.
FWIW, last year the #71 team in Defense according to the NCAA was Marshall. #71 in scording defense was Idaho.FEI says #71 is Louisiana-Layfayette, S&P+ says #71 is Tulsa. So set your expectations appropriately. We won't be a smoking crater, but we won't be good.
|3 years 49 weeks ago||To be fair||
Lloyd sighed disgustedly at just about every question.
Reporter guy: What'd you have for lunch, Lloyd?
Lloyd: *Sigh*, I had a cheese sandwich and a Faygo Red Pop.
|3 years 51 weeks ago||Newsome Rhapsody?||
But I'm just a poor boy and nobody loves me
He's just a poor boy from a poor family
Spare him his life from this monstrosity
So you think you can stone me and spit in my eye
Ooh yeah, ooh yeah
Anyway the wind blows...
|3 years 51 weeks ago||Logic fail||
1. Michigan has fans.
2. Michigan does not have a mascot.
3. Michigan does not need a mascot.
I'm a Michigan fan for the same reason as everyone else: my dad made me watch the games, and they won most of the time. Plus the helmets look cool. Now, if you'll excuse me, I have to sing The Victors to my 6 week old son to get him to sleep again.
|4 years 9 hours ago||Bigger picture||
For me at least, the issue with OSU isn't with them getting what's coming to them, it's the blatant nose-thumbing at the NCAA. The whole point of a compliance office and and athletic department is to keep on top of stuff like this and not let the equipment manager steal gear for the players to sign and sell, or get sweetheart deals from the local car dealership.
I agree with Misopogon that this indicates about as clear a case of lack of institutional control as can ever be found. If the AD/CO didn't know all this was going on under their noses, someone needs to find out why the hell not? Blaming the coach as the archvillan does not cut it. As Brian said, "If people are jumping out of helicopters to tell their story in Columbus", that means there's an institution of breaking NCAA rules. And blaming just the coach means the AD/CO are both either chronically inept or going "LALALALALA!"
It seems like letting the coach take the blame sets the administration up for more investigation into "How did you not know?". Hopefully Pryor bailing opens the door for that investigation.
|4 years 1 day ago||Panic level: subsiding||
After hearing that quote "He's done a tremendous job so far, and ran the same offense in high school that he'll be running now."
and going back to his recuiting video, I'm nothing but excited to see what the offense does this fall.
|4 years 1 day ago||In the same way the Hindenberg was exciting||
Or the Titanic.
|4 years 2 days ago||That's actually a really good point||
If we can assume 1 player out of x thousand is D-1 caliber, then it stands to reason that more populous areas would have more players recruited from them.
From just 2000 to 2010, the U.S. population increased by about 10% nationally. Here's the regional breakdown.
The state of Michigan lost net population between 2000 and 2010, about 50,000 people (including me, twice).
Add into that the increase in total number of D-1 schools and it's pretty easy to see why the players are coming from all over.
|4 years 3 days ago||(Collectively) Calm The Fuck Down||
In two consecutive articles, nowhere have I read "Michigan is oversigning and is as bad as Saban."
We all see that these were highly rated players at important positions, not some random 2 or 3 star roster fodder getting bumped for "the new hotness." And, we've established that these players are being let go before this class gets to campus. A season before, in fact.
What's being pointed out is that if this continues to happen, a trend, then the AD, Big 10 and the NCAA need to take a close look at what's going on to make sure we are above board. For a school with no history of nefarious recruiting practices, there is no reason to panic. But, if a trend starts, it should be examined thoroughly.
But feel free to read this as "Brian Hates Hoke!" if you wish.
Also, "medicaled " is not a word. Please stop using it.
|4 years 1 week ago||Mods would hate it||
This place would turn into bleacherreport faster than you could blink.
Besides, the market works fine as it is now. If you post something that you really feel is valuable, Brian doesn't seem to have an issue with reposting it on your own site.
|4 years 3 weeks ago||Sophomore year||
My parents drove down from G.R. to go to the Purdue game. Now that's dedication. Not on the level as getting frostbite waiting to get into the St. John's game, but close.
|4 years 3 weeks ago||Read/react||
From what I've gathered, the "genius" of the spread comes from the simplification of 22 guys down to 1 or 2 keys on defense. The QB basically gets into a situation where he can think "If this guy does X, I do A, if he does Y, I do B." For example, Fake QB Iso Oh No! looks like this: step toward offensive line. Look at Safety. If Safety bites on the fake, hit guy hand-wavingly open. If not, run for daylight.
Don't ever forget that Denard was a true sophmore playing in that offense, and Tate did pretty well as a true freshman.The ability to change out of basic play looks, without tipping the defense until the play is under way, gives the offense a huge advantage. Zone read->Zone read keep->Zone read look veer-> Zone read look keep bubble screen->Zone read look keep fake bubble slant and on and on.
|4 years 5 weeks ago||Sure, steal my thunder||
Here I was going to create a diary for a new recruit for the class of 2029 (aka my new son), and Brian has to go and get married.
Inquiring minds want to know: Is this the end of the MGoBeard?
|4 years 6 weeks ago||"Young" people like it?||
I don't think anything good has ever happened after that phrase was uttered. That means: someone hired someone else (also not young) to survey statistics collected by a third person (also not young) probably not directly correlated to the original topic. Case in point: student attendence has not dropped at Michigan Stadium since the introduction of RAWK music, therefore "young people like it."
See also: striped jerseys.
Now, if they had some sort of social media interaction, like vote on facebook for the song you want to hear at the game instead of Staind/Disturbed/Korn/Drowning Pool/System of a Down/Saliva/Limp Bizkit/et. al., then young people might actually like it.
|4 years 6 weeks ago||Chart?||
Tick mark shows average, length of bar shows high/low ranges.
|4 years 6 weeks ago||Alright, that's over||
Alright, that's over with.
What do ND's uni's look like? When does that get announced?
|4 years 7 weeks ago||No intention of accurate||
Just look at the OSU throwbacks last year as an example. Adidas doesn't want correct, they want something new, unique and trademarked to them. I hope they're not such collosal fuck-ups to go "Oh shit, we didn't realize that wasn't a correct jersey! Our bad!" They know it, they know they could sell anything with a block M on it and people would buy it.
Until this reaches a sufficient level of annoyance with the important alumni, the ADept. will continue to do whatever they want.There's just no room for tradition when businesses have to be profitable. Be happy they haven't introduced a two-drink minimum to get into the stadium.
I'm looking forward to the announcers stammer and try to explain what the significance of the uniforms is.
|4 years 7 weeks ago||I guess so||
It doesn't look too bad if you look at it like this:
|4 years 7 weeks ago||Nail, head||
That's what we're talking about. All this "personal property rights" and libertarian free market stuff is really, to me, a red herring. It's tatamount to saying "If the system is broken, legalize the broken part rather than fixing it." Paying Pryor $2,000 a month wouldn't prevent him from selling equipment or memorabilia. It might de-incentivize it a bit, but it wouldn't fix the problem.
The problem is that they don't see the value of what they already have: the tuition, and the value of the diploma. The degree, or potential for it, has no value because the player already knows what they're going to do. The one kid on the team that "knows" he's going pro (Pryor, Toomer or Rose from my time, insert your favorite one-and-done basketballer) look at the revenue of the Athletic Department and decide they're not getting their "fair share." But the other 98% of the team is incredibly happy to get 4 years of room, board, and tuition (and per diems), and the value of the degree.
So here's my propsal: my old company had a master's program that they would pay for, but you had to stay at the company for X years after. If you didn't, then you owed them the back value for it. So for all the Terrelle Pryors in the world, we'll give "revenue sharing", but if you leave the program early, you're on the hook for all your tuition costs, plus all expenses incurred by the AD as part of your training. You are a sunk cost. Sign here please. Didn't think so.
I'm rambling, but my point is this: if we're arguing about making sweeping changes to address less than 1% of student-athletes, the I suggest the system is fine as it is.
|4 years 8 weeks ago||That's a weird bug/feature||
To prevent someone from changing what they said, I guess?
I was apparently mis-remembering Brian's Premium Information Policy, which may not have applied in this case anyway.
Not sure if the rest was sarcastic, so I will leave it at that.
|4 years 8 weeks ago||That's a pretty big blockquote||
It might be advisable to trim that down a bit.
|4 years 9 weeks ago||Almost||
It's too bad they didn't go whole-hog and add the clause "and you can't sign anyone unless you can show where the scholarship will come from base on the 85 scholarship limit."
But it's a start.
|4 years 10 weeks ago||I stand corrected||
That's the way the slashdot system works, so I figured that feature had been brought over.
Put me into category 3: don't care, understand both systems. I just think it's funny how many people are making the same complaints that get leveled at slashdot. It's been a couple months, get over it.
I'll give Brian the benefit of the doubt and assume that there was something with the Up/Down system that either lead to the MGoCrash, or he has more plans for the system than we've seen.
|4 years 10 weeks ago||1889||
Those 1889 jerseys look like prison uniforms.
I could go for the long sleeve + block M look, though.
So why didn't the team all wear the same uniform back in those days?
|4 years 10 weeks ago||Only Problem with Bo/Woody names||
Darn it, Toy Story.
|4 years 11 weeks ago||Applause||
Here official dies the "Brian Hates Hoke" meme. R.I.P.
|4 years 12 weeks ago||YPD/PPD summary||
I'm not a statistician, so I'm not sure what my numbers truely say, but I think the YPD/PPD effort was an oversimplification. The number of drives didn't vary as much as I thought it would, so I think the whole thing boiled down to "score more points, give up fewer points == good."
the_white_tiger, I read your article, and I understand your reasoning to eliminate FG from consideration, I do think that it does need to be mentioned if you're analyzing Michigan, only because it was so abysmal. I think looking at some Oregon/Alabama as a control, just to make sure the numbers say what we think they're saying, would be a good idea.
I do think the expected vs. actual score difference was an interesting evaluator of overall performance, but the Mathlete's PAN numbers probably capture that better than I did. I'd still like to see the Mathlete PAN-up SDSU for 2009/2010 and have someone with some actual math chops take a look at what to expect next year.
|4 years 13 weeks ago||Not sure if serious|
|4 years 13 weeks ago||I don't disagree||
Scoring Offense is not adjusted for SOS, which is why I tried to make up the "score delta" value, to show when you properly blew out someone you were supposed to.
I certainly don't harbor any ideas that the offense will be better this year than last year, in term of points or yards. And I didn't mean to imply that the TCU game was a good game, by any means. I meant it compared to our OSU game, a loss against a better opponent. In that case, the numbers were similar. One the one hand they fell behind, and on the other hand they kept playing and made a game out of it.
|4 years 13 weeks ago||Done, Fixed||
Don't know what I was thinking with that one.
|4 years 13 weeks ago||Edited||
Removed the duplicate chart, the Michigan data is in Part I. This would be War And Peace if I put them both together.
|4 years 13 weeks ago||No problem||
Go right ahead, I kind of came up with what I wanted.
|4 years 13 weeks ago||Who knows||
Looking at the drive chart http://espn.go.com/ncf/drivechart?gameId=302890130, we scored on the opening drive of 75 yards. Only one drive in the first half was three-and-out. There was a missed field goal and an INT at midfield that set up an Iowa TD.
I won't argue that there were ball control problems, but one came in the red zone, and one came from Tate in the 3rd after Denard went out. Iowa benefitted from short fields, which the net YPD shows.
The Wisconsin game we got shut out in the first half, but I think the Iowa game is in the "what if" category.
|4 years 13 weeks ago||What, where?||
I assure you, any Kubrick allusions were accidental.
Oh right, the Dr. Strangelove section title. Sometimes I'm too smart for my own good.
|4 years 13 weeks ago||Thanks||
I'll try to remember to look at that for part II. I think that probably makes more sense than trying to create a scale for the offense/defense rank, when I already have the team's average PPG.
|4 years 13 weeks ago||Duh||
Right. Forgot. Thanks.
|4 years 13 weeks ago||Link?||
Link to Magnus's picture pages?
|4 years 14 weeks ago||In no particular order||
1. UM-CU '94. Freshman year.
2. Rose Bowl '98. Senior year! See also UM-OSU '97
3. The old Detroit Grand Prix (through the streets)
4. Rockies-Red Sox world series game. I can now cross off "Go to World Series" from my bucket list (thanks, Brian(NTB)).
5.Avs-Wings playoff games. Avs fans are obnoxious.
|4 years 14 weeks ago||Henri, I'd like you to meet your new friend||
This is Scape Goat:
Please feel free to beat him for any implied malpractice. Thank you.
|4 years 14 weeks ago||PAAWWWLL!||
-Hoke with laser eyes (if this doesn't exist, I comand the internet to create it)
-Denard is dilithium
-Drew Sharp punched a dolphin
-the Law Quad/Union (it gets shown every time Michigan is on TV, so why not?)
-Defensive Back of Death Memorial of 2010 (Never Forget)
|4 years 14 weeks ago||Prepare rose-colored glasses||
"I reject your reality and substitute my own."
That went just about like I expected a coaching staff given 8 weeks would go.Inconclusive at best, bordering on looking not-so-good at worst.
|4 years 15 weeks ago||Degrees||
On the Hoke-as-Tressel scenario, I think the degree and scope of the violations should definitely play into it. It was 5 players, not one, and it was for hundreds or thousands of dollars of tattoos, not reselling tickets (less than $100, unless it's for big games).
It comes off as making a false-equivalency to make OSU seem innocent/less guilty. If it was one instance, for those circumstances, then sure, he might have a case to keep his job. But it overlooks key details like repeatedly emailing Pryor's agent-guy. If he honestly forgot about it all, then it could slide. But the evidence seems to point that there was a cover-up, and that's inexcusable.
|4 years 15 weeks ago||I think it's||
Those who stay
*puts on sunglasses*
will bee champions.
|4 years 16 weeks ago||This goes here||
So, that should be Bo's disembodied head, yes?
|4 years 16 weeks ago||Yes||
The B1G agrees with this.
|4 years 17 weeks ago||Hens love rootsers||
Geese love ganders,
Everybody else loves the Tour de Flanders!
|4 years 17 weeks ago||Versus=cycling season!||
Speak for yourself, but End of Basketball == Start of Cycling season on Versus.
This weekend we get the TdF(NTTDF) - Tour de Flanders, prelude to Paris-Roubaix. Then the big tours start: California, Suisse, France. Looking forward to Tour "de" California not being a rainy mess like it has been every other February.
|4 years 18 weeks ago||Chart?||
Good bye, RichRod, and good riddance GERG.
|4 years 19 weeks ago||Does it matter?||
Since the only thing that matters is the money, does the payout change depending on how many games you play? Do they all get the same amount just for showing up, or does the teams that make it farther get a larger share?
|4 years 19 weeks ago||Same story, different stage?||
What I took away from the show (entertaining as it was), was the attitude of the kids that "Someone else is making money off of me" and they didn't like it. They (understandably) missed the whole point.
I realize (and remember) that the mind of an 18 year old isn't very clear. Once they went pro, Nike / the NBA / EA / et. al. would still be making money off of them. Did they think that was fair? Or just more fair? I guess it just shows the value they placed on free room/board, not to mention a degree from U of M - not much. Selling merchandice, filling the stadium, being on national TV - they didn't realize that money was going to them? Sure, they weren't getting a paycheck, and I don't begrudge them taking benefits from the boosters.
I don't know why the NFL/NBA can't use the same model as the NHL/MLB: sign the kids whenever you want, but they can still develop in college. Seeing how skinny they all were in their freshman year showed they weren't ready for the NBA. They may have thought so, but they would have ridden the bench for the first two years anyway.
What's more, I think they totally glossed over the Traylor/Taylor/Bullock era, and Fisher's involvement. If it had been just Webber (and Rose), we wouldn't have gotten the punishment from the NCAA. But continuing it, and having the coach turn a blind eye to it, showed the lack of institutional control. That's what got Fisher fired, and that's what got us put on probation. It really was a punishment to the program, and I think they were right in taking down the banners and vacating the wins.
|4 years 20 weeks ago||Happy Happy!||
|4 years 20 weeks ago||But first||
I'm looking forward to beating State for the third time to win the BTT.
|4 years 20 weeks ago||Suggestion to the NCAA||
Tie the punishment somewhat to the coach. Especially in this case, the coach is the one responsible. Unlike SMU, the AD is merely complicit, rather than running the show. We've seen enough times with Kiffin, Carrol, Calipari, Pitinio, etc. etc. that the coaches "get fired" and then come back to another program. Tressel himself pulled this from Youngstown, bailing right before the hammer came down.
It's simply this: If the coach is the one who's ultimately found responsible, then he bares the brunt of the sanctions, and they stay with him. If a player is caught violating the drug policy, the S&C coach doesn't get punished, the player does. The university does hold some secondary responsibility for "Failure to maintain disipline", but the coach should be the one with the bulls-eye on his back.
That's how you will ultimately stop this crap: kick out the person who did it. Drop the hammer on THEM, but most importantly, drop the hammer on HIM.
|4 years 20 weeks ago||Quality Shots||
Quality shots are the ones that go in.
Non-quality shots are the ones that don't.
|4 years 20 weeks ago||C'mon Hoke||
Waiting for Brady to blast Dantonio "Get the fuck off my field."
|4 years 20 weeks ago||I can't wait||
I can't wait for the day we get a football playoff so we can play RPI / TUC / PWR / QWIGIBO games and cheer for the team ahead of us to win.
|4 years 21 weeks ago||Utah?||
So what happens to Utah? They obviously aren't the same team without Davies, so how does this effect their seed? They were a borderline 1-seed before, and probably a lock for a 2. Will the committee seed based on results, or expectations? I'd be surprised to see them keep their 2, and probably come in around a 3 or 4.
|4 years 21 weeks ago||NHL '94?||
That takes me back.
Back to this:
Someone needs to get the Hockey Band to play Brass Bonanza.
|4 years 22 weeks ago||Disagree||
The Lakers, Celtics, Bulls and Pistons teams that you remember were just as bad about shuffling players as they are now.
Kareem wanted out of Milwalkee for New York or L.A.. Magic wanted to be traded his first year with L.A. and got Westhead fired for Pat Riley.
The Pistons traded for Laimbeer, Mahorn, and VJ, not to mention trading for Dantley and then trading him for Aguirre.
Ditto the Bulls: traded Oakley to the Knicks for Strickland and Cartwright. The Bulls, of any team, had great draft picks and played a very young team.
If anything, the 80's NBA was dominated more by individual, talented young players that a team got in the draft. Jordan was the 3rd pick, Magic, Isiah, Bird were all high draft picks. Sure, I'll grant that they played there careers for one team, but that's before the '99 lockout changed the rookie rules and made LeBron situations more common.
|4 years 23 weeks ago||Rearranging deckchairs||
Wow, very impressive. My interpretation is that the numbers confirm observation: that coaching changes just don't make a huge change in performance (aside from a dip during the changeover), and the number of experienced players has a larger role.
One part of the data that would be interesting is the distrubution of FEI for coaching changes: do coaches leave good teams, or do bad teams fire coaches? Also, how do teams that don't have a titular coordinator fit in? If the HC is also the OC, does that effect the numbers at all?
|4 years 23 weeks ago||CEO-think||
Quick, which is bigger: 110,000 * $5, 60,000 * $10, or 40,000 * $20? Gotta sell whatever "product" will maximize profit.
Just hope they don't hear about Delta's seat auction plan and try that next year.
|4 years 23 weeks ago||Independent||
I'm working on one, but as a full-time programmer, I can only work on it in my spare time. I've got the basic framework for connection Android to Drupal working with JSON (and XML-RPC, I think). I'm working on adding functionality (comment, create topic, etc.), and working around through Services and Views to get there. Hopefully I can build a simple framework out of all this and put the project on sourceforge or something similar.
Can you send me an email to talk about how you've got the services/views set up? My email is email@example.com That would be a big help.
If they get theirs done first, this will be a learning experience, but from what I've seen, there's a little more learning curve than you might expect. So now it turn into "can one professional dev working on nights and weekends build an app faster than 3 students working full-time?"
|4 years 24 weeks ago||Hypothesis?||
Good idea Tom, but what are you trying to show? That a large number of offers and correspondingly low number of commits makes a program "sub-elite?" Don't the Auburn/Florida/Wisconsin percentages defeat that argument from the start?
If that were the case, lower-ranked schools would have offer/commit numbers like Michigan. USC had 142 offers, per Rivals. Miami(FL) had zero. Nebraska lists 158 offers, Arkansas lists 212, Stanford had 176. EMU has 66. I think there are more variables to consider in addition to the ones you picked out. This one seems to be statistically insignificant.
-As you said, how many of those offers were to out-of-state kids? You know, the "I really want to go to Ann Arbor, but it's really cold" offers.
-what was the ranking of the kids they offered? If MSU offers a bunch of 3-star in-state kids, then yeah, I wouldn't be surprised that many of them would accept. But firing at the top 5-stars from Texas/where ever doesn't hurt anything, and you might just talk one of them into coming. Michigan had offers out to almost all the #1s at every position, just to see. That's about 10 offers right there that I'd be willing to bet they didn't expect to pan out. I don't see anything wrong with that. If it opens the door, so much the better.
I like the idea of trying to quantify a signing percentage, but I think there's too much other data to try to make a correlation. Michigan offered 142 in 2010, 121 in 2009, and 125 in 2008, so this year isn't evidence of any pattern by the coaching staff. I think all you can say with the data presented is that the RichRod staff had a different approach than Lloyd's staff, and had lots of holes to fill. But it doesn't seem out of line with other team's approaches.
|4 years 24 weeks ago||165 kg?||
If that kid's 363 lbs, he's got to drop some weight before practice.
|4 years 24 weeks ago||State Guys||
So do you think the State guys will have a big "31" painted on their chests, or just show up with "1,181" crossed out?
|4 years 25 weeks ago||Geek alert||
Bad UML annoys the hell out of me (technically, UML annoys the hell out of me, but if you're going to do it, at least make it make sense).
|4 years 25 weeks ago||Student-athletes||
If the NCAA is going to continue to push the notion of student-athletes, then make athletic scholarships academically-based. If you get kicked off the football team, that's too bad, but you still get the remainder of your scholarship as long as you are academically eligible. This basically makes an athletic scholarship "count" for four years toward your degree, with the added bonus of allowing you access to athletic facilities. Then the scholarship still "counts" towards the number of players on scholarship for the team.
This would be in addition to any other changes addressing the original LOI issue: too many kids, not enough spots. This would help avoid programs having "cuts" to get their rosters down to size.N ow I realize that just like "greyshirting" and "medical redshirts", this is not a perfect solution - there is still incentive for a program to get a kid to flunk out/transfer, but it would be much easier to police since it would be out of the AD's office and into the Regents/Admissions/whathaveyou.
In geek terms: Athletic Scholarship ⊃ (superset of) Academic Scholarship. If the kids are there to learn, let them learn. Put the incentive on the coaches to find kids who will complete degrees, THEN worry about making money for the University.
|4 years 26 weeks ago||Denver fans||
As a Denver-based M-grad, I can only say "Home and home!"
|4 years 26 weeks ago||Oops||
Would you look at that. Point taken.
|4 years 26 weeks ago||PTTNFL||
I'd be interested to the the Players To The NFL stat for some coaches as a metric of talet development, rather than recruiting rankings as a metric of talent potential. Actually, PTTNFL / RR might be as good an indicator of coaching ability as record.
Speaking of record, I for one am willing to be much more forgiving of a 4-8 backslide, considering they only lost one more game in-conference. Likewise with the MWC to some extent. Second-tier conferences are going to suffer for their schedule more than B1G conferences would.
But Dammit Brian, stop being so level-headed and just tell us what we want to hear! With kittens! And boobies!
|4 years 26 weeks ago||Wunderbar||
|4 years 27 weeks ago||Denard||
No, they said he shouldn't be a West Coast-style QB. It seems like a waste of talent to not have the defense respecting your best player on as many plays as possible. Adding a run/pass option to a roll-out shouldn't be a big transition, but the coaches will need to play some NCAA '11 to see the QB Option Pass plays. :)
As far as the Borge/RichRod comparison pool, I'll take October 16th. The day after the MSU game. Despite 2 red-zone INTs and a missed fieldgoal in 2010, the final score of 34-17 will be compared to whatever the score is in 2011.
|4 years 27 weeks ago||Before anyone asks||
no, I won't do the Gator Bowl UFR. Even I'm not that big a glutton for punishment. It really would be pointless at this, um, point.
Also, my real estate agent:
I'll ask if he can coach defense.
|4 years 27 weeks ago||I agree||
I'll now start the "Only Jim Harbaugh can save the basketball team" meme, if no one objects.
|4 years 27 weeks ago||Ahh, Michigan skiing||
Looks like Winter Park is going to get another 4-6 tomorrow. Maybe I should take the day off and head up.
Why do I live in Colorado? Because it's just like Michigan, except the weather's warmer and the skiing's better.
|4 years 27 weeks ago||Sigh||
So I take it you were not one of the "We should have hired Hoke after the OSU game" crowd?
|4 years 27 weeks ago||Harbaugh '07||
Good diary, but I disagree with the conclusion. Harbaugh was not a viable candidate in '07. He was in his third year as a college head coach. Imagine the uproar if Michigan brought in a guy who's major experience was three years in San Diego. Oh wait... Also, '07 was also when he made the infamous
comment. No way the AD would bring that guy in at the time. So you can revise the history all you want, but 1. Mallett was gone no matter who we brought in, and 2. Pryor wasn't coming no matter what. I don't care if Saban is coaching, Threet/Sheridan and McGuffie/Minor don't win more than about 4 games. Harbaugh keeps Martin's ankles from getting chopped against State? Harbaugh keeps Woolfolk's ankle from exploding in practice? Harbaugh keeps Tate's shoulder intact? Harbaugh prevents Broekhuizen and Gibbons from imploding?
I don't begrudge Bill Martin for his hire. His job is to bring in the coach he thinks will do the best job. If he hired Harbaugh in '07, we'd be hearing the same things about him that we're hearing about Hoke. I hope for the best for Hoke, but to retro-actively project 8+ win season based on a hypothetical coaching change is flawed logic.
|4 years 28 weeks ago||Comments||
I don't understand this argument. What did you really expect to happen in the bowl game? Looking at MissSt's rankings, they were very similar to OSU and Wisconsin. A similar result occurred. We didn't have a kicking game, and still had a secondary consisting of true freshmen and walk-ons. Did you realistically expect a major turnaround in 6 weeks (actually 2 weeks of practice)? I think this argument basically boils down to "it would have taken a miracle to save his job at this point."
I hope that isn't true. I'd like to believe that Brandon was on the phone after the OSU game, judging reactions from every coach he could get in touch with. That should have show him that Harbaugh was a non-starter (although I don't doubt the Harbaugh faction will start making noise again on January 1, 2014). Once it was established that there wasn't anyone available with a better resume than what we had, the decision should have been made to keep RichRod.
I don't think anyone is doubting Hoke's character or Michigan background. What's being questioned is his ability to bring in recruits and the ability to make the best use of the talent that he has. One of the major complaints about RichRod was that he got a majority of 3 star recruits, instead of the 4 and 5 stars we were accustomed to. What makes you think that Brady Hoke will be able to do that any more effectively than RichRod?
Comments about a coach being "average" are what make MgoBlog different than most of the "team-can-do-no-wrong" blogs out there. I agree with Brian that hiring a guy based on his pedigree over record to appease unhappy boosters is not the best way to build a team to win national championships. If Hoke didn't have the Michigan pedigree, would he have been in consideration for the position over, say, Todd Graham or Mike Haywood? Hoke's record so far has been "average." Look at the top 10: how may coaches can you name? That's what separates a "great" coach from an "average" one.
It's not Brian's job to spin everything to be good, it's his job to tell us the facts. He doesn't pick Michigan to win every game, nor do I want him to.Criticizing the decisions of the program based on the facts at hand is far, far different than manufacturing a story about secondary violations like the Freep did. Saying "there are better candidates out there, if you want to win" is not detrimental to the the program any more than "if Vincent Smith was bigger, he wouldn't get knocked down so much."
Since the actual hiring, Brian has been pretty handed. I agree that Hoke could be great, and needs time to prove himself, but current evidence indicates that he was brought in for pedigree, not record.
|4 years 28 weeks ago||Recruting||
The one thing that sticks out in my mind about the Hoke hiring is the effect on recruting. I do worry that saying "Hi, I'm Brady Hoke, from the University of Michigan" won't carry the cache that saying "Hi, I'm Les Miles, from the University of Michigan" would have. I'd expect that, for now, we'll get the kids who always wanted to go to Michigan, but will miss out on the cream-of-the-crop until we're a national contender. That will come with success, but that is the largest weakness of the hire: that it will take a few years for Hoke to get the name recognition of the bigger coaches.
Will the alumni/media be willing to give him more time than RichRod, just for being a Michigan man, or will he get run out in three years if he doesn't win a Big 10 title? And, is this finally enough to kill the Harbaugh talk forever, or will we have to go through this again in 2014?
|4 years 29 weeks ago||4 days to go, 4 days to go||
I do believe in Brandon, I do believe in Brandon, I do I do I do believe in Brandon.
|4 years 29 weeks ago||Right||
And there's also flights scheduled to Kansas City, San Antonio, Cleveland and El Paso.
I'll even put on my tinfoil hat and point out that tail number N911UM is flying to Oakland(county, not CA). OMG, 9-11, and U of M!
|4 years 29 weeks ago||Harbaugh or bust||
I just worry that, whatever happens, that the next coach will hear the "We Want Harbaugh" drums as loudly and as often as RichRod did. As someone pointed out, that kind of behavior turns us into Notre Dame. Holtz is the only coach since Parseghian to coach more than 5 years. So while I understand the need to get "the right guy" in place, the program needs time to stabilize in order for recruits to feel that the program will be there for them. That's what it takes to establish a dynasty.
I also think that competing against the SEC is a no-win situation. The coach can't compete against them on equal footing, or the media/alumni would berate the handling of the students, but you have to do as much as the NCAA will allow or the media/alumni will berate you for not winning national championships. How many of you would happily go 8-4 forever with The Next Lloyd Carr, and how many would yell and scream that we're not winning the big one?
So even though I still think RichRod is one of the best young coaches out there, the mob has spoken (and likely the wealthy alumni that DB has to listen to), and he's out. C'est la vie.
|4 years 30 weeks ago||Too annoyed to have an opinion||
This entire process has been embarrassing to this alum. It's been like watching preschoolers fight over Legos. Who knew Ann Arbor Torch & Pitchfork would have such an off-season run, simply because the AD said "We'll let you know after the bowl game" and is sticking to that statement? What's dividing the fanbase is the second-guessing by the fans, not any activity by the athletic department. And I'm increasingly afraid that it will become irreparable: one side will hate the other for keeping the coach, and the other side will hate them for getting him fired.
And if anybody out there is cheering for the team to lose on Saturday, just so the coach gets fired, shame on you. That's even more embarrassing than the last month has been. If Rich gets let go, I'll wish him well and cheer for his teams, and always think he got railroaded. If someone else comes in, I'll cheer for his teams, wish his players the best, and watch like an alum. To get a coach fired because you don't like him, his style of play, anything other than the effort of the 80+ boys in maize and blue is abominable.
Go Blue. Class of '98.
|4 years 30 weeks ago||No, go on||
2005: 1 5*, 10 4*, 11 3*, 1 2*
2006: 2 5*, 9 4*, 7 3*, 1 2*
2007: 2 5*, 5 4*, 12 3*, 1 2*
2008: 17 4*, 6 3*, 1 2*
2009: 1 5*, 13 4*, 6 3*, 2 2*,
2010: 6 4*, 20 3*, 1 2*
2011:4 4*, 9 3*, 1 2* (so far)
Lloyd to RichRod doesn't look much different to me.
Just to throw more fuel on the fire, Stanford:
2005: 5 4*, 5 3*, 7 2*
2006: 10 3*, 7 2*
2007: 1 4*, 10 3*, 8 2*
2008: 2 4*, 8 3*, 7 2*
2009: 8 4*, 12 3*, 2 2*
2010: 5 4*, 15 3*, 2 2*
2011: 8 4*, 12 3*, 2 2*
|4 years 30 weeks ago||I'll ask a third party||
My friends and I lived in Mo-Jo sophomore year, so 1995. Maybe the pushbutton phones came with the room ethernet drops? Or I could be losing my mind. It happens.
C'mon, what's not to like about a 6 foot tall window that opens 6 inches? Or coming back from break and having all the posters fall off the wall because the hot water registers didn't shut off. Say what you want about Mo-Jo, but at least it wasn't a former hospital like Couzens. Good times.
|4 years 30 weeks ago||Yay me!||
I'll be willing to calculate +/- stats, aka Chart? Chart if people really* want it. I still stand by my original opinion that it isn't very valuable for someone other than Brian to calculate numbers.
I enrolled in 1994. CRISP was bad, waiting in Angell hall was worse. There were no rotary phones in 1994, what do you think it was, the dark ages? It seems that CRISP was the system since the 70's, but 1994 brought PhoneCRISP with the crazy wait times. Before that you had to go to Angell hall and have someone punch in your schedule for you. The James Earl Jones vote was 1997, I think I know some of the guys who tried to get that on the MSA ballot.
In conclusion, get off my lawn.
**I like asterisks.
|4 years 30 weeks ago||How about this?||
For all the crap he's had to put up with for the last three years, I'd be happy if he did this:
and it would serve everyone right for second-guessing everyone from the Board of Regents on down.
|4 years 31 weeks ago||Not sure if reading right||
I don't see any Vandy-level competition in that list.
|4 years 31 weeks ago||That makes more sense||
Thanks for the correction. I struggled with that last year as well. I didn't know what to call it, since there's usually 3 down linemen, but one LB lined up in a crouch on the end of the line and one out on the slot receiver. I didn't know what to call the guy in the crouch or the "coverage LB." So I guess my description was correct, but the terminology was wrong. Sorry about that. I guess the point remains that they play base defense for a large portion of the game.
|4 years 31 weeks ago||Don't ask||
Eight to ten hours for both, give or take (probably a bit more with formatting and video clips, etc.)
|4 years 31 weeks ago||Ummm||
The D-form is listed after the OSU formation notes. I guess I did it backwards by listing the offense first. I didn't bother to chart mostly because I feel like I shortchanged both O and D-lines. I know I didn't watch a lot of the blocking, apart from "who screwed up", so I think that would negatively reflect on the line. You're welcome to total them up if you wish.
|4 years 32 weeks ago||Silly MDen||
Don't they know that making a representation of a player is an NCAA violation?
What does Fred Jackson have to say about him/it?
Also, Henne has kids? Damn, I'm old.
|4 years 32 weeks ago||Tell him to stop||
Our current DBs and RBs are small enough.
|4 years 32 weeks ago||I'm late||
But here's my contributions anyway. Surprised no one came up with them:
|4 years 32 weeks ago||Because||
Because there's leaders, then there's the best.
|4 years 33 weeks ago||Physics jokes||
He knows he's travelling fast, he's just not sure where he is.
|4 years 33 weeks ago||Good idea||
I'm doing that next time I fly, just to mess with TSA. "No Sir, that isn't more than 3 ounces of liquid."
|4 years 33 weeks ago||Simple||
Because, after all the exhaustive research, statistical analysis, and evaluating geographic factors, I forgot about it.
|4 years 34 weeks ago||Simpsons did it first||
Congressman: Wait a minute, I want to tack on a rider to that bill: $30 million of taxpayer money to support the perverted arts.
Speaker: All in favor of the amended Springfield-slash-pervert bill? [everyone boos]
Speaker: Bill defeated. [bangs gavel]
Kent: I've said it before and I'll say it again: democracy simply doesn't work.
|4 years 34 weeks ago||Bacon?||
I smell a new version of the Kevin Bacon game.
|4 years 34 weeks ago||Matt Millen||
I'd like to put a litte F-You to Matt Millen for shamelessly going on and on about RichRod during the game. If I get to UFR the game, I'll be sure to plus/minus the "Fire RichRod" comments out of his stupid mouth.
The commentary seemed like it was either inane, inaccurate comments about the team, or inane, inaccurate comments about the coaches.
|4 years 34 weeks ago||I'd be happy to do it again||
Brian, let me know if you want it. I'm working full-time again, so I don't know how fast I could do it, but it would get done. I'm a gritty, smart UFR-er like that.
|4 years 36 weeks ago||Bagels||
I found out that most bagel places have a set amount pre-made for donation, you just have to get on the list and pick them up. We had free bagels for my wife's cancer group run a couple weeks ago. Make some calls to Brueggers/Einsteins/etc. and see if you can get on their schedule. Great idea, wish I could help from Denver.
|4 years 37 weeks ago||Giggles like a schoolgirl||
Great job again, Brian.
Anybody got any info on the kickoff situation? I thought I saw Hagerup kick off a couple times. Has he done any better than Broekhuizen?
|4 years 37 weeks ago||GERG||
That's been my major source of frustration with the defense: we've been getting burned by plays that we run every day. I mean, how many times can we miss a zone-read scrape? The OLB bites on the fake and is at the middle of the line when the handoff is made. Saturday was a great example of what would happen if our offense would go against our defense: offense wins.
I know they're young kids, but they've seen a lot of these plays for two months now and still are getting out of position. It's really frustrating.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Probably not||
Next week wraps up The Battle for Michigan, as Western plays Central. Plus there's a "Where are they from" bowl featuring Rice and Tulane (both 1-3 in conference). Utah State plays San Jose State for a possible WAC win for one of them, which is always entertaining.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Doom? Doom||
C'mon Brian, where's the Morrissey lyrics? Amongst the incoherent jabbering from the announcers on Saturday (seriously, Terrell Wheatley?), when they said Martin was out for the game, I should have turned the tv off. But no, like a loyal fan, I watched Penn State convert a 3rd and 15 and run out the clock.
Without one solid player on defense, I don't care if it's a 3-3-5, 4-3, or 7-7-4, the offense will exploit the defensive line for 3-4 yards per play. I understand the use of the nickel to help our headless chicken secondary, but ultimately the offense will take what they are given.
I've seen enough to be convinced that RichRod isn't a defensive coach. I get that, I'm ok with it. Bad recruiting decisions, bad personel decisions, all that stems from this fact. He's an offensive coach. Fine. He's even said as much this season.
I've been against coaching changes in favor of stability, but if we can get someone who knows the scheme, get him. Hire Jeff Casteel.
|4 years 39 weeks ago||McGloin||
Every time I read his name, I read it as McLovin. You're welcome
|4 years 39 weeks ago||This is fun||
|4 years 39 weeks ago||I noticed||
You want to just slap a "co-authored by" on it? I don't mind (hey, I'm giving it free to Brian anyway), but it's not really fair for me to take the credit since you did about half the work.
|4 years 39 weeks ago||From the post-game presser||
"That sequence in Pottery Barn, we'll look at that on film. Mistakes were made, we got all out of position. But it's one stupid store, what are you gonna do, hang me from the Sbarro's wall?"
|4 years 40 weeks ago||EMU||
I think I'm probably half of ESPN's hits to the Eastern Michigan schedule. EMU has actually been competitive in conference this year. They just beat Ball State on the road. After this week, it's all in-conference games.
|4 years 40 weeks ago||Thanks||
I thought it was you. I was going to ask why remove double spaces after a period, but after reading the wiki page on sentence spacing, I guess I'll agree. If the Chicago Manual of Style says do it, I'll do it. I'll try to knock off the gratuitous bolding as well.
|4 years 40 weeks ago||Short answer: no||
The UGOTW is projective, not reflective. Iowa was ranked, Michigan has a functioning offense, so there was some talent on display.
Besides, Florida v Mississippi State wins for "Monkey Humping a Football" ineffectiveness and Auburn v Arkansas wins for "You Sure There's 11 Guys Playing Defense?"
|4 years 41 weeks ago||Veer||
I think something like TCU's inverted veer would work in this situation. Instead of the typical zone-read, where the RB cuts into the line, the read goes outside 2-on-1 against the DE. Even better, a designed QB-keep, where the RB blocks the DE out of the way put Denard against, well, the safety. Chris Brown diagrammed the base play like so:
My version is instead of the QB running into the gap, the RB turns and seals the DE, and Denard either hits that gap or the gap between receivers. You could even have the pulling guard seal the DE, and leave the RB free to pick up anyone who was missed.
|4 years 41 weeks ago||Dee Brown||
Maybe he really meant Dee Brown
|4 years 42 weeks ago||#comments||
The link to the #comments section from mainpage stories (if you click on the "comments" link at the bottom of a story) does not re-align the page to the comments section, just opens the comments below the story. So the page reloads, and opens the comments, but does not set the comments to the top of the page like it used to.
I don't see a "comments" tag in the source code. The #new link works, since there is an "a id=new" in the code.
Firefox 3.6.x FWIW.
|4 years 42 weeks ago||So you're saying||
that the 3-3-5 works, when we rush four?
|4 years 42 weeks ago||I panicked at the name||
I live in Colorado and I'm never going to New Mexico without a flamethrower. I take it the name means "Wasp the Size of a Hawk that eats Tarantulas."
Tarantula Hawk Wasp versus Camel Spider: fight!
|4 years 44 weeks ago||Where's the "We're #12"?||
That shouldn't infringe any more copyright than "Worst. State. Ever".
I need to buy a bunch as Christmas presents for my in-laws in Nebraska. :)
|4 years 44 weeks ago||I agree||
I do have a little remorse for doing this column. I try to pick on different teams so I don't single anyone out too often. I know all the teams are out there trying to win, but sometimes it just doesn't work out. I've been trying to pick other criteria for "ugliness," but picking visually ugly teams would end up with VT, Boise State, Oregon, and anyone playing in a throw-back uniform.
|4 years 44 weeks ago||1F06||
One of my favorite Homer quotes as well.
|4 years 45 weeks ago||Texas Southern||
If you lose to Prarie View A&M, you're probably not a very good team. 11 penalties and 4 turnovers are evidence of that. UConn still had to punt 5 times, since they were 4-11 on third down.
It's always party sunny with a 50% chance of riot in East Lansing.
|4 years 45 weeks ago||Thought about it||
I looked at the game and couldn't figure out what to make of it. Plus I already picked on Minnesota in week one, so I cut them some slack. They seem to have some sort of offense, so I don't think it will be too lopsided.
|4 years 45 weeks ago||You underestimate Wyoming||
30 carries for 58 yards against Texas, plus 6 penalties for 53 yards (net 5 yards!). How about 36 carries for 25 yards? In a win? Against Southern Utah?
|4 years 46 weeks ago||Obvious||
|4 years 47 weeks ago||So that makes||
2008: No offense, leftover defense
2009: Hint of offense, no defense
2010: Good offense, hint of defense
2011: Good offense, good defense?
I can't wait
|4 years 47 weeks ago||Smartfootball||
Scroll way down to "Option Ball." The second diagram is what I'd expect. Chris also did a piece on the "Quadruple Option," where you throw a short screen if the pitch is covered.
|4 years 47 weeks ago||He's just||
Like Litte Orphan Annie and has no eyes, just dark windows to the soul.
|4 years 47 weeks ago||Welcome, Nebraska||
Wow, Nebraska has a TOUGH schedule.
Wisconsin & OSU back-to-back, Northwestern, then Penn State and Michigan away back-to-back. Wow.
|4 years 47 weeks ago||The Cash Division and Cha-Ching Division?||
I still think that splitting Michigan/OSU is an attempt by the rest of the Big 10 to get someone other than M/OSU into the 1/2 spot for bowl games. And I think it's really a terrible idea as far as BCS games go. We'll wind up with a similar situation as Florida/Alabama last year, but instead of facing them once in the Conference championship, we'll potentially have to play twice, increasing the odds of a 1-1 split and putting one or both teams into potential tie-breakers and sending MSU/Iowa/Wisconsin to the 2nd place bowl.
Playing a huge national powerhouse twice in one season is a great way to bust a good season. I wonder if there can be a tie-breaker provision in the Big Ten Championship game that eliminates the teams if they have already played once (making the Championship a 2 v 3 game)? I won't hold my breath.
|4 years 47 weeks ago||"ugly"||
Definition of UGLY
a : offensive to the sight : hideous b : offensive or unpleasant to any sense
: morally offensive or objectionable <corruption—the ugliest stain of all>
a : likely to cause inconvenience or discomfort <the ugly truth> b : surly, quarrelsome <an ugly disposition> <the crowd got ugly>
If we're going for visually ugly, anything that happens on
is ugly. I've thought about adding in potential blow-outs, but I think most people can decide that Texas versus Cupcake is going to be ugly for the Cupcake. Mmm, cupcake...
Speaking of Syracuse/Akron, I forgot that Paulus graduated, so their QB has to be really up in the air.
Maybe I should rename it to "Awful Game of the Week" if that would help.
|4 years 47 weeks ago||Disagree||
I think the other teams see the value to them in getting to the BTC (Big Ten Championship) and are trying to maximizes their chances of getting to it.
I think that the other teams see that having Michigan and OSU in one division makes for a very top-heavy division, and greatly reduces their chances of getting a shot at the BTC. How many times has it happened that neither Michigan or OSU hasn't been first or second in the Big Ten? That makes the winner of the "East" division (M,OSU,MSU,Illinois,IU,NW) pretty much guaranteed to be Michigan or OSU.
Splitting M/OSU and making them play anyway is a huge benefit to the "East" conference by virtue of the chance that one team may take out the other, allowing one of the other "East" teams a shot at the BTC game, and therefore, an easier chance for the "West" team to win (NU,PSU,Iowa,Wisconsin,Purdue,Minnesota).
It's "Survivor" mentallity: take out the strongest competitor, in order to give yourself a chance. And when it's 10 versus 2, the 10 will win.
|4 years 48 weeks ago||Class of '98||
I was one of the students who took the field after Michigan beat OSU to end the undefeated season in '97. The culmination of a perfect season, against our biggest rival was too much to stand and is something I will remember for the rest of my life.
Anyone who refers to the effort of the blood, sweat and tears of a group of people as "product" or "brand" has no soul.
|4 years 48 weeks ago||David,||
"How do you feel about hitting people like Mike Rosenberg?"
How I wanted the question to end that way.
|4 years 49 weeks ago||well||
if the sports would police themselves, the feds wouldn't need to step in. They may be sports, but they are also very large businesses.
Kick out the cheaters you know about, actually test to catch the ones you don't, no one will have a problem. But Major League sports make too much money from the "product" that they won't do anything that hurts the "brand," just like any other business would.
|4 years 49 weeks ago||I'm playing too||
|4 years 49 weeks ago||Well||
At least he gets to tackle on the football field, that's gotta help.
|4 years 49 weeks ago||I'd buy one||
I'd buy a Henri shirt, but I don't want to fund Brian's alcoholism. It's like giving money to bums at this point, you know he's just going to spend it on booze.
|4 years 49 weeks ago||It's 19 days to kickoff||
And the team doesn't even have helmets yet? "What Does the Lack of Helmets Say About RichRod's Organizational Skills?" "NCAA Probe into Helmet-gate!"