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|22 hours 57 min ago||You probably already listen||
You probably already listen to the Solid Verbal. If not, those guys pick a lot of games ATS every Wednesday, though it's not very inside gambling. It's at least an entertaining college football podcast regardless. I also listen to a more gambling-focused podcast, but it's mostly humorous and not at all analytical (Barstool Pick'em), stay away if you don't like hot takes and hunches, because it's just degenerate guys talking about those things. I'm looking into starting one of my own, just looking for the right numbers guy buddy to cohost.
|1 day 22 hours ago||My full week 4 preview is||
My full week 4 preview is up:http://alwaysovertheline.blogspot.com/2014/09/college-football-week-4-preview.html
My Big Ten picks in bold:
Indiana @ Missouri -13
Utah @ Michigan -5
Iowa @ Pitt -6.5
SJSU @ Minnesota -8.5
UMass +26.5 @ Penn State
Miami @ Nebraska -7
Maryland @ Syracuse +1
EMU @ Michigan State -45.5
Texas State +14 @ Illinois
Rutgers +6 @ Navy
Bowling Green +27 @ Wisconsin
|1 week 1 day ago||You say that because of the||
You say that because of the two early upsets in the NCAA Tournament. They're 150-31 the last five years, roughly 30-6 each year. Tourneys seeds of 1, 1, 2, 2, 3. Won the national title in 2010. It's just been so fun to see Duke knocked out early twice in that span, but two games out of 181 shouldn't diminish that recent success.
|1 week 4 days ago||People like me will read what||
People like me will read what you have to say analysis-wise, but I think you should state your pick at the end of each game on its own line a little more obviously. Also, it's a little clearer for newb-ish folks when you list games as [road team] @ [home team]. Interesting thoughts though, I'd keep reading for sure.
My picks in bold:
Houston +18.5 @ BYU
Indiana -6 @ Bowling Green
Miami (OH) +29.5 @ Michigan
Iowa State +12.5 @ Iowa
Minnesota +10 @ TCU
Purdue +28 @ Notre Dame
Rutgers +3.5 @ Penn State
Kent State +32 @ Ohio State
Washington -13.5 @ Illinois
Georgia -6.5 @ South Carolina
|1 week 5 days ago||I do some of this as a hobby.||
I do some of this as a hobby. Haven't had the time to get too detailed about my research and reasoning when writing about it, but I have been chronicling it on the interwebs. If anyone is interested, here is my early stages edition: http://alwaysovertheline.blogspot.com/2014/09/college-football-week-2-review.html. I did alright last week, but missed big on the B1G primetime games. I'm starting out light on real analysis, though, so please keep that in mind. Analysis will get more technical as the season goes on.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||It's pretty simple. If||
It's pretty simple. If Wisconsin beats LSU, Michigan beats Notre Dame, Ohio State beats Virginia Tech, Michigan State beats Oregon, Nebraska beats Miami, Penn State beats UCF, etc. it validates the conference. If the B1G loses all the spotlight nonconference matchups, then the whole conference suffers. Perception effects TV ratings, recruiting, bowl assignments, and SEC douchebaggery.
Another bonus is that you can root against the rivals in all their B1G games with added fervor. If Sparty beats Oregon, it'll be a blast rooting against them. They can stumble to 8-4, but still be a team that beat Oregon, elevating the B1G teams that beat them.
In the end, all of us just want 15-0. That would be cool-ish. But to be a little more realistic, 10-2 would still be really fun.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||41-24 Michigan||
|2 weeks 2 days ago||I know that beating ND and||
I know that beating ND and rolling through an otherwise easy September and early October schedule doesn't always portend good things, but this is a massive game. Michigan's troubles in the Hoke era have been on the road. We are 20-2 under Hoke at home, but just 6-12 (5-9 in true road games) away from the Big House with road wins at Northwestern (2), Illinois, Purdue, and Connecticut.
This is unacceptable for a conference contending level program, especially the 0-4 mark against our main rivals. It would also be the first road win over a Top 25 program since our 2006! win in South Bend. That's 10 consecutive road losses to top flight competition. It won't ruin our season to lose, but it makes another 8 win season seem to be most likely.
I love the depth, talent level, and schematic improvements I believe this team has finally made. But without winning, it's just another year of lip service. Winning this game sets the table for a potential 10 win season and the serious step forward this program needs. And on a more micro-level, a win in this game should instill a new confidence in Devin Gardner and the rest of the team that they can compete and win wherever, whenever, and against whoever. This game MATTERS.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||Funchess stiffarm.||
|2 weeks 3 days ago||I went to the game with my||
I went to the game with my dad. We sat in front of a couple rather large Michigan fans from Saginaw that went NUTS every single time LaMarr Woodley made a play. Celebrating his scoop and score was awesome. So was the Burgess TD. And the Manningham TD. And the other one. And the third one. The ND fans were as silent as I can remember 80,000 filing out of anywhere I've ever been. Felt like a morgue except for the occasional high five exchanged with fellow M fans who were all smiles. What a day. My dad drew the parallel with the '97 Penn State game that he also attended. But this was Notre Dame.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||A win on Saturday probably||
A win on Saturday probably moves us into the poll to about #20. Whatever, just:
|2 weeks 5 days ago||Read any of the countless||
Read any of the countless pieces this offseason about students being a national trend and you'll know the bubble isn't just about Michigan, yet we have some of the most expensive student tickets in the nation. Also this is the concern with noon games against inferior opponents. West Coast teams (Oregon) do not play this early too often, it's mostly Big 10, Big 12, and ACC games.
|2 weeks 5 days ago||I couldn't agree more. And||
I couldn't agree more. And the "get off my lawn crowd" that scoffs at student tailgating needs to get over themselves. Having fun with your friends is a significant part of why the student gameday experience is so memorable. Alcohol also gives a needed boost to our timid noise/rowdiness levels compared to the Death Valley's and Autzen Zoo's of the world.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||Call me crazy, but I'm not||
Call me crazy, but I'm not terribly worried about getting tired out. We have depth! I just want to see us out up some points. I think the defense will be just fine.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||I don't understand irrational||
I don't understand irrational hate/disdain for a guy like Herbstreit. He's an objectively solid analyst, especially compared to many of the blowhards out there, and he is USUALLY very fair about Michigan for a Buckeye.
|3 weeks 17 hours ago||Lets. Fucking. GO!||
Lets. Fucking. GO!
|3 weeks 22 hours ago||I hate to be THAT guy, but we||
I hate to be THAT guy, but we only have two double-digit win seasons in the last decade. Obviously we're the winningest program and all, but lets not get too snarky about a kid considering "Power Five" school in his home state.
|3 weeks 22 hours ago||It may not be Michigan, but||
It may not be Michigan, but no 15 second video gets me hyped for college football like this. I always hated "The U" but Ed Reed's passion is what it's all about.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||The Horror sucked. Plain and||
The Horror sucked. Plain and simple. Tomorrow's game will in no way benefit Michigan, but I do hope we can all just stop complaining whether it's about ESPN's coverage or Dave Brandon scheduling it. It is what it is, and I think we can bury the hatchet on this for good with an easy win and a strong season.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Subjective take I guess, but I think it's silly and untrue||
Subjective take I guess, but I think it's silly and untrue
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Jesse Palmer just said Mike||
Jesse Palmer just said Mike Davis is faster than Marcus Lattimore was #halol
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Jabrill Peppers over everybody||
Jabrill Peppers over everybody
|3 weeks 5 days ago||With the current tailgate||
With the current tailgate culture, 3:30 is far better. Not about sleep, about fun and energy. Plus, The Big House rocks quite a bit more at 3:30, and I think we have a pretty limited homefield advantage at noon.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||I wish I could be at Crisler||
I wish I could be at Crisler for the first time Hatch checks into a game during his career. That'll be a special moment
|4 weeks 5 days ago||The memories of that still||
The memories of that still make me smile in an old guy kind of way. I'm 22. Thanks for the reminder.
|5 weeks 5 days ago||You're not wrong, but why not||
You're not wrong, but why not celebrate the good and fun parts of your team? Might as well at least hope for excellence on the other side of the ball instead of bitching about what can't be changed.
|6 weeks 2 days ago||Cavs are the East favorite||
Cavs are the East favorite now, but I still see big flaws in this team in year 1. They will play no defense at all (no rim protector) and lack any kind of depth on the wing.
|7 weeks 3 days ago||I understand the older||
I understand the older generation is personally offended when students don't arrive 30 minutes prior to kickoff and when there are spotty or empty patches in the student section. The "disinterest" is in the pregame experience and the frustrating/mediocre/disappointing team. Once everyone's there and the game starts, it still drives all of the stadium's energy. It will be interesting to see what kind of dropoff in noise and enthusiasm there is, especially if the team is once again a letdown.
|7 weeks 6 days ago||Sarcasm whoa||
|8 weeks 11 hours ago||Cleveland||