this week in unintentionally grim-sounding recruiting headlines
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|5 weeks 4 days ago||Really? Oakland as safer than||
Really? Oakland as safer than NYC? You'd rather walk anywhere in Oakland at any time of day than NYC or Detroit? Because statistically, Oakland has 3 times the violent crime rate of New York and the murder rate is even more disproportionate. So...I dunno. The facts don't fit that gut instinct. And as bad as Detroit is, there's not much seperation between it and Oakland. East Oakland may not be the worst area in America, but it is at least part of the conversation of least safe places to be.
|5 weeks 6 days ago||I hear ya. I lived out there||
I hear ya. I lived out there in Walnut Creek and Pleasant Hill. It's generic bland white suburbia. But as with everything, tradeoffs. It's only 32 minutes to Embarcadero on the BART from Walnut Creek so maybe 15 minutes further than Oakland 19th street. Roughly. And you can also get a nicer larger apartment for cheaper than Oakland and way cheaper than SF. Maybe I had friends who lived in Lake Merritt or bought houses in various parts of Oakland but none of them wanted to leave their houses, especially after dark. I'd live in Berkeley before I'd live in Oaktown. In your price range. Either live somewhere cheaper, save up and compromise, or go for the real deal and get an apartment and a roommate in SF. Oakland is a poor compromise on value vs. cost. You'll probably just wind up BARTing it into SF most of the time anyway.
|23 weeks 8 hours ago||Yep, this is totally on||
Yep, this is totally on point. When I live in the Bay Area I lived in a relatively cheap area (Pleasant Hill) where you could get a house similar to the one she describes for maybe $700M nowadays. Rough guess. If you had an appraisal you would find the three bedroom house in Palo Alto would be valued at perhaps $200M perhaps but that the land would be worth $1.8MM in Palo Alto and $500M in Pleasant Hill. There is a lot of value in location and people pay top dollar to be in Palo Alto for whatever reason. That has value. A middle class family could not afford the option to choose between a moderate house in an insanely expensive area and a mansion in a much cheaper area. And rest assured, she could certainly have bought a $2 million home that actually is a mansion in parts of the South Bay or East Bay. And then she would not make this argument. It's only because the thing they own is the more intangible aspect of land or location value that she is not able to see it as the form of wealth it is. And it is a form of wealth, because you can sell it for an assload of money.
|24 weeks 1 day ago||Roy Williams? The guy with 2||
Roy Williams? The guy with 2 national championships, 7 final fours, 15 regular season Big 8/12 or ACC championships, 6 conference tourney championships, a 79% winning percentage and a 78% winning percentage at UNC? I mean yeah, his squads have been kinda disappointing for the last 2 years, by UNC standards, finishing 3rd in the ACC and "only" making the round of 32. He's a hall of fame coach and while he's had the resources of a top shelf school, he has also been killing it for 25 years. His resume is so far above and beyond guys like Alford or Crean etc that grouping them together is ridiculous.
|25 weeks 4 days ago||I would assume that his point||
I would assume that his point is that they did not have enough time to run 3 running plays from 2nd down on given the clock but by passing to the end zone and killing the clock on one of those plays they would be able to get in all 4 downs. If you run on 2nd down, you then call TO and then it's possible that after a failed 3rd down run you dont have time to reset and get off a 4th down play. That much is probably true but debateable as the time would be close. Of course, even if you accept that premise, you can call a run on second down, call TO and then pass on 3rd down so that you can have a 4th down play. Or even if you pass on the 2nd down, run a different play than that one. His point might be valid for the 3rd down play but you have to run Marshawn again on 2nd down. He gets a few yards on almost every play, in this game and in general.
|25 weeks 4 days ago||Revis has a claim, and has||
Revis has a claim, and has done it for longer. Peterson isn't even close. Haden is very good but not as good as Sherman or Revis either.
|25 weeks 4 days ago||Seriously? Nobody knew he||
Seriously? Nobody knew he was? You may not have known but folks who follow the NFL knew. Sherman was first team All NFL in 2012 and had a QB rating against of 44.9. In 2013 he had already been named to the Pro Bowl, as well as leading the league in interceptions at the time of the interview you mentioned. I think his QBR against was like 48.7 that year. Later named first team All Pro obviously. Obviously a pro bowler this year and will be 1st team All pro again. He's been the best corner in the game for the last 3 years and had been so for the 2 years prior to that interview.
Obviously Sherman is exceedingly brash and cocky but he does have the game to back it up. He's also one of the most articulate and entertaining athletes in the world and he's been on point with his criticisms of the NFL. And the NCAA too boo. And Skip Bayless.
|25 weeks 4 days ago||Katy Perry, "Do your thang||
Katy Perry, "Do your thang Missy!"
Humanity is so doomed.
|25 weeks 5 days ago||Yep. Even though we dont have||
Yep. Even though we dont have too many schollies, this is looking like a tiny class with some spots left over, especially after things shake out over the coming months with the inevitable attrition of injuries/transfers etc. After signing day, I wouldn't be surprised if we hear that we are adding a few more 2nd tier grad transfers from elsewhere. Basically just throwing a few warm bodies at next year and hoping that you get something out of it and there is no long term cost since it's effectively a one year scholarship. I'd rather we do that than tie up more scholarships in 4 year guys who are unlikely to play.
There is the financial cost too I guess but no big deal. And probably a wash as much of that $ would have gone to walk-ons if it was still open.
|25 weeks 5 days ago||Obviously, he didn't turn||
Obviously, he didn't turn down Michigan because it would have pissed off his brother in law who went to OSU. Making career decisions based on your in-laws' opinion of a rival school rather than the career opportunity presented would make him a complete fucktard, and I highly doubt he's that dumb. He turned us down because Kentucky brought the dolla dolla bills. But then he leverages a fairly public rejection of Michigan's overtures into rah rah go buckeyes PR. Smart move for a guy who recruits Ohio, deals with Ohio coaches and will probably need to find a job somewhere near the state of Ohio after Stoops gets shitcanned in a year or two. I can definitely see how this guy would be a successful recruiter.
|25 weeks 6 days ago||As a sort of tangent, these||
As a sort of tangent, these 5th year transfers are one of the reasons why I am not as bothered by the burning of redshirts as some other people are. I mean I understand that some of the recent redshirts were burned for little in return and those may not have been wise. Some folks like many OL should redshirt. But with the 5th year transfer rule, you're also potentially risking losing whatever first year production you get from a player by banking it for that 5th year when the player can easily choose not be around. Not just in terms of contributing during games, but as far as leadership or being another practice player too. Redshirts still have value but it is less than it used to be now that 5th years are no longer under "team control".
|26 weeks 3 hours ago||There's a lot in your post||
There's a lot in your post that I disagree with, but I'll just pick one thing:
Further, wealthier kids are far more altruistic. My poorer family thinks volunteering is a waste of time.
|26 weeks 1 day ago||Indeed. Fail email, even if||
Indeed. Fail email, even if it was ostensibly internal in nature. Comes off as very immature. Brandon-esque. He seems more upset about the judges scoring in the Founders Cup that one year than he is about the destruction. Also, GPAs? That's lovely but not exactly on topic. Accountability is mentioned and yet the email itself has very little of it. We have blame passed to all media organizations that ran with the story, statements about how it was just a few bad apples, diversonary rah rah BS about how good they are in every other way. You take responsibility, you say you are investigating, you apologize, period.
|26 weeks 1 day ago||Also lots of breweries.||
Bend >>>> South Bend. Lots of breweries in Bend. Deschutes, McMenamins, Boneyard, Worthy, 10Barrel, Apothecary, Crux, Solstice, etc. Maybe 25 breweries in the area. Very bad place to be if the goal is to stop drinking and go to bed.
|26 weeks 3 days ago||Recruits actually have to do||
Recruits actually have to do more than just play games. I mean, sure, some of them came to play football and not play school. Some do come to play school. But either way, you have to live in the place you play football/school. Ann Arbor and Michigan are great but tomorrow's forecast:
|27 weeks 4 days ago||Yep, the 2003 team was great||
Yep, the 2003 team was great and very talented. Better than the 2004 team IMO. 2003 outscored opponents by 255 points in regular season (+21 ppg) while 2004 won a lot of close games and only outscored opponents by 92 points (+8 ppg) during the regular season. That's two TDs/game better, pretty big difference. Atrocious special teams and occasional turnovers were the cause of losses against Oregon and Iowa that we definitely should have won. USC outclassed us but USC was clearly the best team that year and was robbed by not getting to play an LSU team that they would have killed.
The 2001 team was much different. Defense was quite good and the offense was just meh. Although they lost close games in a similar way to 2003, the level of competition was much worse as the B1G inferior to that of 2003. OSU was crappy in their first year until Tressel, PSU sucked and fricking Illinois won the confernce. And we just did not have the level of QB play as well as the playmakers at skill positions in 2001. Senior Navarre was so much better than sophomore Navarre. Love Marquise Walker but him + Ronald Bellamy + BJ Askew <<<< Braylon + Breaston + Avant + Chris Perry.
|27 weeks 4 days ago||It remains to be seen whether||
It remains to be seen whether or not they turn into a dynasty. That's premature. Sure, maybe a little bit over the top but it is also a reflection of people being enthusiastic about their team and hoping that the success can be sustained. Professional sports fans are starved for success around here. And while I am somewhat skeptical that anyone can have a dynasty given the parity in the NFL, the Seahawks are relatively young and have a lot of players under reasonable contracts. It will get tricky when they have to pay Wilson but they are still well positioned for the long-term. Especially in a league where the best quarterbacks of their generation are aging: Brees is 35, Brady is 37, Manning is 38.
I guess to each his own. I don't see anything resembling the Red Sox fans and outside of Seattle you don't see people biting on the Seahawks the way that they do the Red Sox/Yankees/Cowboys etc. The 12th fan I suppose may seem cheesy from the outside but the fans take pride in being the loudest stadium in the NFL and the high level of fan support. Not the worst thing in the world. Some of it is bandwagony, but it's that way everywhere. And it's an on-going thing that has been around a long time. They retired the 12 jersey in 1984 and it's been A Thing since well before the Hawks were good. It just wasn't noticed nationally because the team was not as prominent.
|27 weeks 4 days ago||Agreed||
Yeah, that's really annoying. I mean, it's ridiculous that a town be really excited about a team that won the Super Bowl. Especially a town that has a baseball team that hasn't made the World Series in its 40 years of existence, had a basketball team get sold and moved, and a football team that was was really bad for the first 25 years of its existence finally wins its first Super Bowl. So obnoxious. No other city's fans would ever be insufferable after winning a championship!
|27 weeks 4 days ago||Wilson exposed||
Whoops. There are so many LOL comments in this thread.
|29 weeks 4 days ago||$||
I'm gonna go out on a limb and guess that his friendships didn't really change much in the last week. Kentucky stepped up and paid him. Oh well, whatever.
|29 weeks 4 days ago||Re: $||
Granted that there are cheaper places to live in the Bay Area than Palo Alto but still it is like a factor of 8x for housing. I am very glad to no longer be paying for Bay Area housing...
|29 weeks 4 days ago||Re: Marrow||
Read the comments section below. Apparently the article was written as a contingency based on Marrow staying and then was published prior to his meeting with Harbaugh. So no actual info in spite of statements that indicate as much.
|29 weeks 5 days ago||Re: talent||
The roster distribution is really messed up right now. Early departures are the primary cause but Beilein has also tried to compensate with a quantitative solution of throwing bodies at the problem and hoping that some of these Plan C guys stick, because the qualitative response of bringing in high level freshman did not pan out in 14 and 15 classes. Hence those last minute fliers on guys like MAAR, Dawkins and Robinson.
As it stands right now, you have 7 or 8 guys who will be sophomores next year, depending on Wilson. And Wilson probably won't get a 5th year anyway as project big men who are minor contributors dont tend to get offered a 5th year. Robinson effectively has the same eligibility as those '14 recruits since he'll be a sophomore next year. There's just no way that you can keep all 8 of those guys all the way through 17-18 season. You can't have 8 of 13 guys in the same eligibility class, especially when none of them are particularly talented (Robinson may be a good shooter but if he were really talented he wouldn't have been in D3). Not saying that they'll be pushed out the door but the program will need some of those guys to leave and free up scholarships. Not worth worrying about too much, these things tend to work themselves out. A few guys will transfer because of playing time or whatever and there are always injuries or guys who decide they don't want to continue with basketball.
|29 weeks 5 days ago||Re: uhh||
Part of the problem is that they are young and trying to find their way. The even bigger problem is that they are just not that talented. Even worse, they are not talented and not big or long. This is a team of role players, or guys who can develop into role players. Not guys with a high ceiling. Nice kids I would assume and they'll develop into decent or even solid players with time. But after striking out on most of our primary recruiting targets in 14 and 15, and not getting a quality big in 13 (sorry Donnal), you have to be seriously concerned for the future. We have what amounts to an 8 man 2014 class once you throw in Donnal and Robinson since they will have the same eligibility. And there really is not too much skill or athleticism amongst those 8. Beilein can coach and I have no doubt he can turn these guys into an 9 seed at 21-12/10-8 or something like that by next year. But talent matters too, especially if we are gonna talk about conference championships or Final Fours, it's gonna take some better players. Don't see much out of this 14 group and the 15 recruiting looks like it is headed for a flameout too. It's an absolute necessity that we bring in some serious talent in 16 class.
|29 weeks 6 days ago||Re: Kelly||
Yep. Additional background:
The 49ers are certainly the most attractive job open if Kelly were to get out of Philly, which is a bit ironic since this situation sounds fairly similar to what happened there with a front office schism.
|30 weeks 3 days ago||CA/MI||
CA does have a higher state income tax but the numbers aren't even close to that. Marginal rate above ~ half a million is 12.3% so about 3x that of Michigan. Still, 8% of $8MM is only $640 so if you gross that up $750M or so you wind up at about the same after tax number. Of course, there may be ways around those taxes...but that's another topic. Even at $9 million in CA your after tax income is above $8 millon in MI.
Where the Bay Area is much worse is the cost of housing. It varies a bit by where you are but if you want a baller mansion, especially in SF you would pay way more than you would in Ann Arbor. I mean even general housing in SF is what, maybe 4 times the price of what it would be in Ann Arbor. I mean you can go East Bay or somewhere way out or whatever but you'll pay in one form or another.
|43 weeks 7 hours ago||DB||
Too bad for her, apparently his noodle is gigantic!
|43 weeks 2 days ago||Re: Hoke||
Why shouldn't the Regents fire a head coach? Particularly in a situation in which the A.D. has just been relieved of his duties? Certainly, firing him for his shortcomings as a football coach is a matter that should be handled by the A.D. through normal performance review processes. But compromising the integrity and the reputation of the school/program and endangering player safety are plenty of cause to intervene. I'd argue the failure to act would be a breach of their duty if you believe that Hoke has compromised the school's integrity. Also, the head coach falls under the A.D. in some org chart but for practical purposes he is one of the leading public figures at Michigan and when his conduct is so poor that he and the University are under intense scrutiny by mainstream media then the situation has risen to a Board level issue.
|43 weeks 4 days ago||Brandon||
This one is pretty much entirely on Hoke. Hoke is toast and for all of his flaws, Brandon is aware of how this plays out for Hoke. I wouldn't expect Brandon to do anything except to try to save his own ass at this point. That means talking to the $ men/regents/presidents and finding out if it is viable to let Hoke finish the season before letting him go. Brandon will be reactive rather than proactive and make his decision based on what the other stakeholders force him to do. Brandon is nothing if not a man of practicality rather than principal. His play is probably to let Hoke stand up and take the heat, tell Hoke to apologize for making a mistake, have Hoke talk about how much he cares about his players and continue his pathetic claim of ignorance that Morris had a head injury. Hoke will claim he was aware of Morris' leg injury but did not see the concussion symptoms. It's not a credible position; but the alternative is to admit that he knowingly threw Morris back in the came after sustaining and that admission would have to result in a firing (or indefinite suspension that ends in a firing). So Hoke stills to his incompetence over negligence excuse. Brandon will also announce new policies regarding concussion processes and player protection and instigate an investigation. The results of the investigation will be released at some indistinct later date after the furor has died down. It will be done by press release rather than a press conference.
Or...if you want to be more cynical...Brandon throws Hoke under the bus. This makes Brandon look, to outsiders, like he is taking a strong ethical stand on player safety. It also allows him to put in motion the search for a permanent replacement immediately while he is still employed as the athletic director. Thereby making it a bit more difficult for the Regents to fire him. Harder to fire the guy who "protected the players." and makes it more difficult to have a schedule that would require going through an AD search process prior to conducting the coaching search process. Thereby he retains decision making power over who the next coach is to the greatest extent possible. Maybe. He might still get shit canned too. But it's less likely than it would be if he sticks with Hoke. It's at least one way to play it. Every man for himself as this ship sinks quickly.
|44 weeks 5 days ago||Re: Hoke||
The part about coming to us in our hour of need and taking the job without taking about the money is a pretty generous way to describe it. Sorry, the guy did not bring us puppies and hugs after grandma died or even help us move a couch. He took a job that was a vastly superior position in his profession to the one he held previously. His new job paid millions of dollars more per year than his old one. I don't doubt that it is his dream job or that he is a decent enough person but his choice to take the choice was hardly some charitable or magnanimous act. It was a no-brainer career decision. He was the head coach at fricking San Diego State. I mean, come on.
As far as the money, he was always gonna get paid a shit ton of money at Michigan and a hell of a lot more than he made at San Diego State. He is making $4.1 million this year. I mean, even if we assume that "aw shucks I didn't agree to the salary before taking the job" story is true, everyone involved knew at the least that he was gonna make a lot more bank than the $700k/year that San Diego State was paying him. So yeah, maybe he took the job without knowing whether he was gonna make 4 times what he made before or 5 time or 6 times. But everyone knew it was a raise that was gonna mean at least an extra million per year.
I don't really think it sucks all that much for him. He got to have his dream job for four years. He had tons of resources at his disposal to have an opportunity to succeed. He got paid, enough to never work again if he chooses. He'll be fired and that's that but overall getting his shot and $$$ is really not such a bad outcome. I am vastly more sympathetic to the players who have to go through more turmoil and to the current students who are increasly disconnected from the football program due to the emphasis on $ over loyalty and the lack of on-field success.
Whatever. Hopefully they get the next hire right and that it doesnt drag out like The Process.