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- Harbaugh (Jim)
- Harbaugh (John)
- Sean Payton
- Bob Stoops
- Mark Richt
- There is no indication Michigan is aggressively pursuing an available candidate (NFL guys are not available yet).
- Michigan seems to be gauging the interest of several qualified candidates. This is a good idea even if Jim Harbaugh has accepted the job. Why? People change their minds, circumstances change, and maybe Jim Harbaugh just wants some pressure off of him or Hackett wants to take pressure off of him by looking around.
- While even plain denials (see above) can't be trusted, Harbaugh has not denied interest in the Michigan nor has he publicly refused it.
- When the actual hire happens, it usually happens VERY fast. Foley flew to Colorado and hired McElwain. Nebraska got rebuffed by Bert and hired Riley within 24 hours. Hoke was hired so fast in 2011 that he did not even have time to meet with his players. My point: If Harbaugh is NOT the guy and we know it, it's likely the back-up plan will be ready and will be executed before we have time to realize Harbaugh is out.
- The longer this search goes on, the more likely it is an NFL guy gets hired. That would probably mean Jim Harbaugh, but it could mean Sean Payton or even John Harbaugh. There is a cost to waiting, and Hackett understands that. Every day without a coach is an opportunity for current players to consider and be recruited by transfer programs (under the table, of course). Every day without a coach hurts this year's recruiting class. Every day without a coach increases the risk that Oregon State or Tulsa could hire the guy you would have wanted. If Hackett is waiting, it's because he believes there is an elite coach who is worth the risk and costs of waiting.
|1 week 17 hours ago||(No subject)||
|1 week 1 day ago||Harbaugh and Hackett||
I'll say this: Hackett could not have done any better in pursuing Harbaugh than he has. The offer is as generous as reasonability could possibly allow, the timing is perfect (49ers are out of the playoffs and the NFL can't yet contact JH), and it was kept relatively secret until the offer was made--at which poing either Harbaugh's agent or someone else was going to leak it anyway.
If we don't get Harbaugh, it won't be because we blew the process. It will be because Harbaugh simply was never going to come.
Here's my bold prediction: Either Dan Mullen or an elite name (think Bob Stoops, John Harbaugh, Sean Payton, Jim Mora) will be the next coach at U-M if we don't get Harbaugh. I guarantee you a back-up plan is in place, and that it's with a name that most of us would be satisfied with, if not downright pleased. This will be done by 12/29, and we'll probably know with reasonable certainty by 12/25.
|1 week 2 days ago||A 3-4 year turnaround that||
A 3-4 year turnaround that may not even be in Oakland that long. The Raiders could be heading back to LA.
|1 week 2 days ago||I laughed out loud and||
I laughed out loud and immediately thought of Weird Al's "Word Crimes." Perhaps a chart could assist Mr. Kawakami in his future twitter endeavors:
|1 week 3 days ago||We'll see||
It's only been three years since we won a BCS bowl. We beat Florida in the 2008 Capitol One Bowl. We went to the 2007 Rose Bowl. While we haven't won the conference since 2004, This program has still had some bright spots and plenty to celebrate.
I am willing to bet that every member of Fern's class will win a B1G title and/or a New Year's bowl.
THOSE WHO STAY WILL BE CHAMPIONS
|1 week 3 days ago||Those Who Stay Will Be Champions||
I wish Ferns the best. He seemed like a great guy destined to be a very good player. We don't know all the circumstances surrounding his decision, and he needs to do what he feels is best for him.
We are loaded at LB, and the next coach will make sure the cupboard stays fully stocked.
Those Who Stay Will Be Champions!
|1 week 4 days ago||O-Line||
Perhaps most encouraging, the 2010 O-Line (which was dominant) was entirely composed of three-star players. Not a single four-star in that group. Of course, they were all juniors and seniors...
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Current roster||
The current roster is loaded. This is not a "rebuilding" job like RR and Hoke faced. While finding the right QB may be a challenge, there is an excellent defense, RBs, O-Line, and plenty of receiving talent.
Other than QB, safety is probably the only position at which you can even make an argument that help is needed.
Ohio State just won the B1G with a back-up (during the season) and a back-up's back-up (in the championship) playing QB.
This Michigan roster is ready to compete now.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||I'm not his buddy, guy||
I'm not his buddy, guy
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Get well soon!||
Please send your friend the following card and my best wishes.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Doubt it||
Gary Anderson left Wisconsin because they won't let him recruit the way he wants to and they won't pay his assistants.
Barry Alvarez will keep that program from reaching its potential by being a cheapskate.
As for OSU having anything to do with it...now Anderson is at a low-level Pac-12 team and has to compete with Oregon, USC, UCLA, Arizona, ASU...it's not better than the B1G West, which may be the easiest Power 5 division in all of college football.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Not what he said||
No, he said he was afraid losing to Urban 4/5 times would cost him his job.
The fact is that the TEAM (if not the program) is in very good shape--loaded with talent that was coveted by top programs across the country.
A coach that wouldn't want a top-tier salary with resources for top-tier assistants, some of the best facilities in the country, the Big House, and the Michigan brand to recruit to...that's a coach I DO NOT WANT.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||EXACTLY||
His reserch "confirmed" what he wanted to hear...have you ever heard of confirmation bias?
This looks like a pretty meager search, and the "secrecy" aspect only succeeded because the people of Nebraska don't know what Eichorst looks like. The whole thing sounded pretty lame, and resulted in hiring a 61-year-old who has won fewer than half of his games in the last five years at a program he spent 12 years building.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||Nebraska||
It looks like Eichorst just hired Riley because that was "his guy." I don't think they went to the trouble of looking at the field.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||Yikes||
I read the article hoping to find some cool technique or clever gamesmanship. What I learned was that if you're the AD at Nebraska and you wear a baseball cap, no one will notice you.
This is exactly how I hope Hackett does NOT conduct his search--a personal fixation on a candidate. Do your research, interview, and get references. Work with a search firm. Do it right, even if it take a little time.
But if Jim Hackett walked into DTW wearing a baseball cap, I have ZERO doubt that the press would be on it and the "secret" search would be blown. And if Jim Hackett just hires a guy because he liked him 12 years ago, I would be furious.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||Interview and references||
I know some people will disagree with this, but it's true: Urban Meyer's coaching genius is not in his system (which tons of schools run). It's in his ability to communicate with his players, inspire them, and get them to do what needs to be done. If you read interviews with former Urban players, they basically say, "Coach Meyer got me to do things I didn't think I could do."
Chip Kelly's success is similar. While both use a scheme they believe makes it easiest to develop players and win games, it's not like they are using plays that other teams aren't using. They are simply better at getting their players to succeed.
Onto Tom Herman...my thoughts on this search have evolved quite a bit over time. Herman would be, IMO, the best coordinator we could hire. I would certainly put him behind the following candidates:
I would probably put him behind these guys:
In the case of an OC with no HC experience, we at MGoBlog don't get the benefit of the most important pieces of the puzzle: the interview and references. If Herman comes to the interview with a plan--one that would have to include how he can win without his type of QB on the roster--and how he can build a program that can beat MSU and OSU, the most important piece being WHO CAN HE HIRE on his staff, then he could vault to the top of the "Plan B" guys. Players, coaches, and even some administrators will have a feel for how much this guy contributes to the success of a program, and if he's really good, he'll bring some damn good coaches with him.
This might sound ridiculous, but I have real concerns about Warriner (Kansas?) and Herman leaving OSU the same year--they'd be trying to poach some of the same coaching talent.
This is a long-winded way of saying, I really like Herman, but would need to see a good plan to be excited about him, and wouldn't be pleased with the hire until I saw his staff. That said, I would assume that if he was hired, he had produced a good plan with a good staff, and I would be hopeful...but I wouldn't feel great until I saw the staff, especially the DC.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||Possible||
I don't Harbaugh has told Hackett he's sure he's taking the job. But even if he has, Hackett should be looking for back-ups in a just-in-case scenario or in an effort to take pressure off of Harbaugh.
What I will disagree with is your second point: if Michigan is now looking for other options, they won't be caught with their pants down if Harbaugh says no. If we were not looking around, I'd be more convinced Harbaugh was the guy but more worried that if we didn't get him things would fall apart.
There is ZERO downside to looking around right now, even if Harbaugh has said yes (in principle). There is tremendous potential downside to NOT surveying the coaching landscape...as I said above, you never know what will happen, even if Harbaugh has said yes.
If you were the AD and Harbaugh had given you a verbal agreement, would you look around? I know I would. One thing I have learned running a business is that it's never done until it's done. Hackett knows that, too.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||Coaching Change||
CC = Coaching Change. It's an MGoBlog tag for everything related to firing/hiring coaches.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||IMPORTANT||
ThadMatt--I think your shark-horse avatar needs to have wings.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||I hope so||
To be clear, my post was not a prediction that Jim Harbaugh will be hired (though that would be my guess). The point is that Harbaugh (or some elite NFL guy) is still enough of a possibility that the risks and costs of waiting are acceptable. Hackett understands risk--his press conference proved that. He's not going to wait a minute longer than he has to, and the longer we wait, the more likely a blockbuster hire becomes.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||Even public statements mean little||
Brian is right on--no one really knows anything. The best we can do is attempt to decipher the intentions and desires of the players by examining what is actually happening. But never forget that even flat denials can be meaningless:
That was December 21, 2006. Saban was hired at Alabama January 4, 2007. In the interim, he actually said he wasn't going to talk about other jobs for the next five years.
My point is that what is happening is far more important than what is being said. Here's what's happening:
Unlike the 2011 fiasco, each day we wait is an indication that there is going to be a blockbuster hire. If Hackett wanted Herman--or even Mullen, Miles, Stoops, Whittingham, Richt, Mora, etc.--the machine would already be moving. The fact that we don't have a coach or any indication of aggressive negotiations indicates that we are waiting on the NFL...and probably Jim Harbaugh.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||Because you need to have Plan||
Because you need to have Plan B, C, and D ready if Plan A doesn't work out. Hackett is not going to put all his eggs in one basket.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||Patience||
While I want a coach hired YESTERDAY, the reality is that there is no reason to rush. Unless another top tier candidate on the Stoops/Payton level has definitively said they'll take the job AND that they will only take the job if they get it soon, then a Harbaugh ultimatum is just silly.
We are the last premier college job on the market. We have no competition from other colleges, and no one in the NFL can sign Harbaugh without working out a deal with the 49ers. There is no rush.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||+1||
Wish I could give you more for a cogent GGGR reference. One of the all-time greats.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||Divergent||
We are obviously still in the divergent phase, and I have ZERO problem with U-M reaching out to a candidate like Cutcliffe. There is nothing wrong with checking to see if he's even a possibility.
FWIW, I seriously doubt he gets the job, or even interviews. We will have an elite coach in A2 next year, I am certain of it.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||Stoops||
While Oklahoma was a passing spread for years, the past two seasons have seen a decided shift towards the run:
OU ran a ridiculous 1,211 plays in 2010, and this year will be the first in a long time they run fewer than 1,000. To put that in perspective, Michigan did not run 1,000 plays under RR and haven't run more than 893 since Rodriguez left.
My point is that Stoops runs a HUNH spread, but they seem content to emphasize their strength, rather than commit to being an air raid. What's amazing is that they run from the spread, but rarely use their QB--only 89 (17%) of 526 rushing attempts have come from QBs this year. Compare that to 179 (30%) of 587 for Ohio State QBs.
Stoops wants an efficient, HUNH offense, even if it's not an air raid. That his team has run effectively from the spread with minimal QB usage is certainly a hopeful sign since our roster has QBs that really aren't all that spectacular as runners, though Morris is underrated. FWIW, I believe Morris' best chance of success is a system much like OU's.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||(No subject)||
|2 weeks 4 days ago||BWHAHAHAHAHAHA||
I dare you to try to name five jobs better than Michigan in the B1G. Or even two. And our coaching hire will prove it.
|2 weeks 4 days ago||Harbaugh||
Brother John might be even better, but hasn't proven in college the way Jim has.
Sean Payton would be an amazing hire. While he doesn't have any history as a college HC, he did some good things in the college ranks in the 90s. He also has a superbowl ring.
Bob Stoops would be good, but I would rather have Harbaugh. Patterson would be a great hire. Mark Richt is another guy that would be a great fit.
Mora is a notch or more below all these guys, as is Mullen. But I believe we will land an elite name this time around, and no one I've discussed in this post seems outside the realm of possibility.
|3 weeks 8 hours ago||Nope||
Go back and watch those games again. We were in the shotgun in 2011 about 80% of the time. We ran inverted veer A LOT.
Yes, Hoke failed to get out of Denard what RR certainly could have, but there is no doubt that the offense largely featured Denard in a quasi-option game that was run primarily from the shotgun. There are notable exceptions--Iowa 2011, Notre Dame 2012--that were disastrous and memorable, but Denard was not under center all that much, especially in 2011.