chance of bowl: 13.6%
- Member for
- 2 years 34 weeks
- View recent blog entries
- While some friends of Brandon may want him to stay, and many of those allies are Republicans, I think the overwhelming majority of both Republicans and Democrats want Dave gone. The "powers that be" are few in number, and, if Schlissel is smart (and I think he is) then he knows it's worth ruffling a few feathers to please the masses.
- Schlissel, so far, has handled this situation perfectly. He hasn't ignored it or tried to move it to the back burner. That said, I agree with JUB that he'd probably prefer to move on to the academic issues that he has proven so adept at handling. He must know that keeping Brandon guarantees--at best--another year of complaining and distractions as the fences are mended. And that's the best case scenario, which would also involve Brandon either retaining a coach who manages to turn things around with a win against MSU, Ohio State, or both AND gets off to a strong start next year. Even in that best case scenario, ticket sales suffer BADLY. The ONLY way to resolve the situation in a reasonable period is to hire a new AD. The new hire will have at least three years (barring total foolishness) to prove himself before there are any realistic calls for his head...and that buys Schlissel time to address other things. Of course, that new AD must also hire a new coach.
- Again, Schlissel is a smart dude. He can see that the numbers--Brandon's last line of defense--really don't look that good. If all you can fall back on is, "But we're making money and building stuff!" then you are in big trouble when the money runs out and the building has to stop. Schlissel, surely, can see this, and recognizes that hiring an AD with a strong reputation will, worst-case scenario, buy him three years to focus on things other than the football program.
- Paul Pasquoloni
- Ron English
- Carl Pelini
- Charley Molnar
- Don Treadwell
- Lane Kiffin
- Michigan (having already hired Jeff Long) hires Jim/John Harbaugh to be the HC
- Ohio State loses Ed Warriner to Kansas
- Ohio State loses Tom Herman to Florida, WVU, Miss. State, or a smaller school
- Mullen either stays at Miss. State (and keeps making it tougher for SEC West teams to finish the season with only one loss) or goes to Florida
- Narduzzi gets a HC job
- Jim McElwain
- Todd Graham
- Mark Stoops
- Craig Bohl
- Butch Jones
- Greg Schiano
- Tom Herman
- Butch Jones
- Jeremy Pruitt
- Doc Holliday
- Kyle Whittingham
- 2009 - Offense: 25.6 pts/gm (72nd nationally) / Defense: 26.8 pts/gm (71st)
- 2010 - O: 29.0 ppg (48) / D: 19.8 ppg (21)
- 2011 - O: 25.3 ppg (72) / D: 19.7 ppg (16)
- 2012 - O: 29.5 ppg (60) / D: 23.3 ppg (34)
- 2013 - O: 27.7 ppg (70) / D: 23.3 ppg (33)
- 2014 - O: 41.8 ppg (9) / D: 20.0 ppg (19)
- Really nice post with great information.
- Doc clearly has offensive acumen, and would need a great DC
- He appears to be a pretty polished coach, and I think he should be considered. Marshall is practically in Ohio (near the KY/OH/WV border) and he knows the area.
- At 57, I do wonder how much longer he wants to coach
- The biggest potential downside, IMO, as you mentioned, is that he leaves to be HC at WVU someday. Does he even want to leave the area?
- Grew up in Ann Arbor (Pioneer High School)
- Brother played at Michigan
- Father coached at Michigan
- Student support
- Alumni support
- Varsity athlete alumni support
- Public Relations (ie the Shane Morris situation)
- Did you read the post? I said I support Graham being considered. I wanted others' opinions.
- I'm not talking about a "PR move." I'm talking about a cultural fit, and was curious to see how people would react to a coach openly praising God in the locker room.
- I'm not going to discuss my faith here, but you have no idea who I am or what I believe.
|4 hours 39 min ago||He should not be back||
I upvoted you because I am glad to learn about the high respect for his character, but he should not be back next year, for the same reason a math professor who is a good man should not continue to be a professor if he can't help his students learn math.
Hoke should be fired, even if he is a high-character, likeable guy. He is not good enough at his job.
|5 hours 51 min ago||Someday soon||
Before 2015, you'll feel a lot better.
|1 day 9 hours ago||Not sure||
If this means you like or dislike...
|1 day 9 hours ago||Eh||
A pretty good summary of the program, and the conclusion that this all rests on Schlissel's shoulders is spot on. That said, I have a few quibbles:
We've past the point of no return. The ONLY way keeping Brandon has a good outcome for Schlissel is if the football team turns around dramatically in 2015. That means waiting at least another full year and enduring constant niggling from students, alumni, and fans about the state of the program. And even that outcome seems highly unlikely.
Even if there are some compelling reasons to keep Brandon--he hasn't done EVERYTHING wrong--the expediency of removing him makes too much sense for Schlissel, who can't afford to submarine his own agenda by betting on a hated figure like Brandon and a sub-par coach like Hoke.
TL; DR: Schlissel is smart enough to see he'll have to deal with this issue for another year if he doesn't remove Brandon now. And, IMO, if we lose badly tomorrow--by 14 or more points--it's the final nail in an already tightly-sealed coffin for AD and HC alike.
|1 day 10 hours ago||We covered the spread!||
|1 day 11 hours ago||Beat State||
I want it to be like this:
But feel more like this:
|1 day 12 hours ago||YES||
|1 day 13 hours ago||That Poem||
double post fail
|1 day 13 hours ago||That Poem||
|2 days 8 hours ago||Can't tell you||
I've never said I don't want Narduzzi b/c of a lack of HC experience, but not having experience as an HC is certainly a negative. You'll notice that I'm not too excited about ANY coordinator.
There have been lots of coordinators that couldn't hack it as HCs, both in college and the NFL:
And those are just the coordinators-turned-HCs that failed last season.
As for Narduzzi, I believe he's one helluva defensive coach, and that he may do well leading a program somewhere. I also think he's an MSU-loving, arrogant sonuvagun who might crash-and-burn. DO NOT WANT. That said, I understand why some people do want him to be considered for the job--he has an amazing track record of success as a DC.
|2 days 12 hours ago||My dream off-season||
Here is the best possible off-season, IMO:
All of these are actually possible, if not probable.
But if I can't have all that, then getting Dan Mullen as HC would be freaking fantastic. And I would want him to bring Geoff Collins (DC) with him. And yes, I would prefer this over Les Miles.
Here's my list (in order of CURRENT preference):
There is a BIG gap, then these guys are other names I'd be happy with:
And here are the more fringe guys I wouldn't rebel against:
And, finally, the guys I'd be grumpy with but would reserve judgment:
|2 days 12 hours ago||FALSE||
Dan Mullen's defenses at Miss. State have been better than his offenses.
This is the first year his scoring offense has out-performed his scoring defense, and both are damn good.
Mullen would, IMO, be a very good hire. I don't think he's a Jim Harbaugh homerun, but he would be a very good hire.
|3 days 13 min ago||Great post||
A few things:
It would be interesting to see if he has the desire to coach at a big school that's not his alma mater (WVU). If Holgersen gets hired by a big school this offseason, I think Doc ends-up at WVU--where he stays until he retires.
|3 days 13 hours ago||Chris Webber timeout jokes||
Still too soon for me.
On Hoke, BiSB nailed it. That is all.
|4 days 6 hours ago||Welcome!||
Welcome to the family, Mr. Tice. Can't wait to see you kick a game-winner.
|4 days 12 hours ago||Funny?||
Are you trying to be funny? No personal ties? Let's see...
Just becuase he didn't go to U-M doesn't mean he doesn't have personal ties. Yeesh.
|4 days 22 hours ago||Straw man||
Who said scheme doesn't matter? Not me. Not Chip Kelly.
|5 days 7 hours ago||Trying||
"Schemes and play calls don't win games, Execution wins games." –Chip Kelly
They are certainly trying to run an offense that makes sense, sets itself up for easy yards, and takes advantage of the defense's weaknesses.
But they can't seem to do it.
Schematically, I have no complaints. That the coaches can't get superior athletes to execute their assignments is confounding. I really thought Nuss' would be able to make some headway in that department--it appears to be the exact opposite.
We are using QB runs, counters, pop passes, quick slants, WR screens, RB screens, IZ, OZ...this is a good scheme, rife with constraints and deceptions. We can't execute it.
By this point in the season, if these coaches were good at their jobs, we'd have seen some major improvement. Look at how far JT Barrett has come in half a season.
Most of the pain is on the O-Line...PSU showed us that even a great player like Hack can't be effective behind pylons.
Funk must go. Wellman must go. Jackson must go. Ferrigno must go. Hecklinski has been okay...Hoke? Gotta go.
Borges deserved his firing; we hired what many believed was the best OC in the country to run a MANBALL scheme. I think we can now see that it really isn't the play calls--it's the execution, and yes, that is on the coaches.
|5 days 9 hours ago||We should hire the most||
We should hire the best coach for the program. Period. I don't care if he's coached for a rival or not.
PS - negged OP for being in favor of Tressel...liars and cheaters are NOT good for the program
|5 days 9 hours ago||Sometimes, you just have to use your eyes||
I really don't care what the FEI and S&P+ ratings are; I've watched both teams, and our offense is going to have a tough time scoring points on MSU.
That said, I agree with BiSB--these metrics aren't really very accurate until the whole season has been played. That's the problem with metrics--they only measure the past.
HOWEVA, I do believe this year's MSU squad is MUCH more beatable than last year's outfit. But I think Vegas has the line about right.
|1 week 1 day ago||Thanks||
I appreciate the addition. There is some great stuff here.
I see Claeys a bit differently.
First, I think as a coordinator, you can't give him the same score you give the HC--he doesn't have control of a program. Claeys is more of a "B" the way I've been grading. He's had success everywhere, but not as a HC and is just now playing with the big boys.
Second, on Michigan ties, he's probably more like a "B" on my scale. Some solid ties to the area, but none to the school.
Recruiting is closer to a C/C+. Claeys did not recruit Hageman or Vereen. His coaching is clearly pretty good, but he didn't recruit them. Minnesota is doing a little better on the recruiting trail now, and he deserves some credit, but he hasn't shown that he's a great recruiter at this point in his career.
I think a C/C+ is about right for Claeys on Chances/Loyalty. If he wants to be a HC and is offered the Michigan job, he would have to take it. Kill, if he's the man of honor I believe he is, would actually tell him to take the job. And I think he would stay awhile. But does he want the job? Does he want to leave Kill? I'm not sure.
"Demeanor" is about how the coach carries himself, how well he presents, and if he appears to be a good motivator. Claeys would rate as a "C" here, as his folksy chub is strikingly similar to Hoke...I don't think fans would like that one bit. He clearly gets the most from his players, though.
Three Phases is probably correct at a B--which would be very high for a strictly defensive guy, but Claeys has operated as HC on a few occasions, and deserves credit for that.
Roster Fit is most definitely an "A", although he'd prefer a QB who can run, I think.
Overall, he's closer to a 2.81 (B-), and that's being a bit generous. I do not have ANY interest in him as a HC at this point in his career. I'd like to see him have success running a program first.
|1 week 2 days ago||FALSE||
I know you said it's your opinion, but last year the staff probably substituted TOO much. Every position on defense rotated like crazy--even the secondary--and the O-Line was a revolving door. We never established a RB. Other than DG, Gallon, and Funchess, the line-up was in a constant state of flux.
These guys aren't afraid to substitute. You still see it on the D-Line, and some in the secondary. They've rotated LB less this year, but that's just about it.
|1 week 2 days ago||You forgot one measure||
Success of the football program.
But here are a few others, and they are at least somewhat measurable:
If these aren't part of the AD's evaluation checklist, there's a problem.
|1 week 2 days ago||FWIW||
Our offense is #67 in oFEI and #48 in oS&P.
This would suggest that our offense is actually mediocre, not awful.
It would also suggest that S&P is WAY better than FEI, amirite?
|1 week 2 days ago||Good stuff, Brian||
Thanks for the post--great stuff.
While revenue is an important measure of an AD's success (money matters, whether we like that or not) it's pretty damning that Brandon's success in that department is just okay. Given the messes he's created elsewhere, I'd say it's time for Dave to go.
|1 week 2 days ago||Recruiting||
Herman gets the best grade I would give a coordinator. He's a great recruiter by reputation, but would he be as good without Urban Meyer behind him? We don't really know. He wasn't pulling in 5-star players at Iowa State.
An "A" grade is reserved for HCs that have proven to be the best in the country.
|1 week 3 days ago||You know what assuming does...||
|1 week 3 days ago||Yes||
But he has also admitted a desire to be a HC.
|1 week 3 days ago||Hope you're right, mostly||
I would not support the Les Miles hire, even if he won lots of games. I do not trust him.
Harbaughs or Mullen are basically the best-case scenarios. I think they are possible, but I'm not betting the house we get one of them.
|1 week 3 days ago||Thanks||
Did not know that. Thanks for the info. That does certainly give him stronger ties to the area.