chance of bowl: 13.6%
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|22 hours 57 min ago||Go watch Jimmy Graham "block"||
He barely does it. Even with that, he just signed a 4 yr/$40 mil contract.
Many "tight ends" are just oversized wide receivers now (or just plain 'ol wide receivers). Blocking is nice, and valuable, but being able to catch, run and jump with your big body is more important.
|1 day 56 min ago||Notice Mr. Tappan was long gone when these two came around||
It was literally over his dead body.
|6 days 2 hours ago||We're not a #1 option for Jim Harbaugh||
Jim Harbaugh has made it pretty clear he is an ultra-competitive guy. People he loves (his brother) and hates (Pete Carroll) have a Super Bowl, and all evidence is that he wants one.
If SF doesn't win one this year, it seems he will be fired (due to issues with the front office). Harbaugh will then have his pick of NFL jobs, such as Oakland, Miami, and perhaps both New York jobs.
Unless Jim wins a Super Bowl this year AND decides to go out "on top" (seems very, very unlikely to me), he won't be coming to Michigan, regardless of whether DB is here. Why would Jim? Because he played here 30 years ago? He hasn't (with the huge exception of Bo) exactly expressed love with the program since then.
|1 week 2 hours ago||AD yes; coach no||
You are completely right on the AD. People got WAY ahead of themselves regarding the regent meeting, but I still think unless Brandon resigns (which is possible, but I doubt his ego would let him) he will be here in 2015. He makes too much money to pay off, has support of big bucks Ross, and has support (as noted) from the coaches.
Hoke, OTOH, is absolutely gone unless we win out. There is no way David Brandon is going to want to try and sell tix next year for a Hoke-coached team that just went 7-5 or worse and lost to MSU and/or OSU again. He showed he is willing to throw Hoke under the bus during the Shane Morris thing. He will certainly do it after this season unless Hoke somehow gets this team to 9 wins (which has literally about a 1% chance of happening).
|1 week 2 days ago||I can understand, but I actually didn't -- timing is too weird||
I mean, why would he transfer now? It's not like he can leave tomorrow, and go sign up for Rutgers, Penn State, OSU, whatever, next week. He would have to sit out the season, without access to proper training equipment, trainers, meals, etc. Anyone who transfers does so in December or in early January -- after classes and after the season
Not to mention -- I know he's a football player, but he's still a student, right? Why drop out in the middle of the semester unless there is a serious issue (and by "serious", I mean "death in the family", not "disagreement with coaches")?
|1 week 3 days ago||Yes, he has two sacks||
And if you're thinking about the last play of the game, he was near the the QB, but I believe the other person got the sack. There also was another play that he got the QB for a 1-2 yard gain.
Regardless, BG is having a good year -- and he need to, as he was concerned he would be cut coming out of training camp. He regularly grades out high for Eagles defensive players, so hopefully he keeps it up.
|1 week 3 days ago||I'm sorry, but that's plain crazy||
I will find whatever lemons and other citrus Brian has not eaten if Brady Hoke is here next year if we lose to OSU and MSU. Why on earth would UM keep someone who can't come close to winning the worst Power 5 conference in the country, can't beat our main rivals and not to mention got thrown under the bus by his AD during the whole Shane Morris debacle.
He may have goodwill with some former players, but he certainly doesn't with the fan base. I'd stop listening to former players -- their insularity and focus on a "Michigan Man" (as opposed to, you know, the actual best man for the job) helped get us into this predicament in the first place.
I too hope we beat MSU, but I'm also going to deal with reality.
|1 week 3 days ago||It just wouldn't work - the narrative needs to change||
There is 0% Hoke comes back if they lose to osu and msu. 0%. At best, UM would be 6-6 and play in some low-rent bowl which no one would care about.
The off-season would be down right hostile, and if you think UM Athletic Dept had to come up with some crazy gimmick promotions for this year, try selling a team that went 6-6 two years in a row, can not beat its biggest rivals, yet for some reason kept the same coach.
|1 week 4 days ago||Really?||
Was that b/c you were as drunk as Bill Murray is in that picture? I want to party with you, cowboy.
Wile did a great job, and deserves praise for this game, but based on past performance and the simple fact he's a college kicker, I did not consider his FGs (none of which were chip shots) to be "relaxing."
|1 week 4 days ago||I blame the "Michigan fan" more||
GIlmore is going to relate a story that makes the telecast interesting. Wish it wasn't that way, but that's the way it is.
But that so called "fan" is the worst. It reminds me of one of the worst experiences in my UM fandom, when watching the the UM-ND away game at a house party (a big one; didn't know many of the people), and more than a few "Michigan fans" wanted us to lose b/c they didn't like RichRod and his running QB. I wanted to punch them right in the face.
In any case, due in no small part to their (lack of) support, they got their wish. And here we are, soon to begin another coaching search.
|1 week 4 days ago||Nothing personal...||
...but you posted twice, plus based on my avatar, so I am duty-bound to neg you.
|1 week 4 days ago||Was that the announced attendance?||
Interesting. On the telecast, they said "109,000". Not sure where they got that from.
|1 week 5 days ago||Yep, the wagons are being circled||
As much as I'd like to read into it that DB is gone, I think the most "Michigan" thing (based on past performance) is to circle them up and defend the block M (as they see it).
I hope I'm wrong, but I still think (unless DB out-and-out quits, which would shock me) that DB will be here in 2015.
|1 week 6 days ago||Not going to neg you, but there is talent there||
Take JMFR. Per knee, he looks like the second coming of Clay Matthews. Now he is well past his knee surgery, and he really doesn't look all that special -- is that scheme? Is that coaching? Is he still affected by injury?
|2 weeks 22 hours ago||I'm not sure if Hoke thinks that much of Devin||
Hoke has obviously lost a lot of faith in DG. Some of that is understandable, based on his performances against ND and Utah, but he still has gone way overboard (e.g., starting an obvioulsy not ready Morris against Minn, and for whatever refusing to put DG in at the half when Morris was failing).
The FG is just another example of that -- he thought his kicker (who really hasn't done much, and had a bad game against ND) was a better option DG with the game on the line. I think that's foolish, but it shows Hoke does not have faith in DG.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||In the what, now?||
I seriously have never heard of this.
Apparently it's another attempt at a minor league (beyond college), which makes sense (I guess) as the NHL, NBA and MLB have them.
But why would you teams in Brooklyn, Boston, Florida and Omaha? Put them all within driving distance, for pete's sake.
Beyond that, I more seriouisly surprised Gallon hasn't caught on with an NFL team. I can't believe someone with his quicks, hands and hops can't make a roster.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||I like this idea||
Ypsi guy, went to MSU, coached for the Lions (but not long enough to be defined by them) and has a bit of college experience at LSU under the best college coach of the era, Saban.
While I'd love (of the college guys) to get someone who has been an HC before (esp b/c so many of our problems have been "communication", which starts from the top, and setting the course of the program, e.g., modern offenses and punting formations), but of the group above, the only one I like is the CSU guy, and he is a) from Montana and b) would need to have a 10-win season this year to be an option.
Thus, a pro guy would be a nice option. Are there any quotes from Manning or the Thomas "brothers" about how wonderful Gase is? That would be great.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||Twin Peaks is very hard to compare||
Which is what is so great (and sometimes so flawed) about it.
It's pretty easy to compare Breaking Bad to the Sopranos to Boardwark Empire to The Wire, etc as they are similar shows -- gritty, well-scripted dramas (with some humor), realistic violence, with compelling anti-heroes and villians.
Go search on YouTube for "twin peaks dwarf agent cooper" and watch those 7 minutes and 17 seconds and compare it to those shows. Sure, some of them had dream sequences (e.g., Sopranos) and some left-turns, but none of them were that completey unnerving and weird. You don't know whether to laugh or cry.
I don't know if the new episodes in 2016 will be good, but I am sure they will be interesting. I am in.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||He can't even get his gobbledegook answers right||
His answer about Drake Johnson (which was a good question about why we haven't seen him so far) was sheer nonsense:
“Well, I think we talk about compete and challenge and there's always that. Not that he wasn't competing or challenging but as you go through practice and the execution of everything, we just thought needed [to be] cleaned up a little bit.”
Sentence one: Drake is not competing or challenging, which would indicate a lack of effort or committment.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||You are limiting your playbook -- we need every option||
The whole point of the "quick" QB sneak is that it is quick. You are trying to do it before the defense is set. It is more effective than a regular sneak, esp if your OL isn't great at driving people off the ball (i.e., U of M), b/c if you do it quickly enough, your OL is not blocking a DL or LB who is ready.
So that *was* the best play they thought to attack the defense. It didn't work, but it was reasonable. Just as a play-action pass play which, if it didn't work, would have also left much more time on the clock.
And your hypothetical question doesn't apply to UM -- they score so few points, I want them to run whatever play, at whatever tempo, they think will give them best chance at 6 pts. If all else is equal, for sure, run the clock under 5-8 secs, but again, pass plays stop the clock if they don't work and I would have been completely fine with a pass on second down.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||But that's the end point of his complaint||
Of course he wants Michigan to score. But his complaint is that they left too much time on the clock. If that's so important, they should have a) not ever considered passing the ball (too risky to have an incomplete) and b) been sure not to score until 3rd down.
Since we know Brian (and numerous other people who brought this up) don't think that, I'm not sure what they wanted. The only way we would have gotten to the ideal state (Rutgers having about 1 minute left) would have been, starting at first and goal, to both a) call all running plays with less than 5 secs on the clock and b) wait until 3rd down to score. That's not reasonable as "a" takes away play-action (which would have been a reasonable play call) and "b" is not something they want -- UM wants to score on first down, if possible. If not then, let's score on 2nd down.
UM scored at the end of the half. They did fine.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||I don't get you not getting the end of the first half||
I don't get this -- Rutgers easily got the ball down the field and even with the "28 seconds" gone, still would have had at least two plays, goal to go.
But that aside, we do realize it is UM's offense, right? The one that has had severe scoring issues? They don't have the luxury of bleeding the clock to zero if doing so allows the defense to be set. Running a hurried QB sneak in a short-yardage situations is an actual, common play. New England runs it all the time (ran it just last night with Brady) -- you try and catch the defense when they're not set and sneak/push your way in with your big/tall QB.
And follow the logic -- it seems to indicate Michigan shouldn't have tried to score on the Gardner sneak -- after all, that would have left too much time on the clock. If they would have instead let 25 seconds more off the clock and then Gardner had actually scored (and we're OK with them trying to do that, right?), Rutgers would have had even more time remaining.
UM's offense is not nearly good enough to wait until 3rd down to try and score -- their entire focus was (and should have been) on whatever plays they thought would score 6 pts, each time. If it bled clock as well, bonus.
The score at the end of the half by Rutgers is on the UM defense, which based on Saturday's performance, would have found a way to give up a score with 1:13 or 1:43 left.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||I think 3-9 is more likely than 2-10||
Even in 2008, we somehow pulled it together to beat Minn. I would think there would be one game, at least, where we'd play pretty well while also getting the call/get a gift interception/something where we'd win.
But I'm not going to spend much time thinking about. Bad is bad.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||Scoring a TD is the primary objective - a quick QB sneak is fine||
Agreed. Running a hurried QB sneak in a short-yardage situation is an actual, common play. New England runs it all the time (and in fact just ran it an hour ago against the Bengals at the goal line) -- you try and catch the defense when they're not set and sneak/push your way in.
With UM's paucity of points these past games, their entire focus was (and should have been) on whatever plays they thought would score 6 pts. If it bled clock as well, bonus. BTW, for the next play, they DID bleed clock, running the Smith play with less than 10 secs on the game clock.
The score at the end of the half by Rutgers is on the UM defense, not Brady Hoke's clock mgmt. He's got enough evidence of not knowing what he is doing without coming up with something that I don't think has real merit.
|2 weeks 4 days ago||Only if we don't get obliterated by MSU||
I know people think "well, it can't get much worse", but if we lose, say, 49-3 MSU (which is a distinct possibility), I think Hoke could be fired then. It's one thing to get beat by Minn or Rutgers. Getting the absolute stuffing kicked out of us by MSU will amp it as high as it can go (or low, depending on your perspective).
But if we lose 30-10 or 27-7 (or whatever), then at 7 losses is defintely the earliest.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||Solich is a great example||
Not just the age (he is now 70, in his tenth year at Ohio U), but in what difference a good coach can make. Ohio was basically EMU in terms of football before he got there, and now they regularly go to bowl games. Granted, those bowl games usually have the name "Beef O'Brady" or "Famous Idaho Potato" in them, but it's still a real accomplshment. He's even won 3 division titles.
Like Miles, he is from the area of the country his new school was in, so he "got" the culture, put in his system, and pretty quickly he was on his way.
Miles is absolutely not too old for the job. Whether the AD in 2015 (which, unfortunately, I think will be Brandon) will hire him....
|2 weeks 6 days ago||Yeah, we look we have ankle weights on||
I was the UM-Minn game last week, and I spent a good portion of the time on offense just watching our receivers, to see if anyone was open. Typically, they weren't and if they were, Shane was looking/throwing the other way. Funchess was particularly depressing, as he was clearly well below 100% and looked like just another guy. It was very frustrating.
Meanwhile, on the very first drive for AZ, Jesse Palmer is talking about how a RS FR QB (i.e., same age as Shane) is choosing btw 3-4 options (incl running) on every play, and even a dope like me can see "Yep, that guy's open...but so was that guy in the flat...but he could have also gone over there" and so forth. It was like switching btw "Rookie" and "Madden" level.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||It's nice to talk about a successful football team||
I've said it before, and I'll say it again. After watching the recent editions of UM football, watching teams like Arizona and Oregon is like stepping into the sunshine. People getting open; breaking tackles; numerous plays that make you say "Ooh, that was clever -- he was WIDE open."
So I'm glad for RR. If him going 0-5 would make us 5-0, I'd take it in a heartbeat. But if his success away from UM helps put another nail in the "can't win with the spread' (or any type of modern football)" coffin for all the UM stuck-in-the-mud types, so much the better.
If there any AZ or RR threads next week, that's problem. But for now, it's better than talking about the debacle (on and off the field) that is UM football.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||Don't let the fans off the hook||
A large majority of the fans, from students to alums, wanted RR gone--no matter who the replacement was, just get somebody else. Not to mention a number of former players. Beyond valid complaints (e.g., poor defense; struggling in red zone; losing to rivals), it was a "culture" issue. They hated the spread. They hated that we were "soft." They hated the running QB. They hated the coach's diction.
It was a tough time, as RR's teams were improving, but not fast, and it would have taken some vision and patience to give RR (+Casteel, as we finally would pay for assistants) a 4th year. But UM fans (in general) didn't want that; they wanted to "get back" to "real" football.
So, here we are. Our slow, stuck in 1990s, real football team is 2-3, and on a fast train to Palookaville.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||Bradon, yes. Hoke....||
Yes, Brandon (with the support of the big-money guys and his expensive contract) is here for 2015. I actually am more convinced of that now than I was two weeks ago. Sad, but true.
Hoke? If/when he goes 4-8 this year, Brandon will find that bus he threw him under when it was convenient at 1AM on Tuesday, but this time go all the way. Hoke is fired unless we somehow go 7-0 the rest of the way (so basically, he's fired). Getting everyone fixated on "Is it Harbaugh? What about Dan Mullen? Do you think we'd hire someone who ran the spread? Is it a 'Michigan Man'" will be a great distraction, and something to sell the fan base on (esp if he somehow gets a big name).