Rather be on BA
- Member for
- 4 years 4 weeks
- View recent blog entries
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Agree with the consensus- our||
Agree with the consensus- our loss was the worst.
MSU actually looked alright, and from my vantage point are the only respectable team in our crappy conference. Sorry, hate to say it, but it is true.
Our loss is about even with Ohio States except that we had it happen against a rival, in perhaps the last UofM-ND game some of us will get to see.
|5 weeks 2 days ago||And... it's full. Mgoblog||
And... it's full.
Mgoblog always comes through.
|12 weeks 17 hours ago||I agree. But, I can||
I agree. But, I can certainly understand the logic behind those saying that she deserves the same punishment that the football player got. Intent, not result. Blah blah blah.
|15 weeks 3 days ago||Our OL is too broken for one||
Our OL is too broken for one man to fix. I would go with Mike Hart, as I think if anyone could run behind this o line he could. Maybe Tyrone Wheatley
|19 weeks 1 day ago||(No subject)||
|20 weeks 2 days ago||(No subject)|
|20 weeks 6 days ago||Last time I checked Franklin||
Last time I checked Franklin hasn't coached a game at Penn State. He is recruiting well, so did Hoke, whether that translates to the field is yet to be seen. I wouldn't put Franklins success on the level or Urban or MSU yet.
I agree that Hoke needs a solid year this year though, if not to keep his job this year, then to avoid truly being on the hot seat the following year.
|21 weeks 11 hours ago||If Gisele likes the look who||
If Gisele likes the look who are we to question his choice?
I would dress however she wanted me to as well.
|21 weeks 19 hours ago||PG- SO Burke SG- 66||
PG- SO Burke
SG- 66 Cazzie
SF- 89 Rice
PF- SO Webber
C- So Phil Hubbard
BENCH: Sr Mike McGee, Jr Howard, So Jalen Rose, So Stauskus, '03 Blanchard
|25 weeks 1 day ago||Work until 2pm, lift weights,||
Work until 2pm, lift weights, play elder scrolls online, watch Game of Thrones, play more elder scrolls online since I don't have to work tomorrow.
Good day in my estimation.
|28 weeks 15 hours ago||Thanks for the detailed info!||
Thanks for the detailed info!
More food for thought.
|28 weeks 17 hours ago||Would it make the most sense||
Would it make the most sense to follow this thought process pretty strictly through the entire bracket, or deviate based on pure odds, especially in the later rounds?
For example. 46% of people on CBS have MSU getting to the final four, while 538 only gives them a 24% chance to be there. Meanwhile, only 9% of people are picking Nova to make it to the final four, while 538 gives them a 21% chance of being there. Thus, Nova would be the better pick from this train of thought
However, most would agree that MSU still has the better chance of making it out of the region. This is where ti would get tricky, trying to balance value and straight odds.
EDIT: By making a bracket solely based off of value as it is defined here, I have answered my own question.. The bracket looks ridiculous.
Basically, choosing the underdog almost always is more "valuable". Seems like the better way to use this info is to use "value" as a way to choose upsets, and a way to choose final four teams that less people are choosing, but statistically have a relatively good chance to make a run.
|28 weeks 18 hours ago||Or even better: Tenn/Iowa has||
Or even better: Tenn/Iowa has a combined 68% chance of defeating Saint Louis according to 538, but less than 20% are picking them to win. Thus this would be a good upset pick.
|28 weeks 18 hours ago||Does this statement make any||
Does this statement make any sense to people more mathematically inclined than me:
If an underdog has a greater % chance of winning than the % of people picking them to win the game, it is a good value to pick that upset.
For example, Silver gives Harvard a 42% chance to win the game, while according to CBS only 38% of people are choosing them to win. Thus it would be a good pick from a value standpoint.
Am I just making things up, or does this make sense?
EDIT: This is obviously not an end-all evaluation, but another factor to take into consideration when choosing picks/upsets.
|28 weeks 1 day ago||Every region is going to be||
Every region is going to be tough once you reach the sweet 16. Duke and Louisville are tough, but substitute us into other brackets and the going isn't much easier.
|28 weeks 1 day ago||Florida, Kansas, Syracuse,||
Florida, Kansas, Syracuse, OSU all in the South. Seems tough.
|28 weeks 1 day ago||I'm interested to see if we||
I'm interested to see if we get a better draw as a 2 seed than we would have as a 1. This loss could end up being a blessing in disguise.
Maybe I am just trying to make myself feel better.
Leave me alone.
|28 weeks 5 days ago||I still want Watkins if we||
I still want Watkins if we can reasonably trade up. I feel like you don't become a SB contender by building a solid all around team and trying to fill every single need. You build parts of your team to be juggernauts while some other parts may simply just have to hold up.
Examples of some very good teams over the last decade plus:
Seattle Defense vs Offense (although the Offense improved a lot)
Ravens Defense versus offense back in the day
Colts Offense versus defense
Broncos O vs D
NO Saints O vs D
Denver O vs D
Packers O vs D
I guess the Patriots are the exception.
All great teams have areas where they are not stellar but they also have areas where they are simply AWESOME. If the Lions draft Watkins I think it could put their offense over the top assuming Stafford has a bounce back year and the O Line can keep it up. The defense is good enough as is to make a deep play off run without top end secondary help. getting a game changer like Watkins is much more valuable to this team than a decent player like Ha-Ha or Dennard...
|29 weeks 1 day ago||Game #1: #8 Indiana vs #9||
Game #1: #8 Indiana vs #9 Illinois
How beautiful would that be?
|30 weeks 2 days ago||Someone needs to photoshop||
Someone needs to photoshop Cartman licking Izo tears.
|30 weeks 2 days ago||Tonights.||
|30 weeks 3 days ago||Just opened a homebrew dark||
Just opened a homebrew dark Rye PA. First bottle cracked. Not done bottle conditioning but tastes pretty good!
Just brewed a barleywine a couple months ago. Cheers!
|30 weeks 3 days ago||Lagunitas Sucks. Found a few||
Lagunitas Sucks. Found a few six packs left this afternoon!
|31 weeks 22 hours ago||I don't mind it. Heat of the||
I don't mind it. Heat of the moment; competition; yada yada. Complaining in interviews about injuries and whatnot is what bothers me, not emotional outbursts in game.
|31 weeks 2 days ago||The 40 time as a whole isn't||
The 40 time as a whole isn't very important, but the 10 yard split is very important. Lewan's was 1.70s which is very good. Broad jump should be another that is quite important for an OL. I would say vertical too.
Tbh though, the combine does a pretty crappy job with their testing. There are a lot of tests out there that would predict performance much better than many the NFL uses... a 225 lb bench press that players rep 20,30+ times is laughably unrelated to playing football. There is no true measure of upper body power or strength in their testing battery. The jumps do an okay job of lower body power, but there are still better methods out there.
|31 weeks 3 days ago||One guy, who most casual||
One guy, who most casual football fans still have no idea exists, does not invalidate my point.
Not to mention his most rewarding work has been largely outside of college athletics.
|31 weeks 3 days ago||I would bet a lot of money||
I would bet a lot of money that he falls somewhere in the middle. The job of a S&C coach is pretty crappy to be honest. You get minimal credit for the good you do, but if people get injured you get all of the negative attention in the world, whether it is actually your fault or not. One of the many reasons I decided not to pursue the career.
I would like to see the numbers too though..
|32 weeks 1 day ago||But I thought the previous||
But I thought the previous thread was a jinx fersure!!!!11!
We got bailed out big time. Cheers to that.
|32 weeks 1 day ago||Nebraska just bailed us out||
Nebraska just bailed us out so hard.
|32 weeks 1 day ago||Miles is my favorite||
Miles is my favorite non-Beilein B1G coach.