Mason NEEDS this, Pistons, after all you've put him through
- Member for
- 4 years 36 weeks
|3 weeks 2 days ago||With regards to TN's KenPom ranking||
I am no expert in KenPom's rankings, but do they include any sort of performance variance variable?
Consider two teams that have very similar per possession statistics, but lets say team 1 has very high variance from game to game (can lose to anyone, can blow anyone out) while team 2 tends to play very consistently (adjusting for quality of opponent, of course). Would it be fair to say that team 2 is a better team? I'd be very interested to see if there is any predictive value for including a component like that.
|4 weeks 4 days ago||For those of you who have||
For those of you who have read Ender's game, I feel like the media is sometimes playing the role of Colonel Graff in relation to the "star" player, who is Ender in this case.
When Ender gets to battle school, Graff intentionally and excessively hypes Ender in front of all his peers. This has the calculated effect of making his peers hate him and causes additional adversity that Ender has to overcome at Battle School.
The media tends to latch on to certain players and hype them far beyond thier actual talent level (departure from the analogy since Ender actually deserved the hype). Every time they seem shocked at the inevitable backlash towards the player that has been so forcefully shoved down our throats. Do they not realize (as Brian points out) that they are the very engine of our hate towards said player?
|7 weeks 1 day ago||That article totally ignored||
That article totally ignored how tiring it is to move around with all those crutches and casts. Not to mention how missing a few games in the middle of the season completely devastates a 20-year old athlete's conditioning, making him more tired when he comes back. Typical scUM bias.
|10 weeks 3 days ago||Personally I think Stauskas||
Personally I think Stauskas was just tired and was checked out a bit. It happens. I have to imagine that it is super difficult for a college student to stay focused and pumped for every game in a season. Sometimes you just have an off day and that is that. As much as I was in the same boat of "GIVE THE DAMN BALL TO STAUSKAS," he wasn't hitting his open looks and on the relatively difficult shots he was missing badly.
I am not overly concerned. Maybe it will be a thing, but for now the most likely explanation is that Stauskas had a couple bad games.
On the other hand, I fully agree about GRIII. I feel bad for him mostly, but it is quite apparent that he isn't the player we all thought he would be going into the year.
A question for those who know more about basketball than me (most of you): How much is a player's ball handling/driving ability an inherent skill versus something you can practice and get better at? I mean, GRIII looks like he should have the athletic ability to be a great penetrator, but his handle is quite bad and he often simply loses the ball. Is this due to not enough practice or is it mostly likely just a fact of his game at this point? If it is mostly a practice issue then I still have hopes of GRIII being a star. If not I think he will peak as an athletic role player.
|18 weeks 4 days ago||I find the premise of||
I find the premise of "unacceptable" somewhat silly, but there is no question in my mind that next year is decisive year for the future of the current staff.
If we can't put together a 9-3 team in this conference with next year's team, I strongly suspect big changes will be made. Either Hoke (unlikely) or Borges and most of the offensive staff (very likely) would get canned in that situation. Just my take on the situation.
|20 weeks 2 days ago||The play in the highlights||
The play in the highlights where he shoves the D-lineman 10 yards down the field straight into the referee is gold. Both for the dominance and comedic value.
|20 weeks 3 days ago||Les Miles strongest points as||
Les Miles strongest points as a coach are recruiting and a willingness to go out and get the best coordinators out there.
Hoke is also already a fantastic recruiter and has half of the "go out and get the best coordinators available" going for him already. Fire Borges, hire a well established, experienced OC and I am excited for the future. I foresee Hoke essentially being a Miles style coach but not as shady in the oversigning department (and less crazy).
|20 weeks 4 days ago||Bleh, feel so bad for the||
Bleh, feel so bad for the guy. I just tweeted an encouraging message to him, then felt dumb because it is probably meaningless coming from a random fan.
Either way, just hope that he keeps plugging away. He had a rough game, but without him I truly believe this is a 5-7 season at best.
|20 weeks 4 days ago||Gerg's units were||
Gerg's units were statistically worse for sure. In my opinion, though, Gerg was working with less talent, didn't get his own offensive staff, and probably had more meddling from the Head Coach than Borges does. Taken in context, I think Borges' management of the offense this year to be on par with anything Gerg threw out there.
|20 weeks 5 days ago||This is the classic||
This is the classic disconnect between potential and on-court production. Not that Stauskas is not athletic enough for the NBA, but the draft will see GRIII's measurables and draft him higher anyway. I too think Stauskas is a much better player, not just now but in the NBA as well.
|21 weeks 20 hours ago||Yes, and it tests their||
Yes, it tests their discipline when they have the slightest worry of actually needing to defend the run. I don't complain about PA on 1st down ever, and even second and long is fine by me. 3rd and long, really? It doesn't test DBs discipline because they have absolutely no concern for a run.
Watch the safeties on any given third and long play action against us. Do they show even the slightest hint of biting? Why would you ever have a QB who is struggling making the right reads take his eyes off of the downfield coverage to waste time faking something that no one is ever biting on? It is nonsensical.
|21 weeks 21 hours ago||I understand that audio||
I understand that audio transcripts don't always make the most sense when written down, but Hoke's answer to the play action question definitely sounds like he is squirming a bit. Test the DBs discipline, really?
And please tell me you asked a similar question of Borges. I am dying to hear the justification for play action on long third downs just so I can laugh at it.
|21 weeks 1 day ago||1. No need to be a dick. 2.||
1. No need to be a dick.
2. Given the inexactness of subjectively assigning percentages to unquantifiable metrics, it looks like space coyote just rounded everything that was small into a 5, and he has defended his Borges opinion exhaustively in other locations.
3. seriously we all know this season has sucked let's not be dicks.
|21 weeks 1 day ago||Pie charts||
My work browser is ancient and doesn't work well with MGoBlog comment thing. Hopefully this edit works:
The main issue with Pie charts is the difficulty in comparing two charts with different info because the location of the slices changes. Look at Mathlete's massive Rodriguez hate. If I want to compare his Denard hate with Seth's, the slices are now in different locations. Yes the color is the same, but sameness of location is far more important for easy comparison than color.
Also there is greater error in estimating the exact value. Quick, what is Brian's value for Funk? I'd guess the average error making that estimate is +/-3%, which is too high imo.
Finally, labelling is a major issue. You can either put the label in the slice and have awkward, sideways labels or put them outside with arrows, which is messy and hard to track.
In conclusion, pies are for eating not for displaying information.
|21 weeks 1 day ago||Great content, but pie charts||
Great content, but pie charts are the worst. If you truly care about people making meaningful conclusions/comparisons using your data, don't use pie charts.
Looks like the consensus (outside of Space Coyote) for Borges is around 25%, and I think that is about right, maybe a bit too much in my mind but it works.
However, if we were to take a more forward looking perspective, that one skies above all else as the major program concern and why I spend the most time fretting about it. Given the way Hoke is recruiting and (barring epic meltdown) the stability he should bring over the next few years, pretty much all those problems go away. Maybe not the universe but we are in the Big Ten, after all.
I'm still not convinced that Borges is the right answer going forward. He does a lot of stuff that just seems like nonsense to my untrained eye, and his disdain for understanding and learning from popular college football trends just seem worrisome to me. I'm willing to give it another year, but if we don't show significant progress in the cohesion of our offense next year, Borges is dead to me (dead!).
|21 weeks 6 days ago||I was becoming progressively||
I was becoming progressively more horrified about these possibilities until you got to Denard stops smiling, at which point I knew it was all an impossible nightmare and all is going to be ok.
|21 weeks 6 days ago||Mgoblog is the Saban of the||
Mgoblog is the Saban of the Blogosphere....so we are going to be talking about Texas soon?
Hook 'em horns I guess, I go where the money goes.
|22 weeks 1 hour ago||Thought exercise to make you||
Thought exercise to make you feel better.
Let's say that Hand commitment happened earlier in the year and instead it was Jabrill committing today. We are all happy about getting a top 5 player and are positive despite the team seemingly going backwards.
Personally, I think Peppers is a much better player than Hand anyway. Obviously I can't prove that I felt this way before Hand announced he is going to Bama, but I did.
|22 weeks 1 day ago||In fairness to Brian, Space||
In fairness to Brian, Space Coyote jumps into every single analysis thread Brian puts together and then refutes the main conclusions of said analysis. While he is very polite in what he says and I do believe he is a nice guy, it can come across like he is determinely trying to refute Brian at every opportunity. If you read SC's blog there is a strong sentiment of "Brian did some elementary work to get us started, but here is a more complete analysis...".
Still, the direct call outs probably weren't warranted. If it makes you feel better Brian I completely agree with your conclusions, but my opinion means less than both yours and SC's because I only watch the game once and then bitch about it afterwards.
|22 weeks 1 day ago||I really enjoy and respect||
I really enjoy and respect your posting SC, but I feel like you are not addressing the bigger issue many of us have with Al Borges.
We all agree there is an execution issue with the above play, no disagreement here certainly. The question is, why can't Michigan execute a fairly straight forward inverted veer? Something they should have mastered long ago if it really is one of their "base plays."
To me, there are two options, 1. Michigan's players collectively are one of the least coachable group of players in D-1 football or 2. Michigan's coaches aren't coaching these simple concepts very well.
Now, obviously that question is harder to answer, but the staggering consistency with which Michigan has failed to execute coupled with the seeming regression over the course of the season suggests to me that it is a coaching issue rather than a player issue.
I just don't see how constant failure to execute is not the coaches fault? Obviously a young team will make a lot of mistakes, but I think it is pretty obvious at this point that the issue goes beyond the players.
|23 weeks 2 days ago||Recruiting/stability is the||
Recruiting/stability is the big difference. On field performance is very hard to judge for 1,2, and even 3 year coaches sometimes, depending on personell issues from the previous regime.
Recruiting, however, is not as hard to judge. If you can't bring them in by year 2/3, odds are you are never going to make huge strides in that area (or at least it will take quite a bit longer to establish that trust with recruits). Rodriguez's 2nd year class was quite mediocre and his 3rd year class wasn't shaping up to be any better. Closely tied to that was the fact that large portions of the old school michigan fan base hated him and that scared away recruits even more.
As long as Hoke continues to recruit the way he currently does, he gets a much longer leash than RR.
|23 weeks 3 days ago||I am glad that this piece||
I am glad that this piece brought up Lewan's antics, because they were embarrassing to any true UofM fan. It was low class and reeked of childish anger in the face of a superior opponent. I hope they suspend him for at least a half of next week's game, maybe the whole thing.
Personally, I felt the offensive gameplan for MSU wasn't too bad in of itself. The true failing of this offense is the fact that there seems to be no overall vision or coherence to how the offense works. I fully agree with the coaches when they say that "execution was poor." I mean, what else would you expect when our offense has a new identity and bag full of gimmicks to run every week? I don't know, I am no football expert, but it looks like the Oline and Gardner look very hesitant and confused much of the time, and I put that on the coaches.
I really enjoy Space Coyote's breakdown of the game and his analysis of Borges' play calling. However, his logic usually runs along the line of, "Well this playcall should have worked, but the players didn't execute it." I agree college players are going to blow it with some regularity. If you are constantly failing to execute, though, that suggests that there is a bigger issue with the way you are practicing/teaching the players.
|24 weeks 6 days ago||My wife is 8 months pregnant||
My wife is 8 months pregnant for halloween this year, so we are thinking up some creative costumes for the bump. Best I have heard so far is globe and magic 8-ball.
|26 weeks 6 days ago||I am no expert in body types,||
I am no expert in body types, but Funchess looks to have a fairly slender frame. Not saying he can't be a tight end, but some guys just don't carry the extra mass particularly well. I am starting to suspect that Funchess doesn't have the body type to carry the extra weight he needs for TE. If you look at Butt, he looks thicker through the trunk and shoulders. Am I just imagining that or does anyone agree?
Besides, he has everything you could want in a dominant WR outside of blazing speed which, like, okay? I'll take that.
|27 weeks 4 days ago||FYI||
Actually, Mgoblog has a system where you lose points if you don't post for quite some time. I was well into the hundreds in the few months after signing up, then stopped posting for quite some time. My points dropped all the way back to zero, so when I started posting again it looked like I had been signed up for years and was just posting for the first time.
|27 weeks 4 days ago||What about that play against||
What about that play against FL in the capital bowl (I think? someone correct me if I am wrong) where they lined up Jake Long in the TE spot and threw it to him? Was the rule not in effect then or would it have been a penalty when if he had caught it?
|29 weeks 1 day ago||Look at the way lewan and||
Look at the way lewan and glasgow are blocking the dlineman and the linebacker funchess is going after. Touissant is following the direction the play is supposed to go I think.
yes, maybe he could have gotten better yardage by improvising, but then on other plays he kills it by not following his blocking. I personally prefer for him to follow his blocking and get that sorted out rather than have fitz looking to bounce every single carry.
|29 weeks 4 days ago||Ok, uneccesarily angry guy, I||
Ok, uneccesarily angry guy, I was referring to the missed TD catch not the int, though I thought he had a play on the int as well. It was a bad throw but that doesn't mean he couldn't have played the ball better.
|29 weeks 4 days ago||I agree Chesson showed why he||
I agree Chesson showed why he isn't quite ready. Looks like a good athlete, but he seems to have the Breaston syndrome of not being good at playing the ball in the air. Hope I am wrong about that one.
I don't get the lack of Tight end targets, though. I feel we need to develop more plays with tight ends as the #1 read because Butt and Funchess can physically outmatch a lot more guys than our receivers can.
|29 weeks 4 days ago||I'm all aboard the panic||
I'm all aboard the panic train, but I don't think Touissant deserves blame. He was very good today and by far our best offensive player.
the rest is pretty much what I am feeling though.
EDIT: You know you are slow when you get double ninja'ed