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- Carroll - 0%
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- Meyer - 17%
- Spurrier - 23%
- Harbaugh - 33%*
- Int return to 1 yard line then punched in against defense
- Punt return for TD to end half
- KO return to FG range followed by made FG
|1 hour 21 min ago||Let's get more data||
Basketball turnaround may be worhthy to reference from a feelings standpoint, but let's keep it focused on football. Citing a Michigan Rose Bowl year as the "pre" period doesn't help us too much. That's not where we've been. So let's talk about football programs who were also in the wilderness before someone who could truly stabalize the program.
Here are some additional data points:
Florida Galen Hall
Florida Steve Spurrier
Oklahoma John Blake
Oklahoma Bob Stoops
USC Paul Hackett
USC Pete Carroll
Florida Ron Zook
Florida Urban Meyer
Alabama Mike Shula
Alabama Nick Saban
Michigan Brady Hoke
Michigan Jim Harbaugh
The gigantic caveat is that these are the success stories. In all cases National Championships were achieved during the years listed above or very soon after. We should keep in mind that Ron Zook also took over for someone else and you see his performance above. But based on the evidence in his career we have reason to believe he belongs with this group rather than with the Zooks until proven otherwise.
So where does this year's turnaround stand compared to those above? Looking at the change in first year win % from worst to best:
Now, it is likely that Hoke's last team underperformed, but even if we kindly grant them one additional win, Harbaugh would still top the list at 25%.
We have every reason to be excited about the future, especially if the recruiting season ends up with the anticipated positive momentum. Assuming this is one of those turnarounds, there seem sto be evidence that Michigan is ahead of schedule.
*Pending bowl game result
|1 day 2 hours ago||Another good post||
Thanks for all of these, man.
FWIW I've met Big Nut and he seemed like a very nice, pleasant fellow. Especially for a Buckeye.
|1 week 1 day ago||These reffing refs||
And by far the worst call of the game was the drive-killing "blocking below the waist" penalty for a block in the shoulder. A rarely called penalty that couldn't have been seen in this case because it obviously didn't happen.
And none of this compares to how Wisconsin got jobbed. The league needs to take significant action this offseason. I don't remember the refs in this league ever being this bad. There must be some reason for the constant failure.
Also worst: this announcing team. I assume we won't have them next week again!
|1 week 3 days ago||That would help||
...particularly if Rudock continues to shine. Then one could argue that the current Michigan team is a very differnet one.
Also bear in mind Utah would have wins over UCLA and Stanford in this scenario.
If in the end they consider all else equal, they would put Utah forward.
Regardless it requires a lot to fall into place.
|1 week 3 days ago||But still in play for Oakland, right?||
|1 week 3 days ago||Utah||
If Utah runs the table from here on out, I doubt the committee would put Michigan in above them. Their only losses are a bad one at USC and OT at Arizona. The head-to-head would be hard to overcome. So we want them to fare well, but still pick up another loss.
|1 week 4 days ago||But Home and Home is where it's at||
I think part of the reason fans would want this is for the sake of the Home and Home. The Tennessee fan that suggested it to me wanted to visit Big Ten Stadiums, not FedEx field or whatever.
Plus getting that many NFL stadiums lined up would only add to the logistical problems.
I think the three main challenges are:
1) Schools schedule their own games out of conference, and there's not much a conference can do to force them to schedule particular teams
2) So many games are scheduled so far in advance. The second one can be managed with a bit of patience of course.
3) The most compelling way to make this happen would be via TV $$$$$$$. And that gets very complicated given that it's the home team that sets up the rights. You'd think that ESPN/CBS/SECN/BTN would want to make it happen as well, but the devil would be in the details on how they choose which games go on which network.
All of this is surmountable, but it would take a lot of work and arm-twisting to make it happen. Beilema's not going to be the one to do it.
|1 week 5 days ago||I asked Mike Slive about this once||
Way back in 2007 when a Tennessee fan urged me to do so.
He said he'd heard of similar proposals before and saw how it would be a good idea. However, he also said it would likely be impossible to implement for various reasons. And if the B1G and Pac-## couldn't do it after agreeing to the concept, how would one expect to convince all these SEC teams that won't travel to get on board?
Great that Bielema is saying it, but don't get your hopes up.
|2 weeks 23 hours ago||There more than two options||
Both the upcoming games are going to be difficult. We definitely have a chance and I hope we win.
...are you OK with this? Just making sure.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Canadians||
Nobody can drink as much as they can. (Though Wisconsinites come the closest...)
|2 weeks 2 days ago||Didn't mean that aggressively||
Just a bit torqued up at 2am here.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||That is a crazy thought||
He fielded a roller and still got it in place. He's supposed to be able to calculate his options in that situation? And even still, picking it up and running is a sure turnover on downs. At least he gave the kicker a chance...
|2 weeks 4 days ago||Gaps in early years?||
Fantastic stuff. One question - looking up older players brought mixed resutls. e.g. Lamarr Woodley and Leon Hall have full data for 2006. But Mike Hart has only two games showing up. Are there some gaps in the earlier data?
Thanks a ton for putting this together. Really good!
|2 weeks 4 days ago||Not Drew Henson||
That's for sure.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||Woodson||
Furthermore, Woodson reinjured his separated shoulder, but stayed in the game to reach those eight tackles. With one fully functioning arm. Amazing.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||Doesn't sound like a violation||
Just the same recruiting pitch they give everywhere, expcept that Meyer's is probably more polished and leveraging real-life examples of visits from bigwigs.
|3 weeks 14 hours ago||Whoops||
What I love is how the tacklers arrive at where they think Peppers is, and he's already several yards downfield.
|3 weeks 19 hours ago||Hahaha||
|3 weeks 21 hours ago||Wasn't Millen||
Broadcast team was McDunough and Spielman. And yes, early in the broadcast they said it was a very strong officiating team who called one of the playoff games last year (I assume Oregon/FSU).
|4 weeks 6 days ago||To throw a little luke warm water on the topic||
Just listened to Bruce Feldman's latest podcast with Brandon Huffman who basically said:
1) Leaders are Auburn and Michigan, both with a good shot.
2) Alabama and all the usual heavy-hitters are going to continue to make their push, so the picture can surely change between now and signing day.
Doesn't mean Webb isn't right, but it was also not what I wantedt to hear.
|5 weeks 19 hours ago||Here you go!||
|5 weeks 22 hours ago||Was Scorekeepers||
Was Scorekeepers, actually.
|6 weeks 1 day ago||The goggles...||
...zey do nothing!
|6 weeks 6 days ago||Would be wonderful||
And ESPN would surely not have a problem running this a couple two three times:
|7 weeks 20 hours ago||Colors||
I like that you said "Silver and Red." This would also piss them off.
(Of course we never get overly demanding about what ours are called...)
|7 weeks 20 hours ago||Just wanted to say||
Thanks for spelling it doughtnuts even though the company does not.
|7 weeks 4 days ago||What is the protocol?||
Do we need to deploy the grammar police for Spanish around these parts?
|7 weeks 5 days ago||Can't recall a pick, but...||
Surely all remember that Woodson did force an incredibly important Brady fumble that was then overturned due to the "tuck rule."
|8 weeks 41 min ago||Iowa 1997||
Defense was really only responsible for 7 of those 24 points. Others were:
Perhaps a way to improve the methodology by taking out return scores. Technically that would only lower the Iowa defensive score by 7, but again 10 additional points were not their doing.
|8 weeks 23 hours ago||Iowa?||
I think that's a pretty harsh assessment. Yes, the D gave up a 53 yard run to Tavian Banks. No, they didn't make any other significant mistakes and generally dominated a strong offense.
The secound touchdown was a 1-yard drive set up by a Griese interception. The third was a Tim Dwight punt return on the last play of the half. The final Iowa scoring, a FG, was also wholly set up by a Dwight kickoff return.
Total yards for Iowa? 187. So yes, condemn the defense for the 53 yard run, but the rest of the day they gave up only 134 against an offense that averaged 383 per game on the season (inclusive of this one).
Also, hard to say that the offense "bailed them out" when the offense gave up the interception that set up the one-yard drive and also couldn't get a first down to end the half that set up the punt return touchdown.
If you're looking for fault with the 1997 defense, you're going to have trouble finding it to begin with. Regardless, the Iowa game is not the best place to look.