Nick

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Date	Title	Body
1 week 2 days ago	being able to hack it on the football field is NOT a requirement	Thats on the coach for misevaluating a kids character or talent.  If the player broke no rules, he gets to keep his scholarship. Those are the guidelines the by the book coaches keep, and any coach who operates under a different premise unevens the playing field and obatins a competitive advantage. Bottom line is this.... player broke no rules, is academically eligible and wants to stay on scholarship, then guess what, he gets to keep his scholarship.
1 week 2 days ago	backdating only matters for the 25 man per year limit	Not the 85 overall cap.  You cant backdate your way out of counting up total guys on scholarship for the 15 football season. The 85 total cap is the limiting factor here. 85 minus 73 equals 12 total scholarships currently available for the 15 class pending further attrition.
1 week 4 days ago	Does anybody know	why Snyder still gets and has always gotten normal access to the basketball program? why isnt he blackballed?
12 weeks 3 days ago	Very limited trade market for Monroe bc he has a no trade clause	Monroe has a 1 year no trade clause because he signed the qualifying offer.  The pistons had to make the qualifying offer to make him a restricted free agent.  But since he didnt either sign an offer sheet from another team or agree on a long term deal with Detroit, the only avenue left was signing the one year qualifying offer.  This makes him untradable without his consent this year and an unrestricted free agent next year.   So any team the trades for him cant offer him an extension because the deadline has passed.  So he will reach free agency no matter what.  This means no team is going to give up anything significant for him.  Hes not an elite player, so teams will just wait til the summer to make a run at him.
17 weeks 4 days ago	reinforcements	Dave Brandon is flying in the Ferguson police dept. as we speak
19 weeks 2 days ago	Most sportsbooks just copy and paste the lines	Lines typically orginate first from an offshore sportsbook for games that day or that week.  Of course, they are futures lines like Jamie listed, but these arent for nearly every game. From what I understand, CRIS and pinnacle are the offshore books that put out lines first and many other sportsbooks duplicate those lines, with some subtle adjustments, usually not more than a half point or some extra vig, to account for the bet patterns of their client base. For example, a sharp book like pinnacle might open an NFL game team A −6.5 v. team B. And a square or public book might open that same game team A −6.5(−120) v. team B (meaning bet 120 to win 100 as opposed to 110 to win 100).  Or if they anticipate even more action on the favorite, they might open team A −7 vs. team B to dissaude too much action on team A. But in most cases the lines are the same, any differences in the lines are small and the differences get hammered out pretty quickly.  The books that put out opening lines typically have lower bet limits to reduce their exposure to having released a bad number. So there are occassional arbitrage opportunities where two books have different lines simautaneously, but the house edge makes the opportunities difficult to generate a profit for the effort level required. I go to donbest.com to look at lines, as they have about 15 different books listed.  But there are others with odds screens like vegasinsider.com, pregame.com, covers.com and probably some obvious sites im missing.
19 weeks 2 days ago	It doesnt impact bets already placed	When you place a bet at a sportsbook, that wager stands even if the line moves. So if you bet Michigan +12.5 vs. MSU right now and at game time the line is Michigan +9, then your bet will be graded as it was when you made the wager.  The line movement is just saying whats available to be bet on now, as opposed to what was available previously. The most important thing in betting is getting the best of the number. So, you will be a +EV  bettor long term if the line moves in favor of the team you bet on.
19 weeks 3 days ago	31 to 24	Michigan 31 Utah 24
21 weeks 6 days ago	Teasers are very rarely valuable	Unless, youre teasing across both 3 and 7, its usually not worth it.    Teaser sides have to each hit about 72% or more to be profitable.  .72 X .72 = .5184, which should be around break even point if standard vig. If you think plus 11 is a good bet, take that. But moving from 11 to 17 or 17.5 doesnt shift your probability of winning that leg of the bet by enough to be worth it. In general, I would only tease in lower scoring games with spreads in single digits. just my opinion, though. Have fun betting a safe amount.
23 weeks 3 days ago	I am hoping that they do a delayed home and home like this	22 Home v. ucla,              @Opponent1 23 @ucla,                         Home v. Opponent2 24 Home v. Opponent1,   @Opponent2
32 weeks 1 day ago	Not sure if this is article you were referencing.	http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/rule-5-dark-horse-j-d-martinez/   Its very detailed and breaks down changes in his swing plane.
41 weeks 1 day ago	I think we would take a big in 15.	And only one of McQuaid and Coleman. Assuming a 3 man class and the 4 spot filled by transfer
41 weeks 1 day ago	Yes	This kid is incredible. I've been reading about him for a while. Great shooter and playmaker. Pretty damn good athlete as well. I think if he played HS in US he'd be a top 10 recruit
41 weeks 5 days ago	DJ Wilson	he is going to play the 4 at Michigan. Hes 6 foot 8 with pretty good vertical athletecism. If you dont think he gets the bulk of his minutes at the 4, you havent been paying close enough attention to JBs tenure at MIchigan. And I think Donnal gets most of the backup 5 minutes in lieu of Bielfeldt or Doyle.  When in doubt and when there are minutes up for grabs, Beilein tends towards guys with more perimeter skills.  I really really think Wilson is going to play a lot this year, even more so if MItch leaves, which would bump Donnal up to starting at the 5.  Shoot, if MItch leaves, Chatman may even start at the 4.
42 weeks 2 days ago	its	probably the nbadraft.net guy
45 weeks 14 hours ago	Mercer Mercer Mercer Mercer Mercer	Mercer  Mercer Mercer Mercer Mercer Mercer 81st in Kenpom or 7th.  77th in sagarin or 20th. This isnt even close.  I think we know Tennesse isnt quite the 7th best team in the country, but theyre atleast top 25. The gap is pretty large between the two teams.
47 weeks 2 days ago	I think of Manny Harris too	not in the sense that hes the only one I think of, just the first one, because I think of that 09 season, my senior year.
47 weeks 2 days ago	when this happened	Jalen and Rembert starting yelling “eff yo couch” ala dave chappelle.
49 weeks 6 days ago	Seriously?	Nik Caris screens would just get switched every time. Then it'd be an isolation or have to get into another action.
50 weeks 4 days ago	it actually depends	If Austin Hatch is on scholarship next year, Michigan needs to lose one guy through attrition, whether by NBA draft or transfer. If Hatch is not on scholarship, Michigan can return everyone and still be at 13. They have 11 this year, so 2 open. They graduate Morgan, taking them down to 10. So Chatman, Doyle, Wilson makes 13. Michigan whiffing on Booker and Blackmon opened up some scholarship wiggle room. It all depends on Hatchs status.  I hope he can play for Michigan.
1 year 1 day ago	my god	this cant be real
1 year 1 week ago	I think the intuitiveness of going by 3pt allowed	rather than by % allowed is that teams tend to shoot threes when they are open, and dont when they arent... thus most teams have a roughly similar distribution of the opennesss of attempts agaisnt them.  Thus measuring attempts would imply a certain amount of each type... open, semi contested and heavily contested.  And that % allowed is highly variant and that most teams havent played enough games for that to normalize, and likely wont by the end of the year.
1 year 1 week ago	This draft isnt acutally that deep	It just has 6 to 7 possible franchise players at the top of it. Embiid, parker, wiggins, randle, exum, smart, gordon... after that a big dropoff to guys like Saric, G Harris, Cauley Stein, ZLavine, Vonleh, Hood, GR3, James young, Selden, Harrison twins, Dekker, payne,
1 year 2 weeks ago	Yeah	I haven't heard anything either way about which way Mitch is leaning. And I don't think Mitch's rehab would be sufficiently different depending on his draft preferences.
1 year 2 weeks ago	Nbadraft.net is a joke	Don't use that site. look at espn chad fords stuff and draft express
1 year 3 weeks ago	Yeah I dont know	if they were only switching off ball screens, or if they were switching on ball screens as well. Regardless, Irvin wasnt in position to switch and prevent penetration or to hedge, whatever th assignment was.  I wish someone could ask Beilein about that play so we can properly allocate blame and credit. But yes, Stauskas was weak at the end, and shoulda made more effort to box out Smith once it was clear petteway was past him and Smith was his man on the roll.
1 year 3 weeks ago	Stauskas defensive criticism last play	I want to address this.  I dont think its as simple as saying he got blown by. Nebraska runs a screen the screener action.  Irvins man sets an off ball screen on GR3, freeing Robinsons man to go set a ball screen for petteway on Stauskas. In theory, this is intended to eliminate the hedge help and allow penetration, because GR3 would have to fight over the off ball screen just to get in position to defend the ball screen and may not get to the right spot or be off balance. However, Michigan switches everything as they often do on last possessions.  Irvin doesnt quite communicate in time and is caught too low to help on the action.   Its easier to see in the highlight vid on mgoblue.com than in the gif above, but if you pause it when petteway crosses the 3pt line, Irvin should be a few feet higher and wider and thus petteway would either have to retreat dribble or pass it off.   I actually thought Stauskas did a good job of locking and trailing around the screen, which never actually got set, but he had to take that angle around the screen in anticipation of it.  Its clear by Niks positioning that they are forcing him to use the screen, rather than pushing the ball handler baseline, so Nik is expecting help middle.  It just never comes because of Nebraskas off ball action made Irvin a split second late.  Good play drawn up by Tim Miles, and it works in part because it makes Irvin, a wing, the big man defender in a ball screen, a role to which he is largely unnacustomed.
1 year 3 weeks ago	Yep Nebraska much improved	Mich was a 5.5 pt fave at the sportsbooks, and projected to win by 4 by Kenpom ( which doesn't know about McGarys injury). 1pt win isn't that far off expectations and if Mich had made free throws or Nebraska didn't go crazy from 3 they'd have been right on. Still lotta issues on D guarding screen roll that need to be fixed. But I expect Nebraska is better than NW an PSU and could compete with purdue for 9th in league.
1 year 3 weeks ago	Im thinking	that maybe DB and Hoke planeed to keep Borges around unless one of a specified list of slam dunk candidates became available or had interest.  Given the timing was after the bowls, and Nussmeier was hired within hours of Borges firing, you have to believe they had an agreement with Nuss before firing Borges. If they actually did adopt that maybe or maybe not keep Borges plan, Im not sure I agree with that. Let him go or dont, dont let it be contingent on X happening.  If youre even asking yourself the question if someones the right fit, usually its time to move on.
1 year 8 weeks ago	A better deal in my mind, not	A better deal in my mind, not in Dombrowskis.  Im sure he thought this was the best deal he could get.  I disagree because I think he values Robbie Ray more highly than most scouts do. I said that if they didnt have a deal better than this, they should have just kept Fister... but Dombrowski went into the offseason with the plan of trading a starter and didnt deviate from it.  The return was obvioulsy good enough for him... but most out there are calling it a bad return.   Dombrowski has a great trading history, but just saying that we should trust him no matter what he does is an appeal to authority and leaves no room for reasonable criticism.

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