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Look it's just management…

Look it's just management 101 that when two guys get into a dispute and one of them is one of the most dogshit and incompetent employees you have and the other one is well respected as one of the absolute best at his job, you fire the guy who is well respected and competent.

Warde in 2020 had a choice…

Warde in 2020 had a choice of either committing to Harbaugh or firing him. He did neither, Michigan got a national title but also lost Harbaugh over it. Warde should go.

The writing is on the wall…

The writing is on the wall that the ACC is going to be a 1 bid league out of the 12. It's going to be ACC Champ, Big 12 Champ, Best G5 Champ, Notre Dame (Unless they're terrible) and then 4 SEC teams and 4 Big 10 teams. You're going to have to win the ACC to sniff the playoff. 

Also, FSU is the most debt laden team in the top end of college football. They have no real big money donors. They were an all women's teacher college until the late 40s or early 50s, there's no old money. It's basically "what if you took a directional Michigan school but stuck it in close proximity to most of the top talent in America and gave it the greatest coach of all time 40 years ago"

NC legislature has basically…

NC legislature has basically made the position of chancellor at UNC impossible ever since the Silent Sam statue got taken down. He basically ran screaming for the first decent job he could find.

Should

1. Michigan 2…

Should

1. Michigan 2. Washington 3. Texas 4. FSU

Will

1. Michigan 2. Washington 3. Fsu 4. Texas

No matter what happens with…

No matter what happens with Harbaugh and the NFL, it doesn’t matter. Michigan has the next head coach on staff.

No it's important that…

No it's important that Harbaugh hire his old coach's fail son and some dipshit marine who used to drink with his son. 

Apparently Ohio State was…

Apparently Ohio State was lobbying for the suspension to be reduced too. I imagine this is because Ryan Day doesn't want to be fired if he loses. 

The main thing is that all…

The main thing is that all the people who thought Michigan was too virtuous to have bag men can all go grab their clown make up and pick out their favorite pair of oversized shoes. Michigan didn't spend a decade being bad because it didn't cheat like everyone else, it was bad for a long time because Michigan 1. Made a hire that looked good on paper and turned out to be bad and then 2. followed that up with a hire that looked bad on paper and also was bad.

This is the big time, everyone cheats, including Michigan. Michigan just needs to not be as shitty at cheating so it doesn't get caught next time and hope this sloppy operation doesn't get Michigan nuked from orbit. 

The Big 10 exists as long as…

The Big 10 exists as long as Michigan and Ohio State allow it to continue existing. If i was, say, Purdue and I knew that I get millions of dollars a year in tv money I did absolutely nothing to earn and that the super league is looming over the entire sport…..I would not piss off one of the two schools that holds my balls in their hands. 
 

but this is why the super league is inevitable: a bunch of a parochial dipshits making decisions without any concept of the big picture while the conference “leadership” are just the emptiest suits who ever lived.

I am beyond gobsmacked that…

I am beyond gobsmacked that the guy who negotiates TV contracts is willing to stick his dick in the mouse trap over this penny ante shit. 

I don't want to say a bunch…

I don't want to say a bunch of bad stuff about Cade, he was the QB for the 2021 Game. But stuff's come out that makes you uncomfortable and he made some comments that I hope he now regrets. He made a really bad decision on where to transfer and he's going to have to live with that bad choice. 

Anyone who looked out on the sea of college football and thought entrusting your career to that senile old man and his worthless son was a good idea is a fool. 

Oh I know, I live in Raleigh…

Oh I know, I live in Raleigh. I think I mainly just want all the Wolfpack friends in my life to finally have peace and end their Sisyphean existence with Doeren, because Doeren has never been quite good enough to get a better job and never quite bad enough to fire. He's perfectly cromulent. Michigan State could probably use cromulent right now.

Oregon State and Washington…

Oregon State and Washington State are exploring possibilities with the Mountain West to expand the conference with promotion/relegation so that Oregon State/Wazzu won't be stuck playing worthless garbage like Nevada. I think it's possible we could see promotion/relegation at the mid major level.

So the reality is that TV…

So the reality is that TV contracts make it impossible to ever do anything like this for the upper echelon of the sport, but I do think promotion/relegation could be possible for the next level down, which is apparently what Oregon State is exploring with the Mountain West. Right now, the mountain west's top end could compete in the Pac 12 today, but the bottom of that league is sub-FCS level for athletic budget.

But going forward, if the Mountain West could get North Dakota State and the lesser mountain schools like Montana/Montana State/North Dakota/South Dakota/South Dakota State, split the league in two with the upper half on the promotion side and the lower half on the relegation side, that could actually be attractive to TV networks. You'd be guaranteeing them a better supply of games from the upper half plus a ton of inventory due to the size of the league.

If it works, maybe you could see the AAC and CUSA merge with the CUSA as the relegation league. The lower leagues are going to have to get creative to make themselves valuable to TV in the super league era. 

From Michigan State's…

From Michigan State's perspective, Tucker could produce a facetime of Brenda Tracy saying "This is absolutely something I am enjoying and mutually partaking in" and it wouldn't matter, because the issue is having any kind of sexual conduct with a vendor of the University.  

 

I do not want to play…

I do not want to play against Sean Lewis coached offense with Big 10 recruited talent, so they should probably hire him.

Doeren isn't a home run hire, but he runs a competent program that has nasty defenses and is always bowling. He's basically Dantonio without the personality disorder.

 

I don't know who Mel paid to…

I don't know who Mel paid to be his lawyer, but he should get a refund. His continual attempts to slander Tracy are outrageous and absurd. It's like nobody on his legal team has figured out that it doesn't matter if his call with Tracy was consensual or not as far as Michigan State is concerned. The fact it happened, which he admits, is a fireable offense. He can go up and down yelling about redpill crap about women and Tracy, it's not going to change that the university believes it was fireable for him to have a sexual relationship with a university vendor.

Combined with his absolutely deranged defense of himself at the first hearing re: the nonexistent ESPN investigation into Tracy's background and it makes one question if Mel has CTE or something. 

I think it’s becoming clear…

I think it’s becoming clear that Seth’s guess at what happened is more likely than anything. Someone at Michigan State leaked the investigation once it broke enough contain from the investigation circle to get Mel out of there asap. 
 

It also looks like Michigan State’s position is that the October hearing is irrelevant to Mel’s job because even if his version of events is true, that’s a fireable for cause action. 

Any time you move on from…

Any time you move on from someone who is unfit to coach your team, it's ultimately a good thing. Mel Tucker is unworthy of coaching a Big 10 team that's won the conference in recent memory like Michigan State. They will be better off moving on then being stuck with him.

But it's hard to find short term positives about having to fire your coach because he's a weirdo sex pest.

Does he have CTE? Between…

Does he have CTE? Between mentioning Harbaugh out of nowhere and that wild lie he told Michigan State about his accuser being investigated by ESPN, this guy seems unwell.

It looks like us Spectrum…

It looks like us Spectrum customers are gonna get the Disney+/Hulu/ESPN+ bundle for free. 

Don't worry, there's still a…

Don't worry, there's still a possible future where Alabama goes 8-4 and Texas loses three conference games, forcing Saban to retire out of shame.

I think it was Bud Elliot on…

I think it was Bud Elliot on Twitter, but someone pointed out that Texas A&M signing all those elite big uglies on both offense and defense and then doing nothing with them has likely had a knock on effect of turning Ohio State and Alabama into 10-2 type teams instead of what they aspire to be. You look at the classes TAMU has signed and it's just extraordinary what they've managed to sign along the lines. They've got nothing to show for it, but I don't think it's a stretch to think it's had a major negative impact on elite recruiting teams like Alabama who likely would have signed at least half those guys if not for TAMU.

But I suspect the bigger culprit has been Nick's inability to hang on to coordinators. 

Nobody ever learns from…

Nobody ever learns from anything. When Penn State scandal came to light, I thought "wow the one good thing is this could finally end the culture of secrecy on college campuses that leads to this shit." Then Baylor happened and I thought "well, I grew up in religious schooling and I can see how this happened easily." But it's just clear that colleges are never going to stop trying to sweep evil shit under the rug and then suddenly shit themselves when the press makes it public. This is just life now.

 

There's two rules for the…

There's two rules for the streaming industry:

1. Never quote actual numbers

or if you do

2. Quote numbers so absurd you have to be a victim of lobotomy to believe they're true.

 

Yes Netflix, Spencer Confidential has been watched by more people than the population of Asia. That's definitely true

Clemson spent a lot of money…

Clemson spent a lot of money trying to sell "Come spend 4 years here, wait your turn to start, we will not use the portal to put someone ahead of you" to 18 year olds who would rather just have playing time. 

The portal has transformed the way we look at recruiting, because you can now take big swings at lower star guys with high ceilings/low floors and just portal your way out of it if the home run/bust recruit ends up a bust. Clemson is just stuck with Their Guys even if Their Guys don't pan out.

It all goes back to Brian …

It all goes back to Brian (wrongly, and stupidly) calling his reporting on bagmen wrong and calling Godfrey an idiot for believing the figures bagmen quoted him for top SEC talent. That piece basically made Godfrey famous and he's rightly insanely defensive of it, especially since it basically got him blackballed from doing any official SEC media. Brian was living in lala land at the time about the state of compensation for top players.

Then Godfrey (and a lot of media too) got tricked by Hugh Freeze into reporting bogus info about the SEC investigation into Ole Miss by reporting everything NCAA was looking at was from the Houston Nutt era. This turned out to be completely bullshit, and Brian shit all over Godfrey (which was fair this time) and this is a thing Godfrey is still pissed off about. He did a big podcast about Hugh Freeze being a worthless piece of shit that he's decided to finally move on and forgive because the hatred he had for Hugh wasn't healthy, but it boiled down to Hugh fucked him over and it hit him harder professionally than people like Bruce Feldman because SBNation wasn't legacy media and it got him branded an Ole Miss homer. 

At this point, Godfrey's problem with Michigan is the same problem most of the people who post on this website have: a bunch of people who like the smell of their own farts too much and feel like there's a moral superiority in kowtowing to hopelessly corrupt orgs like the NCAA. The only reason he still directs that shit at Brian despite it being objectively not something Brian has ever said anything is all the baggage I listed up there. 

Did anyone who went to the…

Did anyone who went to the game by chance run into Pirate Rick? He's a colorful figure of note who goes to every ECU home game and every big road trip. You wouldn't have missed him, he's a unique character befitting the beautiful tapestry that is college football. 

Wont go that far. Unc has a…

Wont go that far. Unc has a defense that at least looks like it won’t be bottom 20 again. If unc defense can be somewhere around 40-50, that’s a playoff team.

Clemson’s qb is a dud. That…

Clemson’s qb is a dud. That slide on 4th down was one of the dumbest and whatever the opposite of heads up plays I’ve ever seen a player make. Every time the field got short and they needed him to actually do something, he failed. Became clear halfway through the game Riley had to rework the game plan because he kept shitting up and he had to try to Cole-proof the game plan and Cole still found ways to screw it up.

Clemsons era of national relevance is over. That league belongs to FSU, UNC and I guess Duke now. Elko is legit and deserves a tippy top job. If Harbaugh goes to the NFL he looks like a very good outsider option.

There's not a single coach…

There's not a single coach who likes the NIL/Transfer Portal model. NIL itself isn't bad, but the idea that coaches can't have anything to do with it is insane because everyone knows coaches aren't going to obey that.

I think if you polled FBS coaches it'd be 95% "please for the love of God let us sign the guys to contracts so I don't have to re-recruit my entire roster every goddang offseason"

It’s also hard to tell what…

It’s also hard to tell what Notre Dame is on defense because the ncaa basically legislated Navy’s offense out of effectiveness and Navy just seems too stubborn to change it. I don’t know how you run that flexbone without wing backs being allowed to cut, and apparently neither did Army’s coach because they’ve changed their offense. 

Don Brown is doing things at…

Don Brown is doing things at UMass! His defense is still kind of broken but he’s basically running the Gun Triple stuff on offense and they seem like they’ll be pretty fun.

Hawaii’s back, and they should never ever hire a coach who isn’t from the run and shoot tree ever again

It's more likely he gets…

It's more likely he gets pissed off and quit when Colorado keeps getting embarrassed and he decides its bad for his brand.

So the Napier one is funny,…

So the Napier one is funny, because if you're being rational he shouldn't be anywhere near a hot seat. McIlwain was a mediocre recruiter who got their recruiting rankings to look less shit by taking low character high star players that Alabama and Georgia didn't want who inevitably washed out, and Mullen was just the worst recruiter at a major program we may have ever seen in the modern era. The talent level at Florida is sub-South Carolina, and the angst over Mullen's bad recruiting was such that I think it's bought Napier some time. Then again, it's a major SEC job and if he goes 4-8 who knows?

Venebles is in the put up or shut up territory. He took over a playoff caliber team, yes they got decimated by the portal but the portal goes two directions. There's really no excuse for them bottoming out like that. If there's not some proof of concept there, I'm not sure he gets a year 3. They fired Howard Schnellenberger after one embarrassing year, John Blake got 2-3 and that was when schools were much more forgiving than they are now. He can't do that again.

Oil prices are pretty high, Jimbo's buyout won't save him if they're embarrassing again this year. They already made him have a shotgun wedding with Petrino that could turn into a disaster, if they're 5-7 or 4-8 I think he's gone.

Ryan Day is fired if Michigan wins 3 in a row and I don't care if that's not rational, this sport isn't rational and Ohio State ain't accepting John Cooper 2.

Neal Brown is going to be lucky to make it week 3. They start the season with two massive out of conference games against the programs WVU views as their arch rivals, Penn State and Pitt. If he beats Pitt and has a respectable showing against Penn State, maybe he survives until the end of the season. Blowout loss to Penn State and a loss to Pitt, he's looking for a realtor.

After Neal, Freeman looks like the likeliest to get fired. Losing Rees and not being able to replace him while his promises of great recruiting fail to materialize has him on the ropes already. He made a ton of big promises that he could make Notre Dame recruit like Georgia and it's not showing up.

 

 

The reason conference title…

The reason conference title games exist is to have more game inventory to sell to TV networks. The Big 10 title game ain't going away. 

I think there will be a lot…

I think there will be a lot of political pressure by Oregon and Washington's state legislatures to force those games to continue. Washington already said they're going to "do whatever they can" to keep the Wazzu game on the schedule. I imagine if they try to stop playing it they'll get forced to play it by the sounds of things.

I mean, Maryland/Rutgers…

I mean, Maryland/Rutgers didn't get a full share either for a few years. I think they only just recently started getting full member shares within the last few years. I can't speak for Nebraska because they were certainly in a much better bargaining position, but withholding full share of TV money for new members has been a pretty common thing for a lot of schools joining new leagues in realignment. 

Don't need to. The Big Boys…

Don't need to. The Big Boys who the network who pays for all this down the road will just leave the Big 10/SEC/ACC and join a new league. That'll be how the premier league comes about and it's basically a certainty that happens. The only question is who will pay for it, Fox/Disney/Someone else (lets just say the Saudis). 

Nobody is going to kick…

Nobody is going to kick Purdue out of the Big 10. Instead, Michigan/Ohio State/USC/Penn State/Notre Dame will have probably joined the Big 10 by then will just leave the conference and join Alabama/Georgia/Texas/Oklahoma and whoever the TV network who pays for all this decides is worthy to form a new national league. You're kidding yourself if you think this ends any other way.

The whole point of getting…

The whole point of getting NBC as a TV partner is to get ND to join the Big 10. They will too. 

Notre Dame will be in the…

Notre Dame will be in the Big 10 within 3 years.

Two mega conferences, and…

Two mega conferences, and maybe one or two lesser high mid majors. I think the ACC survives losing members because there's so many schools in that region and I have a sinking suspicion that 10 more years of travel is going to make the eastern appendage of Big 12 teams weary and more interested in a reformulated ACC than sticking around the Big 12. I think it shapes up with Two Megas, and then the ACC and Big 12 more or less on the same level and then everyone else.

Pac 12 is dying because it's lost a ton of members and there's just nobody who really moves the needle in the region to take their place. By 2035 USF or FAU or Memphis or whatever might be primed to move into the ACC and keep the league high mid major level. 

Then someone makes an offer for Alabama, Georgia, Ohio State, Michigan, Notre Dame, USC and the few schools of that level to just leave both the Big 10 and the SEC to start a Premier League, and then the real chaos starts when all the Illinoises and South Carolinas have to figure out what's next.

 

I'm just so grossed out by…

I'm just so grossed out by how Big 10 officials handled all this. "Oh we don't want to kill the Pac 12" bitch you shot 'em in the stomach a year ago. What are you talking about "we don't want blood on our hands." Even if that was true, you don't want to kill em but you'll rob their grave if someone else does, gee, how noble! But even that's full of shit because the Big 10 and Fox 100% murdered the Pac 12 to death and to sit and pretend they drives me insane.

The ACC will tell you "we killed Big East football and we'd do it again." The SEC makes no bones about what it did to the Big 12. Big 10 needs to stop pretending they're a bunch of warrior poets and own it.

So there's now a non zero…

So there's now a non zero chance Cal isn't playing football after 2025 or so. Either the Big 10 throws a lifeline to the two NorCal nerd schools or I genuinely think Cal drops the sport and turns the stadium into dorms.

Not bad for a league that…

Not bad for a league that 10ish years or so ago was almost killed dead by the Pac 16 that never was. 

Yeah they gave up the…

Yeah they gave up the ability to swing their dick around when they left the conference that depended on them for their existence.

It's going to be interesting to see schools like USC and Texas, and to a lesser extent Florida State and UNC, who are used to being schools in their conference that conference leadership bends to move on to other leagues where they're not even close to the biggest dick at the table and where they're just 1 of Many instead of the ass that has to be kissed hardest.

Yeah but a lot of guys in…

Yeah but a lot of guys in suits think "what if we made the college football into 'the NFL but everyones not as good'" and they've never been wrong before!

TV money is drying up…

TV money is drying up because TV is dying and streaming is a disaster, so there's not enough to go around to keep 5-6 conferences well fed and happy. It's just going to keep consolidating as there becomes less and less TV money for everyone. 

Wouldn't be surprised if in 10 years the best of the SEC and B1G leave their leagues to start a College Football Premier League together once they get tired of splitting revenues with the Illinois and South Carolinas of the world. This whole SEC v. B1G world with two conferences last as long as Fox and ESPN both stay in the rights business, we may look up in 10 years and there's just going to be one rights buyer who ends up reshuffling things into the Premier League format. God knows who that'll be, probably an ESPN sold off to the Saudis.