gambling establishment etc
|3 days 20 hours ago||A stick is a switch she can||
A stick is a switch she can use to whoop you with.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CeHLcMGGbuQ (clip from community)
|1 week 2 days ago||I thought you were predicting||
I thought you were predicting the basketball team's record for next year and I thought we might be getting ahead of ourselves.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||Is that a new rule? Doesn't||
Is that a new rule? Doesn't that make it awfully difficult to block punts if you're not allowed to jump to try and block them?
|11 weeks 4 days ago||Beilein with the GO BLUE to||
Beilein with the GO BLUE to the camera!
|11 weeks 4 days ago||Atta boy Nik, sell the||
Atta boy Nik, sell the program to those recruits!
|11 weeks 4 days ago||Does Exum really fit well||
Does Exum really fit well with Burke in Utah? Or is there only room for one of them?
|17 weeks 3 days ago||How's this for optimism?||
Caris LeVert - 20+ ppg, National Player of the Year and Top 5 NBA draft pick.
|19 weeks 20 hours ago||As a Maryland resident, I'll||
As a Maryland resident, I'll be there! I knew there was a reason I moved out here to begin with!
|20 weeks 2 days ago||The "system" in question was||
The "system" in question was only the best offense in kenpom recorded history a year after losing the national player of the year and his back court mate to the NBA and with the "best" player lost to injury early in the year.
|20 weeks 4 days ago||If there's one certainty||
If there's one certainty about basketball right now it's end of the year attrition.
|20 weeks 4 days ago||Horford DID know. His family||
Horford DID know.
His family convinced him after four years that Beilein was holding him back. So he turns down huge starting minutes in this offense to go fulfill his family's wishes.
|21 weeks 6 days ago||What's the list of graduated||
What's the list of graduated / exhausted eligibility players with meaningful playing time Beilein recruited?
DeShawn Sims graduated but he was an Amaker recruit I'm pretty sure.
|22 weeks 19 min ago||Bo Ryan and Wisconsin get to||
Bo Ryan and Wisconsin get to keep it's whole damn team (minus one replaceable senior). There is no justice in the world.
|22 weeks 23 hours ago||handlers||
Probably because his family has been trying to convince him to transfer for four years.
|22 weeks 1 day ago||Accorinding to a Gary||
Accorinding to a Gary Parrish, GR3 has not yet informed Michigan coaching staff, which if he's signed with an agent is poor form.
|22 weeks 1 day ago||They gone. It's why Beilein||
It's why Beilein wasn't worried about the scholarship situation and is on the warpath for 2014 guys and transfers.
|22 weeks 3 days ago||I think you missed my point.||
I think you missed my point. It's not that he can't be open about he wants more minutes for himself, he shouldn't be dragging Mitch / Mitch's decision into his answers.
Now reporters come to Mitch and say, hey Mitch your teammates say you've made up your mind, what is it? Or worse yet, ESPN pens an article "SOURCE CLOSE TO MICHIGAN SAYS MCGARY TO BE ASTRONAUT"
|22 weeks 3 days ago||Also remember at the||
Also remember at the beginning of the year, when asked about who he was going to go to in late shot clock situations coach said Horford. They clearly had big plans for him coming into the year, including the 2-big lineups, that never transpired.
I watched both of Horford's 3-pointer attempts this year and I also watched Beilein coach up the most efficient offense in KenPom recorded history despite losing McGary.
It ends up very unfortunate for Horford, but you can't really second guess Beilein's decisions.
|22 weeks 3 days ago||The correct way to answer it||
The correct way to answer it is to not answer it at all and deflect... the same manner in which Nik Stauskas deflected similar questions in his radio interviews the last week or so.
For all the talk of Jon's zen-masterism, it's not on display here, the guy is clearly upset a lot right now.
|22 weeks 3 days ago||fouls||
Given his fouls per 40 minutes, was it even realistic to think he could play 30 minutes a contest?
|22 weeks 3 days ago||bad manners||
I don't like how Jon is handling this.
Horford has no business spouting out "I know what Mitch is going to do, he already told me." It smacks of an uncouthness I didn't think Jon possessed. He just sounds really angry and bitter - and you don't typically serve yourself well by doing a lot of talking when you're upset.
And then the real truth: "Transferring is something that my family has been trying to persuade me to do for four years"
|22 weeks 4 days ago||Looks like you're up Max B.||
Looks like you're up Max B.
|22 weeks 5 days ago||Home Alone++||
A. I'm not that lucky.
Buzz, your girlfriend. Woof.
|22 weeks 5 days ago||It's a life lesson for the||
It's a life lesson for the kids transitioning from school to the "real world" where people don't give a rats behind and your feelings don't matter. Gotta be able to handle the mental distractions if you want to cut it at the next level.
|22 weeks 5 days ago||How the hell am I supposed to||
How the hell am I supposed to get any work done in a world where twitter exists?
|22 weeks 5 days ago||He Gone||
The Stauskas family has been working towards this moment (NBA) for years. It's well deserved, and while we want him to win us more Big Ten championships and Final Fours, can't deny the kid his due.
The most telling sign (apart from the moment of unguarded honesty by Stauskas' dad a few months back) was when Beilein was asked about the scholarship situation being 1 above the limit with the new class coming in and, without missing a beat, Beilein deadpanned "It'll work itself out".
There's a reason coach isn't worried about the scholarship thing and is on the hunt for impact transfer players this season.
|22 weeks 6 days ago||There are a few million||
There are a few million downsides, actually.
15th pick: guaranteed $3.1M
If you're told you could work your way into the first round with a few great workouts, that kind of money being that close (regardless of what your true odds are) is the kind of thing that sways people, regardless of where their families are. And keep in mind 18 to 21 year olds aren't typically known for their sound decision making.
You don't want GR3 to go the route of Manny or Darius but he has a bigger upside than both of those guys. Both GR3 and Mitch were feeling regret at various points over the season for their decision to return.
I'm sticking with my original call that all 3 are gone-zo. Caris, Derrick, and Zak you're up!
|22 weeks 6 days ago||Tough call. Last year they||
Last year they burned Caris' shirt because he was displacing Vogrich/Akunne.
Would they burn Donnal's just so they could get a freshman on the floor instead of one of Nik/Caris/GR3?
|23 weeks 5 days ago||Sure but compared to||
Sure but compared to expectations when recruited you wouldn't say "Oh great we got the #2 prospect in the nation, now we're set for 6 games and some sweet bench mob GIFs!"
|24 weeks 2 hours ago||Beilein: He the best.||
Before this year it might have been a question, now it's just a formality of waiting 2-3 more years for him to pass the all-time wins mark and whatever other accolades and achievements happen along the way.
|24 weeks 2 days ago||Winning recipe: Michigan||
Winning recipe: Michigan shoots season average from three, single digits in turnovers, and keeps Kentucky's OReb % under 50.
There's your coinflip. Still waiting for Stauskas to go off like Florida last year, tomorrow would be a great time for that.
|24 weeks 4 days ago||1. Yes, plenty of times. 2.||
1. Yes, plenty of times.
2. Probably, definitely not.
|24 weeks 5 days ago||There may not be a 9-seed||
There may not be a 9-seed differential between these two teams but it is at least outside the margin of error. Michigan is the better team on the average night which is why they went 15-3 vs 11-7 in their leagues. Sure, we could have a first half @Purdue or @Indiana type of game, but UT laid an even greater number of eggs during the regular season. But it's not the third game in three days so don't expect a Charlotte or MSU BTT type of shooting night.
I'm sick of hearing how any team with a big man is going to crush Michigan and fails to mention the boatloads of NBA talent on Michigan's roster that will reign death from above on a decent night.
When we get down to only four teams remaining by Sunday, it will be a lot harder to ignore this Michigan team.
|25 weeks 15 min ago||Go get Eron Harris.||
Go get Eron Harris. He's legit.
Kid came off the bench as a freshman versus Michigan last year shot 3 of 3 for 10 points as WVU's only good looking shooter. Also looking at his stat line against WVU's win over Kansas a couple of weeks ago: 28 points on 14 shots, 5 of 7 from 3. Yes please!
|25 weeks 5 days ago||The worst part about the new||
The worst part about the new incarnate of fiverthirtyeight is that it's owned wholly by ESPN which is why all of the sudden his algorithm includes the ridiculous BPI.
That and using pre-season rankings under the assumption that it is a valuable and accurate predictor of "overall talent level" on a roster that is useful at this time of year....
MSU/Louisville were ranked #2/3 preseason btw.
|25 weeks 6 days ago||Virginia over Michigan State||
Virginia over Michigan State is NOT an upset.
HAS THE WORLD GONE MAD? Yes, yes it has.
|25 weeks 6 days ago||NC State to the Sweet 16.||
NC State to the Sweet 16.
|26 weeks 21 hours ago||Siva, Gorgui Dieng, and||
Siva, Gorgui Dieng, and Behanan during the national title game accounted for 41 of the team's 82 points, 26 of 31 rebounds, and 12 of 18 assists.
|26 weeks 23 hours ago||People are confusing 2013 Big||
People are confusing 2013 Big East Louisville and 2014 AAC Louisville.
2013 Strength of schedule: 9.
2014: Strength of schedule 108.
Of any team seeded 11 or higher (44 teams) in the tournament Louisville's SOS ranks 43rd. The only team with a worse strength of schedule with a tournament seed higher than 11 is.... Wichita State.
Louisville has pushed to the maximum the margin-aware methods of efficiency ratings by absolutely murdering inferior competition. Here's their record against NCAA tournament teams this year:
(6) UNC L 84-93
(14) LA-Lafayette W 113-74
(8) Kentucky L 66-73
(8) Memphis L 67-73
(7) UConn W 76-64
(5) Cincinnati L 66-69
(5) Cincinnati W 58-57
(8) Memphis L 66-72
(7) UConn W 81-48
(7) UConn W 71-61
That's a 5-5 record against tournament teams, none higher than a 5-seed whom they split the season series with. They beat the same 7-seed three times and lost to a 6-seed and three games to 8-seeds.
Think twice before following the herd on Louisville 2014.
|26 weeks 1 day ago||If you need a South Park||
If you need a South Park connection, photoshop the heads of all 7 ESPN analsyts who unanimously picked MSU to win it all onto a blue-balled Randy Marsh.
Sorry Wichita St, Michigan, Duke, Arizona, Kansas, Florida, Iowa State, Virginia.... you all had nice seasons but it's over now and MSU and Louisville will play this weekend for the national title.
|26 weeks 1 day ago||When you play three games in||
When you play three games in three days your legs get tired. Tired legs favor the teams with an inside presence and not relying on jump shots.
Michigan's front court fouled out 90 seconds into the game, the outcome was decided right then and there.
|26 weeks 1 day ago||Wichita State will be in a||
Wichita State will be in a game versus Kentucky but if they win that who in their right mind is picking Louisville over WSU?
These are the same two teams that met last year in the final four that WSU was winning until a late rally by Louisville... except Louisville lost their star players and WSU returns EVERYONE. And they're pissed off no one is respecting them. And they want revenge for last year's final four.
Think twice before following the talking heads that are saying MSU/Louisville final is all but ceremonial at this point.
|26 weeks 1 day ago||Perfect game time. Land in||
Perfect game time. Land in vegas around 2pm, leisurely lunch, check in, place bets, get to the bar/sportsbook to grab a seat and enjoy the beat down of Wofford!
|26 weeks 1 day ago||It's because of all the||
It's because of all the midmajor conference tournament upsets meant a lot of autobids for their regular season conference winners.
|26 weeks 1 day ago||For those of you picking||
For those of you picking Louisville along with the rest of the ESPN analysts. Remember this: their best wins of their 300th strength non-conference schedule are USM and LA-Lafayette.
Wichita St, Michigan, Duke, Kentucky all have offenses that are 15-20 points per 100 possession better than Louisville's seasonal average opponent.
|26 weeks 1 day ago||God this week is going to be||
God this week is going to be painful to listen to the media.
If you didn't hear it yet, according to ESPN analysts (unanimously) Louisville is playing MSU for the national championship on Thursday and the tournament is forgoing the other 66 games.
|26 weeks 1 day ago||You want a 1-seed because||
You want a 1-seed because that means you avoid Florida, Arizona and Wichita State. That is all.
|26 weeks 2 days ago||Up there in the pantheon of||
Up there in the pantheon of Tommy "WHOOPS" Rees fumblerooksi.
|26 weeks 3 days ago||BEAT OHIO||
|26 weeks 4 days ago||The winner of the ACC||
The winner of the ACC tournament now has the inside track to a one-seed especially if that team is Syracuse.
Also remember that MSU AD Mark Hollis is on the selection committee so meter any 1-seed dreams and hopes you might have.
That said: root against Kansas, Duke, Wisconsin, Syracuse, Virginia in that order.
|26 weeks 4 days ago||Seton Hall beats||
Seton Hall beats Villanova.
The door to a 1-seed has officially been opened.
|26 weeks 5 days ago||Root for Illinois today,||
Root for Illinois today, Michigan to win it all and for a Hawkeye-Gopher semi-final on the other half.
|26 weeks 5 days ago||They shoulda held onto Manny||
They shoulda held onto Manny Harris.
|26 weeks 6 days ago||I think the tournament run||
I think the tournament run Nintendo analogies would have been better served via Mike Tyson's Punch-Out.
Michigan can expect to overwhelm Piston Honda with their offense in the opening weekend, but they might get tripped up by a team with an equally powerful offense, Bald Bull, in the second weekend.. but even then you're at worst a coin flip.
Michigan will have problems when they run into teams that can score points and have a lot of size (Iowa, Wisconsin, Arizona, Noah Vonleh, ISU's Ejim, AJ Hammons, Sandman, Super Macho Man).
The good news is this year, unlike past years, there are no Anthony Davis Kentucky Mike Tyson's in the field. Michigan will have a real chance in every game.
|27 weeks 1 day ago||Villanova and Syracuse are||
Villanova and Syracuse are locks for Buffalo. Even though UM might finish slightly higher than Syracuse on the S-Curve the committee will basically say Buffalo/Milwaukee are equidistant and work to minimize travel for the top seeds overall by shipping Michigan to Milwaukee.
|27 weeks 1 day ago||It's super easy to predict||
It's super easy to predict what teams are in or out every year... you can get 64 of 68 teams just by glancing through the end of the season. Last year over half of the matrix picked all 68 teams correctly and over 80% had 67 of 68 teams.
How teams will be seeded is much more delicate and takes some degree of reverse-engineering how the NCAA committee is going to decide things that year.
Lunardi is not a revered name among bracketologists. View http://www.bracketmatrix.com/rankings.html for the guys who get it right at a much higher level.
|27 weeks 1 day ago||BTT finals appearance locks||
BTT finals appearance locks up a 2-seed. Fall in the semi-finals and it depends on how Kansas, Wisconsin, Duke, Syracuse, and Virginia perform. Drop a game in the quarterfinals and it's a 3-seed.
|27 weeks 1 day ago||I remember watching this game||
I remember watching this game two years ago and actually caring about the outcome. I like how that's not the case today.
BIG TEN CHAMPS GO BLUE!
|27 weeks 1 day ago||Villanova has the fourth||
Villanova has the fourth one-seed pretty much locked up if they win the Big East conference tournament. Wisconsin maybe has an argument but hopefully Michigan doesn't let them.
|27 weeks 2 days ago||You need Minnesota to win||
You need Minnesota to win because right now they are 51st in the RPI depriving Michigan of 2 Top-50 wins.
|27 weeks 2 days ago||Villanova and Virginia both||
Villanova and Virginia both need to lose a game. Minnesota, Stanford, and Nebraska all need to stay in the top-50 RPI. Michigan needs to win tonight, win the BTT against Wisconsin in the finals.
After all of that they then need to hope that the committee decided they needed to have alternate scenarios that allows for the winner of the BTT final to have an impact on seeding since the game concludes 30 mins prior to the selection show.
I mean... what if the BTT final goes into double OT? They could announce the brackets before the game is even over!
What are you thinking Delaney? OH RIGHT.... you're the only game on in primetime on selection sunday == TV eyeballs == TV money.
|27 weeks 3 days ago||I don't bother to work on||
I don't bother to work on anything but general S-Curve seeding until the final week because it changes so much day to day, but yeah that wouldn't occur.
|27 weeks 4 days ago||Minnesota and Stanford are||
Minnesota and Stanford are sitting 47th and 48th in the RPI also. Nebraska is at 50th. If those teams drop even just a little bit Michigan's 10-5 "Top 50" wins suddenly becomes a pedestrian 5-5. That's your difference between a 2-seed and a 3-seed at this point and it's largely out of Michigan's hands.
Although a run to the BTT finals would end all speculation. It's just that Michigan prefers to end up opposite Wichita State or Florida... not Arizona.
|27 weeks 6 days ago||Nebraska will finish the||
Nebraska will finish the conference at .500. That's great but COY isn't solely based on "performance versus expectation" it's also based on end results. When you win league championships you get the inside tracks for these accolades and rightfully so.
Also, Izzo has only 2 outright COY awards in the B1G so this one needs to get to JB so he can pass Izzo in a couple more seasons.
|27 weeks 6 days ago||Novak, Douglass, and Morgan||
Novak, Douglass, and Morgan are the three players I'll remember above all others when looking back at the Beilein "turnaround" era.
Jordan Morgan: Two Big Ten Championships, 6-2 record against MSU, wins at every venue in the Big Ten, and a Final Four. Best resume of any Michigan player in over 25 years, insanity.
|27 weeks 6 days ago||Don't look at his||
Don't look at his predictions, just use the matrix composite which ends up being more accurate than almost anyone else.
|28 weeks 1 day ago||Saint Louis is a poor man's||
Saint Louis is a poor man's Ohio State. Same level defense, worse offense. They've lost every tough game they've been in this year.
|28 weeks 4 days ago||Nik, Glenn, and Mitch are all||
Nik, Glenn, and Mitch are all as good as gone as Burke and Hardaway were last year. Not that I wouldn't love for them to stay, but they made the decision last year they wanted to have one more year of "fun" before becoming professionals.
Next year's team is still going to be tremendously talented with a lineup of Walton, LeVert, Irvin, Donnal, and Horford. Not to mention a junior Albrecht and incoming freshmen Doyle and Chatman.
|28 weeks 4 days ago||Home stretch, here we||
Home stretch, here we come.
Let's play unconscious versus Minnesota like they did against Nebraska at home instead of the "usual" see how far we can get down before coming back ploy.
|28 weeks 5 days ago||For B1G seeding purposes I||
For B1G seeding purposes I think we want to have MSU and Wisconsin as the 2 and 3 seeds to give Michigan the best shot at winning.
Michigan is playing for NCAA seeding now, keep winning and they can get to the 2-line!
|28 weeks 5 days ago||this is abysmal, ten minutes||
this is abysmal, ten minutes in and they haven't had one good offensive set
|28 weeks 6 days ago||Saint Louis||
Please, they are Ohio State lite (mirrored stats on kenpom but with worse offense) and have lost the only two games they played against real competition (Wisconsin, Wichita).
I will take Saint Louis across from Michigan in the bracket a thousand times before Kansas, Duke, or Creighton.
|29 weeks 5 days ago||Don't be afraid to move up a||
Don't be afraid to move up a diaper size. That was our #1 cause of blowouts, trying to get extra mileage out of the Size 1, 2 or 3 diapers.
|30 weeks 21 hours ago||Trailed to FSU by 16 early in||
Trailed to FSU by 16 early in the second half this year.
|30 weeks 2 days ago||The way I'm calculating it||
The way I'm calculating it right now the Russians will either be the 4 or the 5 seed with Canada and Finland being the 1 and 4/5 seed respectively depending on their game outcome (assuming no OT).
USA will happily take being the 3 seed on the bottom half of the bracket and take Switzerland and Sweden over Russia/Canada/Finland.
|31 weeks 2 days ago||Agreed. They already won||
Agreed. They already won their close call games. It's really hard to see them losing more than once more the rest of the way.
|31 weeks 3 days ago||This is a championship||
This is a championship game.
B1G championship race will be mostly determined over the next four games. Michigan can't lose two in this stretch and still win the championship (unless one of those wins is over MSU and then they would still need help).
MSU has avoided losses in 3 OT squeakers and they're only going to get better with Payne coming back. They will be favored in almost every game the rest of the way.
|31 weeks 5 days ago||Pregame wide angle stadium||
Pregame wide angle stadium shots on BTN, place looks deserted...
|32 weeks 1 day ago||Game had nothing to do with||
Game had nothing to do with Yogi Ferrell's shooting and everything to do with Michigan's offense not showing up.
If you knew before hand that Indiana was going to score 63 points you would have been 99% sure of a Michigan win.
Only question I have is how can one player be allowed to completely neutralize Stauskas at one end and not have to spend any energy doing it? This screams coaching adjustment.
|32 weeks 4 days ago||Tourney seeding was fickle,||
Tourney seeding was fickle, UM got barely bumped from a 3-seed due to tournament not wanting rematches. And Michigan only missed a one-seed because of the Brust 3 pointer and the indiana rollout. Without those two losses (hell, throw in the meltdown @PSU), Michigan is the outright B1G regular season champs and on the 1 line.
There's no way Michigan can get to the 1-line this year. It's way too crowded. 2-seed is the ceiling.
|32 weeks 5 days ago||My quick mock-ups||
|32 weeks 5 days ago||my idea||
Breaking Beilein treatment, grab a pic of Beilein seated and stoic and do it up like the "all hail the king" ads for the show.
|32 weeks 5 days ago||Hello, I'm an NBA scout (not||
Hello, I'm an NBA scout (not for the Pistons) and I wanted to thank you for the wonderful compilation of videos on this player I hadn't really been looking at until now.
This has been eye opening!
|32 weeks 5 days ago||Outside of Madison and Ann||
Outside of Madison and Ann Arbor it's hard for me to see any more losses on MSU's schedule this year. They're unfortunately a super good team with an even higher ceiling with Payne.
Can Michigan finish out the conference 8-3 to share the conference title? That's a tall order.
|32 weeks 6 days ago||Ace's way of saying gif is||
Ace's way of saying gif is far superior. Just like it's pop not soda.
|33 weeks 22 hours ago||The one positive of||
The one positive of Michigan's remaining schedule is that the two games they will have the longest to prepare for are Wisconsin (4 days rest) and MSU (6 days) home games.
|33 weeks 22 hours ago||6 home, 5 away for Michigan||
6 home, 5 away for Michigan we play a one-off @Illinois not at home.
|33 weeks 23 hours ago||Can we put some professional||
Can we put some professional lip readers on these? Needs subtitles.
Bottom one: "... he just bumped me... he just bumped me in the nose!!"
|33 weeks 1 day ago||John Beilein aneurysm. Called||
John Beilein aneurysm. Called it!
Go Blue win the B1G!
|33 weeks 1 day ago||Currently Michigan has taken||
Currently Michigan has taken 135 3-point attempts in conference play which ranks them 8th out of 12 teams. They certainly aren't just jacking up more threes than anyone else in the B1G and only winning because they're lucky and going in.
The only game you could say Michigan "lived by the three" was in this most recent matchup vs MSU.
|33 weeks 6 days ago||Put up a banner this year and||
Put up a banner this year and then I won't feel bad about him going pro. That's the deal we have, right??
|33 weeks 6 days ago||This is tremendous.||
This is tremendous.
|34 weeks 1 day ago||Two game requests: 2011 Big||
Two game requests: 2011 Big Ten Tournament vs Illinois (60-55 comeback) and 2012 home win vs Sullinger and the Buckeyes.
Also, you're awesome.
|34 weeks 2 days ago||remaining schedule||
------ NCAA BID LINE ------
------ B1G Title ??? ------
Need 5 more W's to lock up a NCAA bid. 14-4 for a conference title? Probably not with a healthy MSU but they're not super healthy at the moment.
|34 weeks 2 days ago||Absolutely gigantic win for||
Absolutely gigantic win for the team and for tournament/seeding prospects.
Playing with house money now against Iowa and MSU this week.
|34 weeks 2 days ago||WOOOOOO MUPPETS!!!!||
|34 weeks 2 days ago||Just watched a replay of that||
Just watched a replay of that game today, what a terrific day (1/27/11) that was.
|34 weeks 3 days ago||He had a bad first half||
He had a bad first half against Kansas too, what a terrible player.
|34 weeks 3 days ago||I don't do bracketology||
I don't do bracketology because it's an accurate predictor of outcomes. I do it because it's fun.
Also I find that in years Michigan is a bubble team, it fits my compulsive personality better to have a complete understanding of all the teams near the cutting point.
There's no margin for error for this Wolverine squad but without the gutty wins against FSU, Stanford, and Minnesota there'd be no hope.
|34 weeks 3 days ago||Rock on +10.1 points above||
Rock on +10.1 points above average - small sample size caveats apply, but I'm going to bust through to the veterans side this year!
|34 weeks 5 days ago||Find six more wins on the||
Find six more wins on the schedule and we'll be dancing where I like Beileins chances of getting to the second weekend with this team no matter who we play.
Problem is where are those 6 more wins (and probably 1 BTT win for good measure)?
Lose ANY one of those games and Michigan has to start winning much more challenging games:
And these games we can pretty much write off, but if Michigan wins any it'll be HUGE:
There is no margin for error as of today for this team to make the tournament.
|35 weeks 4 days ago||awesomeness, thank you||
awesomeness, thank you
|35 weeks 5 days ago||Beilein's assistant coach||
Beilein's assistant coach changes worked pretty well.
|35 weeks 5 days ago||Go get Matt Limegrover from||
Go get Matt Limegrover from NIU.
|35 weeks 5 days ago||is it bad to want muppets?||
is it bad to want muppets?
|36 weeks 21 hours ago||Any links to the Minnesota||
Any links to the Minnesota full game?
|37 weeks 1 day ago||extrapolating||
By my count Rodriguez would have been at 13 wins last year and on pace to win 15 games in 2014.
Hoke, meanwhile, will win -1 games in 2017.
|38 weeks 19 hours ago||remaining schedule||
For your hand-wringing pleasure, needing a 10-8 conference record to secure a tournament berth, Michigan needs to do the following the rest of the way:
Must Win (any losses here and NIT-bound):
Expected Loss (any wins here major):
Toss-ups (need to go .500):
|38 weeks 2 days ago||I never doubted you for a||
I never doubted you for a second, KenPom.
|40 weeks 5 days ago||They've started 4 of the 8||
They've started 4 of the 8 games so far this season with just abysmal shooting... like less than 25% from the field for most of the first half in those games.
Michigan also has the most athletic, yet invisible/disinterested NBA lottery pick ever.
Improvement by the freshmen will probably be offset by them getting worn down as the year goes on.
The team creeps closer to the bubble, Arizona is the last chance for a marquee non-conference victory, and there are a ton of good teams in the B1G - Iowa/Minnesota in addition to the elite group of MSU/OSU/Wisconsin - that are going to give the Wolverines fits.
The players have so much heart and never give up, they just lack that killer instinct and dig themselves huge holes. Hope they can back their way into the tourney and then make a big run.
|40 weeks 6 days ago||Hall was ejected for the||
Hall was ejected for the fight which he served a punishment for during the game. He should be suspended for the national televised broadcasting of flipping off everyone. No reason they should be treated as one and the same incident.
|41 weeks 2 days ago||The game is the sum of its||
The game is the sum of its parts, not just the last play, so it makes no sense to be correctly aggressive at the end of the game while setting fire to a perfectly good possession before the half when you know you need all the points you can get.
|41 weeks 2 days ago||Only coaching decision I||
Only coaching decision I disagreed with was not going for points before half. Almost a minute plus a timeout set on fire.
|41 weeks 3 days ago||Which matchup analysis do you||
Which matchup analysis do you disagree with exactly?
|41 weeks 6 days ago||Yes||
|41 weeks 6 days ago||Actually||
Actually, only 33 points (one defensive td vs Iowa). They came on 3 TD drives, two of which were set up by turnovers on short fields and 4 FGs.
Over that span Michigan had 30 drives on offense. They accrued 434 yards of offense or roughly 14 yards per drive. They punted 16 times, committed 4 turnovers, 4 field goals and 3 touchdowns. The half ended mercifully three times. They averaged 1.1 points per possession against the #4, 13, 43 and 65th ranked scoring defenses.
Now to correct this fallacy that the spread was worse versus tough opponents in 2010 than our historically bad 2013 offense:
Over those five 2010 losses Michigan only had 28 offensive first half possessions. They scored 4 touchdowns (all of which were drives of 60+ yards) and kicked two field goals. They also missed 3 field goals, turned the ball over 7 times, punted 10 times and ran out the half twice.
Over those 28 drives they gained 994 yards of offense or roughly 35.5 yards per drive. They scored 1.2 points per possession although if they had had a competant place kicker like Brendan Gibbons back then (/sarcasm) it would have been 1.5 ppp. This was against the #5, 7, 25, 39, and 49th ranked scoring defenses.
TLDR Stat Conclusion:
In the first half of its losses the 2010 offense played against slightly better defenses but moved the ball more than twice as effectively and scored more total points despite having 18% fewer possessions.
|42 weeks 1 day ago||I would argue the sky is not||
I would argue the sky is not intact if, in fact, the team has sustained potential season long injuries on two of our biggest stars (Stauskas/Robinson).
Hopefully they will not be out long.
|42 weeks 2 days ago||This week it's finally going||
This week it's finally going to work, no one will expect it - just have to execute!
|42 weeks 2 days ago||just the opposite because||
just the opposite because he's going to try and have the biggest impact for BCS rankings
|42 weeks 2 days ago||In fairness, we should add||
In fairness, we should add that Iowa, Nebraska and Penn State could also very well have wound up in the W column.
But also, Indiana was so much closer than the score of that game indicated and should be included along with UConn. Akron and NW were both one play away from being a loss.
|42 weeks 3 days ago||Stauskas was automatic 85-90%||
Stauskas was automatic 85-90% from the line last year, he's totally in his head at the free throw line right now.
|42 weeks 3 days ago||They were down 16, just||
They were down 16, just sayin'.
|42 weeks 3 days ago||wtf refs||
|43 weeks 21 hours ago||I would add Arizona to that||
I would add Arizona to that list of nonconference likely losses.
|43 weeks 2 days ago||what's||
what's the over/under on michigan huddling with clock running on this two minute drill?
|43 weeks 2 days ago||denard||
I miss that play where Denard looks at the sideline, flexes his arm and then calls his own number and gets the first down/touchdown.
|43 weeks 2 days ago||integrity||
There was no integrity on that punt.
|43 weeks 3 days ago||Nope||
Well I strongly believe this is not going to happen!
|43 weeks 4 days ago||Indiana 2013 == 2009/2010||
This year if Indiana's QB doesn't suffer a thumb injury they were going to score to go ahead in the 4th Quarter. Instead their backup turned it over and then their injured starter tried to come back and forced another INT. That game was much closer than the score would have you believe.
|43 weeks 6 days ago||all aboard||
Caris hype train is leaving the station! Choo-choo! Sophomore leeeeeeap.
|44 weeks 1 day ago||...||
2008 was miles worse off depth and talent wise over team 134 and it's not even close.
|44 weeks 4 days ago||Denard||
The element of "oh it's just a booboo" gives this injury the air of Denards elbow, something we all assumed would go away but ended up being way more serious than was let on. If you go back to injuries last year Beilein was never coy or dodgy about Morgans ankle or Horfords knees, so why now?
|45 weeks 15 hours ago||Lineup||
Best five-man line-up sans McGary, expect to see these guys get the vast majority of minutes against ISU and in Puerto Rico:
Those 5 were all at least +15 +/- tonight and no one else on Michigan's roster was positive. Beilein was experimenting with a lot of stuff but that's the way it's going to work out when the chips are down in a couple of weeks.
But this team can be a whole other beast swapping McGary for Horford.
Also for the poo-poo-ers. This is an exhibition: see #1 Kentucky "scraping" by Montevallo (lol?) in a similar game tonight as well.
|45 weeks 17 hours ago||Yep.||
I'm not a basketball defensive expert but it appeared that Coleman's three pointers were all well contested.
Still there is definitely some sloppy passing going on and/or miscommunications that msut be worked out if UM is going to have any success on the road against a good/great team.
|45 weeks 17 hours ago||BTN2go||
Login info appreciated more.
|45 weeks 2 days ago||Totally on board with this.||
Totally on board with this. The kid is clearly frustrated and probably regretting his decision to stay but it is a complete mental breakdown, lack of character and a blotch on the program - which should always remain the more important vs any one individual player.
|45 weeks 2 days ago||Gardner's health :(||
If Gardner's injury is serious, then you can write it all off. He's also a lot less likely to be in Notre Dame form that banged up even if he does play. He looked one or two steps slower than in previous weeks on every scramble today.
|45 weeks 2 days ago||this game is very sadly going||
this game is very sadly going according to script, hoping for a big play to spark a turnaround.
|45 weeks 6 days ago||200 mins to go around||
For all real games prior to McGary's return:
|46 weeks 2 days ago||5 points||
Is probably more than either team will score. This game is going to be unwatchable.
|47 weeks 2 days ago||tempo free||
Need to have tempo free swearing stats, so we can account for a more accurate SwearsPerPossession and not have games skewed because of 4 OTs!
|47 weeks 2 days ago||indiana is awful||
They have the 121st ranked total defense and 112th ranked scoring defense both of which are significantly worse than any other team Michigan has played this year (CMU, Akron, UConn included).
Indiana is good-to-great on offense, but worst ever on defense. Almost an exact replica of 2010 Michigan!
|47 weeks 2 days ago||the threat||
Favorite play was the fake bubble screen, resulted in like a 7 yard rush!
|47 weeks 4 days ago||get ready||
Going to be a shootout.
Dink and dunk and spread is an awful matchup for our defense. Going to need a big performance out of our D and the offense to not set too many possessions on fire or it's going to be a looooooong bye week staring down an almost certain Loss against the Spartans.
I really wish I could find a reason to be more optimistic at this point!
|1 year 2 weeks ago||it's all mental||
First week mental mistakes is all. Need better decisions by Gardner, fewer penalties all around and missed assignments on D.
|1 year 9 weeks ago||dear god||
|1 year 22 weeks ago||Three more to NBA, one other||
Three more to NBA, one other to random transfer is likely attrition.
|1 year 22 weeks ago||no chance||
Do *not* get your hopes up. He is gone.
|1 year 22 weeks ago||baseline||
Expectations should be that all four guys leave. Hardaway seems like the only tweener as far as first round vs second round and he seems as likely as Burke to be gone (i.e. 95%+).
McGary has the most variance because they'd be basing his draft on potential and five good tournament games but he and GR3 and Burke are all somewhere between the lottery and first round == gonezo.
I would be (pleasantly) shocked if any of those four come back for another season.
|1 year 24 weeks ago||wootah||
See you all in Atlanta!
|1 year 25 weeks ago||You mean like if the same||
You mean like if the same best group of a few teams from the SEC wins the National Championship every year?
|1 year 25 weeks ago||we on, but he gone||
Nothing we can do about it but enjoy the fact he came back for this year. He came back because of an early tournament exit last time, let's hope he gets his fill this year, then we can get excited about the D. Walton era.
However, I would love to see THJr and GR3 back for another go.
|1 year 25 weeks ago||what if||
Would your expectations for this team be wildly different if a half court buzzer beater not gone in, a second half collapse hadn't occurred in Happy Valley, and a couple of free throws or layup made at the end of the regular season?
The difference between a 26-7 and a 29-4 team is razor thin, but our expectaions of the latter would be final four or disappointment!
Michigan is the highest rated 4 seed. Their KenPom efficiency sits at .9283 just a hair over 2011 UConn's .9270. They'll be playing "at home". With officials that might know how to call a foul.
I don't know if I'll be laying the points vs SDSt, but I'm also pretty sure Trey Burke's last game as a Wolverine will not be this weekend.
|1 year 26 weeks ago||kenpooooooooom||
UM 29. AdjO 113.0(22) AdjD 95.1(60) [Other 4 seeds: 5,11,15]
Ohio 62. AdjO 105.2(99) AdjD 93.7(41) [Other 13 seeds: 66,67,104]
UM 11. AdjO 120.6(2) AdjD 93.9(58) [Other 4 seeds: 13,16,30]
SDSt 102. AdjO 110.4(39) AdjD 103.1(209) [Other 13 seeds: 49,57,80,145]
Chance of victory increased 122% from last year's opening round!!!
Last year Michigan was worst 4 seed playing best 13 seed. This year they are the best 4 playing the worst 13 (Montana is a 14 bumped up due to travelling, switching with Valpo, LOL).
SDSt's defense is worse than Northwestern, I will be absolutely shocked (and lose a lot of money) if Michigan doesn't put up at least 80 points in the win.
|1 year 26 weeks ago||SDSt||
South Dakota has the #209 ranked defense. (For reference: Penn St #135, Nebraska #115, Northwestern #150). There will be no first round upset this year.
Michigan struggles vs teams with Elite defenses such as Kansas, Georgetown, or Florida. This team has sweet-16 berth and no further written all over it.
|1 year 26 weeks ago||games today||
don't affect seeding, it's already been decided last night, #3 seed in auburn hills, book it
|1 year 26 weeks ago||yes||
I would be shocked if Wisconsin got a 3-seed with their 10 losses.
The options to jump Michigan(7 losses) for the last 3-seed are:
Syracuse (9 losses)
|1 year 26 weeks ago||three days||
Play the entire tournament in three days Friday through Sunday.
Friday all pods have first game at 10am, second game at 12:30pm, winners play that night in prime time 7pm. (Highest seed gets the extra 2 hours of rest)
Winners jump on a plane to the regionals which play out the same way on Saturday.
Play the Final Four on Sunday.
|1 year 26 weeks ago||bump that||
PSU is not shooting 50% from downtown again. Michigan takes care of business, wins by 20+ the way they should, 81-59.
|1 year 27 weeks ago||hmph||
In a hockey game, that's a penalty shot ten times out of ten. Yet in basketball, they can go to video replay and look at a guy getting taken down on a breakaway and not call it. Still doesn't cover all the warts and it just feels like a sad ending and waste of Burke's talent given we'll all be watching him play for some NBA team next year.
|1 year 27 weeks ago||I thought that too after the||
I thought that too after the Michigan game but actually KenPom considers Wisconsin to be a very "unlucky" team this year.
|1 year 27 weeks ago||stauskas||
stauskas as a video game character
|1 year 27 weeks ago||fuck buzzer beaters||
fuck buzzer beaters
|1 year 27 weeks ago||pretty sure he only did that||
pretty sure he only did that because stauskas was unable to return and it was a choice between Vogrich or Morgan/McGary at the same time and Morgan wound up fouling out and UM almost losing because of it.
|1 year 27 weeks ago||keep in mind||
The outcome of the BTT title game has no bearing on the actual seeding because it occurs after the selection committee has already made that decision.
UM's chance at a 1-seed pretty much went out the window with PSU.
Win one more game (@Purdue or first round BTT) and 3-seed is the floor.
|1 year 28 weeks ago||hmm||
Beat PSU & Purdue and a 2-seed is pretty much locked up. So we've got that going for us, which is nice.
|1 year 29 weeks ago||reframing||
Compared to how the basketball team has been for the past 15 years, with 4 games to go in the regular season this year's team's floor is now a 3-seed. That's pretty damn awesome.
|1 year 29 weeks ago||toss up||
Without Morgan's D, Michigan might lose this game. Zero offensive rebounds in the second half for Illinois and they had eight in the first. He was everywhere and yet never out of position on defense. He was the highest player +/- on either team by a wide margin (Morgan +18, Burke +5). Morgan's impact doesn't show up on the statsheet but he was just as important as Burke was today.
|1 year 29 weeks ago||morgan||
Michigan was +18 with him on the floor. Such a huge impact player on this team. If not for that stupid Wisconsin buzzer beater (do we have to endure buzzer beaters every game now it seems?) Michigan would be in prime position to run at the B1G title.
Still, there are not many teams that will match up to Michigan in the NCAA prior to the sweet 16 and likely not until the Elite 8.
|1 year 29 weeks ago||fuck buzzerbeaters death to||
fuck buzzerbeaters death to backboards
|1 year 29 weeks ago||yay!||
i'll take a few more of that defense+offense sequences please!
|1 year 29 weeks ago||this stinks||
looks like sleep-walking, just casually walking to the ball after they make a basket, totally uninterested
|1 year 29 weeks ago||Ball don't lie!||
Ball don't lie!
Except for when the rebounding is retarded. Where's our home cooking?
|1 year 30 weeks ago||needs more||
Needs more vitriol for big ten conference schedulers giving michigan 4 games in 9 days against the top 4 teams (3 on the road) followed by a 15 day period that sees michigan play just 2 games total, both at home.
I was wondering that about Izzo too being on the court next to the players in the middle of the action like wtf.
Stauskas played well on offense on the road. He had that one play where he got a rebound, pump faked, got his man in the air and then got clobbered with no call.
Hope this team responds well to adversity!
|1 year 30 weeks ago||my guesses||
Worry if... McGary = Foul Trouble.
Cackle with knowing glee if.... MSU has more than 10 turnovers in the first half.
Desperate Need To Win Level: 9
Loss Will Cause Me To: Hate Ben Brust even more than I do now, demand KenPom adjust Michigan's "Luck" rating by more than two measly one-hundreths.
Win Will Cause Me To: Wooo.
No prediction because you know what happens when you try to not predict what KenPom predicts!!
|1 year 30 weeks ago||Morgan is shut down as of||
Morgan is shut down as of last week, it was way too much to think he could walk off that nasty sprain in just a week or two. Keep your fingers crossed he can be back in time for the *next* MSU game.
|1 year 30 weeks ago||loose ball tip-in||
It's treated the same as a loose ball own-goal tip-in, awarding two points to the player closest to the ball where it hits the ground.
|1 year 31 weeks ago||yes||
I had that exact thought last year after their Kentucky game.
|1 year 31 weeks ago||morgan||
Morgan starting, 20 mins.
|1 year 32 weeks ago||nope||
It won't be this bad. It'll be far worse.
|1 year 32 weeks ago||you rock||
|1 year 32 weeks ago||finding streams has suddenly||
finding streams has suddenly become really annoying the past two weeks.
|1 year 33 weeks ago||i like this poll||
I think it's very well done, probably one of the most sane polls when you looks at all of the teams' performances and current circumstance instead of preseason expectations.
MSU is playing like a top-5 team. They have arguably the best win of anyone in the country vs Kansas.
Miami just pounded Duke by 30 and beat MSU by almost 20 earlier and have a stranglehold on the ACC. Can you really rank Duke ahead of them at this point given Duke is a .500 team without Kelly who's not coming back soon?
Louisville lost three straight games.
Minnesota lost four straight including one to Northwestern, definitely they should drop out.
Florida may be in a weak conference but they are blowing everyone out that they play.
Oregon is at the top of the Pac-12 pecking order.
|1 year 33 weeks ago||Coach B said in his press||
Coach B said in his press conference that he was not able to put weight on it. As it stands, it's highly unlikely Morgan will be available to play over this critical stretch of the next five games.
|1 year 33 weeks ago||If you take away the||
If you take away the "Adventures of Max B. At The Free Throw Line" out of the equation, Michigan's FT shooting is respectably average like it's been all year.
Give Max props though he came right back and drilled his next two.
|1 year 33 weeks ago||McGary though didn't wind up||
McGary though didn't wind up with more than usual minutes because of foul trouble.
|1 year 33 weeks ago||appling||
They had a lot of non-impact makeup calls in the second half to even things out but the damage was done by the ticky-tack fouls on Appling who only played 19 mins. Imagine one of Burke/Hardaway only getting to play half the game and I don't think we would like the result.
|1 year 33 weeks ago||btn2go||
I wish I could pay for this service separate and watch these games legally.
|1 year 33 weeks ago||expectations||
GR3 is going to be a lottery pick this year. Set your expectations accordingly. Burke also will be gone for sure.
THJr? Depends on what the scouts tell him at the end of the year, but my guess is if the team gets to the second weekend of the tournament he'll also be gone for sure.
I worry about losing big man depth to transfer after this year also, but we'll see.
This is THE year. However, Michigan will have a deep and competitive team set up for the next few years. The question of how good can the team be next year depends on the drop off at point guard (a lot), how big of a sophomore jump can Caris make, and can Beilein adapt to a two big man system so that the most talented players can be on the court together (Morgan/McGary).
Walton (Fr) <<<< Burke (So)
|1 year 33 weeks ago||Burke sat the last two mins||
Burke sat the last two mins of the half because Beilein is not happy with him. Hope he can rally the troops and get everyone focused in the second half.
|1 year 33 weeks ago||If i'm reading that||
If i'm reading that correctly, he's predicting MSU to be the B1G autobid? I would not want to face Louisville or Butler before the Final Four.
You can pencil in Florida for a #1 seed too. There's not a team that's going to challenge them on their schedule the rest of the way. Florida will knock Duke or Michigan off the top line depending on who stumbles more in conference play. Unless Kansas loses at KState they also will likely not lose more than twice the rest of the way.
|1 year 34 weeks ago||elbows||
Nebraska getting hosed. One of those elbows that looked clearly inadvertent and Penn St winds up getting 4 free throws and the ball down 3.
Karma, it seems, as PSU misses 3 of the 4 FTs.
Make that 5 of 6 FTs.... lol. That is epic.
|1 year 34 weeks ago||Average ratings + add||
Average ratings + add weighting for home/road/neutral -- it's not award winning and the number itself is meaningless, but it gives a sound distribution (and gaps) of how tough the games are.
|1 year 34 weeks ago||dunks||
First time in a long time Michigan played Minnesota and won the dunking highlight contest.
|1 year 35 weeks ago||remember when||
Remember that season a couple years back with Harris, Sims and Darius? The one where Michigan preseason was ranked #15 but won a total of 15 games all year long and didn't make the post season? The one where Evan Turner made a 40-ft 3-point buzzer beater to end the season?
Yeah, I don't either.
|1 year 35 weeks ago||MOE||
Given the differential in estimated difficulty 22 vs 24, it's safe to say that the games are equally difficult given the margin of error.
Eyeball test after watching Illinois beat Ohio by 20 would confirm this. Also, Trey is going to be more fired up in Columbus than any other single game this year.
|1 year 36 weeks ago||Chart of remaining schedule:||
Nine of ten most difficult games remain so shelve ideas of 40-0 for the time being.
|1 year 36 weeks ago||tied at 29||
then Michigan went on a 61-26 run to go up 90-55 with 4 mins left. :)
|1 year 36 weeks ago||REVENGE OF MCGARY!||
|1 year 36 weeks ago||I thought the home team was||
I thought the home team was supposed to get the 50/50 calls in the big ten.