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|6 days 21 hours ago||I would love to see a series of Izzo's excuses in diff games||
I don't have the technical expertise to edit and put together videos from different games. But, if someone here does, it would be immensely entertaining. It would also reveal a lot about Izzo's (lack of) character.
Izzo reminds me of Joliet Jake giving excuses in the Blues Brothers.
(link already posted in deleted Izzo thread)
|6 days 21 hours ago||Izzo and the Blues Brothers||
Izzo reminds me of Jake giving excuses in the Blues Brothers.
|1 week 3 days ago||It's still possible for MSU and Oh to get #5-6 seeds||
If MSU loses at Ohio, and neb and iowa win out, the latter two teams tie MSU for the #3-5 seeds. MSU would be #5, because it loses the tie-break (due to a poorer overall record among the tied teams). Oh still would not make the tie with the others and would be stuck at #6. So, Oh (#6) and MSU (#5) would not have a bye, and teams that have to play that extra round one game usually are too tired to win in the later rounds.
So, tonight, we should be big iowa fans (at MSU). Acc to Sagarin, MSU should be a 2pt fav vs Iowa (the fact that Iowa is ranked higher than MSU is trumped by MSU's home court, although we all saw how little that meant vs Ill).
But if Iowa can prevail tonite, this weekend will be exciting. We would only need the home team to win in three games. Iowa has an easy home contest vs Ill. Also, we would need Oh to win vs. MSU and Neb to win vs Wisc. This last game is the weakest link, where Wisc should be favored by 4 acc to Sagarin.
|1 week 5 days ago||The benefit of big balls is overinflated||
Did you hear about the man with the 132 pound scrotum?
|1 week 6 days ago||You are right about where the blame lies||
It reminds me of an experience I had when chairing an international symposium in Moscow, just before the Soviet Union broke up.
At the time, their currency was almost worthless. And the workers there who got paid in that worthless currency had a slogan:
“As long as they continue to pretend to pay us, we’ll continue to pretend to work.”
Now, athletes at schools like Ohio and North Carolina might feel like those exploited workers in Russia.
“As long as they continue to pretend to teach us, we’ll continue to pretend to learn.”
|1 week 6 days ago||Update after Sunday games||
With their loss today, Ohio is eliminated from the above four way tie scenario. But there still could be a three way tie, and if so, MSU loses the tie break. So, MSU could drop to the second tier of teams that have no bye.
Although Ohio can no longer tie MSU, however, the Ohio MSU battle for the bottom bracket next weekend could still be on. Depending on the prior midweek game outcomes, Ohio could send MSU down to a 5 seed or MSU could make Ohio a 6 seed (where it now stands).
|1 week 6 days ago||If you are so sure, then tell me||
why was he having an academic problem at Ohio?
Surely, a test score can be low because a player does not care, but how much do you think that player cares about even more strenous academic activities--like going to college? Is such a player likely to satisfy eligibility requirements?
Such problems cannot be easily swept under the rug any more.
|1 week 6 days ago||One player's low score might be an explainable error||
But these low literacy scores are becoming a habit at Ohio--recall Carlos Hyde, Terrelle Pryor, Chris Gamble--just to mention a few. Couple this with the twitter report from an Ohio qb, cardale jones, that he was there to play FB, not to study. As already noted on this thread, Adophus Washington said "there's no way you can fail" at Ohio. Also, think of the earlier allegations of a teaching assistant as well as multiple players (like Clarret) that they did not have to go to class or take the same tests as other students.
So yes, most schools can have a problem on a single test. But at Ohio there may be much more.
|2 weeks 30 min ago||The motivation for my comment was this:||
You initially said that "MSU is the 5 seed (and) would play whoever ends up as the 4 seed." That is untrue, since--as you now acknowledge-- MSU could lose on the first day.
Your point about which part of the bracket is the top really gets into a lot of fruitelss hair splitting. Not that it matters, but I find it clearer to take the top of the bracket to be the four teams which have byes and the bottom to be the four teams who have to play themselves into the main part of the tournament (along with the teams they beat).
In other words, all the teams that have to play on day one are in a separate and lower category. These lower tier teams may lose on day one and never get to play any of the 4 top tier teams.
|2 weeks 3 hours ago||I was surpised too but now that is not the case||
#5 plays #12 .The winner of that game plays #4 (ie the team that--unlike #5 and #12--is in the top bracket and gets a bye).
|2 weeks 6 hours ago||Oh and MSU could end up in the bottom bracket||
Msu could be fighting for a bye in the b1g tourney if it loses the next two games (at iowa and vs ohio). Likewise, Wisconsin should win at least 2 of the next 3 games (eg W at PSU, W PUR, L at Neb). Then, Wisc would be #2 and as many as four teams could be tied for #3-6.. Two of the four teams would probably get first round byes in the tourney (3rd and 4th seeds), the others would fall to the bottom half of the B!G and have to play a first round game (as 5th or 6th seed).
Since Ohio, Ia, Neb, do not play each other again, up to a four-way tie could be resolved by the head to head records in parentheses
ohio state: 3-2 ( W Neb, L IA, L @NEB, W @IA, W MSU)
IOWA: 2-2 (W Neb, L MSU, L OSU, W @MSU)
NEBRASKA: 2-2 (L @IA, L @OSU, W OSU, W@MSU)
MSU 2-3 (W OSU, W @Ia, L Neb, L Ia, L @OSU)
That would give Ohio a #3 seed and MSU #6. But in this same scenario, if Ohio lost prior to the MSU game, then Ohio would be #6 and MSU #5. Both of them would then be in the bottom bracket of the tourney.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||accuracy is not a good measure of the quality of prediction||
For instance, Michigan so far has won 74% of its games. Suppose that figure reflects the true quality of the team. Then, suppose we had a monkey who saw UM was winning but did not know why. If he picked UM every time in a series of comparably difficult future games, he would on average be accurate 74% of the time.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||Consistent with your figures||
my calculations showed that the overall chance of a UM conf title- is at least 81%.*
*Calculations (where M and MSU and W represent the number of wins for each team and assuming independence between the outcomes of games for each team)
P(M finishes higher than MSU) =P(M=4) P(MSU=3) + P (M=3 or M=4) P(MSU=2) + (1-P(M=0 or M=1)) P(MSU=1) + (1-P(M=0)) P(MSU=0) = .41 (.19) + (.41+.41-.41(.41))(.47) + (1-(.02+.001-(.002(.001)) (.3) + (1-.001) (.04)
=.08 + .31 + .29 + .04 = .72
P(M finishes tied with MSU) = .41(.19) +.41 (.47)) +.15 (.3) + .002 (.04) =.16
P(M beats MSU or ties MSU)) = .72 + .16 = .88.
So, the chances of MSU beating us is 12%.
Another team could beat both UM and MSU, but that chance is exceedingly small for every team but Wisconsin—which has no greater than a .08 chance of doing so. That is,
P (Wisconsin finishes higher than UM) = P (W=4) P((M=0 or M=1) + P(W=3) P(M=0) = P(W=4) .2 + (pW=3) (.001)
If we assume the chances of W winning four are no greater than the chances of UM doing so, then
P(W finishes higher than UM) < (or =) .41(.2) = .08.
So the chance of Wisc beating us is no greater than 8%
That leaves UM with a chance of winning the title vs either MSU or W at least =
(1-P(W>UM or MSU>UM)) = 1- ((.12+.08)-.12(.08)) = .81 or 81%
|2 weeks 6 days ago||We have the toughest SOS||
per one computer poll. Sagarin also has our SOS in a virtual tie with Kansas (if you round up to integer values). That said, Kansas has slightly tougher games remaining than we do; so, I doubt we will overtake them in SOS ratings at the end of the regular season. And since they are already ranked higher than UM overall--considering both WL and SOS-- that advantage will grow if both teams win out.
Nevertheless, our SOS is outstanding. Also, in our overall rankings--considering both WL and SOS--most computer polls now have us between #10 and #14. So, clearly, we should be ranked higher than we are now ranked in the human polls. If we win out, we should have at least a #2 seed. But who really cares? Last year, we were a #4 seed in the NCAA's (and a #5 seed in the B1G tourney). But we ended up among the top two teams in the nation.
|4 weeks 4 days ago||So, we have a 50-50 shot at winning the B1G||
based on the Massey probabilities if we need 14-4 record with a win vs MSU OR
a 15-3 record with a loss vs MSU
(ie chance of beating MSU and winning at least 4 more =.38
chance of losing to MSU and winning at least 5 others =.12
So Chance of a wining B1G assuming 14-4 wins a share of title with MSU win and 15-3 with an MSU loss =.50)
|5 weeks 3 days ago||Wojo||
(Hoke) "may simply be following orders and legal paths, and there might not even be anything more to divulge… I don’t see some grand conspiracy."
|5 weeks 6 days ago||Malik's mother quote from Detroit news today||
Malik's mother told me this afternoon that all four schools are still on the table for Malik. They have yet to discuss his final decision as a family. But she said he knows she'll be fine with whatever school he picks "as long as it's not Michigan State"
Sam Webb: Her words, not mine.
Sam goes on to say:
"There's more to her feelings about Michigan State than I'm at liberty to discuss."
"Mom made it clear that if he Malik stayed in state they'd have no problem with him choosing Michigan."
|5 weeks 6 days ago||McDowell's parents need to be reminded of Urban Meyer's history||
if they are seriously considering sending him to Ohio, to escape his friends and find a better atmosphere.
First, he will not get away from the bad influence of his friends there. Recall Aaron Hernandez: "After Hernandez enrolled (in Urban Meyer’s program in Florida), January 2007,, Hernandez was questioned by Gainesville police about a shooting that injured two men after a Gators game later that fall. Friends from Connecticut were with Hernandez that night, the Sentinel reported."
Also, McDowell's parents would be taking a big risk by sending their son to play for Urban even if their son could be kept away from his current friends. Granted, every team--UM included--has its share of problem players. But the number under Urban is mind boggling. According the the NY times and ESPN, “41 of the 120 players on (Meyer's) 2008 title team, which included Hernandez, were eventually arrested." I will refrain from repeating the large number of arrests on Ohio's current team and the issues about Urban's discipline.
The point is: McDowell's parents need to be reminded of past issues which by now have been forgotten by many.
|6 weeks 5 hours ago||Your agenda is pretty clear...and I believe you are lying||
Excerpts from Past posts by Nowicki who claims: “Michigan is my team”
why does everyone always think that Michigan is the best?
Education really doesn't matter.
If you're a football player..you'll probably just be given those jobs regardless where your degree is from.
Ann Arbor and the people (are).. snobby and nerdy
Old white people who don't stand or cheer (don’t) create the enviroment 120,000 should
best players in the country (REFERENCE: McDowell)…could care less about academics and would rather go to State
Our defensive ends (REFERENCE: the position that McDowell plays), I don't think any of them scare anyone
Stauskas is as good as gone.
Let's be real though. Little brother has grown up and gotten bigger than us ever since that comment was made.
None of the recruits care about the winged helmet.
It's not like we have been a huge powerhouse the last 10 years…(UM) sucked.
|6 weeks 17 hours ago||Harvard has a general studies program||
So, you are saying that a degree in GS from a prestigious school (like Harvard or Michigan) is a worthless as one from a MAC school.
|6 weeks 2 days ago||Even more precisely,||
as noted elsewhere in this blog, a "family matter" could be a vague but legitimate reference to a matter related to the Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act (FERPA) | U.S. ...
.FERPA gives parents certain rights with respect to their
children's education records. These rights transfer to the
student when he or she reaches the age of 18; but such
matters of privacy still are likely to be discussed within
the family. The even stricter privacy standards of the
university committee also could legitimately be viewed
as similar family concerns.
I agree with those here who believe that UM lawyers either directly (or indirectly through Brandon) told Brady to use the term "family matter". I think that the use of such a term in court would hardly be considered perjury.
IMO, there may be legitimate concerns about how this matter was handled, but his is not one of them.
|6 weeks 3 days ago||another good point||
In my excitement, I obviously, did not pay close attention to my own link.
So, barring some unforeseen NCAA sanctions, I presume that JB would need to convince a transfer to sit out a year, like Donnal did. That admittedly would be a hard sell for high calibre players. JB and his assistants would have to judge whether a commit is sufficiently disaffected or worried. Any further recruiting efforts on signed commits might not be worth the effort of our busy coaches. Such efforts, however, could be really worthwhile as we compete with Ohio for the next class of recruits. The problem at Ohio may involve players who remain on the team as well as coaches.
|6 weeks 3 days ago||Thanks for the correction. I||
Thanks for the correction. I should have checked Thomas is now playing in the French league.
In any case, his comments may still apply to players on the current team.
|6 weeks 3 days ago||The Buckeyes are afraid they will lose their recruits||
According to their website, Bates-Diop 5* and Tate 4* have UM offers. I am not sure why we haven't offered Russel 5*
Now would be a good time to go after these guys.
What sane recruit would want to join a team with a toxic atmosphere and so much bad blood between players?
DeShaun Thomas @DT1UpNComin: (February 25, 1:33 PM) "They say keep your friends close and your enemies closer. The problem is, nowadays you can't tell who your enemies are."
|6 weeks 4 days ago||Northwestern AD net income||
The latest report I’ve seen said the athletic departments at Northwestern (and Minnesota) had the lowest net income in the B1G. In fact, their net income was zero! Granted, the FB and BB teams should show a better profit. Granted, Northwestern’s status as a private institution may be one reason why the unionization is starting there. Still, as a Northwestern (as well as UM) alum, I had to smile when I heard that Northwestern athletes were the ones spearheading the effort.
I just hope they don’t get greedy and ask for a percent of the (zero) AD profits!
|6 weeks 4 days ago||Poorly handled, I agree. But lying? I am not so sure.||
Without further information about the matter, this case seems poorly handled. It appears to put us on a slippery slope that could take us much too far from the truth.
But I would need to see the exact transcript of remarks by Brady or the AD to actually accuse anybody of lying. They could justify their comments as not being lies in any number of ways. For instance, they could reason: this court case created concerns for Gibbons about being publicly prejudged in the media, which would certainly create “family concerns.” If Brady said this was the ONLY reason that Gibbons would not make the Ohio game, then that would probably be a lie. But if he discussed the likely university verdict with Gibbons or his family, and got their pro-forma input about the wisdom of playing in the game, to say that “family concerns” were a reason for his nonattendance would not be lying (even if misleading and not the whole truth).
The same applies to a second instance. I think you suggest that calling Gibbons’ physical status for the bowl game “iffy” is a lie. Yet, again the statement could be rationalized. For instance, Gibbons would be expected to have discomfort awaiting his expulsion. If Brady said that his discomfort would be the only determinant of his bowl attendance, that would be a lie. But if he discussed the matter with Gibbons, and Gibbons agred to take himself out of the game before Brady made him ineligible, then Brady’s statement would not tecnically be a lie (even if misleading and not the whole truth). There could be many other justifications given. To judge the literal veracity of Brady's statement would require at the very least a transcript of his comments.
|6 weeks 4 days ago||I feel terribly for the victim and hope she sues Gibson||
In such civil proceedings, an assault need be proven only to be more likely than not--perhaps similar to UM's recently adopted policy. At the same time, if there were no criminal charges, the DA probably concluded that an assault could be proven beyond a reasonable doubt--a strong criterion, perhaps like UM's prior policy.
In any case, I hope the school provides more information about the incident. The longstanding, widely circulated, well known police records provided two very different accounts of the incident. Based on these alone, one could reasonably ask: what should Hoke have done? Would it have been legal to publicly announce that Gibson was being suspended for yet unproven assault charges? Should he have suspended Gibson as soon as he first heard of the incident--knowing that Gibson denied the assault and no criminal charges were pursued? And what criteria should have guided him in handling this problem?
It would be unfair to compare this to other incidents, and it would make me sick to use as a standard another school, like Ohio, which suspended Carlos Hyde for a videotaped physical assault not for the UM, championship, or bowl games but only for easy nonconference games. It would make me sick to use as a standard, Urban Meyer, who did not at all suspend Hernandez for a proven assault against a bartender, and who apparently did not even question him or compel police testimony about a far more serious incident, which might jeopardize a national title run.
Whether the penalties Hoke applied were sufficient, sufficiently candid, or sufficiently early, they were at least meaningful. Hoke held Gibson out of the bowl and Ohio game. IMO, the latter had a lot to do with UM's loss (due to a failure to kick makeable field goals and an unwillingness to risk a field-goal-dependent overtime). That made Gibson's act hurt not only the far more seriously injured victim. It added his teammates and his coach to the victim list.
|6 weeks 5 days ago||a player accusation about violated assurances and "oversigning"||
The 2011 year included in the four year period includes a widely publicized incident concerning one of Tressel’s players (not attributable to Urban certainly pertinent to Ohio).
Jackson, a wide receiver, says he was asked to transfer (by Tressel), two years into his college career.
"They had an oversigning issue," Jackson said. "They had to free up a few scholarships, and coach (Jim) Tressel told me I probably wouldn't play and maybe Ohio State wasn't the place for me."
Ohio protested that there was no oversigning in 2011 presented many admittedly complex issues. But reportedly, the website said Ohio had not yet complied with the FOIA request and appeared to “stonewall” when people started asking questions about numbers. In any case, Jackson’s coach confirmed that Tressel assured Jackson he had a 4-5 year scholarship (even though today we know that such commitments are invalid). The website like concluded:
“That commitment was broken between Ohio State and James Jackson, and while we can't track down the exact reason why the fact remains that Jackson is no longer at Ohio State and that is a shame. “
|6 weeks 5 days ago||Is Urban thumbing his nose at the NCAA?||
Is Urban using SEC practices to circumvent scholarship penalties?
The figures comparing for total class sizes over the past 4 years for UM vs Ohio have left me scratching my head. With Ohio already having commited 6 more schollies than UM this year. Ohio websites claim that Ohio can take 3 more (which could total as many as 25-16= 9 schollies more than UM for this year and for the past 4 years' total.* Yet, the NCAA said they should have 3 fewer total roster spots during each year of Urban's tenure.
Ohio boosters will try to create a giant smoke screen with the complexities in determining allowable class size. But I wonder: Can the wide discrepancy between Ohio and UM really be explained by the usual factors (unrenewed 5th years, early NFL departures or normal attrition)? Remember, both teams had coaching changes in the past 4 years.
Most imporantly, are such inequalities what the NCAA intended when it supposedly "penalized" Ohio? Would the threat of such "penalties" deter future cheating--or would they just encourage coaches to act more and more like Saban?
*Total recruiting class sizes so far (UM,Ohio) per Rivals
2014 (16, 22) or (16,25)**
2012 (25,25) Urban starts at Ohio
2011 (20,23) Hoke starts at UM
2011-2014 totals (88,94) or (88,97)**
**if Ohio takes 3 more and UM stands pat.
|6 weeks 5 days ago||The radio interview itself was primarily to publicize a charity||
The section about Urban begins at about 7 minutes.
To me, Youngblood's answers to questions sounded spontaneous, unrehearsed and honest. He felt lied to by Urban several times about his promises to stay. He felt lied to when Urban promised to recuit high character players but in fact he cultivated a group with one of the worst arrest records in recent history.
You could reasonably question the motivation of Youngblood's comments (e.g., feelings of rejection). But his motivations really say little about the truth of the comments--the fact that Urban misled people--as clearly documented by his widely quoted promises to recruits, players and fans.
You could also try to label the reporter, Bianchi, as a muckraker, similar to other notorious jounalists. But questions about his motivations for delivering a message would not invalidate facts in that message itself. If you were the parent of a naive high schooler being given promises by Urban today, would you not want your child to carefully evaluate evidence about Urban's trustworthiness?