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Picks this week

Michigan will be able to cover the 20 points.  Minnesota has been horribly inconsistent this year.  I believe the key to the game is Michigan's defense being able to force turnovers (again) and keep Minnesota off the scoreboard.

 

Both Arizona and SMU will cover the spread.  Both teams are known for throwing the ball around the field which can lead to close shootout games. Wildcats and Mustangs to cover the double-digit spreads.

 

I also like Baylor to cover the 3.5 against K State. Both teams are undefeated, but other than playing at the U, K state hasnt beaten anyone.  RGIII shreds K State and Baylor wins by at least two scores in their first road game of the season.

 

Finally, Bama being only a 4 point favorite at Florida just doesnt seem right for me.  Bama probably has the best defense in college football right now (although LSU has been on fire).  Bama's defense and special teams (Marquis Maze) will be the gamechangers in their win over rival Florida by at least two scores.

 

 

I agree. Colorado definitely

I agree. Colorado definitely has a chance especially with their passing attack. Watch for Richardson to have a big game recieving (he has 360 yards 4 TDs thru 3 games)

The key to Denard staying

The key to Denard staying where he is in the Heisman race is the conference schedule. Last year he had a good start to the year (So did Forcier two years ago) but faltered once the conference schedule began. Michigan must remain near the top in the conference for him to have a legitimate shot at the Heisman.

I agree it has been a huge

I agree it has been a huge problem the past few years.

 

Another point on turnovers from the past few years is that two turnovers this year have led directly to points (Fumbled recovered for TD, INT for TD in the Western game). Although both occured in the same game, the fact that the defense was scoring points is a huge bonus. Those two defensive TD's in one game were enough equal half as many defensive TD's as the defense had over the past 3 years. Look for this trend to continue as this defense seems able to force turnovers more often now.

I like Michigan to cover the

I like Michigan to cover the spread against SDSU. Although the past two weeks have shown a weakness against the ground attack, I think Greg Mattison figures it out this week and is able to stop SDSU a few times.  On the offensive side of the ball, Michigan should improve their passing attack while mainting the strong ground game. Michigan by 17

 

Two more games I see right now. Penn St is favored by 29 over Eastern Michigan.  Not sure how good the Penn St. team is at this point in the season. As last week showed Eastern Michigan can run the ball (albeit it was against the Michigan defense in the midst of a style transition). Temple gave Penn St trouble last week losing by 4, and I think Eastern makes it closer than the spread. Penn St. by 17 or less.

Finally Toledo at Syracuse (Syracuse favored by 4). (Toledo really disappointed last week against Boise St, too many dropped passes and missed opportunities and the game was closer than the score for 3 quarters.) If Toledo can bounce back from two emmotional losses the past two weeks and get over some injuries they should pull the upset over Syracuse.

On the Western Game stats

While the Big Ten has recognized the stats from the Western Michigan game. The NCAA has said that they do not count.  The win is recognized having been agreed upon by both coaches, however the NCAA has said that all stats from that game "do not exist" and are not in any record books (i.e. ESPN and so on will not have them in total season stats). This is due to the fact that the game did not complete the 3rd quarter (for those looking for a reason).

Clemson for the win. Auburn

Clemson for the win. Auburn is playing sloppy this season and has barely escaped in their two wins. Clemson has thier own problems but I think they get the win.

 

As to the game in the glass bowl. Toledo is 4-0 against top 25 teams at home. Boise also has a lot to prove still, they beat a Georgia team that may turn out to have a losing season.  While I do agree that BSU >> osu, 20 point spread is too large, I think Toledo covers but losing by 10.

Ill keep riding the Toledo

Ill keep riding the Toledo bus. (14-2 penalty difference was the only thing stopping the upset of Ohio State) Ill take them against the spread but I doubt the upset comes this week.

 

Comment on a Big Ten game mentioned. State should cover spread in South Bend and pull the "upset" (Not sure why its an upset, 2-0 ranked team vs 0-2 unranked) State has a history of winning in South Bend and the way Notre Dame keeps giving the ball away in the red zone they drop to 0-3.

I think the Vegas prediction

I think the Vegas prediction is probably as accurate as its going to be.

 

However, I would take Toledo on that spread, I think it ends up being closer than people think.

Ohio State's game against Akron is not a good representation of their team.  Akron could have possibly made the game closer than it was had their offense been able to do anything. I dont see Ohio State being able to stop Toledo's offense every series, and I think Toledo's defense can make a few big plays against the Ohio State offense.

 

In the end I think Ohio State by 10 or less, small chance for Toledo upset

Dont count out Toledo in

Dont count out Toledo in Columbus. 3 reasons:

 

1- Ohio state QB situation still in doubt.

2- After an easy opponent in Akron in the first week, Ohio state will be looking past another MAC team for their matchup with Miami Fl in week 3.

3- Toledo coach Tim Beckman is familiar with the Ohio state program and will have his team ready to play.

I dont think it will be

I dont think it will be Toledo. And honestly I dont think its a good situation for Toledo to be in again, its a lose-lose situation for Michigan.

 

Akron possible, but I have to disagree I think it will be either Central or Eastern.