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|1 hour 38 min ago||Thread Titles...||
Wood strikes again
Thread titles, man. We need to title better. We'll work on it in practice this week, eh?
|2 hours 15 min ago||Some Numbers...||
If you break out the Spartans' rankings on individual metrics, it's kind of a mixed bag but very little of it is the Spartans that we've seen over the last several years, at least on defense. Some highlights, per TeamRankings:
Points per game allowed - 20.8 (#31)
Yards per game allowed - 376.8 (#52)
Yards per play allowed - 5.2 (#53)
3rd down conversion percentage allowed - 40.30% (#75)
Pass completion percentage allowed - 60.71 (#78)
|3 hours 38 min ago||It's Interesting...||
This is where you see Vegas steering the money a bit - people might take that bet on Northwestern. What's funny to me this time around is that if you used the Sagarin ratings for Michigan and Northwestern as line predictor (which some people do), you would get 6.84 (so, a TD - 88.01-83.88 then add the 2.71 HFA predictor) in favor of Michigan, which is actually what I thought it would have been before I saw this thread
|5 hours 8 min ago||I Saw That...||
Toledo has been at least getting votes for weeks now and finally has cracked the Top 25, and it makes me wonder when they made it to the final poll for either the AP or Coaches poll. It had to be during the Amstutz years about 15 years ago, if I remember correctly. Just another example how college football is funny sometimes.
|6 hours 48 min ago||About This...||
As I mentioned in the other thread, we probably won't be able to avoid having separate AP and Coaches' thread, mostly because these two polls generate rather a lot of discussion on their own most weeks. Having a combo thread for the stats and algorithm-based metrics - which normally don't feature heavily around here (they are fun to discuss all the same) is a good idea though and provides a nice forum for the numbers-oriented crowd.
|8 hours 27 min ago||Individual Estimates...||
First and foremost, having a combined rankings / metrics thread actually is a good idea, although we probably won't be able to avoid having seaprate threads for the AP and Coaches polls. Actually, it is these days that make me yearn for Pollspeak to come back - the individual votes by writer were a mere download away then.
Looking at Massey's individual probability estimates for games, it's remarkable how much rosier that picture has become in the space of a few days. On Thursday, the estimated win probability for the MSU game was 35% - it is 50% now. Penn State jumped from 60% to 70% and Ohio State from 23% to 34%. I will do the matrix this week and post it, but the Harbaugh Effect is now being felt in these metrics.
|9 hours 34 min ago||It Is Indeed...||
"Rudock" is definitely significant enough to track - I started doing it in the background a couple weeks ago (I know, another thing I haven't finished). The "Morris" thing is admittedly morbid curiosity on my part at this point.
|9 hours 38 min ago||What's Wrong With Rainbows?||
OT: Hawaii Taking Their Nicknames a Little Too Seriously...
I don't think this was going too well, and indeed, opinion-based threads - especially about uniforms - are a dangerous proposition sometimes.
|9 hours 43 min ago||Oddly Enough...||
I am actually beginning to compile some high-level data for the "Pareto Of Fuck", which was the long-discussed (with myself, so it was an intense discussion) but never-created followup to 2013's "Pareto Of Our Discontent", which somehow made its way to Reddit and a few other places. It will probably divide "fuck" into 6-8 major categories and we can see if it is true that 80% of the "fuck" covers 20% of the problems.
|11 hours 12 min ago||TeamRankings Stuff...||
Here's how TeamRankings compares them. I wouldn't be shocked at all if this was a low-scoring affair and I wouldn't even feel bad about it, unlike last year.
|20 hours 27 min ago||I'll Put It This Way...||
My avatar would like to disagree slightly with your assessment of rainbows...
|21 hours 5 min ago||Asked about the incident,||
Asked about the incident, Texas coach Charlie Strong didn't confirm that Boyd retweeted the tweet in the locker room at halftime, instead saying his players shouldn't be in position to access social media during a game.
I suppose it is very difficult to stop TCU's wide receivers when you're busy retweeting people, but such things say a lot about the state of the Longhorns' locker room right now. It definitely is not a happy place and I have to wonder if Strong is going to have to orchestrate an considerable salvage operation to still be their coach this time next year.
|22 hours 11 min ago||Regarding TCU...||
How about we discuss Texas on defense versus TCU?
|1 day 10 min ago||Over On ESPNU...||
No one will believe it perhaps, but Eastern Michigan is putting together a drive of sorts against LSU, down 14 as the clock starts to wind down on the first quarter.
...and as I say that, there's a sack which makes it 2nd &19 for Eastern.
|1 day 3 hours ago||Already Created...||
Ojemudia injury long term--probable Achilles tear.
I threw the new information in the other existing injury thread- I think we can run with the one for now.
|1 day 3 hours ago||From Twitter...||
Possible nature of the injury -
|1 day 3 hours ago||Don't Worry...||
IBM has us covered when it comes to making calculations based on that box score:
|1 day 4 hours ago||I Will Say...||
If the defense is going to continue to do this, then I think serious consideration needs to be given to resurrecting the "Time To Make The Donuts" campaign and redress it to suit Michigan. I wonder if Dunkin' Donuts would be willing to sell the rights? Well, probably not, but I still would buy that shirt.
|1 day 4 hours ago||Observations...||
Like others, I am very concerned about Ojemudia - the crutches are normally a bad sign indeed, so hopefully we get some news soon.
A quick number - although the game seemed like it was dragging on second by agonizing second at points, Maryland managed only 105 yards on 62 plays, or 1.69 yards per play allowed, driven primarily by the wall that is our run defense - 1.12 yards per carry for the Terrapins this time around.
|1 day 4 hours ago||On The Ground...||
Although you definitely feel the effects of no De'Veon Smith, we got some good moments from Drake Johnson, I thought. Final line on Johnson was 13 carries for 68 yards, a shade north of five yards per carry. Actually, we got 134 of out 198 yards of rushing from two people, which could be interpreted in a few ways, some of which relate to some bad run blocking in the first half. I would have been interested to see some less vanilla plays, but there was no reason to bring them out really.
|1 day 6 hours ago||Quality Standpoint...||
From a quality standpoint, what the BTN camera crew is doing here makes me wonder if I am watching games from, say, 15 years ago when it comes to coverage and image quality overall. Maybe they should have some interns do this just for comparison.
|1 day 7 hours ago||Those Helmets...||
When I see Maryland's helmets for today in certain lights, I keep thinking about what discounts I might get if I scanned that QR code.
Meanwhile, we manage to get Caleb Rowe to talk himself out of a drive, then Craddock shanks one, so we get better field position than we otherwise might.
|1 day 8 hours ago||That Catch...||
I still watch that catch a couple times each day. Simply awesome.
|1 day 10 hours ago||Curious Myself...||
Back at the ranch in Michigan myself, but I would be curious to know how the time change has affected the makeup of the crowd, or if indeed it has at all. I imagine that a lot of people were hosed because of the change, so it will be interesting to hear reports about how many are there and what the rough Michigan / Maryland mix might be.
|1 day 11 hours ago||Very Nice...||
Ha! Very nice indeed.
I very much doubt the Terrapins were "built Harbaugh tough", if you will, especially as at this very moment, there is a meeting that Randy Edsall will claim to know noothing about at some point. Also, this is what you get for muffing an extremely famous movie quote.
|1 day 23 hours ago||Just So You Know...||
There is some disagreement about what actually happened, per sources (see Eric Branch tweet above). I personally believe that this guy is simply trying to ruin a good thing - the best coaches have their signature lines, and it only seems fitting that this would be Tomsula's line.
The appropriate Vine:
|1 day 23 hours ago||Watching Memphis-USF...||
I just want to mention that South Florida's uniforms suddenly remind me of recent visits to various BP stations. The color scheme is eerily similar and makes me wonder if indeed USF will come out claiming they now have "Invigorate" in the mix. Not that they need a lot of help - Memphis has spent a few minutes each quarter so far machine gunning themselves in the foot.
|2 days 44 min ago||I Can See It...||
The outside expert is aggressively reviewing this situation in full cooperation with relevant authorities, including the NCAA. The university notes that the publisher has provided sparse detail to date and repeats its request for additional detail in order to further the thoroughness of the investigation.
I can see it now - "You'll like this guy, but he's very demanding - anything you can give him, Coach....video, diagrams, audio tapes, annotated versions of the book, live demonstrations....because he'll want to make a thoroughly informed decision for Louisville."
|2 days 4 hours ago||Saw That Too...||
I tuned in for a little of it, and it honestly took me a moment to hone in on Borges because he looked that different and noticeably thinner. It's definitely not easy as you get older - my father embarked on the weight-loss crusade in his 60s finally and lost about 80 lbs - but it is doable if you're dedicated to it and kudos to Borges for it.
|2 days 7 hours ago||Other Numbers...||
In Michigan’s corner is an upperclassman-heavy unit that is not only one of the most experienced in the country, but also one of the best. Whereas Maryland gave up 491 passing yards against Bowling Green, the Wolverines have given up 487 passing yards all season. The Terrapins probably won’t pass much in the storm Saturday, and that is the right decision.
Maryland is averaging 282.7 yards allowed through the air per game, which is good for a solid 100th in Division I football, and even more interesting, they are #107 in opponent pass attempts per game. They are #117 in rushing yards allowed at an average of 243.8 per game too, so I feel good about this game, rain or no rain.