Niko Porikos grew up in an NTDP billet home. Cool story.
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|3 hours 10 min ago||Hoegaarden...||
Closing out the NC State-Virginia Tech game with some Hoegaarden here, but saving the bulk of that and the Franziskaner Weissbier for tomorrow. I am going to take advantage of some rare alone time and watch the game at home - my wife is in Toronto for the weekend and my mother-in-law will have the kids until Sunday afternoon. Me, beer and football - I will take it.
|5 hours 11 min ago||You know what the worst part||
You know what the worst part of this would probably be? While I am not sure how signal strength would affect this precisely, you would have to be looking at a delay of several minutes at least for this game if you were watching it on Mars. It would suck to know that the play you were watching now was - back on Earth - about a series into the books.
|5 hours 18 min ago||I Thought This Was Clear...||
The "End Of OT Season" is more a narrowing of focus where considerably more discretion is used regarding what remains and what goes - it is not an absolute prohibition on such threads. As for this one, it's October and we can spare some space for people looking for costume ideas.
If I failed to make the nature of "the end of OT season" clear back in August, my apologies.
|5 hours 33 min ago||Meanwhile, In Blacksburg...||
The Wolfpack punter may not have been snapped the ball in time for the delay of game penalty to be avoided, but the punter is the smart one - as a freshman, he has learned that in Beamerball's home you are free from the constraints of time and do not necessarily need to pay attention to conventional measures of time such as the play clock.
|7 hours 1 min ago||In My House...||
In my house, if you drew a straight line from the family room TV out to that distance, you would be watching the game from the main floor bathroom, which actually works because I'll be by myself tomorrow and don't need to worry about, say, closing the door or other obstructions that might cross my view. Not a bad distance at all.
|8 hours 20 min ago||My 9 year-old daughter, who||
My 9 year-old daughter, who like my wife is a big fan of "Doctor Who", has decided she is going to be a Tardis for Halloween. How we are supposed to achieve that...well...we'll figure it out, but this is the aim. My son, on the other hand, wants to go out as a Power Ranger - at least the base for this outfit can be found at Party City. Not sure about myself - to aid the kids, I wandered the neighborhood in chain mail last year as a medieval foot soldier.
|9 hours 58 min ago||You Do Recall Correctly...||
You do recall correctly - that was Joe Reynolds and it was for 30 yards.
It would be nice to see one take to the house in a more conventional manner, of course, sometime this season. Peppers has seems rather close a few times already this year - hopefully, he gets lucky yet.
|11 hours 50 min ago||Interesting Stuff...||
Interesting stuff and an intriguing analysis, OP.
Another one that I tend to look at which actually is reasonably predictive of overall success is third down conversion differentials, a battle which Michigan is currently winning by a wide margin. Over the course of the season, we're converting 42.1% compared to 19.4% for our opponents for an overall differential of +22.7%. Tracking that over the last few years, teams that can maintain that tend to go to nice bowls - I will put it like that.
|16 hours 20 min ago||Expected Values...||
Jones has also gotten flak for kicking a field goal at the 1-yard line against Oklahoma. For sure, he should. Jones said his reasoning came down to "analytics," which is an insult to everybody involved in analytics. As Bill Connelly wrote at the time, the expected points value of going for it was 4.6, more than the value of kicking a field goal.
I remember this from the Tennessee-Oklahoma game, and I know we've been through this exercise on the board before with expected points in various situations - I don't think we've run into a set of circumstances that would make a field goal the preferred choice at the 1-yard line...unless that one yard suddenly reminds you of Zeno's Paradox, which is possible in a DeBord offense.
|17 hours 59 min ago||Always Remember...||
....to bang responsibly and be aware of your surroundings. Try not to do the Steve Lyons thing.
|1 day 4 hours ago||All I Can Say Is...||
All I can say right now is that if you enjoy defense and enjoy ball security which limits the amount of derpitude, you will not enjoy what is going on over at ESPN2 right now. If you want a good chuckle now and again, please dial in and watch ESPN2 right now.
|1 day 6 hours ago||About This...||
The flashbacks are terrible. Awful. Northwestern has "Northwesterned" each of the past three contests against the Wolverines, but they have to be due for some luck eventually, right? Right?
It has been said in HTTV and on the board, but it is the case throughout recent history, because they are Northwestern, they can beat anyone, but because they are Northwestern, they can also lose to anyone. I am personally betting on the latter Northwestern myself.
|1 day 7 hours ago||At This Point...||
JaQuan Lyle spoke to NCAA investigators this week. He allegedly told investigators about a recruiting visit to Louisville that he made in June 2013, and confirmed "the gist of allegations" involving paid escorts during his trip to the school. CBS Sports cites an anonymous source close to the investigation as source of the information.
I am just waiting for someone to mention that even though he was not yet employed by Louisville at this point (June 2013), Bobby Petrino seemed to always have a table or reserved spot at the places in question in the book. Somehow, that would make certain things seem even more logical.
|1 day 8 hours ago||Other Measures...||
A 16-ish point win against Northwestern would be nice, I will say that. A lot of other sites - obviously, different predictive mechanisms - are actually a little more conservative in their estimate. TeamRankings, for example, has Michigan by a predicted score of 21-14 (rounded, their mean estimate was 21.2-13.8). Massey has their score prediction where some of us perhaps jokingly put it earlier in the week 10-7 in fave of Michigan.
|1 day 12 hours ago||That Works Too...||
I believe SnappyTV has publishing settings that allow you to prohibit direct embeds, which might explain why the button for the code was doing nothing. Very rarely do a lot of folks disallow embedded tweets, although you can on that site, even if they provide the exact same content, which is semi-amusing as it makes the other setting useless basically.
|1 day 14 hours ago||Interesting Stuff...||
And for the most part, sources said, the current players like Edsall personally. But he lost their support with his program-wide rigidness -- at times he's taken names off jerseys and banned baseball caps, 'do' rags, untrimmed facial hair and earrings in efforts to stifle selfish individualism -- along with his refusal to play more aggressively and tendency to blame them for losses.
That part I didn't realize about Edsall and the manner in which he runs that program - between that and the losing, it's a small wonder that players are beginning to simply tune him out as the article mentions.
They also talk about Maryland's relative lack of big football donors, which when combined with their financial state and trying to cobble together the funds for a new stadium, makes them quicker to listen to those donors. It doesn't help them that they don't have more than sporadic success throughout their history in the sport either.
Yeah, Randy Edsall would have to find some way to essentially gut punch Urban Meyer and walk away with a win to buy another week perhaps.
|1 day 14 hours ago||Cleaning Up...||
Now that I have a chance to be reflective this week -
OT: Cubbies Win POSBANG!
Posbangs should be used sparingly outside the stated bounds from the "End Of OT" post in August.
OT: Drunk UConn student refuses to leave dining hall without bacon jalapeno mac and cheese, acts like douche, gets arrested
Funny as it was (that's why it stayed up as long as it did), I think we can move on now.
MIght add more later.
|1 day 14 hours ago||From the Journal-Sentinel...||
From the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel article:
The amount of annual cash compensation made under the existing contract with adidas varied from $750,000 in the first two years of the deal to $800,000 in the last three years. Under the proposed agreement with Under Armour, UW will receive an annual cash contribution of $4 million.
I am going to say that the over $3 million extra in additional contributions might have been a big draw to the Board Of Regents. Adidas has been out there saying that their branding strategy was changing a bit at the college level, but losing schools is a strategy, after all.
The guaranteed minimum royalty that the get from Adidas is $100,000. Under Armour is offering a minimum of $450,000.
|1 day 14 hours ago||In The Big Ten....||
So, the line predictions for the two Big Ten games if you used Sagarin would be this
PSU-Indiana - (73.45-70.13)+2.71 = 6.03 in favor of Penn State
Iowa-Illinois - (82.74-74.66)+2.71 = 10.79 in favor of Iowa
The first one agrees with the predicted score of 30-24 for that game via Massey, but Massey then has Illinois as having only a 16% estimated win probability in this game, with a 31-17 predicted score. That sort of feels right for that one actually. Might just be me.
|1 day 18 hours ago||Sad News...||
As much as we make light of the situation in Austin and the misfortunes of Texas lately, this really does have to be a distressing thing for them in the locker room this week, especially given the long history and how well-loved Bevo has always been. Hopefully, Bevo gets well and can represent the Longhorns again at some point in the season.
|1 day 19 hours ago||Except That...||
Except that it is Thursday.
|2 days 4 hours ago||Just A Reminder...||
As a reminder, please tread lightly in these threads - it's perfectly fine to post a thread about Harbaugh expressing an opinion, but could we please:
- not engage in sidebars on the merits of being a represented employee. We do have a few on the site, you know, and besmirching their affiliations and / or trades is counterproductive.
- not speculate on political affiliations of the coaches - that string was deleted as well.
- in general, try not to get political on this issue
|2 days 6 hours ago||Not Sure...||
If I had my way, you probably don't see Peppers this week.
While Northwestern is a tougher test - the toughest one so far - I have to think there are a lot of plays between the most basic formations in Harbaugh's offense and the section of the playbook that uses Peppers on offense. I don't foresee being so in trouble that we feel like we need to go there, if you will. If we see him on offense against MSU (and I don't think he's been taking snaps there lately), I'd much rather it was a surprise, one used in a key situation.
|2 days 7 hours ago||I Don't Know...||
Michigan's 83 percent win probability against Northwestern might feel high, but Ohio State's (88 percent against Maryland) and Michigan State's (88 percent against Rutgers) do not. The Buckeyes and Spartans should cruise, and Week 7 will be when this race begins to truly take shape.
The fan in me likes hype well enough, but yeah, I feel this is taking a leap over the next two games for us at least. If we somehow get to 6-1 after the 17th, then it seems easier to start saying there might be a realizeable shot, but even then MSU and OSU are also going to have to run into some misadventures here and there to make it happen.
|2 days 9 hours ago||About The Clemson Game...||
I didn't like the way Clemson got to enter the field through the tunnel with the ramp while we were made to shuffle in quietly off to the side. I wish Kelly would have marched the team in right down the middle of that ramp and put the chip on our guy's shoulders and punched them in the mouth like he said we needed too.
This complaint is somehow classically ND. I laughed.
"We had to enter from the visitor's locker room and endure some theatrics that didn't involve us. Not fair."
|2 days 11 hours ago||Great Article...||
Markovits continued, citing a greeting from a dean at American: “ ‘Andy, great to have you! Welcome. So, Harbaugh: What’s gonna happen?’ ” The person helping with his photo ID: “ ‘So, you’re from Michigan? So, what do you think Harbaugh will do?’ ” The person helping with the parking sticker asked similarly about Harbaugh.
This happens even I have spoken to folks at work, at least those who don't already know me - since the beginning of the year, whenever it comes up that I went to Michigan or I am a fan, the second or third question has been Harbaugh-related, regardless of the fan affiliations of the other person. Nearly everyone definitely has "Harbaugh on the mind", even if they are casual fans.
Great article, OP.
|2 days 12 hours ago||Second This...||
The times that we've made the trip (can't this year because of a previous commitment), this is where we stayed and it works out very well. It isn't that far off the Turnpike (I-76) along I-99 if you're coming from the west (Detroit area, in our case) and like you said, it's only another 30 minutes or so up I-99 to get to State College, which is a reasonable distance really.
|2 days 13 hours ago||Scope Of Control...||
It's hard for me to get too entangled in decisions over which I have no control as a rule, so when it comes to the recruiting decisions and school choices being made by high schoolers, I don't normally fret over them. You can be disappointed that perhaps a class didn't round out as you had hoped, or if someone ultimately chooses a school not yours, but as it is far out of the scope of your control, it is merely something to process and move forward from.
I guess I never understood why some people get as invested as they do in a decision which they are not making nor can they influence except through some outrageous act (which is sometimes an NCAA violation unto itself).
|2 days 16 hours ago||Hard To Say...||
It's hard to derive the overall game strategy from this sample, but it looks like they loaded the box to sell out against the electric slide, but in reality it was just a series of simple gives to the RB with a Mike Leach-style fade route towards the end. Maybe they work out those communication problems this week in practice.
|2 days 19 hours ago||It Does Seem Like It..||
I does seem that way really, that it is very controlled, but I tend to think a lot of that is the staff understands the abilities and limitations given the personnel and the stage they are at in the process of installing the system. We can talk about the lack of big plays and the number of trips to the red zone, but if they can take what they have right now - turn it into something that is very efficient when it is running on all cylinders - and grind it out, all the while with a defense that ensures you don't need to score impressive amounts of points to win, I don't mind that at all. As I said, it seems like the staff understands what it has, where they are at, and is even turning some deficiencies into strengths in some respects.