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- The second Colorado TD was a perfect choreographed fade. Literally the only way to have stopped that would have been to bump in man and disrupt the route. Coverage was also nearly perfect so I don't mind that play at all.
- The third Colorado TD was weird. Can't tell what the outside receiver was doing, but it was a cover 4 buster slot skinny post (not that we were in cover four). I don't know what Delano Hill was doing immediately post-snap because he's off the screen, but I do know that Peppers provided absolutely no help whatsoever in the drop flat. I think he was concerned about the two backs but McCray was within his line of sight with a hat on the playside back. Weird.
- Newsome wasn't flawless, but his run blocking was very good on more than a handful of plays. He really does a nice job locking on and then turning his butt to the gap. He's also good on the move although he still hesistates before making contact. It looks like he's worried more agile guys will run past him.
- Khalid Hill is one hell of a fullback. Very, very good blocker when he makes contact. Also does a nice job knowing when a block is "complete" and he can move on to the next guy.
- McCray was able to diagnose several plays from the alignment after the motion. From a fan's perspective, that's a way to tell he's good at learning from film. The play where he nearly picked off the screen was a great example - you can see him point to the player who will receive the pass right before the ball is snapped. If he hadn't broken up the pass, Peppers was ready to make the tackle and prevent even a centimeter of YAC.
- This game was a great example of why linebacker athleticism shouldn't be underrated. Butt was simply too fast to be covered once he started his drag route. We could have thrown to him nearly every play had we wanted to. And, on that note, I appreciated the adjustment of the coaches to run simple underneath mesh shit over and over again since we couldn't go deep.
- HAW: 29% success rate against U of M. HAW had a 48% success rate against CAL, a 35% success rate against UT-Martin, and a 39% success rate against ARI.
- UCF: 29% success rate against U of M. UCF had a 39% success rate against SCSt, and a 39% success rate against MARY.
- COLO: 27% success rate against U of M. COLO had a 54% success rate against COSt, and a 50% success rate against IDSt.
- Against HAW: 69% success rate. HAW held CAL to 50%, UT-Martin to 36%, and ARI to 49%.
- Against UCF: 36% success rate. UCF held SCSt to a 23% success rate, and MARY to 38%.
- Against COLO: 38% success rate. COLO held COSt to a 33% success rate, and IDSt to 20%.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||Rewatch the video. I||
Rewatch the video.
I acknowledge there's a chance that Rushing simply drops the football, but Hornibrook does a great job putting the football in the second-most effective place he could have. If Rushing doesn't bork the catch that's six and we have a tie game... unless they went for two.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||...the Newsome injury,||
...the Newsome injury, tho.
Best of luck. Hope it looked worse than it was.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||I think Lewis's interception||
I think Lewis's interception is the most amazing pick I've ever seen.
BTW - this probably belongs in a snowflake thread, but I want to share it here instead. Viewing this in the stands, most fans seemed upset that he didn't knock it down. I don't think attempting to bat the ball was the appropriate play under the circumstances.
It's 4th and 10. Wisconsin has elected to go for the touchdown instead of the first down, and has told Rushing, positioned in the backfield outside of the split end, to run a fly with Robert Wheelwright (the split end) running a post from the line of scrimmage. Thomas has either deep thirds or deep halfs coverage, with McCray lined up on Wheelwright. Lewis has Rushing.
At the play, Rushing slips his route behind Wheelwright's. McCray plays this like a boss and keeps inside Wheelwright step-for-step - the moment Wheelwright reveals that he's got the post, McCray feels secure because Hornibrook has nowhere to put the football. Inexplicably, however, Thomas (minus fucking 1) has decided that Wheelwright is the biggest threat on the play and completely sells out on covering that route. The effect is that Lewis is one on one with Rushing without any safety help whatsoever. And Lewis knows that because he's playing proper technique - behind and inside his man with eyes upfield - and probably silently cursing Thomas while he stares at his nameplate and his back.
The other thing Lewis sees? Hornibrook, who never looks off Rushing from the moment Wheelwright breaks on his post and McCray has removed him from the play. So Lewis now knows that one of three things can happen: (1) Hornibrook throws a bad pass and the game is over. (2) Hornibrook throws a catchable ball and he needs to get a PBU or a INT. (3) Hornibrook throws a catchable ball and Wisconsin scores a TD.
Hornibrook throws the ball, and Lewis watches him do so. It's not a moonshot arc where only Rushing can catch it, but it's quite literally the next best thing - a fluttery soft pitch/catch where Rushing can grab it in stride. One slight wrinkle - it's going to Rushing's back shoulder instead of inside. Rushing will need to adjust to grab it, but if he does it's a touchdown, yo.
Lewis (who, remember, is playing inside and behind his man) knows now that his "choice" isn't really a choice at all - make a play on the ball or lose the game. But because he's inside and behind his man but the pass is outside and away, slapping away at the football has dire potential consequences - if the ball is popped up in the air, Rushing could very well make a great play on it because it's probably going to shoot up in the air towards the visitor's sideline, which is the very place Rushing has to adjust to catch the ball anyway. So now the only 'safe place" to bat the ball is inside and upfield... which is precisely where Jourdan is in relation to Rushing.
So Lewis elevates, gets a hand on the ball (!!!), and now needs to catch it and keep it from going behind him (which is to say upfield and towards the sideline). In the act of doing so, he has cradled it against his hip. So now the only way to turn this into a PBU is to actively try and "drop" it, which risks either giving Rushing some weirdo bounce shot at making an Immaculate Reception, or risks giving the shitty officials the opportunity to decide that he fumbled.
So just hold on, young man. Don't worry about the optimally effective choice given the down and distance. You made an appropriate business decision, considering all involved parties. In the process, you made one of the greatest interceptions of all time, and you just won the damn game.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||EVERYONE GO LOOK AT OUR||
EVERYONE GO LOOK AT OUR DEFENSIVE S&P RIGHT NOW RIGHT NOW RIGHT NOW
|3 weeks 7 hours ago||I thought it was cool when||
I thought it was cool when JBB cocked his head back and roared out "DESTINY IS CALLING ME" along with the student section when everyone was singing along to Mr. Brightside near the end of the fourth quarter.
|3 weeks 9 hours ago||Something that's been||
Something that's been puzzling me for a while - Magnuson is an average pass blocker and an average run blocker, and he's a little slight. Why not play him at LT and Bredeson/JBB at RT? My guess is that it's just plain not gonna happen - we would have heard about Magnuson's versatility if he was capable of winning that job. But he just seems like his skillset and abilities are ideally suited for that position out of all the remaining options.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Our passing down success rate||
Our passing down success rate is near-legendary. Just in awe at our defensive efficiency. Defensive explosiveness not as great, however.
|3 weeks 5 days ago||Well... hope... that goes||
Well... hope... that goes better than it has so far.
|3 weeks 5 days ago||Our ability to get home with||
Our ability to get home with rushing four will determine this game. SO I FEEL OKAY.
|3 weeks 6 days ago||It doesn't hurt us per se.||
It doesn't hurt us per se. What I think it does is remove a strength of the team - when we go nickel with Lewis in the slot and Peppers field side, that was formerly the best secondary in the country by a wide margin. Now we probably don't have a lethal nickel package any longer and instead it will be merely above average.
Where I think this really hurts us is against OSU. Dammit.
|4 weeks 7 hours ago||There's still time, but 5.6||
There's still time, but 5.6 YPA is... not good.
Again, though - plenty of time to improve. And the ground game owned today, so there was plenty to cheer for.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||The D's rushing success rate||
The D's rushing success rate is... jaw dropping. Awe inspiring. Amazing.
|4 weeks 6 days ago||So every week I watch this at||
So every week I watch this at half speed with my old coaching skipwheel. Thoughts:
|4 weeks 6 days ago||I like looking at early||
I like looking at early season five factor box score metrics as opposed to straight up rankings in the early season because the rankings are still weighted based on the preseason.
Click for link to Google Docs spreadsheet:
What's good is that Michigan absolutely dominates its opponents in terms of defensive success rate:
What's bad is that our offensive success rate... is really, really average no matter who we play. It's not, however, that terrible compared to other opponents:
What's surprising is that in terms of success rate, we actually had our best game against Colorado. Note that we held them to the lowest success rate of any of our three opponents, whereas we had a higher success rate against their defense than we had against UCF's.
|5 weeks 6 days ago||I was a freshman at City High||
I was a freshman at City High School in Grand Rapids. We were in a history class with a teacher whose name I won't use here. Somebody came in to our room and told us that something wild was happening in New York. Our teacher - who was well-intentioned - told us that we couldn't watch the news on the classroom TV because the media would "play this over and over" to "make money" over the next few weeks, and we'd learn about it then.
I still have dreams where I scream at him to turn the TV on.
|6 weeks 1 day ago||THAT'S the reason you don't||
THAT'S the reason you don't rob a bank?
|6 weeks 1 day ago||This is a correct statement||
This is a correct statement of the rule. It's neither here nor there, but I feel this rule SHOULD be amended so that a player may receive a 6th year of eligibility even if he takes a voluntary redshirt so long as the player is unable to compete in his 5th year due to injury.
|6 weeks 1 day ago||If campaigning for additional||
If campaigning for additional eligibility is effective, I don't understand why you'd be proud of not doing it.
|6 weeks 1 day ago||Although it's obviously||
Although it's obviously violates the way the rule is supposed to work, I'm glad it happened from a perspective of "fairness" or "justice" from Davis's perspective. A world in which 6th years are granted when you have a season-ender as a 5th year is a better world.
If I was Mario Ojemudia I'd be extremely pissed, though.
|6 weeks 2 days ago||Why doesn't MSU do a better||
Why doesn't MSU do a better job with recruiting? Is it the personalities of the coaches? The fan environment?
|7 weeks 2 days ago||Happy to. Michigan has had||
Happy to. Michigan has had its ass beat consistently by MSU for years, excepting the last game and 2012, which was a stalemate of ineptitude and basically the "shruggie" emoticon turned to life. I'm not dishonest with Michigan's place vis a vis MSU in the college football stratosphere over the last decade.
But coopting a piece of our program's most cherished traditions and turning it into a hackneyed slogan isn't what a superior opponent does. Declaring supremacy over Michigan is unnecessary because it's obvious. Plus, MSU was in the frickin' playoffs last year. So why are they talking about Michigan at all?
It's because MSU is a pest. Pest-dom is part of its nature.
|7 weeks 2 days ago||Genius. Perfect. Flawless.||
Genius. Perfect. Flawless. 10/10.
You deal with bullies by confronting them. You deal with pests by ignoring them.
|7 weeks 4 days ago||Shit. Thanks for the info,||
Shit. Thanks for the info, though.
|8 weeks 4 days ago||No, that's the PEDO room.||
No, that's the PEDO room.
|8 weeks 4 days ago||He will take you. If you run,||
He will take you.
If you run, he will chase you.
|8 weeks 5 days ago||Thank you. I will be sending||
Thank you. I will be sending (yet another) donation soon. Your podcast content is absolutely excellent.
|9 weeks 5 days ago||The burst off the line is||
The burst off the line is very good, but nothing awe inspiring. But the punch was jaw-dropping. Completely stunned Bredeson and could have caused him to drop his arms.
|10 weeks 1 day ago||This is savage. Our edits||
This is savage. Our edits are the best.
|10 weeks 2 days ago||I worked during school, but I||
I worked during school, but I actually agree. This is a perfect example of the ludicrous moral hazard presently at play in our system. Great analogy - I'll be stealing it.
|10 weeks 2 days ago||"Student loans aren't a||
"Student loans aren't a problem because, if you go into public service, you can get them forgiven after 10 years! Also, I assume "forgiven" means that the debt just disappears into thin air!"
Congratulations for living frugally. I mean that - it's very admirable. Now enjoy paying off everyone else's "forgiven" debt in decade or so.