- Member for
- 2 years 31 weeks
|31 weeks 1 day ago||Yup||
Right, that's what I meant. I referred to the spots as Stauskas'/GRIII's because I was thinking in terms of a spot for a G and a spot for a F...wouldn't expect either MAAR or Dawkins' minutes to be too high in 2014-15.
|31 weeks 2 days ago||Exactly||
Right -- essentially MAAR is taking Stauskas' spot, and Dawkins is (hopefully) taking GRIII's spot. No plans to medical Hatch just yet, so there's only an open transfer spot if McGary leaves. Will be interesting to see if this evolves differently if Dawkins ends up elsewhere and either of the transfers are still in the mix.
|39 weeks 1 day ago||SAM||
I can buy Ryan at MLB as an upgrade, particularly against these spread-y teams. The major concern is the gaping hole that leaves at SAM. Even if the "SAM" is really the Nickel DE for ~60% of downs (which Beyer could hld down), for the other ~40% of downs that's a huge hole on the edge.
Maybe I'm interpreting this wrong -- maybe they go Ross/Morgan/Ryan against traditional teams/in run downs and Ryan is a "Nickel MLB." That's still asking a lot of Ryan, and lot of whoever replaces him on the edge.
|41 weeks 18 hours ago||Glad it wasn't just me||
The intro music is crazily looping over itself. I almost like it. But almost doesn't cut it.
Please never do it again, unless we beat Ohio tonight, in which case always, always, always do it again.
|41 weeks 20 hours ago||Images||
I for one enjoy the images, and the new charts showig the four factors -- I spent a couple minutes on them really taking them in. I only saw them post-opacity update, but I had no issues with readability.
|41 weeks 4 days ago||phone posting noob||
apparently I do not know how to enter line breaks from the phone app. ugh. /noob
|41 weeks 4 days ago||lineup card||
Add me to the list of those who like the new lineup card.
Also agree that Kenpoms algorithms overrate Iowa due to some blowouts. UMs ability to prevent transition opportunities via their strengtus of few TOs and high shooting % are a good foil to Iowa's key strength. The key will be to maintain that and mitigate Iowa going crazy on Oreb. That said, definitely agree with Ace not deviating from the Kenpom prediction.
Mini-feedback: Did the previews formerly show UMs rankings on the four factors along with the opponents or am I misremembering? In any case, I am interested enough to want to see those in the previews but too lazy to look them up. So take that for what little it is worth.
|42 weeks 5 days ago||Was about to say my experience is more recent...||
...but I applied Fall 2006, so not much more so than some of the folks above. I'll draw off my experience as an instater who got in with ~20 classmates. I think you have a strong chance as-is, though a really good essay/teacher rec would certainly help. But I do agree with other posters that increasing your ACT is a wise investment. If you get that up to 31 you shouldn't have an issue getting in. The Mendoza line for my high school classmates seemed to be 27, but I didn't hear about anything with a 30+ getting rejected.
One piece of advice is to explore taking the SAT if you haven't already. When I was applying UM would accept either test score. Some say the ACT is easier, but I think it's highly variable by individual. I ended up doing somewhat better on my SAT than on the ACT as far as overall percentiles go. I'd suggest taking a practice test - there's some content overlap with the ACT so the practice is good, and you could end up finding it easier.
I think UM still gives 'bonus points' to instate applicants, but I remember when I was applying that they were supposedly dialing that down because they love that sweet out of state tuition. That's more hearsay than anything else.
I don't remember AP test record as being particularly important, though taking AP classes should demonstrate you had good rigor in your curriculum. Some unsolicited advice: don't necessarily apply for AP credit for every test you take unless you're going to use it. I ended up having a full semester of AP credit, so I was counted as an upperclassman my second sophomore semester, which meant paying upperclassman tuition for an extra semester. If you're going to "use" that credit to graduate early or take more advanced, interesting classes then go for it; otherwise it can cost you some extra money.
Additional unsolicited advice: I loved my time at UM and agree with a poster above that if you elect a major that translates easily into a well-paying job that the high tuition is worth it. But, if you're undecided about what you want to study and/or think you may go the "softer" route you should strongly consider something more affordable. With the kind of applications you have, you should be able to get in at a number of good schools with scholarships.
|44 weeks 5 days ago||Yes||
Must pad my post count, so I can upvote
|45 weeks 4 days ago||Pythag||
It's a Pythag win %, which means it takes the margin of victory/loss into account. So, even if a team is undefeated they can theoretically improve by increasing their margin of victory over the course of the year.
[Sarcastic Cynicism] Also this is just another way of saying Beilein's teams start slow and don't start playing MICHIGAN BASKETBALL until midseason which is UNACCEPTABLE [/Sarcastic Cynicism]
|1 year 1 week ago||Liveblog?||
Has there been any talk of doing Blyve live blogs for basketball games this season? Or are we just sticking with open threads?
|1 year 1 week ago||Gator Bowl, then||
I believe the Texas and BW3 Bowl are both late December ones, so your rooting interest would be the Gator Bowl then.
Fishing for a +1 Informative: Michigan has never been to the Texas/Meineke Car Care Bowl or the Buffalo Wild Wings/Insight Bowl, but has been to the Gator Bowl 3x.
|1 year 14 weeks ago||Suggestion/Request||
Really cool analysis! So cool, I want MOAR:
I'd be interested in seeing a repeat of this analysis, but instead of color-coding by conference, color code by philosophies. That is, are there any trends to where Spread vs. Air Raid vs. Pro-Style teams end up? On defense, maybe it's more about how blitz-happy a team is - do they trend to the lower right? If you could measure average number of DBs on the field per play, do those teams trend to the upper left?
Also, clearly the upper right is best and the lower left is worst for both offense and defense. But if a particular style or philsophy takes you into the upper left vs. the lower right, which is 'better?' That is, which correlates with better PPG/wins/TO ratios? To take it a step further graphically, if you collected data on multiple years could you model a series of PPG curves on these graphs?
|1 year 15 weeks ago||Interests?||
Great idea. I just joined the group (WolverineJeff)
Any of you guys play Civ5? Any interest in Portal 2 co-op (that's been on my to-do list for 2 years)?
|1 year 19 weeks ago||I get the same feeling...||
It goes beyond Michigan fandom to other entertainment (TV shows, movies, video games, etc). Hearing "Oh I'm a huge fan, too!" coupled with "Who's Jake Ryan? Uh, Sixteen Candles?" is beyond annoying. I think it's the disappointment of going from thinking you can geek out with someone on a shared interest to maybe being perceived as TOO into something.
|1 year 39 weeks ago||Same here||
I emailed Tae's kickstarter address on Jan 2nd, and he said then that hoodies would mail out in the next two weeks. I'm just hoping I get it before hoodie season is over.
|1 year 51 weeks ago||?||
I think that's responding to my first paragraph? Sorry, that was directed at MGoAlexander's post (but not timely enough). I like your proposal a lot -- was just trying to piggy back on it with a few tweaks.
|1 year 51 weeks ago||Divisions||
The only downside to that is that there are no "divisions" then, just the four "pods." I don't believe that it would fit in with the current NCAA rules for a championship game.
If not for the NCAA rules about divisions, I was thinking along the lines of something similar, but without division distinctions as well. Essentially, mirror the current NFL scheduling -- the four pods play everyone within their pod every year, and rotate the other pod. Then rather than have a floating de jure division, you just pick the two pod champs with the best record. The only difference with this version versus the OD's is that it would allow for a rematch if the two best teams were in the same pod-pairing that year (IMO, that's a better scenario than having a Wisconsin or Georgia Tech type be able to sneak in).
Other thought here is "secondary rivalries." When Michigan's pod is paired with Ohio's, there's an open "rivalry" game. If some of these lesser "rivalries" are a concern, like Indiana-Michigan State or Michigan-Penn State they could be the back-up to that rivalry game, so that it would be played two out of every three years (or four out of six) rather than one out of every three.
But, Brian's thought a way back is probably the best one to adapt. Would you really miss playing Indiana and Illinois?
The Big Ten Division
The Also Kind of Big Ten Division
New Team A
New Team B
|2 years 1 day ago||Lewan is probably going pro||
Some dodgy plays yesterday withstanding, Lewan is a consensus projected 1st round pick, potentially in the Top 10 (hopefully not too high for the Lions, but that's another thread). It's rare that players come back when they have a draft grade like that. Being a RS Junior, Lewan can also probably finish up his degree before next season. I wouldn't be shocked, and would be delighted, if he came back to address some unfinished business.
|2 years 2 weeks ago||Internet's a big place||
I didn't see your first post, Blue Blue Blue, so I can only speak generally. But, I know this has come up before from other posters.
There are several places where someone can say whatever their opinion of Michigan sports is, regardless of how substantiated, intelligent, coherent, etc. it is. See: MLive, Detroit Free Press, Facebook, ESPN.com, etc. I think the mods at MGoBlog are trying to make sure this does not become one of those places. Personally, I like it that way. I like knowing that when I click on a thread here, I an expect a certain degree of reason. At least, relative to everything else on the Internet.
To address your post here itself -- the reason that people think it's ridiculous is that Hoke and company show time and time again that they can take lemons, eat them, then poop magic. If he makes mistakes, he's owed a huge deal of slack. See: OSU, MSU, bowl monkeys off of our backs.
Gardner was our second best WR. There was a lot of value putting him in the lineup, and it was a reasonable gamble. I don't think anyone could have reasonably predicted Gardner would have been so competent-to-good at QB right away either, based on previous playing time, Spring performance, etc. Also, @MINN & VS. NW <> @NU with division title on the line.
|2 years 7 weeks ago||There is a numbers "advantage"||
Compare the read option to a standard hand off. In that case the QB accomplishes nothing post-snap, it's 11 defenders vs 9 blockers and a runner. The read option forces a DE (or LB if the defense makes certain adjustments) to take the RB/QB without the ball so it's 10 defenders vs 9 blockers and a runner. Does that clear things up?
|2 years 9 weeks ago||Fuck. Fuckfuckfuckfuck||
|2 years 9 weeks ago||can't they review the ball||
can't they review the ball spot?
|2 years 11 weeks ago||Well||
That would be a callback to last year's early games (see: EMU) where Denard ran a crapton unexplicably. Brian is being sort of half-sarcastic. It's a commentary on several levels -- Borges' use of him in the past year, general sports predictions, general pessimism of Michigan fans around now, and I can't believe I'm really explaining this nevermind.
Also, don't expect UM to "blow Air Force away." A one or two score lead at half time, then pulling away late third quarter or early fourth quarter are more likely, unless they connect on some bombs to Gardner/Gallon. If Air Force were in the Big Ten, they would probably be around the 3-5 in conference mark historically. High probably of win to be sure, but not a MACrifice.
|2 years 11 weeks ago||Not sure where he'd get that||
The coverage map linked above is just the one that ESPN provides. A quick Google search doesn't yield the Puerto Rico coverage map. I'd assume it'd be the same as Florida and the Southeast though. Have you noticed it being different in the past?
|2 years 11 weeks ago||This paragraph got me interested:||
"I wish I could give you more than the thousand-foot overview but playing Academy teams, especially early in the season, is an exercise in reading season previews that all say "these 18 new starters are at the Air Force Academy, and this is all we know." "
This made me curious as to how much variance there is year to year for Air Force, and similarly for Navy. If you consistently have this level of turnaround, how much better or worse can you be year to year? Too lazy to do a deep dive (and not enough points to post it if I did), but here are their end season Overall FEI ranks (out of ~120 FBS teams):
Air Force generally hovers around #40, with a larger drop off coming between the 2010 and 2011 seasons, and a big improvement from 2008 to 2009. Navy hovers around the same area, and had a big improvement from 2007 to 2008. So, the best team one could reasonably expect would take a leap back to around that #40 rank, which is about where Penn State was last year. If they stay at the same level, they're about where Purdue was last year. Pretty impressive either way given the level of personnel turnover and restrictions they face.
|2 years 11 weeks ago||If you're the type to worry about Eastern, then...||
worry about Air Force. Using end season FEI rank as a proxy for 'how good are you', Air Force is consistently been better than EMU over the past five seasons. Air Force ranged between 40th and 79th among FBS teams (though that 79 was last year), while Eastern hovers around the 90th and 100th range. However, I wouldn't recommend worrying about Air Force (*knock on wood*)
|2 years 11 weeks ago||Bill Bentley||
Bill Bentley, a rookie on the Lions is one of them. If he can convince some of his teammates to contribute, even just one of Stafford, Suh, or Megatron, this thing will be funded real quick.
Any MGoMBAers -- which donation levels do you think have the highest margins for the charity?
|2 years 11 weeks ago||Easy classes||
Curtis' argument has truth to it, but stops short.
From my experience at LSA, easy classes and independent studies are available to basically every student at UM. Even a number of classes that are very challenging to get an 'A' in are fairly straightforward to get a B in, but difficult to fail. What makes a school good are opportunities to challenge students, and resources to help with those challenges. A lot of classmates, like me, chose to take the difficult classes, and it paid off. But I've seen students, athletes or otherwise, take the path of least resistance, getting Cs and Bs enough to graduate, but not learning or growing much, or taking classes that offer easy A's.
I'm sure there are other universities that have a much more rigorous curriculum that they require of every student, but what makes a school 'good' isn't whether or not their students elect to take Comm or Engineering classes. You can only control that to the degree of your admissions standards, which Curtis all but glosses over -- the Big Ten has more rigorous standards than the SEC. Unless the indepdent studies he mentions are easy to a UNC level, then they don't bear mentioning.
|2 years 11 weeks ago||This is called||
Dave Brandon creating the future