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|12 hours 50 min ago||All good points||
But I do have to give a minor neg to the crowd; at least once, toward the end of the first half, I heard the dreaded "Over-Rated" cheer.
I mean, I'll allow that it could be true. But I'll also posit that maybe, just maybe, Northwestern was properly rated, one of the top 15-20 teams in the country -- and simply not in Michigan's league. Let's credit Michigan for making Northwestern look bad, not suggest that they were never any good in the first place. :-)
|12 hours 56 min ago||Inexplicable||
That was inexplicable. Perhaps worse was the BTN announcers making absolulely no notice of it, except to say that the rule had been changed to where they could rescind the personal foul. (Previously, the ejection could be overturned but the penalty had to count, which made no sense whatsoever). I mean, I get that Matt Millen doesn't like Michigan. I get that he's terrible at his job. But with all of the time they spent reviewing the hit, you'd think somebody could have pointed out that you're not allowed to hit the quarterback after a feet-first slide. (For comparison, Michigan radio was going bananas).
The quarterback, after a feet-first slide, is supposed to be untouchable. You could make an argument that both hits should have generated penalties and should have been enforced, since they're dead ball fouls. The later hit was never even flagged, despite being really, really late.
Also, they shouldn't later have picked up the flag on the late hit out of bounds; the receiver was a full step out of bounds, and while the initial broadcast angle seemed to show the defender pulling up, the reverse angle showed that he lowered his shoulder and applied the late hit. Just another typical week of slipshod Big Ten refereeing, unfortunately.
Oh, also: Millen actually said something along the lines of if he wanted to target, he'd break the guy's neck. I imagine it was meant as hyperbole, but considering the severity of spinal injuries, it came off as seriously tone-deaf to me.
|12 hours 57 min ago||Plus...||
One referee had just thrown a flag for a late hit. Clearly he was looking at the play, but he didn't notice another defender doing the exact same thing for which he just threw his flag?
Tell you what, though. It feels a lot better to be confused / upset about officiating after a 38-0 Michigan victory than after some of last year's games (examples redacted to protect the innocent :-) .
|1 day 1 hour ago||Actually, it doesn't.||
Here's the applicable text from the NCAA bylaw in question (12.8.4: Hardship Waiver, section (c)):
(c) In team sports, the injury or illness occurs when the student-athlete has not participated in more than three contests or dates of competition (whichever is applicable to that sport) or 30 percent (whichever number is greater) of the institution’s scheduled or completed contests or dates of competition in his or her sport. Only scheduled or completed competition against outside participants during the playing season that concludes with the NCAA championship, or, if so designated, during the official NCAA championship playing season in that sport (e.g., spring baseball, fall soccer), shall be countable under this limitation in calculating both the number of contests or dates of competition in which the student-athlete has participated and the number of scheduled or completed contests or dates of competition during that season in the sport. Dates of competition that are exempted (e.g., alumni contests, foreign team in the United States) from the maximum permissible number of contests or dates of competition shall count toward the number of contests or dates in which the student-athlete has participated and the number of scheduled or completed contests or dates of competition in the season, except for scrimmages and exhibition contests that are specifically identified as such in the sport’s Bylaw 17 playing and practice season regulations. Scrimmages and exhibition contests that are not exempted from the maximum permissible number of contests or dates of competition may be excluded from the calculation only if they are identified as such in the sport’s Bylaw 17 playing and practice season regulations;
You then need to continue to read to find 220.127.116.11.6.1, Denominator in Perent Computation, subsection 1 (Team Sports), and subsection 1 of that, Conference Championships:
18.104.22.168.6.1 Denominator in Percent Computation.
22.214.171.124.6.1.1 Team Sports. The denominator in the institution’s percent calculation shall be based on the institution’s number of scheduled or completed varsity contests or dates of competition [see Bylaw 12.8.4-(c)] as computed for playing and practice season purposes in Bylaw 17 for the applicable sport. [Note: Exempted events in Bylaw 17 are included in the percent calculation, except as provided in Bylaw 12.8.4-(c).] An institution participating in a single-elimination event may only count the actual contests in which the institution participates (as opposed to the number of contests scheduled in the event) in determining the number of scheduled or completed contests in the denominator. (Revised: 1/14/97 effective 8/1/97, 2/11/98, 4/26/01 effective 8/1/01, 6/21/01, 8/4/05, 4/24/08, 7/31/14)
126.96.36.199.188.8.131.52 Conference Championships. A conference championship shall be counted as one contest or date of competition in determining the institution’s scheduled or completed contests or dates of competition in that sport, regardless of the number of days or games involved in the championship. However, for purposes of this regulation, the calculation of scheduled or completed contests or dates of competition in a particular season does not include postseason competition conducted after the completion of the institution’s regular-season schedule and conference tournament. (Revised: 1/14/97 effective 8/1/97, 4/26/01 effec- tive 8/1/01, 8/4/05, 7/31/14)
The rounding up rule is 184.108.40.206.6.2.
Then, you'd want to move on to bylaw 17.10, which is the definition of the length of the football season, wherein it says 12, excluding the conference championship game, bowl game, and national championship game.
So, the way I read it, all of the games played during the season count, because it specifically says that exempt events count in the denominator. You could even make an argument that the championship game should count even if Michigan isn't in it, since it says "regardless of the number of days or games involved in the championship." Of course, this being the NCAA, who knows what they'll decide it means.
(By the way, the last page with content in the Division I guidebook is page 391. I think the fact that there are nearly 400 pages of rules for the NCAA sums up everything that's wrong with the NCAA).
|1 day 2 hours ago||It's not..||
It's not 1/3. It's 30%, but all fractions round up. 12 / 13 games -> 4. 14 / 15 games -> 5.
|1 day 2 hours ago||So you're saying there's a chance...||
Actually, if Michigan were to make the Big Ten Championship game, and then a bowl / playoff game thereafter, that would be a minimum of 14 games. 30% of 14 is 4.2, which rounds up to 5. Mario Ojemduia would be eligible. I just don't know if the title game counts as a scheduled game; the linked source below doesn't say. I'd think that it would though.
Note that I would not be the least bit surprised if the National Championship game didn't count, because the NCAA considered it part of a tournament which counts as a single countable event -- the same way the basketball schedule gets abused.
Source: http://mgoblog.com/diaries/medical-redshirt-vs-medical-exemption-overview (there's more in the commments, including a link to VT's page which explains the rounding but still has the outdated 20% rule on it: http://www.athletics.vt.edu/compliance/competition/seasons.html )
|1 day 15 hours ago||And...||
Many of these were shortened games, either by mutual agreement ahead of time or by having the opposing coach concede. That makes the offense, if anything, even more impressive.
I think you have to consider pre-V-J day as its own category. I mean, just consider Yost's first few years:
1903: 565-6 (11-0-1)
1905: 495-2 (12-1)
Those are some stout defenses. :)
|1 day 15 hours ago||So,||
By "right decision," you mean "wrong decision," then? Variance is the wrong variable; he should be trying to maximize win probability, not affect variance. If he has a play that he thinks is 60% likely to score a two-point conversion, he should go for it unless he thinks his team is > 60% likely to prevail in overtime. Given the talent level of the two squads, and the fact he was on the road, that seems unlikely. (Also, there needs to be a small correction for the actual probability of making a PAT, which is clearly less than 100%).
The only way in which this is the right decision is if his best two-point conversion play had something like a 40-45% chance of success, in which case, well, "Cougin' it" is the original "Clemsoning."
The only thing he was truly minimizing was the likelihood of being excoriated by ignorant fans and media members if he had lost.
|1 day 22 hours ago||And Yea||
And Yea, by the Transitive Power of Football, I hereby declare the expected outcome to be Michigan 65, Minnesota 0. You heard it here first. ;)
|2 days 13 hours ago||Upvote?||
Hey, whoever upvoted this comment -- not cool. We should be above celebrating an injury to an opposing player.
Besides -- Michigan shouldn't need any help to beat Staee. Harbaugh is restoring order to the universe.
|6 days 15 hours ago||You mean the sideline||
You mean the sideline. The answer is, if the referees call it properly, it's a penalty for free kick out of bounds. If they do not, the return team gets the ball at the spot where the player ran out of bounds (à la BYU last week -- not that I'm saying the BYU player was attempting that).
There was an NFL team that was trying this a few years ago, right up to the point where an official blew the call and gave them possession inside their 10. I haven't seen it attempted since.
(In the NFL, it's actually even a little more generous -- you're not inbounds until you've established two feet in the field of play. So, if you can touch the ball via one giant stride from the sideline, before your second foot hit the turf, the correct call is free kick out of bounds).
|6 days 15 hours ago||This||
It wasn't a fair catch signal. I have no idea what the officials might have thought that they saw, but unless Peppers's head is at about waist level, it was a bad call.
|1 week 1 hour ago||Gah!||
Gah! Don't you even know dignity when you see it?
|1 week 1 day ago||Ah, good point||
Obviously, lots of teams perform to the level of Michigan's defense against "nobodies."
Here are all of the games so far this year where a team has held their opponent to less than 125 yards:
As of this posting, there's an Auburn / Louisville game on the list with zero plays, so we can safely throw that out. There are 15 others. Here are the teams that have done it twice:
Boston College (vs. Howard and Maine), Pittsburgh (at Akron and at Virginia Tech), and Michigan. 7 of the 9 others are against I-AA schools, and then there's San Diego St. vs. Fresno St. and Alabama vs. ULM.
Regardless of how you feel about Maryland, the best two performances on this list are Pitt (bet you know who coaches them) and Michigan.
Of course, we all know that counting stats can be misleading. Here's less than 2.5 yards per play:
We get almost all of the original list, plus a few more -- Boise State over Hawaii and Minnesota vs Kent State are the only two that involve two I-A teams. So, that pretty much reinforces the first list.
Of course, the true bread-and-butter of defense is preventing points from being scored. Here's all of the shutouts so far this season, sorted by school:
Teams that have shut out two I-A opponents: Wisconsin (Hawaii & Miami NTM) and Michigan. Northwestern (Minnesota & Eastern Illinois), Boise State (Hawaii & Idaho State) and Appalachian State (@ Old Dominion and Howard) have shut out one I-A and one I-AA opponent. (Also: Hawaii has been shut out three times. They are, however, undefeated in games in which they score).
Finally, one last comparison without a link:
Utah: 393.5 yards total offense / 337 yards against Michigan / 412.3 vs all others / -75.3 difference
Oregon St: 338.3 / 138 / 405 / -267
UNLV: 378.4 / 235 / 414.3 / -179.3
BYU: 388.2 / 105 / 459 / -354
Maryland: 332.4 / 105 / 389.3 / -284.3
So, Michigan opponents are averaging about 232 fewer yards when they play Michigan than when they play anyone else.
Maybe -- just maybe -- there is a qualitative difference between this year's Michigan team and those of past years.
|1 week 2 days ago||Well...||
The OP stated that he wanted to fly home after the game if possible. Some people would rather spend Sunday back at home rather than on a plane. Obviously, the chances of making a Saturday night flight are much better for a 12 PM kick than a 3:30 or 8 PM kick.
|1 week 2 days ago||No||
Good God, No. Just, no. Everything about this is wrong.
1 - Rutgers defeating Staee is always a good thing. Just because.
2 - The "Overrated" chant is [B]awful[/B]. You are denigrating your own team when you tell the opposition they were overrated. "Ha, ha, you guys aren't that good. Even our lousy team can beat you!" There have got to be 100 better things to say. Hell, even "Little Sister" would be a better chant than this (and that's a terrible chant too).
Just off of the top of my head, here are a few. I'm sure there are other wordsmiths out there who can do better. But, [I]please[/I], no "Overrated."
|1 week 2 days ago||Colley||
The Colley Matrix (former BCS component, ignores MOV, changed his poll in-season after the Horror):
This week: Your #1 Northwestern Wildcats at #19 Michigan.
(Methinks it's a wee bit early for unbiased computer rankings, particularly those which refuse to consider all of the avialable information).
|1 week 2 days ago||Golly, and here I thought he||
Golly, and here I thought he was a paragon of class and restraint.
I still can't understand how any parent would allow their child to spend four years with that man.
|1 week 2 days ago||This||
This is correct. Earlier suggestions that it could be announced next *Monday* are mistaken. The options are 12 days or 6 days.
Primetime games are set before the season starts. The options are noon and 3:30. The schedule is uninspiring:
I'd expect 3:30, given that the only other TBD game is Minnesota / Nebraska.
|1 week 2 days ago||105 yards, again||
College Football Reference has a Play Index that includes all regular season games since 2000 and all bowl games since 2002.
Unsurprisingly, the 2007 Notre Dame game is the best defensive performance in modern Michigan history. These last two games may be the next-best... [I]regardless[/I] of the quality of opponent. Directional Michigan, Delaware State... nobody's been shut down like BYU and Maryland.
<= 120 yards
<= 2.5 yards per play
I haven't been able to find box scores for the 1997 season, but I wonder the last time Michigan held consecutive opponents to < 120 yards and/or < 2.5 yards per play. It's clearly been a while...
|1 week 2 days ago||TD||
The play was right in front of me. Everyone around me agreed that Michigan dodged a bullet*. The receiver appeared to have half a step on the DB, and I'm not sure the safety had an angle.
* Note: only as related to the shutout, of course. :-)
|1 week 2 days ago||I thought this was hyperbole.||
I thought this was hyperbole. It isn't. Likely had 91 yards on four kickoff returns and 23 yards on three punt returns.
Those aren't great numbers, especially by his standards... but they're more than their offense accumulated. That's... incredible.
|1 week 2 days ago||This year vs. previous years||
I thought this game would be a yardstick for Michigan. A week of reading their press clippings; an opponent that had just been eviscerated; heck -- Maryland even had the dreaded players-only meeting. Michigan went on the road and put together a workmanlike effort in dismantling an overmatched team. Under the last couple of coaching regimes, I don't believe that would have happened. Coach Harbaugh has this team focused on the task at hand and improving week to week.
|1 week 4 days ago||Harbaugh||
If Michigan is lacking in intensity against Michigan State, I will be stunned. You know how Sparty loves to chirp. I'm sure Coach Harbaugh has heard from NFL Sparty over and over again the last few years. I'm equally sure that he will pass his displeasure allong to the team. Any player that somehow isn't fired up for MSU isn't likely to be traveling to Minnesota.
Now, that's no guarantee of success, but I don't fear this Michigan team, with this coaching staff, overlooking Staee's emotional state when they play in Ann Arbor. If anything, I expect plays specifically designed to exploit it -- misdirection, counters to plays they've already put on tape, etc. MSU may win, but they'll have to earn it.
|1 week 4 days ago||Holy Roller||
It's not listed as a change on the Wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holy_Roller_(American_football)
Still, the remedy would be simple -- all forward fumbles recovered by the offense could be returned to the spot of the fumble, just like the NFL fourth down and late-game rule. Then there'd be no advantage to a deliberate fumble. A turnover near the goal line is such a huge play in the game, particularly when it results in a touchback and gives the opposition 20 yards [I]plus[/I] the ball.
|1 week 4 days ago||14-0 Michigan||
|1 week 5 days ago||First down, West Virginia||
That's the worst rule in football. If the ball goes out at the 1, it's Maryland's ball, but if it hits the pylon, it's West Virginia's. It makes no sense whatsoever. Make the defense make a play -- if the ball goes out of the end zone without the defense gaining possession, return it to the offense at the spot of the fumble (or at the 1-yard line, if you insist upon allowing forward fumbles).
|1 week 6 days ago||Expectations||
I've been trying to curtail my expectations. Keep in mind that even Charles Woodson didn't get on the field for offense until his junior year, and even then he didn't play many snaps. We just tend to remember the ones where he did play. :-)
Let Peppers continue to learn the defense before he starts using his practice time to learn the offense. If he ever does get into a game on offense, it's not likely to be a surprise for the opponent, given the amount of offseason chatter there was. Heck, it's possible that the whole point of all of that offseason talk was to get opponents to prepare for #5, "just in case." Every minute another team spends preparing for something that's not going to happen in the game is an advantage for Michigan.
|2 weeks 19 hours ago||I don't remember watching the||
I don't remember watching the Holiday Bowl in '84 -- and I would have been too young to make a critical analysis -- but when they played the highlight of the game-winning touchdown during the ABC broadcast, all I could think was "where's the holding flag?" I guess missing holding calls is just another college football tradition..
|2 weeks 19 hours ago||The two best teams in the||
The two best teams in the country that year were OSU and Michigan. Sure, the Rose Bowl was a disappointment, but you're discounting the value of emotion in college football. I'm not saying that Michigan would have beaten Florida (although they certainly did the next year), but I attribute the Rose Bowl performance to the fact that nobody in the program wanted to be in Pasadena.