fair point that
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|2 days 2 hours ago||Aaron Shea||
Think it was Brian that said this somewhere, but Smith as an Aaron Shea type FB would be awesome. If you could put someone like a Kareem Walker and Smith in the backfield at the same time, that would create all sorts of problems for opposing defenses.
|2 days 2 hours ago||King also has 8 INTs which is||
King also has 8 INTs which is the same as Michigan has as a team. Tough to argue he doesn't deserve to be a finalist.
Cash also has 18 tackles for loss, which is kinda insane.
|3 days 2 hours ago||That's meta as hell, but what||
That's meta as hell, but what does it mean for Michigan? Who was he silent committed to?
|4 days 10 hours ago||Except we have injures.||
Except we have injures. That's why he said "right now"
|4 days 10 hours ago||Last time I checked, they had||
Last time I checked, they had the W, and Michigan didn't.
|4 days 20 hours ago||Never mind. Forgot that's a||
Never mind. Forgot that's a FOX game. Probably still Bedlam since the winner of that one likely wins the Big 12.
|4 days 21 hours ago||Sounds about right. I think||
Sounds about right. I think the committee will drop Florida though. They've looked bad two games in a row now. Slide them down and wedge Ohio State somewhere in that 8-11 range.
|4 days 21 hours ago||Could see them maybe going to||
Could see them maybe going to ND-Stanford. Especially if that's the ABC Primetime game. That's probably the biggest game of the week now.
|4 days 21 hours ago||No way. Big Ten is in the||
No way. Big Ten is in the playoff as long as uncle Barry is on the committee.
|5 days 1 hour ago||Here's my conspiracy theory||
Zeke Elliott just said he's going pro too. Amongst some other things...
But here's my conspiracy theory: Ohio State lost on purpose. Urban Meyer is going to one of the monster job openings like USC, Georgia, LSU, or maybe Texas.
Due to recruiting, he needs to take the job as soon as the regular season is over. If Ohio State is in the playoff, he can't leave early -- he would be obligated to stick it out and coach through the playoff. But if they are out of it, he can leave when the regular season is done. So to be out of the playoff, he needed to lose to Michigan State or Michigan. Out of shear principle, he can't lose to Michigan so they drop the MSU game on purpose. That way he can still beat Michigan next week, and then leave on a high note.
|5 days 9 hours ago||Yeah that's the Spurrier you||
Yeah that's the Spurrier you would get week in and week out. Not an upgrade.
|5 days 10 hours ago||Spurrier doesn't give enough||
Spurrier doesn't give enough of a shit to do it. If you think Corso looks out of it and unprepared wait until you see Spurrier up there.
|1 week 1 day ago||Who gives a shit if they were unbeaten?||
What does being unbeaten have to do with anything? Neither Iowa or Ohio State have played anyone of consequence. You don't get extra credit for beating them because you were the first good team they played.
|1 week 1 day ago||Maybe||
I wouldn't take anything the committee has done this year or last as gospel. Each week things change and they may come up with some new shit they like.
I'm just saying its not as simple as win out and we're in. They need a few other things to go their way.
|1 week 1 day ago||Exactly||
Michigan wins out, Stanford beats ND, USC beats Stanford is your path.
|1 week 1 day ago||Except this week||
Except this week when they ranked Stanford ahead of us.
|1 week 1 day ago||Stanford is ahead of us||
You also need to remember that Stanford is ahead of us as a 2-loss team. I don't know if wins over Ohio State and Iowa would be enough to trump their wins over Notre Dame and the Pac-12 South champ.
And hell, if Stanford beats Notre Dame, I'm not even sure if we jump ND in the 2-loss pile. ND would have losses to two top 10 teams. Our two losses would be near the ass end of the top 25 at that point. I think the committee would rank them ahead of us.
|1 week 1 day ago||No way its that high||
No way its high as 80%. I'd put it more around 40% if they win out. If Michigan wins out the rest of the regular season, that's probably only good enough to get them up to #6 or 7. Ohio State would drop out of the top 4 and would likely be replaced by the winner of Oklahoma - Oklahoma State. So you'd have a top four of Clemson, Alabama, Notre Dame, Okla/Okla St. They'd play #5 Iowa in the Big Ten champ game, and unless they crush Iowa it would be tough to justify more than a move up to Iowa's #5 ranking.
Outside of winning out, the best thing Michigan fans can cheer for is Stanford beating Notre Dame, and then (probably) USC beating Stanford in the Pac-12 title game. That would clear the path for Michigan to move into the top four to make it Clemson, Alabama, Big 12 winner, Michigan.
|1 week 1 day ago||Need a lot of help still||
It'll be tough. They need MSU to lose to Ohio St, Notre Dame to lose to Stanford, and Stanford to lose the Pac-12 champ game ideally. Some more carnage in the Big 12 would help too. If Michigan wins out, they'll have wins over the #3 team, and the #5 team and that might be just enough to squeak in as a 2-loss #4 team.
|1 week 1 day ago||A nice slap on the ass and a||
A nice slap on the ass and a "GO GETUM!!" as the ball carrier flys past you?
|1 week 1 day ago||OP was probably sarcastic but||
OP was probably sarcastic but the context is very much appreciated. I have no idea what a reasonable amount of missed tackles is.
|1 week 4 days ago||Team Rankings||
TeamRankings has good info. All nicely organized too.
|1 week 4 days ago||And now I want BBQ.||
And now I want BBQ.
|1 week 4 days ago||Its also pretty far off from||
Its also pretty far off from "covered most of the spreads" which is what I was responding to.
But to your point, its only one-game off which in this situation is as close as you can get. So like I said, is not too far off.
|1 week 4 days ago||BONUS FUN FACT||
Since 2006, Michigan is 17-28-1 (37.8%) on the road against the spread. Third worst in the FBS. As an away favorite, they are just 7-13 (35%) in that span.
The last 10 years have been rough.
BONUS, BONUS FUN FACT: They are 1-2 ATS on the road as a favorite this season.
|1 week 4 days ago||This game has ugly shitfest||
This game has ugly shitfest written all over it. It'll be something dumb like 18-16.
|1 week 4 days ago||Haven't been a ton better this year either||
Michigan is 5-5 against the spread this season, which isn't too far off their 10-year average. Since 2006 they are 51-67-5 ATS (43.2%). There are only 8 teams that have been worse over that time.
So he's right, had you consistently bet against Michigan on the spread over the last 10 years, you would have made a nice little profit.
And just for shits and giggles, guess who the best at covering the spread over the last 10 seasons is? Ohio State at 75-50-2 (60%). Impressive.
|1 week 6 days ago||Vodka Ginger Ale Ice In my||
In my belly
Commence warm fuzzy feeling
|3 weeks 1 day ago||True non profits.LOL, the||
True non profits.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Putting up the Photoshop batsignal||
Now someone just needs to swap out Jack's face for Harbaugh's and replace those metal tins with NFL team logos, and we'll have a GIF for the ages.