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|1 day 14 hours ago||That Perry route++||
.... some credit needs to go to RPS. Perry route starts cutting underneath Butt in what appears to be a nicely designed rub route. The safety jumps hard inside to avoid falling behind Perry just as Perry cuts out.
Perry executes it perfectly, but that has to be at least an RPS +1 as a counter to the D's counter to rub routes.
|1 week 1 day ago||Seriously?||
Excellent teams get upset all the time in games they should win. As it stands, we should win this game solidly, BUT Penn State has talented football players and, as we saw against Colorado, our team is not immune to making mistakes.
Should we win? Yes. Should we win handily? Yes again. But we aren't guaranteed a win. A couple big mistakes or some bad luck can turn a likely win into a toss up. Hell, even last year we were a play away from losing to Minnesota (and Indiana but CHAOSTEAM explains them).
|2 weeks 1 day ago||About that DL||
They crushed the previous record. Wormley had the 6th best UFR score for a DL on record. Glasgow was tied for 11th (though did not set a personal best, being +15.5 last year against Minnesota), and Winovich was tied for 16th best.
Glasgow and Wormley combine to be 7 of the top 15 UFR scores for DL all-time and approach Mike Martin/Brandon Graham levels of awesome. (the 4 of them make up all but one of the top 15 UFR scores for DL all-time.
Link to larger image: http://imgur.com/a/SuukX
|2 weeks 2 days ago||The player coming around Poggi||
is irrelevant to the cut Brian is referring to. Brian is commenting that he should cut hard to the right, into the hole that Asiasi went into. This is away from Poggi entirely. The backside DE and OLB have been kicked out leaving a big hole. Kalis is looking for someone to hit and Asiasi would be able to pick up the ILB that's heading to the hole that Smith actually heads to. That ILB is committed there and would be likely unable to recover.
You could say this is too hard of a cut, but Brian correctly points out that Smith made nearly that same cut against Florida in the next clip below. Florida fills the frontside A gap, so Smith cuts hard into open space on the backside.
|2 weeks 4 days ago||I think Brian meant the gap behind Asiasi||
I could be reading it wrong, but it looks like Smith has 2 potential lead blockers there for the double iso - Poggi and Asiasi. He heads toward the hole off Poggi's butt, but if he reads the LB and cuts to the gap to his right, he has a big hole and Kalis has realeased is looking for someone to hit upfield.
Again, maybe I'm reading it wrong but that lane seems to be designed to be there and is definitely open when the LB crashes the lane that Smith ends up taking.
EDIT: Didn't see someone else posted this already because I hadn't refreshed my page since opening it earlier.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||UFR visualization tool fixed||
Looking forward to it breaking again tomorrow for the offensive UFR.
URL here: mikegros.shinyapps.io/ufr_analysis/
|3 weeks 2 days ago||I love the additional of the snap count for each player||
though the new table format broke my scraping tool for the UFR visualizations. I'll fix it soon and look forward to adding some new features given the snap data.
Awesome writeup as always!
|4 weeks 15 hours ago||I dont think so||
Wormley graded out better than Henry last year on average for the UFRs. He's very very good.
|4 weeks 1 day ago||Haven't found one in Vancouver||
in the couple years I've been here. I tried asking in the other "Where to watch the game in ______?" thread the other day but got no response. I don't spend a lot of time downtown though (live in East Van) so that may be part of it.
If I hear of something I'll post here for you.
|4 weeks 4 days ago||Vancouver, BC||
Anyone else across the border in Vancouver? I know few bars are open at 9, but curious if there are any other fans around to gather.
|5 weeks 3 days ago||Yeah...||
... I'll fix that soon. I scrape the year from the URL for the UFR post and so the bowl game was placed in 2016. I'll have to fix that by hand, as well as the fact that the URL doesn't have a year for the OSU posts but I'm waiting for the defensive UFR for the OSU game to go up first to fix it all at once.
|5 weeks 3 days ago||The colors are by season||
The plots are in chronological order by game, with the color changing each season. Currently I haven't fixed the fact that the Florida bowl game was read as 2016 and so not placed in the same color as the 2015 season, as it probably should. I'll fix that as soon as the OSU defensive UFR goes up, as I'll want to make sure they are ordered properly also.
(I'm not Ace but made the graphing tool for the UFR data found here: http://mikegros.shinyapps.io/ufr_analysis/)
|9 weeks 18 hours ago||As much as it would be ugly.....||
..... and like slowly swimming through a pool of glass shards for Brian, I'd really like to see an OSU UFR.
Mainly because it would be informative for player and scheme strengths and weaknesses for the upcoming season, as well as good for adjusting expectations with respect to the OSU game this year. For instance, I'd like to get a feel for how much defensive blame can go to: (a) Durkin, (b) Bolden, (c) Lack of Glasgow.
Any chance it happens?
|45 weeks 16 hours ago||Code on github||
Have at it!
|45 weeks 16 hours ago||My code is up on github||
I recently "followed" you on github. I don't have a ton of extra time right now, but I would love to connect and really put together some good work as much as I'm able.
|45 weeks 16 hours ago||I'll warn that...||
.... I'm not always great about writing clean code, but I try to use pretty clear variable naming and "enough" commenting. But I'm sure it's not actially "enough". I was using this as an excuse to learn/practice Shiny so I hope it can be good help to you too!
|45 weeks 1 day ago||Indiana seems like the BIG version of Air Force||
in the way that they are just an outlying team to prepare for and can really screw with your views of your D. I wish there'd been more charts for the OSU losses in the last couple years, because it would be interesting to see whether bad showings against IU translate to bad showings against OSU or if IU is still the big outlier - especially for our DL and our RPS.
Especially two years ago and so far this year, Indiana has been completely out of line with the rest of the season numbers:
|46 weeks 3 hours ago||Really nice!||
I'd love to see more.
|46 weeks 7 hours ago||Consider your case lobbied for....||
I responded in the other thread too, but sounds great. I will get on it soon (when I can scrape up the time).
Thanks for the idea!
|46 weeks 7 hours ago||Great idea!||
I should probably clean the code a little first, but I will try to share it as a github repo soon (I'm actually really annoyed with myself now that I didn't put this under version tracking to begin with.... sloppy).
I have a lot of other things on my plate at the moment, but I will try to do that soon because I'd love to see the tool keep improving.
Thanks for the idea!
|46 weeks 11 hours ago||Thanks for the shoutout||
I've added the ability for some sort of normalization for number of plays to my list of things to add/fix. I'd really love to normalize each players numbers by playing time, but I need to get individual playing time data per player. I'll look at it in the future.
|46 weeks 18 hours ago||Brian didnt....||
.... chart +/- for offense for a long stretch. He only made the Hennechart and then at some point started the receiver chart before adding the +/-.
|46 weeks 1 day ago||Not really....||
... but I could justify it to myself as "professional development" as it's good to practice web scraping and data cleaning; plus it was a good toy to use for learning RShiny.
It's also just fun data to look at.
|46 weeks 2 days ago||A few things....||
- I'm a little concered about Hill, he's had a number of rough weeks in a row. I guess that's life as a safety who isn't boring, but it seems like opposing offenses have been attacking him pretty effectively as the weak link in our secondary.
- Morgan, other than his epically bad week last week, is having quite a year. He's a good counterpoint to the argument that Bolden's numbers look rough only because LBs are having all the pluses stolen by the awesome d-line:
- Wormley had his first day with any real noticable mistakes in 2 years. It's great having such awesome D-linemen:
There are more plots at the link below. Plots are up to date but the text probably isn't (also forgive my poor writing skills):
|46 weeks 2 days ago||Redshirt||
Thomas was a 4* borderline 5* recruit - it's hard to redshirt those guys even if you'd like to. I really hope these are the first steps of him really putting it together though.
|46 weeks 3 days ago||I think it was #8||
Stribling, with 44 Hill also being pretty close to them toward the bottom of the screen. I could be seeing it wrong, but that seems reasonably possible
|46 weeks 6 days ago||Agreed||
He looks like he's starting to put things together but isn't quite there. He's getting to the ball well and just missing a lot of great plays. He really could be another impact player in the secondary next year, which woould be amazing.
|47 weeks 17 hours ago||Yep||
Ezeh's worst was -10 against Wisconsin in 2009, while J.B. Fitzgerald had the second worst LB total (after Morgan) with -10.5 against Illinois in 2010. Ezeh also had games of -8.5, -8, and -7.5 at other times, but none quite as low as Morgan's -12.
|47 weeks 1 day ago||Replying to myself again||
just to give context for how out of character it was for Morgan:
|47 weeks 1 day ago||A new record for worst showing by a linebacker in UFR||
ouch Morgan. I'd come to expect something like that from Bolden, not him....
Below is a link to some plots with thoughts about historical UFR data. The text hasn't been updated to reflect these last UFRs (other than one line) , but the plots have.