Coaches' timeouts are worse. Basketball teams should get one, full stop.
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|7 hours 6 min ago||Huh? This is nothing like||
Huh? This is nothing like last year. This is basically a return to 2012 with a different way of calculating priority for your annually assigned seats. No escorts or ropes required.
|11 hours 53 min ago||From you, I expect none. From||
From you, I expect none. From a 2013 senior, someone who got at least 3 years of Denard, both UTLs, 2 undefeated home seasons, and the first win against OSU since before I started, maybe a little.
|12 hours 11 min ago||Since "Superfan" status maxes||
Since "Superfan" status maxes at 36 points, and there are 7 games, you could be "tardy" for two games and still be a Superfan. That will probably alleviate some of the issue.
|12 hours 14 min ago||Honestly if they're enough of||
Honestly if they're enough of a friend that you want to spend 7 fall Saturdays with them and would actually feel bad kicking them out, them being in your group is more important than the marginal benefit of being a couple rows lower.
Or you could just kick 'em out and try to sneak 'em in.
|12 hours 29 min ago||The point was that the||
The point was that the griping was in regards to how bad it sucked to have your senior year marred by GA. I'm saying that I would gladly trade reserved seat "senior" tickets (which weren't even that good) to 3-8, Threetsheridammit, and Fan Endurance III (my last game as a student) for GA tickets to the 2013 season.
Obviously, if we're looking at whole student career, I started in '04 (5 year BSE/MSE), so I got to see Braylonfest, Henne to Manningham, 2006, and the whole careers of Henne and Hart. That's better than a 5 year stretch from 2007 to 2010 would have been, no argument there.
|13 hours 13 min ago||As a student whose senior||
As a student whose senior year was RR's first, you can all go to hell. Count yer damn blessings.
|13 hours 15 min ago||One thing I haven't seen||
One thing I haven't seen mentioned in the comments so far is that the "hybrid" system applies only for 2014. After that, priority is based entirely on the previous season's points.
On the one hand, that's great that you can have a mixed group and still sit together in "premium" seats without a penalty for having a sophomore in the group. Also, the low rows will be dominated by people who show up, not giant groups of late arriving drunkards who happen to be seniors. And I like that it gives you "one free game" to miss, and doesn't penalize you for not attending non-football events.
On the other hand, it would be nice if class standing added a few points somehow, to prevent someone who, say, takes a semester abroad, from totally losing their priority.
What will be interesting is how points are assigned - by ticket, or by M-Card (that is, do the points go to the original purchaser or the person who actually uses the ticket)? Doing it by ticket would seem to be the way to go, since it would incentivize students to sell or give away tickets they aren't using, and make sure whoever they give it to shows up.
|1 day 10 hours ago||I didn't get to see much of||
I didn't get to see much of the show - did they ever describe space as "cold"? That's the common misconception that bugs me the most, for whatever reason.
|1 day 10 hours ago||Setting aside the religious||
Setting aside the religious stuff, you actually touch on something that makes me uncomfortable with Neil deGrasse Tyson and other "rock-star scientists", namely that they get trotted out as the "expert" on anything sciency that comes up, when in reality they are no more experts than any other intelligent and well read person. You would think a scientist would be first to admit that, but sometimes it seems like it takes a backseat to their personal fame.
Now obviously I think it's a good thing to have intelligent, well-spoken people willing and able to communicate science to the masses. We certainly need that when everything else is all Kardashian Swamp Shore Dynasty. And lord knows your average scientist is about as good at public communication as a tranquilized sloth that writes in hieroglyphics.
But I do cringe a little bit when NdGT, an astrophysicist, pontificates on climatology, or when Bill Nye, a mechanical engineer, is chosen as the champion of evolutionary theory. Not that I don't think they should be allowed to state an opinion or attempt to distill science into something more digestible, just that, if they really mean to support science and not a dumbed down version of pop science, they ought to work a bit harder to dispel the myth that "scientist" means "unassailable expert on everything".
|1 day 10 hours ago||Never tell me the odds.||
Never tell me the odds.
|1 day 10 hours ago||Well, if your actual goal is||
Well, if your actual goal is to educate (or at least marginalize) the "ignorant" rather than demonstrate your personal superiority, then yes, it is better to de-escalate. Arrogance does not well suit science, which is (or should be) inherently self-questioning and skeptical.
As far as "excising transgressions" where did I even suggest that? I'm merely saying that being explicitly anti-religious feeds into the hands of the religious institutions who wish to see themselves as persecuted, and further entrenches their beliefs. If this is indeed a war, you are fighting it poorly.
Hell, I don't even disagree with you, really, and here I am defending religion because I find your attitude off-putting. What effect do you suppose the "You're just wrong, stop being wrong!" approach has on somebody inclined to disagree with you?
Certainly there are some who will always be unreachable, as there are on every issue, but no sense pushing someone on the fence over to the other side because you feel the need to insult them for retaining any religiousness.
|1 day 11 hours ago||What "cognitive dissonance"||
What "cognitive dissonance" re: Ken Miller? "Theistic Evolutionism" is the official belief of the Roman Catholic church, to which Miller belongs. Other than professing a belief in a soul created by god, there's not a lot about that position that would require cognitive dissonance on Miller's part.
|1 day 11 hours ago||A better phrasing might be||
A better phrasing might be this:
Many religious people perceive that science is anti-religion. It of course is not, at least not as it is meant to be practiced. Science is not supposed to be pro- or anti- anything, just a method for finding the most supportable and likely explanations for how things work. Many (most?) of the greatest scientists in history have expressed a faith of one form or another.
This perceived war on religion by science leads to reactionary behavior and an actual war on science (or perhaps co-opting of quasi-scientific language to serve religion, e.g. the creation museum).
It seems to me that the better tactic of science would be to de-escalate rather than cast religion as a villain, thus immediately putting the religious on the defensive and vulnerable to the "see, these are godless heathens trying to end religion!" tactic.
|1 day 13 hours ago||Wonder if Michigan's 2pt D||
Wonder if Michigan's 2pt D would look as bad if you considered only 2nd half stats? It seems like we let teams come out on fire with disturbing regularity, and take awhile to adjust.
|1 day 14 hours ago||Better a Walmart Wolverine||
Better a Walmart Wolverine than a Harris Teeter Spartan.
|4 days 10 hours ago||Actually, doesn't that just||
Actually, doesn't that just prove that the feelings evoked by an image can be more culturally important than the facts behind the image itself? Hence justifying the use of "STAEE"? That is, the picture perfectly captures the sense of larger situation, even if the literal event depicted was not particularly representative.
The flag-raising photo from Iwo Jima and the Eddie Adams picture of Nguyen Ngoc Loan executing a Viet Cong prisoner are other good examples.
|1 week 1 hour ago||Maybe Tom Crean left the||
Maybe Tom Crean left the trophy sticky last year?
|1 week 1 day ago||I think this is definitely a||
I think this is definitely a big piece of the problem - season tickets are the only way to buy student tickets, and a full season of student tickets are still cheaper than attending more than 2 games at general public prices (plus single game seats are effectively impossible to obtain for OSU, MSU at student friendly prices). We probably have a significant part of the student fanbase that would love to go to a game, but not every game. There's also probably a meaningful contingent (a few % per game) that want to go to every game but miss out on one or two a season due to other committments. Both of these groups usually still buy season tickets.
This wouldn't be so bad, except that the AD has also made selling student tickets difficult by first going to the "validation" model (how much are they really making off of those?) and then by going GA, which makes student tickets even more of a hassle compared to other seats on the resale market.
I suspect the issue of unused tickets for general public seats is lower because a) the cost of season tickets is much higher, b) single game seats are generally available, although the cost may be high or you may need to buy a cupcake game "package", and c) it's pretty easy to toss your tickets up on StubHub if you're not going to make it.
One option that might help would be a "student ticket buyback" program. If you buy student tix, you're guaranteed a ticket to every game. However, if you determine you can't make it (say up to a week before game time) you can "release" your ticket for an 80% face value refund (your ticket would become un-scannable and a new one would be "printed"). Students who wish to go to a single game can go on a waiting list and purchase "released" tickets for 110% of student face value. If the number of tickets released exceeds the number of students on the wait list, the tickets would be offerred to the general public for the going rate (you could rope off the top of the student section and offer assigned seating at the top of the bowl, with the number of rows determined by the number of available tix). The difference in cost could pay for the management of the program.
|1 week 5 days ago||FWIW I didn't downvote you.||
FWIW I didn't downvote you. My point is I don't really get why you felt the need to write the equivalent of a couple pages of text to basically say "statistics don't tell everything", because I don't think anyone actually disagrees with you on that point.
The OP just wanted to have a little fun playing with the Kenpom numbers, not promoting "slavish devotion" to the predictions, and honestly you seemed to be taking it too seriously. We're not talking about cancer drug trials here. I mean, your points regarding some areas you think Kenpom doesn't handle well are interesting, but I don't think you needed to wrap it in an overall critique of the purpose of statistics in sports, which turned into a pretty major threadjack.
This is supposed to be fun, and while this OP seemed to take your points well, in general I think we ought to encourage more unpaid writers to share their number crunching with the blog, and your critique could be discouraging.
Anyway not trying to be mean or anything, just noting your original couple posts came off as a bit persnickety given the topic.
|1 week 5 days ago||It doesn't mean that the||
It doesn't mean that the states without a law on the books are OK with it happening. But it does strongly imply that the state WITH the law on the books is NOT OK with it happening. Something can be common without being socially acceptable or "normal". The implied joke is not that cousin relationships are merely common in WV, but that they are the "norm".
Anyway, if we're going with tasteless stereotypes to make a joke, why not go with Alabama (over WV) since it is both stereotypcially backward AND has legalized first cousin marriages AND has a certifiable ass as its coach?
|1 week 5 days ago||At the point where you're||
At the point where you're considering specific limitations in the Kenpom algorithm to justify your belief in a higher level of uncertainty (and backing it up with your own professional statistics credentials), aren't you being just as mathy as the OP? Certainly you're being at least as slavish about the precise application of the statistical method (on an entertainment site) as the OP is to Kenpom's numbers.
In any case, what you really asking for (and are not yourself providing) are not really different numbers, just bigger error bars - the fact that Kenpom can't account for everything means that a margin around the nominal probability would be warranted.
Also, you yourself are abusing statistics a bit by using a single sample to argue for the invalidity of the prediction. After all, Michigan only had a 74% win probability, according to Kenpom, at the start of the Purdue game. A Michigan loss would not have made him 100% wrong, any more than the eventual Michigan win means that he should have predicted a 100% win probability.
|1 week 5 days ago||The "joke", such as it is, is||
The "joke", such as it is, is the implication that West Virginia is so backwards that first-cousin relationships are the norm, or at least unusually widely socially accepted. The fact that first-cousin marriages are not legal would imply that there is strong social opposition to the relationships, and the fact that they are legal in many other states suggests that West Virginia is not particularly permissive compared to the rest of the country.
Ergo, if you're attempting to make a joke about "all in the family" sexual relations (which is a bit gross considering the context here), West Virginia is a poor choice for a state stereotype.
|1 week 6 days ago||1) Rich Rod's teams had the||
1) Rich Rod's teams had the most immediate needs on defense (particularly the secondary) and at the offensive skill positions, and I think his classes reflected that. Unfortunately that's biting us now because it left a hole at O-Line. So not "forced" necessarily, but definitely "had more pressing concerns than the 2013 O-Line".
2) By the end of his tenure, the atmosphere around the program was clearly affecting recruiting, and since you can't force people to sign on, sometimes you miss out on your preferred guys.
2 was largely driven by the team's on field failure (hence my "depending on how generous" caveat) - but even then the recruiting results say more about RR's record than they do about his ability to identify talent and position needs.
3) For Hoke, you could say he was "forced" into making some late pickups of guys he might not have recruited otherwise due to his hiring date. He was "forced" into not pursuing certain DL recruits as heavily because of Hand and McDowell's late decisions (unless you want to fault him for assuming, or at least preferring, he'd get one or both of them).
Main point was that recruiting is not completely in the control of coaches.
|2 weeks 7 hours ago||Seems more like a lazy way to||
Seems more like a lazy way to make Harry the hero. Which, incidentally, is why I could never really get into the books. Too many rules made up on the spot, then later rejected, for the benefit of the protagonist. It's hard to have a relatable "hero's journey" when the hero gets every advantage at the start. Also, all the adults were unbelievably stupid and Dumbledore should have just used the damn time turner to fix everything.
|2 weeks 9 hours ago||So, we've beaten the Gardner||
So, we've beaten the Gardner thing to death and beyond.
But the bigger question, "has Hoke done a good job managing his personnel" is still debatable, I think, since that's where "how much should I panic about Jake Ryan moving" comes from. I can think of 3 head scratchers:
1) The O-line shuffle last year. In the end it seemed counterproductive, and if camp and practice were unable to reveal that Miller was not going to be a plausible OL option at any position (and so on and so forth throughout the season with multiple guys playing flavor of the week) then I think the effectiveness of practice has to be questioned.
2) The D-line last year - why did Washington disappear, and why was Jibreel Black deployed at nose tackle against power run teams like OSU despite his inability to keep the LBs clean?
3) I guess this is less of a personnel question and more on Borges, but why did we continue to field TE sets (rather than 3+ receivers) long after it became apparent that none of them could play the blocking TE role effectively?
Now the coaches obviously know more, but they also aren't obviously infallible. I don't think we should panic about Jake moving, but it's not an obvious slam dunk either.
|2 weeks 11 hours ago||RR made (or depending on how||
RR made (or depending on how generous you feel, was forced into) some poor recruiting choices that resulted in bad depth. Hoke has been (so far) much better in this regard (though the lack of star DL this year may eventually haunt us).
But I don't think the complaint is leveled at recruiting - it's what's been done with the guys once they get here. Not just with development (although that's a legit concern, especially on the lines) but on where, how, and when players are deployed. And Hoke is not unquestionably perfect in that regard.
|2 weeks 11 hours ago||The fact that Gardner was our||
The fact that Gardner was our leading receiver at the start of 2012 does not necessarily make his move to WR a good one. The relevant question is whether he was better enough than the next best option to offset the loss of our clear #2 QB, and production isn't the best metric there. Who's to say that Roundtree, Funchess, or Gallon could not have put up similar numbers in the #1 wideout role? We won't know because they weren't running those routes. On the other hand, hindsight is 20/20, and the Gardner / Bellomy distinction was a little less clear at the start of 2012 than it is now.
I'm surprised by your second paragraph. It's one thing to give a guy a tryout at a position. It's another to play musical chairs on a critical unit (known for requiring unit cohesion) for an entire season, especially when the musical chairs do not result in a markedly better unit at the end of the season. Not batting 1.000 is one thing, but the OLine last year flat struck out.
|2 weeks 13 hours ago||The defensive coaching||
The defensive coaching shuffle doesn't bother me too much - these guys have been together 3 years and I'm fairly confident the coaches know what they can expect out of each coach. The move seems to recognize that some players weren't developing well and need more focused attention. The multi-headed interior line coaching clearly wasn't working all that well.
|2 weeks 14 hours ago||So by that analysis, is||
So by that analysis, is RichRod an Ellerbe or a Beilein? /ducks
|2 weeks 4 days ago||I should also add that there||
I should also add that there are a lot of other people holding debt in the city, and they aren't all mustache twirling plutocrats. The more you give to pensioners, the less you give to creditors - and the less likely they'll be to ever invest in Detroit again.