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|2 days 7 hours ago||Not sure 3 dozen cookies in a week is "good weight"||
Not sure 3 dozen cookies in a week is "good weight"
|2 days 12 hours ago||And we have a guy named||
And we have a guy named Peppers. The headlines practically write themselves.
|2 days 12 hours ago||I'm guessing the B1G team||
I'm guessing the B1G team gets either the 2 or 3 seed though, and Bama gets #1, so Bama vs. B1G would have to be a final, right?
|2 days 12 hours ago||Why would we prefer Atlanta?||
Why would we prefer Atlanta? That's a home game for either of the Southern schools.
|2 days 13 hours ago||The advanced stats consider||
The advanced stats consider field position and game situations. The box score stats do not. By your own standards, advanced stats are better.
|3 days 8 hours ago||If he can really handle it,||
If he can really handle it, absolutely. At the same time OSU plays fast so there will be a lot of snaps. He'll be critical to wreaking havoc on OSU's spread running game
|3 days 17 hours ago||Use every weapon at your||
Use every weapon at your disposal. I have zero problem with Harbaugh coming out and saying "I think we're one of the best 4 teams" regardless of the outcome of The Game, if it comes to that.
There is absolutely nothing wrong with stating your case, on and off the field. Like it or not, the 4 team playoff will always be a beauty contest and the committee is going to need a reason to differentiate a lot of very similar resumes. If the teams that get passed over complain, well, maybe they should have campaigned with an Enthusiasm Unknown to Mankind.
|3 days 17 hours ago||This is an interesting||
This is an interesting question, since we did hear a lot of Bredeson chatter preseason and basically nothing about JBB. Could be that since the start of the season Bredeson has only played guard, so he doesn't have the snaps at tackle... in which case maybe we start to see him at tackle after the bye week?
On the other hand maybe he and JBB are just pretty close at this point and Braden still needs to be relieved by Bredeson occasionally due to nagging injury.
|3 days 17 hours ago||This is an excellent point.||
This is an excellent point. JBB is probably a downgrade from still just-a-guy Newsome. But is he really significantly inferior to the rest of the tackles MSU has faced (and largely failed to beat)?
|3 days 17 hours ago||I don't know - Wisconsin, an||
I don't know - Wisconsin, an offense that looked entirely inept against Michigan, moved the ball very effectively against OSU. They are the best front 7 left on the schedule, but they aren't world beaters. Wisconsin is better and we survived that (I think OSU has a slightly better DL, but Wiscy's LBs are way better).
|3 days 18 hours ago||Say no to rematches||
Meh. There's already a decent chance the B1G championship will be a rematch with Wisconsin for either M or OSU (Nebraska would be a rematch if OSU wins the East). Would we really want 2 out of 3 postseason games to be regular season rematches?
|3 days 21 hours ago||Now Charlie's DSA is what he||
Now Charlie's DSA is what he calls his daily special at IHOP. It's a loaf of deep fried brioche French toast wrapped in a ham and Swiss omelette served in a bucket of sausage gravy.
|5 days 20 hours ago||Difference is Harbaugh doesn't do it to his players.||
Difference is Harbaugh doesn't do it to his players.
|5 days 21 hours ago||A couple of those 3rd down||
A couple of those 3rd down conversions involved deep hacks from Barrett that were only complete due to very poor play on the ball from CBs. I think Stribling and Lewis turn those into PBUs.
|6 days 9 hours ago||I don't think Barrett has the||
I don't think Barrett has the precision for those underneath throws. He can run, or he can huck it deep. OSU is doomed unless they can get the run game going.
|6 days 9 hours ago||OSU D just doesn't look that good beyond the D line.||
OSU D just doesn't look that good beyond the D line.
|6 days 9 hours ago||Louisville only beat Duke by||
Louisville only beat Duke by 10. I don't think Louisville is really a top 10 team.
|6 days 10 hours ago||Pretty much where I'm at. A||
Pretty much where I'm at. A loss here and a derp somewhere else gives Michigan a chance to win the East even with a loss at the toilet bowl.
|1 week 16 hours ago||RESPEKT the Hammering Panda||
RESPEKT the Hammering Panda
|1 week 16 hours ago||Huh. Based on the criticism||
Huh. Based on the criticism of Speight I figured Henne made 90% of his throws and never stalled a drive with an inopportune miss.
Then again, Henne did have Tacopants on the team...
|1 week 16 hours ago||I don't disagree that Speight||
I don't disagree that Speight misses "easy" throws. I disagree that other average QBs miss "easy" throws much less often.
We seem to agree that 60% completion percentage, give or take, is a reasonable expectation. Speight has hit that mark so far. Yet you assert that Speight misses too many easy throws - in other words, that his completion percentage on easy throws is lower than that of the expected college QB.
In order for both these things to be true (Speight has an average completion percentage AND a below average "easy throw" completion percentage) one of the following must be happening:
1) Speight gets to throw more easy attempts and fewer hard attempts than average. This is possible but seems unlikely - again, compared to the average college offense, Harbaugh's passing game is more complex, i.e. you'd expect the throws to be harder (or at least not much easier) than average.
2) Speight has a much better than average completion percentage on "hard" throws. This would be weird - he's inaccurate on easy stuff but super accurate on hard stuff? Also his deep ball accuracy has been griped about almost as much as his easy throw accuracy.
3) Michigan's receivers are way above average and are routinely making circus catches (and never dropping good throws), artificially inflating Speight's completion rate. We do have a good receiving corps, but I don't think we've seen an inordinate number of circus catches, and all of the receivers have had a few drops.
It's not impossible that Speight is simultaneously decent statistically but unusually bad at simple throws. But the things required for that to be true seem less likely than the alternative, which is that Speight is exactly what an "okay but not spectacular" college QB looks like - in other words, what we could reasonably expect coming in.
I won't say that I don't wish he was better - of course I do! But remember that a 60% completion percentage means that 40% of throws are not caught - not all or even most of those are going to be intentional throwaways or near misses on miracle throws (if they were, I'd seriously question the design of the offense).
|1 week 18 hours ago||Define "should" make. In||
Define "should" make. In order for Speight to be an "average" QB statistically, while still missing an inordinate number of throws he "should" make, you have to believe that Speight is being presented with (and missing) a much greater number of easy throws compared to the "average" college QB.
But I don't see the throws Speight making as particularly easy - if anything, they are above average difficulty when you factor in the complexity of the Harbaughffense compared to most spread teams, as well as the sometimes dodgy pass pro Speight has gotten this year.
So my theory is that average QBs do miss those throws fairly frequently, but you don't notice because you see highlight reels of everyone else and UFRs of Speight.
|1 week 18 hours ago||If he's missing so many||
If he's missing so many "average" throws, how is he ending up with "average" completion percentage and YPA? Maybe your eye calibration for average is off?
|1 week 18 hours ago||Stats or our lying (harsh) eyes?||
So I've seen a lot of comments on Speight that are something like "I know his stats are fine, but he doesn't pass the eye test". Well, maybe our eye test is too harsh - on the stats, Speight is a decent to good QB, especially for a young first year starter. But, you say, look at the bad reads, the inaccurate easy throws, the near interceptions...
How many non-Michigan games are we watching with the level of scrutiny we apply to Speight? Because when I watch a college football game, almost every time, I see some bad reads, missed easy throws, and balls that coulda shoulda been picked off. So maybe the reason Speight's stats look decent are that his flaws are actually pretty common in college football. This isn't the NFL - not every ball is going to be on target, not every signal caller can reliably make 3 or 4 reads, and not every WR is going to make his QB look good.
Brian predicted 60% completion, ~8YPA, and 2:1 TD:INT. Well, that's about where he is. How exactly did you expect him to get there? 60% means a lot of throws are going to be missed or dropped. 8YPA means not every pass is going to be a DO bomb. 2:1 TD:INT means... well actually it means Speight would have to put up several more balls for grabs than he has.
Speight is not robo-Henne. It would be nice if he were, but it's not really fair to expect him to be. For the most part we didn't preseason, but now we're faulting him for basically meeting our middling prediction.
|1 week 2 days ago||Hmm, wasn't working on mobile||
Hmm, wasn't working on mobile for me but I'll try later on my desktop.
|1 week 2 days ago||Do you need a "team code" to see the jerseys?||
Do you need a "team code" to see the jerseys?
|1 week 3 days ago||Oh come on, I know that's the||
Oh come on, I know that's the standard coachspeak, but how could he not care, at least a little, about winning the freakin' Heisman Trophy?
|1 week 3 days ago||So do we worry about losing||
So do we worry about losing one of our coordinators in this year's carousel? Or are Don Brown and Drevno going to be lifers?
|1 week 4 days ago||I kind of feel like we're||
I kind of feel like we're grading Speight's deep ball accuracy too harshly. I man, yeah, Darboh had to adjust a bit and the DB had a good shot at a PBU, so that ball could have been a little better placed, but we're talking about a pass that traveled over 40 yards in the air and missed the perfect window by a couple feet. In bad weather no less. Exactly where are all the college QBs that are hitting dead on throws at those distances on almost every attempt (which is apparently the expectations fans have for Speight)? I suspect a lot of people are just seeing long bomb highlights on ESPN and not thinking about all the deep shots that miss, get broken up, or are aided by huge coverage busts that leave someone so wide open the pass always looks perfect.
|1 week 6 days ago||The part that boggles me most||
The part that boggles me most - they actually think that Peppers or Gary would have gone to Rutgers if they hadn't gone to Michigan? Pretty sure there were a few more schools between Michigan and Rutgers on their lists...