- Member for
- 5 years 32 weeks
|30 weeks 1 day ago||The good news...||
...is we're out of the bottom, bottom, mid tier range we had dropped to with Rich. But even better, it is recruiting that by far drives your position more than coaching (sans RR). We're now getting Brady's first class into it's RS soph and Jr years. The bad news is where we needed the help the most (have for some many years) has been in the trenches, the very positions that take the longest time to develop talent, esp offensive line. The good news is the talent is there due to some phenomenal recruiting under the circumstances. I take a more optimistic view at UM's future. The challenge (not for the coaches) for the fans is to take a breath and wait for Hoke's recruits to mature and develop. Good times ahead...Good times...
|38 weeks 6 days ago||Ah... Memory lane...||
...Good times. The ol' "but we had a former walk on" has long since been debunked as we started a couple on defense in 2011. The 1997 game could arguably be considered the best UM performance in modern football history. Beating the #2 team in the nation on the road, with what was at stak, by a dominating performance that actually was more impressive than the final score of almost 30 points.
|39 weeks 9 hours ago||UM 30 PSU 24*||
|1 year 1 week ago||Cherry pick...||
...You can cherry pick Carr... Camp recruits... Camp recruits after 2005... Make sure not to include Jake Long, etc... What you should do is take a look at all the recruits Rich Rod had at UM. Greater sample size, greater power. You can even analyze the HIS camp recruits over his entire career at UM compared to Carr's camp recruits over his entire career at UM. That'd be an interesting analysis.
|1 year 3 weeks ago||Need a better breakdown of the players that are...||
...white, black and other.
You only mentioned it for the Indiana dude.
|1 year 3 weeks ago||Had Edsell and Rich Rod stayed...||
...it'd be interesting b/c we'd suck and face a team from the Suck (Big) East... To assume Edsell would have taken UConn to a new level would be the same as Rich Rod taking UM to a new level.... Wait, Rich Rod did take UM to a new level. My bad.
|1 year 11 weeks ago||Wait...||
You conclude Hoke is making a mistake by not going to the spread punt, and you don't give stats comparing the spread punt vesus non-spread punt?
This isn't a correlation versus causation flaw. This is a "where is the data we need to make a judgment" flaw.
Even if teams are moving to the spread more, there are teams that do and teams that don't spread the ball. How do these teams compare? That's the 1st, 2nd and 3rd questions to ask.
Then there are the correlation/causation questions you can ask as well...
Love the stats and the discussion, but I might frame the discussion as "Is the spread punt responsible for these changes" rather than "The one thing Hoke is doing wrong..."
|1 year 18 weeks ago||Here's what the graphs mean...||
...The most important thing is that the low end of the graph is BY FAR, the least meaningful part of the graph.
If you are interested in winning Championships (Michigan pre-2008, post-2010), you have to have quality 4 and 5 star players.
EVERY great team will "fill out" (not insult intended) with 3 star players for half the team.
It's the upper half of the recruits that should be focused on. Dramatically.
|1 year 21 weeks ago||No excuse for that game...||
While we're a young team, we're older than where we were when we were ranked #1 in the country a couple weeks ago.
GRIII and Nick Stauskas came into AA with great skills and have not really played that great in the big ten. They are great talents. No doubt about it.
If TB is shut down, I see surprisingly little offensive inginuity. Hardaway canning 5 straight 3's in the 2nd half was not any coaching inovation. That was THJr being THJr.
That being said, we stunk, but it's college basketball. The most forgiving of all sports for the regular season.
This game had no impact on our chances of winning the NC.
Take it for what it's worth: We stunk. Our players and our coaches. And it had no impact on our NC chances.
|1 year 27 weeks ago||Spurrier...||
...Good to know his "genius" is based on cheating...
Track record of the "offensive genius"...
|1 year 29 weeks ago||Upon further review...||
....I see you stayed away from, "Devin at qb and Denard in slot may not have been such a bad idea"...
If not now, guess we'll never see that :^)
(ND's great defense is especially good against the run. The only suspect part of their D is their secondary)...
|1 year 33 weeks ago||Scrambles and assessing the "downfield" success of a qb...||
"Downfield" is a term with a specific definition... Throwing downfield.
|1 year 44 weeks ago||Couple points...||
1. Probably the most important thing a coach can do is maximize the talent out of the players you have. Kudos to Borges for recognizing how Robinson should be used and ending up with 11 wins and more points scored/game than the previous 3 seasons. In sum, Borges wasn't an idiot.
2. We tend to go under center more in short yardage situations, so there is some bias in the numbers. I like Drob in the gun, but in short yardage, we'll likely see less gun than in non-short yardage situations.
|2 years 9 weeks ago||Good god...||
You need to read Brian's posts more. Relax, it's his opinion and it's on the record.
Rich is a great X and O guy who is a tragic hero. A victim of circumstances. I have rarely read Brian putting much responsibility of the worst 3 years in UM football history on Rich. It's this or that that led to UM's poor performance and Rich happened to be here when it happened. Like I said, it's opinion and it's a free country. Which is why I can post this (and you are free to respond). Brian is a great writer IMO which is why I'm on this site.
Hoke is a "manager" (without much comment on his coaching).
I don't have any opinion on Brian's opinions on DB except that he didn't like the Hoke hire and how the process went. A lot of people felt that way, so no biggie.
|2 years 9 weeks ago||FG kicking...||
I won't attempt to figure out why—kickers are weird—but the stark contrast in reactions between Hoke and Rodriguez when the kicking game went to hell isn't a bad place to start.
Careful, you almost implied Hoke did something better than Rich, rather benefitting from luck.
|2 years 14 weeks ago||Would add 3 other factors...||
...Offensive line, where we are leaping from, and SOS.
Regression to the mean is always the easier path. UM improved on their scoring from 2010 to 2011. They worked their way into the top quarter. When you start at/near the top, you actually can't make a leap. UM could theoretically get into the top 5 (that would be a leap), but they'd rather hang onto the ball than score as quickly as possible. A change in philosophy, but one that led to actual wins. I'll take wins over RichRod points any day.
Finally, strength of schedule has to be factored in. We aren't playing in a vacuum. I believe the first team we're playing has a pretty good defense, for example. Ala-something....It's generally accepted we'll have a harder schedule than last year.
The offense COULD get better, but (Borges year #2 talkity talk aside) it would take a lot for a leap to occur.
|2 years 26 weeks ago||Nice review...||
...but for all the guy crush you put on RR's offense, AB managed to do two things this year:
1. Average more points than last year.
2. Score points against teams with a pulse on defense when the game mattered.
3. Win games.
Rich had a great offense, but was overrated. Hey, I said it was great... Easy....
You like X/O's. I like wins.
You like shot gun read option. I like wins.
You like total yards. i do too, but value red zone yards and points against good teams when it matters (read: not losing 21-0 at halftime, or against crappy teams).
Get on board.
Al ain't perfect, but he came through. The former was also true of Rich, but not the latter.
|2 years 29 weeks ago||2 sided... Hmmmm....||
"The book seemed reasonably two-sided once things got to Michigan. The WV stuff is more one-sided -- just Rich's POV. Did JUB see anything that supported WV's position in those 'negotiations'/lawsuits?"
Given that neither Bill Martin or Lloyd Carr's point of view are presented in the book, this is not a 2-sided (or even 3-sided) version of events at UM. Those are probably the 2 other biggest parties from UM's story.
Reading through the book, it is almost entirely from Rich Rodriguez' point of view. And that's not a surprise. Mr. Bacon was given access to Rich and his program. It SHOULD be a description of Rich's perspective on the situation.
It should NOT be considered a balanced view of the situation. It is what it is.
|2 years 33 weeks ago||Me like pictures and X's and O's||
...but aren't we averaging more points this year with completely new coaches?
|2 years 37 weeks ago||LB's reacting...||
...When the qb is a passing threat, LB's can't break on running plays for fear of play-action.
...MSU's LB's, DC's, fans, and the MSU popcorn vendor were all hoping Denard would go play-action.
2 dimensions is a good thing.
|2 years 41 weeks ago||Going for it...||
...Probably underutilized but, But, BUT there's a big difference b/n going for it up 14 against SD State and doing it in a much more meaningful game.
I love stats, but for University of Michigan football, sans the last 3 years of horror when any coach/team could realistically beat us, the games and stats that matter are the ones against the best teams we play.
FTR, that does not include San Diego State.
|2 years 44 weeks ago||Though in general TO's are random-esque...||
...obviously there are factors to consider.
Why doesn't Lloyd have to qb's throw over the middle?
What does LC have THAT guy returning kicks? He's slow!
There was a method to the "madness"....
...Why is Gallon still back there returning kicks?
...Or putting in DRob in 2009 (which is fine, but probably was more TO prone than Tate)..
Experience is the obvious player factor (experience at qb with regards to INT's).
I'm guess Hoke will emphasize ball control more the Rich, but we'll have to see. Just speculation at this point.
|2 years 48 weeks ago||SD St qb...||
...Lindley was 6th! in the nation in YPA. Guys above him: Newton, Moore, McElroy, Mallet, and Tolzien.
You can't be a 3/5 with numbers like that. His INT's dropped him all the way down to 21st in the nation in passer rating...21st out of...116.
3 is a bit harsh.
Of returning qb's, he is 2nd in the country in YPA.
|2 years 49 weeks ago||It would be nice to see||
It would be nice to see direct quotes about Rich's support rather than the site saying "100% support". Really?
I think he worked hard at UM, but he was just bad. I don't think he was bad. He was bad. 6-18 in the big ten is about as bad as it gets. NW wouldn't like that record. But he tried. He tried his best. I don't think Rich tanked it while he was here.
|3 years 49 weeks ago||Wonderful trip down memory lane...||
One comment. You mentioned how 1984 could be considered a fluke given Harbaugh's injury, but 2005 had more injuries than any other UM team I can recall. 2006 was essentially 2005 healthy.
|4 years 1 week ago||Recruit rank and success||
If we ever go to mountain west or big sky conference, I think talking about their recruiting ranks would be relevant.
If you believe Utah will have as good a record in the next 6 years after joining the pac 10 compared to the prior 6 years with the same level of recruits, I would disagree.
It's nice to win an impressive bowl game (not saying otherwise) after 4-6 weeks of prep, but if you want to be a major conference and win week-in and week-out, you need the talent.
If you really want to see how much Michigan fans should be concerned about recruit rank, you should:
1. Only look at major conferences (SEC, Big 12, Big 10, Pac 10...)
2. Look at teams' records versus top 50 teams. I really don't care if UW beat 4 super weak non-con teams. And quite honestly, when UM is playing like a UM should, they would rarely lose to a team outside the top 50.
3. Average the prior 5 classes recruit ranks
4. See if there is a correlation b/n rank and record. And probably, more relevant to our fans, see if there's a correlation at the top end. I wouldn't care if there is no correlation for the 5th-11th rank teams. Not relevant to where UM wants to be.
|4 years 5 weeks ago||I love Graham||
...but there's always some degree of tension when a new regime arrives, whether it's Rich at UM, Tressel at OSU, or Carrol at USC.
As long as folks aren't taking his headset off while he's trying to get the play in, it will have little REAL effect on what's going on.
Having spoke with a couple OSU fans, they were not thrilled at all (less thrilled than the average UM fan with Rich) with "settling on Tressel". And USC fans didn't think a so-so/mediocre NFL coach would be THE answer for turning around their program.
The bottom line is the guy who has the most to do with success is the head coach himself. It ain't mommy, the mole or some disenchanted alum.
|4 years 10 weeks ago||Improvements versus a standard||
UM 2008 offense was historically awful. No matter what is said about attrition and talent level, there was enough there NOT to lead the nation in 3 and outs. Choosing Sheridan and McGuffie to lead the offense and putting the square peg Threet into the round hold offense was...uh...stupid. But that's over.
Now, in 2009, we did improve. If you look a little closer, against teams we played that had a pulse (ie big ten conference), we actually scored about the same number of PPG. Thank Delaware HS for beefing up the stats.
In 2010, I expect a "real" improvement on offense. We've consistently outrecruited every team in the big ten (sans OSU, and it's close) and have plenty of returning players. This will be an exciting team to watch for sure.
|4 years 11 weeks ago||What did you mean by "who did you think we were going to get?"||
...If you're saying, 'well, we're not a great program, so we're not going to get someone who will make an impact', well, i'm not sure you are correct.
I'd say give him some time before judging him: good, neutral or otherwise.
Because, time will tell.
|4 years 11 weeks ago||Time will tell...||
As with most, I think "connections" in Detroit is nice. I've read that he's a "good recruiter", but c'mon, he was at Western Michigan; i'm not saying he's NOT a good recruiter... It's a different game now.
Will it translate into landing stars that otherwise go elsewhere?
Time will tell.