this week in unintentionally grim-sounding recruiting headlines
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|24 weeks 33 min ago||Gloating about publicly||
Gloating about publicly humiliating MIchigan undergrads? Threatening MIchigan undergrads who have different ideas than you with sabotaging their career opportunities? This is not only abusive, it's a classic display of hubris.
|33 weeks 5 days ago||The Self-Evaluation Is For Everyone||
Ven Bergen called for self-evaluation from everybody who supports the program, including fans and, I presume bloggers. I hope that was noticed.
|41 weeks 1 day ago||The result was a good one -||
The result was a good one - an extra hit on the QB (and perhaps some added momentum for the defense, which pretty much owned the second half). I thought it was a bad idea, but it is interesting that with the actual result having been positive, and the chances of a 60+yard touchdown hail mary quite low, there's still so much anger.
(Also, a problem with calling the TO earlier is that PSU could still go for it on 4th and 1 and have more downs. And even if you get the ball on your own 30 or lower with 15 seconds left, it's no great thing. It seemed to me an attempt to get a punt block/return, thinking that PSU would see the probability of getting their own score pretty low and would rather punt it away, even out of bounds, to avoid a pick or a Hackenburg sack. Like I said, I didn't love it, probably not the right move, but it's the same aggression that was once lauded around these parts and, to me, the whole episode is more revealing of the anger and lack of composure around here than on the sidelines.)
|44 weeks 5 days ago||I like the way this site||
I like the way this site portrarys its businesses of advertising and sportsgambling and merchandise marketing as innocent fun while maintaining such strict moral judgment for everyone else. Well done!
|45 weeks 2 days ago||When Rich-Rod Was Here, Support the Troops Was An Argument||
It was also an excuse -- if only everyone would've supported the coach, supported the troops, etc., then...
|1 year 1 week ago||Missing the Obvious Answer||
This is likely not about getting cheap home games, but a clear scheduling preference by Beilien and co. You have a young team, you want some opportunities to build confidence, try different things in game settings, etc. While the overall RPI might take a small hit, playing teams in the 190s vs the 290s doesn't affect how many top 50 or top 100 RPI wins you have. And with the B1G being so good, the end of year RPI is always high if you do well. The marginal difference in overall RPI might not make the increased chance of losing one of those games worth it if you're trying to game it out. But it seems to me it's just a clear choice by the coaching staff: in the nonconf they want (1) big-time games and (2) games the team is going to win by 20 pts, and that's about it.
|1 year 21 weeks ago||whoops||
|1 year 21 weeks ago||The stats and experts disagree||
Beilein is considered a master of late-game/out-of-time plays. ESPN's Fraschilla tweeted last night about JB being a maestro after the play for GRIII. Dakich has praised this about JB too. And the stats suggest that JB and Michigan have been the best in the B1G the past couple of years in out-of-timeout situations.
|1 year 37 weeks ago||It was execution, but that doesn't excuse the coaches||
A way to beat that type of defense is with big passing plays. These plays were there for the taking. That first pass on the first drive should have been a touchdown. On the third drive we get this: DG "can't find Funchess wide, wide open on a circle route for the first down and instead takes off." On the fourth drive we get this: "Funchess runs a great route that gets separation; Michigan protects it; Gardner chucks it wide."
I'm not blaming DG and excusing the coaches. It's the coaches job to get the QB ready to execute the gameplan. And to have linemen and RBs who can pass protect. But the "scheme" actually had pretty wide open TDs or close to it on a whole bunch of drives, including the first few. That's not a bad scheme.
Richrod had 28 yards total rushing his second year @MSU, but people go crazy for his scheme.
|1 year 39 weeks ago||The problem isn't timing, it's jumping to conclusions...||
...without sufficient data. As Sherlock Holmes will you tell you old chap, "it is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data. Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theores, instead of theories to suit facts."
|1 year 42 weeks ago||This could be true, but these||
This could be true, but these are the kinds of rumors I don't put much stock in. First, it's a rumor of what other players say Booker said. That's a game of telephone, that is. And players often have no idea what exactly is going on -- that one kid was sure that Grantham was following him to Cincinnati and then the Bearcats were out of the picture a couple days later. Meanwhile, even Ulis publicly said that Booker hasn't told him anything although they've talked about playing together, and Booker seems to have been careful not to say anything publcly in advance of his Missouri trip.
All that said, I'd certainly rather have the rumor be that he's telling people he's going to UM, and thanks for the info.
|1 year 42 weeks ago||You have to count Doyle||
Not counting him because he was an early commit makes no sense. Hatch was originally a 2013 guy so we can exclude him in discussing 2014.
Here's another way to think about it:
Early offers/high interest:
Doyle - commit
Chatman - commit
Looney - miss
Diop - miss
Tate - miss
Bluiett - miss
Booker - ?
Edwards - partiall miss?
Blackmon - ?
Wilson - ?
Devin Robinson? - miss
Grantham - miss
By my count, we're 2 out of 6 so far on early offers/high interest. That strikes me as very good considering how high these guys were rated and that none of them were from Michigan. Remember, Doyle reportedly had OSU, Purdue, Notre Dame, and Miami offers. You can't get every high-rated guy you go after, and it's very hard to come in late on high-rated guys who've had people recruiting them for ages. The final grade will depend on getting one of Booker/Blackmon (or I guess Bluiett or Bolden maybe), but so far they've done very well after two pretty exceptional years. I'd say they have a good recruiting strategy.
|1 year 42 weeks ago||If true, my guess would be a 2015 guy||
Maybe Jalen Brunson? Although that's based on zilch other than no 2014 guys seems to fit and good-but-no-insider vibes on his recruitment. After all, his dad was an NBA player -- those guys tend to mesh with our staff. Plus, Illinois got a top 2014 PG and they were thought to be our major competition. Just to add total internet speculation to unverified speculation, though I hope it's all true.
|1 year 42 weeks ago||I don't see it that way for Booker/Blackmon||
Blackmon and Booker both have Kentucky offers. If Kentucky was really the first choice for both, one would jump on it. There may be some interplay between Blackmon, Booker, and Oubre, but my guess is it's much less simple than how Brian depicts it. After McGary, Irvin, Chatman, etc., the evidence shows that UM has a good shot at the prospects they're in on seriously no matter who else is there too.
|1 year 43 weeks ago||I get your point, but...||
...there's also been some revisionist history the other way. In his first game, Trey went 1-7 against Ferris State with 0 assists. He had 7 assists and 6 TOs in his first 3 games. Over the course of the year, his asst/TO ratio was 1.66 and he shot just under 35% from 3. He was bad against Ohio St. in the B1G tourney and pretty poor against Ohio in the NCAA tourney. If he'd left after 1 year, he might not have been drafted at all (and was certainly unlikely to be a 1st rounder).
Don't get me wrong, he was great for a freshman his 1st year and well-above his ranking. But he improved greatly from how he came in, a testament to his hard work, the coaching staff, and his teammates. Walton might or might not be better at the same stage, but it's not a crazy statement.
|1 year 43 weeks ago||Has Sam Webb said anything about Booker lately?||
He's been pretty bullish overall and he is usually in the know. Until he goes negative, I'll continue to think we have a good shot.
McGary's recruitment was a lot like Booker's. Some go your way, some don't. Booker's had a process in place for a long time and I wouldn't take too much from the fact he hasn't committed yet.
|1 year 43 weeks ago||OSU won the B1G tourney this||
OSU won the B1G tourney this year. For the 2nd time in those 3 years (the other was a finals loss to MSU). Win total is affected by the B1G tourney too, for better and for worse. Overall, success is (perhaps unfairly) measured in large part by NCAA tourney success, so it might be underweighted by looking at win total (vs, say, the nonconference schedule). But the point is taken that overall wins is only one measurement.
|1 year 43 weeks ago||True, although IU's been||
True, although IU's been doing pretty well on the recruiting trail and has a higher profile than PU. If IU keeps pulling in recruits like Zeller, Ferrell, and Vonleh they'll win a lot of games.
|1 year 43 weeks ago||OSU has the best case for success over the next 3 years||
Quick quiz: who leads the B1G in overall hoops wins the past three years:
Answer: OSU, by a country mile, with 94 (including a final four run, an elite 8 run, and a tip to the sweet sixteen).
In second place we have our own UM with 76 (and a run to the finals). MSU is just behind us in 3rd with 75 (topping out with 2 Sweet 16 appearances), with Wiscy next at 74. Obviously strength of nonconference schedule has something to do with all of this, but OSU's case over the last 3 years is head and shoulders above anyone else's.
OSU has also been doing pretty will on the recruiting trail - Rivals has them with 5 4-stars and 2 5-stars coming in in the 2013-15 classes.
I understand why MSU gets props from the national media, but OSU has been the best B1G program over the last little while. Obviously UM has been doing pretty well the last little bit too and is trending upward. With IU on the rise, Illinois probably improving, MD coming in, MSU and Wiscy hard to discount, the B1G is really going to be tough the next few years.
|2 years 3 weeks ago||Larry Brown was the most||
Larry Brown was the most successful college to pro guy.
|2 years 3 weeks ago||No, that was Vince Edwards...||
...who was down to Purdue and Michigan. Bluiett supposedly is considering a whole bunch of teams, though Butler was believed to be the leader with Michigan 2nd.
|2 years 4 weeks ago||It is not true that Michigan||
It is not true that Michigan "never, ever posts guys up" -- the coaches tried it with Horford and McGary at times. And they will certainly do it more this year. Look for Mitch in particular to get more opportunities with the ball in the high post and the low block. How large a part of the offense it becomes and whether it could emerge as a late-game go-to set are the questions.
|2 years 12 weeks ago||Beilein's track record with preferred walk-ons is impressive||
Former walk-on Sai Tummala just committed to Arizona State as a scholarship player. Other guys like Eso and Josh turned down mid-majors or playing time at Ivy schools. It might not be quite as flashy as the improved top-end recruiting, but getting these guys is another example of JB and crew doing the work from top to bottom, of working on the top five recruit starter to the practice squad behind the scenes leader.
|2 years 12 weeks ago||According to Tillman's AAU||
According to Tillman's AAU coach, Tillman has interest but no offer yet from UM. This is from a @UMHoops RT of a tweet from the coach @MichaelAllie
|2 years 13 weeks ago||The effort to downplay Nik's||
The effort to downplay Nik's year is peculiar to me.
In B1G play, Nik had the 12th best 3pt% in the entire conference, and was 3rd for freshmen (behind Harris and Dekker), not bad when "don't let Stauskas shoot a 3" was the 1st or second emphasis (don't let Burke into the lane being the other) of every defense.
He currently stands 3rd in career 3pt% in Michigan history (behind Rice and Higgins) and his season was the 9th single best season in 3pt% in Michigan history (all the others occurred wh the line was shorter, by the way).
He shot "just" 38% from 3 for the tournament. That seems pretty good. Trey shot 31% for comparison. It's also easy to play the "if you take" game. If you take out Nik's worst game of the tournament, he shot 45% from the field in the tourney. If you take Nik's two worst B1G games out, he shot 41% from 3.
So, I guess it's true that Nik doesn't shoot as well as a freshman in B1G play when some of the best defenses in the country are keyed on stopping him from shooting the 3 as he does in the video, but he still shoots awfully well. And he does so in large part because of all the time practicing shooting, just like the video demonstrates.
Some people appear to have been blinded by Nik's almost inhuman start to the year to the excellent year Nik had.
|2 years 13 weeks ago||I agree completely that||
I agree completely that students who show up late -- especially after the game starts -- shouldn't automatically get better seats than students who were there early. But this "slap in the face" thing, I mean, for some students Michigan football is a fun part of going to the school but they don't live and breathe it. I don't remember for sure, but I don't think students can even buy single game student section tickets. Some students want to go sometimes but not others, or for a half but not the whole game. It's frustrating for others that they have such good tickets and don't make use of them like devoted fans, but being jealous doesn't make anger a sensible or productive response. Part of being a student at UM is getting perks re: UM athletic games. The fact that worst seats in the student section are not always full is not intended as an insult to alumni (and others) who wish they could have those seats, it's just college kids making decisions. A few empty rows in one corner of the endzone isn't a crazy price to pay for being a college team.
|2 years 13 weeks ago||If Rutgers and MD do turn out to be good for business...||
...and the fact that they bring in two of the biggest media markets does turn out to help the B1G financially, are we going to get one of those one sentence apologies and then be expected to pretend like all the rage and wrongness never happened -- you know, like the whole we should keep RR for a fourth year instead of hiring Hoke thing? Just want to be prepared.
|2 years 13 weeks ago||If it makes you feel better,||
If it makes you feel better, I laugh at the umbrage toward current students. I happened to be one of the students, back in the day, who sometimes slept until 1 or 2 pm because I was socializing or playing music or reading or watching movies or running around the arb until 4 in the morning. Regardless, it doesn't seem like too much for current students to have less than 20% of the stadium's capacity, including some of the worst seats, and to have a some relatively small percent of those seats empty in the lesser important games of the season. And the RR years cannot have helped.
Now, that does not mean the AD is wrong for going to GA and rewarding kids who come early or doing some other rewards program. But all the anger toward current students for not filling up their section to absolute capacity right at tipoff is goofy.
|2 years 13 weeks ago||Good point||
We have guys that can play multiple positions, and they likely will (particularly the upperclassmen), in order to deal with match-ups and get our best guys on the floor.
|2 years 13 weeks ago||Beilein said he believe the||
Beilein said he believe the team to done with attrition of any kind (and Blake has considered a graduated senior), so Blake probably will be the last one transfering. Unless you know more than Beilein does.