Peppers at 10, which seems low.
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|1 day 4 hours ago||I'm 100% aware of that||
Not feeling great so I didn't go back through Indiana UFR to see if they threw at Lewis, so I didn't want to use them as an example.
Edit - Argh, now I see what you mean. Sorry, that's a typo. I was thinking Maryland. Still blame it on feeling bleargh today.
|1 day 4 hours ago||Press man||
It's very difficult to rack up INTs as a man cover corner; try for the ball and you could give up the reception AND a lot of YAC. Lewis understands this. As a whole our secondary didn't get a lot of picks because they played so much man coverage. It's easier to bait the QB into picks with zone because you can be deceptive about it and then jump a route. With press man you knew what Lewis was going to do; just, good luck throwing at it. But a pick wasn't particularly likely.
|1 day 5 hours ago||"Viable" is relative here||
Throw at Lewis and you're going to struggle to move the ball, period. That they kept throwing at him was indicative of the "no fear of INT" factor, yes, but not necessarily as a viable strategy. This is roughly what OCs were looking at:
1) Screen gets blown up by Peppers for negative yardage
That Lewis wasn't going to pick it off did NOT make it an appealing notion. The point is that all these options suck. MSU was a clear outlier; they didn't show a viable strategy so much as Cook-to-Burbridge was by far their best option because literally nothing else outside FB trickery was working. But for a team like Northwestern or Indiana. . . well, they got shut out. Nothing was viable, so throwing at Lewis wasn't any better or worse than anything else the defense was destroying, so there wasn't any particular reason to be one-dimensional and stop throwing at your best receiver. On the flip side, OSU ran all over the D so they barely threw at all. Not just because the run game was going so well, but with that there was no need to test a secondary they knew was legit.
Put Jourdan Lewis on an average defense and the OC will bench a QB for throwing at him. Without the defense being lights-out everywhere else, he doesn't get thrown at.
|1 day 5 hours ago||I got the same treatment||
I said the same thing here, and got the same treatment. Pissed me off. Doesn't make him any less of a terrific shutdown corner; if anything it makes him an awesome honeypot -- anything less than an NFL-caliber QB-WR combo and you're just pissing away downs (and even with MSU's case, despite being their best offensive option it wasn't a fun day). This is not a bad place to be. But I guess the only acceptable comment about Jourdan Lewis is effusive hyperbole, facts and observations be damned.
|1 day 13 hours ago||I'll miss Wormley the SDE as well||
There was a sacrifice in strongside pass rush but even lacking an elite pass rusher we didn't really miss it. You just could not, could not block Wormley with a TE. Your TE just died. Michigan was content to crush the pocket from strongside in and Wormley on the outside was part of that. I can't remember any decleating sacks but I don't think QBs were happy to take on this D-line anyway. Instead of getting blindsided by a 270-pound human rocket, you watch your protection get ripped apart like cheap drywall and then get crushed by a 300-pound lineman.
My understanding is that Wormley's moving to 3-tech but Brown has to have watched this tape and know Wormley has the quickness to play outside. We may see some stunts and such.
|1 day 19 hours ago||I look forward||
to scores that make me wonder if basketball season started early.
You have one job, Big 12. Don't let me down, now.
|2 days 6 hours ago||A||
|2 days 16 hours ago||I understand this pain||
It's not like I didn't have any friends, but there probably wasn't a friend I had that I didn't have a falling out with at least once. I would totally climb trees or use blood as war paint if I didn't expend most of my emotional energy suppressing this personality on a daily basis.
At this point, pretty much everyone on my FB is a very patient and forgiving person. Not so much because I went out of my way to get to know these sorts of people, but because those were the only sorts of people that were left when the smoke cleared.
I'm Harbaugh without the genius. I hate it. There isn't much upside to having this sort of personality if it doesn't come with superpowers.
|2 days 18 hours ago||I'm just a||
I need no sympathy
|2 days 18 hours ago||Mods' brain be like||
|2 days 19 hours ago||Validates my concern||
I've been a bit of a buzzkill in hedging my enthusiasm for beating OSU and making the CFP, and it's because of the OL. They're NOT bad. With the pieces at other positions that'll win most games, but "most" does not include the best teams in the country, and unfortunately OSU will be one of them unless Meyer drastically whiffed on the army of 4- and 5-star recruits he reeled in. . . unlikely. In this game Smith, Rudock and Chesson destroy a very talented but -- applicable caveat -- demoralized Florida squad. If the success from this game is sustained that'd be the best case scenario, but it's always dangerous to bet on small sample sizes.
On offense TE, WR, RB are fine. QB is a Harbaugh uber alles situation. FB looks murky past Poggi, but OL. . . this season's success depends on Drevno getting them to make a year 2 leap.
|2 days 19 hours ago||IS THIS JUST FANTASY?||
Caught in a landslide
|2 days 19 hours ago||Agreed||
Not just the size of the window. The angle, speed and timing were all perfect. Too high and it's off target. Too low and Grant can't scoop it out. Too fast and it gets there early; too slow and it's picked off.
Windows near the goal line are going to be tight. The ball was right where it had to be. That wasn't luck.
|3 days 12 hours ago||Bad||
OSU. . . for all the talk about how it's a young team, Meyer's offense is plug-and-play and they're loaded with talent so by November we should count on him finding 11 guys who can execute. I hate that guy but their success has been so unquestionable that it would take a lot going right to catch up to them in Harbaugh's 2nd year. I really really WANT to beat them, but they are a top-tier team year in, year out. . . beating OSU means we're basically a national title contender, and I'm a little too beaten down to believe that just yet.
MSU. . . I will honestly feel upset if we don't beat them. We basically beat them last year if not for horrible officiating and a freaky last play. Michigan is due. This program is NOT inferior to MSU anymore, screamed past them even; we just happen to be a win short of proving it. That it's a road game really shouldn't matter. Extrapolating from both programs' trajectories (MSU getting exposed by 'Bama and losing their QB-WR combo vs. UM's demolition of Florida), the only way it'll even be competitive is if the same officiating jackasses from last matchup eject half our starters.
|3 days 13 hours ago||Of course we do||
He's the guy who does the UFRs for this site, right? He don't play football tho.
|3 days 13 hours ago||That I can say is not true||
They're many things, but foremost they are THETHE Ohio State, not ISIS Ohio State.
|3 days 18 hours ago||He's known for that||
He's also known for not being stupid.
Peppers wasn't even lined up on offense until the MSU game when the run game was ailing and Rudock still hadn't completed a long pass. So Harbaugh needed to do something to throw STAEE off balance, but the great thing about Harbaugh is that he's always prepared to do something. Playing Peppers on offense was always a viable option. But they didn't put him out there against Utah; they didn't use Peppers in some Borges-esque "we do it when we're ready" thrashing of BYU. They held off until they NEEDED him. Peppers didn't get his first official carry until Halloween, at which point the tailbacks were in full platoon mode.
Brown's defense thrives on CBs who can play man with no safety help. Peppers is an embarrassing luxury, but he needs Lewis. The offense. . . doesn't need Lewis. Lewis is great at football but he's not an all-around player like Peppers. His best position is slot and while he has higher upside than Perry, Perry's past his freshman jitters. I don't see Lewis replacing Perry unless Perry gets injured.
Risk of injury isn't how Harbaugh will keep Lewis away from offense. Injury is the only way he gets there.
|4 days 18 hours ago||They're not QBs||
They do QB things and execute them well, but this is actually a modern variation of a throwback offense. . . as in, the QB is a back who can throw. The QB is an athlete first. He isn't expected to break down the coverage; they make reads about as complex as a linebacker or safety by the looks of it. (Not to say that's easy, but it's very limited in autonomy.) I think Meyer's inherent trust level in college QBs is very low. He seems to think it's tough to get them to play up to expectation and it's hard to disagree. Even Jim Harbaugh -- arguably the best QB coach in the world -- couldn't get the brainy veteran Rudock going until late last season and that was actually remarkably quick progress. The end result shredded Florida's vaunted D, but the depth behind him was terrifyingly lacking. Contrast with OSU's plug-and-play offense of the last two seasons. OSU QBs are more like cogs in a machine than a CPU on legs.
It's not a coincidence that Meyer QBs are routinely advised to switch positions heading into the NFL, if not before. Their upside is literally in any position BUT QB. Tebow and Jones were basically TEs who played QB. Braxton Miller was a receiver who played QB. Barrett is. . . I'd say an RB. It's damn effective but they could just as easily move their slotback into the QB position. . . since, you know, they've already gone the other way.
|1 week 1 day ago||If we land Browning||
I like him in a robber role.
|1 week 1 day ago||TBH I'm skeptical||
They were a top 20 team last year; I think they're a top 10 team this year. I hesitate to go beyond that. I mean, that's already very, very good. I think you can bank on 10+ wins and a 2017 bowl game as a floor. But can we take down Alabama or OSU? Ehhhhh. . . a lot would have to go right.
I'm not particularly concerned about any reloading position (QB, FB, LB, P) being a serious liability, though we'll need more of them to be great than adequate to threaten the top 3 teams. My real concern is that our OL is basically an established known at this point and they are. . . OK. They got better over the course of last season but Newsome -- at this point in his career, at least -- is a huge downgrade from Cole at LT and we don't have a reliable 6th guy. If nothing bad happens they'll be good enough to win most of our games, but "good enough to win most" won't cut it. They'll be a very good team, but I think the drop-off from the top 2-4 teams to the rest of the top ten is big enough that Michigan can't close that gap only two years removed from a 5-7 season.
|1 week 1 day ago||Eh||
They have a problem finishing games.
I'm scared of any game when we get that goddamn crew that officiated both UM-MSU and MSU-Nebraska last year. That's two straight games where they basically dictated who won (no not the muffed punt itself but if they'd called the game fairly it never would've been that close).
And OSU. I hate Urban Meyer with the intensity of a. . . intense, but that program is legit.
|1 week 1 day ago||Heh||
You must be second to none at timing the markets.
|1 week 2 days ago||No||
You ran an inner city program to keep kids OUT of trouble, great. I'm not out to diss on what you do. Run 10, 50, 100 youth football programs. But when it comes to money these towns are oh so short on, you can play football with a pigskin and a patch of dirt. Or a sport that doesn't need pads. Football does not have a monopoly on keeping kids out of trouble; anything that has them running around has the same social benefits. We just happen to like football, and that's cool.
But what happens down in the southeast is on a whole 'nother level. We're talking towns that are happy to let their academics and schools deteriorate to crumbling yet approve a bond for a shiny new stadium. At that point it hardly matters how active the students are because they're gaining nothing in the classroom, and that's at best. Pulling kids out of class to practice. Neglecting anyone who isn't an athlete to keep the athletes eligible. Institutional idolatry of the athletes at the expense of anyone who's academically gifted. Intense, immense pressure to succeed. What's football doing for the kids now?
Call them on it and you'll get the noise about how football "does so much" for the school and community. They're literally trying to turn the high school football program into a cash cow, even though there's zero evidence it works that way. This is not the college level. I only picked on UA because the data was easy to find.
|1 week 2 days ago||You missed the point||
Like I said, I'm all for kids playing football. Kids should be out doing stuff. I went full hyperbole with "500 satellite camps" in my endorsement but that apparently wasn't obvious enough. But way to miss all that because you're wired to take offense.
It's one thing to encourage kids to be active (though it doesn't have to be football -- you're kind of screwing over the kids who don't like sports at that point); it's another to turn them into a money machine. Football economy is stupid. And the numbers are overwhelming. Ridiculously overwhelming. Active kids do better than idle kids, yes. But collectively, turning kids into football players over turning them into students who happen to play football is a horrible, horrible investment.
Which is not only backed up by reams of not-even-close data, but it's just simple common sense. For all the money Alabama pours into football, a whopping 65 of them are pros. That's impressive in a relative context, but as a jobs program that's an atrocious RoI. NFL rosters are fixed in size and there are only so many coaching jobs out there. While individually they make less money, there are probably some offices in Huntsville with more engineers than that, but many of them come from out of state.
|1 week 2 days ago||Alabama is overrepresented||
Massachusetts is under-represented. Or, more accurate to say, Massachusetts schools are for school.
And the "little dink town" wonders why it's so poor.
Football "brings in so much money" for the school. I hear that a lot. Except Northeastern (to name but one example), which has 12k fewer students, founded 80 years later, has nowhere near the name recognition and lives in the shadow of more prestigious schools, has a larger endowment than the University of Alabama. Alabama's is a meager $680 million. For comparison, UM's endowment is $10 billion. Northwestern, also $10 billion. MSU, $2.3 billion. Alabama? $680 million. Hell, Iowa's is over $1 billion. Now, maybe some of that national title money gets funneled back into the general fund, but endowments are generally good for indicating three things: A) how many students you graduate, B) how (financially) successful they are after college, and C) how much they attribute that success to education. Which means for all of being a household name, Alabama is lacking in all three areas.
I'm all for a football program, Hoke/Harbaugh style. As in, if you're here to play football, OK, but you're gonna get your degree. This stuff. . . I don't know whether to seethe or shake my head. I love the game. But in the big scheme of things, it DOES. NOT. MATTER. It's great to have insane passion for the game and 500 satellite camps, but a football-based economy is shit. I love that Harbaugh not only gets it, the players get it too.
When it comes to investing in youngsters, education>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>football.
|1 week 3 days ago||Kickers are like insurance policies||
I'm never excited about signing an insurance policy. Nobody's excited about kickers until they need 4-5 FGs to beat a team with a stingy red zone defense. But having that option means all the difference when you need it.
|1 week 3 days ago||Huh, I figured it was this||
n/m, didn't work dammit. . .
|1 week 4 days ago||". . . Brandon Peters is going. . . Brandon Peters"||
- Michigan Arrogance, 2016
|1 week 4 days ago||Ehhh||
Nothing against Pritchard but he was inherited from pre-Harbaugh Stanford. In 2017 Peters is going up against the rest of Harbaugh's QB farm, two full years into the operation. That's much more of an uphill climb.
That's not a bad thing; far from it. In most cases Peters could probably play decently as a RS FR and I'm not ruling out that he might. But the real takeaway here is that whoever's the starting QB in 2017 is going to have to claw their way through the gauntlet, and for the others that includes staying ahead of. . . RS FR Peters. So whoever's starting is going to be at least good.
|1 week 5 days ago||Fair enough||
Half the time, he wasn't within 10 yards of the ball anyway.