this week in unintentionally grim-sounding recruiting headlines
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|1 year 7 weeks ago||Beat me to it...||
What I was going to say...
Some learnings (according to Quantcast):
1) The all-time universal armageddon of pageviews: "The Process", with 10.7m pageviews that month, and that doesn't count mobile. No other month tops 8m, including mobile.
2) This here is a football blog. The NCG run for hoops garnered only 5.9m pageviews, with this April 4.5m. These are outpaced by a couple of run-of-the-mill football months, and also well-outpaced by traffic around the dates of signing Hoke's first full recruiting class, with the latter the 2nd highest month at 7.6m views.
3) When you look at uniques, "The Process", "A New Hoke" (Sept 2011), and Denard over Neb/Ohio (Nov 2011) stand out as all-time highs.
You can play around with different views. Tried to compare to mgoblue.com, but not easy to do since it isn't directly measured by quantcast.
|1 year 21 weeks ago||Probably unpopular, but not necessarily wrong||
I love the math, stats and defendable arguments you see here so frequently, and I love that someone took the time to do the math on our odds. Great OP.
Having said that, I also agree with the notion behind your possibly-unpopular comment despite spending an entire career in the analytics business. What models like KenPom, Sagarin, et al are great at is evaluating a lot of data to get to an empirical ranking of how teams have performed relative to each other. One should predict the same thing as KenPom does every time merely because anything else is guessing.
Statistical models aren't as great though at predicting the very next outcome based on the last 27 because the forecasted sample set is small. If we had 27 other games to play against the remaining teams on our schedule, the KenPom outcome is likely to be a lock. But we don't. Look no further than yesterday's gut-churner - obviously did not unfold like KenPom would have predicted.
The brass ring here is the first outright Big Ten title since 1986. The players know that, the coaches know that, and so do the rest of us. KenPom can't factor in the pressure on these guys and the myriad other factors that can lead to let-downs, etc. It also can't factor that into how hard Staee is going to play to see if they can prevent it. That is why we play the games.
Ultimately, it is pretty comforting to know that if we play the way we have played for the last 27 games we should expect to be the only school hanging a banner this year. What a testament to the team and its coaching staff that they are in this position. Beat the Gophers!
|1 year 28 weeks ago||Ravens||
Wasn't Cam Cameron the OC for the Ravens while Mattison was the DC for the Ravens?
|1 year 28 weeks ago||New OC?||
|1 year 37 weeks ago||Air?||
Too soon? No TFLs up in there.
|2 years 1 week ago||Malcolm Gladwell speech||
Given at Penn, addresses this very subject. He asks a legitimate question: how much proof do you need to know if something is bad for you?
For those that haven't watched it (not a short speech, like 30-45 min I think), this is a pretty interesting take on this subject, and it is concerning. Not saying I agree or disagree, but it is one of the more thoughtful discussions of this subject I have seen, perhaps there are others.
Speech is here. Comparison is black lung disease and coal miners. Obviously not an analogy intended to disprove a problem.
[UPDATE]: Woah, this was just front paged on cnn.com. More Gladwell, now comparing football to dog fighting.
|2 years 1 week ago||Photoshop beckons...||
...and someone must answer. This .gif has potential.
|2 years 12 weeks ago||Student seats||
While my memory is not perfect, when I was a student from 88-92 everything was effectively GA seating except for senior seating. We had assigned seats, and no one sat in them. Fraternities regularly sent pledges to save seats and they did so in whatever rows they could get when they got there. Unless you were absolutely last the seats really aren't bad.
This was right after they stopped allowing full coolers to be brought into games, and right before they outlawed marshmallow wars. Bottom line is that as long as I can remember students have showed up late for average to uninteresting games, and mostly on time for the likes of Michigan State, Notre Dame, etc.
In some ways it was worse then because we were all spoiled during the multi-year Big Ten title streak and our opponents were mostly unranked even in conference.
|2 years 39 weeks ago||Outstanding...||
|2 years 47 weeks ago||1988 vs. #1 Miami||
The Canes had just crushed #6 FSU 31-0, probably in retailation for the Deion Sanders-led "Seminole Rap" released in the offseason. Link presented without comment, viewer prepare for pain (but work computer friendly).
We dominate the first 3.5 quarters and lead 30-17. Then, in fashion typical of much of the 80s, 90s and 2000s, we start running up the middle and punting. Steve Walsh then proceeds to hit all of the passes in the last 8 minutes, and we lose 31-30.
Just the week before, in South Bend, Ricky Watters returns a punt for TD, Reggie Ho hits 4 FGs, and Mike Gillette misses a 48-yarder at the gun. We wind up losing to that year's #1 and #2 teams by a combined 3 points, but winning the Big Ten and beating #5 USC in the Rose.
Now that was an OOC schedule!
|3 years 1 week ago||It's like the Tour de France||
Everyone started within the same hour or so in Ann Arbor this morning. It's a little bit like the Tour de France where time is kept in the aggregate but stages have starts and ends where everyone is in the same place.
|3 years 4 weeks ago||Amazing diversity...||
...of experiences here. I am continually impressed at the diversity of ages and memory of Michigan football in the readership here. I suppose if you have over 100 years of something that lots of people care about, it shouldn't be that surprising.
Whenever talk of bowl games comes up, I am sometimes reminded of how much Bo struggled in the postseason. And then that reminds me of Bo, and possibly my favorite Bo obit written by Joe LaPointe, then of the New York Times. While he wasn't quoting him directly, Joe imagined Bo might say something like this:
It's a pretty good read.
|3 years 4 weeks ago||Any Rose Bowl victory...||
...especially if you have attended it.
1) For me, the 1/1/98 Rose Bowl has to be the standard.
2) Beating #5 USC in the 1/1/89 Rose Bowl has to be right up there. A great Bo team, lost to the #1 and #2 teams that year by less than 5 points total, and we were ranked #11 going into the game. That team was so close to a national championship season, they certainly had the talent.
3) 1/1/2000 Orange Bowl. That game was unbelievably epic despite the strange ending.
4) 1/1/2008 Capital One Bowl. At the time we desperately needed that win after the way that season started, as a good end to LC's career, and to shut up the SEC homers again.
|3 years 4 weeks ago||The facts as Dana relayed them...||
Dana was on Erin Burnett (CNN) last night, as commented as follows (her words):
1) This happened when she was 6 years old, and the offender was a teenage babysitter.
2) She was not able to deal with the issue herself until she was in her mid 20s.
3) The statute of limitations is 10 years, which we are well past.
She commented that she wished that her ability to prosecute hadn't expired given how difficult it is to deal with this, especially when it happens when you are 6 years old. I thought it took a lot of guts to do even that.
|3 years 10 weeks ago||Release the McQuay-ken?||
|3 years 16 weeks ago||Seems to me...||
...that a picture of Brian would photoshop nicely with Jerry Garcia.
|3 years 16 weeks ago||1989||
I was a freshman, and M won the Big Ten, beat #5 USC in the Rose Bowl and won the hoops national championship. Great year. There were in fact 2 riots that year.
|3 years 33 weeks ago||Opponent winning %||
I would think this would also mean this team played against a schedule featuring one of the highest (if not the highest) overall winning percentages in recent memory. Given the era of reduced scholarships, that might be an interesting stat. Anyone have that handy?
|3 years 33 weeks ago||How about...||
Beat VPI? Sufficiently old school.
|3 years 38 weeks ago||Old school crowd noise rule||
Maybe I just sound old here, but IIRC in the 90s there was a regularly enforced crowd noise rule where if the fans were too loud and the opposing offense couldn't hear, they just had to appeal to the referee who gave a warning to the crowd and then a 5-yard penalty. I seem to remember this being enforced in Michigan Stadium, without any benefit of skyboxes. The funny thing of course being that it just made the crowd louder.
|3 years 39 weeks ago||If you've been to a PSU game...||
...you could see why they are not selling out. Happy Valley is a long way from somewhere, there are woefully too few hotel rooms (see the first point), the stadium resembles a giant erector set in a pasture, the in-game experience is overwhelmed by pom-poms and cheesy piped-in music and PSU really hasn't been very good of late. I am sure price is part of it (2x U-M for that experience?), but it's still cheaper than Steelers season tix.
|3 years 40 weeks ago||Stoppage destroys strategy planning||
No matter what the stoppage affects the race substantially. Potential for different weather than originally planned if the race is delayed, or (as I see above) teams use the stoppage time to recharge batteries in full sun. Smoke over the route obviously impacts amount of energy reaching ground, etc. The strategy guys are going to earn their pay...er...accolades.
|4 years 5 weeks ago||I. Drink. Your. MILKSHAKE!||
|4 years 28 weeks ago||Agreed||
I live in DC and have a number of friends who are VT grads, been to a few games at Lane Stadium. Heard the VT band bust out the Hokie Pokey and did my best not to spit out my bourbon laughing. Terrible. Then they shot off fireworks. With eye lasers. Almost as bad as a Penn State game.
|4 years 34 weeks ago||Jim Tressel||
I think RR should be given another year. My initial reaction when I heard that DB would wait until after the bowl game was basically thart it helped RR's chances of staying due to potential impact of the lateness of such a change, the chance of a protracted search messing with recruiting, etc.
However, after thinking about it a bit you only have to go so far as our opposing coach today to see a successful change made after the bowl game. Cooper was let go after a 2nd straight bowl loss to an average South Carloina team, and then there was his record against us. As much as Harbaugh seems like a layup as a potential successor now, so too was The Lesticles in 2007. That didn't work so well. There is a nonzero risk of Harbaugh not working out for one reason or another, and failing to get Harbaugh in a January change could be potentially disastrous indeed. Guess that brings me full circle.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Can we picture page the 2006 defense against similar?||
Penn State had to be running these same plays in 2006, when we had our last really good defense. It would be interesting to see a similar play from the 2006 season picture paged to get a sense of how a "traditional front" defense with more experienced players would handle this particular situation, or at least similar situations. Wouldn't surprise me if there was more than one 2nd and long.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Freep has the JT Floyd story||
Supposedly not as bad as Woolfolk, but didn't sound good.
|4 years 41 weeks ago||You can get drunk...||
You can bring a daaaate...
You can hang out and taaaiillgaaaate....
|4 years 42 weeks ago||Tressel in today's presser||
Jim Tressel on getting carries for all the backs: "I wish we had more balls. ... That didn't sound good."
|4 years 42 weeks ago||How about...||
"Ben Chappell has been miraculously granted an extra year of eligiblity"
"Justin Siller will start at QB for Purdue"