I think the whole thing has shown how bad the general public and national media are at evaluating QBs (or at least how a college QB translates to the NFL). Any time I hear someone refer to Caleb Williams as the obvious number 1, “generational QB,” (as opposed to just predicting he’ll go first) I immediately mistrust anything they have to say about QB play. He had some pretty impressive plays, but his efficiency against top defenses is pretty pedestrian and he often built up stats throwing to wide open receivers and “backyard football” type plays.
He is a very good prospect, but I’d compare him more to Kyler Murray than Mahomes, but everyone is looking for the next Mahomes
The only difficult part about snowboarding is just learning to use your edges. You will need to lean in ways that feel unnatural to you at first, but once you’re used to that it takes care of a lot of the issues people are describing. There’s a leap of faith to get there though.
It’s hard on the body because it’s a good work out. You should be bending your legs and using your core to help stabilize yourself, so you might feel like you did a day of squats after (and might find some muscles you never knew about are sore). The painful stuff comes from getting too lax, so take breaks if you need em. Falls can be bad if you don’t mind your speed or get lazy with form. Feel free to end the day when you feel spent because that’s when your risk is highest.
The advice above is good though. Your board should never be turning without the assistance of an edge. That usually happens from standing up straight or feeling like you can turn just by pointing the board in the direction you want to go. That’s where the “catching an edge” risk comes
If that does happen try and turn the edge that’s facing downhill upward and gain control again with the other edge. Once you get the hang of it, hopefully that never happens!)
If you wanted to park in Highland Park, this is probably your best bet. It’s $1.75 to ride the metro and instead of walking along the Arroyo you could take the A Line (formerly Gold Line) to Memorial station from the Highland Park station which is in an area that will have a lot of street parking (you may have to look for a bit but shouldn’t have to walk more than 4 or 5 blocks to the train station).
Arroyo Park is probably your best bet in terms of having a decent walk. But the park might fill up.
Highland Park/Garvanza is probably your best bet for finding a decent street spot but the walk will be longer. You’ll have to find a way over the 110 (there are a few streets that go over it) then walk up through Arroyo Seco (a good hiking spot). I used to live in Highland Park and it’s one of the best LA neighborhoods to find street parking and I don’t remember any big restrictions the day of the Rose Bowl.
There’re a lot of residential areas in South Pasadena or Pasadena proper with street parking but I’m not sure what the parking laws are there (there can be laughably complex signage in LA) or if they add any restrictions on gameday.
Best of luck! I’d offer to drive you from Silver Lake but my car is already full with visitors coming.
I really wonder how the coaches are talking to the team about this possibility. It’s one level of awkwardness between Harbaugh and Pettiti, but also he’ll be on stage with dozens of warriors whose leader he screwed over.
Coach-in-Waiting is definitely not a sure fire way to keep a guy if good opportunities arise, but it is definitely meaningful for him and the team.
Concerning Muschamp: I am inclined to believe Harbaugh and Sherrone have a better relationship than Mack and Will, but I’m speculating, but if a Florida caliber job came calling for Sherrone who could blame him?
In ‘21 Michigan was second, and 15-19 (from the same publication) Michigan was third. I think you have to grade on a curve for that due to Bama’s dynasty status. Meaning: a part of Alabama’s numbers are a product of “how many times are the Tide on the ropes” because even casuals tune in for that.
It could use some clarification, but there’s a difference between logistical preparation and emotional preparation. I didn’t take it to mean the former until your comment. I highly doubt they didn’t have a plan.
If Michigan would actually consider going to the ACC it would be in the ND model where we are essentially independent, negotiate our own TV rights and have a scheduling agreement. Michigan would not move conferences and take the standard payout when they up the value of that conference.
Michigan negotiating on its own would like bring more revenue than the B1G
I think the initial timing has more to do with the reported imminent contract signing and the unlikelihood of him going to the NFL immediately after an extension.
I have a feeling this worked the opposite of the way it has worked in the public. Someone at or associated with OSU saw Stalions in coordinators ears at the game last year and figured out who he was and dug up what they could on him. I don’t know how easy a head coach can get a “stadium manifesto,” but if it’s something the school has (and considering the power these guys wield) it’s not hard to imagine Day’s staff getting that info and piecing things together from there
Just gonna point out that Michigan also cancelled an Arkansas and Virginia Tech series.
It's too nuanced to say to most College Football fans, but:
-Michigan scheduled these series when the playoff was first implemented and it was said that strength of schedule would matter a lot more than overall record
-The playoff committee demonstrated that overall record mattered more by letting in teams with very weak non-conferences (also the B1G switched to 9 game conference schedules around the same time, taking away another cupcake to mid opponent)
-Michigan wasn't willing to lose money on higher risk games that lost them millions of dollars and did little for their standing
We just have to take the heat for now, and recognize that CFB is about to be very different next year
Bill has played around with preseason expectations for many years and he weights it lower as the season goes on, and at this point I believe they have some impact on the numbers til the end of the season. The reason is that it has made the model more accurate.
Why? Because SP+ is a forward looking model, and sometimes talent level is a better predictor of where a team will be at the end of the season vs. what you see in early games. (Remember all the times we see OSU looking less than stellar in September and we note "well that probably won't be the case in November").
OSU drops because they have so much talent which is baked into their SP+ model bumping them up to #2, but if you just go off the way they've played they're #7.
Okay, I'll bite. Out here in LA, the only friends I have that share my disease with college football are Longhorns, so I get a close look at their team.
We potentially lose a lot after this year, but so does Texas. In terms of offense, Ewers, Worthy and Mitchell are juniors; their tight end #0 (Sanders) and WR Whittington are Seniors. That's their QB and top 5 receiving production so far this year. On defense, I've been impressed with their DL. The top producer (Sweat) is gone after this year and there are several other decisions that could seriously hamper that unit.
Previewing this matchup right now is pretty impossible because there are about ~30 decisions that could swing it either way between Juniors and coaches on either side.
What I will say about watching Texas is that they have more explosive talent than us but don't seem to be as well coached. This feels like a game that if the talent isn't completely imbalanced (and we're not breaking in a freshman QB), Michigan can win. If JJ comes back, I'd favor us, since our D seems like it'll be strong again next year.
Said group and I are planning to be there next year.
Care to give an explanation then rather than just say "it's nuanced?" Brian's interpretation of the rule section is that non-major credits don't transfer, which seems backwards. There's no reason to assume Stanford's "Intro to Writing" class is significantly worse than Michigan's.
I definitely understand Michigan wanting to protect the value of their degree, and that there are gen ed requirements other schools don't have that transferring students will need to complete, but equivalent non-major credits not transferring is hard to swallow.
The problem is insider info, ugly territory in gambling (again more of a sportsbook concern than a NCAA concern)
But as posters below said, if the NCAA has zero tolerance on gambling on college sports, then I think being punished makes sense, even though the punishment seems harsh.
I definitely see an issue with betting on your own universities sports when you're an athlete there (my experience from UM is that athletes stick together), but that seems more like a problem for his sportsbook than for the NCAA.
Well said and put together, but it's not necessarily even among the power 4 now, as the TV contracts aren't even.
Going by last year's numbers, the SEC and Big Ten now have 11 of the top 15 most watched teams in 2022 in their new lineups. The top 15 watched teams aren't necessarily static, (2021 and 2015-19 for reference), but what is consistent is Michigan and Ohio State are in the top 3 and the Big Ten and SEC perform very well with viewership. This gives them a lot of bargaining power in TV negotiations.
In those numbers ND is usually up in the top 5 as well, so they are still relevant, but they also hold more power than the ACC does because of that. I don't see why ND would want to become a full member and leave themselves open to being a part of the ACC's negotiation. I know FSU is pushing for imbalanced compensation, and maybe that's what draws ND in, but that also would destabilize the ACC because a lot of schools wouldn't like it.
FSU sees the writing on the wall that if you're consistently pulling in less than teams in your own backyard, you're eventually going to get outspent and outclassed. The gap between the SEC and Big Ten and the rest of college football will grow as the teams in those conferences will be consistently making 10s of million more than the rest of college football. ND will likely take their chances as an independent as they know they still have power in TV negotiations (and don't have other, less-watched schools to drag down their dollar value).
The only thing that could save this is if the power 4 (or maybe better yet, all of D1) negotiated TV contracts as a group, but the Big Ten and SEC have no incentive to do that, as it would just be giving up power (and money).
I can be lukewarm on these guys analysis sometimes, mostly because any time you cover a large number of teams you're going to miss a thing or two. But I thought they were pretty spot on here. They got a couple of things that most national analysts miss: A. The new defensive philosophy as being the reason we're up with OSU now B. JJ was actually really good last year, but wasn't in the best QB conversation because of low volume. The outlook for the season is pretty in line with my own as well.
I don't get Josh leaning towards OSU, with a new QB on the road, but he did say it's probably a good idea to always bet against his pick ;).
While I agree it felt like "oh, we're still going" after the Manhattan Project section of the film was done, it says it in the opening of the film... this is the story of Prometheus.
The Manhattan Project was the "giving fire to man"
The hearings are (part of) the "tied to a rock and tortured for eternity"
Having one without the other wouldn't be the same story.
I had a great time. I sat in the way-upper visitor section, but it was probably more like 60/40 Wolverines/Buckeyes. Fans were nice and respectful before and after the game, and I enjoyed talking to a lot of them. I certainly got some shit, but nothing that wasn't in good fun.
I am usually pretty civil except during a game so i was concerned my cheering would grate on people. It may have but it didn't show.
I think it's okay to look at USC with a jaundiced eye, but if they make it through the next few weeks unscathed, @ UCLA (not much of a road game), vs. ND and against likely Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship game, they absolutely deserve to be in, even over 11-1 Tennessee. It's only if Georgia loses to LSU in the SECCG that things could get spicy on that front.
There’s a scenario where Purdue wins out, Illinois wins out, and Iowa wins out that goes to the tiebreaker of record of crossover teams. That likely has Iowa winning since they played both Michigan and Ohio State.
[EDIT: this is wrong. Purdue has a worse in-division record than Iowa and Illinois, which is a criteria before cross-division opponent record. So Purdue would drop out and the edge would go to Illinois holding the head-to-head over Iowa]
That would be the closest to controlling their own destiny but they still need help. Because tiebreakers are spread around evenly, no one is completely in control.
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I think the whole thing has shown how bad the general public and national media are at evaluating QBs (or at least how a college QB translates to the NFL). Any time I hear someone refer to Caleb Williams as the obvious number 1, “generational QB,” (as opposed to just predicting he’ll go first) I immediately mistrust anything they have to say about QB play. He had some pretty impressive plays, but his efficiency against top defenses is pretty pedestrian and he often built up stats throwing to wide open receivers and “backyard football” type plays.
He is a very good prospect, but I’d compare him more to Kyler Murray than Mahomes, but everyone is looking for the next Mahomes
There’s only one other movie, and part one and two are really one movie (they are both book one), so I’d definitely say to watch the first. But…
You could probably still enjoy it. They give context to what happened in the first movie. It just wouldn’t have the same weight
…
Finally some good advice.
The only difficult part about snowboarding is just learning to use your edges. You will need to lean in ways that feel unnatural to you at first, but once you’re used to that it takes care of a lot of the issues people are describing. There’s a leap of faith to get there though.
It’s hard on the body because it’s a good work out. You should be bending your legs and using your core to help stabilize yourself, so you might feel like you did a day of squats after (and might find some muscles you never knew about are sore). The painful stuff comes from getting too lax, so take breaks if you need em. Falls can be bad if you don’t mind your speed or get lazy with form. Feel free to end the day when you feel spent because that’s when your risk is highest.
The advice above is good though. Your board should never be turning without the assistance of an edge. That usually happens from standing up straight or feeling like you can turn just by pointing the board in the direction you want to go. That’s where the “catching an edge” risk comes
If that does happen try and turn the edge that’s facing downhill upward and gain control again with the other edge. Once you get the hang of it, hopefully that never happens!)
Pretty awesome. But that’s DJ Turner, not Will Johnson
Dude, same!
I think the dialogue is misaligned, at least on the Apple podcast version
Me too
People regularly conflate “indefinitely” with “permanently.”
That's one of the reasons people think Michigan overlooked TCU... they didn't seem to get the "A team" game plan. I doubt they'd do the same for Bama.
You’re right except the “CFB belt” (as I’ve seen it called) goes back to the original game, not championship
If you wanted to park in Highland Park, this is probably your best bet. It’s $1.75 to ride the metro and instead of walking along the Arroyo you could take the A Line (formerly Gold Line) to Memorial station from the Highland Park station which is in an area that will have a lot of street parking (you may have to look for a bit but shouldn’t have to walk more than 4 or 5 blocks to the train station).
Just to add, be careful when mapping out a walk because this is a very hilly/canyon-y area so what looks like a decent walk might be murder.
Arroyo Park is probably your best bet in terms of having a decent walk. But the park might fill up.
Highland Park/Garvanza is probably your best bet for finding a decent street spot but the walk will be longer. You’ll have to find a way over the 110 (there are a few streets that go over it) then walk up through Arroyo Seco (a good hiking spot). I used to live in Highland Park and it’s one of the best LA neighborhoods to find street parking and I don’t remember any big restrictions the day of the Rose Bowl.
There’re a lot of residential areas in South Pasadena or Pasadena proper with street parking but I’m not sure what the parking laws are there (there can be laughably complex signage in LA) or if they add any restrictions on gameday.
Best of luck! I’d offer to drive you from Silver Lake but my car is already full with visitors coming.
That also takes into account preseason expectations so I don’t know if that’s particularly meaningful
I really wonder how the coaches are talking to the team about this possibility. It’s one level of awkwardness between Harbaugh and Pettiti, but also he’ll be on stage with dozens of warriors whose leader he screwed over.
Coach-in-Waiting is definitely not a sure fire way to keep a guy if good opportunities arise, but it is definitely meaningful for him and the team.
Concerning Muschamp: I am inclined to believe Harbaugh and Sherrone have a better relationship than Mack and Will, but I’m speculating, but if a Florida caliber job came calling for Sherrone who could blame him?
In ‘21 Michigan was second, and 15-19 (from the same publication) Michigan was third. I think you have to grade on a curve for that due to Bama’s dynasty status. Meaning: a part of Alabama’s numbers are a product of “how many times are the Tide on the ropes” because even casuals tune in for that.
It could use some clarification, but there’s a difference between logistical preparation and emotional preparation. I didn’t take it to mean the former until your comment. I highly doubt they didn’t have a plan.
Also if we go back to earlier discussions on this, what Stalions did at best constitutes a gray area… there is no gray area to destroying evidence.
This being published in the WSJ is the new piece here, which is a much bigger platform than the Yale Journal for the Elite or whatever.
But personally I think WSJ taking this has more to do with the publication trying to still milk this story during a down period than any merit it has.
I’ll be there. Flying out tomorrow. Very excited to see Beaver Stadium
And you know, fax machines
ND is by no means the “only national brand.” Maybe 50 years ago.
i live in California and see far more UM gear than ND. By like a factor of 10
If Michigan would actually consider going to the ACC it would be in the ND model where we are essentially independent, negotiate our own TV rights and have a scheduling agreement. Michigan would not move conferences and take the standard payout when they up the value of that conference.
Michigan negotiating on its own would like bring more revenue than the B1G
I have a sickness
If there’s any truth to him not cooperating, it could have come from that
I think the initial timing has more to do with the reported imminent contract signing and the unlikelihood of him going to the NFL immediately after an extension.
Imagining the OSU camp arguing that they shouldn’t be held responsible for someone they hired breaking the rules is a juicy proposition
Ghost is noting that there’s a difference in the NCAA bylaws between scouting and recording. Stalions didn’t pay for scouting
I have a feeling this worked the opposite of the way it has worked in the public. Someone at or associated with OSU saw Stalions in coordinators ears at the game last year and figured out who he was and dug up what they could on him. I don’t know how easy a head coach can get a “stadium manifesto,” but if it’s something the school has (and considering the power these guys wield) it’s not hard to imagine Day’s staff getting that info and piecing things together from there
If Michigan is issued a violation, they have 90 days to respond which takes us into late January.
I'm getting really annoyed at people saying shit as if they know it in this whole mess.
I hereby announce that I'm opening an investigation that my employer is underpaying me
"Just here to scout signs and eat burgers"
Just gonna point out that Michigan also cancelled an Arkansas and Virginia Tech series.
It's too nuanced to say to most College Football fans, but:
-Michigan scheduled these series when the playoff was first implemented and it was said that strength of schedule would matter a lot more than overall record
-The playoff committee demonstrated that overall record mattered more by letting in teams with very weak non-conferences (also the B1G switched to 9 game conference schedules around the same time, taking away another cupcake to mid opponent)
-Michigan wasn't willing to lose money on higher risk games that lost them millions of dollars and did little for their standing
We just have to take the heat for now, and recognize that CFB is about to be very different next year
If you read that Bill Connelly tweet about JJ earlier this week, this is basically the exact same information and argument.
Bill has played around with preseason expectations for many years and he weights it lower as the season goes on, and at this point I believe they have some impact on the numbers til the end of the season. The reason is that it has made the model more accurate.
Why? Because SP+ is a forward looking model, and sometimes talent level is a better predictor of where a team will be at the end of the season vs. what you see in early games. (Remember all the times we see OSU looking less than stellar in September and we note "well that probably won't be the case in November").
OSU drops because they have so much talent which is baked into their SP+ model bumping them up to #2, but if you just go off the way they've played they're #7.
Okay, I'll bite. Out here in LA, the only friends I have that share my disease with college football are Longhorns, so I get a close look at their team.
We potentially lose a lot after this year, but so does Texas. In terms of offense, Ewers, Worthy and Mitchell are juniors; their tight end #0 (Sanders) and WR Whittington are Seniors. That's their QB and top 5 receiving production so far this year. On defense, I've been impressed with their DL. The top producer (Sweat) is gone after this year and there are several other decisions that could seriously hamper that unit.
Previewing this matchup right now is pretty impossible because there are about ~30 decisions that could swing it either way between Juniors and coaches on either side.
What I will say about watching Texas is that they have more explosive talent than us but don't seem to be as well coached. This feels like a game that if the talent isn't completely imbalanced (and we're not breaking in a freshman QB), Michigan can win. If JJ comes back, I'd favor us, since our D seems like it'll be strong again next year.
Said group and I are planning to be there next year.
Care to give an explanation then rather than just say "it's nuanced?" Brian's interpretation of the rule section is that non-major credits don't transfer, which seems backwards. There's no reason to assume Stanford's "Intro to Writing" class is significantly worse than Michigan's.
I definitely understand Michigan wanting to protect the value of their degree, and that there are gen ed requirements other schools don't have that transferring students will need to complete, but equivalent non-major credits not transferring is hard to swallow.
The problem is insider info, ugly territory in gambling (again more of a sportsbook concern than a NCAA concern)
But as posters below said, if the NCAA has zero tolerance on gambling on college sports, then I think being punished makes sense, even though the punishment seems harsh.
I definitely see an issue with betting on your own universities sports when you're an athlete there (my experience from UM is that athletes stick together), but that seems more like a problem for his sportsbook than for the NCAA.
Well said and put together, but it's not necessarily even among the power 4 now, as the TV contracts aren't even.
Going by last year's numbers, the SEC and Big Ten now have 11 of the top 15 most watched teams in 2022 in their new lineups. The top 15 watched teams aren't necessarily static, (2021 and 2015-19 for reference), but what is consistent is Michigan and Ohio State are in the top 3 and the Big Ten and SEC perform very well with viewership. This gives them a lot of bargaining power in TV negotiations.
In those numbers ND is usually up in the top 5 as well, so they are still relevant, but they also hold more power than the ACC does because of that. I don't see why ND would want to become a full member and leave themselves open to being a part of the ACC's negotiation. I know FSU is pushing for imbalanced compensation, and maybe that's what draws ND in, but that also would destabilize the ACC because a lot of schools wouldn't like it.
FSU sees the writing on the wall that if you're consistently pulling in less than teams in your own backyard, you're eventually going to get outspent and outclassed. The gap between the SEC and Big Ten and the rest of college football will grow as the teams in those conferences will be consistently making 10s of million more than the rest of college football. ND will likely take their chances as an independent as they know they still have power in TV negotiations (and don't have other, less-watched schools to drag down their dollar value).
The only thing that could save this is if the power 4 (or maybe better yet, all of D1) negotiated TV contracts as a group, but the Big Ten and SEC have no incentive to do that, as it would just be giving up power (and money).
I can be lukewarm on these guys analysis sometimes, mostly because any time you cover a large number of teams you're going to miss a thing or two. But I thought they were pretty spot on here. They got a couple of things that most national analysts miss: A. The new defensive philosophy as being the reason we're up with OSU now B. JJ was actually really good last year, but wasn't in the best QB conversation because of low volume. The outlook for the season is pretty in line with my own as well.
I don't get Josh leaning towards OSU, with a new QB on the road, but he did say it's probably a good idea to always bet against his pick ;).
While I agree it felt like "oh, we're still going" after the Manhattan Project section of the film was done, it says it in the opening of the film... this is the story of Prometheus.
The Manhattan Project was the "giving fire to man"
The hearings are (part of) the "tied to a rock and tortured for eternity"
Having one without the other wouldn't be the same story.
I had a great time. I sat in the way-upper visitor section, but it was probably more like 60/40 Wolverines/Buckeyes. Fans were nice and respectful before and after the game, and I enjoyed talking to a lot of them. I certainly got some shit, but nothing that wasn't in good fun.
I am usually pretty civil except during a game so i was concerned my cheering would grate on people. It may have but it didn't show.
whoa
Also funny is the roster outlook on the 247 site. Wisconsin with 10 DL, Michigan with 20.
I think it's okay to look at USC with a jaundiced eye, but if they make it through the next few weeks unscathed, @ UCLA (not much of a road game), vs. ND and against likely Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship game, they absolutely deserve to be in, even over 11-1 Tennessee. It's only if Georgia loses to LSU in the SECCG that things could get spicy on that front.
I’ll be in 8C, which I’ve been led to believe is part of the visitor’s section. I bought aftermarket though
Home field advantage is generally 3 points, so that would go into OSU’s favor. The 2.3 pt spread is on a neutral field
There’s a scenario where Purdue wins out, Illinois wins out, and Iowa wins out that goes to the tiebreaker of record of crossover teams. That likely has Iowa winning since they played both Michigan and Ohio State.
[EDIT: this is wrong. Purdue has a worse in-division record than Iowa and Illinois, which is a criteria before cross-division opponent record. So Purdue would drop out and the edge would go to Illinois holding the head-to-head over Iowa]
That would be the closest to controlling their own destiny but they still need help. Because tiebreakers are spread around evenly, no one is completely in control.