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|4 weeks 2 days ago||Without a baseline, it's hard||
Without a baseline, it's hard to say that 80% is actually adding incremental information. Given how important recruiting is, I doubt there's a lot of value add considering the far more granular data a given coaching staff is going to have. Get the coaching staff on board to rate commit likelihood on a regular basis and you can really build a tool of some use.
|1 year 5 weeks ago||Made a quick model of||
Made a quick model of expected stars by the rank of a recruit in Michigan's class and the size of the class and then took the average difference between the actual and the expected to rank M's recruiting classes in Seth's spreadsheet. E.g if M's best recruit in the class is typically a 4.5 star guy, in 1998 we would have expected him to be rated 4.94 stars.
Just wanted to correct for class size, really. But not sure that actually did that, since class size and starz were positively correlated and I would have expected the opposite.
|1 year 23 weeks ago||I don't think that's much of||
I don't think that's much of a defense. It's purposeless on a maize background.
|2 years 7 weeks ago||Jim Light also has this vid||
Jim Light also has this vid from last year's Mizzou game:
They get lit up a bit here. Spent the game in Nickel/Dime in an Over playing C1/C3 plus some fire zones. Nothing real mind blowing, but one thing they don't seem to do is apex the slot. Always playing w/ outside leverage. Seem to funnel everything inside, not really a spill defense. Non-corner DBs play very deep.
|2 years 18 weeks ago||Also RIP my I <3 <3 shirt.||
Also RIP my I <3 <3 shirt.
|2 years 18 weeks ago||/signs in as Musket Rebellion||
/signs in as Musket Rebellion
|2 years 18 weeks ago||RIP Haloscan||
|2 years 20 weeks ago||Scroll up.||
|2 years 20 weeks ago||Dantonio was a C3/C1 guy.||
Dantonio was a C3/C1 guy. Narduzzi went 100% C4 in his first DC job at Miami.
|2 years 20 weeks ago||Definitely false.||
|2 years 20 weeks ago||Dantonio was a C3/C1 guy.||
Dantonio was a C3/C1 guy. Narduzzi's defense is his baby.
|2 years 28 weeks ago||WHAT THE HELL||
WHAT THE HELL
|2 years 29 weeks ago||In HS, pretty much everyone's||
In HS, pretty much everyone's best player plays up the middle, especially SS.
|2 years 30 weeks ago||Some evidence of the point:||
Some evidence of the point: in the clip, M runs a corner/seam route that gets both of them reasonably open thanks to the way Borges knows the DBs will leverage the routes. Gallon runs seam, CB has outside leverage. Funchess runs corner, safety has inside leverage. But the throw over the top to the seam ends up taken away by the field to the opposite side playing C2 against the nub.
There are a lot of safeties out there, perhaps ours included, who won't find work like that weak safety did to get over the top of a seam route on the other side of the field. And a lot of DBs in general will get beat a lot worse than either of theirs did given the playcall.
|2 years 34 weeks ago||Sea Goggles /game blouses||
|2 years 43 weeks ago||FWIW: Chatman iirc weighed in||
FWIW: Chatman iirc weighed in at 213 at the same Jordan Whatever Camp Thing. Getting him up to GRIII Fr. weight seems doable.
...things are still anger rage face times though
|2 years 44 weeks ago||that price is boggling. i||
that price is boggling. i want to say it was $20 per game from '04-'08 or so? it's amazing how fucked up the relationship between the students and AD has gotten since then.
amazing and depressing.
|2 years 50 weeks ago||the point about pricing his||
the point about pricing his inventory to market, i think, is on point though. at some of the lesser home games, i think it's clear that it's not just students who aren't showing up.
|2 years 51 weeks ago||if they're going more w/ 4||
if they're going more w/ 4 down linemen and a detached SAM over the slot, that gives the 3T and 5T roles a lot more separation. 3T is going to see more doubles and has to plug gaps. 5T has to set the edge, pass rush, drop into coverage a bit. until some of them start to show real separation in strength or quickness, i think looking at weight's probably the best proxy for position.
in which case: Wormley and Godin to 3T, Poggi and Strobel to 5T.
|2 years 52 weeks ago||yeah, agreed. Mattison is a||
yeah, agreed. Mattison is a package guy. he seemed to run more C4 this year and w/ more success. between deciding to increase the prominence of that package and the amount of nickel they were in anyway, they flopped Ryan to MIKE.
|2 years 52 weeks ago||i really think Ryan will end||
i really think Ryan will end up taking a good number of SAM snaps.
in that interpretation, we're trying to solve our problems against good up tempo spread to run teams. the whole point would be to be able to kick Ross out over the slot while cutting down on Bolden/Gedeon reps AND making sure we have enough size on the line. i.e. not being forced to play both Beyer and Ryan on a 4 man line. it definitely seems at least a bit convoluted and perhaps somewhat over-focused on OSU.
so i guess that Ryan will bump down to SAM against any alignments w/ 2 or fewer WR and on the regular on passing downs. he doesn't need the reps at that spot to be at least solid and i really don't think we've had many problems out of the base defense since Mattison's been here.
who knows. coaches are always talking about how some guys are just football players. maybe Ryan is that. even if they're not trying to use Ryan as superman, the fix comes off as a little Borgesian. instead of getting better out of what they already do, they're adding patch fixes that perhaps, they can't practice enough to actually get good at. the defenses that have adjusted best to uptempo seem to be more Narduzzi (make small adjustments to one universal base defense, not a lot of sub packaging) and less Saban (multiple base defenses w/ moduled substitute packages to each). Mattison's definitely more Saban than Narduzzi in that sense.
|2 years 52 weeks ago||that would be the most||
that would be the most coherent way to address what it seems like they're trying to do. but it's also a system that none of them have coached the nuances of and is at least a bit different philosophically.
it also really taxes our safeties, which are unproven at this point.
|3 years 3 days ago||i don't think Mattison would||
i don't think Mattison would characterize these as philosophical changes, but that's maybe semantics. i think they're further adapting to how little they get to line up in a traditional 4-3 Under where it makes any sense to play the SAM on the line. they see Ryan as a box player, so they're going to give him a position that always keeps him in the box.
|3 years 4 weeks ago||Just in case anyone wants to||
Just in case anyone wants to see what the Beilein offense looks like now as opposed to the Classic WVU version, here's the '05 tourney (PITTSNOGLE!) vs. a Bobby Knight Texas Tech outfit:
The base actions are very similar, though the ball screen emphasis is obviously severely lacking. That said, it IS in there and does lead their PG to some opportunities in the lane. The current set up is a lot more stripped down. Partly, I'd assume, to account for less teaching time given the relative constrains of coaching guys like D-Mo and Burke.
|3 years 8 weeks ago||His alleged quotes from the||
His alleged quotes from the police report from the Gibbons incident were pretty ugly, too. That whole thing makes me feel not good.
|3 years 11 weeks ago||writing for an audience of||
writing for an audience of any considerable size selects for thick skin, so it's not that. this blog is going to have it's 9 year anniversary shortly. at some point you get to not have to put up with assholes.
|3 years 13 weeks ago||How representative are the||
How representative are the videos posted? I see soft corners and lots of field pressure, which means Devin should be looking to the field hitch. They're open in at least 2 of the 4 vids after the jump. And the field pressure is tipped by the safety lining up directly over the nickel to the field.
...I'm definitely willing to bet that Devin is making a lot of bad reads, but I don't know how to divide responsibility between him and Borges. If NW is just running a lot of field pressures and DG refuses to recognize them, I think I'm willing to let Borges off the hook somewhat.
|3 years 15 weeks ago||never change, Don.||
never change, Don.
|3 years 18 weeks ago||Oof/disheartening.||
|3 years 18 weeks ago||We actually ran the tunnel||
We actually ran the tunnel screen to Gallon against PSU, and to good effect. But it only came out once. And of course we didn't run the counter off that, which is the stalk-block-and-go. Only ran that one like once or twice all last season even after teams finally started cheating on that screen.