- Member for
- 4 years 31 weeks
- View recent blog entries
|3 days 10 hours ago||Gilovich, Tversky and||
Gilovich, Tversky and Vallone's work accounted for some of those issues and found no evidence for the hot hand fallacy, and later work (at least the relatively paltry amount that I know) has been consistent with this in general. I don't know the MLB studies, but I did an (admittedly somewhat shallow) analysis of OT outcomes for CFB (here and here) which is why I'm fairly strong in this belief.
|3 days 12 hours ago||There is no such thing as||
There is no such thing as momentum. The odds of winning in overtime are a statistical coin flip. Its not real, man.
|1 week 6 days ago||The Sagarin GOLDEN MEAN||
The Sagarin GOLDEN MEAN scores are supposed to predict score differential. Looking at the hypothetical Alabama-Oregon game, Sagarin predicts Alabama over Oregon by 4.21 points. None of the others have a direct points interpretation, to my understanding.
|1 week 6 days ago||ball don't lie|
|3 weeks 6 days ago||Pick a big state||
Pick a big state school...
edit: Yes, I know ND and Stanford aren't state schools, but similar at least in this context.
|4 weeks 2 days ago||that sounds like a lot more||
that sounds like a lot more fun than buying health insurance.
|5 weeks 4 days ago||The fact that Texas A&M pays||
The fact that Texas A&M pays their coach $5730 more than Texas does is clearly not an accident.
|5 weeks 5 days ago||ahem, "Dr. Hackett"||
ahem, "Dr. Hackett"
|6 weeks 16 hours ago||what goes unreported or||
Yeah, that's gonna need a citation.
|8 weeks 21 hours ago||The fans, obviously.||
The fans, obviously.
|8 weeks 2 days ago||Well, what would you point to||
Well, what would you point to as the "world's most important newspaper?"
|8 weeks 2 days ago||...selling like hotcakes,||
...selling like hotcakes, etc...
|8 weeks 4 days ago||Somebody a while back posted||
Somebody a while back posted a shopped version of this picture with a Jim Harbaugh doll replacing Krusty and I can't find it, and man do I need it right now. Does anyone have it?
edit: found it, some of BlueBarron's work
|9 weeks 3 days ago||I care - now I no longer feel||
I care - now I no longer feel like I am going crazy thinking it was a big bomb.
|9 weeks 6 days ago||No, neither team typically||
No, neither team typically races at the Schuykill. The women have a home race at Belleville yet, while the men are racing at the Hooch and have a couple of other races against the Wisco frosh and against OSU, both in town.
|10 weeks 3 days ago||I think by week 6 all of the||
I think by week 6 all of the advanced metrics are purely based on actual game day data.
|10 weeks 4 days ago||Well, Denise Ilitch already||
Well, Denise Ilitch already kind of did, at least as much as I'd expect from somebody in the role of a Regent.
|10 weeks 4 days ago||(No subject)||
|11 weeks 3 days ago||I'd still say its unusual for||
I'd still say its unusual for a CFB game to be pre-empted by NASCAR, particularly one involving Michigan.
|12 weeks 4 days ago||I don't think former players||
I don't think former players should shut their mouths, but I don't understand why you'd think they are the only ones whose opinions about these issues matter. I live in flyover country, far away from Michigan, and still have had numerous people make comments to me about "what's going on at Michigan." These issues affect all of us who are connected to the university in some way, even if its somewhat less significant compared to the former players.
|12 weeks 5 days ago||Denard would have been||
Denard would have been perfect...
|12 weeks 5 days ago||Everything about this||
Everything about this situation sucks, but nothing more than this.
|12 weeks 5 days ago||We will have an athletic medicine professional in the press box||
lot of good that's gonna do.
|12 weeks 6 days ago||So, shirts as pants. On it.||
So, shirts as pants. On it.
|12 weeks 6 days ago||I guess I don't see why it||
I guess I don't see why it matters whether or not he ended up truly having a concussion. I would think the issue would be more that in a situation where there is any doubt (i.e. during the game), you err on the side of caution.
|13 weeks 2 days ago||I think it highly unlikely||
I think it highly unlikely that Bacon would use Henson as a source in this interview, particularly without attributing it to him.
|13 weeks 5 days ago||Also, consistent with the||
Also, consistent with the backstory in Three and Out.
|14 weeks 3 days ago||I have the complete CFB stats||
I have the complete CFB stats archive 05-11 (broken down by play, drive, game, player, etc) in a SQL database that I could post up if that's any help.
|24 weeks 5 days ago||Of the 20 players selected in||
Of the 20 players selected in the top 10 of the past two NBA Drafts, 18 were former top 75 prospects and/or players who spent at least three seasons in college. The only exceptions? Burke and Stauskas -- both of whom enrolled at Michigan as unheralded recruits, earned Big Ten Player of the Year honors as sophomores, turned pro and were selected in the top 10 of the subsequent NBA Draft.
Not that I don't want to believe, but looking at two years with relatively small pools, doesn't that really set off your fluke filter, Brian?
|25 weeks 18 hours ago||You need to find better||
You need to find better croissants. There should be more than enough butter in them already just to get the appropriate layering.