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I get letting two teams from…

I get letting two teams from tier 2 into the playoffs, but including anything below that seems odd.   

Where does a guy like Jake…

Where does a guy like Jake Long who played before in and after 2006 fit.  He was a unanimous All American in 2007.

I realize that there is more…

I realize that there is more to seeding than this, but it seems hard to seed a team that you beat twice in basically home games who only has 1 more overall win than you higher than you.

If you read my post, you…

If you read my post, you would see that I think nuclear energy is expensive, I never said it was bad.   The nuclear energy constantly overpromises on price and constantly under delivers.   The next generation of nuclear technology, small reactors (SMRs) is pretty interesting.   They hope to take on the cost and time over runs that have plagued the industry since its inception by building smaller standardized units.

There are a plethora of fascinating energy technologies on the very near term horizon and SMRs are just one.   There are several big buyers lined up behind SMRs like PacifiCorp, who plans to replace multiple plants with them and Dow, who is looking at using them on industrial sites.   But there are also companies going all in on carbon capture, hydrogen and renewables/energy storage.   There are also lots if companies hedging their bets.

Anyone who thinks with certainty that they know what directions the power sector is going to go in the next ten to twenty years, doesn’t know what they don’t know.

For all the nuclear fans,…

For all the nuclear fans, while it may be part of the solution, the price has to come down.    There are lots of fascinating alternatives.   First, improvements in energy storage are going to continue to make renewables look quite attractive.    There are multiple non-lithium based 100 hour storage technologies potentially on the brink of commercialization, from flow batteries, to thermal storage.    There are also shorter duration non lithium based solutions like compressed air storage.   There are also solar technologies like solar windows and solar that can be used in agriculture applications where it uses wavelengths of light not needed for growing plants and lets the rest through.    There are virtual power plants that can integrate all these decentralized resources and supply the grid.   There are technologies that can combust natural gas, capture 97% of their carbon emissions.    It will be fascinating to see how we get our power in 10 years.    While there will still be legacy nuclear plants, hydropower, wind and solar and natural gas, there will almost certainly be other technologies not widely used today, playing a big part in a cleaner and potentially more reliable electricity system.

If you were going to run a…

If you were going to run a vehicle using hydrogen, wouldn’t you use a fuel cell, not an IC engine?   Isn’t the IC engine both less efficient and dirtier?

We debated between the Niro…

We debated between the Niro and the Kona and went with the Kona.   Love it.   While a very big EV fan, I couldn’t imagine getting one if we couldn’t charge at home.  Make sure you have factored in costs related to the charger.  If you have to upgrade your electric panel, you could be in for unexpected extra costs.

The guy who thinks that it…

The guy who thinks that it would make sense today to switch to nuclear is calling other people misguided?    Ask the folks in South Carolina how well the VC Summer nuclear project went.   $9 billion down the drain before they gave up.    Or the Vogtle Plant in Georgia, 7 years behind schedule and cost over runs of over $16 billion.

Yes, the CO2 to produce an…

Yes, the CO2 to produce an EV is greater than that to produce a comparable ICE vehicle, but pretty much every study out there says that over the lifetime the EV will have significantly lower CO2 emissions.

Yes - lithium is nasty stuff to mine.   That is why there is significant effort to move away from lithium batteries.   Also, oil production and processing also has significant environmental liabilities.

Finally, IC engines emit many other pollutants (including toxics).   EV engines have zero direct emissions.

There is no perfect answer, but from an environmental perspective, EVs have lower lifecycle CO2 emissions and zero local emissions when driving.   The upstream environmental impacts of electric production compare favorably to the upstream impacts of gasoline production (and electricity production is getting cleaner much faster than petroleum production).   The only place from an environmental perspective that IC engines are a clear winner is on the battery production side and there are alternative technologies under development that will hopefully significantly reduce that impact.

One of the challenges is…

One of the challenges is that as the world becomes increasingly complex, it is impossible for anyone to be reasonably informed about anything.

I will give an example where I personally don’t know very much.   How do we pay for healthcare?    I have a number of impressions:

1. The system appears incredibly inefficient

2. A person with good employee based healthcare does pretty well

3. Being self employed significantly raises your healthcare costs

4. If you have significant healthcare challenges and you don’t have very good employee based healthcare and job security (or you’re quite wealthy), you’re probably pretty screwed.

I am pretty sure I am right about all of those things (but could be convinced that I am wrong about any of them).    I certainly don’t know how to fix the problem.

If you have a full time job, kids and any sort of life, there is only so much time to be informed about every issue.

They may be a wonderful…

They may be a wonderful charity, but they don’t have zero overhead.   They divide their donations into two buckets: 1) A small group of wealthy donors who pay overhead and 2) the general public who’s money goes straight to the mission.    If the wealthy donors pay $1 million and the general public pays $1 million, 50% goes to overhead and 50% goes directly to the mission.    That would be no different than putting the money in one pot and 50% going directly to the cause.

BTW  - 7 out of 10 charities give 75% or more directly to the cause. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-incredible-charities-that-give-99-of-the-money-they-get-to-the-actual-cause-2017-12-28   It doesn’t seem unreasonable that an effective charity would pay its senior managers well.    Charities still operate in a capitalist society and people want to be compensated for their work.

Thought you were responding…

Thought you were responding to me.

Where is the implication…

Where is the implication that Christians are cultists?

Also, if Jesus really were…

Also, if Jesus really were the son of god, do you think he would view his crucifixion as “the most tragic story in history”?   

Might the man who is supposed to have said: “All the commandments: You shall not commit adultery, you shall not kill, you shall not steal, you shall not covet, and so on, are summed up in this single command: You must love your neighbor as yourself.” and “Let the one among you who is without sin be the first to cast a stone.” find it more tragic all of the judging others do in his name?

It is interesting that you…

It is interesting that you gleaned all of this from one sentence . Gremlin 3 never said that he doesn’t believe in god or even that Jesus is not a real person .    Gremlin 3 also clearly understands that Christians believe that Jesus rose.

While historians generally agree that there is significant evidence that Jesus was a real person and even that he was crucified, it is only Christians that believe he rose from the dead.

It is also true that the word Easter has roots to the pagan goddess of Spring, Eostre.

 

I agree.  You have to be…

I agree.  You have to be pretty hopeful to see this roster as better than the 2022/23 roster

1 - Sophomore Dug - the only place I think you can comfortably feel like we have upgraded

2 - Caleb Love - unlikely as good as Bufkin

3 - Burnett - defensive upgrade, offensive downgrade - going into his third season and has not averaged more than 17 minutes a game 

4 - Trey Jackson - looking for a guy who has never played more than 18 minutes a game to be a starter seems like a reach.   

5 - Reed - if he can stay on the floor, defensive upgrade, clearly offensive downgrade

Best hope I see is that Jackson was not brought in to be a starter and we are expecting another scholarship to allow us to bring in a much better 4.

If I were Ward’s boss, I…

If I were Ward’s boss, I would not find that acceptable.   Either Warde needs to fix it, or Warde’s boss does (and if Warde’s boss has to address it, replacement should certainly be on the table).

Given things like:

- an…

Given things like:

- an NCAA investigation of the football program 

- a highly successful coach leaving

- both the tunnel incident and the Mazi charges

- the ever changing NIL world

How could Warde possibly be doing his job if he doesn’t have a regularly scheduled meeting with the head coach of by far the most lucrative team at Michigan?

Here is the crux of Powell’s…

Here is the crux of Powell’s argument 

“The CDC acknowledges that fully vaccinated people can become infected with the COVID-19 virus and, even while without symptoms, can infect other people. Indeed, last week more than 30% of the people in Connecticut hospitals who were being treated for COVID-19 were fully vaccinated, and state government has recorded more than 80,000 cases of fully vaccinated people who still have come down with the virus. 

This doesn't make the COVID-19 vaccines useless. Those 80,000 cases were only 2.3% of all people in the state known to have gotten the virus. 

Rather this makes the COVID-19 vaccines not very effective as vaccines were defined until recently. It makes them therapies that, at least for now, prevent or mitigate symptoms for most infected people”

The problem with this argument is that there are other examples of vaccines that are much less than 100% effective- for instance, the flu vaccine.  

Improving a definition is not so e nefarious conspiracy, it is just improving the definition.

A basketball team is much…

A basketball team is much more similar in size to a small business.   I’ve certainly had small contracting firms postpone an appointment because of illness.

Would love to see some data…

Would love to see some data for the assertion that the flu is likely killing more people than covid.   Certainly one could argue risks for low risk individuals are similar, but for population wide total deaths, I think you would be hard pressed to back that assertion up.

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid…

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#rates-by-vaccine-status

CDC data still show vaccines significantly reduce risk of death (based on data through late October 2022).

I think there are in fact…

I think there are in fact multiple things going on.

1. NIL allows players to monetize social media - get lots of followers and get paid for advertising on your social media channel.   This is a way that we could all increase revenue for Michigan athletes without actually spending any money.   More followers/views equals more opportunities to make money.

- https://www.sportsbusinessjournal.com/Daily/Issues/2022/02/17/Marketing-and-Sponsorship/NIL-data.aspx

- https://www.rookieroad.com/football/top-10-highest-paid-college-football-players-5615260/

2. Being paid to attend events that people pay to go to, autograph signings etc.   if you want to spend a little bit of money, an easy way to contribute.   Ann Arbor NIL club does this virtually.  Also being done at different scales with, for instance, this event in Traverse City - https://www.on3.com/teams/michigan-wolverines/news/michigan-wolverines-football-nil-j-j-mccarthy-ronnie-bell-ryan-hayes-grand-traverse/

3. Sales of actual merchandise - jerseys etc.

4. What is more akin to pay for play - collectives or individuals funneling larger amounts towards top players.   What has always been going on, but somewhat more above board now.  Here I think there still needs to be at least a nominal nod towards use of name, image or likeness, but it is still largely pay for play.

We tend to focus the most on #4, but it is clear players are taking significant advantage of numbers 1 through 3 as well.

https://www.rookieroad.com/football/top-10-highest-paid-college-football-players-5615260/ - this suggests how valuable it is for us to follow players on social media

Having read some of the articles I have linked, I will definitely be following additional players on twitter, but am also wondering if there are platforms that would be more valuable.

There are approximately 735…

There are approximately 735 billionaires in the US and apparently 10,000 with more than $100 million.

https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/money/2022/10/18/us-has-highest-number-of-super-wealthy-worth-100m-or-more/

https://www.forbes.com/billionaires/

The number of people who have millions to throw at NIL every year is just not that big.  The number who wouldn’t miss $50 million is even smaller.

How many players are getting…

How many players are getting enough NIL money that they would forgo a $76,000 scholarship because of NIL money?

Closer to home, so was Brian…

Closer to home, so was Brian Griese.

What if He isn’t sure he can…

What if He isn’t sure he can?   What if he truly loves Michigan but feels like he keeps getting signals from Warde that Michigan doesn’t feel the same way.

It also could be feeling…

It also could be feeling like there was a lack of support related to the NCAA findings.

Where do YOU stand on...

Where do YOU stand on...

  1. Jim Harbaugh - 4, would have been 5 before the NFL flirtation.    Was 3 before seeing the NFL flirtation is probably at least in part due to burger bullshit and Manuel mismanagement 
  2. Juwan Howard - 3, trending downwards.   He owns the roster construction issues.
  3. Kim Barnes Airco - 5 - if Warde fucks this one up……
  4. Brandon Naurato - 4, but still early to know for sure.   Walked into great roster which certainly makes his job easier, but fir a guy who also got the job late, has limited head coaching experience and has tge Pearson pieces to deal with seems to be doing well.   Important to see how rest of season goes, but could be a solid coach for a long time.
  5. Tracy Smith - don’t follow baseball well enough to have an informed opinion
  6. Warde Manuel - 2.  Would have been 3.5 before Pearson and Ono having to step in on Harbaugh situation 
  7. Santa Ono - 5 - he stepped in on Harbaugh, if Harbaugh stays, Ono deserves the credit.
  8. Kevin Warren - 3, indifferent because I am not a Bears fan.   2 as it applies to Big Ten Commissioner 
  9. The coordinating abilities of Matt Weiss/Sherrone Moore/Jesse Minter/Steve Clinkscale (together) -4.   Would have been 5 prior to TCU.   Still hopeful there is room for growth
  10. "The Current State of College Football" -  3 - we need some consistent, enforcable NIL rules.   But I still love watching and rooting for Michigan football.
In general, most people…

In general, most people looking for another job don’t publicly trash their boss.   The flip-side of the question of no one saying they have a bad relationship with Warde is how many people are saying that they have a good relationship with Warde?
 

When you have multiple instances of high profile, successful coaches leaving or threatening to leave because they are unhappy, at some point, you have to look at the common denominator.

When you have issues with…

When you have issues with the three most important positions in your organization, that says something about your leadership.

1. Beilein - blindsided by his leaving

2. Harbaugh - is an explanation really needed?

3. Pearson - not understanding that was obviously going to be a shitshow.

When your new boss gets to witness both how you handled Harbaugh and Pearson, you should probably be looking for a new job.   As a general rule, you want to solve problems for your boss, not create them.

Too many things have gone wrong for Ward to get the benefit of the doubt.   

Presumably this applies to…

Presumably this applies to those who transfer in the 2023/24 season, not those who transfer for the 2023/24 season so I don’t see how it applies to Okie

I get the concerns with…

I get the concerns with coaches reaching out to players, but is the reverse really bad?    People generally don’t quit their jobs until they have another lined up.   Non athletes can apply to other schools without announcing an intention to transfer.  College players have options (short of hiring an agent) to explore their pro options before deciding to go pro.   If this is truly about the player, why shouldn’t they be able to make an informed decision about entering the transfer portal?

I suspect they are arguing…

I suspect they are arguing that lying “seriously undermine(s) or threaten(s) the integrity of the NCAA collegiate model”.    Seems hard to argue this with a straight face when they have ignored much more serious violations.

It is also entirely possible…

It is also entirely possible that:

1. Jim is fed up with things related to the NCAA and would consider the right NFL offer;

2. A story with un-named sources that claims that the only reason that an NFL owner was willing to talk to Jim Harbaugh was to stop him from begging to get his calls taken is either, clickbait bullshit or is based on those sources having other agendas and not being completely forthright; and

Thinking that un-named sources don’t always tell the truth or have other agendas is hardly a crazy conspiracy theory.

Would be interested if you…

Would be interested if you are basing your opinion on this quote from Balas or something more specific?

 “Well, the NCAA reportedly found a receipt for those burgers and asked Harbaugh about the paper trail. He, according to Balas, “wasn’t completely honest about” it.”

Not being completely honest could be a lot of things to a lot of people:

”Can you tell me who was with you every time you’ve had a hamburger?”

”We already acknowledged that we improperly talked to two recruits, I’m not gonna waste my time parsing fucking $30 restaurant receipts”

”I have never, ever provided one penny worth of impermissible benefits to any recruit”

I’m gonna guess it was closer to the first two than the third.  If it was, I don’t think it is cult like to suggest that the level one violation is bullshit and tgat everyone of us has done something analagoys to that at some point.

Because no one has…

Because no one has preliminary discussions before moving on to an in person interview?

If you can’t come up with…

If you can’t come up with reasons, you don’t have much imagination:

1. What if the Panthers reached out to Harbaugh and he had no interest?

2. What about someone in the organization who is pushing for another hire?

3. What about someone who wants to make Jim look bad, or wants to sell the narrative that Harbaugh wants to leave Michigan?

While sometimes “sources” are right, often they are wrong.

Did everyone really think…

Did everyone really think that Rich Rod was a homerun hire?

It is a much more desirable…

It is a much more desirable job than before Harbaugh came.    

Was there a story reporting…

Was there a story reporting the following was true?

“Specifically - Michigan found a way to beat the bag man NIL by going over the 85 scholarship limit (paying tuition for players so they don’t go over scholarship limit and his virtually make the 12 team playoff every year going forward. There are alums/boosters that are paying for tuition, today, for players that allow the Football Program to (functionally) go over the 85 scholarship limit.”   I keep seeing it asserted, but I have never seen it sourced.

Happy New Year.    Only…

Happy New Year.    Only looked it up because I was genuinely curious as to whether Mgoblog would be considered social media.   I had never really considered the question, but since I come here for many of the reasons I would go to more general social media sites, it seemed to me that it would be, While I did find a few dissenting opinions, there seemed to be a general agreement that message boards are social media.

The wikipedia definition might not fit (since user profiles are a key component.   But I would have assumed that it is the sharing of user generated content including those generated through on-line interactions that really defines social media.

Social media are interactive media technologies that facilitate the creation and sharing of information, ideas, interests, and other forms of expression through virtual communities and networks.[1][2] While challenges to the definition of social media arise[3][4] due to the variety of stand-alone and built-in social media services currently available, there are some common features:[2]

  1. Social media are interactive Web 2.0 Internet-based applications.[2][5]
  2. User-generated content—such as text posts or comments, digital photos or videos, and data generated through all onlineinteractions—is the lifeblood of social media.[2][5]
  3. Users create service-specific profiles for the website or app that are designed and maintained by the social media organization.[2][6]
  4. Social media helps the development of online social networks by connecting a user's profile with those of other individuals or groups.[2][6]

 

 

How is this publicity good…

How is this publicity good for the school?

Here is how Webster defines…

Here is how Webster defines social media, “forms of electronic communication (such as websites for social networking and microblogging) through which users create online communities to share information, ideas, personal messages, and other content (such as videos)”.   Sounds a little bit like MgoBlog.

It is very different than…

It is very different than Beilein in that Harbaugh is much more likely to be successful in the NFL than Beilein and he knows exactly what he is getting into.

Wasn’t the false start on…

Wasn’t the false start on 2nd and 6 on the o-line?  6 yards in 3 plays would have been easier than 11.

And what about the 2nd and goal from the 3 where Mulings got stuffed for no gain on the first offensive series of the second half?

The more I think about it,…

The more I think about it, the more I double down on the list above.    Losing to TCU and having Ohio State beat Georgia is my worst scenario for tomorrow.    Therefore 7 and 8 are clearly my bottom two choices.   Obviously then, Ohio State beating TCU has to be number 8.

I don’t understand any…

I don’t understand any scenario in which I would prefer to see Michigan lose tomorrow.  I also prefer to see Ohio State lose.    Those two rules mean:

1 Michigan beats Georgia (even better if it happens after Georgia pummels Ohio State)

2. Michigan beats Ohio State 

3. Michigan loses to Georgia 

4. Michigan loses to Ohio State

5. Georgia beats TCU

6. TCU beats Georgia 

7. TCU beats Ohio State

8. Ohio State beats TCU

It is great news, but I…

It is great news, but I think he has some competition for best returning player.   Will Johnson for instance.

I know that in theory…

I know that in theory scholarships are not a thing, but is this really true in practice?