that is nice bonus change
- Member for
- 5 years 7 weeks
|3 years 2 weeks ago||SD St 2010 First Down Play Calling Data||
Took this from the ESPN play-by-play records (no PBP listed for the Air Force and New Mexico games) (did this by hand, so there might be a little human error on this):
Nicholls State 19/11
NM State 26/9
Utah State 17/9
Colorado State 22/8
Total for 11 games 192/138
58/42 Run/Pass ratio.
|4 years 3 weeks ago||Been in the works for a while||
Illitch started telegraphing this move when he hired Tom Wilson back in February to work on a new downtown stadium. Illitch won't be able to get as much public funding for a new Wings-only stadium given the state of the local economy, so buying the Pistons and developing a property that has 80 guaranteed dates at 15,000-20,000 in foot traffic instead of 40 makes a lot of sense. He will be able to get more private development money for the stadium with that type of utilization rate. Throw in his theater, restaurant and casino holidngs in with the Tigers, and Illitch practically controls all of the events-driven traffic flow into downtown. Plus, the NBA is salary-capped, so like the NHL, there is a lot of cost certainty in that business. Even at $500 mm (and I bet the Pistons don't end up selling anything close to that given that Illitch is basically the only logical local buyer), this makes a lot of sense for him.
|5 years 7 weeks ago||Some possible explanatory effects ...||
I certainly would agree that regression to the mean is probably a big explanatory effect in many cases.
I think these three factors will describe most of the season to season improvements across teams:
A Team with an established high level of performance falls off for one season for some combination of factors and then snaps back
B Program undergoes a successful transition in philosophy from a coaching perspective and suddenly gets better results
C Marginal program gets lucky and winds up with an elite player who temporarily takes team to new heights
Just looking at the Big Ten data, Minnesota 08 fits A from a trend line perspective, although there was a coaching philosphy change in the mix as well since Brewster's system is very different from Mason's.
Ohio St 02 and Penn St 05 could fit explanation A as well, although the established performance level for both schools was considerably lower in the 2-3 preceding years than their historical reputation. Ohio St also seemed to benefit from a coaching change, as Cooper seemed to be losing some institutional control at tOSU and may never have had the ability to reattain his previous successes in the mid-late 90s. IIRC, JoePa started delegating a lot more to his staff around 2005, which could be called a coaching change of sorts.
I hate to give explanation B for Illinois (Zooker as genius?) but he did raise the talent level across the board rather than just get lucky with one player, so B is a better fit than C.
Purdue and Northwestern were clearly B.
C type explanations are almost by definition for non-BCS schools.
Another study for another time, I guess.