This is maaaaybe premature there, ESPN. Maryland #1 FWIW.
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|1 day 12 hours ago||I have McCafferty and Watson||
I have McCafferty and Watson as the 2 most dynamic players in CFB while Fournette is obviously A.P like. Throw in Rashan Gary and Peppers and I think you have a fair top 5 for Heisman ;)
|1 day 12 hours ago||"So both MSU and Michigan||
"So both MSU and Michigan play their biggest BIG10 east rivals home or away on varying years. Why Delaney? Why?"
Because Delaney is all about helping OSU who is the only one of the 3 programs who gets to split the 2 teams home and away?
|1 day 12 hours ago||Dude...||
|1 day 13 hours ago||And Rudock struggled for a||
And Rudock struggled for a good portion of his 1st two months as well. If he had played better we beat Utah and MSU. Realistic facts.
And just X guy works out doesnt mean Y guy works out etc. Harbaugh "hand picked" Lyons to come here as well - didnt work out. Yes different position.
There are no guarantees with O'Korn. What Rudock did well even as he struggled in middle of the year was not turn over the ball much. O'Korn could be the better QB with more "arm talent" but a worse decision maker who takes too many chances and gives up key turnovers on the road in Iowa City and East Lansing for example.
O'Korn is coming into a team with higher expectations than Rudock did. Most would be thrilled with 9/10 wins last year. Now people are talking playoffs. He has less cushion for error than Rudock. Losing to Utah was an oh well moment - losing to say Wisconsin because he makes mistakes would be devastating vs expectations.
I have no idea how he will do and I am not sure how so many people feel he will be a playoff level QB when we has had 2 wildly variable years and we dont really know how he does under scrutiny and pressure of being a UM QB. That is one thing Rudock had - the "dad" persona where pressure rolled off his back. QB is more than just physical tools.
He is not a "complete unknown" but there are a lot of unknowns with him until he actually does something in a UM uniform.
I'll be curious if he f**** up a few times in the spring game and to watch this place burn down in panic. Since everyone overreacts to everything. :D
|1 day 13 hours ago||Yep. Anything less than 7-0||
Yep. Anything less than 7-0 going into MSU would be a shocker. We have 8 home games and only 4 road games ...and 6 of first 7 games are at home with only a road trip to NJ stuck in there.
The 3 road games that matter are back loaded in late October forward. UM will be top 5 going into EL and then UM has to show they are not a pretender with the @MSU, @Iowa, @OSU gauntlet. Unless the QB is a massive disappointment this team should have everything it wants going into EL.
|1 day 13 hours ago||You mean like the Ravens,||
You mean like the Ravens, Bucs, Seahawks have shown the past 12-15 years?
Here is the blueprint - have elite players in your defense that are better than their offensive counterparts. Item #2 is dont let the QB have time - every Qb looks sad sack when he is running for his existence.
That about sums up the blueprint.
|1 day 13 hours ago||With Jordan Howard gone and||
With Jordan Howard gone and Indiana's QB graduating that is probably accurate.
|1 day 13 hours ago||Not sure we get much of||
Not sure we get much of anything out of the spring game. Isn't it the annual "Don't worry about the offense - the defense is always way ahead of the offense at this time of year" talk?
And if the offense does anything at all - then people hand wring about the defense and adjusting to Brown.
Other than Glasgow starting ahead of Pipkins 2 years ago, Malzone overwhelmed as a freshman, the OL when split into 2 pieces (indicating bad depth) not very good, and Norfleet not being a good cornerback I am not sure I have received much real data from these spring games.
But yeah I am going to go with "the defense is way ahead of the offense" line 2 months in advance....
|1 day 13 hours ago||I think the safeties have to||
I think the safeties have to be healthy, as one injury there and we are going to very young guys. I am a bit worried about the hype on the D - it does have holes in an entire level (LBs)... and cant afford injuries at another level (S). I dont think its a given the D will be better than last year. OSU thought the 2015 O would be better than the 2014 O because they returned almost everyone with a year of experience. That didn't work out.
We lose our 1st or 2nd best DL in Henry, and best safety and best 3 LBs even if they are not high octane guys.
You do get back Mone and add Gary. You hope Bush can contribute but no guarantees.
So you sort of trade freshman Gary for a 4th year Henry, you add Mone, and trade Ty Kinnel for Jarrod Wilson. Then Gedeon - a guy who could not beat out Bolden becomes a starter and you trade true freshman Bush for say 5th year senior Morgan.
I see a lot of "washes" and or "maybe a step back" in those specific positions. To offset that you hope everyone comes back better i.e. the Charltons, Peppers, Glasgows, Wormleys, Hursts, Clarks.
|2 days 7 hours ago||# of players is not what he||
# of players is not what he is measuring - that's the whole point of his system.
To him UM lost about 97% of its passing production with Rudock gone. Same reason MSU gets destroyed - it returns all its running backs but loses not only all its passing production but Burbridge and Kings, its top 2 WRs so it loses 80% of its wide receiver production.
|2 days 9 hours ago||For those in metro detroit||
For those in metro detroit Tim McCormick goes on the Sunday night sports show on Fox often during bball season (11 PM) and boy he was basically despondent about UM right now. He threw out some stat such as UM has played 8 ranked teams and has lost by 11+ in 7 of them.
And some of those games the final score is misleading - they were worse.
I think this just shows a team's ceiling and the recruiting misses. If you are losing to team #84 that is one thing, but when you consistently lose to the better teams it means you are what you are. I feel these games were lost on the recruiting trail more than anything - and you needed your 5* to play like 5* (Kam) etc.
Unfortunately as I wrote maybe 6 weeks ago UM looks like a mid major team who you dont want to face in the tournament in a 1 off because on any given night all their 3 pt shooters can be on and pull a major upset. But with little to no inside game, bad defenders, and weak rebounding that is the only way they win against top 25 teams.
I dont know it has been kind of groundhog day for a few years now complaining about lack of inside players, lack of rebounding, lack of defense, lack of athleticism. Don't see much in the pipeline to change it.
To one of Ace's comments - Beilein is cognizant of this. I specifically remember after the UK game he said they play above the rim and we don't and we need to change that. That has not changed on the recruiting trail however. Until it does, it's the same system team. You can only get so high up the rankings in basketball with system - in football you can go a bit farther (Baylor, Oregon). When we had NBA players in the system it was beautiful to watch even with the same faults. When you don't it is like watching a mid major.
|2 days 10 hours ago||Just put up a diary on||
Just put up a diary on offensive and defensive production returning that Bill posted last week - gives some foreshadowing on why he has teams ranked in specific spots. i.e. LSU returns almost everything, OSU loses the most in the nation. Worth a read if you like data and stats.
|2 days 10 hours ago||djlaczyn is ;)||
djlaczyn is ;)
|2 days 11 hours ago||It would be an upset if UM is||
It would be an upset if UM is not 7-0 going into that game as its a back loaded schedule.
ND I think loses a lot but has a returning QB and if there is 1 coach who has Dantonio's # its Brian Kelly. You need a dynamic QB with the ability to throw over the top to beat MSU's scheme and ND has that, and its in South Bend so I see that as a loss.
MSU has Wisconsin at home and Indiana on the road but Indiana has lost its QB and RB .... Wisconsin matches up perfectly with MSU's D without a dynamic QB so I see MSU winning those 2. The interesting game is BYU as the QB has an arm to strife MSU IF that OL can hold up. Then again BYU's D will probably get physically dominated by MSU but it could be an interesting one.
I think MSU will be 10-2 or 9-3 so hopefully ND and UM are 2 of the losses and then we'll see what OSU can do up in EL. MSU might be 6-1 entering that game as I dont see man QBs on their schedule early to challenge them outside BYU and ND. MSU OSU play in Nov at which point OSU should be near top level but they need their QB to play like 2014 and not 2015 since MSU will sacrifice all to take away your run game.
|2 days 11 hours ago||Read higher up the thread.||
Read higher up the thread. Magnus is infering UM feels like he is not serious about UM so not going to throw it out there for no reason.
Considering UM has 238 offers out in 2017 I think it tells you the chances of landing him in the coaches' eyes.
|2 days 11 hours ago||fine...if you insist...||
fine...if you insist...
|2 days 11 hours ago||No injuries to safeties||
No injuries to safeties please. No injuries to LBs please. 2 areas we need to get some puck luck as injuries will hit somewhere.
Realistically same for QB if we have a chance at playoffs.
|2 days 13 hours ago||It will be interesting to see||
It will be interesting to see if we can get a top 40-50 type player from the south at any point. There is a cornerback at Flanagan (Samuels) ranked in top 40 from Flanagan that UM should have a very good chance with and that would mark a pretty significant sea change. Also an OT from Heritage in FL (Slaton) is in that range. Getting either of those 2 would open a lot of eyes.
Pulling a top 15 type target out of the south would be a whole game changer.... ala Kaindoh at IMG.
Looking back at the 2016 class our best get from the south at least in rank was #316 with Bush Jr, followed by Eubanks at #364. Closest we came was Elliott around #95 but I am thinking more deep south (SEC) country ala GA, FL, LA, AL, SC.
|2 days 13 hours ago||On firefox I notice that the||
On firefox I notice that the left edge of some of the ads overlap the right edge of the text. Maybe it's just on my computer but it's been consistent issue since your new site design.
|2 days 13 hours ago||Ah missed that Yes 1 loss Big||
Ah missed that
Yes 1 loss Big 10 CHAMP will be hard to keep out 9 out of 10 years.
Margin of error in the division is going to be tiny however and all these nearly annual Carr year losses to the mid level teams can no longer happen if UM wants to get where it wants to be.
|2 days 13 hours ago||Iowa needs to play the||
Iowa needs to play the disrespekt card.
I dont believe they lose a lot really - and they avoid MSU and OSU on their crossovers. They get UM, WIsc, NW, and Neb at home.
@PSU and @Minn are their 2 toughest road games. I see they surprising to the upside next year with a senior Qb.
|2 days 14 hours ago||MSU had a lot of injuries in||
MSU had a lot of injuries in the game vs UM. They improved late in the year as their injury situation improved. I dont think UM got the best version of MSU - it was basically a star QB and a star WR on offense and thankfully our special teams was dominant until "That". And we had a lot of short fields. We still struggled to get offense because Rudock didnt take his big step until the next week - if November Rudock had been there vs MSU it would have been an interesting game, as you beat 2015 MSU thru the air and we barely tried.
MSU is not going anywhere until Dantonio retires. Even that 2012 team everyone points to I think they lost 5 games by a combined 12 pts. All the breaks they got in 2015 went against them in 2012. And they have 2 QBs who have been in the system 3-4 years unlike 2012 when they basically had Maxwell or bust.
|2 days 14 hours ago||Iowa doesnt lose too much.||
Iowa doesnt lose too much. But they had a magical year with an easy schedule.
As for MSU your call for MSU to fall off significantly is the 92,302th on this blog the past 3 years. Their defense strength will change IMO from front 7 to back 7 with a solid front 4 but not dominant like last year. All those young secondary players who were burnt to shreds come back with a year of experience. And Malik McDowell might be one of the top 3 players in the conference. Their D will be good - as it almost always is. On offense they have to figure out some thingso on the OL, WR, and QB. I expect a lot of true freshman WRs out there and its asking a lot for them to have immediate impact but they have four 4* so I expect at least one to shine. They have good RBs, but will have some dropoff on the OL. And they have two QBs with decent experience for a non starter in terms of year in the system to compete.
MSU wont have as dynamic of an offense but will have a good defense paired with a Tressel like offense and will be coached well as always. I dont see any "signifcant" drop off - 9 to 10 wins is now a down year in the Dantonio era.
|2 days 14 hours ago||I think other than 3-4 teams||
I think other than 3-4 teams in the country ala FSU ALA and maybe soon OSU returning players is among the most important criteria. I know one of the CFB guys puts out a list of teams by returning starters each year and I like to mine the data there. OSU will be among the lowest - if not THE lowest - in all of CFB with 6. UM should be pretty damn high, certainly in the top 10 percentile. Then in 2017 we will be among the lowest.
|2 days 14 hours ago||Bowl bound teams doesnt mean||
Bowl bound teams doesnt mean jack. If you go by that almost every P5 team has a tough schedule. There are 5-7 teams going to bowls now. Brady Hoke's 5-7 UM would have probably been invited to a bowl if they had expanded the criteria a year earlier. UM teams that got ripped to shreds by the likes of Miss State went to bowls - it doesnt mean anything.
|2 days 14 hours ago||I wouldnt call it soft but I||
I wouldnt call it soft but I sure wouldnt call it extremely difficult or anything like that.
If you believe playing MSU and OSU make a schedule difficult UM will never play a non difficult schedule.
Wisconsin is not a powerhouse team or anything and its at UM. Iowa is solid but not a powerhouse. After that the schedule falls off dramatically. OSU loses all but 6 starters. MSU lost its star QB, star DE, star OT, star WR. I mean these are the best scenarios to play those teams on the road you could ask for.
If UM cant beat Wisconsin and PSU at home they dont deserve to even be in the top 15 IMO. Your season is basically 3 games ala MSU last year - @IOwa, @MSU, @OSU. MSU beat their 3 similar opponents last year Oregon, @UM, @OSU. At some point you have to go out and do it or you are a pretender.
If OSU stumbles vs someone other than Oklahoma (which I'd project as a loss with such a young OSU team) and has 2 losses entering the UM game there is a good chance UM wont face a top 10 opponent all year. Even if they are top 10 playing one top 10 team all season does not make a tough schedule.
|2 days 14 hours ago||OSU had 1 loss last year and||
OSU had 1 loss last year and didnt go to the playoffs.
Its going to be difficult to say that go forward with MSU OSU and UM annually beating each other up.
If say OSU runs the table in B10 and loses to Oklahoma they will have 1 loss. UM runs the table in non conf and only loses to OSU in conf. OSU will go to the playoffs. So 1 loss isnt going to be as foolproof as it will be in say the Big 10 west.
|3 days 4 hours ago||Von Miller MVP. Amazing||
Von Miller MVP. Amazing player.
Cam didn't even care enough to try to recover the ball on the ground.
|3 days 5 hours ago||Not super bowl related but||
Not super bowl related but there is a funny mucus guy who is sort of like a NJ/NY accent dude - little green dude and in the commercial he walks into a dark movie theater and asks his victim to "cough if you can hear me" - hardy har har. Ok it makes me laugh.
|3 days 5 hours ago||Ok TurboTax made me laugh||
Ok TurboTax made me laugh