landing spot. will be interesting to see how he does.
- Member for
- 7 years 47 weeks
- View recent blog entries
|1 hour 7 min ago||Yes, yes...||
...Ohio State is currently in a tier of their own. For simplicity's sake, I lumped them in with Michigan—those two are well clear of the pack and that gap should only get bigger.
|1 week 3 days ago||Yeah, I should do that.||
Now that I'm mostly done with HTTV stuff, offseason projects are next on the to-do list. Might take a little while to put together but that's definitely on the list.
|1 week 3 days ago||They'd take both.||
By my understanding, this isn't an either/or situation. While Neilon is definitely a center-only prospect, Ruiz is a bit bigger and could easily play guard.
|1 week 5 days ago||You seem to be...||
...very much in the minority.
It's the offseason. I also just wrapped up writing ~15,000 words of opponent previews for HTTV over the last few weeks. I'm not going to apologize for coming up with a series of posts that don't require me to write too much, especially when the response has been overwhelmingly positive. There are plenty of other posts to read—for free!—if you don't like these.
|4 weeks 1 day ago||You're right.||
For some reason the MGoBlue archives omitted that game. Overall point still stands, though.
|4 weeks 6 days ago||Have no fear.||
It'll be in the tourney. A few of these fit multiple categories.
|5 weeks 1 hour ago||Yeah, it's unfair.||
Peoples-Jones hasn't sought out much attention at all given his high profile, and the only time he bucked that trend was to speak out against the satellite camp ban—not because it served his best interests, but because it could help out lesser-known prospects.
Taking the time to evaluate all available options doesn't make one a diva. Blanket characterizations of high school kids really, really bother me.
|5 weeks 2 days ago||For non-mobile users...||
...this was a response to a post that can no longer be seen.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||Yes, he has.||
Evan Smotrycz played quite a bit as a 6'8" stretch four before he transferred; he also played the five but he would've been a four long-term had he stuck around.
At West Virginia, Beilein played 6'8" Joe Alexander at the four, and I believe he had taller fours in general at WVU, but KenPom doesn't list heights/weights for his pre-2007 teams.
Just because Beilein has played shorter players at the four here doesn't mean he doesn't want bigger guys there. Note that, as mentioned in this post, he wants to play DJ Wilson on the wing. There are good reasons to believe Peters won't end up here, but it won't be because he isn't a fit.
|7 weeks 6 days ago||Because...||
Robinson, MAAR, Dawkins, and Donnal all had impressively low turnover rates. Also, Michigan may have been sixth nationally, but they were fifth in Big Ten play—they didn't do as good a job taking care of the ball against quality opponents. I'm not trying to lampoon Irvin for no reason here; it's a part of his game that needs work.
|7 weeks 6 days ago||I'm not inventing...||
...the 18.3 turnover rate in Big Ten play. That is too high. This isn't that hard.
|7 weeks 6 days ago||This totally isn't moving the||
This totally isn't moving the goalposts:
I'm done using my time on this. In the final five games you cited below, Irvin went 7/33 on three-pointers. The point of that section in my post was that Irvin and Walton couldn't put it all together this year; for Irvin, a major part of that was the turnovers—which I think I've shown were an issue as teams adjusted to his new style of play—and another major part was him losing his jumper.
Out of the seven games in conference+tourney play in which Irvin dished out four or more assists, he had three or more turnovers in four of them—the exceptions were Rutgers, Nebraska, and the Notre Dame game in which he shot 4/16. When he got more assertive, he struggled to take care of the ball. I'm not sure why this is so hard to accept since it was quite obvious when watching him play.
Yes, Irvin got thrown into a tough situation when LeVert went down and he was tasked with generating more offense. Yes, there were encouraging signs from his play. But take off the maize-colored glasses; he posted an O-Rating below 100 and context only covers for so much of that. Michigan needed him to be a viable #1 option and he wasn't that most of the time.
|7 weeks 6 days ago||It's difficult to argue...||
...when you keep moving the goalposts. I'm using KenPom, the standard-bearer for college hoops stats. Irvin's turnovers were an issue, increasingly so as opponents adjusted to way he expanded his game, and while he deserves a lot of credit for said expansion, an objective analysis of the team still requires looking at the flaws—turnovers were a flaw, and in conjunction with his shooting numbers an especially troublesome one.
To then turn around and say Robinson's very reasonable turnover rate is "unacceptable" doesn't make any sense to me. Plus, context is important here: Irvin is heading into his final season at Michigan and he's played a major role for three years; Robinson just played his first year of game action against D-I competition. The expectations for them in 15-16 were different for good reason.
|7 weeks 6 days ago||Sure, let's compare.||
First of all, Irvin's season-long turnover rate was 15%, not 13%, a difference that's far from unsubstantial. I like to look at conference-only numbers since they eliminate a lot of the variation you get from quality of non-conference schedule. Looking at the players you brought up:
Irvin 15-16: 18.8 assist rate, 18.3 turnover rate
I agree that Irvin improved quite a bit as a shot-creator this year, but his turnovers are an issue, and that became apparent down the stretch as opponents looked to pickpocket his too-high dribble or cut off his baseline kickouts. He had 20 turnovers in the last five conference games; four of those were losses. Plus, his shooting numbers this year were way worse than those of the other players mentioned.
I'm encouraged by many aspects of Irvin's play, but to say his turnovers are acceptable is to overlook both the numbers and what was quite apparent simply from watching the team play down the stretch.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||That's his 247 listing.||
Usually they're up to date, but even if that figure isn't exactly correct—and especially if he's grown a couple inches—the point still stands. He's going to need to add a lot of muscle once he gets on campus to the point that it's probably best if he redshirts.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||Hence the...||
|8 weeks 1 day ago||Re: cover||
I've seen this year's cover design and it's the best one we've had, IMO. Don't want to give it away before we announce the Kickstarter and all that, but I think you'll all like it quite a bit.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||The Izzo comparison...||
...confuses me. Forbes is a pure two-guard. Nairn and Trice are PGs. Forbes is a gunner instead of a lockdown defender, but otherwise that's the exact same thing I'm advocating for Beilein to do if a spot opens up.
Watson is there for depth if injury strikes, plus Michigan could play Irvin at the two and use Chatman/Wilson at the four if the backcourt needs to be further bolstered. With limited scholarships to work with, there's only so much you can construct an injury-proof roster; Michigan's actually not in bad shape in that regard.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||The trouble with bringing Spike back...||
...is you're then impeding the development of a highly regarded player at the same position. Xavier Simpson is the future at point guard for this team and they want him to get plenty of time next year. If he's stuck behind Walton and Albrecht, it's hurting the team down the road just so the team can have a marginal one-year upgrade at backup point guard (and that's not a slight against Spike, I just think Simpson is very good).
If there's further attrition, I'd rather see Michigan go after a grad transfer shooting guard, preferably one who's a positive on the defensive end. That's far from the sentimental choice, but I think it's the best one for the team.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||Aigh||
Complete brain fart on Poole—I've been working through withdrawal from a medication I had to stop taking and it's turned me into a temporary zombie, so I'll go ahead and blame that. The overall point still stands; barring injury, Michigan won't need to play a walk-on in the guard rotation, and with Simpson's ability to make an instant impact I'm still more worried about the center position.
|9 weeks 1 hour ago||In addition to that...||
...when a defender is beat off the dribble at the top of the key, especially on a high screen, the help defense usually comes from the corner. Those shots aren't only shorter; attempts from the corner tend to be more open because of the way they're created.
|9 weeks 1 hour ago||I'll get to Donnal...||
...in another post, but here's the short version: while he improved, his defense is still quite bad, he continues to have trouble finishing contested shots, and as Wagner bulks up and cuts down on fouls there will be less and less reason to play Donnal over him. I'd love to be more bullish on him but sometimes you have to look past the numbers; it was very apparent who Michigan's best big man was at the end of the season and it wasn't Donnal.
|10 weeks 17 hours ago||No.||
|11 weeks 2 days ago||Those are two different||
Those are two different things, chief.
|13 weeks 22 min ago||Yes.||
That's not going anywhere. Can't record at our normal time this weekend because of Sunday evening's hoops game but we're trying to do a new episode next week.
|13 weeks 18 hours ago||I got back from vacation...||
...this afternoon, but Alex wrote a preview.
|15 weeks 1 hour ago||Oh, c'mon.||
There are also the statistics in the entire rest of the post, which used that as a jumping-off point. Here's another one: in the first matchup against Saturday's very good opponent, Purdue, he went 8/11 on two-pointers. This was far from a one-game fluke against a bad team.
I understand the pessimism surrounding the basketball team right now, but lazy, knee-jerk comments like this aren't helping anything.
|15 weeks 1 hour ago||Those (rightfully, IMO) don't count...||
...as "at-the-rim" attempts. Those only include dunk and layup attempts, essentially.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Yeah, the OP's comment...||
...confuses me a bit, too. Robinson is more inclined to take someone off the dribble, especially in recent games. Dawkins finishes at a higher percentage but that's in large part because his two-point opportunities are usually created by someone else. According to hoop-math, 83% of Dawkins' makes at the rim are assisted. For Robinson, that figure is only 57%.
|15 weeks 3 days ago||To my knowledge...||
...they have not moved to Istanbul. So that's a positive, I think.