no, YOU'RE off topic
- Member for
- 6 years 2 weeks
- View recent blog entries
|5 hours 14 min ago||This has been analyzed repeatedly||
Stars matter. A 5 star is more likely to be an all-conference player and a high draft pick than a 4 star, and a 4 star is more likely than a 3 star. There's a huge margin of error with any individual recruit, but on balance recruiting rankings are decent predictors of college performance.
|6 weeks 9 hours ago||But Saban didn't want him||
It's common consensus that Saban told him to find a new job so that Saban could bring in Kiffin.
|6 weeks 2 days ago||Feldman isn't an NFL guy||
He's a college reporter, and a really good one at that. Could he be wrong? Sure. But it's silly to lump every non-MIchigan reporter into one big "national writer" category and then dismiss every piece of info coming out of that category.
|7 weeks 6 days ago||Or||
They're being told by people they trust who have knowledge of the situation that Harbaugh isn't interested in the Michigan job. Why is that so completely unfathomable?
|7 weeks 6 days ago||Jesus||
An awful lot of people here sound like Notre Dame fans did about Meyer and Gruden during ND's last search. Basically every non-Michigan source at this point has said that Harbaugh is not interested in the MIchigan job. Could they all be wrong? Sure. No one has a direct line into Harbaugh's head.
But people are reacting like every legitimate source saying Harbaugh ain't coming needs to be burned at the stake and is making stuff up, while every random person who says Harbaugh is coming has ironclad evidence. It's...unseemly.
|14 weeks 4 days ago||Long/Bielema||
Perhaps an impertinent question, but are we just supposed to ignore the fact that Bielema has been, like, horrendously bad at Arkansas so far? I agree it was a stunning hire. It's far from obvious that it was a good one. The man is 0-12 in the SEC and Wisconsin fans seemed genuinely glad to see the back of him, even at the time. Given that a new AD is highly likely to be making an immediate coaching hire, this seems like something we should be keeping in mind.
|16 weeks 1 hour ago||No||
You access it through your TV provider. Directv subscribers do not have access to ESPN3 online. It's, as far as I know, the only cable provider whose subscribers can't use ESPN3.
|16 weeks 1 hour ago||The reason people are confused||
is that the Baylor game isn't actually on ESPN2 on Directv. It's on ESPN2 alternate, and nothing is showing on ESPN2. So they're just getting a black screen and a notice that the game has been blacekd out.
|16 weeks 4 days ago||In an ideal world||
I would prefer to have a team with a dynamic spread offense and a great defense, but it's very uncommon for a team to be dominant on both sides of the ball. Given a choice between a great offense and a mediocre defense, or a team with a great defense and a mediocre offense, I'd choose the great offense 11 times out of 10. Given a choice between a team with a great pro style offense and a good spread offense, I'd choose the spread offense because I find it to be more entertaining, and that's why I watch football. I find good defense boring, and would rather be a mediocre team from the Dread Pirate Leach days than crush all comers playing Alabama's style.
I personally loved the 2010 Illinois game, and have never understood why people are so upset about it.
|16 weeks 4 days ago||People are really overrating||
Nussmeier's stature at the time Michigan hired him as OC. Before Michigan hired him, I had never heard his name mentioned in connection with any major coaching job. Also, if you believe the scuttlebutt, it's not at all clear that Nussmeier could have waited a year at Alabama.
|16 weeks 4 days ago||Team Chad Morris||
Though I admit a lot of that is aesthetic. I watch football to be entertained, and find teams that have hurry up spread offenses and mediocre defenses infinitely more entertaining that pro-style or defensively-based teams.
|17 weeks 4 days ago||People are answering you rationally||
You're just mistakenly conflating the possibility of getting 16 points with two touchdowns with the likelihood of doing so. You're not in a "two score game" if 75% of the time two touchdowns and two 2 point conversion attempts won't get you 16 points.
|17 weeks 4 days ago||No||
16 points is two scores and two 2 point conversions. We treat a 14 point game as "two scores" because the success rate on extra points is well above 95%, so you can safely assume that two scores will get you 14 points. Conversion rates on two point conversions are somewhere around 40-50%, so a successful two point conversion can't be assumed the way a successful extra point can. If you're down 8, half the time you're in a 1 score game (because you'll make the 2 point conversion) and half the time you're in a 2 score game (because you won't). The situation is obviously worse if you're down 16, because you need a 40-50% coin flip to come up heads twice. In other words, it's far more likely than not that you'll ultimately need 3 scores.
In that situation, you want to find out as soon as humanly possible how many scores you actually will need by the end of the game, because any team down 3 scores needs to take drastic measures.
|17 weeks 4 days ago||You need the same amount of points regardless||
Not going for two just gives you the illusion of being in a 2 score game. But 60% of the time (or whatever current conversion rates are), you're still in a 3 score game. You just don't know it yet. And not knowing keeps you from employing the optimal strategy to maximize your (very slim) chances of winning the game.
|18 weeks 4 days ago||I don't get this||
I'm not saying he's not a good coach (I think it's too soon to tell), but can we really just ignore the fact that part of the reason he's at Michigan is that Saban didn't particularly want him anymore?
|18 weeks 4 days ago||Coaching Options||
Feel like Chad Morris's name at least needs to be in the mix as well. Hot-shot coordinators don't always work out (hello, Will Muschamp), but the list of quasi-realistic candidates from the established head coach pool is incredibly thin after Mullen. If Michigan would have gone after the biggest hotshot coordinator on the market 4 years ago (Malzahn), I doubt people would be complaining today.
|18 weeks 5 days ago||The Coaching Pool||
isn't entirely devoid of options, though Narduzzi almost certainly wouldn't take the Michigan job. Dan Mullen, Chad Morris, Kirby Smart (not my preferred style but would fit with what the program wants to be).
|24 weeks 4 days ago||The goal of college athletics||
is not to maximize profits. I have no idea why our AD has such an incredibly difficult time understanding this.
|32 weeks 5 days ago||Will it break your heart||
if I tell you it was actually Martin Tyler, not Ian Darke, who called that game and said the "howler" line?
|42 weeks 3 days ago||Brian||
used to write about the Pistons on this site pretty regularly during the Haloscan days. This long predates Trey Burke.
|44 weeks 1 day ago||Basketball||
|44 weeks 6 days ago||Stokes is a very, very good college player||
He might be too much of a tweener to be an NBA guy, but he'll be a handful for Robinson (assuming they put Morgan on Maymon).
|44 weeks 6 days ago||They Beat Virginia||
by 35 in Knoxville, and scored 87 points. Would guess that's doing a lot of the work.
|49 weeks 6 days ago||Lagavulin||
|1 year 8 hours ago||Beat Them in 2009||
Came back from 20 points down in the second half. Laval Lucas-Perry hit a late three that hit the front of the rim and somehow bounced up and in. If they don't win that game (against a very, very bad IU team), they probably don't make the tournament that year, and who knows where the program is right now.
|1 year 1 week ago||The argument||
is that teams generally don't take contested 3 pointers. If you have a hand in someone's face, he's not going to end up taking a 3. Thus, 3 point field goal percentage is mostly measuring how well teams shoot in situations where they had a good enough look to actually pull the trigger, and most of the variance in that is random chance.
|1 year 6 weeks ago||Doesn't matter if it took .3 or not||
Here's the rule:
|1 year 6 weeks ago||It DOES have to be a tip in||
if there's .3 left, you are not allowed to catch the ball. Even if you catch it and get it off in time.
|1 year 9 weeks ago||This assumes||
That it is desirable, or even acceptable, to turn college football into a profit maximizing enterprise.
|1 year 11 weeks ago||The actual meaning of the term||
is a very useful concept. People really do beg the question all the time, and it's nice to have a pithy phrase to describe the fallacy. If people would just start saying "raises the question" when they mean "raises the question," everyone's life would be better.