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|1 day 9 hours ago||People are answering you rationally||
You're just mistakenly conflating the possibility of getting 16 points with two touchdowns with the likelihood of doing so. You're not in a "two score game" if 75% of the time two touchdowns and two 2 point conversion attempts won't get you 16 points.
|1 day 9 hours ago||No||
16 points is two scores and two 2 point conversions. We treat a 14 point game as "two scores" because the success rate on extra points is well above 95%, so you can safely assume that two scores will get you 14 points. Conversion rates on two point conversions are somewhere around 40-50%, so a successful two point conversion can't be assumed the way a successful extra point can. If you're down 8, half the time you're in a 1 score game (because you'll make the 2 point conversion) and half the time you're in a 2 score game (because you won't). The situation is obviously worse if you're down 16, because you need a 40-50% coin flip to come up heads twice. In other words, it's far more likely than not that you'll ultimately need 3 scores.
In that situation, you want to find out as soon as humanly possible how many scores you actually will need by the end of the game, because any team down 3 scores needs to take drastic measures.
|1 day 10 hours ago||You need the same amount of points regardless||
Not going for two just gives you the illusion of being in a 2 score game. But 60% of the time (or whatever current conversion rates are), you're still in a 3 score game. You just don't know it yet. And not knowing keeps you from employing the optimal strategy to maximize your (very slim) chances of winning the game.
|1 week 1 day ago||I don't get this||
I'm not saying he's not a good coach (I think it's too soon to tell), but can we really just ignore the fact that part of the reason he's at Michigan is that Saban didn't particularly want him anymore?
|1 week 1 day ago||Coaching Options||
Feel like Chad Morris's name at least needs to be in the mix as well. Hot-shot coordinators don't always work out (hello, Will Muschamp), but the list of quasi-realistic candidates from the established head coach pool is incredibly thin after Mullen. If Michigan would have gone after the biggest hotshot coordinator on the market 4 years ago (Malzahn), I doubt people would be complaining today.
|1 week 2 days ago||The Coaching Pool||
isn't entirely devoid of options, though Narduzzi almost certainly wouldn't take the Michigan job. Dan Mullen, Chad Morris, Kirby Smart (not my preferred style but would fit with what the program wants to be).
|7 weeks 1 day ago||The goal of college athletics||
is not to maximize profits. I have no idea why our AD has such an incredibly difficult time understanding this.
|15 weeks 2 days ago||Will it break your heart||
if I tell you it was actually Martin Tyler, not Ian Darke, who called that game and said the "howler" line?
|25 weeks 13 hours ago||Brian||
used to write about the Pistons on this site pretty regularly during the Haloscan days. This long predates Trey Burke.
|26 weeks 5 days ago||Basketball||
|27 weeks 3 days ago||Stokes is a very, very good college player||
He might be too much of a tweener to be an NBA guy, but he'll be a handful for Robinson (assuming they put Morgan on Maymon).
|27 weeks 3 days ago||They Beat Virginia||
by 35 in Knoxville, and scored 87 points. Would guess that's doing a lot of the work.
|32 weeks 4 days ago||Lagavulin||
|34 weeks 5 days ago||Beat Them in 2009||
Came back from 20 points down in the second half. Laval Lucas-Perry hit a late three that hit the front of the rim and somehow bounced up and in. If they don't win that game (against a very, very bad IU team), they probably don't make the tournament that year, and who knows where the program is right now.
|36 weeks 10 hours ago||The argument||
is that teams generally don't take contested 3 pointers. If you have a hand in someone's face, he's not going to end up taking a 3. Thus, 3 point field goal percentage is mostly measuring how well teams shoot in situations where they had a good enough look to actually pull the trigger, and most of the variance in that is random chance.
|41 weeks 13 hours ago||Doesn't matter if it took .3 or not||
Here's the rule:
|41 weeks 13 hours ago||It DOES have to be a tip in||
if there's .3 left, you are not allowed to catch the ball. Even if you catch it and get it off in time.
|44 weeks 1 day ago||This assumes||
That it is desirable, or even acceptable, to turn college football into a profit maximizing enterprise.
|46 weeks 2 days ago||The actual meaning of the term||
is a very useful concept. People really do beg the question all the time, and it's nice to have a pithy phrase to describe the fallacy. If people would just start saying "raises the question" when they mean "raises the question," everyone's life would be better.
|48 weeks 5 hours ago||I'm not talking||
About whether Michigan can get top 20 players (they beat everyone, including UK and Duke, for McGary). I'm talking about whether they were ever going to get Kevin Looney. Analogy time:
|48 weeks 6 hours ago||Chatman's family||
Has said that Michigan was the first school recruiting him, and was recruiting him hard from the start. You can fault Beilein for Bates-Diop and Booker, but suggesting he missed on Looney is like saying he missed on Karl Towns. Neither was ever a remotely realistic option outside of the perpetually optimistic sector of the Michigan internets.
|48 weeks 7 hours ago||Chatman||
Was absolutely not a plan B. he just hadn't visited. Beilein has a firm, no-exceptions policy that he won't offer players until they visit campus. We were on Chatman longer than anyone, and his rankings are indistinguishable from Booker and Blackmon.
|48 weeks 9 hours ago||I agree it's not a disappointment||
But if they don't pull Bolden or a late-rising top 50-ish guy, it's hard to call it an unqualified success either.
|1 year 1 week ago||First Rule of the Internet||
Anyone complaining about "free speech" or the First Amendment has no idea what the First Amendment says (hint: the First Amendment requires government action).
I second the comment above that this place has turned into MLive. I miss Haloscan.
|1 year 2 weeks ago||Serious question||
Assuming (1) women aren't being coerced; (2) everyone is of legal age; and (3) the women aren't being paid, why does it cross a line? Obviously it's different if any of those assumptions are false, but I haven't heard anything yet about Oklahoma State suggesting they are false.
I don't see why we should care if 18+ year old kids are having consensual sex. A lot of the discussion (not referring to your comment) sounds like slut-shaming.
|1 year 4 weeks ago||Worth Noting||
That ESPN is a pretty serious outlier on Cornell. 247 has him at 18, and Scout has him at 47. The Michigan Rivals guys have said they don't think he's anywhere near the #1 player in the class either. He's clearly a major talent, but doesn't sound like there's any reason to think he ends up #1.
|1 year 7 weeks ago||Don't think it's accurate||
to say Michigan is the prohibative favorite. Premium guys have been warning about UCLA for weeks now. No idea whether the rumor is true or not, but it wouldn't be a shock at all if it is.
|1 year 9 weeks ago||Good||
Death to the LOI.
|1 year 9 weeks ago||Sounds like NSFMF on Fournette visiting*||
|1 year 11 weeks ago||The real test is going to be sponsorship||
Man City got a 400 million pound sponsorship from Etihad Airways, a company associated with City's owner. Under FFP, those types of related-party deals aren't supposed to count toward profits, but no one knows whether UEFA will actually refuse to credit the deal or not.