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|1 week 6 days ago||And||
Even though everyone has apparently forgotten it, Michigan had hilariously bad opponent three point luck for the first 8 games of the Big 10 season. Opponents shot like 55%.
It's not really a coincidence that the defense improved when threes started going in at a more normal rate (though as Ace has noted, Michigan's been a lot better at preventing opponents from taking 3s in the first place).
|4 weeks 6 days ago||3 Point Defense||
There was a big debate around here after the Illinois loss about whether Michigan's opponents were shooting 54% from 3 over a 6 game stretch because Michigan's D was that bad or because of variance. Hope people remember the last few games (where Michigan's opponents can't buy a 3; Wisconsin was 3-16 tonight) the next time we go on an unlucky stretch.
|7 weeks 22 hours ago||The dropoff is 2 guys||
and one of them is a 3 star kicker. Their only other 3 star is a low ranked WR out of Texas.
|7 weeks 22 hours ago||WAR Graphs For Recruiting!||
I love this. Also, I know a lot of it is a class size thing, but the fact that OSU doesn't even have the #1 overall class is just insane given what they put together.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||Greenstein is a tool||
And he's obviously wrong that it's uncommon. But that doesn't mean it's not bad.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||I mean||
the post I'm responding to said that the shoes would be distracting because they're pink. I genuinely don't understand that at all. And no, I wouldn't feel weird at all wearing a pink suit one day a year for breast cancer. Why would I?
|8 weeks 1 day ago||Is there||
something wrong with bright pink? Again, I don't see why bright pink is supposed to be any worse than any other color.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||Serious Question||
Would you be offended if the shoes were a color other than pink (i.e., if the official breast cancer color were, like, slate gray)? If not, I have . . . concerns.
|8 weeks 3 days ago||This is Wheatley's replacement||
Sam has been saying for over a week that we would fill the Wheatley opening with a non-rb coach and have the rbs coached by someone on the existing staff.
|9 weeks 3 hours ago||Because||
He is 247's #1 player. He's just not the composite #1.
|9 weeks 5 hours ago||Yes||
And some of that is because they've ranked Michigan guys lower, but a lot of it is about genuine process complaints. Of the 4 sites, they're the most likely to do an initial evaluation/ranking and then never update it, even when a very low ranked guy starts getting interest from big time schools incommensurate with the initial rating.
|9 weeks 3 days ago||Carlos Brown||
and it's not close. Michigan people weren't even tracking his announcement because he was supposedly down to Georgia and one other school that wasn't Michigan. SEC fans had to come on the Rivals board to tell Michigan fans he'd even committed.
|9 weeks 4 days ago||And what I'm saying||
Is that, according to every advanced stats guy, teams literally do not have control over how well an opponent shoots from three (to the point that they have more control over how well a team shoots from the free throw line--something they have absolutely no control over). What they do have control over is the number of attempts they give up, which we obviously suck at.
And, yes, good teams can go through stretches where opponent shoot a ridiculous percentage from 3, because variance is massive, and a total bitch.
|9 weeks 4 days ago||The entire season||
Is not a big enough sample to normalize some stats. Hell, the entire baseball season isn't big enough for some stats.
|9 weeks 4 days ago||Do people realize||
How laughably small a sample 85 shots is? The variance within that many attempts is massive.
|9 weeks 4 days ago||Except Advanced Stats Say||
That teams have tons of control over how many 3 pointers their opponents shoot, but almost none over how many they make. So the high percentages are very likely the result of running bad.
|10 weeks 5 days ago||To be fair||
People like Chris Brown (Smart Football) basically say that Saban's pattern matching defensive schemes are far more sophisticated than anything anyone else in college is running. Recruiting is probably the biggest factor in his success, but the guy's a genuinely brilliant defensive coach.
|10 weeks 5 days ago||It's not a crapshoot though||
The reason Alabama is going to win its 17th national championship in 9 years is because they have the number 1 recruiting class every single year. Same for USC in the mid-2000s. And it's one of the reasons OSU keeps beating Michigan too. Recruiting rankings are highly correlated with college success.
There are really good reasons not to follow recruiting, and they get stronger every year. But the argument for following it is pretty simple: it's a pretty good indicator of how strong your team is going to be.
|11 weeks 3 hours ago||Because||
Messing with people is really fun?
|11 weeks 1 day ago||Very Much Starting to Think||
that Harris isn't as adverse to playing recruiting games as we've been led to believe (not that there's anything wrong with that). Given how confident both Alabama and Michigan commits/coaching staffs are, seems pretty likely that at least one school is getting fed bad info.
|13 weeks 3 hours ago||Yes||
Thinking we have our own share of dipshits clearly means I'm actually this particular dipshit.
|13 weeks 4 hours ago||You say that||
like there's some massive difference between the two sets of commenters.
|14 weeks 4 hours ago||I don't necessarily disagree||
But there are enough rumors/takes from enough different people (Farrell, Bartow, Georgia people) at this point to raise real doubts. Either Wilson is putting up one hell of a smokescreen, or there's genuine reason to think he'll pick Georgia.
|14 weeks 4 hours ago||It means||
no one from Najee Harris's camp is responding to any reporters. Which results in a lot of fairly baseless speculation from all sides.
|14 weeks 5 hours ago||FWIW||
Farrell seems to be backing off on Wilson to Michigan.
|14 weeks 23 hours ago||Bah||
Mea culpa. And never, ever use the /s tag. It is the death of humor. If people like me are too stupid to recognize irony, it's their own fault.
|14 weeks 23 hours ago||Of Course I'm Calling||
|14 weeks 1 day ago||For What It's Worth||
I'm absolutely calling the coaches at Illinois.
|14 weeks 1 day ago||My point||
is that you're cherry picking like crazy. Every year, every single top school loses out on guys they were expected to get for most of the cycle while swooping in and nabbing someone unexpected. You're listing all the guys Michigan missed out on, while overlooking the guys Michigan stole late, which include Kyle Kalis, Prescott Burgess, Shawn Crable, Je'Ron Stokes, Mike Shaw, Ambry Thomas, Devin Funchess, Donovan Warren, Asiasi, etc. (whether all these guys worked out on the field is a different question, obviously). It's recruiting. People get so worked up about the unpredictability of 18 year old kids and want to construct these absurd narratives around the decisions of teenagers.
And if Michigan loses Peoples-Jones to OSU, I'll think what I've always thought: Urban Meyer is the best coach in college football by a very large margin.
|14 weeks 1 day ago||This is true||
of literally every school with the possible exceptions of OSU this year and Alabama every year.
On the guys you named: Weber and Kozan weren't 5 stars, Treadwell got paid, Diggs was a guy lots of schools shied away from, McDowell had a ton of friends at State and felt more comfortable there, Campbell committed on the spur of the moment at the BBQ and was never going to stay, Damien Harris left because Borges got fired, and Dee Hart got freaked out by the Rich Rod situation. In other words, it's recruiting, and stuff happens.