landing spot. will be interesting to see how he does.
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|2 weeks 4 days ago||I like Kevin Spacey a lot||
L.A. Confidential is one of the best movies of the last 20 years, and even things like Margin Call are super underrated. But the Usual Suspects is hot garbage, and responsible for lots of hot garbage copycats with equally bad Super Surprising (TM) twist endings.
|2 weeks 4 days ago||The Usual Suspects||
Words can't describe how much I hate that movie.
|4 weeks 11 hours ago||Combination of Factors||
First, the historical powers with the highest payrolls and largest transfer budgets have had years ranging from disappointing (Man City, Arsenal) to really disappointing (Manchester United) to catastrophic (Chelsea). That's opened up room at the top, and means that Leicester is probably going to win the league with a point total that would put them somewhere around 4th most years.
Second, Leicester has been, depending on your perspective, either incredibly savvy or incredibly lucky with a few of their signings. They signed Riyad Mahrez for about 400,000 pounds 2 years ago, and he just (deservedly) won the player of the year award by a mile (17 goals and 11 assists). He's probably worth around 40 million now. Their main striker is a 29 year old guy who was playing in the 7th division of English soccer a few years back but was a top 3 striker in the whole league this year. They signed a French midfielder for like 6 million who has been the best defensive midfielder in the league by a mile. Take away those three guys and they're way down the table.
Third, they've been lucky. The hot new statistical analysis in soccer is something called "expected goals," which measures how many goals you should have scored and given up given the number of shots you took and how good those shots were. They're running decently above expectation on that metric. They also won something like 6 games in a row by the score of 1-0 over the last 2 months, and had a couple of tight wins in games they were probably outplayed, including one at Tottenham (currently in second place).
|15 weeks 6 days ago||FWIW||
Sam Webb seems to think Clemson is more of a legitimate threat for Gary than you do.
|16 weeks 12 hours ago||You do realize||
Both Terrell Pryor and Jadeveon Clowney waited until after signing day, right?
|16 weeks 3 days ago||Uhh||
You really think Harbaugh can get a kid into Stanford based on a phone call? They don't even let kids visit unless they've been admitted. if he really is going to Stanford, this is not an out of the blue development, and it's not something Harbaugh arranged.
|18 weeks 17 hours ago||We're 2nd now in the 247 composite||
with 23 commits. Only the top 20 commits are counted for ranking purposes, to avoid the old Houston Nutt "sign 38 guys" strategy. We're just barely ahead of OSU and FSU, both of whom only have 18 commits, and will get a solid bump when they add two more commits. That will outweigh even replacing Michigan's 20th best commit with Gary (if that happens).
Other teams currently below Michigan include Clemson (15 total commits), Georgia (17 total commits), Alabama (16 total commits, and is Alabama), and USC (14 total commits). All of those teams have higher average star rankings than Michigan, and some or all will pass Michigan as well.
Short version, Michigan has very little room to move up, even by adding guys like Gary and Long, while other teams have much smaller classes at the moment and will jump Michigan as they fill up.
|18 weeks 18 hours ago||That Seems...Overboard||
This class is likely to end up in the 6-8 range, which puts it squarely in line with past classes. Those peak USC classes had 6-7 5 star recruits. Michigan will have one, if it gets Gary. It's a very good class, but there's a long way to go to get to the Alabama/USC level. Frankly, there's still some way to go to get to OSU's current level.
|1 year 2 weeks ago||No||
He is not "innocent" of the crime in the eyes of the law. He is not guilty. Those two concepts have very different meanings.
|1 year 15 weeks ago||God||
This board has turned into RCMB with an added, entirely underserved layer of moral superiority (the comments, not the OP).
|1 year 15 weeks ago||I'm sorry||
But it's laughable to say we have some sort of moral high ground on this. All you need to do is scroll a few inches to the right to read the Mgoboard thread on this story to see a couple dozen comments (which have not been criticized) about how this is "karma" for Weber because he chose OSU and how people don't feel sorry for him in the least. As a group, we are pretty much exactly as petty and childish about kids who commit to other schools as are Bucknuts, 11W, and RCMB. And we're definitely worse than places like BHGP (read their thread on Higdon recommitting).
|1 year 16 weeks ago||This has been analyzed repeatedly||
Stars matter. A 5 star is more likely to be an all-conference player and a high draft pick than a 4 star, and a 4 star is more likely than a 3 star. There's a huge margin of error with any individual recruit, but on balance recruiting rankings are decent predictors of college performance.
|1 year 22 weeks ago||But Saban didn't want him||
It's common consensus that Saban told him to find a new job so that Saban could bring in Kiffin.
|1 year 22 weeks ago||Feldman isn't an NFL guy||
He's a college reporter, and a really good one at that. Could he be wrong? Sure. But it's silly to lump every non-MIchigan reporter into one big "national writer" category and then dismiss every piece of info coming out of that category.
|1 year 24 weeks ago||Or||
They're being told by people they trust who have knowledge of the situation that Harbaugh isn't interested in the Michigan job. Why is that so completely unfathomable?
|1 year 24 weeks ago||Jesus||
An awful lot of people here sound like Notre Dame fans did about Meyer and Gruden during ND's last search. Basically every non-Michigan source at this point has said that Harbaugh is not interested in the MIchigan job. Could they all be wrong? Sure. No one has a direct line into Harbaugh's head.
But people are reacting like every legitimate source saying Harbaugh ain't coming needs to be burned at the stake and is making stuff up, while every random person who says Harbaugh is coming has ironclad evidence. It's...unseemly.
|1 year 30 weeks ago||Long/Bielema||
Perhaps an impertinent question, but are we just supposed to ignore the fact that Bielema has been, like, horrendously bad at Arkansas so far? I agree it was a stunning hire. It's far from obvious that it was a good one. The man is 0-12 in the SEC and Wisconsin fans seemed genuinely glad to see the back of him, even at the time. Given that a new AD is highly likely to be making an immediate coaching hire, this seems like something we should be keeping in mind.
|1 year 32 weeks ago||No||
You access it through your TV provider. Directv subscribers do not have access to ESPN3 online. It's, as far as I know, the only cable provider whose subscribers can't use ESPN3.
|1 year 32 weeks ago||The reason people are confused||
is that the Baylor game isn't actually on ESPN2 on Directv. It's on ESPN2 alternate, and nothing is showing on ESPN2. So they're just getting a black screen and a notice that the game has been blacekd out.
|1 year 32 weeks ago||In an ideal world||
I would prefer to have a team with a dynamic spread offense and a great defense, but it's very uncommon for a team to be dominant on both sides of the ball. Given a choice between a great offense and a mediocre defense, or a team with a great defense and a mediocre offense, I'd choose the great offense 11 times out of 10. Given a choice between a team with a great pro style offense and a good spread offense, I'd choose the spread offense because I find it to be more entertaining, and that's why I watch football. I find good defense boring, and would rather be a mediocre team from the Dread Pirate Leach days than crush all comers playing Alabama's style.
I personally loved the 2010 Illinois game, and have never understood why people are so upset about it.
|1 year 32 weeks ago||People are really overrating||
Nussmeier's stature at the time Michigan hired him as OC. Before Michigan hired him, I had never heard his name mentioned in connection with any major coaching job. Also, if you believe the scuttlebutt, it's not at all clear that Nussmeier could have waited a year at Alabama.
|1 year 32 weeks ago||Team Chad Morris||
Though I admit a lot of that is aesthetic. I watch football to be entertained, and find teams that have hurry up spread offenses and mediocre defenses infinitely more entertaining that pro-style or defensively-based teams.
|1 year 33 weeks ago||People are answering you rationally||
You're just mistakenly conflating the possibility of getting 16 points with two touchdowns with the likelihood of doing so. You're not in a "two score game" if 75% of the time two touchdowns and two 2 point conversion attempts won't get you 16 points.
|1 year 33 weeks ago||No||
16 points is two scores and two 2 point conversions. We treat a 14 point game as "two scores" because the success rate on extra points is well above 95%, so you can safely assume that two scores will get you 14 points. Conversion rates on two point conversions are somewhere around 40-50%, so a successful two point conversion can't be assumed the way a successful extra point can. If you're down 8, half the time you're in a 1 score game (because you'll make the 2 point conversion) and half the time you're in a 2 score game (because you won't). The situation is obviously worse if you're down 16, because you need a 40-50% coin flip to come up heads twice. In other words, it's far more likely than not that you'll ultimately need 3 scores.
In that situation, you want to find out as soon as humanly possible how many scores you actually will need by the end of the game, because any team down 3 scores needs to take drastic measures.
|1 year 33 weeks ago||You need the same amount of points regardless||
Not going for two just gives you the illusion of being in a 2 score game. But 60% of the time (or whatever current conversion rates are), you're still in a 3 score game. You just don't know it yet. And not knowing keeps you from employing the optimal strategy to maximize your (very slim) chances of winning the game.
|1 year 34 weeks ago||I don't get this||
I'm not saying he's not a good coach (I think it's too soon to tell), but can we really just ignore the fact that part of the reason he's at Michigan is that Saban didn't particularly want him anymore?
|1 year 34 weeks ago||Coaching Options||
Feel like Chad Morris's name at least needs to be in the mix as well. Hot-shot coordinators don't always work out (hello, Will Muschamp), but the list of quasi-realistic candidates from the established head coach pool is incredibly thin after Mullen. If Michigan would have gone after the biggest hotshot coordinator on the market 4 years ago (Malzahn), I doubt people would be complaining today.
|1 year 34 weeks ago||The Coaching Pool||
isn't entirely devoid of options, though Narduzzi almost certainly wouldn't take the Michigan job. Dan Mullen, Chad Morris, Kirby Smart (not my preferred style but would fit with what the program wants to be).
|1 year 40 weeks ago||The goal of college athletics||
is not to maximize profits. I have no idea why our AD has such an incredibly difficult time understanding this.
|1 year 48 weeks ago||Will it break your heart||
if I tell you it was actually Martin Tyler, not Ian Darke, who called that game and said the "howler" line?