"Jim's a tough guy and you can see his personality is all over this football team," Fitzgerald said.
|1 day 12 hours ago||"numerous good seasons in two different conferences"???||
Rich Rodriguez has had a losing conference record in five of his six seasons since he left the Big East, and he's off to a good start at making it six out of seven.
Unless you're counting his success in the Mountain East Conference. Then it's a true statement.
Or you could say he's had numerous good non-conference seasons while coaching in two, or even three, different conferences. His non-conference record was pretty good at Michigan, too.
|1 day 13 hours ago||It was completely comprehensible.||
Think about what had just happened to Scott Shafer. He'd been effectively displaced as DC halfway through the year. Rodriguez had removed him from game-planning, changed the scheme, taken away game duties...and then, when the defense completely collapsed, fired him and kept the rest of the defensive staff. His only role, from Purdue on, was as a designated scapegoat.
Since we knew about that stuff here, I think it's safe to say that the coaching community was also well aware. How easy do you think it was to hire his replacement?
You treat people like that, it will come back to bite you in the ass. Greg Robinson was the penalty.
|1 day 14 hours ago||That got me wondering...||
Not counting bowls, he's won his last 20 non-conference games. The last loss was Toledo.
During that 20-0 non-conference stretch he's gone 20-32 in conference games (including the championship game last year).
That's amazing. Or his ADs have done him some scheduling favors. Or both. Arizona hasn't had a P5 nonconference opponent since 2012 but still there's an OK State and two ND wins in that 20-0.
|1 day 15 hours ago||If that's what they're doing...||
...they don't do it very well. Games don't always fill; in fact a couple of times I've gotten e-mails from them inviting me to play for free in a cash game--not the usual "free with your first deposit" deal but an outright freeroll--that turned out to be an enormous overlay.
I think that's probably their SOP--when a game's far from filling, at least use the empty slots for some free advertising, get someone in who's hesitant and maybe they'll become a regular. That makes a certain amount of sense if it was going to be a loss otherwise, but not so much if they were willing to simply fill out the games themselves.
|1 day 15 hours ago||That's not the same. Alford||
That's not the same. Alford had never coached in the PAC; in fact, I don't think UCLA had ever played one of his teams.
Fans pay a lot more attention to their own team's games, and nothing gives a bad impression of a coach quite like watching your team beat his like a drum year after year. How would Michigan fans have felt about a John Cooper hiring?
|1 day 15 hours ago||Tried to keep Shafer for longer than a year?||
How the hell could anyone have convinced Scott Shafer to return for another season, when his head coach was holding game-planning meetings with the defensive position coaches and leaving him out of them?
RR had turned his chair towards the wall. There is precisely zero chance that Shafer could ever have been persuaded to work for him again.
|1 day 16 hours ago||He'd be a very tough sell at UCLA.||
They've played his Arizona teams four times and won them all, by an average score of 42-18.
Before Rodriguez got there, UCLA had lost five straight to Arizona.
RR may not be the relevant variable, but fans aren't always rational. He will not be the next coach at UCLA.
|1 day 16 hours ago||They were 7th in the PAC last||
They were 7th in the PAC last year in defensive FEI; they were 7th in S&P+.
There are 12 teams in the conference--that's not top half.
|1 day 16 hours ago||Not so much, this year.||
Stanford didn't have particularly good field position last week--in one stretch they scored touchdowns on six consecutive possessions and five of the six drives were 60+.
|1 day 16 hours ago||"If you can only win with one DC, that is a big weakness."||
There's something quite bizarre about this, isn't there? How often do you see something like this out in the world?
I'll say this: if I interviewed someone and he told me if I hired him I'd better open up the checkbook and do whatever it takes to bring his assistant in too, my first thought would be to wonder if I was interviewing the right guy. If he's that important, maybe I should just hire the assistant?
|1 day 16 hours ago||Arizona is currently 97th in||
Arizona is currently 97th in rushing defense, 103rd in pass defense, 110th in total defense, and 106th in scoring defense. Looking for some tempo-adjusted stats I see that they're 113rd in third-down defense and 122nd in red-zone defense. They haven't played a particularly difficult schedule, either--their SOS at Massey is 44th.
Three of their four FBS opponents so far have had their highest point total of the season against UA.
FEI stats aren't out yet, but their defense ranks 97th at Massey (which at least is schedule-adjusted), worse than all P5 teams except Kansas and Texas Tech.
I think it's fair to say they've suffered more hammering than the average team.
|1 day 17 hours ago||One problem's been solved...||
...they haven't fumbled a punt return all year, and they lead the country in yards per return.
Of course, through five games they 've only returned one punt. You have to force them before you can return them.
|1 day 17 hours ago||If you want to use that comparison...||
...imagine that through some sort of bizarre quantum magic the cards at one casino are always dealt in exactly the same order as at the other, and an employee at one is on the phone to a player at the other during the hand.
|1 day 17 hours ago||The dealer can see your hand...||
...but the dealer isn't playing. They don't care who wins--they get their 10-12% rake regardless.
My guess is they'll swing the hammer pretty heavily on this. They're fighting a regulatory battle over whether they're a gambling site or not and they could easily be regulated right out of existence if they aren't careful. They've got every incentive to run a clean game.
|4 days 12 hours ago||He got the last drive.||
Barry Sanders run for 65 yds for a TD (Conrad Ukropina KICK)
|4 days 12 hours ago||over-under on play in this drive?||
I say they score in six.
|4 days 12 hours ago||Against Northwestern they were...||
Either Northwestern's defense is very good or Arizona's is very bad.
(These choices are not mutually exclusive.)
|4 days 12 hours ago||Here's your Stanford drive chart for this evening...||
|4 days 12 hours ago||Basketball there is generally on the up.||
Last year wasn't so good but they were in the tournament the three years prior.
Which for Colorado is probably the high ebb of the program's history. They'd barely gotten a sniff of the tournament in decades before they hired Boyle five years ago. Just the Chauncey Billups teams--I don't think they'd had any other trips since the early 70s.
|4 days 13 hours ago||So, too young then...||
...to remember Whizzer White.
|4 days 13 hours ago||"Let's go, defense. Go out||
"Let's go, defense. Go out there and get the offense the ball back."
Which they do. As quickly as possible.
|4 days 13 hours ago||AD department as a whole is OK...||
Defending x-country national champs (two years running), awesome skiing program.
Football's terrible. The rest of the department is fine.
|4 days 13 hours ago||Concussed last week.||
Concussed last week.
|4 days 13 hours ago||I think it was pretty clear...||
...that he didn't give two shits what the fanbase thought. The people that mattered: his players, his colleagues, his bosses, Bo...they wanted him to stay.
It's also BS to suggest it was because the team wasn't performing to their usual standards. The day he decided he'd had enough, Michigan was 11-0 and #2 in the polls.
|4 days 13 hours ago||Don't really need to see the rest of the box score...||
|4 days 17 hours ago||In all seriousness, who would want that job?||
No matter who you are or what you do, one side of the booster community or the other is going to hate you, because they hate each other so much they have no choice but to take sides. And whichever side turns on you is going to cut off the recruiting pipeline, and you'll be out on your ass with a blemish on your resume.
Honestly, the only guy that's been able to unite that fanbase in the last 50 years was Mackovic. Everybody hated him so much they were finally able to agree on something.
It's the most political job in the country and it's the very last place I'd want to coach.
|4 days 17 hours ago||Because LSU wasn't allowed to||
Because LSU wasn't allowed to schedule two FCS teams in one season.
|4 days 17 hours ago||Why Bill Martin was caught||
Why Bill Martin was caught off guard is a complete mystery, when just one year prior he'd talked him into staying one more year.
But you're right--I don't know how this "forced to retire" meme has survived.
|4 days 18 hours ago||They're not going to get it||
They're not going to get it done thanks to the turnovers and bad special teams, but yards are San Jose State 293, Auburn 170.
They were four touchdown underdogs. That's not supposed to happen--usually if a game like this is at all close it's because the weak team got some breaks. Here the weak team crushed the SEC boys at the line of scrimmage and lost because of turnovers.
|4 days 18 hours ago||3-9?||
I want them to go 0-13.
|4 days 19 hours ago||Western Kentucky's offense is||
Western Kentucky's offense is better than Ohio State's.
I'm not kidding, either. Doughty's better than all three of OSU's quarterbacks put together. (But then I suppose any of OSU's quarterbacks individually would be better than the three of them together, too.)
|4 days 19 hours ago||So I'm playing in one of the CFB games at DraftKings today...||
...and I just noticed that one of my opponents goes under the moniker "gerg".
Got to be one of you guys.
|4 days 19 hours ago||Halfway through the third quarter...||
...and San Jose State still hasn't punted. 2 long TD drives, 3 turnovers, 1 missed fourth down conversion.
Auburn's still up 7 but they're getting out-yardaged and the natives are restless.
I honestly didn't think there was any chance this could be competitive.
|5 days 14 hours ago||What I remember of that game...||
...is that we let Penn State score more points in regulation than anybody all year other than Eastern, Kent State, and Purdue (and we gave up as many as Kent). We had a late lead; they cut through us like butter in the two-minute drill.
Blaming the OC, or anyone on the offense, for that loss has always seemed to me a bit off.
|5 days 14 hours ago||I basically agree with that.||
I basically agree with that. The odd thing is that despite his relative shortcomings in run-game design, rushing success has followed him around, probably because the vertical passing game success loosens the safeties.
|5 days 15 hours ago||I have a close relative who||
I have a close relative who was Director of Basketball Operations at a D1 school and I can tell you with virtual certainty that he wasn't arranging prostitutes for the players.
I can say with almost the same level of certainty that NO DBO would do this on his own without at least tacit approval. It might take the form of a "you do whatever you have to do," but it was there, if these allegations are true. The rogue DBO story that Louisville's probably about to float is bull.
|5 days 15 hours ago||The rule of thumb in these situations...||
...is that absolutely nobody knows what's going on. If you can't arrange plausible deniability you've got no business running a D1 program.
|5 days 15 hours ago||Louisville BB = Mississippi FB???||
Louisville's 11th in all-time wins, one behind Indiana, and that's largely because except for UCLA and North Carolina all of the ten schools ahead of them had a head start of a decade or so. They're 9th in winning percentage--there are only six schools ahead of them in both charts and you can probably name them.
Mississippi football is something like 50th. A better equivalent to Louisville basketball would be USC, if Notre Dame and UCLA were somehow combined into one school to match Kentucky.
|5 days 20 hours ago||You forgot the Forcier year.||
You forgot the Forcier year. (Yes, I know Denard participated.)
|5 days 21 hours ago||The effect of Denard Robinson||
The effect of Denard Robinson on an offense is much greater than the effect of any offensive coordinator. A healthy Denard meant a top-ten offense regardless of coordinator; without Denard we've been outside the top 40 every year since Carr retired (for that matter, we've been outside every year in the Fremeau database).
That not very surprising fact suffices to explain the decline in Borges's offense during his tenure; I don't see any reason to look for another cause.
The one point I'd make in Borges's favor is that his one non-Denard year was the best non-Denard offense Michigan has had, under any coordinator, in the Fremeau era. It may have been a tank relative to Denard, but it was the best we've seen in a decade otherwise.
(Until now, hopefully.)
|5 days 22 hours ago||You're leaving out the relevant variable.||
Let's try this again, with a bit larger timescale and one more set of events included:
It's even clearer when you remember that Denard was hurt for part of that last year.
|5 days 22 hours ago||soft-tossing the coach under the bus||
I had the opposite reaction to that--to me it felt like a small glimpse of a bad locker-room vibe that I'd suspected was ultimately responsible for a lot of the poor performance on the field the last several years. Not a reflection on Borges at all, but on a program that was off the rails and had been for the better part of a decade.
A lot of people shared responsibility for that, coaches and players and administrators alike. (Hell, fans too for that matter.) Ultimately it's on Hoke, and Rodriguez, and Brandon.
|5 days 22 hours ago||I don't think he hates the bubble screen.||
How would Rodriguez have responded if at every press conference somebody was asking him why he doesn't line up with a fullback and a couple of tight ends and run some power? Or run some of that West Coast stuff?
Hopefully he'd have shown the same humor that Borges did.
|5 days 23 hours ago||mentioned this elsewhere...||
...but this is a better place for it. Last week against Fresno, San Jose's Tyler Ervin ran for a school-record 300 yards and the QB Gray was 20 of 23 for 252.
These guys were 3-9 last year; the Michigan expats are doing something right. Robinson too--they were five possessions into the game before Fresno topped ten yards in total offense.
|6 days 45 min ago||We'll hit the c-gap with three power forwards...||
...and Stoudamire won't know what to do.
|6 days 48 min ago||Borges had a guy run for 300||
Borges had a guy run for 300 yards last week, the all-time record at the school, and in the same game his QB was 20-23 for 252...all in a game they weren't even favored to win.
Is it possible SC was right and Borges wasn't the problem?
|6 days 1 hour ago||This was the only FBS game||
This was the only FBS game scheduled along the coast for Saturday night. There's one FCS game that doesn't seem to have been moved: William & Mary @ Delaware.
A quick glance through the D3 schedule doesn't show any games either, but I might have missed somebody--I don't follow that part of the country that carefully.
There just isn't that much night football outside the deep South.
|6 days 1 hour ago||But they won't give you a||
But they won't give you a refund for a flight you've already made just because the event you were traveling to didn't take place.
I know you were giving a PSA and not a response, but that's the situation he was describing.
|6 days 1 hour ago||26-17 Michigan||
|1 week 1 hour ago||To take an extreme outcome||
To take an extreme outcome that's not entirely out of the realm of eventual possibility, what would happen if the players were no longer students, but paid employees of the University? Some of us are talking about doing away with the unit responsible for enforcing the regulations requiring that players be students, after all.
My guess is that you're right and the majority of people still wouldn't care. The brand is the brand. But I also suspect that only a small number of schools would be willing to go this route, and the other 1200+ NCAA schools would cut the cord and let them go their separate way instead of trying to compete with them.
|1 week 2 hours ago||The problem with that--not a||
The problem with that--not a big one I admit--is that, at least with Time Warner here, only the main channel is available on HD.
On the other hand, it's left to each market to decide which game will appear on which channel so my guess is it's the Minnesota and Northwestern fans who will suffer in this part of the midwest.
|1 week 16 hours ago||The ruling I didn't agree with...||
...was the Clarett case. I understand that in football there are health concerns that might justify some restrictions, but it opened the door for collusion between the professional leagues and the schools in all-out restraint of trade.
|1 week 16 hours ago||How many people here watched||
How many people here watched Tate Forcier do his thing in the Professional Spring American Football League?
Put him in the school colors and millions will watch; put him on a high school field in suburban LA and you get about 50 people in the stands. There is no market for minor league football in this country, once you take away the connection fans and alums have with a particular school and tradition.
|1 week 17 hours ago||I think there's a common||
I think there's a common misperception that those "thirty workers in Indy" are somehow in conflict with the member institutions. It's pretty obvious to me, sometimes painfully so, that they aren't.
I don't think their jobs are at risk, either. Whatever eventually happens with the 30-50 schools willing to go pro if forced, the other thousand member institutions are going to continue to have intercollegiate athletics and they're going to want to have some structure in place to administer it. The money wouldn't be there to support salaries at the high end, but the staffers would continue on.
|1 week 18 hours ago||I don't know what this means.||
Are you suggesting that the schools be forced to field athletic teams without some sort of overarching association? Or you want to destroy the existing association and then let them form a new one?
The NCAA is what it is because it's what the member institutions want. Burn it down, they'll make a new one.
|1 week 4 days ago||Maybe they'll go for it...||
...but I think they'll stop at 69.
|1 week 4 days ago||RR's not the only former coach on the tube tonight.||
The Fighting Borgeses and Robinsons are up two scores over Fresno.
|1 week 4 days ago||They look finished to me and||
They look finished to me and it's barely 11pm.
|1 week 4 days ago||That's because they've||
That's because they've softened their nonconference schedule. No more home and homes with LSU--now it's a steady diet of Northern AZ and UTSA and the Nevada schools.
Tomey and Larry Smith both had better Pac-12 records than Rodriguez has so far and they kept it up for 20 years between them.
|1 week 4 days ago||Larry Smith had a top-10||
Larry Smith had a top-10 season too.
They've been good for at least three decades now, except for the hole that Mackovic dug. Took a while to climb out of that one.
|1 week 4 days ago||I hear Bobby Petrino might be||
I hear Bobby Petrino might be looking for a job.
|1 week 4 days ago||Almost, but not quite right...||
The Os always come before the Xs.
|1 week 4 days ago||Don't look too closely at||
Don't look too closely at that season--it looks a whole lot like 2011 Michigan if you get close enough to see the warts on those wins.
|1 week 4 days ago||True enough.||
Even when we were getting beat 37-7, we still always got our yards.
Yards in this game are 329-284.
At some point this stops being bad luck.
|1 week 4 days ago||I'm not sure that's true.||
Sometimes it just takes a little while to figure out who "top" is.
|1 week 4 days ago||Game theory question here...||
...would it make sense for Arizona to kick onside every single time? With maybe the occasional squib over the top to keep them honest?
|1 week 4 days ago||I don't think a 3-3-16||
I don't think a 3-3-16 defense would help.
|1 week 4 days ago||September 15, 2007.||
I shouldn't have to say any more, but if you need a hint, one opposition player rushed for negative 65 yards on 9 carries.
|1 week 4 days ago||Spielman loved himself saying it, too.||
So much, he said it twice about 15 minutes apart.
|1 week 4 days ago||It'll all come out in the wash, says Adidas||
I'm pretty sure there was a correlation between how much playing time people get and the color of their jersey. Some players that haven't seen the field yet had unfaded, unpurple shirts. And it wasn't the lighting because it was quite noticeable when players were standing together on the sideline.
|1 week 6 days ago||I think what's really||
I think what's really important to notice here is that the NCAA doesn't recognize the quarterback slide. In the NFL you're protected once it's clear you're going down feet-first, but not here.
Somebody upthread criticized Kiel's slide but it wouldn't have mattered--until you're on the ground you aren't protected so you might as well act like the ball carrier you are, if you don't have time to actually get to ground.
|1 week 6 days ago||It's been widely rumored down||
It's been widely rumored down here (I live in Cincinnati) that they'll be in the B12 shortly, possibly along with BYU. Maybe the idea was to let teams schedule them normally now, instead of waiting for the formal announcement?
The other non-independent was Navy. I'm not sure I understand that one--if they wanted to do an understandable favor to the service academies, why not Air Force too?
|1 week 6 days ago||Pretty much.||
If he's successful he quickly finds a better job; if he isn't they fire him.
|1 week 6 days ago||If the player hit is "defenseless."||
Here's the NCAA's definition of a "defenseless player":
Kiel wasn't any of those things. He may have been defenseless in the common-sense usage of the term but he wasn't defenseless by rule, and that's what the officials have to go by.
College rules don't protect a QB (or anyone else) when he's giving himself up, not until he's actually on the ground.
|2 weeks 3 hours ago||24-23 BYU.||
|2 weeks 16 hours ago||Bobby Lowder?||
I think the answer to that question is in here somewhere.
I think my favorite piece of this is when the team's star DB was dismissed for a violation of team rules, Bowden explained that he'd gotten into debt at a local dog track...and the track's owner turned out to be a wealthy alum who was pissed at the public embarrassment.
That's Auburn football in one sentence.
The short version of my theory is that success breeds jealousy. You can't win there without getting on the good ol' boys' nerves, and once you do the recruiting pipeline shuts down and you're through.
|2 weeks 17 hours ago||I thought maybe they wanted||
I thought maybe they wanted to bring Borges back.
Or Pat Dye. That'd be thread-worthy even without a Michigan connection.
|2 weeks 21 hours ago||For those referring to him as a "pretty good catcher"...||
In the Historical Abstract, Bill James ranked him first among catchers in career value. Bench and Campanella ranked ahead in peak value but Bench didn't have his consistency (alternated good and bad hitting years through his career, suffered from injuries) and Campanella didn't have his longevity.
On his top-100 list of all players (including the Negro Leagues) he was #41.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||It's much bigger than stock||
It's much bigger than stock market transaction costs (unless you're making small trades at a high-cost brokerage, and I'm happy to call those people irrational if they're active), so the size of market imperfection you need to identify to turn a profit is much larger. One of these markets is dominated by large players trying to turn a profit out of very tiny advantages; the other is dominated by small-time odd-lot day-trading gamblers. You don't see investment banks opening up proprietary sports trading offices thinking they can turn a buck off of Vegas.
As for Michigan's ATS performance, the question is whether there's something peculiar about Michigan that would have led one to hypothesize this up front. I'm comfortable making the suggestion about the Utah schools because we'd identified something unique about them (very large proportions of their fanbases are forbidden to gamble and a great many of them probably take that prohibition seriously), made the hypothesis, then checked the data and got some confirmation. The prediction came first.
That's not the case with Michigan--we're looking at them after the fact. Just by random chance one of the 60-odd P5 teams is bound to be that low; it happens to be Michigan. The top performer against the spread over the same period is Ohio State. Is there really a difference in their fanbases that would explain this? Does anyone want to predict it's going to continue and give a plausible reason why?
(There might be a difference in their coaching staffs that would explain this: Bo, and Lloyd after him, were extremely hostile to gambling and there were times I suspected they might have manipulated garbage time to extend a middle finger to anyone that bet on their team. We haven't had the privilege of a lot of garbage time since Lloyd retired, though.)
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Yahoo pick'em||
Yahoo has two games--one where you pick against the spread, another where you pick straight up. The stats they show are a combination of the two, so they almost invariably show more picks for the favorite.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||These were results against||
These were results against the final line.
As for the hypothesis that sports-betting markets are efficient, it needs to be tested, not simply assumed. And in the case of this particular market there is every reason to expect it to fail.
The size of the rake means at least one of the following must be true:
1. There are a considerable number of irrational market participants.
2. Market pricing is so inefficient that rational participants believe they can succeed at a rate sufficient to overcome the rake.
There's no such thing as an efficient market with no compulsion to participate and with a 5-10% rake. It may well be true--I hinted as much in my other post--that the size of the rake sets a cap on market inefficiency because rational participants will enter the market if the inefficiencies exceed the rake.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Utah teams vs. the spread.||
Since 2003 (that's as far back as teamrankings goes):
That's suggestive but not statistically significant, although I don't think significance is really possible here on only a decade's data because the effect would be unlikely to get bigger than the rake--once it became a winning play, money would move in to drive it back down.
And on the other end Michigan, at 42.3%, is dead last among P5 schools.
It's easy for me to imagine that there could be a couple of points worth of line shift in this.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||That was already the case||
That was already the case last week.
I'm not sure "passed" is the right word anyway--I'm thinking he was always considered ahead if he was healthy enough to play.
|2 weeks 4 days ago||Remember when 300 passing yards was a good day?||
Doughty's 19-25 for 352 yds, and it's only halftime. If IU keeps the game close so Western can't take their foot off the pedal we might have a record in jeopardy before this is done.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||Wait a minute...||
...so the girlfriend that was fighting with the ex-girlfriend was his mother???
|2 weeks 6 days ago||The claim, when the DFS guys||
The claim, when the DFS guys were making their legality pitch, was that daily/weekly pools were much less chance-ridden than season-long pools because an injury can only wipe out your one daily play, not an entire three months or a year.
Focusing on that one risk instead of the much larger question of sample size was BS, of course, but if the audience really wants to buy an argument they will, whether it's valid or not.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||Yes, but this isn't gambling.||
It's a game of skill that some people are using as their primary source of income. Like a professional chess player, for example, who reports his income as if he's running a business and is certainly allowed to carry his losses forward if he has a terrible year and can't meet expenses.
Or that's what they claim, anyway, when they're making the case for legality. Will the IRS buy it?
|2 weeks 6 days ago||The next OSU?||
A lot of crap has gone down in Columbus but I don't ever remember a player, even allegedly, assaulting one of their recruiting hostesses.
I think Rutgers might be breaking new ground here. There's been nasty business elsewhere over issues of consent where hostessing is concerned, but I can't think of anything quite like this.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||they say they do, anyway.||
From the draftkings FAQ:
They'd be idiots to not do this. They're in a struggle to stay legal and the very last thing they need is the IRS breathing down their neck.
Hadn't thought about it before, but now I find myself wondering--can you carry gambling losses forward to offset a big win in a future year, the way you do with capital gains?
|3 weeks 15 hours ago||34-7 Michigan||
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Read the transcript of||
Read the transcript of Tressel's interview with NCAA enforcement after the Cicero revelations. He was out of control, kept going off-message, several times he seemed on the edge of letting something slip...and each time they allowed his counsel to steer the conversation back to safety. A couple of times they even suspended proceedings so the lawyers could take Tressel out of the room, talk with him off the record and get him back on track.
True, that's not quite "letting OSU investigate itself." But it also wasn't like any legal deposition I've ever seen. The most generous spin I can give it is that it was the behavior of an investigator that cares far more about not antagonizing a member institution than he cares about investigating the case. And maybe that's not entirely absurd, given that he's completely dependent on the cooperation of that institution to make his case.
(I'm not suggesting that OSU got special treatment here. I suspect this is standard practice; I haven't read other NCAA depositions to know.)
|3 weeks 1 day ago||It's probably true that they||
It's probably true that they don't need to cut corners at UK.
They do it anyway.
I think at some point it's not really about landing the recruit, it's about the rush certain boosters get when they can pass some cash. It makes them feel important, makes them feel like they're part of the program, makes them feel like they're part of the players' lives.
It would take a strong, Bo-like hand to shut that off, as deeply entrenched as it's gotten over the decades there. Any coach that tried it would probably find himself at war with the community and, soon enough, out of a job. They sure as hell don't have to worry about it with Calipari.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||I don't think we really know||
I don't think we really know how much money changed hands when prostitutes were being delivered to Camby's hotel room.
I agree with you that it's silly to use Fisher's name in an NCAA-unfairness rant.. But I suspect the reason that scandal was the largest in history, by your metric, was that Martin's legal issues got the feds on the case and pretty much the whole story came to light. Subpoena power goes a long way--ordinarily what can be established is the mere tip of the iceberg.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Maybe if I find myself with||
Maybe if I find myself with time on my hands later I'll try to piece this together myself, but maybe somebody here that's close to the situation might already know.
Are the people pulling money from the program to force Patterson out now more or less the same group that were pulling money to force DeLoss Dodds out a few years ago? Or are there two different factions at war here?
And if it's the latter, are the divisions still related to the old Royal/Akers split?
Every time I read about the goings on at Texas I feel like I've been reading the same story for 40 years, and I wish I'd paid more attention so I'd have a better idea of what's happening. And then I realize I'm glad I didn't have to pay attention to it all.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||You are correct.||
According to the Expected Points charts at advancedfootballanalytics.com the difference between first down on your own 40 and first down on the other team's three is four points. It becomes slightly more late in a half, but it's never less than four.
The only time the safety isn't the play is if the clock's already run out. Then you just want to cover up.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||It doesn't matter whether you||
It doesn't matter whether you run on 4th--the clock stops for the change of possession either way.
But you have to run on 3rd, and you have to go for it on 4th. Some of these game-theory discussions are situation dependent, but not this one. You could take a knee twice and come out better than what they did (not that I'm suggesting that's a good idea, it just shows how bad the decision they made was).
|3 weeks 3 days ago||Texas Tech had the same problem.||
But they found a way around it. I'm sure somebody at Wazzoo will figure it out eventually.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||I was at a D-3 game once...||
...and by the fourth quarter one team only had 12 players able to play.
They started the game with more but had some injuries along the way. Pretty weird, seeing more coaches than players on the sideline.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||Throwing on fourth down would have been OK.||
The clock would have stopped anyway, so no harm done.
But this? Just brutal.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||Ugh.||
They're going to talk about the decision to throw on third down and not run clock, but as far as I'm concerned the decision to kick the field goal was just as bad.
Even in the worst case scenario where you were absolutely certain you weren't going to score, it would be a choice between forcing them to:
-drive 99 yards for a game-tying field goal or game-winning TD, or
-drive 72 yards for a game-winning TD.
I don't think that's any worse than a wash, and that's not even considering the fact that (1) if you're thinking of it this way you definitely run clock on third down, so they would have had 30 fewer seconds for the drive, and (2) in the real world you have a chance of scoring on fourth down.
|3 weeks 5 days ago||veni, vidi...||
|3 weeks 6 days ago||Some of us...||
...have moved on to anger or bargaining.
|3 weeks 6 days ago||Am I missing something here?||
The fact we didn't offer doesn't mean we were guaranteed a signing if we had. Two of those three schools have been higher profile programs than Michigan for the last decade or so, and the third isn't exactly Purdue.
|4 weeks 18 hours ago||Oregon St. 21 Michigan 27||
Oregon St. 21
|4 weeks 22 hours ago||Here's a list of NFL running backs from current B1G schools||
...ranked by total yards in the league. I think it's fair to say that RB has never been a relative strength at Michigan. (It's maybe worth noting that with all their recent rushing success Wisconsin doesn't look good here either.) Stats are from pro-football-reference.com.
Four conference schools have been upper-echelon football programs during the NFL era--the top of this list is stuffed with RBs from the other three, plus Purdue.
Here's another way to look at it--they also list career Approximate Values for each player. The top 20 Michigan players in the NFL have included two quarterbacks, two wide receivers, eight offensive lineman, one d-lineman, three linebackers, and five defensive backs. (I know that's 21--there's a tie for the last spot.)
No running backs.
That's not typical. The top RB is OSU's #10. #2 at Penn State. #3 at Nebraska. #10 at Alabama. #9 at Notre Dame. #2 at Texas (and also 4, 7, 11 and 12). #5 at USC and it isn't even OJ. #1 at Florida. #4 at Florida St. #4 at Miami. #4 at Oklahoma. I'm running out of elite programs.
|4 weeks 4 days ago||Spambots.|
|4 weeks 5 days ago||They did...||
...but Nate Orchard had 18 1/2 of them himself, and he's in the NFL now.
He had 3 1/2 sacks in the Stanford game, working on Andrus Peat. It's not going to be the same pass rush without him.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||Sometimes.||
Carroll's and Harbaugh's teams were only marginally better the second year; it wasn't clear they'd made a leap until year 3, and in Harbaugh's case there were probably still some skeptics until year 4. The record was better the third year but some of that was down to an unusually soft schedule.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||I'm not surprised...||
...it's the oldest revenue sport, after all.
What I didn't know is that the NCAA is regulating it, with divisions and all that. Might explain where their compliance people are putting their focus....
|4 weeks 5 days ago||Felt like a homecoming, to me.||
I know, now, that historically they were an aberration, but I was a kid and didn't know then.
1972-1974 was maximum suffering; nothing else has ever compared. That's when my fandom was forged, and even though 40 years have passed when I imagine a Michigan road uniform I still see the white pants.
And, FWIW, I thought the maize was pretty close to the mid-'70s vintage. The brightening came a bit later in Bo's time. There wasn't much thought given to looking good on color TV when you could only be on TV once or twice per year...and, come to think of it we didn't even get a color TV till '75.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||another way to look at it||
(I've still got this stuff on my computer, left over from that "what happens when you fire a coach" diary last year.)
EOY Massey rankings, coach's tenure in bold:
SC/Carroll: 29, 47, 47, 38, 1
Bama/Saban: 14, 43, 43, 9, 1
OU/Stoops: 71, 49, 28, 1, 10
There was very little evidence of improvement the first year (and in Stoops's case, where there was some, there's also evidence the process might already have been underway the year before he got there).
While I'm at it, here's...
Stanford/Harbaugh: 46, 88, 66, 57, 33
None of these guys were able to walk in, flip a switch, and start winning from day 1.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||I think you guys are misreading this.||
What he actually wrote is "I played two years of D-1 cocksucker."
It's a bit OT on a football blog, but whatever.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||It had better be decelerating (horizontally, I mean).||
I know the air's thin up there but I hope they weren't playing in a vacuum.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||Maybe Rudock deserves some||
Maybe Rudock deserves some credit there, too. He was decisive, got the ball out quickly. I can think of a ball or two I wished he hadn't thrown, but I'm having trouble thinking of any I thought he was late on.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||How's this?||
Interception #2: Another overthrow; you've already dealt with this one.
Interception #1: Less atmospheric oxygen at altitude causes confusion in unacclimated brains.
Interception #3: Less air resistance at altitude allows the DB to run faster and close more quickly on the route.
In all seriousness, altitude, like wind, is going to affect your touch on a long ball; you may very well be onto something. It's not like golf where you can just take one less club; you have to mess with your muscle memory, and that's not easy to do.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||Oklahoma was 5-6 in '98, went||
Oklahoma was 5-6 in '98, went 7-5 in Stoops's first year. His opener was a blowout of a bad FCS team.
USC had gone 6-6 in '99, Carroll's first year was 5-7. He did open with a couple of P5 wins but they weren't Utah caliber; the two opponents went a combined 8-15 on the season.
Alabama improved from 6-7 to 7-6 in Saban's first year; his opener was a blowout of an even worse FCS team.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||"Why would anyone not punt like this?"||
For the same reason the first century of American place kickers kicked the ball with their toe: there weren't players with the necessary skill set to do it the better way, and nobody ever had the insight to make the connection and go out to find them.
I think the Australians are going to revolutionize punting just as soccer players revolutionized place kicking. You've got a national sport where the primary skill involves punting a ball accurately on the run under pressure, and it opens up a lot of possibilities. When you know your guy needs to step straight into the kick in rhythm, maybe discretion's the better part of valor and you don't take the risk of asking him to wait. But it's different when you know he's comfortable eluding a rusher and getting the kick off even if he waits a beat too long.
Now that we know how useful these skills are, we'll probably start teaching them ourselves instead of recruiting them from Aussie-rules teams.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||I can't find the link, but I||
I can't find the link, but I saw an interview with a replay official a while back that said exactly this. If he's in any doubt he'll first try to get the decision done in the normal time between plays, but if the offense comes to the LOS before he's sure, he's hitting the button.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||"Break even point is like 38.2% on the 2 point try."||
Is everyone here absolutely certain our odds to make were >38.2%?
I think I'd be on the other side of that trade.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||That's how Michigan lists||
That's how Michigan lists them on the rosters and depth charts they release.
They used to list both school year and eligibility: Sr./Jr. for example, but this year it's school year only.
Stanford does this too, for what it's worth. They also used to give eligility info in their rosters, but they stopped in 2005, two years before Harbaugh arrived.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||Ojemudia.||
I'm pretty sure he got dinged. There was a play early in the third quarter where somebody hit his leg when it was planted; he hopped around a bit after the play was over, and I didn't think he ever looked quite right the rest of the game.
I'll be curious to see if, on second viewing, the awkwardness in space was mostly in the second half or if it was going on all game and I just didn't notice it early.
|4 weeks 6 days ago||analytical: relating to or||
analytical: relating to or using analysis or logical reasoning
analytics: the systematic computational analysis of data or statistics
You can be analytical without using analytics; he used the correct word.
|4 weeks 6 days ago||I look at it this way.||
Whoever's on these shows will not be given game responsibilities, which means I can choose never to hear them. If they'd put Rod Gilmore on here alongside Galloway I'd be mighty happy.
|6 weeks 5 days ago||Whether they could have could||
Whether they could have could have done more internally i don't know, but as far as responding to prospective employers/schools is concerned, "refusing to recommend" is the absolute maximum their attorneys would have allowed Boise's coaches to do in a situation like this.
|6 weeks 6 days ago||When someone asks you for a||
When someone asks you for a reference regarding someone your firm has fired, are you totally open about the cause?
|7 weeks 1 day ago||That's an advantage of Draftkings.||
I don't think there's any way to see inside a Yahoo game if you aren't playing. I don't have any idea how the point totals change there with the size of the stakes.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||You need a porter?||
I always carry my own bags, but if you have a lot of wives I can see how that might be hard.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||I think you've got it.||
Simple and grossly oversimplified illustration:
Let's say you want to take two players from an offense; you've got your choice between QB+WR and QB+RB. (For simplicity we'll assume there's just one of each.)
If you choose the QB/WR pair, you'll miss out on each rushing TD but you'll double-score on a passing TD. If you choose the QB/RB pair you'll score either way, but only once.
One pair's correlated, the other's anticorrelated (in this respect only, of course--they're correlated to the extent that they're part of the same offense). In a top-heavy game you might lean towards QB/WR, in a 50/50 you might prefer the QB/RB combination. (Or, in the real world, you might want to avoid combining teammates at all.)
|7 weeks 1 day ago||as mentioned above...||
...whether that's the smart play depends on the payout structure. In a 50/50 you're trying to minimize variance and you don't want to tie players like that.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||To be honest...||
I prefer the vistas in Zion. But you have to work to get to them, while in Bryce they're pretty much handed to you.
But I second the Narrows suggestion, especially in September.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||It's been mentioned above but I'll repeat...||
Red Iguana on West North Temple is one of my favorite restaurants anywhere. Don't waste your time and money on the usual taco/combination plate fare; you want one of the molés. Any of them. In fact you might be able to talk your waiter into bringing you a sampler so you can try them all.
Don't get confused and find yourself at the Blue Iguana.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||Some observations from a recent dabbler.||
I've only played baseball.
(1) I've had better luck at Yahoo than at draftkings. I think the competition's significantly weaker because it's a new platform and it has a ready audience of casual/unsophisticated players. There are also some small scoring differences that maybe some of the older players have been slow to adjust to, or that are keeping some of them away.
(2) Your strategy of minimizing variance is sound in 50/50 games; I've had some success so far with the opposite strategy in standard leagues where the payout is topheavy, trying to maximize variance by piling into correlated players to the extent the rules allow. At Yahoo, anyway, where the competition is weaker.
(3) The dollar games are fine but I think the rake's too big for me to ever be willing to play with real money. There's a point where the competition's too strong and you can't keep consistently pulling in the 10% you need just to break even, and I suspect that point would hit me sooner than I'm willing to admit. (In fact, I got my start at draftkings by winning a ticket in one of those newbie freerolls they occasionally run that are only open to accounts before you've played in a cash game, so it's been house money since day 1.)
I'm hoping competition will drive down the rake--actually, I thought Yahoo would open with a smaller rake to attract players from the other sites. Surely they've got the financial heft to pull it off. These sites don't really need the 10% to cover costs, do they?
|7 weeks 3 days ago||So they can bargain with||
So they can bargain with Northwestern over Northwestern policies or bargain with the NCAA over NCAA policies, but they can't bargain with Northwestern over NCAA policies. It's not a nonsensical decision.
Seems to me what the players need to try to do is organize more broadly, not just within a single team. It'll be a lot harder to put together, but it would have a lot more force if it got done.
|8 weeks 2 days ago||"I got all the details wrong||
"I got all the details wrong but it's still true that a lot of football alums hate Brandon" is a pretty low bar for a reporter.
Nobody doubts that part of the story--it was common knowledge around here, as I recall, long before Henson broke the news to us.
|8 weeks 2 days ago||Smith/Kaepernick?||
We're going to trade Morris to Georgia for a 4-star recruit and he's going to take them to their first major bowl in seven years?
|8 weeks 2 days ago||http://web.archive.org/web/20||
"remarkable growth in gifts to VCU’s annual and capital funds"..."growth of the VCU brand"..."at UNC...an eight-year, $20 million contract with Learfield Sports and a first ever on-premises signage partnership with Wachovia in the Dean E. Smith Center"...
I doubt any of his references mentioned any history he might have had in the harassment arena.
|8 weeks 2 days ago||I suppose not.||
But the e-mail Henson published included banter among the players (let alone the Hitler comment) that wouldn't have been intended to be included in a final version. It's possible somebody drunkenly forwarded the draft to the board, but if that's what happened a competent reporter would have reported it that way.
My minimal expectations for a reporter are that when a source forwards him something, he'll make some effort to figure out what he's been sent and present it accordingly. Somebody forwarded Henson an e-mail circulating among some former players, kicking around ideas for a letter to the Board. Henson reported it as if it were the final version.
Any reporter with half a gram of sense would have noticed the Hitler stuff, noticed that the e-mail seemed to be addressing the Board as "boys," wondered if maybe he had the frame wrong and gone back to his source for an explanation.
Either Henson's an idiot or he's the most asinine clickbaiter in the history of journalism. I'm going to give him the benefit of the doubt and assume he's an idiot.
|8 weeks 2 days ago||And the 100 former Michigan||
And the 100 former Michigan players sending an e-mail to the Board of Trustees comparing Brandon to Hitler.
That was about as wrong as wrong gets.
It's clear he's somebody's useful idiot, which means he gets some good information. It's also clear he has no clue how to evaluate any of it.
|8 weeks 5 days ago||Flip phones?||
We had a 300-baud dial-up modem. By the time she got the message the semester was over and everyone had gone home.
|8 weeks 5 days ago||He was facing a room full of||
He was facing a room full of players worrying about their futures in a completely different system that they weren't recruited for and that many of them might not fit into, and he talked them off the ledge. Talked them out of any hasty decisions. You'll note that not one player took him up on his offer. You might also recall that Rodriguez and Carr were still on speaking terms, still being seen in public together, after this meeting took place.
It was no more an "invitation" than dropping the transfer papers on a desk in a closed-door meeting was. It was calculated to have the opposite effect, and it did.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||It's not correct for more||
It's not correct for more reasons than one. Threet would have been making do; Sheridan was a choice. I'm guessing there are very, very few football coaches who would have started Sheridan over Threet. Rodriguez chose to play the walk-on because he picked up the offense faster and the priority for that season was to implement the offense.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||No plural.||
"an SEC team in a BCS bowl."
|8 weeks 6 days ago||I don't recall this "Year 3||
I don't recall this "Year 3 success." I remember a third year with yet another losing conference record, a 30-point shellacking at OSU, and finishing the year with three losses by an average score of 46-16. I remember a fortunate 7-6, with four of the seven wins by a touchdown or less but all six losses by double digits.
That was a bad team, one of the worst Michigan teams of my lifetime.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||Remember this one?||
I think it's kind of funny, because Michigan 2011 and Arizona 2014 had a lot in common--they were seasons featuring a quite astonishing load of gold-pooping good luck. Narrow wins over a couple of bad non-conference opponents. Down 15 to Cal with five minutes to play, come back to win. Get to play Oregon without three of their starting offensive linemen. Washington could take a knee and win, but they decide to run a play, fumble, and lose.
It's all fun while it's happening, but at some point you have to recognize that you aren't as good as your record might make you think.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||Who knows?||
Letting Shafer go might have been OK too.
What I'm sure of is this: you can't call a staff meeting to do defensive game planning and leave the DC out of it. Fire him, if the relationship has reached that point. Don't just turn his chair towards the wall and leave him sitting there. It's an absolutely elementary management lessson: if you can't trust your people to do the jobs you hired them to do, you have to work it out or you have to let them go.
You can't treat people that way. Word of that kind of crap gets around. It makes it hard to hire good people; it changes how people inside the organization look at you. I know I never saw RR the same way again, and I wasn't even involved.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||Mallett was told to choose:||
Mallett was told to choose: do what was expected of a Michigan football player or leave. He chose to leave.
How that became a blot on the record of either Carr or Rodriguez is completely beyond me.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||He made the offer for||
He made the offer for precisely the opposite reason than is usually implied when the story is told.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||It's just a hunch...||
...but I think in five years or so Texas is going to look back on their recent history and recognize the value of a good CEO.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||I don't know the answer to this...||
...so let's do it and see what we find. Draft positions is the easiest--I'll pull up the drafts from 2009 to 2012 and see how many were drafted from each B1G school, by round. To make it easier I'm going by school drafted from, which will miss the transfers. You can eyeball the Malletts back in if you like.
I'm including supplemental draft players like Pryor, in the draft position the team forfeited the following year.
The teams are in the order of the first player taken from the team in that draft. I'll also mention notable players that went undrafted but have had decent pro careers.
Undrafted: Brian Hoyer, Jonathan Casillas, Alex Boone.
Undrafted: Jeff Cumberland
Undrafted: can't think of anybody.
2012 (admittedly this might include some players still in HS in '08):
Undrafted: nobody of note.
Total drafted over the four years:
Drafted in the first three rounds:
First round picks:
Tied for 6/7 each time--not literally "better than half the teams in the conference", but close.
(And isn't it amazing that Illinois, with four future first-round picks and ten in the top three rounds, went 5-7 while Michigan State and Northwestern went 9-4? Minnesota somehow managed a bowl appearance as well, with only two future draft picks on their entire roster.)
|8 weeks 6 days ago||Mallett||
When Carr called a player to his office and dropped the transfer papers on the desk, there was a reason. When said player responded, eventually, by transferring, it's possible that it wasn't for the worst.
It may be hard to remember now, but there was a time in there when Carr and Rodriguez were seen in public together and were clearly on speaking terms. RR's application for the job had been at Carr's suggestion, after all.
I'd be shocked if they didn't discuss the Mallett situation then. Maybe I'm wrong, but it was my strong belief at the time, and nothing ever happened later to shake it, that Rodriguez made an informed decision not to chase too hard after Mallett based on what he heard from Lloyd. I can't imagine Carr making a recommendation, but I can easily imagine a frank discussion that left RR thinking "nope, that's not something I want to deal with."
Sometimes you have to base a decision on the longer-term health of the program--Beilein's handling of the basketball program is instructive here--and if it means a couple of extra losses in the present, so be it. I've been one of Rodriguez's most vehement critics around here and especially regarding his handling of personnel, but that's one I don't hold against him AT ALL.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||That's not accurate.||
He didn't hire "someone who would be a yes man and run his defense."
He hired someone who wouldn't. Then he kneecapped him.
The yes man arrived in year 2.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||Of course it was justifiable to run his offense.||
The real problem to me, sort of the original sin that led to the inevitable clusterfucks of 2009 and 2010, was the decision, leading up to Purdue, to suck running HIS defense too. Not so much the decision (though I think it was wrong) as the way it was made and implemented. There was no recovering from that, and he didn't.
|8 weeks 6 days ago||“I have a torn ACL and a||
Happened in high school, late in his senior season.
|9 weeks 4 days ago||Think I might watch it tonight.||
The greatest documentary ever filmed.
|9 weeks 6 days ago||D3 has demonstrated pretty conclusively...||
...that a large playoff field doesn't necessarily result in unworthy teams winning championships. In some sports--baseball, hockey--individual games are too short (in a statistical sense) for single-elimination tournaments to work, but football's not like that at all. Mount Union's been in the last ten finals, Whitewater's made it to nine of ten. I can't remember the last time a team with two losses won the championship, let alone three.
It's maybe worth noting that D3 has twice as many teams as FBS. The equivalent would be 16 teams, not 32.
|10 weeks 1 day ago||I think even his friends will agree...||
...subtlety isn't one of Dave Brandon's strengths.
Maybe we can revisit this someday, and do it right?
|10 weeks 1 day ago||Unicode 044F.||
Or you can find it on the Windows character map (under Accessories/System Tools)
Or you can copy this one:
|10 weeks 1 day ago||To me the ideal way of||
To me the ideal way of handling this is the way we've honored Carter, whose jersey has been handed from one outstanding player to another until it's no longer clear just whose legend is being honored. No patch, no formal designation, just a tradition.
I don't see why the same couldn't be done with the others--special numbers, given to special players who are reminders of the player(s) that have worn the number before and who have the chance to add their own names to the tradition. Some of them would probably be vacant more often than not--98's don't come around too often.
|11 weeks 5 days ago||Original Trek.||
I think maybe I'm a lot older than most of you.
|14 weeks 6 days ago||(No subject)||
|14 weeks 6 days ago||Oops.||
"... more players from...Iowa than from all the Big 8 states put together...."
I guess that tells you what I think of Iowa State--apparently I don't.
|14 weeks 6 days ago||Is there any chance Hopkins||
Is there any chance Hopkins will be invited into the CIC now that they're affiliated with the conference?
|15 weeks 2 hours ago||I don't think WVU passes||
I don't think WVU passes muster on the academic side of things--unless they someday made a massive commitment there, I doubt they'll ever be considered.
|15 weeks 12 hours ago||Here's how Maryland's first year in the conference turned out.||
There are some sports they aren't competitive in, especially on the women's side, but that's five regular season championships out of 14 and three trips to NCAA final fours. Did anyone in the conference have a better year?
|15 weeks 15 hours ago||What would be wrong with Cincinnati?||
It's maybe not that great from a football perspective but the basketball schools in the conference would love to have them and it gives West Virginia a natural rivalry. (And especially so if it got done while Huggins was still there.)
|15 weeks 15 hours ago||In BIg 8 times they did most||
In BIg 8 times they did most of their out-of-state recruiting in B1G territory (plus the Dakotas)--their '71 NC team had more players from Michigan and Ohio and Illinois and Iowa than from all the Big 8 states put together (except Nebraska of course).
When their conference expanded into Texas, so did their recruiting. But their natural recruiting base had always been where they are now.
|16 weeks 3 days ago||I don't know what's more telling...||
the implication that this piece should be read as a plea for pity (and thus ignored), or
the idea that professional athletes (and of the caliber of Lebron yet) should be run by their coaches in practice. Otherwise they're being coddled, don't you know, and won't work on their craft, or their bodies.
|16 weeks 3 days ago||What's exhausting in basketball isn't the running...||
...it's playing defense properly. Always maintaining your stance, keeping your body prepared to respond...that's draining. Not every player bothers to do it, which I think is why some people think the game isn't grueling and others do.
|16 weeks 6 days ago||Some of that is Lee's own fault.||
He played 13 minutes in game 3 and had five fouls.
You foul every 2:40 while you're on the court, your minutes are going to be limited.
|16 weeks 6 days ago||J R Smith's +/-'s: Game||
J R Smith's +/-'s:
They're -48 when he's on the court, +26 when he's on the bench.
He's by far the worst defender of the seven they have left and there's no place to hide him in this series, especially when GS has gone small. At best he's hitting his shots and they tread water; at worst, like tonight, he's missing everything and GS goes on a run every time he's on the floor.
|16 weeks 6 days ago||I thought it was just me.||
All the headscratchers in this game, in whichever direction, were Crawford's whistles. I think Van Gundy hit the nail on the head when he called him an "old time official." He's from an era before replay reviews and getting the call right--he just calls it on feel and will make something up if he needs to. Lebron's obviously fouled and he doesn't want to call it...but then the ball rolls out of bounds. He can't give the ball to the other team, that wouldn't be right because it was an obvious foul. And he can't go back and call the foul, so he invents a phantom touch and gives the ball to Cleveland.
30 or 40 years ago that's just the way it was done. Now all it does is piss off both teams and both fanbases.
Now that I think of it I guess I'm from his era too...but I'm not sorry to see it pass.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||Game 3 in one picture.||
Who's first to the ball here?
Hint: he's not even in the picture.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||The point guard is the same whether he's on the floor or not.||
What happens when Dellevedova leaves is that Shumpert takes Curry and Smith or Jones has to take Thompson. That's been a disaster, but it's not one most people would have foreseen. I think if you'd asked people two months ago to rank those four players it would have been Dellevedova that was thought of as the "bottom-tier player," not Shumpert or J.R. Smith. And it's Shumpert, not Dellevedova, who was supposed to be the defensive stopper.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||It's interesting--they ignore||
It's interesting--they ignore American racing just as thoroughly as we ignore theirs:
|17 weeks 1 day ago||As long as I'm on the subject...||
...I thought Van Gundy was completely wrong when he criticized Dellevedova for shooting the gap instead of trailing Curry over the top.
The biggest reason he's been so effective is that he never trails. If he can get to the screen first, go over the top, and clog things up, great. If he has to slip under the screen to stay in front, that's what he does. And especially on that particular play, where the ball was out of bounds under the basket and the only way they could have gotten the ball to Curry while his defender was behind the screen was a lob, which would have given more than enough recovery time. (The problem wasn't that he went behind, it was that he had two gaps to shoot, not one, and he missed the second one, got hung on the screen.)
Trailing the cutter is death, especially one that shoots like Curry. If that's how defenders are being taught I'm starting to understand why the guy's been unstoppable.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||Mostly it's the defense on Curry, though.||
As soon as anybody else is on him, Curry goes off.
I really think they need to trust that. Switch less, just hedge the screens and trust that Dellevedova will recover. I'm sure their analytics guys have already figured that out--there are times when there's no alternative, of course, but every unnecessary switch is just pissing away points.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||Kind of unbelievable, really...||
In the nine minutes Dellevedova was on the bench tonight, GS won by 8.
In game 2 he was on the bench for 11 minutes and GS won those minutes by 13.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||Dirk...||
...had Shawn Marion, Jason Kidd, Tyson Chandler, Jason Terry.
Lebron has Dellevedova, Shumpert, Mozgov, Thompson, James Jones.
I think general opinion probably favors the first four.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||3rd quarter boxscore.||
The best +/- on the floor? Lebron's +17, Thompson's +17, but
Matthew Dellavedova is +18.
The worst +/-?
|17 weeks 1 day ago||I haven't seen or heard it mentioned anywhere...||
...but the S&C guys at Cleveland must be doing something right.
You'd think with the short bench they'd wear down. But Mozgov's run Bogut into the ground, Thompson's outworking Green, Dellavedova's outworking Curry.
The single most amazing stat in the boxscore is not that Dellavedova's outscoring Stephen Curry...it's that he's taken more shots. WTF.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||I agree with this.||
Kerr's got some work to do at halftime, psychologically. There's some body language out there of a team that might implode. Iguodala's head is on right but the other guys don't look like they're handling the frustration the right way.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Not sure what you're saying here.||
Do you mean that it should be a foul on the shooter when he jumps into the defender because it's the parallel situation to the defender fouling when he jumps into the shooter? Curry should have been called for an offensive foul here?
Officials protect the shooter and rightly so. A rap on the shooter's elbow that disrupts his shot is a foul; the same contact on somebody's arm during a rebounding tussle isn't. That's sensible.
If he'd run him over I could see an offensive foul, but a bit of a bump during the shot? The brick Curry threw up because he was diving in looking for contact instead of shooting the basketball would have penalty enough, for me. Play on.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Volume negatively impacts||
Volume negatively impacts efficiency.
This is not news. Whoever is forced to take the late-clock attempts is going to have his percentages lowered as a result. We've understood that for as long as there's been a clock.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||:-/ And mgoblog used to be so||
And mgoblog used to be so irony-friendly....
|17 weeks 3 days ago||It wasn't a terrible||
It wasn't a terrible offensive performance; his poor rating in your efficiency metric is entirely a result of the context.
He could have taken 20 fewer shots and been more efficient and you would have thought he had had a better game. They would have lost, but you would have thought he had a better game.
Or, to put it more honestly, I think you've got your head up your advanced statistics.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Basic arithmetic isn't the issue...||
...an understanding of elementary basketball is what's needed.
Cleveland's putting a squad out there of Lebron James, Matthew Dellavedova, Iman Shumpert, Tristan Thompson and James Jones...
...and you think the problem with the team is that they're running their offense through Lebron????
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Throwback?||
Thirty years ago the NBA was an iso league--the illegal defense rule of the time pretty much guaranteed it would be.
The Cavs are an iso team of necessity now, but Golden State runs a lot of stuff. I don't think anybody was running an offense like this in the 80s. And I really, really enjoyed watching a strong defensive effort against a modern, five-man offense.
Best of both worlds, this was.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||A serious question...||
Was it sarcasm or did he mean it, when Van Gundy said it was a "great rule"?
I honestly don't know how people around the league feel about the rule as it stands. It's odd, to me, as a fan of high school and small college ball, but I figure the NBA must want it this way. It'd be easy enough to conform to the rest of the basketball world if they wanted to.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Lebron doesn't have the||
Lebron doesn't have the luxury of efficiency now. He's got to be a volume scorer; there aren't any alternatives left.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||The rule doesn't need to change...||
...the referees just need to enforce the rule as written.
The defender has the right to the space above his head. If you jump into him there's no foul, even if he's gone up.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||OK, somebody please explain...||
...why Dellevedova was on Thompson, not Curry, for the last minute of regulation. It wasn't a switch--they lined up that way.
Was that Lebron's idea? Or Blatt's?
If it wasn't already painfully obvious, it sure as hell should have been when the ONLY points Curry had against Dellevedova the rest of the game came on a switch when Lebron wound up with the perimeter cover. That's eight points for Curry on three possessions against James, zero on who-the-hell-knows-how-many against Dellevedova.
Damn it, this stuff isn't hard. The game's hard; figuring this out, not so much.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||If you don't understand why||
If you don't understand why this is good defense, you should pay more attention. You might learn something.
Watch his positioning when the ball's away, notice how it's different from how Shumpert plays Curry, or, much worse, how the other guys play Thompson when Shumpert's shifted to Curry.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||+/- update||
James Jones +18
Draymond Green -7
Festus Ezeli -8
These do not lie.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Any part of the ball in the||
Any part of the ball in the cylinder means it's illegal. If the ball's on the rim, part of it is in the cylinder by definition.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||This is b.s.||
Keeping your opponent from scoring is a fairly important basketball skill. He's been man-up on the MVP for 24 minutes now, and the MVP hasn't even scored in that time. And he's only used three fouls.
If you think that's being a "hatchet man" and has no place in basketball, I don't think we're fans of the same sport.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Looking at the halftime box score.||
Dellavedova hasn't scored, but he's a +14 in the half because he shut Curry out completely (his points all came off Shumpert, didn't they?).
James Jones also +14. Tristan Thompson -18 and J.R. Smith -10. Basketball +/- can be deceiving because of matchups but I don't think these are. At the Golden State end it's all about stopping Curry without having to scramble so much that they leave other guys wide open. That only happens when they go small (no Mozgov/Thompson together) and Dellavedova's the one on Curry.
And at the other end it's all Lebron all the time and it doesn't matter so much who's on the floor.
|17 weeks 4 days ago||Not a rhetorical question...||
Did the times change generally, or just at Michigan?
My general impression was that things were moving in the opposite direction. 20 years ago three-martini lunches were quite common in my workplace and the CEO often spent the afternoon locked in his office because he'd come back from lunch falling-down drunk. You might have thought the parent company would take a dim view of that, but in fact his ability to drink the other party under the table while negotiating a contract was seen as one of his main strengths.
But it wouldn't fly, now, not there, or anywhere else I've worked. He was one of the last holdovers of a dying world...or have I worked in atypical environments and this is still common elsewhere?
|17 weeks 5 days ago||As a point of logic...||
...Seles's stabbing in 1993 can't possibly have had any impact on the level of competition Graf faced in 1987-1989, and those were the seasons I detailed.
|17 weeks 5 days ago||Or she might have decided she||
Or she might have decided she didn't want a family so badly after all, continued playing in her 30s, and won 30-35. The very worst thing this calculation can do to her career, if you assume Seles was incomplaraly the greatest player ever and would have won every match between the two of them, is leave Graf with ten consecutive years in the top 2 but behind Seles in six of them.
The three seasons I listed were against Navratilova and Evert et al; Seles wasn't even in the picture yet. If the stabbing diminishes her accomplishments in those years it says more about the observer than it does about the accomplishments.
|17 weeks 5 days ago||I don't think there's enough||
I don't think there's enough appreciation nowadays for how dominant Graf was in her time. She probably had the six greatest seasons ever, on the women's side.
In 1987 she played in 13 tournaments, made the final of all 13, won 11. She also won Fed Cup paired with Claudia Kohde-Kilsch (which is another way of saying she basically won it alone).
In 1988 she won all four slams, plus an Olympic gold. She did lose to Sabatini in the semis of two tournaments along the way, though, and only won 11 of 14 tournaments.
In 1989 she played 16 tournaments, made the final of all 16, won 14.
That's three seasons with a perfect 156-0 record in QFs and earlier, 41-2 in semifinals, 36-5 in finals. There's never been anything like it and probably never will be. Even Federer had the occasional early round loss in a lesser tournament.