Tennessee is not recruiting well just because they got 18 dudes
|3 years 2 weeks ago||Some observations ...||
1) Michigan will finish 4th. UCLA will pass us after baseball and Texas A&M will get within 10 points, but no other school can pass Michigan.
2) Florida came close to knocking off Stanford. If their baseball team had finished second in their NCAA regional, that would have been enough.
3) Interesting that they changed the scoring structure so that you can now count indoor and outdoor track as completely separate sports (you used to only be able to apply the higher of the two scores). With new facilities and a new track coach on the way, hopefully Michigan can be more productive in future years.
|3 years 4 weeks ago||If only ...||
The last minute loss in the bowl game cost about 30-50 points. The hockey team not making the NCAA tourney cost 25-100 points, depending on how far they would have gotten. So, not enough difference to claim the top spot. Improvements in golf, track and field, and lacrosse (men's and women's versions of each) would probably be the best opportunity to gain some points in future years. With new facilities on the way, perhaps that will happen.
|3 years 4 weeks ago||B1G represented||
Penn State actually had a pretty good year and should finish about 7th with roughly 984 points. Minnesota, Ohio State, Indiana, and even Michigan State are in line for top 25 finishes. For OSU, this year will be a big dropoff from last year's 4th place finish. Southern and far west schools without doubt outscore Big Ten schools by a wide margin in spring sports.
|3 years 6 weeks ago||Actually ...||
Illinois wins the tie breaker over Michigan based on a better record against teams finishing in the top 6. If Illinois and Michigan had tied for 6th with MSU 5th, then Michigan would have won the tie breaker since their 3-0 record against State would then have come into play.
Then again, the press release makes a conflicting statement regarding tie-breaking criteria, so either they got that wrong in the press release (no effect on outcome) or they changed the tie- breaker rules from those published last year.
|3 years 6 weeks ago||Not only that ...||
It is also worth noting that if Michigan splits the next two games with Nebraska and Illinois sweeps Minnesota, Michigan passes Minnesota!
So it would appear that one more win against Nebraska and they are in, regardless.
|3 years 6 weeks ago||Actually, it can be determined||
The only way that a tiebreaker comes into play is if Michigan and Illinois match records over the next two games. And the only way a tiebreaker matters is if they are tied for sixth, meaning Sparty takes fifth. So the opponents of interest are Indiana, Ohio State, Minnesota, Nebraska, and MSU.
By my count, Michigan is 5-5 against these teams and Illinois 5-8, so ...
tiebreaker -> Wolverines!
|3 years 7 weeks ago||Directors Cup||
Sadly, Stanford will pass Michigan this weekend in the Director's Cup standings, with an already guaranteed 55 points in the women's water polo tournament.
|3 years 9 weeks ago||Capital One Cup||
I think the Capital One Cup formula was intended to overcome the Stanford diversity advantage and showcase the big time powerhouse schools with strong major sports teams. That's why Alabama is tied with juggernaut North Dakota State for fourth place.
|3 years 9 weeks ago||Actually ..||
The Gymnastics results are not yet reflected in the Capital One Cup standings. Add 20 points for the Michigan Men and they are tied for first!
|3 years 10 weeks ago||Tough Challenge||
I would agree that it would be extremely unlikely that Michigan can hold off the spring onslaught from Stanford. But let us not forget that a school can only count ten men's and ten women's sports towards their totals, so not all of those ranked Stanford teams are even going to register points. There are a few other schools (UCLA, Florida among them) likely to have a strong spring sport showing. So it is indeed a long shot for Michigan to hold onto its current first place standing, but not impossible.
Regardless, it has been a great year for Wolverine athletic teams and a top five finish in the Director's Cup seems all but assured.
|3 years 13 weeks ago||Michigan takes this, pulling away||
Based on the prelims, it looks like a lock to me for the good guys. The most Cal can score is 133 points, assuming they finish at the top of every heat. The fewest points Michigan can score is 69, barring disqualifications. That would make the final Cal 434.5 - Mich 405, but that does not count the 1650 and is absolute worst case in every race. More likely, Michigan stretches its lead and wins by 50+.
|3 years 13 weeks ago||Aha||
If only I had seen this before doing the math myself. Oh, well.
|3 years 13 weeks ago||Watch out for Cal||
Based on the prelims, Cal could make a small move today, although Michigan could slightly stretch its lead with a good showing in tonight's finals. Expect Arizona to shoot up to third and Auburn, Texas, and Florida to fade. If the finals mirror the prelims, standings after tonight would look something like this:
|3 years 16 weeks ago||We shouldn't try to outcheat ...||
We shouldn't try to outcheat TAMU. Better to let their guy win and blast EA with tweets and e-mails that we refuse to purchase a sports game with a cover that personifies cheating.
|3 years 17 weeks ago||Total Dominance||
Fabulous job by the swimmers. The results would be even more lopsided if not for the diving events (e.g. - Indiana had 8 divers scoring higher than the top Michigan diver in the 3m). This puzzles me. Michigan has a rich diving tradition, an accomplished diving coach - why can't they seem to recruit top divers? That could really help at nationals.
|3 years 19 weeks ago||Just a joke||
I can probably give him a pass on this one. It is just an old joke, although that is not obvious when the retelling omits the punchline (as heard in the video). With the punchline included, it becomes obvious that this is just a joke and not a true story. Only a moron would think it was supposed to be a true story ... oh, wait, what was the audience?
|3 years 32 weeks ago||Early signing period||
Barnes Arico seems to be off to an excellent start, I'm impressed.
Since this is the first day of the early signing period for most sports (incuding men's basketball) I am surprised to see so few announcements from Michigan's 20+ varsity teams that could be announcing signings today. Does anyone know if Derrick Walton, Mark Donnal, and Zak Irvin submitted their basketball LOIs today?
|3 years 38 weeks ago||Not going to reply||
Send me an e-mail if you actually want answers to those or any other questions.
|3 years 38 weeks ago||Well, no||
You are misinformed although it is true that we never had any direct contact and this may have led to some misunderstanding. Nobody asked me to do this. It was my own idea and I started a post on the board one day asking the community what they thought of it.
It was in response to that post that I was contacted by someone apparently associated with you (I will leave him out of this except to say that he has never been anything but completely supportive). He said that he had been thinking along much the same lines and suggested that he might be able to provide a host server, although my understanding was that it was on University-owned equipment. Anyway, that fell through and I had to go it completely on my own.
I most certainly am not lying about any of this and I trust that you too may have gotten some false impressions from lack of direct communications. In any event, I have stated that my reasons for stopping may have been precipitated by your comments, but that the decision stands on its own merits. I was not intending to start an ugly flame war. Still, I don't want to leave any false statements unchallenged.
P.S. I would suggest that if you feel anything more needs to be discussed, we take it offline.
|3 years 38 weeks ago||Clarification||
My goodness ... I went away for a few hours and this thread kind of exploded.
Anyway, Thorin's claims are not correct. My original hope was for this to be part of MGoBlog, but that was not to be. I had some offers of support, but when it was time to launch, everyone bailed out on me and said "maybe next year". Rather than toss aside all of my work, I scrambled to set up my own web site to host the app.
Only after I launched to highly favorable reviews did Thorin offer to host. By that time I had already sweated out all the setup and wanted to closely monitor activity, so I declined. I had never agreed to make it part of MGoVideo.
|3 years 39 weeks ago||Please clarify||
If your point is that I shouldn't be posting these notifications on the board, well that was my original plan, to just assume that people would figure it out on their own.
However, it soon became obvious that this was not the case. Until the noficiations are posted on the mgoboard, the traffic at the viewer launch site is essentially zero. Once the notications are posted, hundreds of fans visit to use the enhanced viewer. Since I have to do work each week to synch the viewer to the posted UFRs, it is not always immediately available, so I am saving interested parties the trouble of visiting the site only to find that the viewer is not yet ready.
Thorin, you yourself post frequent notices when your videos are available on MGoVideo. Should MGoBlog users just figure that out for themselves by visiting your site?
I have put a significant effort into building and maintaining this utility as a service to the MGoBlue community. If there is a consensus that the posts are more annoying than useful, I will cease updating the utility and posting the notices.
|3 years 47 weeks ago||Cbox .. probably not.||
Cbox probably is not sufficiently scaleable to handle the task. It claims to be able to handle "up to hundreds of concurrent visitors". I believe gameday chats tally users in the thousands.
There is something from Wordfaire that might be an alternative, but it is still a beta product and details are sketchy. Might be worth looking into.
I would think that if the Wordpress plugin is a viable option, setting up a subdomain and setting up the chat should be less than a day's work. I'm sure Brian could find some hapless volunteer to do the gruntwork if that is the best solution.
|3 years 50 weeks ago||Quote of the Day||
Anzalone on why he chose Notre Dame:
"Academics is what tipped the iceberg."
Apparently, he is planning on majoring in mixed metaphors. All kidding aside, he seems like a nice kid, good luck to him.
|4 years 1 day ago||1-A and 1-AA no better||
The designations 1-A and 1-AA were confusing as well. In most parallel universes, AA is higher than A. Dare I suggest, 1-A and 1-B? Oh, heaven forbid, Ivy league schools being labeled with a "B". Deal with it.
|4 years 2 days ago||A few footnotes ...||
Three schools passed Michigan on the basis of their baseball team results. Hopefully, our new coach can get us back in the tournament in the future.
Special commendation to Craig Forys. His second place finish in the NCAA Steeplechase single-handedly vaulted UofM T&F from DNF to 33rd place, garnering 39 NACDA points and lifting us from a 13th place finish to the top 10.
Also, not to nitpick, but Sears no longer sponsers the Directors' Cup. It is now the Learfield Sports Directors' Cup.
|4 years 2 days ago||Weather is a factor||
UCLA has the most NCAA championships (108), but more than half of those are in tennis, volleyball, and water polo, so ... yeah, California.
Michigan comes closest to dominating in Ice Hockey, with more championships (9) than anyone else. A cold weather sport, as you may know.
|4 years 2 days ago||Scoring||
They count the ten best men's results plus the ten best women's team results. Of course, just like oversigning, having bigger numbers to start with gives you more chances to come up with winners.
|4 years 5 days ago||Since you asked ....||
The answer to your question ...
Who is buried in Grant's Tomb?
A: Julia Dent
What, you say? This is true. Julia Dent was Grant's wife and is buried in his tomb. Win a bet or two with this answer.
|4 years 2 weeks ago||Congratulations!||
Outstanding performance by Forys!
The 8 team points collected by Forys were the only points scored by Michigan, and managed to tie the team for 33rd place. The ladies, sadly, registered nary a point. With Craig graduating, I hope there are some Wolverine tracksters ready to take up the torch next year and make a bit more of a showing in the Big Ten and NCAAs.
|4 years 4 weeks ago||Terrific Year! Congrats to all Michigan athletes!||
It was indeed a terrific year and a marked improvement overall from last year.
However, let's not be too disappointed if Michigan actually winds up dropping down a few spots in the final Directors' Cup standings. They are unlikely to catch any of the four schools currently above them (except maybe Penn St.) and California, North Carolina, Virginia, UCLA, Duke, Texas A&M, and a few others all have very strong men's and women's spring sports programs and could possibly pass us in the end.
|4 years 5 weeks ago||Field condition||
It was a long time ago, but I was on the field and don't remember it being particularly slippery, although it wasn't in top shape either. I couldn't find any game film, but the half time show is on YouTube:
When will we ever learn?
|4 years 5 weeks ago||Well, no...||
I hate to step on your childhood memories, but the 1972 Rose Bowl was played on a hot, dry day. The field may have been sun-parched, but there was no mud anywhere.
Your memory of the final field goal being a total bummer is accurate, however.
|4 years 5 weeks ago||Brings back memories||
This brings back fond memories of my days in Ann Arbor, while painfully reminding me that I am getting too damned old!
As a member of the MMB that year, I do have to correct that part of your historical perspective. William D. Revelli retired in the summer of 1971 and this was George Cavender's first football season as Director. Come Rose Bowl time, the band was oddly more in the news than the football team, in part because of controversy over the all-male composition and in part because of an injunction filed by the student council to keep the band off the field at the Rose Bowl. They were demanding that we perform an anti-war themed show of their design. They lost in court. Ah, the seventies.
|4 years 5 weeks ago||Good Points||
I didn't mean to suggest that Michigan had recruited badly. It just goes to show that things happen and the best laid plans to have an elite 11 quarterback be a multiyear starter often times go astray.
|4 years 5 weeks ago||Elite not always so elite||
The historical statistics are a sobering reminder of how difficult it is to project future success. Of the 95 "Elite 11" QBs between 1999 and 2006 (every year since 1999 has had 12 QBs - go figure), only 14 went on to be picked in the first 4 rounds in the NFL draft. More than half (52) never even got a sniff of the pros. 35 wound up transfering.
Of the three Michigan commits, two transfered (Gutierrez, Mallet) and one (Clayton Richard) never got significant playing time.
|4 years 12 weeks ago||Sorry to see this||
He seemed like a quality guy, was hyper-energetic, and had a good head for basketball.
The only knock might be an inability to land top recruits. This puzzles me in general with respect to B1G women's basketball. Why are there no Big Ten schools among the top 25 recruiting classes? I would think that with the current strength of men's basketball within the conference, there would be a few prominent programs on the ladies' side.
|4 years 14 weeks ago||Yale is no threat||
Yale is no threat to pass Michigan in all-time wins. They used to be number one (counting all divisions) until Michigan passed them in 2001. In the future, they are likely to keep dropping down the list, since they only play a 10 game schedule, do not participate in bowl games, and have averaged less than 6 wins per year over the past 15 years.
|4 years 14 weeks ago||Second Half||
Hopefully Borseth gave them a rousing speech at halftime to put an end to some horrendously ill-advised pass attempts.
No local cable coverage for me, but it is available via ESPN/Xbox Live, for those with that option.
|4 years 14 weeks ago||Long Snapper||
In addition to Taybor Pepper, Michigan also has Tyler Tokarsky walking on as a long snapper in 2012 (link). He is from Fenton. All your long snappers belong to us.
|4 years 15 weeks ago||Unbiased Semi-Random Bracket||
Just for the heck of it, I entered a bracket where I assigned a probability to each game based solely on historical records of seed posiitions, then generated a random number (flipped a lopsided virtual coin) to determine each winner. The outcome had Michigan, Ohio State, and Michigan State all in the final four. No way that happens, but weird it came out that way (I swear I didn't cheat).
|4 years 15 weeks ago||Early exit for OSU||
Not only that, but if they get past Florida, they have to face (#1 undefeated) Baylor in the second round. Even if the game is in Ohio (Bowling Green), there is very little chance the lady Buckeyes will be throwing a sweet sixteen party this year.
|4 years 15 weeks ago||Arkansas Little Rock||
Even a #14 seed (Arkansas-LR) gets to play at home against a number 3 seed. Looks like it pays off to host first round games. How about Ann Arbor for 2013?
|4 years 16 weeks ago||Tragic||
On the night they won the national championship, I spoke briefly with Rumeal's mother after the game and congratulated her. I have seldom seen a mother beaming with more pride. Makes the whole thing that much more sickening to me.
|4 years 16 weeks ago||Taco and Khalid||
So Taco Charlton and Khalid Hill did not crack the top 300 but were among the 500 rated players and were rated within their position groups.
Hill (#14 TE) was 2nd among the 11 rated TEs not in the top 300.
Charlton (#35 DE) was 13th among the 18 rated DEs not in the top 300.
For those of us into meaningless extrapolations, that would put Khalid Hill at approximately #336 overall and Taco Charlton at approximately #444 overall. Means nothing; just having fun with numbers.
|4 years 16 weeks ago||Live Video||
There is a live video feed for anyone who wants to watch the action:
|4 years 17 weeks ago||Gymnasts||
They might not have gotten much ink on this blog, but Chris Cameron and Kylee Botterman won national all-around championships and Michigan Athlete of the Year awards. I would think that should at least get them on the ballot.
|4 years 17 weeks ago||Suggestions||
If you are only going back to 2005, then instead of having a larger inaugural class, why not just construct retroactive ballots for each year since then and conduct a separate vote for each year. With one vote per month, we would be caught up by fall.
I would suggest an 85% requirement with a limit of 5 inductees per year across all sports. Anyone who got over 85% but did not finish in the top 5 would be carried over to next year's ballot.
|4 years 17 weeks ago||Question||
The renovation sounds terrific. It has been decades since I was on campus, but i hope to make it back for homecoming this fall and I look forward to seeing all of the new facilities.
I am curious about a comment made by Dave Bandon in a recent blog entry:
So, given the fabulous state of our athletic facilities, which are still considered unacceptable? Understandably, there are no permanent lacrosse facilities yet, but other than that, what other programs need facilities investment?
|4 years 17 weeks ago||Appreciate the effort||
I wasn't meaning to be critical. I always love to have concise reference information like this available and I agree it can be hard to find. I was only thinking that it might find a broader audience on MGoBlue.com or even Wikipedia. Then again, MGoBlog may have more editorial freedom to create such pages and certainly has plenty of dedicated fanatics to help with the research.
|4 years 17 weeks ago||Update||
You are missing the NCAA Championship in Women's Field Hockey (2001),
Also, this link on MGoBlue lists numbers of individual national championships. If you're going to count individual conference champions, might as well add a column for individual national champions.
You could also throw in the 2 NCAA championships in Trampoline, even though that is no longer an NCAA championship sport.
I think this is a potentially worthwhile compilation, but MGoBlue.com might ultimately a better place for this information to be documented.
|4 years 18 weeks ago||Amazing Start||
This is a pretty remarkable start when you consider that more than half the FBS schools are still waiting for their first 2013 commitment and 85% have 2 or fewer lined up so far.
|4 years 18 weeks ago||Position||
I notice on the MGoBlog Offer List, O"Daniel is listed under running backs. Should that be changed, or are we considering him for offense as well?
|4 years 20 weeks ago||Thanks||
Thanks for the info. Since you appear to be knowledgeable on the program, I have a follow up question.
How can Michigan be recruiting multiple new men's players when they have no seniors on the roster and the NCAA limits men's tennis to 4.5 scholarships? Are most of the players on partial schollies?
|4 years 20 weeks ago||UM Tennis question||
I am also situated in the Seattle area and plan to take in the tennis action this weekend. Go Blue!
For those in the know regarding Michigan tennis, I have a question. The women's team seems to have a bright future, loaded with very talented freshmen and sophomores. They have the look of a top 5 team over the next few years. I am curious though, about Sam Critser. She was playing regularly last year as a freshman, but has not appeared in a single match this year. Is she injured, or has she just been passed over by the freshmen?
|4 years 21 weeks ago||So it goes ...||
Jordan Diamond: I will shock the world!
World: Jordan who?
|4 years 22 weeks ago||I'm no expert||
I'm no expert on the inner workings of the oversigning game, but I do note that three of the 31 are listed as "soft verbals". Seven recruits enrolled early at Miami, so three of them can be backdated to last year's class. That leaves room for a total class of 28. If the ACC allows it, I think they can collect extra letters of intent, as long as they are down to 28 by August. Maybe they are expecting several non-qualifiers academically, or maybe they will grayshirt the overflow.
It will be interesting to see how many they actually sign and what happens to the overflow. Sleeze warnings are in effect.
|4 years 22 weeks ago||Correction||
I edited the diary to correct a minor formula error, so I should also correct myself here. Michigan's two lowest commits are currently worth 102 and 104 points. Sam Grant, at 96, would be the lowest score and will not count towards Michigan's point total if the Wolverines sign more than 25, including Grant.
|4 years 22 weeks ago||Good Point||
Michigan's bottom 3 rated players are worth 59, 63, and 69 points, respectively. So you would have to subtract out these numbers as they add recruits beyond the 25 limit. The projected max point total would be reduced to 4905 (still a potential #1). Of course the same rules apply to other schools that exceed the 25 threshold.
|4 years 26 weeks ago||Clarification||
The geometric analysis was based on Exhibit C. In this frame, his knee is absolutely, positively, definitively down. This is quite clear when you watch the replay at full resoultion. In fact, if the conclusion had been that he was barely across the goal line, I would have felt obliged to interpolate a result for the 120th of a second or so earlier when his knee made initial contact with the ground.
|4 years 27 weeks ago||Lantry FG||
I was at the game. It was good.
As close as it was, I doubt that any video analysis could reach a definitive conclusion, particular with the angle and resolution that would be available. The only thing I know for sure is that it cost me a trip to the Rose Bowl.
|4 years 27 weeks ago||Other angle||
For one thing, I could not get any kind of accurate position information on the west sideline camera. I believe it was a mobile crane camera, but it does not appear clearly in the reverse angle, so I could only guess where it was filming from. Without more accurate placement data, the accuracy of the results would have been less. Also the zoom factor was lower and the ball is less visible, so it was a much less useful angle.
|4 years 27 weeks ago||Cameras||
Actually, you can infer a lot of 3D information from a single camera, since there are reference points in the frame whose exact 3d position is known (field markings). Two cameras give you a lot more information about the free moving objects and lets you construct 3d models of the scene, excluding only those areas that are hidden to both cameras. By incorporating additional information, like knowledge about human anatomy, you can make further inferences in constructing the models. This is similar to what the Xbox Kinect does.
|4 years 29 weeks ago||Band||
And it is also possible that the band shown is not the Michigan band. I have seen photos as early as 1920 in which the band wore the cape style uniforms that were predominant throughout band history. The belted miliary style is more indicative of Ohio State. Bands did travel in that era. A 1932 photo shows the MMB performing the script Ohio in Columbus. There were no white belts on the uniforms.
|4 years 29 weeks ago||Other Clues||
Someone with access to band historical archives might be able to provide additional dating information. Uniform styles change dramatically from time to time and might indicate a time window.
William D. Revelli became band director in 1935. The marching style does not seem to match his signature high step style, but that may have evolved over the years, so that is not a definitive clue.
|4 years 29 weeks ago||Wasn't Bielema ...||
Wasn't Bielema the coach who implied in his post-game conference last year that Denard was a showboat and not a team player and that "we would never recruit someone like that"?
If so, I would call that pretty dickish.
|4 years 29 weeks ago||Not accurate||
He was talking about where he wants to take his official visits, not about his final choice. He clearly said that he was seriously considering west coast schools where he had taken only unofficial visits.
I certainly want him to choose Michigan, but anyone who concludes from this interview that Washington and Stanford are out, is just hearing what they want to hear instead of what he actually said.
|4 years 30 weeks ago||No Effect||
This will have no effect on BCS standings. The NCAA had only been discounting the stats, not the outcome. The poll voters and computer rankings don't care about stats and were already including the Western result in their rankings.
|4 years 30 weeks ago||He is mistaken||
That rule (top 18 if only one top 14 from conference) only comes into play if there are fewer than 10 eligible teams, which will not be the case. So Michigan does need to finish in top 14. Odds are they will.
|4 years 30 weeks ago||Electronic Ball Positioning||
You don't really need sensors in the ball. With multiple cameras you can triangulate the position of the ball fairly precisely. You just need to measure camera positions very accurately. The tech would be comparable to the way they track baseball pitch trajectories to within a fraction of an inch.
A replay official could play back multiple angles in exact synchronization and stop the playback at any point (like when the knee touches the ground) and a processor could identify the exact position and orientation of the ball at that time.
I would not expect to see this in the next few years, but it is technically feasible.
|4 years 31 weeks ago||Magic Revealed||
I don't get an advance copy, but I have a program that detects when the UFR is posted on MGoBlog and copies the UFR table to a file. The UFR viewer can read and interpret the UFR table exactly as posted on MGoBlog.
The trickier part is the video cueing. I have to preview the video clips and assign the time codes using a dummy version of the UFR table. When the real UFR table is available, it should mesh with the video index file. It doesn't always because of uncharted plays, etc. so I try to verify that they are in synch before posting the files. That is why it takes 20-30 minutes instead of 5.
I sometimes make additional adjustments after posting. For example, the last two Nebraska drives were not charted in the original UFR, but I added some placeholder entries so that the videos can still be accessed from the viewer.
|4 years 31 weeks ago||Conspiracy Theory||
So here's a thought on what OSU might do if they get beat by Michigan this Saturday:
Self-Impose a bowl ban on themselves for this year and tearfully forgo whatever crap bowl they might get invited to in the hopes they can dodge a bigger bullet from the NCAA by showing their "contriteness". That would be entirely consistent with their previous self-imposed penalty strategy.
|4 years 31 weeks ago||Defensive Rankings||
Here are the up-to-date defensive rankings through completed games today (could move up or down one or two spots on these depending on later games):
Scoring Defense: #8 (was #7 after last week) - passed by MSU, but could pass Florida State if they give up more than 16 points.
Rushing Defense #42 (was #41). Could move up or down a few spots.
Passing Defense #16 (was #22).
Total Defense #14 (was #17). Can move to #13 if Texas gives up 322+ and Cal doesn't hold Stanford under 281.
I know, I know - way too much time on my hands, but I'm about to head off to a party. Fun day from start to finish.
|4 years 32 weeks ago||I would suggest a minimal||
I would suggest a minimal table of requisite information for each possesion followed by a list of plus minus contributions on an as-appropriate basis for each play. Trying to score everyone in a number of different areas on each possession would be tediuous and produce a hard to read table.
So each possession might start with a header row with Off/Def, clock time, generic play type, possession result, and the game score following possession.
This would be followed with 0-? rows of +/- scores for individual players as appropriate. This could consist of Player name, score +/-, score category (e.g. hustle, passing, shot selection, ... could be quite a few categories), and a brief specific comment.
An optional general comment on the possession could follow, comparable to the description field of the football UFR.
Summary tables could add up all the plus minuses and break out by category.
Anyway, that is one implementation I would suggest. Of course, I am also looking at this from the perspective of how to turn it into an enhanced version with linked video, so I may have specific biases :)
|4 years 32 weeks ago||Try again, please||
I had to auto-forward to the mirror site and did not have the video index file properly installed on that site. Sorry.
|4 years 32 weeks ago||Question||
So, to get to 28 recruits, three of them have to be early enrollees that can be counted against the previous year's recruiting class.
Are there already three current commits who are planning to enroll early, or do one or more of the final four spots need to be filled by an early enrollee?
|4 years 32 weeks ago||Medical Redshirt||
"M staff are supposedly planning to seek a medical redshirt for him"
According to the stats, he has played in 5 games. That would make him ineligible for a medical hardship waiver.
|4 years 33 weeks ago||Site Problems||
Unfortunately, this is more indicative that the web hosting service is a miss. The loads should not be triggering these errors and I have had little luck with technical support. I established a mirror site for anyone who has trouble accessing the main page:
I may automatically redirect if the problems persist.
|4 years 33 weeks ago||Thanks!||
I will update the video links later in the day.
Unfortunately, there are issues with the hosting service at the moment and users may temporarilly experience difficulty accessing the web site.
|4 years 37 weeks ago||Yeah,||
I did see that. I also noticed that you are using the JW Player. I might be able to support that, but it will take some work. I'm not sure if the player supports script-based cueing like the YouTube player, so indexing to specific plays would be difficult without that. I did look at JW Player a couple of months ago, but had difficulty getting it to work.
I also noticed the playback is very choppy. Is that just me, or is that a common issue?
Edit: Then again, maybe you're not using JW Player; using a re-skinned version of the Adobe Flash player? Either way, nothing I can do for now.
|4 years 37 weeks ago||Thanks.||
If you have seen a few bugs, I would appreciate you reporting them. Can't fix them if I don't know about them.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Ahhhhhh ....||
Didn't see that one this week. I think you posted it a bit after I started editing the cues. I would have to re-index the cues, but I might, when I can find some time. I'm still not decided which type of video is better to work with (full vs. Every snap). Thanks.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Oops||
Oops, yeah stupid me not looking closer at the text. Freep logic was apparently Lindsay = Woman. They have since removed "Women's" from the headline. They must also rely on MGoBlog to correct their mistakes.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Corrected Correction||
Michigan has a varsity women's field hockey team. That's what the Freep article was in reference to. Let's give them some props since they did bring home the first ever women's national championship for Michigan.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Player plus minus etc.||
The idea of collecting the player plus/minus scores has been thought about but will probably have to remain a longer term goal. As the UFRs are currently formatted, this information is embedded within the play descriptions and the formatting is not consistent enough to extract with high accuracy. I started to look at that and there were just too many exceptions to formatting conventions. There are solutions to this, but as I stated, they are longer term.
I would encourage anyone with suggestions to submit them to the website forum, as I will probably stop checking this thread once it disappears off the front page.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Also ...||
Also should be fully functional in Firefox 6 and 7 (but maybe not on a Mac?). I would appreciate people going to the website forum to report success or failure on various browsers and operating systems.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Already implemented||
That's exactly what the "Watch Video" button does. It is actually not that simple since it requires the Java applet to pass parameters to a script controlling the video player. This is only supported in up to date browsers (e.g. IE9 but not IE8)
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Perhaps so||
Perhaps you are right, but for now the only people I am informing about the site are the fans of this blog, who I assumed already know. Still, I will probably add a little more information on the web site. Thanks for the suggestion.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Should not happen||
I'm not sure what you mean by this, but everything should be viewable. Perhaps you could go to the support page and elaborate. Better yet, report a bug and send along a screenshot of the problem.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Pausing video||
For now, you have to pause manually.
There is a scripting trick I can use to automatically pause the video, but I haven't implemented it yet because I was debating whether users would rather let the video run and hear the subsequent commentary. I may do a poll on this and make the change if there is popular demand. There are a number of video enhancements envisioned for the future.
|4 years 38 weeks ago||Java issue||
That suggests that the Java applet is failing to load. There could be a number of reasons for this and it depends a lot on your operating system and browser. I will attempt to offer technical support at the target web site. See the bug reporting section or visit the forum.
|4 years 39 weeks ago||Minor correction||
Raymon Taylor now wears #6, not #21. Nice work, though.
|4 years 46 weeks ago||Four year average||
The cutoff does not refer to a single year, but a four year average. So one bad year would not get you banned from post-season participation.
|4 years 48 weeks ago||Missing PSU||
You left out Penn State among the Big Ten school that have not yet appeared in his rankings.
|4 years 48 weeks ago||Great Stuff!||
Thanks for compiling this information. It is of great interest to those of us who eagerly follow all Michigan sports teams.
It is particularly encouraging that most of the teams in the bottom ten of your rankings appear to be on the upswing and seem likely to improve their results over the next 18 years.
|4 years 49 weeks ago||Maybe not so much||
Perhaps I'm delusional, but I really don't think it would require anywhere near that level of effort. It's not necessary to reinvent the wheel at every step. There are html parsers and video players out there and much of the task consists of assembling available components.. My brief experiment last year was able to extract usable information from published UFRs, reformat it, and display it on a web page with game video (not synched, though). I spent about 10 hours on the project.
|4 years 49 weeks ago||But the premise...||
But the premise is that this would not add to his workload. Best case scenario: we could provide him with a nifty tool that would significantly cut down the time required to create the UFR and both regular and enhanced versions are released simultaneously. Worst case scenario: after the UFR is out, someone else runs it through a utility to parse out the content, manually index the video links, and post the enhanced version shortly after the regular version comes out.
|4 years 49 weeks ago||Thanks much!||
I greatly appreciate your support. I will e-mail you with a few quick questions relating to the video and some technical issues I encountered in my first prototype. I already did a first cut at parsing the data, so I have something of a head start on that task.
|4 years 49 weeks ago||Exactly||
My thought was that if the concept was approved but Brian wanted to steer clear of any personal participation, volunteers could use the editor to tag the start and end segments of the video.
On the other hand, if we had a kick-ass editor with built in video preview, this might be the easiest way to create the UFR in the first place and the video indexing would be mostly automagic.
|4 years 49 weeks ago||Thanks||
Thanks for your offer to help. I'll send you an E-mail to discuss technical issues. If this thing gets off the ground, I will definitely be looking to establish an online code development environment and am interested in recommendations as to which one people have found to be the most useful.
|4 years 50 weeks ago||Different perspective||
Projecting defensive performance for 2011 in terms of how big a jump in the rankings is required is, I think, somewhat misleading. It makes it seem like a statistical miracle is required to return to any kind of respectability. The remarkable statistical anomaly is already in the books: it is the epically, historically atrocious performance of last year's defense. That, let us hope, was an unfortunate outlier that Michigan fans will never again bear witness to.
If, instead, we simply forget all historical statistics and try to objectively compare the 2011 Michigan defense with the other 119 FBS teams in terms of talent, experience, and coaching, I think we would conclude that it is not a top 20 unit, but something like 40th would be a reasonable estimate. I don't think it is unreasonable or unrealistic for Michigan fans to expect a return to semi-normalcy following the recent excursion into the twilight zone of bad defenses.
|4 years 51 weeks ago||Bot mania||
Ah, the intrigue of it all! Is the huskers9 bot legit, or an insidious plot to sabotage the Maize and Blue cause?
Hard to say, but someone with some free time and a knowledge of internet protocols could run a packet sniffer (like Wireshark) while the bot is going to verify what it is actually putting out on the wire. This would be a more reliable confirmation than source code, since it would be difficult to verify whether any supplied source code actually matched the distributed executable.
|5 years 1 week ago||Love the app ...||
... but an option to install to the SD card would be much appreciated. Available space in my phone memory is very limited.
|5 years 2 weeks ago||Band Day||
The high school bands came down at halftime and filled the entire field, with the Michigan Band front and center leading the way. I played in the MMB for several band days.
When seats became a scarcer commodity, rather than immediately cancelling band day, they brought in Slippery Rock to play a game in the Big House for band day.
|5 years 7 weeks ago||Thank you Northwestern!||
It's official! Northwestern just beat Indiana 4-1, putting Michigan one full game up in the Big 10 standings with two left to play.
|5 years 7 weeks ago||Northwestern up 4-1 after 5||
A grand slam by Northwestern's Marisa Bast just greatly improved Michigan's chances for an undisputed Big Ten title.
|5 years 7 weeks ago||Nice Win||
It's nice to see the team building some momentum as regionals draw near. It is particularly encouraging that Dorian Shaw seems to be coming out of a slight funk and hitting the ball very well recently. Amanda Chidester has been just spectacular lately in clutch hitting situations.
Of some concern is Ashley Lane, who had a horrendous weekend (0-7 with six strikeouts). Any theories on what this might be attributable to? Hopefully she can shake it off in short order.
|5 years 15 weeks ago||Game Coverage||
I was pleasantly surprised to see that MGoBlue.com listed the lacrosse game on the front page daily schedule and included a link to live GameTracker coverage. This is the first time I remember that level of coverage for a club sport. Good to see.
|5 years 15 weeks ago||Stephanie Kirkpatrick||
There is one other small silver lining regarding Kirkpatrick's unfortunate season-ending injury. She played in only 10 games, which is less than 20% of the total games scheduled and they were all in the first half of the season. That means she should qualify for a medical hardship waiver and could regain a year of eligibility.
|5 years 16 weeks ago||Thanks||
Thanks for the insight.
I would certainly think that Michigan has a lot to offer to top prospects. Here's hoping that Michigan wrestling can be a top contender in years to come.
|5 years 16 weeks ago||The Future||
First off, congrats to the Michigan Wrestlers (and especially Kellen Russell) for a fine job in the B1G Tournament. And thanks to AceUofMer for the comprehensive coverage; past, present, and future.
Speaking of the future, my first inclination is to think that this Michigan team is young and the future is bright. On closer inspection, though, there are a lot of good young wrestlers in the Big Ten and recent recruiting trends are rather alarming. According to d1wrestling.net, 7 of the top 9 recruting classes for 2010 were Big Ten teams (including Nebraska here). Michigan did not crack the top 25. Michigan did not land a single one of the top 150 rated wrestlers in 2010 and has not signed a single 2011 top 100 prospect. How can this be?
So is the future of Michigan Wrestling as bleak as I fear, or is there a bright spot I am missing? I would appreciate it if someone with some expertise (I'm looking at you, AceUofMer) could provide some perspective on the future prospects for Michigan Wrestling.
|5 years 17 weeks ago||Odds||
Need to check your math there. An average team would have less than 1% of a chance to land a player on a list of 1. Since there are approximately 100 players in the top 100, the odds of an average team landing at least one player on that list is about 56.7% (if all players had equal chance and selection was random).
|5 years 17 weeks ago||Ashley Lane||
So you mention that Ashley Lane was your pre-season All-American selection.
On paper, she is a 5'4" sophomore second baseman who, in limited action last year, batted .133 with no home runs. Now she is tearing it up and leading the team with 7 homers! Where is that coming from? A little insight on Ashley, MGoSoftball, if you please.
|5 years 19 weeks ago||Wrong||
The computer has 3-5 seconds to come up with an answer. Not knowing that "Athens" is an invalid answer in the "Name the Decade" category is sad. I have worked with some of the leading researchers in natural language processing (former IBMers now at Microsoft). Watson is bleeding edge hardware, but the software is something of a hack that is very specifically targetted at playing Jeopardy! and not at finding answers to generic questions.
|5 years 19 weeks ago||Speed Advantage, etc.||
If a camera was hooked up, and had a frame rate of, say, 60 frames a second, it could always answer within a 60th of a second, which is faster than any human is capable of (absent occasional luck in anticipating).Rdlwolverine is exactly right in that speed is the deciding factor. I guarantee you that both human contestants know at least 75-85% of the answers and are just getting beaten to the buzzer. If it is hooked up directly, it can answer even faster than 1/60th of a second.
As far as not being impressed with the natural language processing, that is not dumb. When the category is "Name the Decade" and Watson's third best answer is something like "Athens", that is a very clear indication that it has not parsed the category or question very well.
|5 years 19 weeks ago||Watson's edge||
I agree that Watson potentially has a huge advantage in terms of being able to buzz in first. Since Watson has no vision, it has not been made clear how it knows when the lock-out lights are illuminated. They are triggered by a production assistant who flicks a switch behind a screen when Alex is finished reading the question. If Watson is directly wired to that button, that is a gigantic advantage, in that a computer can respond in microseconds and human reflexes are more in the range of one or two tenths of a second.
As a former Jeopardy! champion myself, I have more than a passing interest in this experiment and must say that I have not been blown away by Watson's performance on the first day. It is particularly telling how incredibly stupid its second and third choice answers usually are. They often are not even remotely responsive to the question and suggests that Watson has not very accurately parsed the meaning of the question or even the category. I have also worked in a Natural Language research group, and feel that the algorithms they are using are less than impressive in terms of really understanding what question is being asked. They are mostly just using huge amounts of computer horsepower to do pattern matching.
|5 years 19 weeks ago||Terrific Saturday||
Speaking of sweeps, this win caps off a 9-0 day for Michigan's men's and women's teams.
|5 years 20 weeks ago||Me Neither||
Just generates an error:
Failed to upload the picture image; the pictures directory doesn't exist or is not writable.
|5 years 20 weeks ago||Sleeping Giants||
I just noticed that assistant coach Bacari Alexander's latest tweet concludes with "Awake the sleeping giants!"
Coincidence? I think not.
|5 years 20 weeks ago||Diary||
Yes, I wasn't sure if I could and I didn't want to be presumptuous. If people find this somewhat interesting, I will try to post an update in a month or so as a diary. By then, some more reliable info should be starting to accumulate.
|5 years 21 weeks ago||Thanks||
Thanks for the futher clarification. I hope you are right in your assessment of the Gardner situation.Ricardo Miller appears to be in a similar position, although I have not heard specific mention that a medical hardship waiver has been applied for on his behalf.
|5 years 21 weeks ago||Unanswered Questions||
It would indeed be useful to have a definitive, authoritative dissertation on the nuances of the NCAA rules regarding medical hardship waivers. Unfortunately, this diary comes up short in that regard. As has been mentioned, the terminology is incorrect, as there is no such thing as a "Medical Redshirt." The proper terms with reference to the issues at hand are "Medical Hardship Waiver" and "Medical Disqualification."
Here is a link to a free, downloadable .pdf version of the 2010-2011 NCAA Division I manual, for anyone who wants to sift through the fine print of the bylaws:
To clarify one point of detail, the maximum number of games that a player can participate in is 30% (changed from 20% in 2007), rounded up. So for football, this is 4 games, and these must occur in the first half of the season (see rule 14.2.4).
What is not clear is the timeline for the decision. I have heard it stated that these things are not ruled upon until a player's eligibility has expired. Yet there have clearly been exceptions reported. It also appears that the application is made to the conference, not the NCAA, and the conference ruling is then submitted to the NCAA for final approval. I could not find any definitive guidelines for time frames on such rulings.
The other issue of ambiguity is the definition of "incapacitating" injury. If a player resumes practicing and suits up for games (i.e. - Gardner), does this invalidate a claim of incapacitation? Is this strictly a judgment call by the ruling authority or is the mere assertion of this claim via the submitted application accepted at face value? I don't think these questions have been fully answered and it may in fact vary by conference or on a case-by-case basis. Perhaps an actual insider could comment on these issues with definitive answers.
|5 years 21 weeks ago||Ricardo Miller||
According to the player bios on MGoBlue, Ricardo Miller "made his collegiate debut on special teams vs. Massachusetts (Sept. 18)". So that redshirt appears to have been burned.
|5 years 21 weeks ago||High School Goal Posts||
I don't mean to be overly critical (I certainly hope that Matt turns out to be a superb college kicker), but it probably should be noted that high school goal posts are about 5 feet wider than college goal posts. So a few of the closer ones on the video might have been misses in college. Not to worry. I'm sure the supportive screams of over 100,000 fans will help quide all his future kicks straight through the middle.
|5 years 21 weeks ago||Big Ten Icon Guidelines||
If BTN is strictly following their own guidelines, consideration is only based on what was accomplished in college, not after. Jesse Owen's last competition as a Buckeye was before the 1936 Olympics. Sadly, he was ruled academically ineligible to compete the following school year. Everything Magic Johnson did regarding HIV activism was, needless to say, after his MSU days.
|5 years 22 weeks ago||Issues||
The tables are relatively up to date; the lead-in text is woefully dated ("Hart now in the fold" "Watkins looks promising", "Zettel should come", etc.) The biggest problem for me is that none of the status icon graphics load, so there are no visible indicators of commitment likelihood.
|5 years 22 weeks ago||Social Networks||
I wouldn't be surprised if, over the next two years, recruits completely steer clear of these social networking sites.
Not so much because of actual stalkers, but because I suspect a lot of overzealous fans will pretend to be stalkers from rival schools and send lots of obnoxious messages trying to drive prospects away from the competition. Either way, it is likely to get too ugly to put up with.
|5 years 23 weeks ago||Let's not forget...||
His only football movie: "Leper in the Backfield".
|5 years 23 weeks ago||Sports Reporter||
I know Eric Johnson a bit, and he is a decent guy. Most of his "Eric's LIttle Heroes" pieces are very funny and focus on younger kids. As much as I usually cringe at "cute" local news/sports features, his are surprisingly well-written and produced, Based on personal acquaintance, I can vouch for Eric's character. Frankly, I would be much more inclined to hide my kids from some of the posters in this message thread.
|5 years 23 weeks ago||Or maybe ...||
someone could show this clip to the coaching staff
so they can find a way for Gibbons to help out our beleaguered defense!
|5 years 23 weeks ago||Background||
I kinda found the answer to my own question via the following link:
It's a little dated (from a time when Michigan special teams were good), but it claims 11 of 120 FBS teams have dedicated special teams coordinators. One additional benefit I hadn't considered is that having a kicking coach could help a lot with recruiting the best kicking prospects.
|5 years 23 weeks ago||Special Teams Coaching||
This past season clearly illustrated the importance of special teams. Still, most teams assign coaching responsibilities for special teams to one of the position coaches as a secondary responsibility; and seldom does that coach have any expertise in coaching kicking technique. So less than 1/18th of coaching resources are dedicated to special teams.
I would think that it would be worth hiring a dedicated and qualified special teams coach. That still leaves 4 full time assistants each on offense and defense, none of whom would have to be distracted with moonlighting as a special teams coach. Have any colleges tried this approach and has it paid off?
|5 years 23 weeks ago||Recruiting Rules||
It would be helpful if someone with a thorough understanding of recruiting rules could comment on any limitations that might apply here in the recruiting home stretch.
For example, I understand that a head coach is only permitted one off-campus (in-home) visit per recruit. I assume that this means that Hoke can not visit any recruit who has previously been visited by Rodriguez. That would be unfortunate. It would be interesting to know who, among any wavering or potential recruits, Hoke is forbidden to meet with face to face.
|5 years 24 weeks ago||I am pleased to see a||
I am pleased to see a groundswell of support growing for our new coach, but am somewhat dismayed by the volume of venom being spewed towards Dave Brandon by members of the MGoBlog community.
I would think that any true "Michigan Man" would take another "Michigan Man" at his word unless given compelling reason to do otherwise. I don't consider conspiracy theories based on conflicting, unreliable rumors or conclusions based on presumed mind-reading abilities to constitute sufficient cause.
I take Brandon at his word that he waited until after the season to evaluate the program and I believe that RR (whom I supported) was given the opportunity to save his job with an impressive performance in the Gator Bowl (alas, it was not to be). I also believe Brandon entered into the job search process with an open mind and a sincere intent to do his due diligence. Should he have kidnapped Harbaugh's children to force him to take a job he did not want? Just because not everyone might agree with his ultimate selection, that does not warrant attributing sinister motives and duplicitous behavior to an honorable man. I guess cynicism is an incurable disease among sports fans.
|5 years 24 weeks ago||It's Over! We have a new coach!||
... and he's a Michigan Man that everyone loves!
Announced via Twitter:
"On the plane headed to ann arbor for the coaching job at Michigan!! Thanks for welcoming me back ann arbor fans!! I knew I was coming back! "
Our new coach is none other than .... Brandon Graham! (http://twitter.com/BGraham54)
This must be on the level because it was on the Internet and the Michigan coaching search is far too serious a matter for anyone to joke about.
|5 years 25 weeks ago||Probably Not||
Trying to preemptively hire or fire staff before Brandon has his say would be pretty desperate and would not fly. Maybe the only thing that might help would be to get a verbal commitment from Casteel to take the DC position, should DB be willing to consider that direction. Even that would be a long shot to save his job at this point, I would think.
|5 years 25 weeks ago||503||
Will probably need at least that much to win and I don't even want to contemplate the alternative.
|5 years 26 weeks ago||Bowl Outcomes||
The "conventional wisdom" around here seems to be that the bowl outcomes will make little difference and DB has already made an irrevocable decision. I find that hard to completely accept. Consider the following two scenarios:
Scenario A: Michigan wins impressively in the Gator Bowl and Stanford gets thumped by Virginia Tech in the Orange Bowl.
Scenario B: Michigan is embarassed by MSU in the Gator Bowl and Stanford wins convincingly in the Orange Bowl.
I would estimate a 20% chance for each of these scenarios, with a better than even chance that something less decisive plays out. Scenario A would make it very difficult to justify a coaching change and Scenario B would make one very difficult to avoid. At the very least, the popularity of the ultimate decision would be greatly affected by these outcomes. Whether that would ultimately matter to Brandon, I can not say, but it is at least possible that his mind is not fully made up and part of the reason for his extended timetable is to see how the bowls play out (thus keeping potential pitchfork mobs at bay).
Personally, I would like to see RR back, but if Scenario B were to transpire, even I might be inclined to hop the fence.
|5 years 27 weeks ago||Church renovations||
Oh, but he did get the money ...
Allegedly from a $200-250K anonymous donation from Auburn boosters; though that part may be a bit hard to prove, since they neglected to write "War Eagle!" on the side of the paper bag with the cash.
|5 years 27 weeks ago||Capital One Cup Rationale||
In part, the Capital One Cup scoring is designed to break the stranglehold that Stanford has had over the NACDA Director's cup. By separating men's and women's trophies, not counting anything outside a top ten finish and weighting the sports differently, it gives a better chance to schools that are prominent in the higher visibility sports.
Still, I agree that the formulas are messed up. Not including men's or women's gymnastics seems strange, when that is an Olympic sport and most top schools have programs. Whoever rated the various sports obviously had a strong lacrosse bias to include it as a second tier sport for both men and women. Most division I football schools (including Michigan) play lacrosse at the club and not varsity level. Ice Hockey (men's only) is relegated to tier 3. When was the last time 113,000 people showed up for a lacrosse match?
|5 years 28 weeks ago||A prediction, of sorts||
No, I don't know what Dave Brandon will do, nor will I add to the abundant speculation on that topic.
But if the deceased equine is up for a few more whacks, it might be interesting for someone to conduct a poll now on whether Brandon is making a big mistake waiting until January to announce a coaching decision. Then re-ask the same question the day after signing day. My hunch is that there would be a lot of affirmative votes now, but by Feb 3rd, the extended timeline will seem like an inconsequential issue, and perhaps even a prudent course of action. Perhaps I'm wrong, but I think the current frenzy of impatience will prove unwarranted.
|5 years 28 weeks ago||Scott Wolf||
He is also known as kind of a creepy stalker-type with an obsession for having his photo taken with cheerleaders.
|5 years 28 weeks ago||Video Screens||
If you consider Brandon's comments about making the scoreboards 30-40% larger and filling most of that space with the video screen, that would take the video displays from the current 32' wide by 24' high to HD screens about 90-100 feet wide and 40-50 feet high. Those would be impressive and compare favorably to some of the best college video displays.
|5 years 28 weeks ago||Coverage may depend||
I live in the Northwest and have XM in my car. While there are usually Big Ten sports channels available, Michigan football and basketball games are seldom available. Apparently, an additional subscription to "Best of Sirius" would be required to access those channels.
So, depending on where you live and what your subscription package is, you may or may not have access to Michigan games on Sirius/XM.
|5 years 28 weeks ago||Just wondering ...||
If another SEC coach signed a contract with a similar clause to Les Miles (next highest plus $1) ... would both he and Les Miles be legally entitiled to an infinite salary?
Edit: ^^^ looks like someone else beat me to the same thought! Then again, I have also seen where the clause is actually next highest +$1000; yet both Urban Meyer and Nick Saban reportedly are paid more than Miles. So, have fun lawyers!
|5 years 28 weeks ago||Free tickets||
I happened to be in Tempe in 2003 when the Chargers had to relocate a home game to Sun Devil Stadium because of San Diego wildfires. Admission was free and there were still plenty of empty seats on a beautiful evening. I'm not sure how well that precedent might apply here.
|5 years 28 weeks ago||Particularly astounding because ...||
Particularly astounding because in 2005 the stadium was completely rebuilt into a modern facility and the capacity was reduced from 85,000 to 50,000. Imagine how disheartening it would be for the team to be playing in front of acres of empty seats in the old stadium.
|5 years 29 weeks ago||Tough night||
Was at the match last night and the service errors were definitely killers. It seemed that every time the team began to build a little momentum, it was snuffed out by a weak serve right into the net. Otherwise, it was a game effort under difficult circumstances and the team seemed to remain upbeat throughout the match.
|5 years 31 weeks ago||Ouch||
I, too, was embarassed reading the anti-OSU column penned by Stapleton. If you are trying to go over-the-top outrageous, you pretty much need to score big on the humor front, but his piece wasn't even remotely clever.
The OSU Lantern piece by Meisel was nothing special; just another regurgitation of the now familiar mantra from down south that pitiful leetel Michigan needs to get better to restore the rivalry to some prominence.
A Michigan win this year may be highly improbable, but improbable things happen on every football Saturday: isn't it our turn yet? We really need this win to begin restoring the universe to its rightful order where Buckeye fans are the crude, pathetic, potty-mouthed name-callers and we are the arrogant, condescending snobs.
|5 years 31 weeks ago||Let's not forget...||
A coaching change can also result in some potential new recruits (remember Roy Roundtree?) to offset potential losses. Personally, I hope RR is back, so I'm not using this as an argument to replace him, but in the extreme hypothetical, isn't it possible that some of Stanford's top ten incoming class are more committed to Harbaugh than to a Stanford team with a new staff?
Again, I am not advocating the change or suggesting that Harbaugh would be the guaranteed replacement, but the decision to change coaches should not be driven by the fear of losing current commitments.
|5 years 31 weeks ago||Looks possible||
Edit: ^^^ yeah, what he said! (a bit slow on the reply)
If Penn upsets Maryland, or Penn State beats the Penn/Maryland winner, it appears the quarterfinal match would be in Ann Arbor. Semifinals are in santa Barbara.
|5 years 31 weeks ago||Maybe not so bad||
Sorry, but your analysis is not correct. The initial bet to move the line is not a complete throwaway and has almost as much chance of paying off as the main bet; so in addition to serving the purpose of moving the line to a more favorable position, it also serves as something of an insurance policy against loss.
In the previous example, let's suppose you estimate that the probability of Michigan winning or Wisconsin winning by 5 or less is 55%, the probability of a 6 point Wisconsin win is 10%, and the probability of a Wisconsin win by 7 or more is 35%. Then a straight $12,500 bet against the -5.5 line would yield an expected return of $13,062.50 (a $562.50 average profit, assuming a $1.90 payoff for each dollar bet, counting house cut). Now if an initial $2500 bet on Wisconsin moved the line to -6.5, the new expected return would be $2137.50 on the Wisconsin bet (a $312.50 loss) and $12,350 (a $2,350 profit) on the $10000 Michigan bet (against a -6.5 line). So your net expected profit goes from $562.50 to $2037.50!
Now there are lots of caveats here: it is unlikely that a $2500 bet will move a Vegas line by a full point, a 10% probability for an exact 6 point margin is somewhat high, and the ability to accurately assess probabilities significantly better than the Vegas line requires great skill. Still, the point is that betting on both sides of a moving line can present some profit opportunities for skilled gamblers, especially if that movement is by several points.
|5 years 32 weeks ago||Denard and the record books||
There is an error in the first table above (rushing leaders): Denard now has 1417 total rushing yards.
Although I am eager to see Shoelace continue to write his name into the record books, there may be a silver lining to the fact that his pace has slowed somewhat. Now that his chances at the Heisman have all but evaporated this year, it might be better if he doesn't break the single season records by too much. That way, he can more easily rebreak those same records next year when he is making another, even stronger run at the Heisman and an even better Michigan team is contending for a Big Ten Championship. With a brighter spotlight focused on more wins and more broken records, perhaps the Heisman (and the MNC) may have their eyes on Ann Arbor next year.
|5 years 34 weeks ago||Yikes!||
As painful as it was to witness that disheartening loss in unHappy Valley. I never would have imagined that it was about to unleash such a tidal wave of panic, desperation and hopelessness among the Michigan faithful. This sets up the Illinois game not merely as a "must-win" game, but a "Quick! apply a tournaquet before the patient bleeds to death!" game.
For those rats among us who are not quite ready to take a swan dive off the ship's bow, I would like to offer a slightly more optimistic/hopeful perspective. The recent defensive position changes were necessary to realize any significant improvement this season. However, even a bye week was insufficient to prepare our youthful defenders for Penn State, and this may have cost us that game. With that game under their belts and another week of practice, though, the move will pay off with wins against Illinois and Purdue, and give us a fighting chance against Wisconsin and Ohio State. Coaches will be able to doff their flak jackets and recruits will be able to re-purchase their tickets to Ann Arbor.
Delusional? Perhaps, but at least this buys me a few extra days to wear the rose-colored glasses and look forward to Saturday's game. By Saturday evening. maybe the glasses will lie smashed to pieces on my rec room floor, but then again, perhaps the universe will have been set back in order.
|5 years 35 weeks ago||On the other hand ...||
I find it interesting that you conclude that it is inherently preferable to raise the decision- making threshold in favor of a more conventional, conservative strategy. One could equally make the case that you could lower the threshold, since the boundary cases don't much matter one way or another.
The deciding factor seems mostly based on perceptual, psychological considerations. Yes, bucking the conventional wisdom is likely to open a coach up to more criticism and second-guessing. Perhaps instances of failed, unconventional strategy could demoralize a team and embolden the enemy. On the other hand, one might postulate that a highly aggresive, unpredictable strategist could befuddle opposing coaches and intimidate opposing players: "Those guys are crazy, unrelenting offensive maniacs!" Going on fourth down might inspire greater confidence in an offensive unit, since they know the coach trusts them to get the job done in situations where other coaches would surrender. Anyway, it's just an alternative theory; one we will probably never learn the validity of, since very few coaches seem willing to risk their jobs defying the conventional wisdom.
The ultimate decision analysis would be based on win probability. This would require a large, multidimensional matrix of variables including distance, field position, score, and time remaining. The question would be: does the weighted probability of outcomes increase or decrease the likelihood of victory? A difficult problem, but doable. Even so, psychological impacts of strategy decisions are a real-world consideration and can never be accurately factored into a definitive mathematical analysis. The only thing for certain is that second-guessing is eternal and great fun at that.
|5 years 35 weeks ago||Let us not forget ...||
Michigan wins out ... MSU is beaten by Iowa and is "No Sparty!'d by a resurgent Penn State to close the season ... Iowa loses to Ohio State.
This creates a five way tie for first. Iowa is eliminated based on overall winning percentage. The closing fury of the Wolverines vaults them past the other teams in the BCS rankings and the Big Ten Champion and BCS bowl representative is ... Meeeechigan!!!!
It could happen! In fact, I calculate the approximate odds against at only 141 to 1. Stranger (but few more wonderful) things have happened. Keep the dream alive!
|5 years 38 weeks ago||James closing in?||
It's still only mid-season, so some article on Rivals is unlikely to carry any weight in the long run.
Even so, I found it somewhat frustrating to see LaMichael James break off a 76 yard touchdown run with 1:10 left in a game that was already well in hand. Not only did that elevate his rushing statistics for the night to a more attention-demanding 257 yards, but it also pushed Oregon passed Michigan into the number one total offense ranking.
James is an outstanding player, but he is still far behind Denard thus far in terms of the national spotlight.
|5 years 38 weeks ago||Career rushing average||
It is no doubt too early to even contemplate Denard's potential assault on career records. We can only hope that there will be two and a half more blissful years of amazing performances to savor in the ultimate pursuit of those goals.
Still, before anyone eyes the 109.1 per game average as easy pickin's, we must remember that Robinson played all 12 games in 2009, averaging 29.25 yards per game.That's not to say that Denard might not eventually smash the record, but those games will count to bring down the average.
A remaining question is whether all of those 2009 yards were gained from the quarterback position. I seem to recall various forms of trickeration employed to get DROB the ball last year and some of his rushing plays may not have been from a direct snap. I'm not sure how precisely the rushing records are distinguished in that manner, but is there any way to determine if any of his 351 rushing yards in 2009 would not count towards any quarterback records?
|5 years 38 weeks ago||Denard and NCAA record||
I have not seen this mentioned anywhere, but if he does rush for 100 yards, it will be one for the record books.
The current Division I (FBS) record for most consecutive 100 yard rushing games by a quarterback is 5. Denard is currently tied with four others. Another 100+ yard day of Denard rushing magic will give him sole ownership of the record.