landing spot. will be interesting to see how he does.
|3 days 9 hours ago||Florida was not a very tough||
Florida was not a very tough offense.
|4 days 42 min ago||Not even a comparison.||
Not even a comparison. Patriots.
If GS goes out it'll be more like the 1996 Red Wings.
|4 days 14 hours ago||The kinds of things you point||
The kinds of things you point out to lay folk in an article like this are not at all helpful to an opponent. This is all elementary. The coaches go into way more detail at coaching clinics that everyone goes to.
That is especially true for this article. Brown defends this about the same way Dantonio and most everybody does. I even showed you how the three basic things defenses do are the same exact things he wrote in his playbook. You tell Urban Meyer that Michigan recruited a high-acceleration, highly intelligent future WDE as a spread beater and he'll be like "Uh, well darn, I guess we have to play football." Might as well point out to the political campaigns that this ad or that is trying to excite the base. It's like Duh.
|4 days 15 hours ago||Shuffle by the DE made the||
Shuffle by the DE made the handoff not a sure thing. Quarterbacks will naturally trust themselves more than their RBs. One of the things that made Pat White so effective is he would really let the play develop.
|4 days 15 hours ago||I thought so too until Rich||
I thought so too until Rich Rod corrected someone else who thought that. Lemme try to find the quote.
|5 days 13 hours ago||THIS sunday? I don't think||
THIS sunday? I don't think all the articles will even be in. In fact I'm almost sure they won't be.
(they were due a month ago but, you know...)
July 4 weekend for kickstarter backers is the goal. PDF version of the actual book will come out before that for kickstarter backers. I'll have a digital edition on Kindle and iBooks soon after.
|5 days 15 hours ago||Take this as my opinion,||
Take this as my opinion, though one formed by now 8 years of being in the same business: Sam and Steve are vastly underpaid.
Sam makes most of his living off of WTKA. Lorenz ought to have a nicer house than me. The subscription model is about equal to the be the biggest site and sell ads model as far as bringing in dollars. The reason 247 and Scout are able to kick ass right now is because they have the best players under contract for far less than they're worth.
|5 days 15 hours ago||Since we've been||
Since we've been self-publishing:
2012: Denard Robinson
2013: Taylor Lewan
2014: Jake Ryan
2015: Jim Harbaugh
Until last year we always had a current athlete. As WD noted, every publication that covers collegiate athletics puts players on their covers. The fair use argument for using a photo of a person you are writing about is on extremely sound footing. HTTV will have Jabrill on the cover as long as I'm the editor of it.
As for the Kickstarter image, let's just say I don't have any relationship with Disney, so if they decide they have a problem with it I won't hold back.
|6 days 15 hours ago||Typically if I see a||
Typically if I see a political bumper sticker on your car I will think less of you. But there's a guy in my neighborhood with a '72 vette and a vintage McGovern-Shriver sticker on it. I thought that was pretty cool.
|6 days 15 hours ago||(No subject)||
|1 week 1 day ago||I think the argument is||
I think the argument is football is worth it. I think you have to weigh the pros vs the likely cons. It's not just head injuries--football players deal with injuries their whole lives after. They're also generally more successful in life because of the things football instills in you. It's a decision that should be made with all the information, and on an individual basis, and made from scratch at every level, because those risks increase with each step.
|1 week 1 day ago||Oh they're still around, but||
Oh they're still around, but they're hanging out in the Hail to the Victors team previews these days:
If you want 'em you've got one week to get them.
|1 week 2 days ago||To catch you up I wrote an||
To catch you up I wrote an article last year on redshirting decisions at UM dating back to the 1993 class (data are here) and Lanknows argued some in the comments then wrote a full diary, so I fisked that in Dear Diary and then we got into it in the comments again.
Original is here: http://mgoblog.com/content/h4-burned-redshirts-order-argh
To summarize the better parts of arguments as I understood them, Lanknows said there's value in not auto-redshirting because of competition, and I agreed; and he said there's value in getting snaps if you're going to play soon and I agreed; and he said clearing out players faster gets you more recruiting opportunities and I disagreed.
At this point we are just really arguing about what to do with the players who aren't going to get many snaps and aren't going to affect more than 1 or 2 plays a year. And not QBs or OL. Like we'd probably disagree on EMB this year--I don't think he's arguing for Brandon Peters to play this year, and I already said in this article that at least two of the receivers ought to play.
To the first two points I said that's a value judgment you make on an individual basis and I think he agreed. To the last point, I said a redshirt is an option you can only exercise once, so there's value in retaining it as an asset. If you get to Year 5 and the guy can't play, you can send him off with a handshake and offer the next worst player on your recruiting radar.
So that's where we went off the rails. I had an exhaustive list of 5th year seniors who contributed, and he wouldn't accept the stock option analogy, and that took 40 rounds. I do think this is the first time he's brought Urban Meyer's honesty into the equation.
There's one more point he should have made, which is a 5th year guy is usually able to grad transfer, so when you make your decision on cashing in your asset remember he could potentially leave and play immediately for anyone else that year. But that's a rarity. Usually if you have a 5th year player in line to start and you're still the guy coaching him, he's going to play for you.
|1 week 2 days ago||I didn't disagree with any of||
I didn't disagree with any of Harbaugh's redshirts last year. Did you? I mean:
Often a coach's first class will play early because of greater attrition and getting guys he wants to fulfill a certain role, and this was conservative by the standards of the last three Michigan coaches. They got redshirts on Malzone, Gentry, Wheatley, Ulizio, Runyan, S.Johnson, R.Jones, Washington, and even the kicker, Andrew David. They even got a redshirt on Shane Morris! And when Brian Mone was available for Florida (and chomping at the bit to play vs OSU) they held him out then too so he'd get his full medical year.
I can't complain about any of those decisions. Newsome maybe a little more now that he had such an awful spring game but it's not fair to use my perceptions from now when at the time I thought it made sense.
|1 week 2 days ago||Well shit if Urban Meyer says||
Well shit if Urban Meyer says a thing it must be true, even if he immediately belied it.
|1 week 2 days ago||I'm not going 40 rounds with||
I'm not going 40 rounds with you on redshirts again. You are still wrong:
|2 weeks 1 day ago||40 frames hast the moment of||
40 frames hast the moment of zen.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Brandon was fully embraced in||
Brandon was fully embraced in the middle of the losing, when he pimp-handed the NCAA. We started getting very loud noises coming from inside the department before 2011, but around the time of The Process, opinion had begun to shift on Brandon.
Even before that, in 2010, Brandon wanted to move Michigan-Ohio State to midseason. The idea made it rain angry emails, and Brandon fired back the first of the responses that ultimately ruined him. He floated that awful cartoonish mascot. He played Pump Up the Volume over the band. He scheduled Appalachian State.
This is all in 2011, before the team had played a down under Brady Hoke. If App State was the shift point in public opinion on Dave Brandon, you can't really argue it was about the winning. By the time Michigan finally ended Ohio State's streak, we'd already gone to war.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Yes and no. The guys who get||
Yes and no. The guys who get that info, particularly Lorenz and Sam, are what's valuable, not the sites themselves. If the subscription model collapsed, we'd snatch those guys up and print the same stuff for free.
I ran into TomVH yesterday and we talked about how different the business is today than when we both got started here. Blogs used to be on the outside looking in, and every site was out there trying to outdo each other in the tiny morsels that fell to them.
Now it's an ongoing conversation as we try to piece the puzzle together from all these different sources, with the subscription sites still publishing whatever they brought to the table, but with better insight into what it means, and a better shot at ferretting out the bogus stuff. Rivals hired both guys we ever tried to give Tom's beat, but by not competing in that sphere we don't have to compete for info, so we get all of it.
So today it's less like the old journalism model and more like colleagues in an academic field, where the archaeologists are publishing their findings and the professors write secondary sources, but everyone (or most everyone) is talking behind the scenes to get it right. If you're a serious student of that field, you pay to get at the primary sources. If you're casual, you download the podcast, which inevitably makes you desire more info so you buy the primary sources. I think it worked out better for everyone, except those who decided to keep going it alone.
|2 weeks 4 days ago||We're aware but can't fix. It||
We're aware but can't fix. It works on the mobile app apparently
|2 weeks 4 days ago||moved up because we were getting thin||
We are getting thin so I'm moving the response up here.
What if Michigan was discovered by Ponce de Leon
Southern schools would benefit too from satellite camps. FSU should hold them in Ohio and LA and Houston, or join another big time program who does. If the SEC was smart they'd band together and do a satellite tour of their own, and drag ESPN along for the ride. Just because there's more per capita talent in the south that hardly means all the football is there; not even half of it is.
If's are dangerous--demographics and economics and history put things where they are. That said, if you transported Ann Arbor to Jacksonville, it still comes with Jim Harbaugh, and he'd almost certainly be pushing satellite camps as well, because Michigan still has more money and a harder working coach, and satellite camps are one way to use those things to Michigan's advantage. He'd still have a camp in Saban's backyard.
Don't forget one of the biggest and oldest satellite camps in the country is Sound Mind Sound Body, which is a camp Michigan and Michigan State put together. This didn't start as a raid on Southern talent; satellite camps have been a Michigan thing for awhile. What turned them into a national issue was James Franklin dabbling his toes in the "we don't take kindly" region, and Harbaugh blowing the doors off. To the rest of Americans, selling your thing elsewhere in America is just America: state to state, no papers. At the core of the issue, there's nothing here except the South is offended at the idea of fancy pants (or ahem Wal-Mart khakis) carpetbaggers comin' down and pilfering their precious footballers. In MI America, that happens because you deserve it.
The relative value of the status quo to Florida
Why should Michigan care if the value of satellite camps are higher to Michigan than, say (using an example we probably both hate) Florida? Fuck Florida. Michigan wants to beat Florida for recruits, stomp 'em in bowls, and oh yeah we play them soon too. This is a competition, not a beautillion ball (I actually don't know how beautillion balls work so I may be totally wrong about that).
The "relative" value is that Florida merely exists in closer proximity to more talent than Michigan. Florida relatively benefits from a system in which you can only hold camps within 50 miles of your campus, because they have a wealthy 50 mile radius. Florida also relatively benefits from a rule that states only Florida can have camps, period.
Those relative values are meaningful only to Florida. That is why Michigan's argument for satellite camps is all about what the players benefit.
Mere proximity doesn't give Florida a right to first dibs. If Michigan holds a camp at Disney World and runs off with Mickey and Minnie's son, well, Michael Mouse Jr. goes to a better school that was a better fit, Michigan gets a better player than the scholarship would otherwise have gone to, and boo hoo Florida has one less spot in their class filled.
It's all the same whether Michigan or Florida gets better at football, but Florida's advantage happens to coincide with the players' disadvantage, while what Michigan wants and what the players want are in alignment. Nobody cares, Florida. Nobody cares, Michigan. The players benefit from the camps; that's what matters.
No Papers vs. Freeze's summer vacation
When you say "current model" it's unclear what other model you are talking about. There's the one Hugh Freeze put forth where you can invite sub-Power 5 schools but not Power 5 schools, but that again just cuts off the value to the players, and serves only the interest of regional schools afraid they won't be the local kids' only choice. So there are two models without banning satellite camps: the AMERICA I WILL BUY A WINNEBAGO AND DRIVE STATE TO STATE NO PAPERS? NO PAPERS. model, and the THINK OF HUGH FREEZE'S CHILDREN model. If there's another, by all means propose it.
As for proliferation, you just saw how that works when Rutgers called Ohio State and tried to hold a camp the same day as Michigan's in NJ. Result: the parents are pissed. That is not ideal, and since the sensitivity of those parents matters to the schools tha puts a cap on how many camps can be held. As markets do, this will settle out, probably with Michigan in good position for being the early adopter, and whatever school figures out how to make them more valuable for the players also in good position.
Money is not equal, nor does it have to be
The free market isn't perfect, but it should remain the default. What needs defending is not the liberty to spend your money on stuff you want--freedom is the base assumption, and any limitation on freedom has to have a much better reason than protecting unfair advantages in the status quo.
I'm already tiptoeing around politics here by talking about free markets and such, but the general American consensus when it comes to buying stuff with your money is you can buy whatever you want until it affects the rights of another. If the result of Michigan spending what Florida can't afford is that Michigan finds more kids who wanted to go to Michigan, okey dokey. You're allowed to use money to compete.
I will be the first to admit that college football is royally unbalanced. Eastern Michigan has a 0.00000% chance of ever winning the national title they nominally compete with Alabama for every year. There are only a handful of elites sitting on ungodly gobs of money, and a bunch more bourgeosie spending themselves to bankruptcy to keep up the fiction that they're also nobility.
By your own admission, satellite camps aren't going to change that. What they do is provide a small advantage for a super wealthy school with a coach willing to put in the time. Effect on the market: nil. Eastern Michigan remains Eastern Michigan.
What's Best for College Football (read: Hugh Freeze's kids)
When you get into "what's best for college football" are you asking what is best for parity? Because Michigan has a gap to close with Ohio State, Alabama, and an unfair disadvantage with a host of other schools because we have a compliance department that's actually functional (I won't claim perfect, but it's closer to that than to Ole Miss).
This may seem off topic, but we're talking about the same regulatory body here. If the NCAA was the EPA, they'd be letting coal-fired power plants ignore all the laws on the books, then hammering a solar company for giving away free solar panels to coal power customers. Different issues, certainly, but coal and solar are competing for the same electric bills, and the arbitrary enforcement is changing the dynamics of the market for reasons unrelated to the public good.
What's best for the majority of D-I schools is access to a wider pool of talent. That's why the SEC had to play Floridian politics to get the ban passed, and why it got overturned entirely by a body that usually rubber-stamps such things. There's only a small minority of flagship state schools in talent-rich states who are better off if they could prevent access to out-of-state schools. They happen to be the same schools spittin' coal dust and telling the rest of us to choke on it, so fuck 'em.
College football is totally fine as long as they can put it on TV and keep the money (a whole different argument). In fact it is more than fine. It is so spectacularly awesome right now that small schools dump most of their other men's teams then charge fees to their students to have way more college football than they should be able to afford.
Work in JULY? What is this, America?
As for the coaches who have to work harder because June and July is suddenly part of the "recruiting calendar", those are the same guys who have been the primary beneficiaries of all this wealth. I just wrote an article about how ludicrous it was that Texas A&M offered Bo a quarter of what is now average for a mid-major head coach. Assistants even make over $1 million.
The kids themselves would prefer satellite camps to any other part of the recruiting process. You spoke earlier here about blue chips not wanting to attend. You probably don't know many blue chips. Those I know are all manically competitive. They got to be the elites because they can stretch their talent further. Jourdan Lewis is one of the best corners in the country, and he was a 4-star as a high schooler, but he got that 4 stars by going to camps and competing his ass off. The camps aren't just about the 2017 kids--they are often the place where a sophomore or junior gets noticed for the first time.
I'll let you fall on your sword when the 5-stars do show up to camps, but once again Donovan Peoples-Jones, one of the best WRs in his class who could go anywhere, was the recruit at the center of the player movement to overturn the ban.
What the satellite camps replace are the 7-on-7's that have been proliferating since the 1990s. Those are run by often less than savory dudes, and the coaching instruction is sub par. Power 5 coaches are some of the best in the country, comparable only to the NFL guys, and then a lot of the NFL coaches are long removed from when they had to spend a majority of their time drilling fundamentals. They're who are setting the demand for these things, and any restrictions have to first demonstrate that they're not just screwing those kids out of something there's no reason they shouldn't have.
Don't be shortsighted
Your faux concern for Michigan's ROI is well noted. Thank you for caring. What is the address of your place of business so we can send the thank you for caring card?
I admit I have an ulterior motive for wanting your address: if you happen to work for a tradeable company I may want to short your stock, since you don't seem to have put much thought into long-term investment or real value.
You harped on 50% (give or take) of every championship team being built of 4- and 5-stars..."blue chips." First of all who's to say that 15-year-old DE throwing his barely pubescent body at registered voters won't be Rashan Gary in a few years?
Second: JUST FIFTY PERCENT! Where's the other half of your team going to come from? Recruiting stars matter in the aggregate but they also have a huge margin of error. Highlight reels don't show inconsistency, or problem areas. The sites tend to rate guys with early growth spurts who went to THEIR camp higher, then forget to adjust much. Very successful coaches routinely say stars don't matter because coaches don't have the luxury of being half as wrong as stars are.
Their evalutations are meticulous, and often they are looking at things that other coaches aren't, for example Josh Uche, a find out of Miami, probably won't be an NFL defensive end, but he excellent skills that translate to being a weapon against college zone reads. Michigan and Florida both needed that badly--if D.J. Durkin hadn't been at Florida before Michigan would never have known about Uche.
Long-term the benefits are immeasurable; that doesn't mean you throw them out. Meeting coaches, meeting young players who may blow up in one or two years, and even if the local 5-star guy doesn't come his best friend the 3-star nose tackle may.
It is, as many satellite camp opponents have noted with cynicism, a sales tour. Actually I'd liken them more to trade shows. I'm certain in the history of American business, some belt-tightening bureaucrat upstairs thought that trade shows should no longer be necessary now that telegraphs exists. This is still wrong. Every year no matter how much you can learn about gadgets and whizpoppers online, and no matter how recognizable their brand may be, General Electric goes all around the country buying up acres of floor space at things shows, half of which they put on themselves. And every time they do so, some local contraptionamawhatsit company asks why GE bothers to spend all that money just in hopes of selling maybe one small contraptionamawhatsit.
GE thanks him for his concern; will you be at WEFTEC, RemTEC, AWWA, A&WMA, IFAT, The Power Show, World of Concrete, Distrubutech, IPPE, Photonics West, PGMA, IPC APEX, AAPEX, RSA, Aviation Week, JEC, Bio Expo, Semicon, Glassbuild, and Power-Gen? Because we're going. In fact I think we shall buy a pickup truck. And drive it State to state. With no papers.
|2 weeks 4 days ago||Thanks for making a||
Thanks for making a case.
Regarding ROI: That's up to the schools. Michigan has more money than it can legally spend, so from Michigan's perspective any time money can be used to an advantage, that's a good thing. If it's super expensive that just means we can do it and other schools can't. $20,000 for one or two contributors that would have otherwise gone to non-contributors? Sold.
Regarding the recruiting calendar: If you ask the players themselves, the #1 thing they like about the recruiting process, normally, are the camps. As much as the NCAA likes to pretend otherwise, these are uber-elites who've dedicated their lives to excelling at this one thing, and the chance to show that off live, as well as get instruction from some of the best coaches in the country (and get a feel for their coaching sytles), is eleventy bazillion times more valuable to them than letters or texts or even in-home meetings. Coaches don't necessary like having to work in the summer, but they long ago stopped making teachers' salaries.
Let's be frank about this: the biggest problem Southern schools have with these camps is it increases the nationalization of recruiting, which does not benefit the schools in closest proximity to the most talent.
|2 weeks 5 days ago||My text string with my mom is||
My text string with my mom is 12% me asking her to turn the f'ing phone sideways when she takes a video.
|2 weeks 5 days ago||I covered this in Dear Diary||
I covered this in Dear Diary when it came out too. Anyway it's awesome so letting the thread stick.
|2 weeks 5 days ago||Blaming the manager in||
Blaming the manager in baseball is like blaming the student manager in football. Yes if he's doing a bad job it can affect the team, but the difference between the best and worst manager in baseball is probably something like a game a year.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||You asked for an example and||
You asked for an example and I gave you the first one off the top of my head. The burden of proof goes both ways and so far I haven't seen you produce one convincing argument other than you "believe" satellite camps are worthless.
if you can build a case for why satellite camps are not worth the effort expended on them, do so, because the world is already operating as if they are, and you've been provided ample evidence for why that is. It's high time you offered some.
|3 weeks 10 hours ago||Yes dude and you are done now||
He was a QB before the spread had taken root. Next time I talk to him I'll get the full story but the gist is Michigan found him by attending a camp in Pennsylvania and decided to offer then figure out his position later. His ratings climbed over the course of his senior season due to an electric highlight reel.
I think you've been thoroughly answered now. It's not hard to prove that scouting is important in recruiting, or that seeing players in person helps in their recruitment. I have a strong sense now that you came in here hoping to have an argument for your position, not test its validity. I think you should stop now since your horse is good and dead.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Steve Breaston.||
|3 weeks 1 day ago||"It all helps" answers it.||
"It all helps" answers it. Every rep in practice isn't the one that locks in the muscle memory that is triggered to win The Game. But every rep could be. Satellite camps expand the pool of players they evaluate and have personal interactions with, including the blue chips. Michigan has gotten camp commits as long as there have been camps. Plenty of them were contributors. The value of this isn't hard to prove, short or long term.
In the short term it also got the SEC and some other schools we compete with to look like lazy anti-student fools. The Big Ten and Harbaugh especially will get to hold that episode over their heads for years. Think Donovan Peoples-Jones feels the same way about the SEC after his mom wrote the petition to reverse their rule?
|3 weeks 1 day ago||it all helps.||
it all helps.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Sample sucks. Map is||
Sample sucks. Map is irrelevant.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Yeah I got so frickin bored||
Yeah I got so frickin bored by that movie. Fortunately never watched the 2nd.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Into the Woods was a play not||
Into the Woods was a play not a book. And this particular play makes all sorts of references to the theater that are lost--along with the point--when translated to celluloid.
The cheapness of the production and awfulness of the characters are intrinsic to the production. There are really three ways to play Into the Woods:
Anyway in all three versions the whole idea is to make the cheap production charming (or at least bearable for parents who have to lose an evening to watching 7-year-olds act). Putting it on screen loses the whole point of it.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||it's not even close||
Only time I've ever walked out of the theater. No redeeming qualities. Also I don't recommend any MST3K movies without the robots. I had that fan moment when I decided I wanted to watch the real film once and OH MY GOD.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||none of us drafted him last||
none of us drafted him last summer when. That was quite the oversight.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||So before the spring game I||
So before the spring game I was standing around the tunnel entrance for 20 minutes trying to track down Kevin from the Alumni Association, who was giving a tour of the stadium. The whole time there was a guy standing around also waiting, but his tag was turned around so I couldn't tell his name. I knew he had to be a former player--he had that mass -- the kind a guy who used to be a major athlete carries 10 years after that's over (e.g. Charles Barkley or Marcus Ray) except he was also a good five inches taller than me.
And he did seem kind of familiar--like one I should know, but I couldn't place him and was beating myself up the whole time for being the idiot who covers this stuff for a living and can't name a friggin former player. Finally someone showed up who knew him and called him "Mike." That didn't help either. After he'd left I asked one of the staffers about who that was.
Anyway that's the story of how I stood for 20 minutes next to Michael Onwenu and didn't talk to him.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||I figured you left Thompson||
I figured you left Thompson out because we didn't see enough of him to explore the ceiling. He kinda topped out at a stiff 2-down run stopper with one glorious Wisconsin INT to remember him by.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||it's effective but also||
it's effective but also annoying and I'd rather use up the few annoyances we allocate to sell sponsorship to someone who might offer you a service or good you really want. HTTV is basically the year's fundraiser. And shirts.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Still waiting for his people||
Still waiting for his people to approve it.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Why would you want to miss our ads anyway?||
That's the base ad for UGP. And you'll see deals on there all the time for MGoStore stuff we're trying to unload. You'll also find an attorney who's an expert on Ann Arbor tickets, and a hotel in downtown Ann Arbor that's owned by the son of a former Michigan AD and the recruits all stay when they're on official visits until Harbaugh and Drevno come to the lobby to collect them. And deals on parking. And a ticket exchange where you can sell to fellow readers. And the HTTV counter. And free tickets to see the new Ann Arbor soccer team.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||DUDE! That is amazing!||
That is amazing!
|3 weeks 2 days ago||$1200 and $1100 if i recall.||
$1200 and $1100 if i recall.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Since 80% of these end up||
Since 80% of these end up next to or on a toilet, I'd have to say yes.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Go back to the beginning of||
Go back to the beginning of man and you'll find his homo erectus parents talking about how entitled the little kids with the big heads are these days. It's not good enough to hunt an animal with a hand-axe, they gotta go around drawing their adventures on walls. No accountability! Me! Me! Me!
Every generation produces entitlted shits. They're entitled shits as kids, and when they're older they complain about how kids these days are entitled selfish shits. When you study history one thing that becomes apparent is that people don't change--just their customs and circumstances and technology do.
My grandpa and my dad had a rift that lasted from the end of high school until I was born because my grandpa, who'd grown up in the Depression and fought way more than his fair share of WWII, thought my dad was being an entitled brat by not wanting to go to Vietnam. There's one clear-cut example of when one generation really did get a shittier end of the stick than the one after them, and still: pointing it out did zero good and ultimately hurt everything. And since the current elder generation are those same Baby Boomers who got it better than any generation in history, now is as good a time as any to put that stupid sentiment to bed.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||I only ever cared about one||
I only ever cared about one pair of shoes: Reebok Blacktops (in Bulls colors even though i wasn't a Bulls fan) circa 1991-'92. They were great but got overshadowed immediately when Pumps came out of nowhere and that become the thing. But those blacktops were the most comfortable pair of shoes I ever owned. Probably subconsciously put off my growth spurt to make sure I could wear them out.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||Working.||
|3 weeks 3 days ago||Seriously thank you guys!||
Seriously thank you guys! Before HTTV let me write about Michigan football for a living I used to help companies improve their environmental footprint while saving money and passing those savings on to their consumers. THIS IS SO MUCH BETTER THAN THAT JOB!
|3 weeks 3 days ago||$2.00 per thousand PVs per ad||
$2.00 per thousand PVs per ad position. Times four ad spots that is $8.00 per month for a dedicated reader.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||We will ask you for your||
We will ask you for your address after it gets funded (in 23 days). We've learned the later we ask this the fewer problems like yours occur.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||de||
can i have your raisins?
|3 weeks 3 days ago||So-so was qualified. Missing||
So-so was qualified. Missing that qualification changes the entire takeaway.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||Thanks chitownblue.||
|3 weeks 3 days ago||For our part I'd ask that you||
For our part I'd ask that you just turn off AdBlock for our site. We keep the crap ads away from you, and our advertisers are guys often the guys trying to reach you directly with something you'd value. Like if you're in Ann Arbor or just east of there you'll be getting MichiganLawGrad.com ads right now. This is a dude who reads this site and is an expert at dealing with the b.s. tickets they hand out like candy on Gamedays.
If you do insist on adblock just use Beveled Guilt and include a message that you felt guilty about blocking the ads.
Something like the above won't help us very much because their algorithyms are all off. We produce thoughtful longform content--reading an entire Upon Further Review would get us the same amount of pageviews as Bleacher Report gets for every slide of a slideshow top 10 they put together in 3 minutes. Most sites are calibrated to maximize ad impressions; ours is calibrated to be most enjoyable for the reader while still allowing us to make a living.
|3 weeks 4 days ago||No guts||
Guy on internet message board with an anonymous internet handle shouldn't call out pac12 coaches letting Harbaugh stay rent free in their heads.
|3 weeks 4 days ago||The M Den - Tent Sale on May 7th||
I charge sponsors for board posts and often that's to announce a sale on Michigan stuff.
|3 weeks 4 days ago||I wish I could express how||
I wish I could express how happy I am to see you on the other side of this. We need you back on the front lines, and posting diaries of stats with cats.
|3 weeks 5 days ago||That wasn't brian it was||
That wasn't brian it was catlab.
|3 weeks 5 days ago||I saved 1/10th of them: KORK||
I saved 1/10th of them:
KORK COUPONS CAN HAZ HTRS
|3 weeks 5 days ago||Here's the status on back issues.||
We don't carry them in the warehouse so it's about what I have in my personal inventory. That is:
Before that HTTV was put out by the now-defunct Maple Street Press. The last one they wouldn't even call HTTV (and they never paid us for it...stringing us along for months before they could declare bankruptcy). I only have my personal copies of these since I wasn't the publisher--I just copyedited the PDFs back then. But you can always try ebay or whatever. The first one was 2007.
Since I am TERRIBLE at getting to the post office in a timely fashion (it's not even that far from me--I just can't ever get out of the house during business hours), I don't bother putting the back issues on sale. But if you're going to be at an MGoEvent or if you ever want to come by (14 mile and Northwestern in West Bloomfield) I'm happy to do a hand-to-hand cash exchange.
|3 weeks 6 days ago||Woikin on it.||
Kickstarter should be up soon.
|4 weeks 1 day ago||I remember the shirt--it was||
I remember the shirt--it was a SixZero design that If thewas reused for the iPhone app. If the plate's gone the shirt's gone. I don't know if it was kept. UGP are the guys to email.
|4 weeks 2 days ago||They didn't run much read||
They didn't run much read option in 2011. They did run an inverted veer option, but not correctly, and it didn't really have the option component--they would block the end the real play is supposed to option, and left a linebacker unblocked for Denard to deal with. It worked well because "Denard: I need you to dodge this totally unblocked guy!" actually worked as an offense.
The zone read was in the offense under Gardner, but--and forgive me if this is just reading too much into things--I remember a lot of the time he checked into that, so I imagine it wasn't Borges's intent to call those so often.
Hindsight doesn't matter. In January 2011 the clear move was to retain Magee or if that wasn't doable, retain the offense, which was No. 2 in the country despite every key member of it having SOPHOMORE eligibility or less.
|4 weeks 2 days ago||Bullshit. Gray sweatshirts,||
Bullshit. Gray sweatshirts, rattier the better.
|4 weeks 2 days ago||Borges was a square peg from||
Borges was a square peg from the get-go. The media always say nice things about the new guy, and we didn't think he would get as bad as he did, but Borges was an adequate OC by 1990s Michigan standards. Like on his way in I'd have said he fits between Stan Parrish and Terry Malone.
But Hoke shouldn't have hired his old buddy nor tried to change the offense. He had two more years of Denard and two of Devin Gardner after that. All he had to do was retain Calvin Magee and let him run the offense. We didn't realize it at the time but Cal said he would have stayed if asked. He loved the players they'd recruited, and wanted to be a head coach one day. And anyone who argues that Magee wouldn't have gotten along with the new staff doesn't know Cal Magee.
|4 weeks 3 days ago||Zepplin IV on tape, then||
Zepplin IV on tape, then rebought it a month later on CD.
The CD run was with a bunch of Harmony House gift certificates I got for my 12th birthday (so December 1991). I got IV, Pocket Full of Kryptonite, and Blood Sugar Sex Magik on that trip, the latter two because the girl at the store recommended them as the best new things that year. The gift certificates paid for about 2 1/2 of those.
My friends gave me shit for not getting Nevermind, so we pooled our lunch money (mostly mine) a week or two later to get that and a pack of blank casettes so we could all get a copy.
|4 weeks 3 days ago||ty.||
|4 weeks 3 days ago||Step up the anti-spam||
We're not going to have any software solutions while Brian's out so please step up your vigilence. Check old threads you've posted in and see if there's new comments.
|4 weeks 4 days ago||I would bet that's his||
I would bet that's his instruction too. But in the noise of a night spring game for a guy who's been waiting all his life for this chance to get on the field and prove himself, and who's been cocking it up all night so far, never underestimate how far that instruction might be from his mind at that moment.
|4 weeks 4 days ago||I'd like Sharik to weigh in||
I'd like Sharik to weigh in since he watched more than I did, but I watched a lot of Brown's D this winter and I came away believing that he's got some 3-4 in his defense. Often you'll see his Anchor playing a soft edge, and most plays you'll note his linemen attack dudes not gaps right off the snap--only then do they control a gap. His playbook has a lot of two-gapping but those are mostly for passing, with a safety or linebacker or CB responsible for the edge against a run.
On this play as best as I can tell the gap responsibilities are as follows:
However the MLB on a power play becomes a help defender once the RB is committed or his gap doesn't exist anymore. The CB is a force defender and the two safeties are help defenders. The MLB clearly had the A gap--the question is just when is he supposed to abandon that gap? I can't think of anyone else on this play who should have been in the backside A gap. Only thing you can "should" is that Godin should have fought to make the gap smaller by pushing a walk-on guard back. What I don't believe is that a basic 8-man front like this doesn't have an answer for the cutback lane.
|4 weeks 4 days ago||It's a hard play yes but||
It's a hard play yes but remember a 4-3 under (which the defense ends up being after the TE shift) has to work like a 3-4. A free MLB has to read and react, and still control his gap as long as the gap exists.
Mone did him a favor (at risk of a hold) by keeping the guard from releasing and leaving the MLB free to react to whatever the feet of the RB are doing. Technically when the front flipped the MLB became the WLB. He's got to think like one: hold your gap until the RB can't get to it, and stay clean. This guy is fighting to get to the frontside B gap when Isaac is running right by him.
So I'm pretty convinced the guy who's running himself out of the play when everybody else is being useful is the culprit. In fact I thought he was the culprit on a lot of the white team's offense in spring.
|4 weeks 4 days ago||Ryan Glasgow graduated to the||
Ryan Glasgow graduated to the Blessed Order of St. Kovacs as a sophomore, and might have the order renamed for himself.
Jordan Glasgow was the rover on this play. While he's got the bloodlines and is at a position where depth issues certainly leave room for a walk-on to become a long term starter, he's nowhere near that yet.
|4 weeks 4 days ago||I said that||
This guy had a rough spring game. Like as bad as I've seen. But what good does it do us to focus on guys who are never going to play? His screwup was advantageous for us since it gave us an opportunity to see things like:
I didn't want to get overly technical but I'm sure Space Coyote will appear in this thread shortly to explain that when you run this against Under fronts you kinda watch the MLB and see if there's a cutback because it makes life hard on that guy (against an over front usually the frontside is where it's at, for obvious reasons when you look at the alignment). This was an over front when the defense put its hands down:
But by the snap the offense's shift has made it an under front. This:
as far as what each player is doing, is basically this:
|4 weeks 5 days ago||Brian already posted a spring||
Brian already posted a spring recap to the front page. It would have been presumptive to post another without him assigning it.
|5 weeks 1 day ago||Anonymous NFL sources are the||
Anonymous NFL sources are the worst. Every year they throw these bombs out there for other teams' GMs to step in. Go back far enough and you can find someone saying there's something "off" about Jim Harbaugh, and bringing up when he got kicked off the team for off field issues as a sign that he's not a team player and can't be coached.
That also may explain how he fell all the way to THOSE Bears.
|5 weeks 2 days ago||If you did that rather than||
If you did that rather than read this article I would say you have much better time management skills than most of us here.
|5 weeks 3 days ago||Do a little shopping online||
Do a little shopping online for stuff you're into and that'll be the ads.
There are three levels to the two ad positions where we run network ads:
Also they notice the word "Butt" appears here often and they aren't able to understand that's a person.
|5 weeks 3 days ago||I don't mind if people||
I don't mind if people adblock us so long as they go to Beveled Guilt once a year and maybe buy a shirt and the book. Been thinking about offering an ad-/guilt-free option to anyone who wants to pay $100 a year or something for a shirt, HTTV, and a free drink at a bar night, something like that.
|6 weeks 1 day ago||The play design and the||
The play design and the distribution of skills was the point of this article. I tried my best to make it clear throughout that the result of the play was not the main takeaway, since there are backups and backups to backups and a 190-pound guy named Kaminski playing a defensive end position. What's there to learn about Kalis turning MLB #92 into paste? It's more interesting by far that Brown was putting his strong safety in a position like that.
|6 weeks 1 day ago||It's based on what the||
It's based on what the defense was asking him to do. The offense is aligning as if to run the base Power play, which would go right over Kinnel. Tyree has the tight end in man coverage but he's also got that C gap if the tight end stays in to block. If the TE gets a release there's no help, and if the TE blows Kinnel off the line there's a huge running lane in the exact spot the offense is most likely and most set up to attack. The defense is essentially trusting Kinnel to dominate that matchup, taking care of two hard things to free up the MLB to do an unexpected thing (blitz a gap that the WLB is already blitzing).
|6 weeks 3 days ago||The Big Ten made the same||
The Big Ten made the same call on Ojemudia months ago and that was close to the same case. MSU has two cases pending that are equally open-and-shut. The best I can tell the NCAA committee for this* only meets a few times a year and then they issue a handful of rulings and move on. These seniors should have been expedited, but I haven't seen a lot of other cases this year to suggest that they were overwhelmed.
It could be Iowa did something wrong. Or the Big Ten took too long to rule.
* [Note: I believe the Big Ten rules on 5th year cases. The NCAA has to rule on 6th years. I looked this all up months ago when MSU was trying to bullshit Ed Davis and a DT into 6th years]
|7 weeks 1 day ago||Except the rare invention||
Except the rare invention that totally changes the game, like the shotgun formation, or zone read, or timing routes, or cover 2 defense, a lot of innovation in college football is finding a way to make old things simpler to understand. But coaches are never satisfied (and can't get complacent) so the simple trick turns into a base of a complicated set of instructions and plays, until that too gets simplified, and so on so forth.
If Michigan has a natural niche it's probably that we can collect a more cerebral kind of player than an average school. You still don't want players sitting around doing regression analysis in the middle of a play. But if (not saying they are) M targets more cerebral guys in general, they can maybe get away with being more NFL-like in their ultimate designs.
Last year I think we were too much the opposite extreme. The defense got really simple, which worked great when we had far better natural athletes than the competition (every game except Ohio State pretty much), and blew up in our faces when we didn't (Ohio State). And this year with new starters at the most cerebral positions--free safety and the middle linebacker spots--not to mention an athlete who has to learn like 8 positions in Jabrill Peppers, maybe getting complicated will blow up in our faces.
I bet you then that we're vastly overestimating how multiple Michigan is going to be right now because we got a new DC and are basing everything off of the stuff he did at BC. BC had different problems than Michigan--they were constantly forced to use athletes who were good at one thing and bad at two things their positions demanded. But BC (and before that UMass) is a pretty good school in a pretty intellectual footprint, so Brown got used to having a lot of subbing and throwing lots of different looks and lots of different guys out there. His DUDES and GUYS could run all the things, but a lot of players on the roster had one or two things they were tasked to do in their package, and were kept off the field otherwise. That's complicated for the DC but not for the players necessarily.
Michigan, other than on the DL, will probably want to keep its starting 11 on the field most drives. So that will mean staying in the base defense ("City", ie Cover 1) most of the time, just like last year.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||Me too. I did the whole||
Me too. I did the whole History of Rome and am now on the Guns of Ticonderoga. He's too Great Man Theory though. There were like 2 episodes in the entire history of Rome that dealt with something other than who was in charge or what battles they fought.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||British History Podcast. The||
British History Podcast.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||Handle: There was a user||
Handle: There was a user named Seth I had to steal the name from.
Handle before I just used my name: Google Misopogon. I was into the hipster emperor before it was cool.
Avatar: 2008 was a rebuilding year. Made more sense with the Geocities reference that used to be my sub-tag.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||Since #125 is almost||
Since #125 is almost assuredly a walk-on who's getting the chance to hang with the football team while getting his degree, that dude probably just feels it's way better to be 125th than 126th.
|8 weeks 3 days ago||read tomorrow's TWO.||
read tomorrow's TWO.
|8 weeks 3 days ago||This isn't the cover...||
This isn't the cover.
But now you know the cover is something we thought was cooler than this.
|8 weeks 3 days ago||Craig was there so he'll||
Craig was there so he'll know.
|8 weeks 3 days ago||PICK YOUR TOPIC SOONER BISB||
PICK YOUR TOPIC SOONER BISB OR I'M GIVING YOUR PAGES TO THIS GUY.
|8 weeks 3 days ago||Most of the features are in,||
Most of the features are in, the preview portion isn't written yet, and I keep changing what my feature's on.
Incomplete list of features:
|8 weeks 3 days ago||Jerry Kill used to DOMINATE||
Jerry Kill used to DOMINATE this distinction.
|8 weeks 4 days ago||"50" and "70" are the base||
"50" and "70" are the base personnel groupings. From what I can tell "50" means the exact same as "3-4" and "70" means "4-3".
From there they have slightly different FRONTS, numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, etc. So "51" means 3-4, Front #1, "72" means 4-3, Front #2, etc. Those numbers may correspond to the technique of the nose. The fronts are how they align against the offensive line, and will mean slightly different responsibilities.
|8 weeks 4 days ago||Brown's philosophy is "Solve||
Brown's philosophy is "Solve your problems with aggression." If we're a bit short on meat, we make up for it by getting in those gaps quickly.
|8 weeks 4 days ago||Bo's Wolf was the Strong||
Bo's Wolf was the Strong Safety position. In that 5-2 angle defense pic the Wolf is the safety hanging out off the strong side (left) at about linebacker depth. As you can see he's got linebacker and safety responsibilities. The other safety ranged deep. I don't know what Bo called it but I read a thing once that Miami post-Bo called it the "Dog" safety.
|8 weeks 4 days ago||He was when he committed.||
He was when he committed. When I posted the morning stub I checked all four sites and wrote that he was a consensus 4-star.
|8 weeks 5 days ago||I edited the original post||
I reinstated and modifed the original post so it would say "Happy Easter" instead of "I am going to be patronizing to people who get offended by 'Happy Easter' and then say 'Happy Easter.'"
|8 weeks 5 days ago||Thread reinstated and edited||
Thread reinstated and edited to not be so provacative.
One guy who flamed it was already banned.
In the future if you want to wish a major religion a happy [their holiday] just do so. Saying "this may be controversial" just invites controversy where none exists.
|8 weeks 5 days ago||Further comment on the TKE fratboy/Uber driver an future of Gree||
Further comment can go with the other comment in the other thread. I got the sense like the op created a separate thread just to call frat boys douchebags so keep an eye on that.
|9 weeks 3 days ago||For the record, the tree of||
For the record, the tree of punishments is something like this:
|9 weeks 3 days ago||He will indeed start out at||
He will indeed start out at anchor but Brown's already been talking about all the places they'll use him and T is next.
|9 weeks 4 days ago||I think the average WoW||
I think the average WoW player these days is like 14 years old. But you can always join a private server to find an older group. When I last played (over a year ago) they talked a ton of Serbian politics.
|9 weeks 5 days ago||He was an All-American||
He was an All-American quarterback and played in the NFL for years after being drafted in the first round by THAT Bears team two months after THAT Superbowl. Not to knock Harbaugh's coaching record, which you can put against most any other guy in the profession on its own, but remember the sports world has been hearing Jim Harbaugh's name now for 34 years, and that, more than rebuilding Stanford and taking the 49ers to the Superbowl, is why Harbaugh's so well known.
|10 weeks 1 hour ago||It's in the works but far||
It's in the works but far away from a launch still. This may have been a side effect of trying to pull all the functionality.
|10 weeks 2 days ago||Distances||
This is how I figured out distances:
That Google Sheet has a script to query Google Maps for a driving distance (or an as-the-crow-fles distance that I used for Hawaii). To avoid repeatedly making those queries I have the formula active in only the top line right now.
Then I took the mileage and multiplied by 1.3, accounting for stops and city driving. It seems that was too much. I'll recalibrate at an average trip speed of 55 mph (right now it's 45).
Why People are Getting Crazy Errors
I only have three possible distances that can show for any given team, for the three possible sites they can play at. If you pull up an impossible matchup (say, Michigan vs Arizona in the 2nd round) it will return the distance to THE ACTUAL SITE of that round.
|10 weeks 3 days ago||Use one of the links in this||
Use one of the links in this article or on the sheet to download a copy. I can't have everyone using the same spreadsheet or it gets insane.
|10 weeks 3 days ago||If we end up facing them in||
If we end up facing them in the Final Four I guarantee all 100 of their fans will drive the 9 hours to Houston for it. But it'd be a good matchup.
|10 weeks 3 days ago||I think somebody moved a||
I think somebody moved a cell. Let me know if it's fixed now.
|10 weeks 3 days ago||https://docs.google.com/sprea|
|10 weeks 4 days ago||2. Passing on 1st||
2. Passing on 1st down
Borges ran A TON on 1st down--in 2011 even more than any of RR's teams--but that dropped progressively over his tenure. But that drop entirely a function of Denard vs Devin:
Borges didn't change. He just thought Denard was a running back and Gardner was Tom Brady. He never got to 50/50. He did become slightly less than the 2/3rds of the time 1st down run rate of Rich "The Spread 'n Shred Offense guy" Rodriguez. Nussmeier was 50/50.
3. On TE usage by RR and FB usage by Nuss and Borges
I think you're mixing up Borges trying to I-form with Denard against Iowa in 2011 and Rodriguez in 2010, who used an I-form 3-wide formation they used ONCE before Forcier came in. He did use it a bunch for a Forcier drive because Forcier sucked at zone read anyway, so they built him a zone stretch/IZ/ISO/Power/Waggle package out of that 3-wide I-form (no TEs) with Kevin Grady at fullback. That was the "drive of RAGE" that ended with a Minor TD. The next drive Iowa adjusted, and after that it was comeback time.
For both 2009 and 2010 RR learned to use TEs more often. He inherited Koger and Webb, but didn't have any guys behind those two. At West Virginia RR typically didn't use TEs; he liked having a "Superback" instead. When they did start using TEs however, they only rarely put both on the field. And those 3TE sets that shift the average were non-existant.
So why did 2009 have more TE usage than 2010? Look at the WR sets. 2009 was the year a lot of the WRs were injured or sick or unavailable for other reasons, so Rich Rod rarely went more than 3-wide. Odoms, Hemingway, Savoy, and T-Rob all missed time. Roundtree, a skinny ass RS freshamn, was the starting slot and leading receiver. Mathews was hobbled. Stonum needed glasses. In 2010 they could use a lot more 4-wide sets because RR could play any of 'tree, Stonum, Hemingway, Odoms, Grady, or Gallon.
As for Fullbacks by Hoke's OCs, Nussmeier rarely had more than one, and Borges used one about 1 in 3 plays. Harbaugh had a fullback in there over half the time.
4. Backfield formation. Your memory is good on the sack rates, but bad on the context:
You remember all those sacks against shotgun passes because Michigan would burn its first two downs running despite not knowing how to, then put Gardner in a shotgun, burn a tight end to help Lewan's side, and watch him get chased by the inevitable up-the-middle rush.
On standard downs however the Ace formation led to a higher sack rate than the gun.
5. No, the Shotgun was still the most effective formation in 2013, though the Ace was kinda close:
Again this is standard downs. At least from the guy they gained yards 2/3rds of the time. If you look at the line of 0 or negative plays (including interceptions), the only formation that really stood out was the Pistol.
|10 weeks 4 days ago||It wasn't ace it was me. I||
It wasn't ace it was me.
I don't have time today. maybe tomorrow morning.
|10 weeks 4 days ago||1. Formations: Why did you||
1. Formations: Why did you think Rich Rod used more I-form as he went along? In 2008 he used the West Virginia spread in its most basic form. In 2009 he played around more with under center stuff because he was starting Forcier. But in 2010 he went with Denard--even the goal line plays were shotgun.
Pistol was 10% of the 2013 offense, and 5% of the 2014 offense on standard downs. Those are the only years it made regular appearances.
Like most Hoke offenses, they started out with more I-forms and Ace formations, and became more shotgun the more the reality of their roster intruded on that fantasy.
Except when kicking Indiana's butt allowed them to do otherwise, after the Minnesota game Michigan was a base shotgun because you'd have to be an idiot not to.
I'll get to the rest later.
|10 weeks 4 days ago||Usually a defense gets||
Usually a defense gets charted for two pass rushers on a standard "4-man rush" since you've got DL burrowing into OL or spying at the LOS.
|10 weeks 4 days ago||I think there's a different||
I think there's a different story. Actually two.
First, schedule strength. The games I have charted are:
2014: App State, ND, Miami(NTM), Utah, Minn, PSU, MSU, Indiana
For comparison's sake let's say the matching teams were about the same. Then ASU=UNLV. So it's ND and Miami vs Oregon State, BYU, Maryland, and Northwestern. Maryland had Ngakoue, BYU was one of the better pass rushing teams due to their great DE.
Not appearing for last year: the M00N game, and a really bad protection day against Maryland (Ohio State is excised both years but 2014 OSU had 5 sacks).
Second, the 2014 OL got better as the season progressed.
Despite none of those teams being at all blitzy, Michigan's OL hovered between 71 and 74 percent protection in the first four games. But they were at near 87% against Penn State's ridiculous DL, and 100% against Indiana. So even if they fell off at the end of the season against very good DL in Ohio State and Maryland, we talked a lot about how Cole progressed as a true freshman from lost-ish to solid, and Braden was even okay by the end of the year.
As for 2015, the line was up and down every week. They struggled against Utah, BYU and Penn State, and got mauled by Michigan State, but hit 85% or higher the rest of the way. The charts must be consulted but if I had to guess I'd say Drevno was focusing more on installing his power running game for one, and two there are physical limitations of Mags and Cole as the edge blockers against elite rushers.
Keep in mind Taylor Lewan and Mike Schofield were on a lot of the lines we're comparing those guys against.
Anyway the point is 2014's OL was bad at the beginning of the year but by mid-season they were fine, but that lacking a true tackle (Braden, Mags and Cole all are best inside) they couldn't really get better than that.
|11 weeks 1 day ago||Does ESPN really need a||
Does ESPN really need a fucking 30 second commercial to watch a 15-second clip?
|11 weeks 3 days ago||FINE I'll write some football||
FINE I'll write some football content for today.
But you may not like it.
|11 weeks 5 days ago||There's a hierarchy of||
There's a hierarchy of scholarships that starts w football so if Drake earns a track scholly he still counts against football. otherwise schools wouldn't have track teams.
|11 weeks 5 days ago||Against Tennessee, Rutgers, and Penn State.||
Longtime user absolutely should have known better than to post a worthless, politically pointed rally cry as a DIARY!
Sent to Bolivia. Points back on November 9, i.e. he can't start any threads until after the election.
|12 weeks 3 days ago||Way too hard to predict||
Way too hard to predict things.
|12 weeks 3 days ago||I can do that but after the||
I can do that but after the kid goes to bed.
|12 weeks 5 days ago||YOU'RE GIVING AWAY THE||
YOU'RE GIVING AWAY THE CLOTHES MY WIFE PICKED OUT ESPECIALLY FOR YOU?!?!?!?
Maybe organize a swap in a parking lot after the spring game?
|13 weeks 1 day ago||it probably still works||
it probably still works without spelling it out, in which case we could get away with it.
Otherwise we'd need to get Harbaugh's permission, which is doable but he won't pay attention to the requests until july at the earliest.
|13 weeks 1 day ago||He is, and he made it clear||
He is, and he made it clear that he wouldn't leave Michigan without either his degree or the doorframe.
|13 weeks 1 day ago||That makes no sense. A 5th||
That makes no sense. A 5th year is an option. If you burn the redshirt and get no value out of the player his freshman year you've cashed in your option for nothing.
Maybe this will convince you:
I've got 258 Michigan scholarship recruits in my database who redshirted as true freshmen and whose eligibility would not go past 2016*. Here's a summary of what happened with them:
Over half of the guys we redshirted were valuable enough to extend 5th years. That means it's a valuable option. A new coach will want to manage the roster to get more of his guys in and that might inform some decisions on 5th years, but for the most part your 5th year seniors are valuable contributors you're very glad to have on the team. All you do by burning the redshirt is take away an option you're 57% likely to want to exercise.
*meaning I cut out non-redshirts, walk-ons, transfers, later injury redshirts, and any player on the team now who's not a 5th year senior.
|13 weeks 2 days ago||Kinnel saw real snaps last||
Kinnel saw real snaps last year, and that was when it looked like Thomas was pretty iffy and Hill was hurt. He also arrived a pretty technically sound guy. No complaints about that redshirt, just as we're not complaining about burning Jarrod Wilson's, even though he'd be valuable to this year's team if he still had eligibility.
Thomas and Hill at the time though were not any of these things:
Dymonte blocked one punt against WMU but also got booted from special teams, and I saw why.
The above doesn't even include that Harbaugh got a redshirt on Morris last year (Hoke did the same for Terry Richardson). Here's the list of players Hoke played as true freshmen. Let me know which, if any, you would have redshirted, I'll do the same, and then we can compare.
|13 weeks 3 days ago||I was playing around with FEI||
I was playing around with FEI instead of S&P+ so I included BC. Not hard to find them on the other chart though.
|13 weeks 3 days ago||Scott Frost runs a modern||
Scott Frost runs a modern spread. Last year they were running more of a spread-to-pass out of a gun that worked when they had Bortles.
|13 weeks 4 days ago||Too hard to separate that||
Too hard to separate that from quarterback runs and options. Teams that scramble more are most likely had quarterbacks who can run anyway. And once a Qb crosses the LOS run things are happening, such as blocking and breaking tackles, which would inform rushing stats. So there's no little to count QB scrambles. Sacks on the other hand are failed passes with negative yardage that affect passing team stats to the point that it distorts the results beyond usefulness.
|13 weeks 4 days ago||My wife is still in the||
My wife is still in the running. She asked who won and fell asleep again before I answered, and since I haven't mentioned it since and she lives in an otherwise football-free environment I bet she has no idea who won.
Ask her if Peyton Manning or Tom Brady won the Superbowl this year and I guarantee she'll say Brady.
|13 weeks 5 days ago||If you're logged into the||
If you're logged into the same Google account on your work computer it will know what you search for at home.
|13 weeks 5 days ago||You're getting that ad served||
There should be a little triangle in the upper-right of the ad which you can use to not see that ad anymore.
You're getting that ad served through Google, so no I'm not selling it directly. Those ads pop up based on things like your search history and your interests, So if you're getting anything that seems kinda weird for MGoBlog to sell, it's probably because Google is trying to match whatever you have been obsessing over.
(Or in the case of mail-order Russian brides that advertiser might be telling Google to hit up profoundly male audiences making over six figures household income who like sports.)
FWIW I get a lot of Michigan sports ticket offers, car ads, things from rival schools that I'm always looking up for work research (e.g. Michigan State hockey tickets), and various cable cutter gadgets/amazon/netflix etc. stuff.
|14 weeks 1 day ago||J'ai mis de la merde dans ta||
J'ai mis de la merde dans ta main.
|14 weeks 1 day ago||I never took a spring break||
I never took a spring break trip. I'd use it to pick up hours at the place I worked in high school and work on my writing because I wanted to be very good at thing that only a very few people get to do for a living.
|14 weeks 1 day ago||OT: GoFundMe help needed||
Please check w me before asking the readers for donations.
|14 weeks 1 day ago||Thanks for finally giving me||
Thanks for finally giving me good reason to banish that fucking kid.
|14 weeks 1 day ago||BK0112 and all future iterations caved.||
^Account of UMDieHards, i.e. Bobby Kuntz, an attention whore who exists only to annoy the fuck out of anyone who produces legit Michigan content. His latest schtick was pretending to donate to a gofundme then arguing with all the users who caught him out in the obvious b.s. If he pops up again--I am certain he will--ban him again.
|14 weeks 3 days ago||(No subject)||https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B1Zp0ugnJIGdMU02VlhORVIybWM/view?usp=do...|
|14 weeks 3 days ago||Sam Webb and Steve Lorenz.||
Sam Webb and Steve Lorenz. Sam has the best sources and Steve has the best bullshit meter.
|14 weeks 3 days ago||There's always a crack||
The thing about Butts: nobody got it.
|14 weeks 3 days ago||I read it as a Cover 1 not||
I read it as a Cover 1 not man 2. Watch the CB to the field side. He cuts inside as soon as he sees Butt break his route in. Now watch the SS: he comes down to cover the seam, then takes Williams out. Meanwhile the WLB is sitting in a robber zone and won't abandon his running lane to chase Butt.
|14 weeks 3 days ago||Thank you. You can download||
Thank you. You can download the song (and others) here:
These are my best friends; I lived with them and ran their merch table and went to all the shows planning to write a book about them one day. I also helped write lyrics (the song American History XXX, about various historical witch-hunts, has a lot of my lines in it.
Warships--the track I used on the video--was the best song live. My favorites are Ophelia (which is swimming with Shakespearan allusions as it tells the story of an old lady committing suicide), and Homeric Epic Exit Number Six, and not just because I played on it.
|14 weeks 3 days ago||hmm. Maybe we should do this||
hmm. Maybe we should do this as this week's obsession.
|14 weeks 5 days ago||I ordered brian and ace||
I ordered brian and ace potato shirts and a copy of The Hunt for Red October for Ace while we were recording. I also learned that yelling in the studio while they're recording still doesn't get my voice on the podcast. You just hear a blank spot (that I truncated) and then brian's like "we're ordering them now!"
Also the songs weren't in the post and Podcast posts aren't editable on the client side. They are:
|14 weeks 5 days ago||Way OT: New SI Swimsuit Model Ashley Graham||
My thought is I don't see how the board can get enriched by this, but I can see a lot of ways that this thread can go bad.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Selective Requests||
First reply was: "This should be a comment not a thread."
I can't improve on that.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||He's going to Ohio State.||
He's going to Ohio State. Todd Howard coached him in high school but Michigan never looked. We probably had the best shot if we did.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||I can't feckin wait.||
I can't feckin wait.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Fuck this game.||
Fuck this game.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||I think I'll go see how the||
I think I'll go see how the mod thread is going
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Just got an email from a guy||
Just got an email from a guy who said it's so bad it'll end up on a TED talk for bad charts.
|15 weeks 3 days ago||Well||
It's a really small sample size, and the contributors are three sleeper OL and a free safety who'd be redshirting if he was ever even recruited on literally any other Michigan secondary of our lifetimes.
Only Omameh among them had an NFL career. And he was a late bloomer whom Rodriguez plucked to run his system. I don't think we ever were happy with Riley, and Huyge was unkillable but never excellent.
What about the 4.4s? Small sample sizes again but there are plenty of disappointments in there. Also plenty of guys who haven't played the back ends of their careers. For example Kugler's a 0/26 to the starts/possible total, but then that's his RS freshman and sophomore years and he could earn a starting job for the next two. On the other hand: Pipkins, Justin Turner, Doug Dutch, Brett Gallimore, James McKinney... It might be bad luck, or it might be guys who were 5-stars due to early development who then slipped to some sites at the end when the senior film didn't look any better than the sophomore film.
As for the little dip at 3.4 I found the error: there are no starts listed for special teams players, and a lot of our scholarship kickers and punters were 3.4s.
|16 weeks 13 hours ago||Hawaiian names: Harry||
Harry (Ace): Hale
|16 weeks 2 days ago||They're in the middle of||
They're in the middle of upgrading. Their problems are:
|16 weeks 2 days ago||/giphy gampling in this||
/giphy gampling in this establishment
|16 weeks 2 days ago||Nate Johnson is a slot the||
Nate Johnson is a slot the way Jeremy Gallon is a slot. He's not tall, but he can be very effective outside too. Height is just more of an issue there.
Keep in mind that Harbaugh's "slot" isn't Rich Rod's. Harbaugh loves twins formations with the TEs to the sideline and 2WR to the field. The inside guy is technically in the slot but he is set up to threaten the whole field.
|16 weeks 2 days ago||Still open.||
|16 weeks 3 days ago||Would you even want ND back on the schedule? [YES YES YES YES YE||
I may have added that last bit to the title before canning the thread.
By the way the thread below it had a discussion already forming about ND. Make your case there.
|16 weeks 3 days ago||Not to hijack your thread but||
Not to hijack your thread but the answer is yes we want ND back on the schedule.
|16 weeks 3 days ago||Wood type? Thickness?||
Wood type? Thickness? Underlay?
|16 weeks 3 days ago||Stay on the front page all||
Stay on the front page all day today and you will get news and analysis live. We are planning to get thwomped by traffic so Matt sprung for some additiona internet power and we are gonna make Twitter do most of the heavy lifting. If you want to say something in the saying things box, Twitter Brian.
|16 weeks 4 days ago||I decreed they're safeties||
I decreed they're safeties based on SOURCES, which may be ON SLACK CHAT and sometimes KNOW THINGS because THEY TALK TO SOURCES and since they make plenty of sense and haven't been kept SECRET I figured it'd be best to list guys where they are expected to play at Michigan when we talk about them on the radio and stuff. Their position rankings aren't included in the star ratings. If the sites want to continue listing those guys at a position they probably weren't recruited for, that's their perogative.
Brian's mentioned Dytarious Johnson hasn't taken any officials, which is a likely sign that he's not qualifying. Hawkins I think it's been up in the air whether he gets into Michigan and less up in the air whether he meets the NCAA's criteria, whatever that means. If they don't qualify they may go to prep for a year and come in as 2017s--Michigan's going to be replacing a ton of seniors not to mention another year of attrition so there will be plenty of spots next year. Also one guy above (still a mystery publicly) committed as a grayshirt-unless-there's-a-spot like Jeremy Clark-style.
Ahmir Mitchell is already enrolled at Michigan.
|16 weeks 4 days ago||I know. There's a problem||
I know. There's a problem with my ESPN grading. He's an "80" but past the top 250, which probably ought to make him a 3.75 (akin to a 5.8 on Rivals if you're used to that system).
|16 weeks 4 days ago||I'm still perfecting my||
I'm still perfecting my standardizing formula but 5.7 to Rivals = high 3-star = 3.50. That's one rating that most of the sites seem to be pretty solid on.
Since the sites keep Fullbacks generally low in stars I didn't think it that big a deal to parse between which ones rank the #2 fullback an average 3-star or a high one. Scout treating him as an RB seemed like a bigger outlier.
|16 weeks 4 days ago||DFW really wanted you to feel||
DFW really wanted you to feel like you were reading a book, and put a lot of it into end notes. That might make the kindle experience a bit different, I don't know.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||Thanks! Let's see how long||
Thanks! Let's see how long THIS tab stays open in my browser!
|17 weeks 1 day ago||I have my own pet conspiracy||
I have my own pet conspiracy theory on Richardson. At one point wasn't he being discussed as an early enrollee? After that he didn't enroll early, then Durkin left, then later Richardson decommitted and went to Maryland. So I kinda wonder if Durkin had anything to do with him not enrolling early.
Swenson and Weaver are in the same boat, except Weaver they left open the possibility of a scholarship being available whereas with Swenson they were pretty clear in october and very clear when he tried to come on an official.
Enis I think was more the Dytarious Johnson story, hence not making a fuss.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||Third-hand (I know not much||
Third-hand (I know not much to go on) the coaches have been keeping a hard count since September that's gone up by 1 with each incident. I think they have an idea of some guys who will finish their degrees in May then grad transfer to places they can play.
If I had the ability to play football at a high enough level to earn a Michigan scholarship, and had put in the incredible commitment in time and physical effort it takes to get even this far, and it wasn't going to get me on the field at Michigan, damn man, I'd want to go somewhere and play football. I'd also want to get that Michigan degree first, and I imagine a few guys who won't be here in fall are going to walk to May then take the grad transfer route.
Off that note: I really hope grad transfers don't ever get closed. Players having mobility and options to get on the field if they don't pan out is a good thing so long as it doesn't decimate programs. A degree is a sufficiently difficult/attainable and eminently worthwhile barrier of entry. Helps programs shed weight without resorting to Sabany skeeziness, helps keep football-first kids focused on something that will help them when they realize there's 40-60 years of life after football, helps other programs plug last-minute holes, and we wind up with even more educated kids at the expense of "non-profits" who'd otherwise spend it on building projects to make a Roman Emperor blush. Losers: Big Ten teams who have to face Jake Rudock when they might otherwise have gotten Shane Morris.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||I really should add that this||
I really should add that this doesn't come from talking to him. Just those guys on facebook having reactions.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||Regarding comments: "The||
"The trouble with kids these days..."
Is currently our most likely translation of the first three pictographs in the oldest cave paintings yet discovered.
Later in this cave are drawings of animals that signify the end of the world is coming soon and the cavemen should all prepare.
Via friends who played with him he's getting screwed. They called in the football coach to deal with the kid because the kid seemed too dangerous for literally any other staffer to handle.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||Edited OP and tile. Also||
Edited OP and tile.
Also isn't OT. Well okay he was an OT sometimes and an OG sometimes but it's not OT! Damn it's hard having a football board.
|17 weeks 1 day ago||I didn't have Arrington||
I didn't have Arrington higher than those guys did I? I'll check in a second so my reply isn't colored by it.
Streets is a very good example of production versus ability. When they're assessing stars it's the latter, so I tried to be fair to the services by grading them on that and not just "this dude put up STATS!"
I will go to my deathbed singing the praises of Streets as perhaps the most underrated Michigan star of my lifetime.
For most of his career Streets had his stats nerfed by a Fred Jackson-coached, passing-averse mess led alternately by Dreisbach and Griese. As much as we complained about Borges under Hoke, DeBord in his his first stretch at Michigan was wose, neither holds a candle to the insane decisions being made on offense immediately after Moeller left. Fred Sr. will admit he wasn't ready for the job. They routinely misjudged their talent, famously let position battles drag deep into the season, telegraphed their plays, and never did anything more clever than a waggle after at least five runs to set it up. Anyone who played in those offenses should be judged against the clowns running the show. Braylon in contrast did most of his work in the comparatively competetent Terry Malone era.
Streets still put up great numbers for his day, but he did so much more. Watch him at the bottom of the screen on this TD pass to C-Will (at 2:11):
The last bit to separate them is their respective pro careeers. Streets had a long and successful NFL career despite toppling down the draft with an injury.
Streets was also an all around amazing athlete. He was the fastest guy at the draft combine (before the injury) and played basketball for Michigan too. I will go look at the scores I gave them again now but that's my thinking: the Original 86 at least=1.
|17 weeks 2 days ago||It's bullshit is what it is.||
It's bullshit is what it is. Florida is ranked #1 because they won the last two championships, but this team doesn't have Lauren Haegar and replaces another six contributors besides.
Michigan was right up with the Gators last year in dominating the rest of the softball world, with their own generational player. And everyone returns except a pitcher they replace with one just as good coming off a medical redshirt, plus the catcher and her backup.
Yes I am mad about a preseason softball poll on the internet.
|17 weeks 2 days ago||So this afternoon I got a||
So this afternoon I got a text from a number that probably used to be in my phone thanking me for not telling her story on here. And I realized I did have a worse one.
Let's never do this again.
|17 weeks 2 days ago||Well maybe I don't use my||
Well maybe I don't use my MGoPoints as haphazardly as you do.
|17 weeks 2 days ago||Yeah. I couldn't end it badly||
Yeah. I couldn't end it badly since brother was already obviously headed toward engagement with her best friend. At the very least we were gonna be in the same bridal party. On reflection I should have called her a cab.
When my sister in law tells the story it's about why she and my brother both had to drive separately to pick us up a week later.
|17 weeks 2 days ago||He made a person. Okay he||
He made a person.
Okay he stood by and didn't lose his shit while the MGoWife made a person.
|17 weeks 2 days ago||damn.||
Here's 28,000 mgopoints. They will never expire.
|17 weeks 2 days ago||Constanti-NOPE-le||
|17 weeks 2 days ago||I work them in when I can.||
I work them in when I can.
|17 weeks 2 days ago||Well yeah there was a strike||
Well yeah there was a strike one and two. I think Rivals was putting it out there that he was off the team after 2 even after Cole had been working his way back.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||If the incident that got him||
If the incident that got him in trouble happened after the bowl like the scout report says, that would make 247 right. He was practicing for bowls because there were quotes about him looking good at safety so I think the dire Rivals reports weren't correct until something happened more recently.
It's like do you give the Texas247 guy credit now for arguing with Elliott weeks ago about whether UT was in it? If I called Jim Harbaugh the next president of the United States with 90% certainty right now and then that actually occurs that doesn't make me a good political analyst.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Several reasons why that||
Several reasons why that is:
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Class of 1998 REPRESENT!||
Class of 1998 REPRESENT!
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Rasheed Simmons: Crap you||
Rasheed Simmons: Crap you caught a typo. I had him as a 3.75. He transferred to Maryland after taking a year to get over personal issues, and bounced around NFL practice squads after. 3.75.
"Most Underrated": was simply the reassessed stars minus the composite star rating. I bet it's universal that underrated players become fan favorites, and I submit for evidence that it's those same underrated guys I like on the Red Wings and Tigers when they do well. We love a rags to riches story (and don't realize the greatest players are usually the ones who worked the hardest to get there--talent only gets you so far).
Here's that full list including guys from before the modern services were available (and kickers). Really there's a lot of our beloved guys on that list. There's also a lot of kickers and fullbacks, because for some reason the sites never want to assess those positions like the rest of them.
Kickers and punters and fullbacks almost never get rated over a middling 3-star, I guess because they're oft replaceable from your student body. The rest above were mostly really skinny dudes who beefed up. JMRF, Braylon, Chesson, Molk, Knight and Rumishek were too small to play as freshmen (Braylon was too good to leave off the field anyway) but grew into those bodies. That's a common story among breakout college stars who weren't highly rated coming out of high school, but guessing which guys will be able to get bigger without losing any twitch is a crapshoot.
Why isn't Hart on that list? For one people are arguing with me that he should be higher than 4.25 so maybe he does belong there. For two, it's because he was actually a high 3-star. The point of going to quarter-stars with the ratings is that when Rivals calls a guy a "5.7" they're saying he's closer to a "5.8" than a "5.5". However a "5.8" is a 4-star and a 5.7 is a 3-star. Hart was a high three-star who almost but didn't quite crack the 4-star range, and therefore he was forever able to play with that "3-star" tag around his neck. He was also ranked as an "APB" which is a distinction I never understood since they never manage to actually capture scatbacks and slot receviers, which hid the fact that despite the difference in apparent stars, Hart and classmate Max Martin were ranked very close to each other.
Hart was overlooked, by the way. Despite crushing NY State records in the Buffalo/Syracuse area he didn't get a lot of looks. State might have gotten him if not for a serendipidously timed phone call by Carr...
Sometimes all you needed was to look closely at the film to see a player should be ranked higher than he is. Sometimes the services just miss on those guys, especially when there aren't a lot of schools involved in his commitment. With Hart, and with Khaleke Hudson, the film didn't show a "3-star" level kid. But that film got in the hands of the services long after his decision was no longer going to be interesting, and they had each rated as a mild 3-star, so both got a bump to "near 4 star" status. At least my numbers adjust for that.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Google spreadsheet! You||
You "publish to the web" and get the embed code. I manually added width="560" height="315"
|17 weeks 3 days ago||Sorted by how I ranked them,||
Sorted by how I ranked them, then by class, then by what their coposite stars were when they were recruited.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||It's a running meme on the||
It's a running meme on the site that people don't read the author's name.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||I laid out the reasons.||
I laid out the reasons. Denard could run around WMU his freshman year but also couldn't beat Iowa or supplant Tate as a starter in 2009. It wasn't until UConn in 2010 that we saw how ruthlessly efficient he could be in an offense designed around him.
I also took that last bit into account. Henson you could run just about any offense and his skills translated to them. Denard--and you can blame the coaches and the AD for this way more than him--was vastly more effective in a QB outside zone/veer based offense than any other. He was never a very good zone reader, and he was even less effective when they tried to make him into Tom Brady. That took Borges far out of his comfort zone and led to all sorts of offensive problems.
Denard at 4.75 is something I'm very comfortable with. It doesn't make me love him any less.
|17 weeks 3 days ago||DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM||
|17 weeks 5 days ago||We're getting into philosophy||
We're getting into philosophy now: blind faith is not evil in itself, but it invites evil by making someone else the judge of your moral compass. Amoral, not immoral.
Mostly I just wanted to point out that using PSU is distracting. There are better examples that don't ignite an immediate "whoa whoa whoa that's not the same!" reaction.
|17 weeks 5 days ago||Get what you're saying but no||
Get what you're saying but no need to bring the PSU thing into it even as an example. The worst moral quandary you can get dragged into by following Harbaugh is supporting the "I'm just not going to call for a few months and she'll get the hint" method of breaking up. Not the classiest thing, but also not ruining lives. The 409'ers are literally arguing that Paterno should not have told any more people than he had to legally while lives were getting ruined on his campus by his former coach who was using his facilities.
It's the college football equivalent of Godwinning.
What you mean to say is that blindly following Harbaugh and not calling him out for even less-than-Saban tactics is a lot like the Bama or Tennessee fans who blindly accept oversigning, and that Michigan can and should be above it. The value today of an honest reputation in recruiting is higher than any value you might get from stringing along a kid on the off chance you'll want him later.
|17 weeks 5 days ago||1. Is a great idea. 2. Would||
1. Is a great idea.
2. Would make us a lot of money.
3. Brought up something like this before.
4. Never gonna happen, unless you want, like, me and Matt Demorest.
|17 weeks 5 days ago||I think he left in the middle||
I think he left in the middle of his MSU official and visited his brother on the way home. But it's 'crutin so I guess this is news.
|18 weeks 12 hours ago||Look at the extremes in||
Look at the extremes in comparison to the years around them. The highest years in returning starts were:
The lowest were:
In general the years with more returning starters were better but there are outliers. 2014 and 2010 had relatively good experience but also had coaches about to be fired and teams significantly underperforming as a result.
2001 was a good year on its own but in context of its era it was a down year because of how talented the roster was. Two years to either side Michigan was one of the best teams in the country. 2004 was also low on XP but that team had astounding play from its freshmen, including Mike Hart, Chad Henne, and Jake Long. 2005 had good experience returning but there were so many injuries that much of it didn't get on the field. Ditto 2007.
Experience is like talent: it helps a LOT but it doesn't guarantee.
|18 weeks 13 hours ago||You're using fake numbers||
You're using fake numbers generated for press releases to draw an incorrect conclusion.
|18 weeks 13 hours ago||For the most part these are||
For the most part these are kids who were told in October or November that they should look at other schools since they're probably not going to get PT at Michigan. In one of those cases the kid obviously didn't get the message, but all of those guys remained "committed" in name only while looking around, because being a Michigan commit makes you more likely to be taken seriously by other schools.
Also there's the academic thing. Michigan's going to lose at least one guy who won't qualify academically. That happened after he committed to Michigan, and since you have to meet academic standards just to take officials he isn't even able to do that. So he's leaving his status as committed to Michigan because it's embarassing to have the whole country know you had shitty grades.
On the other hand sometimes a kid just decides he wants to go somewhere else. Commitments are not formal, and they mean something different to each kid and each program. Other programs can and absolutely do continue recruiting "committed" prospects. Apparently someone got in Richardson's ear that David Long and LaVert Hill were going to make Antwaine the Channing Stribling of that rotation, and he opened up his recruitment. Happens. The coaches really liked him, but he's been committed for a long time and maybe things changed for him.
He's the ONLY guy they've lost this year that they wanted. Michigan has the opposite of a decommit problem; they have so many great players who may want to come here that they can't keep their fliers.
|18 weeks 13 hours ago||It's a problem but not the||
It's a problem but not the worst problem. If you limit to 22 unreplaceable scholarships per year, period, at maxium you have 110 scholarships in football and most likely something like 90 and almost never over 100. So you're adding 15 more women's scholarships. Not the worst thing ever.
|18 weeks 1 day ago||Not nice to guess out loud.||
Not nice to guess out loud. The coaches already know about some guys who were passed by younger players and asked for a release, but it's up to the players, not the school, to inform the public whenever they're ready to. Green told them he'd be gone months ago, and he made it public what, last week? There's others that have already trickled into the paywalled boards. The coaches started saying "29" spots to people a few weeks ago and then that grew by one right when the premium boards were breaking a behavioral loss that hasn't been publicly announced. So I think the coaches have an exact count.
Also you can always expect attrition after spring and in fall, when the roster shakes out and inklings of PT issues become certainties. It's also kind of fluid, for example Ryan Glasgow and Kenny Allen will earn scholarships next year so I counted them, but they are treated as if they're still walk-ons when they're making the count for the Big Ten on signing day. Michigan will lose some guys between then and fall, and there will be schollies available for Glasgow and Allen and probably a few more besides at that point.
I keep this updated:
If you'd like to make a copy of it and remove anyone you think won't be back for 2017 be my guest. It'll automatically set the count.
|18 weeks 1 day ago||11Warriors is a good blog.||
11Warriors is a good blog. It's just whoever runs their twitter who's awful.
|18 weeks 2 days ago||RAISE!!!!!!||
|18 weeks 3 days ago||If anyone cares it turned out||
If anyone cares it turned out to be a problem with an Adobe update that conflicted with Microsoft's static files. I did some registry finagling to simulate a fresh Office install and it worked.