no, YOU'RE off topic
|1 day 3 hours ago||Ace||
Yeah, well said, Brian.
|2 days 1 hour ago||Yeah, but not Gollums.||
Yeah, but not Gollums.
|2 days 6 hours ago||Seth referenced it||
Smart football makes complex concepts accessible to the layman.
|3 days 3 hours ago||Gut feeling||
I believe Clark is going to pick UCLA.
And if he does, I am fine with that, because I think it indicates that there are things that are more important to him than football. Don't get me wrong--I've lived in LA and Westwood is an amazing spot--I can't blame the kid for loving it. But Harbaugh's system is proven to be an NFL TE factory.
I wish him the best and hope he goes Blue, because I honestly believe Michigan gives him a far better chance of becoming an elite TE and a high NFL draft pick.
|1 week 27 min ago||Early returns||
So far, he appears to be a good addition. The recruits he is visiting seem to like him and he's getting kids to come for visits.
Time will tell, but there is certainly nothing to criticize yet.
|1 week 1 day ago||I wish||
I could upvote this. Great work, and lots of it. We tend to only remember the whimpering end, but Fred had a pretty good career here.
|1 week 1 day ago||Broncos?||
He missed lots of hires. 49ers, Broncos, Jets. He named the guys that hired his assistants.
There really is nothing to see here.
|1 week 1 day ago||Really?||
Your comparisons are completely invalid. First of all, no one has any idea who (if anyone) deflated the balls, or who ordered it. It's more likely Tom Brady is guilty than Bill Belichick, but that's not the story out there.
Second, if you want to compare, let's use a valid comparison. The Seahawks break contact and pass interference rules all the time, and don't get flagged every time. Should they be fined and docked draft picks? They are doing it in plain sight, same as the footballs. This isn't cheating on a test, it's an open, obvious practice that the refs had the opportunity to stop AFTER EVERY SINGLE PLAY. And comparing this to putting lives in danger by driving drunk? SMH. That's beyond ridiculous.
Finally, the balls were re-inflated at halftime, and the Pats proceeded to annihilate the Colts. This game's outcome had NOTHING to do with deflated balls. ZERO.
Honestly, the Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions were hurt by far more egregious officiating errors, and there was no recourse. Give me a break. If this wasn't Belichick's team that has a chance to be the most successful ever, then it wouldn't be a story.
To answer your one reasonable question: YES. Blame does get shifted if someone is paid to enforce the rules. As my other examples above indicate, it is the referee's job to make sure the rules are followed. That's why we have refs. That's why you don't call your own fouls in professional sports. If you were ever an athlete or coach in a terribly officiated game, then you understand that bad officiating tilts the scales, and, if properly enforced, rules are broken far, far less often.
Have you ever played a sport and broken a rule? Ever fouled someone in basketball and not had the foul called? What did you do? Did you tell the ref to stop the game and give the guy some free throws?
The self-righteousness of our society is staggering.
|1 week 1 day ago||Iman Marshall||
The starting spots are all wide open with the new staff, but CB seems to be particularly open. Iman Marshall is very much what Durkin looks for in a CB, and I think he could win the job and start opposite Lewis by B1G season, if not from day one.
Countess was average at best on the outside last year, and I don't see the aggression that Durkin's CBs played with at Florida. I think we'll see a renewed emphasis on speed at all positions, and Peppers playing that HSP role that UF used last year sounds perfectly delightful.
This defense will, schematically, somewhat resemble Mattison's 2011-2013 units, but it will have a very different feel with personnel and execution.
|1 week 1 day ago||EXACTLY||
This whole thing is such a joke. If the balls were deflated to a point that would have made a difference, then the referees are the ones that are at fault here. They handle the balls after EVERY play, and if they couldn't tell they weren't properly inflated, then they should be reprimanded, not the Patriots.
Anyone who has played any football can immediately tell--just from gripping a football--if the ball is properly inflated.
This is more about media attention and making a stroy than anything, but if there is a story, it should be the continued incompetence of NFL officials.
|1 week 5 days ago||Best part||
I think this is the best part of the story...honestly reminded me of Hoke (in a good way):
Maybe we can have everything we want in a coach.
|2 weeks 2 hours ago||Crystal Ball||
If I had to guess, right now I'd say UCLA for Clark. But a visit to U-M with JH could change that very quickly.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Bootleg||
What some people mistakenly call a waggle is actually a bootleg.
Two TDs were scored on bootlegs in this game alone, and the naked bootleg was a HUGE play for us in '97.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Streets and Tuman||
I can't believe Tai Streets isn't getting more love.
He didn't really blow-up until '98, but he and Tuman combined for 51 catches and eight of the team's 14 receiving TDs.
I thought Chris Howard was overlooked too often just because A-Train was a freshman; Howard, at that point, really was a far better all-purpose back who led the team in rushing and receptions.
On defense, they all seemed like stars. Marcus Ray was amazing, but I loved Dhani, Sword, and James Hall.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||True||
But you are missing my point. The screenshot I posted is not the play OSU ran, it's the concept.
Harbaugh did not start the wham/trap concept, but he has used it to great effect and is known for it. OSU used it in the NC game, but hadn't been using before.
I wasn't actually talking about the Triangle play, since OSU doesn't use it.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||Baxter is not going to coach the TEs||
Baxter was hired strictly has a ST coach. He might help out a bit on offense, but we need another full-time body there.
I was NOT implying that Manning would be another RB coach, I was pointing out that the dude has coached lots of different positions. Maybe he gets named the TE coach, but probably not. Harbaugh wants proven excellence.
If Zordich is hired, it seems likely that Manning is out, but he has wiggled his way into coaching other positions, so we'll see.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||H-Back||
OSU used an H-Back extensively last night as a wham blocker. Harbaugh uses those, and fullbacks too.
|2 weeks 2 days ago||YES||
Yes, we do need another offensive guy. Sheer numbers means it's preferable to have another coach on the offensive side of the ball. Manning did coach RBs in Cincinnati and at NIU....
|2 weeks 2 days ago||Question||
Yes...to me, this looked like a new wrinkle. I don't remember many traps/whams from OSU this season, or from Urban teams in general. I remember them running more zone and belly stuff.
Have they been using this all year or was this new?
|2 weeks 3 days ago||Nine||
You can have nine assistant coaches. Ten with S&C.
So we're only 40% of the way there, officially. I think Wheatley is next.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||(No subject)||
|2 weeks 3 days ago||YES!||
Dude has swag. This staff is going to be pretty amazing, and I'm excited to see how they recruit the final weeks.
|2 weeks 6 days ago||(No subject)||
|3 weeks 1 hour ago||And from Centennial||
And from Centennial
|3 weeks 1 hour ago||^Only click that link if you||
Only click that link if you want to be frustrated. Real Link (JH starts at 22:57):
|3 weeks 1 hour ago||Harbaugh and NFL pitch||
We are getting a guy who just spent two years as an NFL OC, and two years before that as a college OC (at Miami [YTM]) to be our WR coach and help with our passing game, since our OC's strength is obviously running and the OL.
That is awesome, and adds even more cache to the "Come to Michigan and we'll prepare you for the NFL" pitch. SEVEN (!!!) of our ten coaches (according to guessochart) have NFL coaching experience. The guys that don't are Durkin (a college superstar with a record of coaching guys into the NFL), Baxter (a ST guru who is one of the best at his role in the country), and Dougherty. Heater played in the NFL and Morton played and coached in the NFL seem like our other options, and would only add to the "we can get you to the NFL" credibility.
Also, Harbaugh is fanatical about his staff...if Fisch didn't fit what he wanted, he wouldn't be hired.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Great stuff||
These schemes are, in many ways, similar to what Mattison was running prior to this season (which is not surprising, since Durkin was a GA with Mattison at ND in 2003-2004). Durkin's genius is not just in his play calls, but in his use of personnel. He seems to keep a fast free-hitter on the field.
I'm interested to see the ECU breakdown, because the Pirates racked-up yardage against UF in the bowl game.
|3 weeks 1 day ago||Instant success||
This is one of the reasons I would expect us to compete in every game this fall, and finish #2 or #3 in the East division. With some bounces, I do believe we could have a 10-win regular season.
Also: This is why I love Seth. GREAT data and analysis.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Also||
Durkin worked with Mattison on the ND staff in 2003 and 2004.
He will have no problem working with GMatt to get Michigan back to having Michigan defenses.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||YES||
Expect most, if not all, of the staff to be introduced at the meeting tomorrow. The meeting has been delayed (was supposed to be today), and I believe that was done so that Harbaugh could finish getting the staff together.
At a minimum, I would guess that Durkin and Drevno are there, and probably Mattison, Wheatley, and whomever has been hired as the S&C coach (Tolbert?), who will need to get winter conditioning started immediately.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Best wishes to Bosch||
I wish Kyle the best.
I'm sure Harbaugh's stipulations made sense for Michigan football, and I can also imagine a young man not wanting to agree to challenging requirements.
It sounds like this is best for both parties.
|3 weeks 3 days ago||This is such good work||
It's a shame Michigan is wasting it with sub-standard play. It appears we just don't have the personnel/maturity to make a tourney run this year.
|5 weeks 6 days ago||(No subject)||
|5 weeks 6 days ago||Harbaugh and Hackett||
I'll say this: Hackett could not have done any better in pursuing Harbaugh than he has. The offer is as generous as reasonability could possibly allow, the timing is perfect (49ers are out of the playoffs and the NFL can't yet contact JH), and it was kept relatively secret until the offer was made--at which poing either Harbaugh's agent or someone else was going to leak it anyway.
If we don't get Harbaugh, it won't be because we blew the process. It will be because Harbaugh simply was never going to come.
Here's my bold prediction: Either Dan Mullen or an elite name (think Bob Stoops, John Harbaugh, Sean Payton, Jim Mora) will be the next coach at U-M if we don't get Harbaugh. I guarantee you a back-up plan is in place, and that it's with a name that most of us would be satisfied with, if not downright pleased. This will be done by 12/29, and we'll probably know with reasonable certainty by 12/25.
|6 weeks 1 day ago||A 3-4 year turnaround that||
A 3-4 year turnaround that may not even be in Oakland that long. The Raiders could be heading back to LA.
|6 weeks 1 day ago||I laughed out loud and||
I laughed out loud and immediately thought of Weird Al's "Word Crimes." Perhaps a chart could assist Mr. Kawakami in his future twitter endeavors:
|6 weeks 2 days ago||We'll see||
It's only been three years since we won a BCS bowl. We beat Florida in the 2008 Capitol One Bowl. We went to the 2007 Rose Bowl. While we haven't won the conference since 2004, This program has still had some bright spots and plenty to celebrate.
I am willing to bet that every member of Fern's class will win a B1G title and/or a New Year's bowl.
THOSE WHO STAY WILL BE CHAMPIONS
|6 weeks 2 days ago||Those Who Stay Will Be Champions||
I wish Ferns the best. He seemed like a great guy destined to be a very good player. We don't know all the circumstances surrounding his decision, and he needs to do what he feels is best for him.
We are loaded at LB, and the next coach will make sure the cupboard stays fully stocked.
Those Who Stay Will Be Champions!
|6 weeks 3 days ago||O-Line||
Perhaps most encouraging, the 2010 O-Line (which was dominant) was entirely composed of three-star players. Not a single four-star in that group. Of course, they were all juniors and seniors...
|7 weeks 2 hours ago||Current roster||
The current roster is loaded. This is not a "rebuilding" job like RR and Hoke faced. While finding the right QB may be a challenge, there is an excellent defense, RBs, O-Line, and plenty of receiving talent.
Other than QB, safety is probably the only position at which you can even make an argument that help is needed.
Ohio State just won the B1G with a back-up (during the season) and a back-up's back-up (in the championship) playing QB.
This Michigan roster is ready to compete now.
|7 weeks 3 hours ago||I'm not his buddy, guy||
I'm not his buddy, guy
|7 weeks 6 hours ago||Get well soon!||
Please send your friend the following card and my best wishes.
|7 weeks 6 hours ago||Doubt it||
Gary Anderson left Wisconsin because they won't let him recruit the way he wants to and they won't pay his assistants.
Barry Alvarez will keep that program from reaching its potential by being a cheapskate.
As for OSU having anything to do with it...now Anderson is at a low-level Pac-12 team and has to compete with Oregon, USC, UCLA, Arizona, ASU...it's not better than the B1G West, which may be the easiest Power 5 division in all of college football.
|7 weeks 6 hours ago||Not what he said||
No, he said he was afraid losing to Urban 4/5 times would cost him his job.
The fact is that the TEAM (if not the program) is in very good shape--loaded with talent that was coveted by top programs across the country.
A coach that wouldn't want a top-tier salary with resources for top-tier assistants, some of the best facilities in the country, the Big House, and the Michigan brand to recruit to...that's a coach I DO NOT WANT.
|7 weeks 23 hours ago||EXACTLY||
His reserch "confirmed" what he wanted to hear...have you ever heard of confirmation bias?
This looks like a pretty meager search, and the "secrecy" aspect only succeeded because the people of Nebraska don't know what Eichorst looks like. The whole thing sounded pretty lame, and resulted in hiring a 61-year-old who has won fewer than half of his games in the last five years at a program he spent 12 years building.
|7 weeks 23 hours ago||Nebraska||
It looks like Eichorst just hired Riley because that was "his guy." I don't think they went to the trouble of looking at the field.
|7 weeks 23 hours ago||Yikes||
I read the article hoping to find some cool technique or clever gamesmanship. What I learned was that if you're the AD at Nebraska and you wear a baseball cap, no one will notice you.
This is exactly how I hope Hackett does NOT conduct his search--a personal fixation on a candidate. Do your research, interview, and get references. Work with a search firm. Do it right, even if it take a little time.
But if Jim Hackett walked into DTW wearing a baseball cap, I have ZERO doubt that the press would be on it and the "secret" search would be blown. And if Jim Hackett just hires a guy because he liked him 12 years ago, I would be furious.
|7 weeks 23 hours ago||Interview and references||
I know some people will disagree with this, but it's true: Urban Meyer's coaching genius is not in his system (which tons of schools run). It's in his ability to communicate with his players, inspire them, and get them to do what needs to be done. If you read interviews with former Urban players, they basically say, "Coach Meyer got me to do things I didn't think I could do."
Chip Kelly's success is similar. While both use a scheme they believe makes it easiest to develop players and win games, it's not like they are using plays that other teams aren't using. They are simply better at getting their players to succeed.
Onto Tom Herman...my thoughts on this search have evolved quite a bit over time. Herman would be, IMO, the best coordinator we could hire. I would certainly put him behind the following candidates:
I would probably put him behind these guys:
In the case of an OC with no HC experience, we at MGoBlog don't get the benefit of the most important pieces of the puzzle: the interview and references. If Herman comes to the interview with a plan--one that would have to include how he can win without his type of QB on the roster--and how he can build a program that can beat MSU and OSU, the most important piece being WHO CAN HE HIRE on his staff, then he could vault to the top of the "Plan B" guys. Players, coaches, and even some administrators will have a feel for how much this guy contributes to the success of a program, and if he's really good, he'll bring some damn good coaches with him.
This might sound ridiculous, but I have real concerns about Warriner (Kansas?) and Herman leaving OSU the same year--they'd be trying to poach some of the same coaching talent.
This is a long-winded way of saying, I really like Herman, but would need to see a good plan to be excited about him, and wouldn't be pleased with the hire until I saw his staff. That said, I would assume that if he was hired, he had produced a good plan with a good staff, and I would be hopeful...but I wouldn't feel great until I saw the staff, especially the DC.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||Possible||
I don't Harbaugh has told Hackett he's sure he's taking the job. But even if he has, Hackett should be looking for back-ups in a just-in-case scenario or in an effort to take pressure off of Harbaugh.
What I will disagree with is your second point: if Michigan is now looking for other options, they won't be caught with their pants down if Harbaugh says no. If we were not looking around, I'd be more convinced Harbaugh was the guy but more worried that if we didn't get him things would fall apart.
There is ZERO downside to looking around right now, even if Harbaugh has said yes (in principle). There is tremendous potential downside to NOT surveying the coaching landscape...as I said above, you never know what will happen, even if Harbaugh has said yes.
If you were the AD and Harbaugh had given you a verbal agreement, would you look around? I know I would. One thing I have learned running a business is that it's never done until it's done. Hackett knows that, too.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||Coaching Change||
CC = Coaching Change. It's an MGoBlog tag for everything related to firing/hiring coaches.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||IMPORTANT||
ThadMatt--I think your shark-horse avatar needs to have wings.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||I hope so||
To be clear, my post was not a prediction that Jim Harbaugh will be hired (though that would be my guess). The point is that Harbaugh (or some elite NFL guy) is still enough of a possibility that the risks and costs of waiting are acceptable. Hackett understands risk--his press conference proved that. He's not going to wait a minute longer than he has to, and the longer we wait, the more likely a blockbuster hire becomes.
|7 weeks 1 day ago||Even public statements mean little||
Brian is right on--no one really knows anything. The best we can do is attempt to decipher the intentions and desires of the players by examining what is actually happening. But never forget that even flat denials can be meaningless:
That was December 21, 2006. Saban was hired at Alabama January 4, 2007. In the interim, he actually said he wasn't going to talk about other jobs for the next five years.
My point is that what is happening is far more important than what is being said. Here's what's happening:
Unlike the 2011 fiasco, each day we wait is an indication that there is going to be a blockbuster hire. If Hackett wanted Herman--or even Mullen, Miles, Stoops, Whittingham, Richt, Mora, etc.--the machine would already be moving. The fact that we don't have a coach or any indication of aggressive negotiations indicates that we are waiting on the NFL...and probably Jim Harbaugh.
|7 weeks 2 days ago||Because you need to have Plan||
Because you need to have Plan B, C, and D ready if Plan A doesn't work out. Hackett is not going to put all his eggs in one basket.
|7 weeks 2 days ago||Patience||
While I want a coach hired YESTERDAY, the reality is that there is no reason to rush. Unless another top tier candidate on the Stoops/Payton level has definitively said they'll take the job AND that they will only take the job if they get it soon, then a Harbaugh ultimatum is just silly.
We are the last premier college job on the market. We have no competition from other colleges, and no one in the NFL can sign Harbaugh without working out a deal with the 49ers. There is no rush.
|7 weeks 2 days ago||+1||
Wish I could give you more for a cogent GGGR reference. One of the all-time greats.
|7 weeks 2 days ago||Divergent||
We are obviously still in the divergent phase, and I have ZERO problem with U-M reaching out to a candidate like Cutcliffe. There is nothing wrong with checking to see if he's even a possibility.
FWIW, I seriously doubt he gets the job, or even interviews. We will have an elite coach in A2 next year, I am certain of it.
|7 weeks 2 days ago||Stoops||
While Oklahoma was a passing spread for years, the past two seasons have seen a decided shift towards the run:
OU ran a ridiculous 1,211 plays in 2010, and this year will be the first in a long time they run fewer than 1,000. To put that in perspective, Michigan did not run 1,000 plays under RR and haven't run more than 893 since Rodriguez left.
My point is that Stoops runs a HUNH spread, but they seem content to emphasize their strength, rather than commit to being an air raid. What's amazing is that they run from the spread, but rarely use their QB--only 89 (17%) of 526 rushing attempts have come from QBs this year. Compare that to 179 (30%) of 587 for Ohio State QBs.
Stoops wants an efficient, HUNH offense, even if it's not an air raid. That his team has run effectively from the spread with minimal QB usage is certainly a hopeful sign since our roster has QBs that really aren't all that spectacular as runners, though Morris is underrated. FWIW, I believe Morris' best chance of success is a system much like OU's.
|7 weeks 2 days ago||(No subject)||
|7 weeks 2 days ago||BWHAHAHAHAHAHA||
I dare you to try to name five jobs better than Michigan in the B1G. Or even two. And our coaching hire will prove it.
|7 weeks 2 days ago||Harbaugh||
Brother John might be even better, but hasn't proven in college the way Jim has.
Sean Payton would be an amazing hire. While he doesn't have any history as a college HC, he did some good things in the college ranks in the 90s. He also has a superbowl ring.
Bob Stoops would be good, but I would rather have Harbaugh. Patterson would be a great hire. Mark Richt is another guy that would be a great fit.
Mora is a notch or more below all these guys, as is Mullen. But I believe we will land an elite name this time around, and no one I've discussed in this post seems outside the realm of possibility.
|7 weeks 5 days ago||Nope||
Go back and watch those games again. We were in the shotgun in 2011 about 80% of the time. We ran inverted veer A LOT.
Yes, Hoke failed to get out of Denard what RR certainly could have, but there is no doubt that the offense largely featured Denard in a quasi-option game that was run primarily from the shotgun. There are notable exceptions--Iowa 2011, Notre Dame 2012--that were disastrous and memorable, but Denard was not under center all that much, especially in 2011.
|7 weeks 5 days ago||Nailed it||
Stanford is used as an example of a power running game above, and they are a pro-style passing game.
That said, you are correct: Harbaugh used some of the same principles the spread uses to design his offense, but in very different ways.
Stanford stacks the line of scrimmage and the QB literally counts the defenders on either side (left/right) of the center. Wherever the defense is weaker, they can run that way, and use traps and whams to bring more blockers to that side. By using heavy personnel with tight splits, he forces the defense to either load the box--leaving the passing game open--or keep safeties back. He also forces the defense to use heavy personnel, which, as you said, is NOT the norm in today's game.
I have zero doubt that he would continue to adapt these concepts to personnel. He finds a way to give his team the upper hand...that's what good coaches do. At the same time, he'll use these power concepts and "change the math" at the LOS by using traps and whams, which are basically plays where blockers come from unexpected places to open holes for runners.
Even though he uses a pro-style passing attack, his formations do challenge defenses to make clear pre-snap choices that can reduce the complexity of reads in the passing game. His QBs, by my observation, are usually throwing to the first option and not being asked to do as many progressions as a Borges QB, because he's using motion, play action, and pre-snap reads to tilt the field in his favor.
|7 weeks 5 days ago||Will cover||
The switch to a spread-to-run would be tough, but it's not like we have world-beaters at QB right now anyway.
I will answer this in more detail in part two, but the biggest missing pieces right now for spread-to-pass are WRs and scat-backs.
|7 weeks 5 days ago||Awesome post||
A no-nonsense piece with great attention to detail and the work ethic to make it happen. (I'm assuming Alex is white).
Seriously though, this is great writing and spot on.
|7 weeks 6 days ago||Ridiculous, and not credible||
|8 weeks 41 min ago||Despite what many on this||
Despite what many on this board think, UCLA is a step below Michigan.
Michigan is one of the best jobs in the country, and UCLA isn't even the best job in LA (that would be USC). Also, Michigan is a much easier path to the CoFoPo than any school in the PAC-12 south, which may be the 2nd-best conference in football. And maybe he just doesn't see eye-to-eye with the UCLA brass.
I think his style of coaching is also better-suited to the B1G.
All that said, I have no idea who Cowherd was talking about, just guesses.
|8 weeks 1 hour ago||Double post||
|8 weeks 1 hour ago||Bert||
I never believed he would take the Nebraska job. The dude is arrogant, and wants to prove he can win in the SEC. He's only leaving that job for a perennial NC contender, IMO.
|8 weeks 1 hour ago||AGREE||
I don't think Malzahn has any desire to leave Auburn, nor should he. Especially for a school in the north.
Mora, Stoops, or Richt.
|8 weeks 1 hour ago||Strictly rumor||
Cowherd is reporting a rumor to generate interest in his crappy but catchy (the 674 threads on his comments are proof of that) show.
That said, I do believe one or more premier candidates will be added to our current list:
|8 weeks 1 hour ago||Disagree||
It's going to be blue and khakis.
Everything else is true.
|8 weeks 1 hour ago||So what?||
His buyout is only $2 million. I think it's Stoops, Mora, or Richt.
|8 weeks 1 hour ago||Put up a list. Morris to SMU||
Put up a list.
Morris to SMU seems like the best so far, but I like McElwain. I don't get Riley to Nebraska...you traded 9 wins for...9 wins but nicer?
That's a head-scratcher. I thought Nebraska was going Frost or Narduzzi, and I think both would have been better choices than Riley, who's a good-but-not-great coach.
|8 weeks 1 hour ago||See below||
Roster fit (offensively) is a serious issue, but I think the other criticisms are invalid.
Don't believe everything you read.
|8 weeks 2 hours ago||Agree w/Brian, but...||
Brian is completely on point in his assessment here. Mullen is a very strong candidate, and, in my mind, stronger than the two guys who have already been hired.
When Mullen was first brought-up, I was skeptical. Brian (and in fact the whole MGoBlog staff, it seems) is a spread zealot, and there is a confirmation bias with spread gurus, which Mullen certainly is.
I turned to research. What I found was that Mullen is not only an offensive coach, but understands and values defense with surprising acumen for a guy I though might just be Spready-Spread-McSpreaderson.
Next, I watched press conferences and sideline video. Mullen has a strange shoulder posture that makes him look passive; he is not. He seems honest, demanding, and clear when he communicates.
My conclusion is that this guy is not only a good coach, but a decent human being, and that he has the humility required to improve on his methods. At 42, he is going to be A LOT better at coaching before his career is over.
That said, it's not all roses here. There are some very real concerns, despite the fact that Mullen is, IMO, the most qualified guy of the "up-and-coming" names (this means removing coaches of powerhouse programs and the NFL, like Harbaugh, Miles, Stoops, Malzahn, etc).
As Brian pointed out, it's taken quite some time ro reform the MSU squad into a competitive SEC West unit. Yes, they are the Indiana of the SEC West, but Mullen will NOT have a QB that fits his system on the Michigan roster. He will NOT have WRs that fit his system. We are an impatient fanbase, and I fear the time required to get Mullen's system in full swing (likely 3-5 years) may be too painful for a frustrated fanbase to endure.
All that said...I don't think U-M offers Mullen the job, though I do believe he would be a good hire and I do believe he would accept the job. If it's not Harbaugh, I think it's a name we haven't spent much time considering. Bob Stoops? Jim Mora? Mark Richt? Those would be my guesses.
I will say this: I am not even slightly concerned that we are going to secure a dynamite candidate, and, to be honest, I think Mullen is a worst-case-scenario--which is amazing because I believe Mullen would be a good, if not great hire.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||All Hog indeed||
|8 weeks 1 day ago||Awesome||
Love this stuff.
There is a very real possibility that the new coach could have Hoke-like success his first season (assuming there is not too much attrition); the schedule sets-up nicely as well. I will be disappointed if we don't beat either MSU or OSU next year, regardless of whom we hire.
I'm tired of waiting.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||TRUE||
I'm not sure where Brian is coming from here; perhaps it's just his gut. Here are the facts from this season:
Dee Hart - 1,254 rush yds; 6.71 YPC; 16 TDs
Garrett Grayson - 3,779 pass yds; 9.8 YPA; 32 TDs/6 INTs; 171.26 rating (#2 behind Mariota)
Rashard Higgins - 1,640 rec. yds; 18.43/catch; 17 TDs
CSU is far from a one man show, and there are at least two players that you could argue are having a bigger impact on offense than Dee Hart. McElwain built an offensive juggernaut at a terrible school, averaging 35.9 PPG, 7.21 YPP, and 497.8 YPG.
While his success as an HC has only been at CSU, he couldn't have done much better than he has, and it's been far more than just Dee Hart contributing to that success.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||It's a lot more||
It's $137.5 million. LINK
|8 weeks 1 day ago||Agree||
To be clear, I don't think Stitt has a chance of being hired. I do think he is the type of coach Hackett is looking for. I brought him up more as a perspective shift than a likely possibility.
I would not bet on Stitt getting hired.
|8 weeks 1 day ago||I agree||
Unfortunately, we live in a world where hurting peoples' feelings seems to equal having bad character. Harbaugh, like Bo, is honest to a fault, and will not sacrifice honesty in order to be sensitive. This is most definitely seen as a character flaw by many people, especially those who like to be coddled.
FWIW, I have zero issues with Harbaugh's character, although I do think his competitiveness gets the better of him sometimes.
|8 weeks 2 days ago||Hoke's Legacy||
This speaks for itself:
|8 weeks 2 days ago||Miles is out||
Hackett spent A LOT of time talking about the importance of character in his presser. With that tone set, I think Les Miles is off the table. I don't see how he'd be able to defend that hire. With all of Miles' rumored offenses, some of them are sure to be true.
The board seems overwhelmingly supportive of Miles if we can't get Harbaugh; I believe today's press conference means we should start looking for another option that will make us happy.
|8 weeks 2 days ago||Captains guess||
Gardner, Ryan, Kerridge
|8 weeks 2 days ago||Awesome||
Brady should be invited and I hope he goes. Hackett nailed it--Hoke embodies the character and integrity Michigan requires from its HC. He has done an admirable job helping young men grow into the Leaders and Best of tomorrow.
|8 weeks 2 days ago||Thank you, Coach Hoke||
As I posted after the MSU game, I believe Brady Hoke is a great man who is just an average coach. To succeed at Michigan, you must be a great coach.
All the best to Coach Hoke and his family. I have no doubt that great things are ahead of them.
|8 weeks 2 days ago||Agreed||
I would love to get Malzahn, but I don't think there is any way Auburn lets him go. People who just look at his salary and say, "We could get him!" should take a look at the Hugh Freeze situation.
Auburn isn't letting him go, and I don't think he'd like to come north anyway. But if we could get him and add a top-notch DC...I would be overjoyed.
|8 weeks 2 days ago||Results are posted||
In the other two polls, results have been posted. Miles won both.
I will post the results of this poll tomorrow. Poll closes end of today.
|8 weeks 2 days ago||How would he fit our personnel?||
Patterson runs a defense (4-2-5) based almost entirely on speed (not size) and a spread-to-run HUNH offense.
I like Patterson and would be satisfied with the hire...but he does NOT fit our current personnel.
|8 weeks 3 days ago||2014 OL||
I don't think the OL regressed in any aspect this year. I don't think it was very good, but 2013 was a tire fire, and this year's OL did a MUCH better (still bad) job in the run game and the pass game.
We improved, but still didn't get to average, which would probably be our destination next year if this staff is retained.
|8 weeks 3 days ago||*clapclapclap*||
I agree with almost every word of this post.
Hoke should be gone already; that he isn't is a sure sign of an AD that doesn't get it. Every day Hoke stays employed is another tacit acceptance of the mediocre results we've experienced the last three seasons. Was not Florida classy, even in their early firing of Muschamp? Was not Nebraska classy, even in firing a guy who can't win less than 9 games? Hell, even if Hoke is going to be kept, today is the day to announce it. Waiting is ridiculous, and smacks of incompetence. Shouldn't Hackett have had his review complete, save for the OSU game? How long does it take to add one more loss into the equation?
Unlike 2008 and 2011, there are the pieces of a good football team here. The sooner we can establish who will be leading these young men, the better. We should have already made the statement that the current guy--no matter how likeable and honorable--is not good enough to be the head coach of the Michigan football program.
The clock is ticking, and we look dumber every minute.
|9 weeks 2 days ago||Here you go||
I like my subs like I like my women -- hot and Italian.
|9 weeks 6 days ago||Jim Harbaugh||
Is not your pal, friend.
|10 weeks 1 day ago||+1||
For FTFP. Bunch of click-baiting hacks...I never go over there anymore, because I don't want to encourage their ridiculous behavior.
My boycott of the FP continues indefinitely.
|10 weeks 2 days ago||Ian Rapaport||
FWIW, Rapaport also posted this:
I believe this is true, but I seriously doubt that Sarah Harbaugh would torpedo any move back to the midwest, where she is from. The Bay Area is nice, but a happy husband is nicer. Also, she clearly has a good sense of humor:
|10 weeks 6 days ago||Nailed it||
Well done, sir.
The NCAA (and school in general) has done itself a great disservice by disconnecting sports from education. While sports are rightly differentiated from academics, they are certainly a valid, empowering component of education.
I've said it before and I'll say it again: I learned more on the field in college than I did in the classroom. No, I'm not a professional athlete. But I double-majored in International Relations and Theatre and I don't do those either.
"Student-athlete" is a stupid and redundant term. Athletes are students--even the pros have to be constantly learning and honing their craft. And athletics are part of education, just as surely as law, business, or medicine.
That we view sport as an entirely different class of education is societal mistake; while I would never argue that football = English literature, I would be just as foolish to argue that philosophy = engineering.
There is no doubt to anyone who has ever been a serious college athlete (I'd like to think I'm in that category) that the field and the classroom are complimentary, not competitive. Yes, they are different disciplines, but they are both part of education, and I believe they are both indespensible to a complete education.
My kids will play sports. Whether they like it or not, whether they excel at them or not, they will play, just like they will have math classes whether or not they like them or excel in them. I believe educating mind, body, and character helps us grow into more complete human beings, and sports can do all three in a unique way. When coupled with the rigors of classroom learning, I believe athletics help create a comprehensive foundation for effective, lifelong thinking and decision-making.
And it's worth saying again: This was an awesome post, Brian. Thank you.
|11 weeks 5 days ago||Just can't see it||
I don't see how this team wins out. We're just not that good.
But even if we do, it's time for a change at HC.
|11 weeks 5 days ago||So true||
It's hard to find a clip of a Stanford running play where there wasn't a pulling guard (when Harbaugh was there) and when you do, it's usually a FB ISO play.
Power O, Pin-and-Pull, Traps and Whams...ALL...DAY...LONG.
|11 weeks 6 days ago||MSU||
I cannot possibly root for either team, but if you're asking for a prediction, I'm going with MSU by 3-7 points. OSU has not played anyone this year, and they've still lost to Va Tech and nearly lost to Penn State. MSU has played Oregon (and lost) and beat Nebraska in addition to thumping everyone else.
|11 weeks 6 days ago||Brian||
I love the UFRs. I know it seems almost pointless this season (or perhaps worse), but this is content that I truly love to digest each week, and very much appreciate. It's stuff like this that keeps me coming back to the blog and buying HTTV.
Please keep it up, and here's hoping next season is more fun.
|12 weeks 1 hour ago||1987 Rose Bowl||
The irony of that game--a 15-22 loss to Arizona State--is that it was none other than John Cooper coaching the Sun Devils. He would later become my favorite Ohio State coach in history.
|12 weeks 1 hour ago||All of the points||
I think Hoke is a great guy, and I wish he had succeeded here. But I'm not sure you could find a clearer case of a guy that needs to be fired. I am shocked at how many posters are advocating for "one more year" if we can't get a Harbaugh.
|12 weeks 1 day ago||Your list||
Might be better than mine. I pretty much agree, though I also believe John Harbaugh is close to a sure thing.
|12 weeks 1 day ago||40 time||
I improved my 40 time by 0.2 seconds in college through strength, form, and flexibility training. You can definitely get faster in college.
That said, I reached my ceiling and still wasn't very fast. Some people just have it; I had a buddy who ran in the 4.3s and never trained.
|12 weeks 1 day ago||Mullen||
The guy took the worst team in the best division in football and turned them into average or better, and now has them as the #1 team in the country.
Perhaps even more impressive, he's coaching great defenses to go along with his solid offense. Top it all off with his midwest ties and realtionship with Urban, and he's a pretty attractive candidate.
Who looks better (not named Harbaugh)?
|12 weeks 1 day ago||Yeah||
McElwain is between tier 2 and tier 3 for me...but the steady improvement at CSU is extremely impressive, and he has a strong resume besides, including some midwest ties. I think he's ready, but he's no slam dunk.
|12 weeks 1 day ago||Thanks||
I'd put him in Tier 3, but I agree he should be on the list. I'm just not sure he knows enought about running a college program, and I'm not sure if he wants to be in the NFL as a HC.
|12 weeks 1 day ago||Youth and scheme||
Sure, youth and a scheme change are challenges. But the #107 scoring offense in the country?
It's one thing to be bad, it's another thing to be nearly ineffective. With the talent we have, there is NO excuse for our offensive production. Even Rich Rod's first season--when there was far, far, far less talent--was 99th in scoring offense.
Teams with far worse OC's and far less talent are out-perfoming us. There is no excuse for that.
We are 10 weeks into the season, after having a full spring and summer and fall camp to digest the changes. We are still pathetic on offense. There is no excuse for that.
|12 weeks 1 day ago||Eh||
Gallon wasn't lightning fast, but he was definitely fast. He ran a 4.49 at the NFL combine (zero fakes out of five). His top gear wasn't the fastest, but his quickness was amazing.
|12 weeks 1 day ago||Joke||
While this is obviously a joke, we could do a lot worse than Schiano.
|12 weeks 1 day ago||Futility and failure||
It's no secret that I like Coach Hoke. It's also no secret that I think he should be fired, no matter what happens with the remainder of the season. Consider this: we have the 107th-ranked scoring offense in the NCAA. We are one spot behind Miami (NTM), one of the teams we blew out because they were galactically bad.
Coach Hoke should not get fired for being unlikeable, immoral, or failing to graduate his players. That our record is so poor and the team shows no (or few) signs of fracturing is a testament to how well he takes care of his team.
Coach Hoke should, however, get fired for fielding futile offenses that closely resemble RR's futile defenses. In 2010, we averaged 6.75 yds/play. The problem is that we also allowed over 6 yds/play. In 2011, the average dropped a bit to 6.23 yds/play, and we held our opponents to 5.23 yds/play. In 2012, we were down to 6.07 yds/play, allowing just 4.93 yds/play. The decline continued in 2013 despite two massive offensive outputs (Indiana and Ohio State) when we averaged just 5.44 yds/play and gave-up 5.29. Now? In 2014, we are averaging 5.38 yds/play while we cede 4.76 yds/play.
See a trend? The offense has gotten less efficient each season, and is now at the point where, immediately following a huge blow-out victory over Indiana, we are still ranked #107 in scoring offense.
The big question: WHY?
Nuss is regarded as one of the top offensive minds in the country. I will bet anyone any amount, any time that Nussmeier goes on to have a very good career as an OC and probably even HC after he is done at Michigan. He is not the problem. (It's possible Borges wasn't the problem either)
I agree with Brian: the assistants are NOT getting the job done, and Hoke is not holding them accountable or creating an atmosphere where attention to detail is paramount. Wisconsin fired their O-Line coach mid-season, and turned things around almost immediately. Michigan has been far too patient with Funk, not to mention Jackson, Ferrigno, and even Hecklinski. The offensive staff has not been able to get the players to execute their assignments, and therefore they should be canned, along with the HC that has kept them employed.
That we have MNC-winning coordinators on both sides of the ball tells you that we have adequate football knowledge to be at least competent in all phases of the game. Unfortunately, our offense is a wreck, and shows no sign of lasting progress. Given that we now have an OC known for grooming excellent QBs and getting the most out of his talent, it's plain to see that the final variables are the HC (whom we know is not that involved on offense) and the offensive assistants, who appear to be culpable.
|12 weeks 1 day ago||BiSB||
While Jim Harbaugh is probably my ideal coaching candidate, spread-to-pass seems like the most fun scheme to me.
That said, I agree 100% with BiSB. I DON'T CARE. Whatever works, man. Move the ball and score points. We are currently living in some sort of hellish hell-world where Michigan State is the #5 scoring offense and we are the #107 scoring offense. Plz make it stop.
|12 weeks 1 day ago||Conspiracy theory||
Is it a coincidence that we just started running some classic Harbaugh wham plays this past week?
|12 weeks 1 day ago||We can haz Harbaugh?||
|12 weeks 2 days ago||Hello!||
Welcome to the family! Kate approves!
|12 weeks 3 days ago||Happy Birthday Coach!||
|13 weeks 1 day ago||Please, don't ever, ever,||
Please, don't ever, ever, ever rate '14 Hoke. Please.
|13 weeks 1 day ago||Good find||
Seth, what's the basis for giving Jim Harbaugh a "1" in offensive and defensive execution?
Stanford was #5 in oFEI in 2010, and #6 in dFEI. They were #2 in overall FEI, only behind Auburn. They were #6 in dS&P and #3 in oS&P, overall #5.
Hard to execute much better than that, especially when you consider they weren't loaded with anywhere near the talent of some other top teams.
|13 weeks 1 day ago||Recruiting||
No, his players are not engineers first. I live near CSM and can tell you that Stitt actively recruits football players in Texas and tries to convince them to become engineers.
Believe me, he's not out recruiting engineers to play football. It's the other way around.
|13 weeks 1 day ago||Rodriguez||
Was the best possible candidate at the time. He was known as THE innovator of the zone read/spread to run offense and had turned around one of the worst programs in college football.
There was no better choice.
RR's failure is a combination of factors--his arrogance/obsessiveness about his offense put the defense on the back burner, and when he finally realized he needed to fix it he never hired a guy who knew how or who fit with his philosophy. Just as significant, the university and the alumni never supported him fully.
RR is one of the best coaches in college football, and anyone who says otherwise is just not paying attention to facts.
|13 weeks 1 day ago||Nailed it||
I think you nailed the essence of it, if not the title. RR's questionable recruiting did have some negative consequences for our program when a handful of guys he tried to bring in didn't make it.
|13 weeks 1 day ago||I heard||
It was spray-painted green and "SU" was added to the end of it.
|13 weeks 1 day ago||Awesome & Stitt||
Seth...this is awesome. I think you've put together good metrics for a quantitative rating system. Thanks for the work.
Stitt is probably overrated by a couple of points, since his success is the most difficult to translate to top-tier football, but I'm picking nits.
This is great stuff, and I appreciate it.
|13 weeks 3 days ago||Mike Hart||
What about "Where's the threat?" from MD?
The disrespect goes both ways, and the MLive article is right: it's petty and unnecessary.
The fact is that MSU has been kicking our ass, and so our little stunt looks ridiculous, while MD's antics only pass because he's winning. When the tables turn again--and they will, soon--MD should learn to shut the hell up.
|13 weeks 3 days ago||Good stuff||
Great post. While we may agree on the quality of Hoke's character, there is no disagreement on the quality of his performance.
The program is a mess; Bradon and Hoke need to be excused.
|13 weeks 4 days ago||He should not be back||
I upvoted you because I am glad to learn about the high respect for his character, but he should not be back next year, for the same reason a math professor who is a good man should not continue to be a professor if he can't help his students learn math.
Hoke should be fired, even if he is a high-character, likeable guy. He is not good enough at his job.
|13 weeks 5 days ago||Someday soon||
Before 2015, you'll feel a lot better.
|13 weeks 6 days ago||Not sure||
If this means you like or dislike...
|13 weeks 6 days ago||Eh||
A pretty good summary of the program, and the conclusion that this all rests on Schlissel's shoulders is spot on. That said, I have a few quibbles:
We've past the point of no return. The ONLY way keeping Brandon has a good outcome for Schlissel is if the football team turns around dramatically in 2015. That means waiting at least another full year and enduring constant niggling from students, alumni, and fans about the state of the program. And even that outcome seems highly unlikely.
Even if there are some compelling reasons to keep Brandon--he hasn't done EVERYTHING wrong--the expediency of removing him makes too much sense for Schlissel, who can't afford to submarine his own agenda by betting on a hated figure like Brandon and a sub-par coach like Hoke.
TL; DR: Schlissel is smart enough to see he'll have to deal with this issue for another year if he doesn't remove Brandon now. And, IMO, if we lose badly tomorrow--by 14 or more points--it's the final nail in an already tightly-sealed coffin for AD and HC alike.
|13 weeks 6 days ago||We covered the spread!||
|13 weeks 6 days ago||Beat State||
I want it to be like this:
But feel more like this:
|13 weeks 6 days ago||YES||
|13 weeks 6 days ago||That Poem||
double post fail
|13 weeks 6 days ago||That Poem||
|14 weeks 2 hours ago||Can't tell you||
I've never said I don't want Narduzzi b/c of a lack of HC experience, but not having experience as an HC is certainly a negative. You'll notice that I'm not too excited about ANY coordinator.
There have been lots of coordinators that couldn't hack it as HCs, both in college and the NFL:
And those are just the coordinators-turned-HCs that failed last season.
As for Narduzzi, I believe he's one helluva defensive coach, and that he may do well leading a program somewhere. I also think he's an MSU-loving, arrogant sonuvagun who might crash-and-burn. DO NOT WANT. That said, I understand why some people do want him to be considered for the job--he has an amazing track record of success as a DC.
|14 weeks 6 hours ago||My dream off-season||
Here is the best possible off-season, IMO:
All of these are actually possible, if not probable.
But if I can't have all that, then getting Dan Mullen as HC would be freaking fantastic. And I would want him to bring Geoff Collins (DC) with him. And yes, I would prefer this over Les Miles.
Here's my list (in order of CURRENT preference):
There is a BIG gap, then these guys are other names I'd be happy with:
And here are the more fringe guys I wouldn't rebel against:
And, finally, the guys I'd be grumpy with but would reserve judgment:
|14 weeks 7 hours ago||FALSE||
Dan Mullen's defenses at Miss. State have been better than his offenses.
This is the first year his scoring offense has out-performed his scoring defense, and both are damn good.
Mullen would, IMO, be a very good hire. I don't think he's a Jim Harbaugh homerun, but he would be a very good hire.
|14 weeks 18 hours ago||Great post||
A few things:
It would be interesting to see if he has the desire to coach at a big school that's not his alma mater (WVU). If Holgersen gets hired by a big school this offseason, I think Doc ends-up at WVU--where he stays until he retires.
|14 weeks 1 day ago||Chris Webber timeout jokes||
Still too soon for me.
On Hoke, BiSB nailed it. That is all.
|14 weeks 2 days ago||Welcome!||
Welcome to the family, Mr. Tice. Can't wait to see you kick a game-winner.
|14 weeks 2 days ago||Funny?||
Are you trying to be funny? No personal ties? Let's see...
Just becuase he didn't go to U-M doesn't mean he doesn't have personal ties. Yeesh.
|14 weeks 2 days ago||Straw man||
Who said scheme doesn't matter? Not me. Not Chip Kelly.
|14 weeks 3 days ago||Trying||
"Schemes and play calls don't win games, Execution wins games." –Chip Kelly
They are certainly trying to run an offense that makes sense, sets itself up for easy yards, and takes advantage of the defense's weaknesses.
But they can't seem to do it.
Schematically, I have no complaints. That the coaches can't get superior athletes to execute their assignments is confounding. I really thought Nuss' would be able to make some headway in that department--it appears to be the exact opposite.
We are using QB runs, counters, pop passes, quick slants, WR screens, RB screens, IZ, OZ...this is a good scheme, rife with constraints and deceptions. We can't execute it.
By this point in the season, if these coaches were good at their jobs, we'd have seen some major improvement. Look at how far JT Barrett has come in half a season.
Most of the pain is on the O-Line...PSU showed us that even a great player like Hack can't be effective behind pylons.
Funk must go. Wellman must go. Jackson must go. Ferrigno must go. Hecklinski has been okay...Hoke? Gotta go.
Borges deserved his firing; we hired what many believed was the best OC in the country to run a MANBALL scheme. I think we can now see that it really isn't the play calls--it's the execution, and yes, that is on the coaches.
|14 weeks 3 days ago||We should hire the most||
We should hire the best coach for the program. Period. I don't care if he's coached for a rival or not.
PS - negged OP for being in favor of Tressel...liars and cheaters are NOT good for the program
|14 weeks 3 days ago||Sometimes, you just have to use your eyes||
I really don't care what the FEI and S&P+ ratings are; I've watched both teams, and our offense is going to have a tough time scoring points on MSU.
That said, I agree with BiSB--these metrics aren't really very accurate until the whole season has been played. That's the problem with metrics--they only measure the past.
HOWEVA, I do believe this year's MSU squad is MUCH more beatable than last year's outfit. But I think Vegas has the line about right.
|14 weeks 6 days ago||Thanks||
I appreciate the addition. There is some great stuff here.
I see Claeys a bit differently.
First, I think as a coordinator, you can't give him the same score you give the HC--he doesn't have control of a program. Claeys is more of a "B" the way I've been grading. He's had success everywhere, but not as a HC and is just now playing with the big boys.
Second, on Michigan ties, he's probably more like a "B" on my scale. Some solid ties to the area, but none to the school.
Recruiting is closer to a C/C+. Claeys did not recruit Hageman or Vereen. His coaching is clearly pretty good, but he didn't recruit them. Minnesota is doing a little better on the recruiting trail now, and he deserves some credit, but he hasn't shown that he's a great recruiter at this point in his career.
I think a C/C+ is about right for Claeys on Chances/Loyalty. If he wants to be a HC and is offered the Michigan job, he would have to take it. Kill, if he's the man of honor I believe he is, would actually tell him to take the job. And I think he would stay awhile. But does he want the job? Does he want to leave Kill? I'm not sure.
"Demeanor" is about how the coach carries himself, how well he presents, and if he appears to be a good motivator. Claeys would rate as a "C" here, as his folksy chub is strikingly similar to Hoke...I don't think fans would like that one bit. He clearly gets the most from his players, though.
Three Phases is probably correct at a B--which would be very high for a strictly defensive guy, but Claeys has operated as HC on a few occasions, and deserves credit for that.
Roster Fit is most definitely an "A", although he'd prefer a QB who can run, I think.
Overall, he's closer to a 2.81 (B-), and that's being a bit generous. I do not have ANY interest in him as a HC at this point in his career. I'd like to see him have success running a program first.
|14 weeks 6 days ago||FALSE||
I know you said it's your opinion, but last year the staff probably substituted TOO much. Every position on defense rotated like crazy--even the secondary--and the O-Line was a revolving door. We never established a RB. Other than DG, Gallon, and Funchess, the line-up was in a constant state of flux.
These guys aren't afraid to substitute. You still see it on the D-Line, and some in the secondary. They've rotated LB less this year, but that's just about it.
|15 weeks 57 min ago||You forgot one measure||
Success of the football program.
But here are a few others, and they are at least somewhat measurable:
If these aren't part of the AD's evaluation checklist, there's a problem.
|15 weeks 2 hours ago||FWIW||
Our offense is #67 in oFEI and #48 in oS&P.
This would suggest that our offense is actually mediocre, not awful.
It would also suggest that S&P is WAY better than FEI, amirite?
|15 weeks 6 hours ago||Good stuff, Brian||
Thanks for the post--great stuff.
While revenue is an important measure of an AD's success (money matters, whether we like that or not) it's pretty damning that Brandon's success in that department is just okay. Given the messes he's created elsewhere, I'd say it's time for Dave to go.
|15 weeks 7 hours ago||Recruiting||
Herman gets the best grade I would give a coordinator. He's a great recruiter by reputation, but would he be as good without Urban Meyer behind him? We don't really know. He wasn't pulling in 5-star players at Iowa State.
An "A" grade is reserved for HCs that have proven to be the best in the country.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||You know what assuming does...||
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Yes||
But he has also admitted a desire to be a HC.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Hope you're right, mostly||
I would not support the Les Miles hire, even if he won lots of games. I do not trust him.
Harbaughs or Mullen are basically the best-case scenarios. I think they are possible, but I'm not betting the house we get one of them.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Thanks||
Did not know that. Thanks for the info. That does certainly give him stronger ties to the area.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||No||
I think Bielma has the job he wants: an SEC team he can turn around.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||AGREE||
I wholeheartedly agree.
The issue here, however, is not that he's religious, but that he's asking his players to join him in his faith. He tells them God blessed them, and tells them to give the glory to God.
Being religious is one thing. Telling your team they won because God blessed them is another.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Bud Foster||
Should we be considering this guy for our CC? The way he used the double-eagle front against Ohio State was awesome. That was an RPS win, for sure.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||THIS||
I did not think it was possible to like Denard more, but that story is amazing. He deserves all of the success he has had, and more.
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Yes||
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Video of full speech|
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Hip Hip!||
|15 weeks 1 day ago||Just one factor||
Roster fit needs to be included because fans are impatient. If it takes a new coach four or five years to build the roster he needs to be successful, chances are good that he won't be coaching the team by the time his players are developed enough to win.
While I agree that we should find the best coach--regardless of how his philosophy fits the roster--the reality of college football today is that success is demanded in a short period of time, and being able to have success with the existing roster is a must.
|15 weeks 2 days ago||Hope||
Is my current strategy.
|15 weeks 2 days ago||Hoke and Brandon||
If they both stay, I think we'll see more heads on the staff roll. Possible casualties:
I also believe it is possible, if not likely, that Nussmeier leaves. I don't think he'll be fired, though.
|15 weeks 2 days ago||Ace||
I think his team would be winning the Draftaggedon thing at this point.
This was a great post, Seth. Thanks for some reading material during the bye week. I've been hoping to hear about Brandon's pink slip for two days, and I'm afraid we've missed our window. He might be safe after all...
|15 weeks 2 days ago||#53||
That is about right; there may be 52 better teams in the country right now.
Hard to believe Penn State is ahead of us. It's actually pretty damning that we're so low with the talent we have.
What's surprised is that our OFEI is not as bad as expected--we are 67 there. But our DFEI? Yeah, we're #50(!). We're even better in S&P - 48th on offense and 23rd on defense (ahead of FSU, Wisconsin, and Ohio State).
What we thought we be good is just okay; what we think is terrible is just worse than mediocre.
Yay, I guess?
|15 weeks 2 days ago||Last of the HCs||
A look at the remaining HCs I'll be covering, unless a new name pops up. Dave Doeren has eliminated himself.
Next up will be coordinators and fringe candidates.
|15 weeks 2 days ago||I don't disagree||
Here is a good way to say this: I believe Schiano would be an upgrade over Hoke. I do NOT believe that Schiano is an elite coach, and I don't think he's the best man for the job.
But the best man for the job may not take it, and I think Schiano could be a very good coach for Michigan. I don't WANT Schiano. I would be okay with Schiano.
I'm not just grading coaches I want. I'm grading the possibilities.
This post was NOT an endorsement of Greg Schiano. He's probably about 10th on my list; but I wouldn't throw a tantrum if we ended-up with him.
|15 weeks 3 days ago||Schiano.||
As I said, I don't view Schiano as a homerun by any stretch of the imagination, but he did pretty darn well at a school that has some serious issues.
While his start at Rutgers was awful (a school that hadn't had a winning record since 1992), his last six years he was 49-28. Hoke never had sustained success like that, and the Big East, while bad, is better than the competition Hoke faced. Schiano coached in the NFL for three years. He was also a DC at Miami (YTM) and coordianted the #12 and #7 defenses in the country in his two years there--and he achieved the #7 defense playing the 12th-toughest schedule in the country.
And let me ask you this question: Can you imagine Bill Belichick asking Brady Hoke for advice? What about Urban Meyer? Schiano has worked with both the Patriots and Ohio this off-season, and is widely regarded as a defensive guru. He has a clear defensive system and a sharp football mind. He is highly demanding of his players.
Again, I don't think anyone would mistake Schiano for Jim Harbaugh, but he's a guy who seems to fit Michigan's culture and is very, very different from Brady Hoke in virtually every way. Brady Hoke is delegator, Schiano is a micro-manager. Hoke is a rah-rah position coach, Schiano is a detail-oriented coordinator. Hoke is patient with development, Schiano is highly demanding RIGHT NOW.
I'm not going to tell you that you should like Schiano, and I'm certainly not going to guarantee that he's a success at Michigan. But he's nothing like Brady Hoke.
|15 weeks 3 days ago||Geography||
Yeah, to me, these are the states in the South (culturlaly):
Texas, Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri (most of state), Oklahoma, Tennessee, Virginia (some of state), West Virginia.
But geographically, Kentucky is just south of Indiana and Ohio...hardly south. In the summer, Kentucky averages a datime temperature of about 87 degrees. 23 degrees in the winter. Does that sound like the south to you?
Just having fun, though--Kentucky is DEFINITELY in the "South"
|15 weeks 3 days ago||Short answer: Because people||
Short answer: Because people want to hear about them.
Longer answer: While significant HC experience seems like a prerequisite to us, the fact is that you just never know. A guy with loads of coordinator experience could knock the AD's socks off in an interview, and who even know who our AD will be?
I'm leading with the guys with HC experience, and Stoops popped in early because he's been hot.
|15 weeks 3 days ago||Good stuff||
I like it, though I agree that some of the metrics seem to be overweighted. Still, a great place to go for a quick quantitative look at each guy.
I'll keep doing my write-ups to compliment yours.
|15 weeks 4 days ago||Not MSU. That is asking for||
Not MSU. That is asking for trouble.
I would guess Northwestern.
|15 weeks 6 days ago||Mostly fine||
I appreciate the well-thought-out piece, but believe you're building strawmen with your arguments and that you really get to the meat of it here:
First, the players do deserve our support, because they bust their butts for Michigan every day. As many have noted, this does NOT look like a team that has given-up--it looks like a team that is disorganized. That falls on the coaches and AD, not the players.
Seth's post this morning was right on: players feed off of crowd energy. This is why winning on the road in college football is hard.
An organized petition by season-ticket and box holders in the off-season to boycott makes some serious sense: it sends a message right to the wallet, which even Brandon would have to listen to. But a mid-season cadre of folks not sitting in their seats won't communicate anything to a group of people who have demonstrated they won't listen to what they don't want to hear. The tickets are already bought and paid for, and the few scraps that remain are financially insignificant. What I'm saying is that I believe your premise is vastly flawed: a handful--or even a fistful--of empty seats won't send a message to Brandon or the university. Showing up and chanting fire Brandon will.
Going to the game wearing a "Fire Brandon" shirt, getting "Fire Brandon" cheers going during the game every now and then, and actually showing up and showing displeasure will communicate MUCH more loudly to the power that be: the President and Regents. If you're not there, they don't know why you're not there. If you're there and tell them why you won't come back if they don't change things, that seems MUCH more effective to me.
I was once an LA Clippers season ticket holder (2002-2003 season). I went to 41 of 43 (including preseason) games in a season that saw the Clippers go 27-55. In late January, I went to the game with buddies and, as the game was finishing, we all put on the traditional paper bag masks with "FIRE GENTRY" emblazened on both sides. We were on the news that night. Gentry got fired in early March. I'm not saying our paper bags did the job--but what I will say is that Staples Center was mostly empty all season, and no one would have noticed if we stopped showing up. Almost everyone noticed our stunt. And yes, after the season was over, we sent another message by not renewing our season tickets, as did many others, and that had an even bigger impact on the Clips.
It's also an unfortuante fact that people will complain just to complalin; if you demonstrate that you do indeed support the university and players by showing-up, your displeasure registers with other people who love and support the university. Perhaps the best shirt would read: "Go BLUE! Fire Brandon!"
But like you said, it's America, man. Do what you want.
|15 weeks 6 days ago||All-time great post||
Thanks, Seth. That was one of the best-written, best-argued posts I've ever read, and it has helped me reconsider some of my positions.
Well done, sir.
|16 weeks 1 hour ago||Good stuff||
What did you think of McElwain? Is he animated at all on the sidelines? Dude looks just about dead in his press conferences, which last F O R E V E R.
|16 weeks 1 hour ago||Mattison was right||
The offense was good enough to win this game. The missed PI on Chesson on a 3rd down and the DERP on Darboh's conversion at the end of the game cost us some probable points, but hey, that stuff happens.
It's still not smooth: the receivers are not getting open and the QB is not accurate. The running game appears to have taken a step forward, and did so without a gimmick. Hooray?!
We need improvement in both the running and passing game if we want to have a chance against PSU (and a shot at a bowl game).
|16 weeks 3 hours ago||Offense||
If we don't turn the corner this week, that corner ain't turnin'.
We need a W against PSU to salvage any hope of a bowl game.
|16 weeks 1 day ago||Did not know||
Just read; Gundy is now squarely in the "Do not want" list. Thanks.
|16 weeks 1 day ago||My feelings on EVERYONE||
Like (as of right now):
Not ready yet:
Don't want (reason):
|16 weeks 1 day ago||A few things, but mostly RESULTS||
I don't think Hoke is inept, though he has made some pretty awful decisions. I don't think Mattison and Nussmeier are inept, either. I think--if they keep coaching after they leave--this whole crew will go on to have success.
Michigan is one of the two most difficult places to win in all of the country. Here's why:
Only Notre Dame faces a similar cadre of demands, and they are not as attached to "old-school" play styles as Michigan is. They were willing to innovate.
As for Hoke et al., here are what I perceive to be the biggest challenges:
While it's too early to judge Nuss, the rest of the offensive staff has failed to develop the copious talent on the roster. The defense is good, but lacks the innovation to take the step to great.
"Execution" failures happen because coaches can't get their players to do the right thing. That is absolutely a failure of coaching. I don't think these guys are inept, I think they are better suited to reclamation projects where instilling a winning culture is enough to move the needle from 3 wins to 9 wins. That doesn't cut it in the Power 5 world.
Our staff's shortcomings, the lack of precision in a college football landscape dominated by it, and the stubborn adherence to principles of the past are holding our program back. It's time to move forward. #CC
|16 weeks 1 day ago||Why||
Why would Nuss leave 'Bama just to go somewhere else where the HC dictates how he calls the game? I'm not buying it. If Nuss left Saban to get away from the control freak, I'm sure he made certain he would be able to do his own thing at Michigan.
Sorry, you can't blame Hoke for everything.
|16 weeks 1 day ago||Stitt||
I am going to CSM game later this month, and will post an update with pictures.
I feel Stitt is WAY too much of a gamble as HC, but the guy deserves a shot as an OC, and he deserves it now.
|16 weeks 2 days ago||Half-true||
Non-competes come whenever a lawyer drafts one. They tend to be pretty weak documents, but I, for example, have a non-compete that says I won't work for any other firm in my industry for two years if I leave my current company voluntarily. This is not uncommon.
Enforcing them is another issue entirely.
That said, I highly doubt Herman has any sort of non-compete in his contract.
|16 weeks 2 days ago||Poorly-worded||
The OP saw Bo as an innovator; he was arguing that Bo's ability to adapt and change is what made him great. I was writing from his persepective, not mine, so the post is a bit unclear. Sorry.
|16 weeks 2 days ago||Summary||
|16 weeks 2 days ago||Summary||
|16 weeks 2 days ago||OP just dumped a box of these on my screen||
|16 weeks 2 days ago||Slow down||
|16 weeks 2 days ago||NOT apples to apples||
ND 2013: 71st rush defense
ND 2014: 9th rush defense
MN 2013: 55th rush defense
MN 2014: 35th rush defense
Mat, you are not comparing apples to apples. Both of these defenses are much better than they were last year against the run.
There has been improvement. Is it good enough? No. But there has been improvement. Nobody is endorsing the coaching because of it--it's not good enough. But it's better than last year.
|16 weeks 2 days ago||Todd Graham||
I like his resume, I worry about his cultural fit at U-M.
|16 weeks 3 days ago||Good suggestion||
I am tending away from quantification becuase of the extremely high degree of subjectivity here--normally that is my preference.
I will try it in part two and see how it goes. Thanks.
|16 weeks 3 days ago||McElwain is not someone I'm||
McElwain is not someone I'm excited about, either.
That said, he took over an AWFUL team and has turned them around. They were 3-9 in 2011 (year before he arrived) and, since have gone 4-8, 8-6, and now are 4-1. They have gone from scoring 21 ppg and allowing 31 ppg (-10) to scoring 34 and allowing 23 (+11). The recruiting has picked-up.
He would need a great defensive coordinator, but I think we could do a lot worse than McElwain. He's got midwest connections and knows how to gameplan. Is he a home run? Hardly.
FWIW, I actually think Doug Nussmeier will be a more successful HC someday. I don't see McElwain's passion, though I'm sure it's there.
|16 weeks 3 days ago||AGREE||
I also think giving glory to God would go over like a lead balloon in Ann Arbor.
|16 weeks 3 days ago||Disagree||
I appreciate the suggestion, and, yes, this is obviously a guess, but I think it's key to evaluating a candidate.
It's not heavily influencing the overall grade, FWIW.
|16 weeks 3 days ago||Agreed||
MacIntyre might turn out to be a good coach, but so far, not so good at CU.
I live in Denver and hear quite a bit about him; they think he will resurrect the program here. The problem is that they are 2-4 and just barely beat UMass and struggled against Hawaii. Of course, they followed that up with close games against Cal and Oregon State, but they are a LONG way from being good.
I don't think he's a realistic candidate at this point, and he has no midwest ties.
|16 weeks 3 days ago||Bo/Pragmatist||
I'm a mix of these two. Hoke said all the right things, but hasn't delivered any of them. I'm not comitted to MANBALL tradition, but want to see Michigan win the right way--with frequency and integrity.
Brandon needs to go.
I will NOT back whoever is hired by the university, and I'm not "Harbaugh or bust." I'm open to possibilities, but obviously would love Jim or John (not Les).
|16 weeks 3 days ago||Thanks||
I will add him to the list. I do think he's a candidate.