|5 hours 32 min ago||As We Saw...||
As we saw in the Rutgers game, brutal special teams play has helped put MSU in some bad spots in the first six weeks of the season. Hopefully, that is something we can exploit this coming Saturday. That goes for passing yards allowed too - a couple years ago, there is no way that some of these teams can throw on MSU all day, but hopefully we can do that very thing.
Very informative, OP.
|6 hours 19 min ago||Over At SBNation...||
SBNation has some of the stuff gleaned from South Carolina blogs - LINK
"An interim head coach will be named Tuesday morning at 8:30 ET," FootballScoop.com reports, which would seem to indicate this is happening, uh, now. FS also tweeted that this is "effective immediately."
This seems very sudden, so I am interested as to whether or not we'll hear what has spurred this on.
|7 hours 42 min ago||TeamRankings Stuff...||
Here's how they are stacked up at TeamRankings:
As for rushing specifically, in terms of total rushing yards, right now Michigan is #27 in FBS (201.3) and Michigan State is #50 (175.0). For average yards per rush, where there is much more compression, Michigan is #35 (4.8) and Michigan State is #55 (4.4).
|8 hours 41 min ago||Over At Massey...||
Over at Massey Ratings, we've got an estimated 69% chance with a projected mean score of 20-13 over their simulations. It's just funny to think that, at the beginning of the season - and granted, with no data from this season in the algorithm yet - that projection for that same game? It was markedly less rosy.
|9 hours 11 min ago||Coming Down...||
Dantonio is Salty
Five fakes out of five on this one.
Woodson is amazing!!!!
I believe we had a thread discussing the interceptions yesterday.
|10 hours 5 min ago||Good News...||
When is the last time we figured that heavily in the B1G Player Of The Week honors? It has to be a while, but I could be wrong. Either way, it is fun to see a few Wolverines get rewarded for some fantastic performances.
Hopefully, we get to see such honors a couple more times this season.
|10 hours 38 min ago||Lapping Itself...||
The board is seriously lapping itself today -
OT: Will Grier Suspended, Sarkisian Drinks Would Be Good GameDay Sign For Saturday
Another Gameday Sign
|10 hours 55 min ago||Already Posted...||
OT : Florida QB Will Grier suspended for the rest of season
Still on the front page.
|11 hours 10 min ago||In The LA Times...||
The LA Times was out there with documents and interviews with former Washington players saying that this was a problem when he was there as well, which made the whole situation even more troubling as here he is now having lost a job over this. Hopefully, he can pull it together, get the help he needs and get back into coaching on some level.
|11 hours 48 min ago||To This Creation...||
To this creation by the OP, all I can say is...
|11 hours 54 min ago||If Anyone Is Interested...||
The last non-Michigan team to shutout three consecutive opponents was Kansas State (I know, Big 12, right? Well, then it was the Big 8) in 1995 - they are Akron, Northern Illinois and Missouri. Of course, Missouri was not a good team that year - they would also be shut out by Nebraska and Colorado.
|14 hours 46 min ago||No Problem...||
Not a problem.
Actually, a lot of threads were buried rather quickly in the flurry of threads that is inevitable after victories, particularly conference wins where we shut out an opponent that not very many people thought we might shut out. I wouldn't blame anyone over next couple days for missing something.
|14 hours 51 min ago||Run & Shoot...||
It wasn't the modern spread or read option offense, but there were many variants of the Run & Shoot offense (which as you mention, didn't make it to certain places until much later) around when Bo was still the head coach, and I would think that this might be one of the more direct ancestors of the modern spread. OCs like Mike Shanahan and John Jenkins were pretty well known for making it effective, as I recall. I can't think of anyone in the Big Ten that was using it much at the time though, if at all.
|16 hours 24 min ago||Embed Of The Tweet...||
Or rather, LostLetterman's retweet.
Yeah, Bielema can now and forever suck it.
|16 hours 36 min ago||Eligibility Waivers...||
To add a bit to this, you can extend eligibility per 22.214.171.124.1 in the handbook:
A waiver of the five-year period of eligibility is designed to provide a studentathlete with the opportunity to participate in four seasons of intercollegiate competition within a five-year period. This waiver may be granted, based upon objective evidence, for reasons that are beyond the control of the student-athlete or the institution, which deprive the student-athlete of the opportunity to participate for more than one season in his/her sport within the five-year period.
It also mentions that a committee will review cases that do not meet the requirements and one of the reasons can be medical, but it basically would need to be an incapacitating (or at least long-term) injury, either to the player or someone on the player's family. It also details financial hardship and being the unwitting victim of academic fraud as other valid reasons, but these were just examples, not a comprehensive list.
|17 hours 41 min ago||For Reference...||
If you want general statistics on teams, TeamRankings will allow you to go back about ten years and adjust the calendar in a given season as well so you can actually get snapshots of what the stats that you might need looked like at given points in time as well. This would require you to first find out which calendar week corresponded which season week, but the tables can be intriguing all the same.
|17 hours 46 min ago||Embed For The Board...||
...because this needs to be seen:
|20 hours 13 min ago||Coming Down...||
(OT) Chase Utley
With some video and analysis, I would be tempted to let it stand, but simply stating that the suspension is "kind of a joke" isn't setting up well for a good discussion.
|1 day 5 hours ago||At The Moment...||
The numbers over at TeamRankings tend to speak for themselves right now (rank in FBS is at the end of the line item) - LINK
Points per game - 6.3 - #1
Yards per game allowed - 181.3 - #1
Points per play allowed - 0.103 - #1
Yards per play allowed - 2.9 - #1
3rd down conversion pct. allowed - 18.82% - #2
Yards per rush allowed - 2.2 - #3
Rush yards per game allowed - 66.2 - #3
Yards per pass allowed - 3.9 - #1
We've done this before, but it is a long time since we've done it quite like this, it seems.
|1 day 5 hours ago||Ah, Yes...||
Ah, yes....the incredible, edible egg, and may we keep feasting on them for as long as possible.
Alternatively, "This is your offense.....this is Durkin's defense.....this is your offense against Durkin's defense....any questions?"
|1 day 7 hours ago||Very Nice...||
I like how he sort looks up in reverence at...something...about halfway through that clip, almost as if to say, "Have you ever noticed th austere magnificence of a silenced crowd at Autzen? I certainly had not until this moment."
In any case, a very Leach look indeed.
|1 day 7 hours ago||That Play...||
There was a brief - a very brief - moment where I felt sorry for that wide receiver. After all, it looked as if, and perhaps he felt this way, that he nearly came down with this ball, only to have Lewis end up with the ball, looking down on him as if to say, "I want you to know that it isn't personal, but I will be taking this from you now" and running in the other direction for a very nice pick six.
|1 day 9 hours ago||As Of Today...||
The all-time INT numbers as of this morning, per FootballReference...
|1 day 9 hours ago||The LA Times Story...||
The LA Times story is here - LINK
Haden spoke with the media after he and other top USC officials met with the team to inform the players that Sarkisian would be taking a "temporary leave of absence and Coach Helton will be our interim head coach," said a player who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the situation.
If it is what a lot of people think it is on USC blog (and admittedly among my extended family, which is well-represented with USC grads), hopefully Sarkisian gets the help he needs and can rejoin the team down the road.
|1 day 11 hours ago||Using Sagarin Numbers...||
I know Vegas wants to move money, but if you were using Sagarin as the line predictor - at least with the numbers put out today - you would see something that I don't think we've seen for a while anyway.
#3 - Michigan - 91.40
#39 Michigan State - 77.47
(91.40-77.47)+2.76 (HFA) = 16.69 in favor of Michigan
That would be nice to achieve.
|1 day 12 hours ago||Here's The Video...||
....or rather, the link to the article where the video is located. Most NFL sites seems a bit skittish about letting people embed wherever they please, but that's because....well....anything you can monetize.
|1 day 12 hours ago||There Was This...||
Just in general, it is nice to see us being projected in such lofty bowls at the halfway point, to be sure. In the entry below projections, there was a short blurb on what has made this amount of discussion about Michigan possible, and I believe we would all share this sentiment:
"I, for one, welcome our new Harbaugh overlords."
|1 day 12 hours ago||It's Rare...||
It's rare certainly, but it happens - actually, there might have even been one poll last year where the votes were split between 6 or 7 teams, but I can recall a few times in the 90s where something like 9 or 10 teams had #1 votes in a given week. You would think that this is more common in preseason polls, but it seems like the more interesting seasons have these moments.
|1 day 12 hours ago||Yes Indeed...||
In addition to compiling a record at New Mexico that would make a tire fire laugh perhaps, I though t I had heard Locksley was involved in an age /sex discrimination suit as will as an altercation with an assitant coach. I think the final straw was an incident where he had given a car - his son's, I think - to one of his son's childhood friends and then that guy turned around and got arrested for DWI while driving that car.
|1 day 14 hours ago||Pollspeak Too...||
I wonder if anyone will ever revive Pollspeak - that site allowed you to download spreadsheets by team ahowing you how the AP (it might have had some of the Coaches polls too) voters ranked everyone individually, and it was fascinating to see certain individuals spend weeks either overrating or underrating various teams before they would concede to reality (i.e., you got a sense of blatant homerism in several writers).
|1 day 15 hours ago||I Think So...||
I think that's true, and as I recall, the big tweak that Foster really made was take that old 4-4 (4 up front with 2 ILB and 2 OLB) formation that Jim Lambright developed to perfection at Virginia Tech and took one OLB off the middle and played him like a hybrid safety in addition to the 2 CBs and the free safety that were alread part of the alignment. That essentially turns it into quarters coverage that can adjust rather easily to the offense thrown at them.
|1 day 15 hours ago||Even At That...||
Like others, I keep my hopes for such a thing to take place rather guarded as there is plenty of football yet and there are some interesting games ahead, to be sure. Even at that, however, it is kind of nice to see a few analysts put our name out there, even if it is a bit early. The fine line we walk between reality and fandom, I suppose.
|1 day 18 hours ago||This Is Fun...||
The last three weeks in particular have been fun, but particularly yesterday, coming out of that tunnel as they did to play a game that many of us thought would be a defensive slugfest going by the numbers and promptly issued a thoroughly unexpected, lovely assbeating to Northwestern....well, that was incredibly fun. I agree with the OP - the cap on this in a way is to come to a place like MGoBlog and see threads which are confident and upbeat about MSU and OSU.
|1 day 18 hours ago||These Will Change, But..||
With a few other updates which occur on Monday, these numbers may change, but some of the individual game probabilities for the remaining schedule:
Michigan State - 68% (was 51%, I think)
Ohio State - 48% (was 35%)
The lowest among the remainder is Penn State at 74%
|1 day 18 hours ago||Signs, Signs...||
As someone said upthread, a fair number of signs which troll OSU and not MSU would probably be - by themselves - the best troll of MSU when it comes to taking a crack at their strange obsession with us. Something simple like "Quiet, Please. Urban Planning Session In Progress" or if you want to take a whack at the order of rivalries - "I thought we scheduled a rivalry game, so what is this?".
Someone on this very board, I believe, is responsible for the "Winter Is Coming" sign with Harbaugh, the one that appeared in East Lansing. That sign definitely needs to be in Ann Arbor on Saturday.
|2 days 3 hours ago||For Me...||
The first true "Hate Week" of the season for the last several years has been an exercise in introspection with a hint of cautious optimism about the dynamics of the game, which can be crazy but lately have not been that. This year, I have this ability - beginning right now - to walk right into MSU Hate Week with a sense that, yes, we might (key word there) in fact be able to do this and potentially handily so.
|2 days 3 hours ago||Good News Indeed...||
It would be cool if Michigan could break the attendance record for GameDay with this one too, but I suppose it depends on where they hold GameDay and the practicalities of getting....oh....20,000 or so in that location. In any case, it is nice to see them make a stop in Ann Arbor for a standing rivalry, not one that was the victim of...well....anyway.
|2 days 3 hours ago||MSU Fans...||
I have surveyed many of the ones I know in the wake of our game against Northwestern, and with the more reasonable ones, there is a liegitimate sense of nervousness right now. In that particular segment of the MSU fan population, you will find people that can concede that their game against Rutgers does not give them sustantial hope for next Saturday, but they do remain hopeful.
|2 days 4 hours ago||Durkin...||
Durkin: HC Candidate
This one wasn't going terribly well.
|2 days 5 hours ago||If It Is The Case...||
If Twitter and various blogs are to be believed, the Mike Riley era has managed to do in a short time what many coaches in Nebraska's history either didn't do or took years to do and that is put many Husker fans in a rather dark place. Wisconsin's field goal at the end - the game-winning one - put a few more people over the edge, it seems.
|2 days 6 hours ago||If I Had To Guess...||
I would imagine that I will handle them the same way I handle most people - respectful, polite to a fault sometimes. That being said, this year it will come with a smile and a pat on the shoulder and the words, "Well, we'll see how that goes this weekend" if the subject of the game should come into the conversation.
|2 days 7 hours ago||About This...||
It was actually a great place to leave the presser too, as that was more or less the answer to the last question. I don't know if you top that anyway, and even in pressers, it is better to go out on a high note. Very Harbaugh and it did elicit a good chuckle.
|2 days 8 hours ago||About That...||
The guidelines on Muppets tend to be specific, reserved typically for wins over rivals, bowl wins or other wins of that level of significance. That being said, like so many things on this blog, the rules have squishy edges and sometimes can be molded around particular situations. Muppets are above my pay grade, but if they go up, well....there it is then, to quote "Amadeus".
|2 days 8 hours ago||Just A Hope...||
I just hope that Michigan State brings their best to this one only because I want to see this team that just smoked Northwestern - a 5-0 Northwestern that was, by the numbers, doing rather well on defense - give the Spartans everything they can handle and then some. That game next weekend is going to be an intriguing game indeed, if it was not that to folks already (it was to me certainly).
|2 days 8 hours ago||Summary Numbers...||
Through the air:
Rudock was 17/23 for 179 yards, good for 10.52 yards per completion and 7.78 yards per attempt across a 73.9% completion percentage.
On the ground:
As a team, 46 carries for 201 yards, or 4.37 yards per rush. Against a rush defense that was ostensibly good, I'll take that. By the averages, Smith had 7.38 yards per carry (8 carries, 59 yards).
|2 days 8 hours ago||It's Nice Indeed...||
It is nice indeed. I remember the last time we shut out teams back to back because I had just graduated, but I actually did not realize that the last time we had shut out three straight teams was in a year when my parents were wondering how I would ever survive preschool. Nonetheless, I have vague memories of my mother - a Michigan grad herself - cheering on those defenses. It's good to know that I saw it happen in my time too.
|2 days 9 hours ago||As An Aside...||
It won't happen - that is, they wouldn't be crazy enough to can him after a season - but Nebraska fans have become exponentially disgruntled with the Riley hire and it is bleeding onto Twitter and their blogs. It was Mike Riley himself that said he had one more adventure in him - tanking Nebraska, if he can achieve it, would be one hell of an adventure.
|2 days 10 hours ago||Liking It...||
Greg Mattison and the whole defensive staff have turned a talented group of players that I think we already knew were good but could perhaps be better into a group that has been better than what many of us may have imagined. This is something to behold surely, and yes, of anyone that should have been kept, it was this man.
|2 days 12 hours ago||Most Kind...||
It was most kind of BTN to let us see what might very well be the final moments of the Edsall regime at Maryland. I assume that - if the reports are true - that Randy will be reporting to the nearesy Greyhound station with his personal effects.
|2 days 14 hours ago||Over At KU-Baylor...||
If Kansas grocery shops the same way they are playing in this game, it would look like this:
|2 days 15 hours ago||Went With Texas-OU...||
As expected, the Red River Rivalry is already getting a little chippy and it doesn't even need to go there right now. There were one or two shoves after the whistle on that punt.
The Sooners might need to get Samaje Perine more involved in this game - he took a good third of the Texas defense along for the ride on those five yards. After that, the Sooners discover that going ten yards backwards on a reverse is a bad idea and then a sack.
|2 days 19 hours ago||Sounds Awesome...||
I've been wondering about what this show would be like since I heard about the addition of the NY Philharmonic's brass section - from this description, it sounds like it will be rather awesome.
If possible, when Fitz or a coordinator tries to dial in a play, if now and again someone could break into random Bach cantatas too or something along those lines, that might an interesting way to add to home field advantage.
|2 days 20 hours ago||The Board And Drinking...||
This reminds me of one of the things I wish I could fromally track during "The State Of Our Open Threads" analyses, and that is the relative sobriety - or lack of it - on the board during various start times. Generally, the board has already had a few for 3:30 PM kicks whether an individual is at the stadium or not, and I do note the start time for each game in the spreadsheet - 3:30 PM games are more "intense" for us when it comes to language. Just an informal observation.
|3 days 5 hours ago||Hoegaarden...||
Closing out the NC State-Virginia Tech game with some Hoegaarden here, but saving the bulk of that and the Franziskaner Weissbier for tomorrow. I am going to take advantage of some rare alone time and watch the game at home - my wife is in Toronto for the weekend and my mother-in-law will have the kids until Sunday afternoon. Me, beer and football - I will take it.
|3 days 7 hours ago||You know what the worst part||
You know what the worst part of this would probably be? While I am not sure how signal strength would affect this precisely, you would have to be looking at a delay of several minutes at least for this game if you were watching it on Mars. It would suck to know that the play you were watching now was - back on Earth - about a series into the books.
|3 days 7 hours ago||I Thought This Was Clear...||
The "End Of OT Season" is more a narrowing of focus where considerably more discretion is used regarding what remains and what goes - it is not an absolute prohibition on such threads. As for this one, it's October and we can spare some space for people looking for costume ideas.
If I failed to make the nature of "the end of OT season" clear back in August, my apologies.
|3 days 7 hours ago||Meanwhile, In Blacksburg...||
The Wolfpack punter may not have been snapped the ball in time for the delay of game penalty to be avoided, but the punter is the smart one - as a freshman, he has learned that in Beamerball's home you are free from the constraints of time and do not necessarily need to pay attention to conventional measures of time such as the play clock.
|3 days 8 hours ago||In My House...||
In my house, if you drew a straight line from the family room TV out to that distance, you would be watching the game from the main floor bathroom, which actually works because I'll be by myself tomorrow and don't need to worry about, say, closing the door or other obstructions that might cross my view. Not a bad distance at all.
|3 days 10 hours ago||My 9 year-old daughter, who||
My 9 year-old daughter, who like my wife is a big fan of "Doctor Who", has decided she is going to be a Tardis for Halloween. How we are supposed to achieve that...well...we'll figure it out, but this is the aim. My son, on the other hand, wants to go out as a Power Ranger - at least the base for this outfit can be found at Party City. Not sure about myself - to aid the kids, I wandered the neighborhood in chain mail last year as a medieval foot soldier.
|3 days 11 hours ago||You Do Recall Correctly...||
You do recall correctly - that was Joe Reynolds and it was for 30 yards.
It would be nice to see one take to the house in a more conventional manner, of course, sometime this season. Peppers has seems rather close a few times already this year - hopefully, he gets lucky yet.
|3 days 13 hours ago||Interesting Stuff...||
Interesting stuff and an intriguing analysis, OP.
Another one that I tend to look at which actually is reasonably predictive of overall success is third down conversion differentials, a battle which Michigan is currently winning by a wide margin. Over the course of the season, we're converting 42.1% compared to 19.4% for our opponents for an overall differential of +22.7%. Tracking that over the last few years, teams that can maintain that tend to go to nice bowls - I will put it like that.
|3 days 18 hours ago||Expected Values...||
Jones has also gotten flak for kicking a field goal at the 1-yard line against Oklahoma. For sure, he should. Jones said his reasoning came down to "analytics," which is an insult to everybody involved in analytics. As Bill Connelly wrote at the time, the expected points value of going for it was 4.6, more than the value of kicking a field goal.
I remember this from the Tennessee-Oklahoma game, and I know we've been through this exercise on the board before with expected points in various situations - I don't think we've run into a set of circumstances that would make a field goal the preferred choice at the 1-yard line...unless that one yard suddenly reminds you of Zeno's Paradox, which is possible in a DeBord offense.
|3 days 19 hours ago||Always Remember...||
....to bang responsibly and be aware of your surroundings. Try not to do the Steve Lyons thing.
|4 days 6 hours ago||All I Can Say Is...||
All I can say right now is that if you enjoy defense and enjoy ball security which limits the amount of derpitude, you will not enjoy what is going on over at ESPN2 right now. If you want a good chuckle now and again, please dial in and watch ESPN2 right now.
|4 days 8 hours ago||About This...||
The flashbacks are terrible. Awful. Northwestern has "Northwesterned" each of the past three contests against the Wolverines, but they have to be due for some luck eventually, right? Right?
It has been said in HTTV and on the board, but it is the case throughout recent history, because they are Northwestern, they can beat anyone, but because they are Northwestern, they can also lose to anyone. I am personally betting on the latter Northwestern myself.
|4 days 9 hours ago||At This Point...||
JaQuan Lyle spoke to NCAA investigators this week. He allegedly told investigators about a recruiting visit to Louisville that he made in June 2013, and confirmed "the gist of allegations" involving paid escorts during his trip to the school. CBS Sports cites an anonymous source close to the investigation as source of the information.
I am just waiting for someone to mention that even though he was not yet employed by Louisville at this point (June 2013), Bobby Petrino seemed to always have a table or reserved spot at the places in question in the book. Somehow, that would make certain things seem even more logical.
|4 days 10 hours ago||Other Measures...||
A 16-ish point win against Northwestern would be nice, I will say that. A lot of other sites - obviously, different predictive mechanisms - are actually a little more conservative in their estimate. TeamRankings, for example, has Michigan by a predicted score of 21-14 (rounded, their mean estimate was 21.2-13.8). Massey has their score prediction where some of us perhaps jokingly put it earlier in the week 10-7 in fave of Michigan.
|4 days 14 hours ago||That Works Too...||
I believe SnappyTV has publishing settings that allow you to prohibit direct embeds, which might explain why the button for the code was doing nothing. Very rarely do a lot of folks disallow embedded tweets, although you can on that site, even if they provide the exact same content, which is semi-amusing as it makes the other setting useless basically.
|4 days 15 hours ago||Interesting Stuff...||
And for the most part, sources said, the current players like Edsall personally. But he lost their support with his program-wide rigidness -- at times he's taken names off jerseys and banned baseball caps, 'do' rags, untrimmed facial hair and earrings in efforts to stifle selfish individualism -- along with his refusal to play more aggressively and tendency to blame them for losses.
That part I didn't realize about Edsall and the manner in which he runs that program - between that and the losing, it's a small wonder that players are beginning to simply tune him out as the article mentions.
They also talk about Maryland's relative lack of big football donors, which when combined with their financial state and trying to cobble together the funds for a new stadium, makes them quicker to listen to those donors. It doesn't help them that they don't have more than sporadic success throughout their history in the sport either.
Yeah, Randy Edsall would have to find some way to essentially gut punch Urban Meyer and walk away with a win to buy another week perhaps.
|4 days 16 hours ago||Cleaning Up...||
Now that I have a chance to be reflective this week -
OT: Cubbies Win POSBANG!
Posbangs should be used sparingly outside the stated bounds from the "End Of OT" post in August.
OT: Drunk UConn student refuses to leave dining hall without bacon jalapeno mac and cheese, acts like douche, gets arrested
Funny as it was (that's why it stayed up as long as it did), I think we can move on now.
MIght add more later.
|4 days 16 hours ago||From the Journal-Sentinel...||
From the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel article:
The amount of annual cash compensation made under the existing contract with adidas varied from $750,000 in the first two years of the deal to $800,000 in the last three years. Under the proposed agreement with Under Armour, UW will receive an annual cash contribution of $4 million.
I am going to say that the over $3 million extra in additional contributions might have been a big draw to the Board Of Regents. Adidas has been out there saying that their branding strategy was changing a bit at the college level, but losing schools is a strategy, after all.
The guaranteed minimum royalty that the get from Adidas is $100,000. Under Armour is offering a minimum of $450,000.
|4 days 16 hours ago||In The Big Ten....||
So, the line predictions for the two Big Ten games if you used Sagarin would be this
PSU-Indiana - (73.45-70.13)+2.71 = 6.03 in favor of Penn State
Iowa-Illinois - (82.74-74.66)+2.71 = 10.79 in favor of Iowa
The first one agrees with the predicted score of 30-24 for that game via Massey, but Massey then has Illinois as having only a 16% estimated win probability in this game, with a 31-17 predicted score. That sort of feels right for that one actually. Might just be me.
|4 days 20 hours ago||Sad News...||
As much as we make light of the situation in Austin and the misfortunes of Texas lately, this really does have to be a distressing thing for them in the locker room this week, especially given the long history and how well-loved Bevo has always been. Hopefully, Bevo gets well and can represent the Longhorns again at some point in the season.
|4 days 21 hours ago||Except That...||
Except that it is Thursday.
|5 days 6 hours ago||Just A Reminder...||
As a reminder, please tread lightly in these threads - it's perfectly fine to post a thread about Harbaugh expressing an opinion, but could we please:
- not engage in sidebars on the merits of being a represented employee. We do have a few on the site, you know, and besmirching their affiliations and / or trades is counterproductive.
- not speculate on political affiliations of the coaches - that string was deleted as well.
- in general, try not to get political on this issue
|5 days 8 hours ago||Not Sure...||
If I had my way, you probably don't see Peppers this week.
While Northwestern is a tougher test - the toughest one so far - I have to think there are a lot of plays between the most basic formations in Harbaugh's offense and the section of the playbook that uses Peppers on offense. I don't foresee being so in trouble that we feel like we need to go there, if you will. If we see him on offense against MSU (and I don't think he's been taking snaps there lately), I'd much rather it was a surprise, one used in a key situation.
|5 days 9 hours ago||I Don't Know...||
Michigan's 83 percent win probability against Northwestern might feel high, but Ohio State's (88 percent against Maryland) and Michigan State's (88 percent against Rutgers) do not. The Buckeyes and Spartans should cruise, and Week 7 will be when this race begins to truly take shape.
The fan in me likes hype well enough, but yeah, I feel this is taking a leap over the next two games for us at least. If we somehow get to 6-1 after the 17th, then it seems easier to start saying there might be a realizeable shot, but even then MSU and OSU are also going to have to run into some misadventures here and there to make it happen.
|5 days 11 hours ago||About The Clemson Game...||
I didn't like the way Clemson got to enter the field through the tunnel with the ramp while we were made to shuffle in quietly off to the side. I wish Kelly would have marched the team in right down the middle of that ramp and put the chip on our guy's shoulders and punched them in the mouth like he said we needed too.
This complaint is somehow classically ND. I laughed.
"We had to enter from the visitor's locker room and endure some theatrics that didn't involve us. Not fair."
|5 days 12 hours ago||Great Article...||
Markovits continued, citing a greeting from a dean at American: “ ‘Andy, great to have you! Welcome. So, Harbaugh: What’s gonna happen?’ ” The person helping with his photo ID: “ ‘So, you’re from Michigan? So, what do you think Harbaugh will do?’ ” The person helping with the parking sticker asked similarly about Harbaugh.
This happens even I have spoken to folks at work, at least those who don't already know me - since the beginning of the year, whenever it comes up that I went to Michigan or I am a fan, the second or third question has been Harbaugh-related, regardless of the fan affiliations of the other person. Nearly everyone definitely has "Harbaugh on the mind", even if they are casual fans.
Great article, OP.
|5 days 14 hours ago||Second This...||
The times that we've made the trip (can't this year because of a previous commitment), this is where we stayed and it works out very well. It isn't that far off the Turnpike (I-76) along I-99 if you're coming from the west (Detroit area, in our case) and like you said, it's only another 30 minutes or so up I-99 to get to State College, which is a reasonable distance really.
|5 days 15 hours ago||Scope Of Control...||
It's hard for me to get too entangled in decisions over which I have no control as a rule, so when it comes to the recruiting decisions and school choices being made by high schoolers, I don't normally fret over them. You can be disappointed that perhaps a class didn't round out as you had hoped, or if someone ultimately chooses a school not yours, but as it is far out of the scope of your control, it is merely something to process and move forward from.
I guess I never understood why some people get as invested as they do in a decision which they are not making nor can they influence except through some outrageous act (which is sometimes an NCAA violation unto itself).
|5 days 18 hours ago||Hard To Say...||
It's hard to derive the overall game strategy from this sample, but it looks like they loaded the box to sell out against the electric slide, but in reality it was just a series of simple gives to the RB with a Mike Leach-style fade route towards the end. Maybe they work out those communication problems this week in practice.
|5 days 21 hours ago||It Does Seem Like It..||
I does seem that way really, that it is very controlled, but I tend to think a lot of that is the staff understands the abilities and limitations given the personnel and the stage they are at in the process of installing the system. We can talk about the lack of big plays and the number of trips to the red zone, but if they can take what they have right now - turn it into something that is very efficient when it is running on all cylinders - and grind it out, all the while with a defense that ensures you don't need to score impressive amounts of points to win, I don't mind that at all. As I said, it seems like the staff understands what it has, where they are at, and is even turning some deficiencies into strengths in some respects.
|6 days 5 hours ago||At Work...||
Just yesterday, I came out of a meeting only to be confronted by one of the resdient Spartan fans who asked, "What does it feel like to have a real team again?", and the only reply that came to mind was, "Let's talk about that in a couple weeks."
I am suddenly hopeful about that game for some reason...
|6 days 5 hours ago||Another Thing...||
In one of my summertime meanderings that turned into a diary, it turns out that a great majority of defensive backs in general get drafted in the 3rd to 5th round, with a small percentage going in the second round. If history across teams is any indicator, if Jourdan Lewis gets a good look and continues to do Jourdan Lewis things, that is where he may very well fall.
|6 days 5 hours ago||Tannehill, after a couple of||
Tannehill, after a couple of practice squad players forced turnovers, Tannehill made negative comments toward them, including saying: “Enjoy your practice squad paycheck, enjoy your practice squad trophy.”
You know, Tannehill was the same QB who, during his travels through college, was once asked to run a QB draw on 2nd and 24. If you're going to be pissy and bitter about something, be pissy and bitter about things like that. Who the hell thought you would get 24 yards on that play?
|6 days 8 hours ago||Looking At Stats...||
I went to Ohio University's site to catch up with Heitzman - as someone said, Ohio University doesn't really play too many teams that might give us a good insight into just how effective Heitzman could be at TE (I think he could be rather good myself), but he is their 3rd most prolific receiver in terms of total yardage thus far right now - 11 catches for 169 yards and 1 TD, averaging 42 yards per game.
|6 days 10 hours ago||For Reference...||
Here's the rule for a valid signal as it appears in Rule 2, Section 8 -
ARTICLE 2. A valid signal is a signal given by a player of Team B who has obviously signaled his intention by extending one hand only clearly above his head and waving that hand from side to side of his body more than once.
Of course, it defines an invalid signal as anything that fails to meet this requirement or is given after a catch or after a kick strikes the ground or a player.
|6 days 12 hours ago||This Right Here...||
If you consider the teams that generally use the 3-3-5 or variants of it - aside from Arizona, for example, Boise State has been known to fall back into it, as has TCU (as a variation on the 4-2-5 flex), and even BYU once in a rare while has used it situationally - it is to better defend spread offenses, which some of these teams face quite a bit.
I tend to think some teams will utilize it because they are a bit undersized and can instead use speed to create assignment issues to confuse offenses. I could be wrong about that observation, but it seems common among teams that run a 3-3-5 even only part of the time. It opens the door to a wide variety of zone blitzes since it is mostly used in zone anyway, but to manage any of that, you need high-level, physical, tough and pretty swift personnel on defense. If you don't have that, it seems like it is hard to run the 3-3-5 even in a situation where it IS probably a sensible counter to the offense presented.
|6 days 12 hours ago||Disagree...||
While Rudock hasn't been the Unstoppable Throw God in the passing game or indeed what some people would like to see at the position ultimately, he's been good enough and at least has the requisite in-game experience, and he's able to manage the game in a way that I doubt the available backups could right now.
I'll trust the staff here - Rudock probably is the best QB available on the roster. That's not necessarily saying he's fan-effing-tastic in all aspects of the position, and what that might say about the state of things before Rudock arrived is something we can leave to individual interpretation.
I still don't understand what people expect right now necessarily - I had thought we knew that 2015 was going to be a bit of a transitional year on the offense, QB included. If you want the best chance to win games and make that 8-4 to 9-3 prediction that a lot of people had come to fruition, Jake Rudock is the guy.
|6 days 14 hours ago||Some Nostalgia...||
One of the cooler commercials on TV as I was growing up, I always thought -
...and for those of you who ever traversed a Highland Appliance -
|6 days 14 hours ago||Why Not Indeed...||
One of my favorite non-Michigan shirts:
|6 days 16 hours ago||For #4...||
For #4, I think there are services like Unblock-US.com where - for a small fee - you can get the ability to do some IP spoofing and make networks act as if your machine is in the United States. I know that this is how some folks abroad get American Netflix content anyway, but I assume that there are other services / methods for doing it.
|6 days 18 hours ago||Only Somewhat Related...||
This is only somewhat related perhaps, but I was actually doing the probability matrix for the rest of the season with Massey Ratings a little while ago and right now the estimates for various scenarios look like this -
Running the table - 3.8892%
6-1, sole loss being OSU - 7.550%
6-1 sole loss being MSU - 3.737%
6-1, sole loss being NW - 2.593%
5-2, lose to both rivals - 7.254%
4-3, lose to NW and rivals - 4.836%
The primary reason the numbers look as they do, of course, is that there are 7 games left and therefore 128 possible combinations of wins and losses, but I am saying there is a chance.
|6 days 20 hours ago||As A Lions Fan...||
You know, I'll probably always be a Lions fan - I grew up one and I am weirdly loyal like that, but yet I find my feelings towards them much more complex and considered when it comes to the subject of losing. Like someone said above, when Michigan loses, I feel genuinely awful and sometimes I feel that way for days. When the Lions lose, it is very easy to analyze and compartmentalize, or rather, it is far easier to do than when Michigan loses.
Maybe not everyone does this, but I approach the Lions and my Lions fandom with a vastly different mindset as a fan, given their history and because of game-changing calls like last night that don't go their way historically, than I do my Michigan fandom.
|6 days 20 hours ago||Interesting Article...||
Michigan under Jim Harbaugh, however, is never going to be defined by its weaknesses. Instead, it will be defined by how it overcomes those weaknesses, and — somehow, someway — even turns those weaknesses into strengths.
While I had quibbles with certain parts of this analysis, this statement towards the end is something I would tend to agree with merely because of the apparent style of Harbaugh's coaching and the way in which this team plays. Even if there's a question at one spot, the answer is somewhere else. Even as the offense might work in fits and spurts, the defense is consistently insurmountable. It seems like a core operating principle of this team really.
|1 week 6 hours ago||Quick Question...||
As Martha Ford is the majority owner now, I am interested in theories on how this trade would go down actually. Grosse Pointe would lose a ton of tax revenue if you traded the whole family (as would Superior Township, if we're talking about William Clay Ford, Jr.), so I think we have to be careful here when making such a trade.
|1 week 8 hours ago||The Reaction...||
You could see some tense Buckeye faces in the stands during that game, to be sure, but then there was a totally measured reaction that is normal when your struggling offense goes up 2 on Indiana:
I guess it really is the little victories right now in Columbus.
|1 week 8 hours ago||Oh Wow...||
You know, in a lot of other places in the world, re-enacting the 25th anniversary of an event like this might actually be interesting, even reverent in some way. In football, especially football officiating, it's probably best not to do this....ever. After watching that video in the KSU blog article, I cannot believe no one caught this as there were so many chances to stop what was going on, it seemed.
|1 week 11 hours ago||About This...||
At a glance, the loss of Smith might not seem like a major one; he ranked eighth on the team in receptions before his injury. But of the seven players ahead of him, only Michael Thomas plays as a pure wideout rather than an H-back-receiver hybrid, or tight end, or tailback.
Yeah, from what I have seen, despite not having huge numbers he's definitely got a role in that offese because of the situation described about, and especially if you aren't running on all cylinders, you would prefer to have all those guys available. Hopefully, his recovery is full and speedy.
|1 week 11 hours ago||On Jenkins-Stone...||
It seems to me that the one thing that we need to hope for is that Royce Jenkins-Stone can get in on some of the same opportunities for tackles for loss as well as sacks. Ojemudia had 6 TFL for 27 yards and 2 sacks for 20 yards in 5 games, so I'll be curious to see how this goes - that's rather a lot of production to replace.
|1 week 15 hours ago||Sadly....||
Sadly, if it is an Achilles tear, I would seriously doubt that - from what I understand, that's a 4-6 month rehab generally, although I am only going on what I know from people who have experienced that. His season is sadly done, as is his career at Michigan as others have said.
|1 week 15 hours ago||BTN...||
The conference networks get the sloppy seconds of ABC/ESPN for the most part, I believe. They took Wisconsin / Nebraska as their regional 3:30 PM game (it will be seen on ESPN2 in some locations), so BTN took Michigan / Northwestern - it was probably that simple, as strange as it might sound now given the current rankings.
|1 week 15 hours ago||It's Understandable...||
It's understandable though as the algorithm weights recent performance. Without any of 2015's data in there in August, Massey would have made Michigan out to be a 6-6-ish team (allowing for the possibility that you are definitely at risk in games just about that 50% line). I am working on the matrix today, but the swing is now to about 9-3, so in five games, Michigan has gone +3 on projected wins. Not bad indeed.
|1 week 15 hours ago||Yikes...||
See, it was cholera that always went through my party like wildfire, so the basic lesson would be not to drink from the same rivers in which your family just crapped - not that you had control over that part of the simulation anyway, and indeed, the seedier, more personal aspects of trail life seemed to be overlooked.
Anyway, does this mean a halftime elk hunt? Do yor skip the funeral for one of your oxen at the expense of party morale? So many possibilities here.
|1 week 15 hours ago||Discovered This...||
I discovered this the other day actually - I was getting annoyed with the issue on Android so I tested this very thing on my wife's iPhone just for kicks and it works without issue. I normally access it from a desktop anyway unless I am at a game, but when you're trying to read the site on the fly, the redirects have been a major stumbling block.
|1 week 16 hours ago||The Good And Not So Much...||
Probably a very sound strategy to save Smith and Stribling for the Northwestern / MSU stretch and give them that extra week to get back to 100% or as close to it as possible. As for Ojemudia, I think we were sort of prepared to hear this, but it still sucks to actually hear it - hopefully, his recovery is full and as speedy as possible.
|1 week 16 hours ago||Good To Know...||
I am pretty sure that my wife will want me to go to this party that happens to be on that day and around that time, so now I have to make this cough and cold last another two weeks or so. I think I can sell it, or at least, it has worked in the past. Still, this is one I would have assumed to be a 3:30 PM start just by the way the slate was beginning to shape up.
|1 week 1 day ago||If You Think About It...||
Schlabach's projection of Boise State and Houston in the Hawai'i Bowl - while undoubtedly premature by a mile or more as these projections are - brings up an interesting mind exercise. That could very well be one of those quintessential games where zero fucks are given on the defensive side of the ball.
|1 week 1 day ago||It Is Interesting...||
It's still rather interesting that a few folks who at least passed this way - through Ann Arbor - now have found themselves at San Jose State, even if totally unintentionally. In addition to Borges and Ferrigno, Greg Robinson and Adam Stenavich are out there now, if memory serves (Borges and Robinson are Califiornia natives, I believe, so maybe it is a bit of a homecoming).
|1 week 1 day ago||I am just going to go ahead||
I am just going to go ahead and say that the last panel may be eerily accurate, at least when it comes to this week's TWIS. I assume many of the Texas comments we will see were typed or tweeted by fans who were in fact bleeding out their eyes as they were commenting.
|1 week 1 day ago||This Photo...||
I am just impressed that Narduzzi was apparently able to fit an entire hanging folder in his back pocket, no doubt with the playcalls indexed by coverage shells and estimated probability of PI calls. Say what you will about the man, but he wears that particular look well for some reason.
|1 week 1 day ago||Thread Titles...||
Wood strikes again
Thread titles, man. We need to title better. We'll work on it in practice this week, eh?
|1 week 1 day ago||Some Numbers...||
If you break out the Spartans' rankings on individual metrics, it's kind of a mixed bag but very little of it is the Spartans that we've seen over the last several years, at least on defense. Some highlights, per TeamRankings:
Points per game allowed - 20.8 (#31)
Yards per game allowed - 376.8 (#52)
Yards per play allowed - 5.2 (#53)
3rd down conversion percentage allowed - 40.30% (#75)
Pass completion percentage allowed - 60.71 (#78)
|1 week 1 day ago||It's Interesting...||
This is where you see Vegas steering the money a bit - people might take that bet on Northwestern. What's funny to me this time around is that if you used the Sagarin ratings for Michigan and Northwestern as line predictor (which some people do), you would get 6.84 (so, a TD - 88.01-83.88 then add the 2.71 HFA predictor) in favor of Michigan, which is actually what I thought it would have been before I saw this thread
|1 week 1 day ago||I Saw That...||
Toledo has been at least getting votes for weeks now and finally has cracked the Top 25, and it makes me wonder when they made it to the final poll for either the AP or Coaches poll. It had to be during the Amstutz years about 15 years ago, if I remember correctly. Just another example how college football is funny sometimes.
|1 week 1 day ago||About This...||
As I mentioned in the other thread, we probably won't be able to avoid having separate AP and Coaches' thread, mostly because these two polls generate rather a lot of discussion on their own most weeks. Having a combo thread for the stats and algorithm-based metrics - which normally don't feature heavily around here (they are fun to discuss all the same) is a good idea though and provides a nice forum for the numbers-oriented crowd.
|1 week 1 day ago||Individual Estimates...||
First and foremost, having a combined rankings / metrics thread actually is a good idea, although we probably won't be able to avoid having seaprate threads for the AP and Coaches polls. Actually, it is these days that make me yearn for Pollspeak to come back - the individual votes by writer were a mere download away then.
Looking at Massey's individual probability estimates for games, it's remarkable how much rosier that picture has become in the space of a few days. On Thursday, the estimated win probability for the MSU game was 35% - it is 50% now. Penn State jumped from 60% to 70% and Ohio State from 23% to 34%. I will do the matrix this week and post it, but the Harbaugh Effect is now being felt in these metrics.
|1 week 1 day ago||It Is Indeed...||
"Rudock" is definitely significant enough to track - I started doing it in the background a couple weeks ago (I know, another thing I haven't finished). The "Morris" thing is admittedly morbid curiosity on my part at this point.
|1 week 1 day ago||What's Wrong With Rainbows?||
OT: Hawaii Taking Their Nicknames a Little Too Seriously...
I don't think this was going too well, and indeed, opinion-based threads - especially about uniforms - are a dangerous proposition sometimes.
|1 week 1 day ago||Oddly Enough...||
I am actually beginning to compile some high-level data for the "Pareto Of Fuck", which was the long-discussed (with myself, so it was an intense discussion) but never-created followup to 2013's "Pareto Of Our Discontent", which somehow made its way to Reddit and a few other places. It will probably divide "fuck" into 6-8 major categories and we can see if it is true that 80% of the "fuck" covers 20% of the problems.
|1 week 1 day ago||TeamRankings Stuff...||
Here's how TeamRankings compares them. I wouldn't be shocked at all if this was a low-scoring affair and I wouldn't even feel bad about it, unlike last year.
|1 week 2 days ago||I'll Put It This Way...||
My avatar would like to disagree slightly with your assessment of rainbows...
|1 week 2 days ago||Asked about the incident,||
Asked about the incident, Texas coach Charlie Strong didn't confirm that Boyd retweeted the tweet in the locker room at halftime, instead saying his players shouldn't be in position to access social media during a game.
I suppose it is very difficult to stop TCU's wide receivers when you're busy retweeting people, but such things say a lot about the state of the Longhorns' locker room right now. It definitely is not a happy place and I have to wonder if Strong is going to have to orchestrate an considerable salvage operation to still be their coach this time next year.
|1 week 2 days ago||Regarding TCU...||
How about we discuss Texas on defense versus TCU?
|1 week 2 days ago||Over On ESPNU...||
No one will believe it perhaps, but Eastern Michigan is putting together a drive of sorts against LSU, down 14 as the clock starts to wind down on the first quarter.
...and as I say that, there's a sack which makes it 2nd &19 for Eastern.
|1 week 2 days ago||Already Created...||
Ojemudia injury long term--probable Achilles tear.
I threw the new information in the other existing injury thread- I think we can run with the one for now.
|1 week 2 days ago||From Twitter...||
Possible nature of the injury -
|1 week 2 days ago||Don't Worry...||
IBM has us covered when it comes to making calculations based on that box score:
|1 week 2 days ago||I Will Say...||
If the defense is going to continue to do this, then I think serious consideration needs to be given to resurrecting the "Time To Make The Donuts" campaign and redress it to suit Michigan. I wonder if Dunkin' Donuts would be willing to sell the rights? Well, probably not, but I still would buy that shirt.
|1 week 2 days ago||Observations...||
Like others, I am very concerned about Ojemudia - the crutches are normally a bad sign indeed, so hopefully we get some news soon.
A quick number - although the game seemed like it was dragging on second by agonizing second at points, Maryland managed only 105 yards on 62 plays, or 1.69 yards per play allowed, driven primarily by the wall that is our run defense - 1.12 yards per carry for the Terrapins this time around.
|1 week 2 days ago||On The Ground...||
Although you definitely feel the effects of no De'Veon Smith, we got some good moments from Drake Johnson, I thought. Final line on Johnson was 13 carries for 68 yards, a shade north of five yards per carry. Actually, we got 134 of out 198 yards of rushing from two people, which could be interpreted in a few ways, some of which relate to some bad run blocking in the first half. I would have been interested to see some less vanilla plays, but there was no reason to bring them out really.
|1 week 2 days ago||Quality Standpoint...||
From a quality standpoint, what the BTN camera crew is doing here makes me wonder if I am watching games from, say, 15 years ago when it comes to coverage and image quality overall. Maybe they should have some interns do this just for comparison.
|1 week 2 days ago||Those Helmets...||
When I see Maryland's helmets for today in certain lights, I keep thinking about what discounts I might get if I scanned that QR code.
Meanwhile, we manage to get Caleb Rowe to talk himself out of a drive, then Craddock shanks one, so we get better field position than we otherwise might.
|1 week 2 days ago||That Catch...||
I still watch that catch a couple times each day. Simply awesome.
|1 week 2 days ago||Curious Myself...||
Back at the ranch in Michigan myself, but I would be curious to know how the time change has affected the makeup of the crowd, or if indeed it has at all. I imagine that a lot of people were hosed because of the change, so it will be interesting to hear reports about how many are there and what the rough Michigan / Maryland mix might be.
|1 week 2 days ago||Very Nice...||
Ha! Very nice indeed.
I very much doubt the Terrapins were "built Harbaugh tough", if you will, especially as at this very moment, there is a meeting that Randy Edsall will claim to know noothing about at some point. Also, this is what you get for muffing an extremely famous movie quote.
|1 week 3 days ago||Just So You Know...||
There is some disagreement about what actually happened, per sources (see Eric Branch tweet above). I personally believe that this guy is simply trying to ruin a good thing - the best coaches have their signature lines, and it only seems fitting that this would be Tomsula's line.
The appropriate Vine:
|1 week 3 days ago||Watching Memphis-USF...||
I just want to mention that South Florida's uniforms suddenly remind me of recent visits to various BP stations. The color scheme is eerily similar and makes me wonder if indeed USF will come out claiming they now have "Invigorate" in the mix. Not that they need a lot of help - Memphis has spent a few minutes each quarter so far machine gunning themselves in the foot.
|1 week 3 days ago||I Can See It...||
The outside expert is aggressively reviewing this situation in full cooperation with relevant authorities, including the NCAA. The university notes that the publisher has provided sparse detail to date and repeats its request for additional detail in order to further the thoroughness of the investigation.
I can see it now - "You'll like this guy, but he's very demanding - anything you can give him, Coach....video, diagrams, audio tapes, annotated versions of the book, live demonstrations....because he'll want to make a thoroughly informed decision for Louisville."
|1 week 3 days ago||Saw That Too...||
I tuned in for a little of it, and it honestly took me a moment to hone in on Borges because he looked that different and noticeably thinner. It's definitely not easy as you get older - my father embarked on the weight-loss crusade in his 60s finally and lost about 80 lbs - but it is doable if you're dedicated to it and kudos to Borges for it.
|1 week 3 days ago||Other Numbers...||
In Michigan’s corner is an upperclassman-heavy unit that is not only one of the most experienced in the country, but also one of the best. Whereas Maryland gave up 491 passing yards against Bowling Green, the Wolverines have given up 487 passing yards all season. The Terrapins probably won’t pass much in the storm Saturday, and that is the right decision.
Maryland is averaging 282.7 yards allowed through the air per game, which is good for a solid 100th in Division I football, and even more interesting, they are #107 in opponent pass attempts per game. They are #117 in rushing yards allowed at an average of 243.8 per game too, so I feel good about this game, rain or no rain.
|1 week 3 days ago||I Am Curious...||
"Paper tickets will eventually go the way of printed boarding passes, but Hackett thinks there can be even more innovation than tickets on smart phones. He says, "Maybe we can do some things that they haven't thought about. Again I don't want to go too deep into that, but we do have some really cool ideas there."
I would be interested to see where this goes actually. Being able to have the ticket on your phone would be an excellent way to streamline the process, but now I am intrigued by what the other ideas are.
Actually, I just enjoy having an AD and a department that wants to surface these types of issues and solve them for the benefit of the fans and students. Another significant culture shift from the previous administration.
|1 week 3 days ago||Advice Indeed...||
The advice for the team might be the same advice for anyone else, even with the improving hurricane forecast - waders and some sort of serviceable watercraft if you plan to be near small streams or in areas with poor drainage. Some forecasts are still talking about 4 inches or so of additional rainfall from the other low pressure system in the area.
|1 week 3 days ago||It's The Weekend...||
This has been a rather hectic week over in this neck of the woods, so yeah, Friday is welcome and I even get to end my Friday at a place other than my office today, although it is simply someone else's location that I will be leaving from. I had an idea of skipping this meeting, but it is something that I promised I would help with, so I suppose I will go.
Although the time change for the game does slightly eff up my Saturday, I shall be on the sofa for Hurricane Harbaugh coverage like other MGoBloggers around the country. Hopefully, we can get some reports on the weather from the folks that will be there, especially since the picture seems to improve with each forecast.
|1 week 4 days ago||I Will Say This...||
And the NFL has moved two games to Ford Field in the past five years because of heavy snowstorms: the New York Giants-Minnesota Vikings game in 2010, when snow caused the Metrodome's roof to collapse, and last season's New York Jets-Buffalo Bills game on Nov. 24, when Buffalo was snowed in.
Purely selfish thing to say perhaps, but as a resident of the area, I do not mind Detroit being the NFL's "Emergency Headquarters", if you will, but also it is nice that our weather has been stable (if butt cold, like it was was for the Minnesota-Buffalo game) enough that we can help in a pinch.
|1 week 4 days ago||I had to laugh at Cincinnati||
I had to laugh at Cincinnati snapping the ball with 29 seconds left on the play clock while Miami was still waiting for complete instructions from the defensive staff on the sideline. Never change, Tommy Tubberville, at least not in that regard. That was just eleven guys shouting, "FUCK!" basically.
|1 week 4 days ago||If I May...||
If I may say, many thanks to those of you who listen to the content on Wolverine Sports Radio, which includes the one I actually co-host - "Wolverine Wanderings". If there's anything you would like to have covered potentially, people you would like to hear interviewed and the like, feel free to let me know here or on Twitter.
Also, The MGoPodcast and the WTKA show with Brian and Ace are great, as is Michigan Insider and many of the other ones already mentioned.
|1 week 4 days ago||Interesting...||
I wonder how the TV contracts work in these situations - the noon game on BTN was supposed to be Minnesota / Northwestern, so I don't know if they would swap them or if this means our game might bump something on the midrange of the ESPN slate. Maybe not, since it was already established that it would be BTN, but now I am curious. Does anyone know how this gets handled?
|1 week 4 days ago||At User Request...||
Dave Brandon: Toys R Us and Outsourcing EDIT: Mods, delete
Removed at the request of the OP. Yeah, I think there was a thread about this the other day that didn't go all that well actually.
|1 week 4 days ago||To Add To The Discussion...||
Vice Sports engaged in a similar exercise actually - LINK
Some of the better ones, I thought:
LEGENDS OF THE FALL: "I just saw this film and we are changing our mascot to the Bears because you do not want to fuck with Bears."
A CLOCKWORK ORANGE: "Who you are on the field is who you are in the film room. Never forget that."
JURASSIC PARK: "Animals can only see movement. That's our offensive philosophy."
Well done though, OP. Edsall has given all of us a real gift.
|1 week 4 days ago||Yes Indeed...||
The moments of relatively coherent images and the best scenes in the "Emanuelle" series of films always seemed to coincide. Yes, I definitely watched for the appreciation of German-Italian collaborative efforts in film, and oddly enough, the idea that the movies may indeed have some wisp of a story - emphasis on "wisp", because no one even tried to conceal the main focus - really didn't matter to me.
|1 week 4 days ago||Cider Mills...||
Since the kids were little, we've made a point of repeating the same "tour of cider mills" that my parents used to like to do, where we'd take on one each Sunday in October and into November even if they remained open and just enjoy some cider and donuts. This year, we're probably taking them to Erwin's again - they seem to like that one, as well as Plymouth because the animals seem to keep them occupied for a bit and then we have to spend the obligatory hour deciding on the perfect pumpkin - my daughter has exacting standards. Franklin is in the mix as well - my parents' first date in 1968 was at the Franklin Cider Mill, so it has a place in family lore.
|1 week 4 days ago||To Add A Little...||
Here's how TeamRankings stacks them up:
|1 week 4 days ago||All The Same...||
Even with the plots for Joaquin changing, they threw Flash Flooding Watches out there all over the DC area, as far south as about Virginia Beach and all the way up towards New York City. The NWS office out of Sterling, VA is looking for four inches - four more inches rather - Friday night into Saturday. Even with Joaquin's weather added to the mix, getting to Byrd Stadium sounds like it could be an experience.
|1 week 4 days ago||Yes Indeed...||
Kaltt was a camp signee (free agent, as he was not drafted) with the Saints and the Lions in 2006 as well, I believe, and was cut from Saints mini-camp in June and then the Lions' fall camp about nine or ten weeks later. That was the extent of his career in professional football, if I am not mistaken. I think he tried out baseball at one point too, but I can't remember whose organization he spent 15 minutes with.
|1 week 5 days ago||I Get It...||
Michigan vs Utah Rose Bowl kickoff
I think we just have to deal with what TV gives us....quietly, stoically. In any case, I get it - speculating on kickoff time is ultimately rather futile.
|1 week 5 days ago||Nothing Yet...||
Like most games in the middle of the season with times listed as "TBD", we won't really know until probably the week previous to that game week (although I think the maximum warining we get is about two weeks per various contracts). If I had to guess, and ESPN may make a fool out of me and others yet, our game against Michigan State probably is a 3:30 PM kick though (and I would guess ABC/ESPN gets it), especially if we do well in the next two weeks.
|1 week 5 days ago||I'll Wait...||
I'll wait for the official word, of course, but fortunately this is probably one of the few weekends in the fall where there is almost nothing significant going on for all of Saturday, so even if I have to roll out of bed, have the obligatory pot of coffee and watch a game, it doesn't blow up the entire day. Most noon kicks, while doable, are kind of burdensome if you have a family and the associated "to do" lists, I find.
|1 week 5 days ago||Thinking About It Now...||
Like numerous other people here, I was firmly in the 8-4 camp back in August, but like many guesses based on precious little data - merely tidbits about the improvement seen in practice - I was willing to change my projection and I think I might right now. If they can keep this up, especially on defense, 9-3 is definitely not out of the question.
|1 week 5 days ago||Hopefully...||
Hopefully, this is Maryland's reaction to the defense....
|1 week 5 days ago||We're Good, Thanks...||
Hurricane Joaquin open thread...
I am just going to go out on a limb and say we're fine for Hurricane Joaquin coverage as it relates to this weekend's game for the time being.
|1 week 5 days ago||I Chuckled...||
Good news/bad news
I had to laugh at this, only because this is the game I turned on when I got back from a company dinner on Friday night and about an hour later, I had to turn it off because I was beginning to feel awful for Cavaliers fans. Judging from the commentary on Twitter (and I thank my fellow MGoBloggers for being obsessive students of football like me), a lot of people switched to the Stanford / Oregon State game for that same reason. It just became too awful to watch even with no dog in the fight.
|1 week 5 days ago||Interesting Article...||
This rise is the reason why Michigan can still find itself in playoff contention come the end of the year. Michigan won’t look past Maryland, but I will. Their next true test comes against Michigan State, a top-5 team in the polls led by star quarterback Connor Cook. But keep in mind that Sunday’s Oregon-Utah game made the earlier results for State and Michigan look a lot different.
Articles like this, when they appear four games into the season and under a new coach - even if it is Jim Harbaugh - make step back for a moment usually. It's a nice thought, to be sure, but there is the entire conference schedule left and if the defense can continue on this track and the offense can continue to improve a bit each week (and be consistent for four quarters in doing so), then especially if it is people ultimately making these selections, you have a puncher's chance like a lot of teams might.
The question to me is this - how likely is it? Difficult to know with eight games left, at least in my opinion.
|1 week 5 days ago||NWS Site...||
The NWS site more or less agrees - the strike probability cone for Joaquin right now puts landfall at Monday but also puts suburban DC in the risk area for tropical storm force winds. The coastal flooding advisories are already being posted up and down the DelMarVa and surrounding areas as well. We might miss the worst and play the game, but hopefully Michigan gets the heck out afterwards, from the look of things.
|1 week 5 days ago||That Second Part...||
Um, we're pretty sure that's not what Forrest meant, coach. In fact, the very next line of the quote is, "You never know what you're going to get."
The fact that Edsall misinterpreted that famous movie quote makes the second part of it a little frightening if you're a Maryland fan. Indeed, they probably didn't know what they were going to get when they walked into West Virginia, and I very much doubt that it makes them confident about Saturday. That works for us, but yeah, Edsall is not helping himself out here.
|1 week 5 days ago||There's Also This...||
This is not so much about Ticket Watch as the ticket threads, but at least from a modding standpoint anyway, because of the partnership with TiqIQ there's been a marked decrease in these and a few of them have even come down. I could be wrong, but the partnership was meant as an improvement so that the spreadsheet and some other things wouldn't be necessary. As for Ticket Watch itself, it is a periodic feature.
|1 week 5 days ago||Organizational Change...||
“I brought help because the way I run athletics is, really, I don’t make every decision,” Hackett said. “I believe in empowering others with great talent — I should say better than I am in lots of aspects of our business — to hear with me what you’re talking about.”
The near-total organizational change has been a significant part of getting as much done as they have in such a short time, and it is nice to see delgation and empowerment leading to the sort of accountability that makes for a well-run department, especially when Hackett has made it painfully clear that the department is there to serve its programs, its fans, etc...and not the other way around as the previous AD seemed to believe.
|1 week 5 days ago||Since You Mention It...||
Since you brought it up, I will just say that I've had a chat or two with the person who claims to be behind that account since their outing before, and if what they said is true, you won't find them on MGoBlog for the time being, or at least that was their stance at the time of the last conversation - that may have changed, of course, for it is MGoBlog and we've had a few well-known former users come back in a "redressed" form, if you will.
|1 week 6 days ago||Vegas Insider...||
Vegas Insider actually has us at 50/1, if anyone is interested - LINK
Other current odds within the Big Ten:
Ohio State - 9/5
Michigan State - 8/1
Iowa - 250/1
Wisconsin - 300/1
Penn State - 750/1
As others have mentioned, of course, we haven't played a conference game yet, so take the odd from different sites for what you will.
|1 week 6 days ago||Emory And Henry...||
I've seen Florida and South Carolina run the Emory And Henry formation too, at least once in a while over the years, and both times, under Steve Spurrier - I really didn't even think about what that was until someone near me at the stadium actually asked if that is what it was. The larger point here is that I really did like that they were not only running these "less vanilla" plays but running them well for the most part.
|1 week 6 days ago||About That...||
It strikes me as funny that Edsall would be out there saying he didn't know about the meeting, mainly because the sarcastic a**hole in me sat there thinking, "It's almost as if the players meant this to be a players-only meeting"
Actually, the fact that such a meeting took place created som fun buzz for a while, up to and including people asking if they would now bet their mortgage on a Michigan win. It was tempting admittedly.
|1 week 6 days ago||I Like That...||
Now there is a Friday tradition in addition to the posbangs that I could get behind. I think the clientele at MGoBlog would probably have endless material for most any idea thrown out there, such as:
"Observations Not Substantiated By Data Open Thread"
"Thread For Discussing Thread Standards"
"Parameters Of OT Threads Thread"
...and one which someone actually created a few years ago, I believe -
"Open Thread Open Thread"
|1 week 6 days ago||To Get Rid Of Edsall..||
To get rid of Edsall would not cost Maryland an Iowa sum (as Iowa would have to retire 5% of the national debt to fire Kirk Ferentz and that might be only a slight exaggeration), if you will. Per the Washington Post, via Testudo Times:
Should Edsall be fired prior to Jan. 15, 2017 - when his initial contract ends - the school would pay him a $2.6 million buyout ($2.1 million from his original contract with an additional $500,000 coming from his extension).
The tenor of the commenters on Testudo Times would be that they prefer Edsall out, but slowly and only after the season so that he can experience their hell.
|1 week 6 days ago||I Was There...||
I was a the 2002 beatdown of Michigan State as well, and it was pretty cold that entire fall in general in Michigan, but especially so that day. Maybe it was a fitting end for Bobby Williams to be depantsed 49-3 on a cloudy fall afternoon despite numerous signs in the stands wanting nothing but job security for Bobby Williams. Nevertheless, it was that loss which paved the way for the long-forgotten and brief Morris Watts era at Michigan State, shining as it was...when he beat Indiana that one time - quite literally that one time too.
|1 week 6 days ago||I Like This Idea...||
The implications are tremendous - we rough the Terrapins up so bad that they are indeed knocked back to the previous week, only to lose to West Virginia again. Now, does West Virginia knock them back again to relive their triumph over South Florida or do we want to create a "Loop Of Misery" for Maryland somehow?
|1 week 6 days ago||Similar Experience...||
I've got a great deal of family in Los Angeles and whenever we've visited them and there has been even a small tremor, I typically will tense up and freak whereas everyone else in the house calmly goes somewhere to stabilize a shelf or other objects just in case. When they've come to Michigan and there has been severe weather - intense lightning, wind, even tornado threats - they go into the basement and we'll set up chairs under the awning and watch it roll in. It's interesting how people react to such things when they aren't used to living with them.
|1 week 6 days ago||Great Article...||
“I think, what people felt was, football in particular and perhaps the other sports were becoming more distant from the campus. That they were becoming more of an enterprise and less of an activity. I think our non-athlete students … felt estranged — they felt like customers."
At least for me, one of the biggest differences is in this statement - your perception of how the department sees you really does infiltrate your game experience on many levels. Last year at this point, I was sure that they saw me as just some dude willing to fork over money for tickets and that was it, but a change in culture later and while I am still paying for tickets, I feel supported by the department somehow as a fan and as an alumnus. Indeed, they even seek out opinions now on the experience. It makes the gameday experience better in a way.
|2 weeks 4 hours ago||About This...||
I don’t think they are one of the two best teams in the Big Ten East, but I won’t be surprised in the least if they go 1-1 against Michigan State and Ohio State. I still think the offense is very faulty and the defense has individual weaknesses that are hidden behind a remarkable collective strength.
With regards to that first sentence, I would say that like many here, I was a little cautious about my projections for rivals at the beginning of the season. Indeed, I wasn't sure in the days before the Utah game that we would win either of those games, but having seen this team improve each week, even with conference play of any kind not yet in the books, I would not be shocked either if we split those games. My lean right now - based on current performance is that Michigan State might be the more vulnerable team.
|2 weeks 6 hours ago||For Those Interested....||
Other Maryland highlights, statistically speaking, and their rank among their Division I brethren:
On offense -
Points per game - 22.7 (#86)
Yards per game - 359.3 (#91)
Points per play - 0.349 (#73)
Yards per play - 5.5 (#50)
Same stats on defense -
Points per game - 36.7 (#96)
Yards per game - 531.0 (#117)
Points per play - 0.385 (#69)
Yards per play - 5.6 (#67)
|2 weeks 8 hours ago||Other Nominations...||
We could also always nominate Oregon - as an inverse to Travis Wilson's performance - as being the most impactful team in that they talked their way out of the Top 25 in some polls and on many ballots and out of the Top 20 at least on many major metrics. All it took was a game where - justly so - they were thoroughly out-Ducked.
|2 weeks 8 hours ago||To Be Fair...||
To be fair, there are a few people in wide world of NFL media that sort of make the league look like Dr. Claw when it comes to coaches leaving for college, much less their alma mater and a place they've always dreamed about coaching. Indeed, we'll likel see stories that can be summarized this way for years:
|2 weeks 10 hours ago||Good Question...||
Actually, you may have just hit upon the basic premise for the highest-rated show of any kind on WTKA ever, if this indeed ever happens. Even if the call is thirty seconds with an open Q&A afterwards, the board - this board, the phone board, what-have-you - may very well melt down, skip more typical combustion and sublimate themselves.
|2 weeks 10 hours ago||Very Cool Indeed...||
That's actually really cool and congratulations to him.
I also never understood the attitude some have towards the ushers - they are witnesses to history in many cases, particularly those that I have been around a while. I have even asked a few what their favorite game was, even in the knowledge that they might not have been able to all of it, and the responses are often fascinating.
|2 weeks 10 hours ago||Come On Now...||
The username that posted that tidbit on Eleven Warriors was "Hoody Wayes"? Contrived metathesis is about as unoriginal as it gets, but then consider the source in this case, I suppose. Also, I didn't have the stomach to read the resulting 76 comments. I was afraid actually.
As for what Spielman said, high praise indeed. I was more in the "we're getting there - maybe not now, but sooner than people think" camp myself, but I think we can graciously accept the compliment for the time being.
|2 weeks 12 hours ago||Then Again...||
Then again, they have what they apparently seemed to want all along, or at least 49ers management if not the fans and players - the considered, thoughful mutterings of Jim Tomsula, best known for his one-on-one interviews that leave broadcasters wondering what it would be like to just go with dead air for five minutes.
|2 weeks 13 hours ago||Coming Down...||
"Who's got it better than us?" Chant
In a day when a lot of things seem to be coming out that are at least semi-newsworthy, this thread probably doesn't need to stay.
|2 weeks 14 hours ago||If You're Interested...||
Using Massey Ratings, we can come up with a decent estimate of how many wins we can expect based on the most recent data in the alogrithm. Mind you, it does weight previous season data, so take these for what you will, but there are 4 games of this season in this as well.
Right now, it would come out to the following:
3 wins - 15.54%
2 wins - 44.68%*
1 win - 22.88%
0 wins - 6.76%
* - this includes the most likely single scenario right now (28.86% by itself), which would be coming into the game against MSU 5-1 and exiting it 5-2
|2 weeks 14 hours ago||Come Now....||
This is a class establishment - you cannot simply walk around asking random people to bang you, especially on a Monday when many of us are faced with the frightening prospect of checking our work voicemails. You must follow the signs and check the schedule for banging - it is prominently posted on the refrigerator in the break room, right over where someone wrote "CAN ANYONE PROVIDE INJURY UPDATES?"
|2 weeks 14 hours ago||Same Here...||
I'll be watching this one from the comfort of my family room, but even at that, I like 8 PM starts because I get my whole day if I need to do things around the house or whatnot and then by the time I am ready to sit down, the kids are soon off to bed and it is rather uninterrupted after that.
|2 weeks 16 hours ago||Mean Wins...||
The estimate in the FBS Mean Wins column for Michigan moved over a half-point as well, which is pretty significant and now places us at a projected 8 wins - for the time being, in line with many of the expectations people had around here. That means, of course, that we would be 5-3 in the Big Ten in such a scenario, and compared to last year, a winning record in the Big Ten would be a success unto itself.
|2 weeks 16 hours ago||They Did...||
Will Likely had 4 kick returns totalling 65 yards in the game this past Saturday, so like the rest of the Terps' gameplan, it wasn't a smashing success this time around. The longest return for Likely on Saturday was 20 yards. No punt returns for Maryland, however, or at least the box score lists none.
|2 weeks 16 hours ago||Looking For Updates...||
Does anyone need an injury update?
|2 weeks 18 hours ago||Already Posted...||
Week 4 Bowl Projections
We've already got a discussion of this up - another topic where I think you have to get up pretty early in the morning to get this past the blogerati here.
|2 weeks 18 hours ago||I Will Say This...||
It seems like the offensive line was really one of the major points of worry for us as we muddled our way through August and all the speculation about who would be starting there, but as others have said in numerous threads, the progress that they seem to have made - statistically as well as technically - is way beyond what I would have thought at the beginning of the year, and better, they keep making improvements each week. Very, very pleased.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Very Cool Indeed...||
Spotty high clouds are moving through Romulus at the moment, but the trend is towards less coverage, which is nice because we're about to see the peak if I am not mistaken. Getting some great photos in between the clouds.
Very, very cool. I wish more people on my street were out here appreciating this, but then I remember that I have a neighbor that plays Johnny Cash really loudly at inappropriate hours and I get the impression that I might be one of the brave few on the street.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||It Is Here...||
Is "It" upon us already?
It is upon us - the eclipse and the Blood Moon are nearing peak and you won't see this again until 2033. If you can, enjoy that - not the "it" the OP was dicussing per se.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Yards Per Play...||
On defense, courtesy of TeamRankings, Big Ten only:
1) Michigan - 3.4
2) Ohio State - 3.5
3) Penn State - 3.9
4) Minnesota - 4.4
5) Iowa - 4.4
6) Northwestern - 4.5
7) Wisconsin - 4.6
8) Illinois - 4.8
9) Michigan State - 5.4
10) Maryland - 5.6
11) Indiana - 5.7
12) Purdue - 5.7
13) Nebraska - 6.2
14) Rutgers - 6.7
Granted, four games, some cupcakes for a lot of teams, but an interesting health check on defenses all the same.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Tuning In...||
That last drive makes me think we better start thinking two down territory on just about every single third down. Possibly suicidal? Yes, but then I think about how the last two games have been on offense and I wonder if we aren't hamstringing ourselves in this regard. Looking at you, Lombardi with that famous surname.
|2 weeks 1 day ago||Agreed...||
In person, the fact that the student section is basically a large maize entity in the northwest cornet of the bowl is really cool, in my opinion. It's hard to appreciate on TV, but the vastly maize bowl with this one corner that stands out isn't necessarily a bad look at all.
I do agree, however, that for a marquee game, going with one color or the other all over the stadium would actually look really nice, both in person and on TV.