there would have to be some to wash away
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|21 hours 5 min ago||Harvard is advertising||
Buy one FB ticket, get one free, also free kids admission. And they look pretty good this year--just beat Holy Cross 41-18.
|3 days 8 hours ago||Similardeficiency of "big time" recruits from little states?||
I wonder if the deficiency of midwest recruit rankings might be similar to the apparent deficiency in smaller states. For instance, I suspect that recruiting agencies are not likely to visit states that require them to travel but are too small to justify the expense. How many supposedly "big-time" recruits then come from "little" states. So, I checked on RI recruits. On 247 sports, there were zero players with any stars at all in the years I checked from 2014-6. There were less than 2 players per year who were even listed at all as recruits. I know that RI is truly a "little" state, which it is not likely to have many "big-time" recruits. But I wondered if the scouts even bothered coming to RI. If not, then there may be a "verification" bias--the recruits are seldom if ever evaluated.
On a less extreme scale, the same might apply in comparing midwest vs southern or calif players. Are the services less likely to evaluate players in the midwest than in other areas? For the midwest, do the recruiting services station evaluators or pay for their travel there less often? If so, one might expect a lower proportion of highly rated midwest (vs southern or calif) HS recruits than NFL players. Why? Presumably, the NFL would have greater motivation and resources for finding hidden gems that other teams might overlook. And that could lead them to a more systematic search of the midwest than done by much poorer and less motivated recuruiting services. Also, if there is greater passion for FB in southern states than in the midwest, then there will be fewer revenue-generating clicks on recuiting websites if the recruiting services highlight midwest or eastern recruits. If the midwest guys are not even considering many southern schools, they why should rabid southern fans care about their ratings?
A possible example of verification bias. The Pats QB-in-waiting after Brady retires (Jimmy Garoppolo) came from a little-publicized FCS midwest school (eastern illinois). Many now think he is the best QB drafted in his NFL class. The Pats got him as a steal in the 2nd round. But as a HS recruit, he was only a 2-star by Rivals and not even rated by Scout..
|3 days 10 hours ago||QB U?||
Hoyer was cut by the Pats because he could not beat out the 2nd string qb (who was just traded for a conditional 7th round pick).
|5 days 6 hours ago||Possibly, Tom is not done building his resume||
Forget that he now can add most wins and most playoff wins in history among all NFL qbs (see also this link and another one). What’s interesting are the rumors here in Boston since he sold his estate in Brentwood (for 40 million to Dr. Dre) and began moving to a new 14,000 square feet home on 5 and ½ acres in Brookline. Some here think that Brady’s move to Brookline may set him up for a career in politics once his playing days are done. Famous politicians from Brookline include former President John Kennedy, his brother and once presidential candidate Robert, as well as former Governor and Presidential Nominee Mike Dukakis. It has been home to the Mayor of NYC, The King of Thailand, and the U.S. Ambassadors to Israel, Japan and Canada as well as to noted political commentators, such as Mike Wallace and Barbara Walters.
On the other hand, if politics don't work right away for Tom Brady, he may have a fall-back option. Maybe one of the former coaches from his 1997 team (Brady Hoke) can convince him to take a temp job at UM---like coaching QBs under Nussmeier (just 'til the President of the USA job opens up, of course)..
|6 days 4 hours ago||Yes, Jalen||
(A) Chris should apologize to UM for keeping UM under the cloud of impending NCAA penalties by refusing to testify—even lying. How long did his stonewalling last—ten years?
(B) UM has already profusely apologized to the NCAA for student-athletes like Chris taking money.
(C) The NCAA perhaps should also apologize to Chris for rules that prevented him from earning his fair share of the money.
So (A) apologizes to (B) who apologizes to (C) who—many think—should apologize to (A).
You really shouldn’t be writing books, making TV commentaries and spending the money of NCAA schools by going to court. Make your apologies. Get it over with. Get over yourselves. We are getting tired of you chewing the cud of a 20 year old mess that should have been digested long ago.
|6 days 6 hours ago||My algorithm for choosing UM articles to read||
I appreciate the OP's effort to keep us abreast of Freep News without requiring us to read its articles. FWIW, here is my own method for choosing UM articles to click on.
1. read DetNews articles (Always ones by Angelique or Wojo but no longer Terry Foster)
2. Minimize revenue-producing clicks on MLIve articles by reading only topics NOT covered by the DetNews. Why? MLive--an offshoot of the now defunct AA news, which constantly attacked UM coaches and impugned the school's integrity--still seems to have a subtle bias against UM. Its articles have more negative content and headlines for UM vs.MSU--the alma mater of its sports editor and at least one of its writers.
3. Never let my hand even approach any mouse that might accidentally click on the Freep. No explanation needed.
|1 week 5 hours ago||To extend your point,||
the games last 3 out of 112 waking hours a week and only 12/52 weeks a year. 36/5824=0.6% of their miserable Ohio lives. Unfortunately, this year they’ve already lost ½ home games and 1/3 overall. Any possible happiness from wins will be far outweighed by the unhappiness after a loss—such as their home loss this year to a currently unranked team, which itself just lost at home to the East Carolina Pirates. And the reality is that Ohio has winning "records" only 2 of the last 4 years
(A note to miserable Ohio fans who may delude themselves in thinking that they recorded any wins in 2010, which the NCAA vacated because--remember, dear Carmen--you cheated).
|1 week 5 hours ago||overall well-being in the entire State of Michigan||
#34 (vs #47 Ohio). (based on personal ratings, emotional health, overall health, physical conditioning, access to care etc.)
|1 week 7 hours ago||Thanks for pointing out the need to include the link below||
“Residents of Ann Arbor, Mich., rated their current and future lives the best, for the second year in a row.” For the sake of brevity in the title, I labeled such ratings as “happiness”—as opposed to other elements of well being like health, physical conditioning, access to care etc.
|1 week 3 days ago||According to former Ohio pres Gee.||
the AD, Gene Smith would be very upset if Cinci someday joined the B1G. That would give Ohio an in-state competitor, like UM has.
|1 week 4 days ago||You had called it a "ten year", not a "ten game" average.||
That was what confused me, since the longer term averages do not show such precipitious changes in average (see my graph of a 3-year average below).
|1 week 4 days ago||This is a fascinating area of study that I was unaware of.||
Many thanks for citing it: here is a link to the actual article.
This study certainly could be relevant to UM but it mainly tells us whether replacing a coach by a generic alternative makes sense. On the other hand, from a cost-benefit perspective, one might ask whether replacing the coach by a newly available, outstanding alternative makes sense. Then a cold and calculating AD could make a change not necessarily even because the current coach is performing so badly but because the newly available coach would clearly be better. Many successful NFL teams use such cold logic in cutting or retaining players as well as coaches. On the other hand, if no clearly superior coach is likely to be the replacement, then the NY Times article would suggest that change for the sake of change usually does not make sense.
Another perspective would be to consider the decision to retain a coach as a sequential choice problem. One would decide each year whether to keep the coach (or extend him)., If all other factors in the decision to retain or fire were equal, then one could set boundaries for acceptable win and loss percentages so that the chance of errors (firing a good coach or retaining a poor one) is minimized. For instance, after an abysmal year or two, a school intent on winning might judge it worthwhile to eat the costs of the buy-out and fire the coach right away. To delay might just postpone the inevitable firing and perpetuate the coaching instability.
Similar perspectives could be used to expand the analysis to consider not just win and loss pct but strength of schedule and recruiting class quality.
Of course, such cold economic logic does ignore how the future reputation of the school could be affected by rapid firings. That could give future coaches reservations about taking a position.
|1 week 5 days ago||Please clarify what you mean by "rolling win pct"||
I am surprised at the dramatic drop of Hoke's pct. Averages (or cumulative summations) generally smooth rather than magnify performance percentages. So, I wonder if you chose to weight the most recent games much more heavily (eg via exponential weighting). If so, the very graphs will look very different if you just change the arbitrary weight given to more recent vs earlier games.
Also, I wonder what games you chose for the ten year period: the games coached by the same coach (eg Hoke) at a different school (eg SDSU) or those coached by a different coach (eg. Lloyd Carr) at the same school (eg UM). Without knowing this, the significance of the performance of the coach/team ten years ago is very murky.
|1 week 5 days ago||In addition||
A coach's first year says something about how he did with many of the same players as the previous coach (although they had one more year of experience).
More importantly, in Hoke's last two years, acc to Sagarin ratings, Hoke's teams had the toughest strengh of schedule in the B1G. If you weighted all the games by SOS, his performance would look much better wrt his past as well as wrt the other coaches.
|1 week 6 days ago||The metaphor is not the point||
I had been under the impression that there were differing accounts of Nero’s role. However, I stand corrected regarding the view of modern scholars. Regardless, the historical accuracy of the metaphor is not essential to my point: that one must consider delayed effects in judging a coach's record and that it takes a while to rebuild. Really, those are my only points: I did not mean to imply that hubris was what led to the problem.
At the same time, perhaps it is not fair of me to blame RR for the problem, just as it would have been unfair to blame Nero. No doubt, a lot of social factors were at play in both cases. We probably need to be cognizant of these lest we repeat the past.
|1 week 6 days ago||A moving average of Hoke's performance||
It is misleading to do what the media are doing: just looking at Hoke’s record at the end of each year. That provides a myopic view. Clearly, a coach's predecessor recruited most of his upperclassmen players—the ones who ordinarily account for most of the team’s success. So, it will take 3-4 years before one sees the success due to upperclassmen players recruited and fully developed by the new coach. Also, the attrition that normally accompanies a coaching change will be felt for several years until the coach's new recruits become upperclassmen. Thus, rather than look at the coach’s successive year-end records, it may be more useful to look at delayed effects, such as those mirrored by a moving average of the coach’s win percentage (say, over a 3-year interval of prior games). Based on the moving average shown below, it appears that Hoke's performance improved but may have leveled off recently to a plateau just short of 70%. It would show further improvement even with a 9-3 year. That may still not be up to historical UM standards; however, after Nero (aka RR) destroyed Rome, I suspect it could not be rebuilt in a day. Neither could the UM program. It takes time to get the materials you need. It takes time to mold them.
|1 week 6 days ago||test||
That provides a myopic view. Clearly, his predecessor recruited most of his upperclassmen players—the ones who ordinarily account for most of the team’s success. So, it will take 3-4 years before one sees the success due to the players recruited and fully developed by the new coach. Also, the attrition that normally accompanies a coaching change will be felt only several years later—when the departed players would have been upperclassmen. Thus, rather than look at the coach’s successive year-end records, it may be more useful to look at this moving average of the coach’s win percentage (say, over a 3-year interval of prior games).
|1 week 6 days ago||fakes posing as UM fans||
Some of these trolls are from other schools and pose here as UM fans. I called one of them out recently and notified the mods, but apparently they have not shut him down. His negativity since then has only increased.
|2 weeks 7 hours ago||I have heard that||
Dartmouth and perhaps a few other Ivies have been flooding high schools with invitations to apply--even for students who have zero chance of getting in. By inducing unqualified students to apply, the school can lower its published acceptance rate i.e., by raising the denominator of applicants without raising the numerator of acceptees. That lower acceptance rate will then help them rate more highly in the highly publicized school rankings.
Pretty disgusting, eh?
|2 weeks 5 days ago||Many other school rankings similarly show UM>Ohio||
FWIW, based on a small sample in Ohio itself, more joint applicants also chose Case Western than Oh St (despite considerable tuition advantages for the latter).
Still, you make a valid point. We do not know the state of the 57 students sampled who applied to both UM and Ohio. However, it would be hard to extrapolate student preferences just based on state sampling. There are so many other factors that also would be relevant to student choices. (eg how many UM (vs Ohio) applicants were not included in the 57 because they also applied to and were accepted by Ivy League or other highly competitive schools?). Also, if you live in Ohio (vs MI), what social pressures would you face if you went to the other school? Beyond this, the actual student choices may not reflect the relative quality of schools but the ease of getting a degree. Such factors could explain why--as you question--the advantage of UM was not even greater.
Like so many other studies of revealed preference. the student choices reported clearly had many confounding factors. However, the NY Times article noted that applicant choices closely paralleled other ratings of student prererences and school rankings. eg in World University rankings, UM is #18; Ohio is not in the top 50—in fact, not even in the top hundred according to some sites. So, it is silly to think that a random student would be almost as likely to choose Ohio over UM.
|2 weeks 5 days ago||..an announcement full of sound and fury but signifying nothing||
ND is trying to counter criticisms this week about being too chicken to play UM. But if they weren't afraid, then why not join the B1G and play both UM and Ohio every year---like the two play each other? No, instead ND chooses this week to make a "big announcement" that it has had the courage to schedule a pair of games with one of them nearly a decade from now.
|2 weeks 5 days ago||B1G schools||
Among all national universities, UM and NU were the only B1G schools to make the top 25.
Note that, since Ohio has a 16% larger state population than Michigan, Ohio should more often have been chosen over UM if the choice were based just on low tuition and geographic proximity. If it is easier to get additional tuition assistance in Ohio, its advantage should have been even larger. So, it is highly significant that UM still was chosen over Ohio by about 3 of every 4 students.
Then again, it's hardly surprising.
|3 weeks 9 hours ago||Why did we allow ND to play more home games in current series?||
The contract allowed ND not only to "chicken out" but to play both the first and last games in the current series at home. I cannot understand why UM would sign a contract that permitted this. If one team cancels, the number of games left in the series left should be determined so that the total number of home/away games in the series is even.
Even IF we did not have a voice in letting the B1G give MSU two home games in a row, but we certainly could have insisted on a better contract with ND.
|3 weeks 23 hours ago||That is what I thought too||
but someone explained to me that the sync was only good for in-stadium radio. In any case, I ended up watching TV in windows media center, which allows you to go back a minute or so in the (temporarily recorded) video so that it matches the audio. I think that most DVRs allow you to do the same thing.
|3 weeks 23 hours ago||I think we are very lucky||
to have radio announcers who are head and shoulders better than the TV announcers.
I always enjoyed Brandy. Dan Dierdorf is in a league of his own. We should be proud he is not only our announcer but also a UM alum. His professionalism casts in sharp relief the mediocrity of TV announcers like Galloway, Smith, Spielman.....I could go on.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Dierdorf and Brandy did an outstanding job--||
much better than any of the TV announcers. I plan to sync all the broadcasts.
But I am concerned about how a group of Michigan fans could sync with delayed radio while watching together in a bar. I thought that the radio broadcasts this year were not supposed to be delayed. What happened?
|3 weeks 2 days ago||I think he missed the first two preseason games, then did play.||
But I can only guess what is happening with him now. Gallon may think he has a better chance to make it on other teams. The Pats squad is stacked. Or maybe Gallon now sees that he could get injured for little benefit on a practice squad and wants to hold out for a real roster opening. That could come at any time due to injuries. If the Pat's Amendola gets injured as has been usual, I wouldn't be surprised for the Pats to take him back. Occasionallly, they have filled roster spots with players not currently under contract with anyone. Or, as you suggest: Gallon may not be making a rational choice in the immediate aftermath of a let down.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||I read "won't sign" as offered but declined||
Given that at least a dozen other cuts were not mentioned as having declined the practice squad, I assume that those not offered a spot would not be mentioned. Also, the Pats will not finalize their 10-man squad until Monday. So, unless Gallon declined, I would assume that he would still be in the running for a spot until the final squad was chosen. Also, everything I had read here in Boston was that the Pats wanted to keep Gallon --he would have been a perfect backup for the often-injured slot receiver, Amendola. It appeared that the Pats hoped he would clear wavers and sign with the practice squad. That way, they could have gotten a better look at him, since they had not had much time to evaluate him while healthy. So, it's hard for me to imagine that he would not have been offered a spot.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Gallon declined practice squad on Pats||
Apparently, the Patriots wanted Gallon on the practice squad but he declined. As a Pats fan, I am disappointed. I think he would eventually have found a role on the team. But he is very talented and probably has some better prospects elsewhere.
FYI Mallet was traded to the Texans.
|3 weeks 2 days ago||DG passing efficiency||
DG passing efficiency 267.4 #2 in nation—very close to #1 and way ahead of #3.
(although name not listed because he had one less than the 15 attempts required for listing).