fair point that
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|2 days 3 hours ago||AWS?||
I've been looking into AWS lately to figure out if that'd work for hosting a server I need - is there a reason (that you can share) that you didn't go that route? I thought AWS was designed to handle load spikes, but on the other hand I thought they only billed you for CPU time instead of number of "active instances"
|3 days 2 hours ago||The ref that threw the flag||
The ref that threw the flag was about 3 feet from the play, directly in front of him, so maybe he had a better view than us /s
|3 days 2 hours ago||We're playing with house||
We're playing with house money now!
|1 week 1 day ago||Wow||
I'm sure Rudock would appreciate the award, even if you guys done like Manning or whatever
|1 week 5 days ago||Yeah!||
Yeah! Spell the mispelling correctly!
|1 week 6 days ago||What's true is heavily||
What's true is heavily influenced by the public's opinion - I guess now is the time to start lobbying for ND to be treated like an ACC member.
If ND's SoS is so great, maybe they should take ND over Clemson
|1 week 6 days ago||Notre Dame is ACC||
Notre Dame is an ACC team. They're ACC for every other sport and they play half of their season against the ACC. The committee won't send both an ACC team and Notre Dame, that's ridiculous
Maybe in an 8-team playoff both could go, but not in a 4-team playoff.
|1 week 6 days ago||ND is basically part of the||
Exactly, ND is basically part of the ACC and they'd already be sending Clemson as conference champion. They shouldn't be sending both Clemson and ND, especialy since ND lost to Clemson - that's just rewarding ND's shenanigans.
|2 weeks 3 days ago||based on the holding and pass||
based on the holding and pass interference calls, yes
|3 weeks 2 days ago||Clearly more ACC favoritism||
Clearly more ACC favoritism for Duke. The refs made a dozen erroneous calls against Miami, none of which has been mentioned by the ACC. They had a historic 27 penalties against Miami. The ACC has been a Duke/UNC conference for a while now - now they want it to be that way in football as well as basketball
|3 weeks 5 days ago||The CFP wants to avoid||
The CFP wants to avoid controversies, I doubt they would skip taking a conference champion but still take a team from that same conference.
|3 weeks 5 days ago||35-0 Michigan||
|3 weeks 5 days ago||It's time to chill out||
It's time to chill out - it's a funny article if you can learn to relax a bit
|4 weeks 4 days ago||The worst part about losing||
The worst part about losing the game was (or has been) everyone on this board throwing their perpetual hissy fit and telling everyone else to not post anything relevant
|4 weeks 5 days ago||Misclick||
It was a misclick (j/k)
I actually saw the UT Austin version of this at the UT Austin version of M-Den recently and we were disappointed that there was no Michigan equivalent. It must have just come out in the last couple days
|4 weeks 5 days ago||The box says that they're||
The box says that they're "Compatible with Major Brands"
|4 weeks 5 days ago||My point||
My point is that if UM recognized the situation properly, they would have blocked in a way to create more time or changd the play. There was no reason to having anyone go down field.
|4 weeks 5 days ago||Random||
People don't know what a series of coin flips usually looks like. 10 coin flips in a row is usually not going to be 5-5 or even 6-4. There are often long streaks of one side or the other.
You can play with a 50 coin flip here:
|4 weeks 6 days ago||Whoops||
My only complaint has been about adding up the individual results and getting "23.58 points", which I guess I didn't say explicitly. I agree with how the plays are calculated individually.
|4 weeks 6 days ago||Not to be a pain in the||
Not to be a pain in the ass... I appreciate the article and its analysis and whatnot
From my understanding, in this analysis you're looking at the effect of the expected value of a particular drive. So before the event you have some vector, e.g., (1% safety, 10% punt, 5% downs, 50% touchdown, 34% field goal) and then after the event you have some other vector (0% safety, 5% punt, 2% downs, 80% touchdown, 13% field goal). For easier digestion, this gets multiplied by the change in score from each event (-2, 0, 0, 7, 3) and summed so that we are left with a single number. In this sense, this analysis is done on a drive-by-drive basis.
So while I agree that on a philsophical level, as soon as one event in the entire game changes, everything else in the game will also be affected through the butterfly effect, my point is that the expected value of a given drive cannot exceed 7 points. If the expected value of an entire drive cannot exceed 7 points, then the cumulative *changes* in expected value for a given drive also cannot exceed 7 points.
I made some attempt to address that by multiplying the probability of later events by the inverse-probability of earlier events, but I agree that's not perfect.
|4 weeks 6 days ago||Sorry. All I meant was that||
Sorry. All I meant was that if two of the penalties analyzed in this article are from the same drive, a change of one penalty would affect the other, i.e., they are not independent.
So let's say you have penalty A and penalty B where penalty A is a missed hold call on 3nd down and penalty B is a phantom pass interference call on the next set of downs. In this article the change in expected points is calculated as if these are independent, so the change in value is (VA*PA + VB*PB) where VA = Value(A) and PA=Probability(A).
What I'm saying is if these two penaltys are from the same drive, then Penalty B would only have an effect if Penalty A was not called correctly. So the formula should be (VA*PA+VB*PB*(1-VA)). So each later contribution is dampened by the earlier penalties.
|4 weeks 6 days ago||I know you're multiplying by||
I know you're multiplying by probability factors to get expected points, but you still may have a double-counting issue if two fouls came from the same drive
|5 weeks 42 min ago||Double-Counting||
I haven't dug into it, but make sure you're not double-counting penalties from the same drive. I know at least two plays happened in a row, and you cant say one cost us 3 points and the next one cost us 4 points so together they cost us 7 points.
|5 weeks 2 hours ago||Opposing wants||
Fans want to make the playoffs
Fans want the programs to have lots of money
Fans want to watch interesting games
#1 and #3 are easily resolved if the conference champion gets to go the playoffs and the conference championship does not depend on OOC games (as it currently does). #2 may or not be an issue since better games bring in more money, but we'd have fewer home games.
|5 weeks 4 days ago||It's directly between the||
It's directly between the north campus diag and the giant fountain by lurie. It's between the winding path and the stairs between those two places.
Here it is on google maps:
|5 weeks 5 days ago||That coach does not sound||
That coach does not sound like a competitor.
|5 weeks 6 days ago||42-0 Michigan||
Edit: Someone took my score (but I posted it on MGoBoard!). So I guess I have to go with
|5 weeks 6 days ago||42-0 Michigan||
|6 weeks 1 day ago||Just Win||
If Michigan just wins with a large enough margin (e.g., 38-0), even injuries cant be an excuse
|6 weeks 2 days ago||Luckily||
Luckily, this team gets better every week, and it would be many weeks before we'd play Baylor