We are a 13-point underdog in Las Vegas (and should be 15 pt underdogs according to Sagarin ratings and considering home field).
Most pundits give us little or no chance of winning. But a host of teams that have overcome 2-3 times that much of a point spread. Consider:
1985 Oregon State (+36) tops Washington, 21-20
1985 UTEP (+36) over BYU, 23-16
1972 Missouri (+35) beat Notre Dame, 30-26
1974 Purdue (+34) at Notre Dame, 31-20
1992 Iowa State (+29) over Nebraska, 19-10
1969 San Jose State (+29) at Oregon, 36-34
1995 Northwestern (+28) over Notre Dame, 17-15
1942 Holy Cross (+28) beats Boston College, 55-12
I guess that these underdogs forgot to listen to the pundits.
By the way, didn’t OSU tie Iowa in regulation at home last week (while Ricki Stanzi was injured), while UM lost by only 2 points on the road (when Ricki Stanzi was healthy, Tate suffered a concussion and DRob had to come in for the last 2 series)? Subtract home field (3 points) from OSU’s result and they lost by 3 in regulation. Add home field to UM’s result and we won by 1.
I’m not saying that the other games don’t matter as well. I’m not denying that we are an underdog vs OSU. But this UM team has a lot to play for on Saturday. And to say that we’ve got no chance is a bit of a stretch.
Yet, the pundits incessantly pick the team apart--like vultures stripping a carcass. All they can think of asking is WHY the team has fallen apart.
But, to paraphrase RFK's quote of George Bernard Shaw:
You see things as they are and ask, ‘Why?
But I see things that could be and ask, ‘Why not?’".