Your Rooting Interests for Today

Submitted by Zone Left on

Oklahoma State's generosity has left a pretty clear path to the BCS for Michigan. As unthinkable as it was, I think we're down to hoping for just three teams (not counting Michigan) to win out for the Wolverines to secure their first bid since 2006. Those teams are:

  1. Oklahoma
  2. Notre Dame
  3. Oregon

The SEC will get one at-large bid. If Oklahoma wins out, they win the Big 12 and give OK State two losses in their last three. If Notre Dame wins out, Stanford finishes with two losses. If Oregon wins out, they get the PAC-12 bid instead of an at-large bid. The Big East is lucky to get one bid, I doubt any bowl wants to invite an apathetic ACC runner-up, and eithe Houston or Boise will get a bid. That, plus Wisconsin or MSU guaranteed to lose one more would leave Michigan in the driver's seat. Thoughts?

MGoBoard
Football
BCS

omgcodysignedon

November 19th, 2011 at 10:18 AM ^

I dunno I could see Stanford getting in over us as well as 3 sec teams: Arkansas, LSU, and Alabama. Does anyone know how it works after all the at larges are determined do they then just select according to BCS ranking 

Joined: 11/02/2010

MGoPoints: 36

Gobluegr

November 19th, 2011 at 10:28 AM ^

http://www.bcsfootball.org/news/story?id=4857712 It's almost a given that the Sec gets two teams (the max) and a non AQ gets a bid. This leaves two at large bids. It will be between Stanford, Ok state v Oklahoma loser, the Acc champ loser, and a two loss big ten team. Stanford losing to ND, Clemson losing to south Carolina and in the Acc championship, and OK state losing again should put Michigan in if they win out.

Joined: 07/07/2011

MGoPoints: 671

MI Expat NY

November 19th, 2011 at 10:56 AM ^

It's not at all a given that a non-AQ gets an automatic bid.  If Houston loses,there's no sure thing to meet the non-AQ criteria.  The top-ranked non-AQ champion gets in if they are in the top 12 of the BCS ratings or top 16 and there's an AQ champion ranked below them, i.e. the Big East champion.   Houston is in if they win out, but I honestly think that's doubtful.  Boise State is in great shape in the rankings, but have virtually no shot at being champion of the MWC.  TCU is currently 19 and so they have a legitimate shot.  But, their last two games are against Colorado State and UNLV, combined record of 5-13.  That will be a hit on their computer rankings that might cancel out any rise in the polls.  

If I had to put money on it right now, I'd say there won't be a non-AQ team in the BCS.

Joined: 07/24/2008

MGoPoints: 8641

Yeoman

November 19th, 2011 at 10:41 AM ^

The BCS bowls select at large teams in the order of the BCS rank of their automatic qualifier. They can select whoever they want subject to the following:

 

  • must be in top 14 of final BCS standings
  • must have at least 9 victories
  • no conference can have more than 2 BCS teams
  • Notre Dame must be in if they're in the top 8
  • the highest-rated champion of a non-AQ conference gets in if they're in the top 12, or if they're in the top 16 and are higher rated than any of the AQs

In the past the bowls have tended to opt for expected profitability over quality of team. One of the three SEC teams you list will be out by rule; Stanford could be left out because they don't travel well, which I think would be a shame.

Joined: 06/08/2011

MGoPoints: 21390

TrppWlbrnID

November 19th, 2011 at 10:24 AM ^

But i think i need a little clearer idea of who UM would play in a bcs bowl before I get too excited. Big east please. I feel like UM will have a chance to get destroyed on national tv vs bama and I fear two big losses on tv back to back hurts more than it helps.

Joined: 10/29/2009

MGoPoints: 9847

MI Expat NY

November 19th, 2011 at 10:32 AM ^

I think  Michigan is in if we win out.  I think the Oklahoma State/Oklahoma loser would be passed over for a 10-2 Michigan.  I also think Houston is going to lose and TCU isn't going to win enough to slide into the top-16.  There will be enough slots for 2 SEC teams, 2 Big Ten teams, 2 Big 12 teams and 2 Pac 12 teams.  

Joined: 07/24/2008

MGoPoints: 8641

turd ferguson

November 19th, 2011 at 10:48 AM ^

Wait, actually, I don't agree with everything you said. I think Houston/Boise still gets in. Then you have the 6 AQ conference champs. The SEC gets a second bid. That leaves two spots between Michigan/Nebraska, Stanford, and a Big 12 #2. although the Big 12 has been much better than the Big Ten this year, it's hard for me to imagine a two-loss OK State or K-State getting in before a two-loss Michigan/Nebraska.
<br>Long story short, if we beat Nebraska and OSU and Oklahoma beats Oklahoma State, I think we're in.

Joined: 12/09/2009

MGoPoints: 26493