When I heard that he was even contemplating it, I thought that there was a zero percent chance he'd leave. Now it seems like he will be going. The only problem is that there isn't a good chance for his success or a first round pick. He isn't NBA ready. I would say to stay until he's a Sophmore, maybe a Junior. However, he's probably thinking "What if I get injured" or "What if I pull a Kalin Lucas and not play up to my potential in the next year or 2?" So he's probably going to take the guaranteed money.
Hoke was top notch at this aspect of his job.