When I heard that he was even contemplating it, I thought that there was a zero percent chance he'd leave. Now it seems like he will be going. The only problem is that there isn't a good chance for his success or a first round pick. He isn't NBA ready. I would say to stay until he's a Sophmore, maybe a Junior. However, he's probably thinking "What if I get injured" or "What if I pull a Kalin Lucas and not play up to my potential in the next year or 2?" So he's probably going to take the guaranteed money.