Looking at the forecast for East Lansing this Saturday, weather.com is showing a 40% chance of rain with a high of 54 degrees. Not sure that the weather will play a factor at all, but I have to say that if it does, I think it will work in Michigan's favor.
Michigan currently ranks 8th in the nation in rushing, averaging a little over 240 yards/game. MSU, on the other hand, is sitting at 87th with 117.8 yards/game. If things get sloppy (remember that MSU has a natural grass field), we have got to dominate. This is a big contrast to some previous years where I would have given the edge to MSU in a physical running ball game.
What's interesting when looking at the offensive stats for these two teams is that despite the big gap in rushing, MSU is still ranked higher than Michigan in total yards/game (MSU 21st to UM 30th). Believe it or not, MSU is pretty one dimensional in favor of the PASS. Meaning that their strength is passing, even though they have two QBs who have been fairly unspectacular.
I know it is not as simple as just looking at the stats like I did here, but I guess what I am trying to say is that on paper we should definitely be the favorite (duh, I know). As I said before, a sloppy game will certainly favor our running game. But even if its not sloppy and this game ends up being a pass-happy shootout, I feel good about Tate Forcier outperforming Cousins/Nichol, especially if the game is tight in the fourth quarter.